Kernel Weighted DMI | QuantEdgeB📊 Introducing Kernel Weighted DMI (K-DMI) by QuantEdgeB
🛠️ Overview
K-DMI is a next-gen momentum indicator that combines the traditional Directional Movement Index (DMI) with advanced kernel smoothing techniques to produce a highly adaptive, noise-resistant trend signal.
Unlike standard DMI that can be overly reactive or choppy in consolidation phases, K-DMI applies kernel-weighted filtering (Linear, Exponential, or Gaussian) to stabilize directional movement readings and extract a more reliable momentum signal.
✨ Key Features
🔹 Kernel Smoothing Engine
Smooths DMI using your choice of kernel (Linear, Exponential, Gaussian) for flexible noise reduction and clarity.
🔹 Dynamic Trend Signal
Generates real-time long/short trend bias based on signal crossing upper or lower thresholds (defaults: ±1).
🔹 Visual Encoding
Includes directional gradient fills, candle coloring, and momentum-based overlays for instant signal comprehension.
🔹 Multi-Mode Plotting
Optional moving average overlays visualize structure and compression/expansion within price action.
📐 How It Works
1️⃣ Directional Movement Index (DMI)
Calculates the traditional +DI and -DI differential to derive directional bias.
2️⃣ Kernel-Based Smoothing
Applies a custom-weighted average across historical DMI values using one of three smoothing methods:
• Linear → Simple tapering weights
• Exponential → Decay curve for recent emphasis
• Gaussian → Bell-shaped weight for centered precision
3️⃣ Signal Generation
• ✅ Long → Signal > Long Threshold (default: +1)
• ❌ Short → Signal < Short Threshold (default: -1)
Additional overlays signal potential compression zones or trend resumption using gradient and line fills.
⚙️ Custom Settings
• DMI Length: Default = 7
• Kernel Type: Options → Linear, Exponential, Gaussian (Def:Linear)
• Kernel Length: Default = 25
• Long Threshold: Default = 1
• Short Threshold: Default = -1
• Color Mode: Strategy, Solar, Warm, Cool, Classic, Magic
• Show Labels: Optional entry signal labels (Long/Short)
• Enable Extra Plots: Toggle MA overlays and dynamic bands
👥 Who Is It For?
✅ Trend Traders → Identify sustained directional bias with smoother signal lines
✅ Quant Analysts → Leverage advanced smoothing models to enhance data clarity
✅ Discretionary Swing Traders → Visualize clean breakouts or fades within choppy zones
✅ MA Compression Traders → Use overlay MAs to detect expansion opportunities
📌 Conclusion
Kernel Weighted DMI is the evolution of classic momentum tracking—merging traditional DMI logic with adaptable kernel filters. It provides a refined lens for trend detection, while optional visual overlays support price structure analysis.
🔹 Key Takeaways:
1️⃣ Smoothed and stabilized DMI for reliable trend signal generation
2️⃣ Optional Gaussian/exponential weighting for adaptive responsiveness
3️⃣ Custom gradient fills, dynamic MAs, and candle coloring to support visual clarity
📌 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
📌 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
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Strategy Stats [presentTrading]Hello! it's another weekend. This tool is a strategy performance analysis tool. Looking at the TradingView community, it seems few creators focus on this aspect. I've intentionally created a shared version. Welcome to share your idea or question on this.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
Strategy Stats is a comprehensive performance analytics framework designed specifically for trading strategies. Unlike standard strategy backtesting tools that simply show cumulative profits, this analytics suite provides real-time, multi-timeframe statistical analysis of your trading performance.
Multi-timeframe analysis: Automatically tracks performance metrics across the most recent time periods (last 7 days, 30 days, 90 days, 1 year, and 4 years)
Advanced statistical measures: Goes beyond basic metrics to include Information Coefficient (IC) and Sortino Ratio
Real-time feedback: Updates performance statistics with each new trade
Visual analytics: Color-coded performance table provides instant visual feedback on strategy health
Integrated risk management: Implements sophisticated take profit mechanisms with 3-step ATR and percentage-based exits
BTCUSD Performance
The table in the upper right corner is a comprehensive performance dashboard showing trading strategy statistics.
Note: While this presentation uses Vegas SuperTrend as the underlying strategy, this is merely an example. The Stats framework can be applied to any trading strategy. The Vegas SuperTrend implementation is included solely to demonstrate how the analytics module integrates with a trading strategy.
⚠️ Timeframe Limitations
Important: TradingView's backtesting engine has a maximum storage limit of 10,000 bars. When using this strategy stats framework on smaller timeframes such as 1-hour or 2-hour charts, you may encounter errors if your backtesting period is too long.
Recommended Timeframe Usage:
Ideal for: 4H, 6H, 8H, Daily charts and above
May cause errors on: 1H, 2H charts spanning multiple years
Not recommended for: Timeframes below 1H with long history
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Strategy Stats framework consists of three primary components: statistical data collection, performance analysis, and visualization.
🔶 Statistical Data Collection
The system maintains several critical data arrays:
equityHistory: Tracks equity curve over time
tradeHistory: Records profit/loss of each trade
predictionSignals: Stores trade direction signals (1 for long, -1 for short)
actualReturns: Records corresponding actual returns from each trade
For each closed trade, the system captures:
float tradePnL = strategy.closedtrades.profit(tradeIndex)
float tradeReturn = strategy.closedtrades.profit_percent(tradeIndex)
int tradeType = entryPrice < exitPrice ? 1 : -1 // Direction
🔶 Performance Metrics Calculation
The framework calculates several key performance metrics:
Information Coefficient (IC):
The correlation between prediction signals and actual returns, measuring forecast skill.
IC = Correlation(predictionSignals, actualReturns)
Where Correlation is the Pearson correlation coefficient:
Correlation(X,Y) = (nΣXY - ΣXY) / √
Sortino Ratio:
Measures risk-adjusted return focusing only on downside risk:
Sortino = (Avg_Return - Risk_Free_Rate) / Downside_Deviation
Where Downside Deviation is:
Downside_Deviation = √
R_i represents individual returns, T is the target return (typically the risk-free rate), and n is the number of observations.
Maximum Drawdown:
Tracks the largest percentage drop from peak to trough:
DD = (Peak_Equity - Trough_Equity) / Peak_Equity * 100
🔶 Time Period Calculation
The system automatically determines the appropriate number of bars to analyze for each timeframe based on the current chart timeframe:
bars_7d = math.max(1, math.round(7 * barsPerDay))
bars_30d = math.max(1, math.round(30 * barsPerDay))
bars_90d = math.max(1, math.round(90 * barsPerDay))
bars_365d = math.max(1, math.round(365 * barsPerDay))
bars_4y = math.max(1, math.round(365 * 4 * barsPerDay))
Where barsPerDay is calculated based on the chart timeframe:
barsPerDay = timeframe.isintraday ?
24 * 60 / math.max(1, (timeframe.in_seconds() / 60)) :
timeframe.isdaily ? 1 :
timeframe.isweekly ? 1/7 :
timeframe.ismonthly ? 1/30 : 0.01
🔶 Visual Representation
The system presents performance data in a color-coded table with intuitive visual indicators:
Green: Excellent performance
Lime: Good performance
Gray: Neutral performance
Orange: Mediocre performance
Red: Poor performance
█ Trade Direction
The Strategy Stats framework supports three trading directions:
Long Only: Only takes long positions when entry conditions are met
Short Only: Only takes short positions when entry conditions are met
Both: Takes both long and short positions depending on market conditions
█ Usage
To effectively use the Strategy Stats framework:
Apply to existing strategies: Add the performance tracking code to any strategy to gain advanced analytics
Monitor multiple timeframes: Use the multi-timeframe analysis to identify performance trends
Evaluate strategy health: Review IC and Sortino ratios to assess predictive power and risk-adjusted returns
Optimize parameters: Use performance data to refine strategy parameters
Compare strategies: Apply the framework to multiple strategies to identify the most effective approach
For best results, allow the strategy to generate sufficient trade history for meaningful statistical analysis (at least 20-30 trades).
█ Default Settings
The default settings have been carefully calibrated for cryptocurrency markets:
Performance Tracking:
Time periods: 7D, 30D, 90D, 1Y, 4Y
Statistical measures: Return, Win%, MaxDD, IC, Sortino Ratio
IC color thresholds: >0.3 (green), >0.1 (lime), <-0.1 (orange), <-0.3 (red)
Sortino color thresholds: >1.0 (green), >0.5 (lime), <0 (red)
Multi-Step Take Profit:
ATR multipliers: 2.618, 5.0, 10.0
Percentage levels: 3%, 8%, 17%
Short multiplier: 1.5x (makes short take profits more aggressive)
Stop loss: 20%
[blackcat] L3 Volatility Ehlers Stochastic CGOOVERVIEW
This advanced indicator integrates the Center of Gravity Oscillator (CGO) with an Ehlers-Stochastic framework and an Adaptive Local Minimum-Maximum Average (ALMA) smoothing algorithm. Designed for non-overlaid charts, it identifies market momentum shifts by analyzing price action through multi-layer volatility analysis.
FEATURES
• Dual-line system:
✓ Stochastic CGO: Core oscillating line derived from weighted OHLC price calculations
✓ ALMA Lagging Line: Smoothing component using customizable offset/sigma parameters
• Dynamic color scheme:
✓ Green/red trend differentiation via crossover comparison
✓ Optional fill areas between lines (toggleable)
• Clear trade signals:
✓ Buy/Sell labels triggered by mathematically defined crossovers
✓ Zero-reference baseline marker (#0ebb23)
• Customizable parameters:
Fast Length (9 default) controls CGO sensitivity
Slow Length (5 default) governs ALMA responsiveness
ALMA Offset/Sigma allow adaptive curve optimization
HOW TO USE
Configure core parameters:
• Adjust Fast Length (CGO timeframe window)
• Set Slow Length, ALMA Offset, and Sigma for smoother/laggier response
Interpret visuals:
• Bullish trend = green shaded zone (when primary line above lagging line)
• Bearish trend = red shaded zone (primary line below lagging line)
Analyze signals:
• Buy triggers occur when rising CGO crosses above ALMA while below zero
• Sell triggers activate when falling CGO breaks below ALMA after exceeding zero base
Optimize display:
✓ Enable/disable fill area via Fill Between Lines
LIMITATIONS
• Relies heavily on lookback periods - rapid market changes may reduce predictive accuracy
• Signal frequency increases during high-volatility environments
• Requires additional confirmation methods due to occasional premature crossovers
• Default parameter settings may lack universality across asset classes
NOTES
• Best paired with volume-based confirmations for stronger signals
• Reducing ALMA Sigma sharpens line responsiveness at cost of noise susceptibility
• Increasing Fast Length extends calculation horizon while reducing peak sensitivity
• Weighted OHLC source formula prioritizes closing prices for swing direction assessment
Multi-Oscillator Adaptive Kernel | AlphaAlgosMulti-Oscillator Adaptive Kernel | AlphaAlgos
Overview
The Multi-Oscillator Adaptive Kernel (MOAK) is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines multiple oscillators through sophisticated kernel-based smoothing algorithms. This indicator is designed to provide clearer trend signals while filtering out market noise, offering traders a comprehensive view of market momentum across multiple timeframes.
Key Features
• Fusion of multiple technical oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, MFI, CCI)
• Advanced kernel smoothing technology with three distinct mathematical models
• Customizable sensitivity and lookback periods
• Clear visual signals for trend shifts and reversals
• Overbought/oversold zones for precise entry and exit timing
• Adaptive signal that responds to varying market conditions
Technical Components
The MOAK indicator utilizes a multi-layer approach to signal generation:
1. Oscillator Fusion
The core of the indicator combines normalized readings from up to four popular oscillators:
• RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Measures the speed and change of price movements
• Stochastic - Compares the closing price to the price range over a specific period
• MFI (Money Flow Index) - Volume-weighted RSI that includes trading volume
• CCI (Commodity Channel Index) - Measures current price level relative to an average price
2. Kernel Smoothing
The combined oscillator data is processed through one of three kernel functions:
• Exponential Kernel - Provides stronger weighting to recent data with exponential decay
• Linear Kernel - Applies a linear weighting from most recent to oldest data points
• Gaussian Kernel - Uses a bell curve distribution that helps filter out extreme values
3. Dual Signal Lines
• Fast Signal Line - Responds quickly to price changes
• Slow Signal Line - Provides confirmation and shows the underlying trend direction
Configuration Options
Oscillator Selection:
• Enable/disable each oscillator (RSI, Stochastic, MFI, CCI)
• Customize individual lookback periods for each oscillator
Kernel Settings:
• Kernel Type - Choose between Exponential, Linear, or Gaussian mathematical models
• Kernel Length - Adjust the smoothing period (higher values = smoother line)
• Sensitivity - Fine-tune the indicator's responsiveness (higher values = more responsive)
Display Options:
• Color Bars - Toggle price bar coloring based on indicator direction
How to Interpret the Indicator
Signal Line Direction:
• Upward movement (teal) indicates bullish momentum
• Downward movement (magenta) indicates bearish momentum
Trend Shifts:
• Small circles mark the beginning of new uptrends
• X-marks indicate the start of new downtrends
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
• Values above +50 suggest overbought conditions (potential reversal or pullback)
• Values below -50 suggest oversold conditions (potential reversal or bounce)
Trading Strategies
Trend Following:
• Enter long positions when the signal line turns teal and shows an uptrend
• Enter short positions when the signal line turns magenta and shows a downtrend
• Use the slow signal line (area fill) as confirmation of the underlying trend
Counter-Trend Trading:
• Look for divergences between price and the indicator
• Consider profit-taking when the indicator reaches overbought/oversold areas
• Wait for trend shift signals before entering counter-trend positions
Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
• Use the indicator across different timeframes for confirmation
• Higher timeframe signals carry more weight than lower timeframe signals
Best Practices
• Experiment with different kernel types for various market conditions
• Gaussian kernels often work well in ranging markets
• Exponential kernels can provide earlier signals in trending markets
• Combine with volume analysis for higher probability trades
• Use appropriate stop-loss levels as the indicator does not guarantee price movements
This indicator is provided as-is with no guarantees of profit. Always use proper risk management when trading with any technical indicator. Nothing is financial advise.
Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)The STC (Schaff Trend Cycle) indicator is a momentum oscillator that combines elements of MACD and stochastic indicators to identify market cycles and potential trend reversals.
Key features of the STC indicator:
Oscillates between 0 and 100, similar to a stochastic oscillator
Values above 75 generally indicate overbought conditions
Values below 25 generally indicate oversold conditions
Signal line crossovers (above 75 or below 25) can suggest potential entry/exit points
Faster and more responsive than traditional MACD
Designed to filter out market noise and identify cyclical trends
Traders typically use the STC indicator to:
Identify potential trend reversals
Confirm existing trends
Generate buy/sell signals when combined with other technical indicators
Filter out false signals in choppy market conditions
This STC implementation includes multiple smoothing options that act as filters:
None: Raw STC values without additional smoothing, which provides the most responsive but potentially noisier signals.
EMA Smoothing: Applies a 3-period Exponential Moving Average to reduce noise while maintaining reasonable responsiveness (default).
Sigmoid Smoothing: Transforms the STC values using a sigmoid (S-curve) function, creating more gradual transitions between signals and potentially reducing whipsaw trades.
Digital (Schmitt Trigger) Smoothing: Creates a binary output (0 or 100) with built-in hysteresis to prevent rapid switching.
The STC indicator uses dynamic color coding to visually represent momentum:
Green: When the STC value is above its 5-period EMA, indicating positive momentum
Red: When the STC value is below its 5-period EMA, indicating negative momentum
The neutral zone (25-75) is highlighted with a light gray fill to clearly distinguish between normal and extreme readings.
Alerts:
Bullish Signal Alert:
The STC has been falling
It bottoms below the 25 level
It begins to rise again
This pattern helps confirm potential uptrend starts with higher reliability.
Bearish Signal Alert:
The STC has been rising
It peaks above the 75 level
It begins to decline
This pattern helps identify potential downtrend starts.
Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T TensionOverview
The Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T Tension Bands indicator dynamically adapts to market conditions using an advanced statistical model based on the Student-T distribution. Unlike traditional Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels, this indicator leverages elastic volume-weighted averaging to compute real-time dispersion and location parameters, making it highly responsive to volatility changes while maintaining robustness against price fluctuations.
This methodology is inspired by incremental calculation techniques for weighted mean and variance, as outlined in the paper by Tony Finch:
📄 "Incremental Calculation of Weighted Mean and Variance" .
Key Features
✅ Adaptive Volatility Estimation – Uses an exponentially weighted Student-T model to dynamically adjust band width.
✅ Volume-Weighted Mean & Dispersion – Incorporates real-time volume weighting, ensuring a more accurate representation of market sentiment.
✅ High-Timeframe Volume Normalization – Provides an option to smooth volume impact by referencing a higher timeframe’s cumulative volume, reducing noise from high-variability bars.
✅ Customizable Tension Parameters – Configurable standard deviation multipliers (σ) allow for fine-tuned volatility sensitivity.
✅ %B-Like Oscillator for Relative Price Positioning – The main indicator is in form of a dedicated oscillator pane that normalizes price position within the sigma ranges, helping identify overbought/oversold conditions and potential momentum shifts.
✅ Robust Statistical Foundation – Utilizes kurtosis-based degree-of-freedom estimation, enhancing responsiveness across different market conditions.
How It Works
Volume-Weighted Elastic Mean (eμ) – Computes a dynamic mean price using an elastic weighted moving average approach, influenced by trade volume, if not volume detected in series, study takes true range as replacement.
Dispersion (eσ) via Student-T Distribution – Instead of assuming a fixed normal distribution, the bands adapt to heavy-tailed distributions using kurtosis-driven degrees of freedom.
Incremental Calculation of Variance – The indicator applies Tony Finch’s incremental method for computing weighted variance instead of arithmetic sum's of fixed bar window or arrays, improving efficiency and numerical stability.
Tension Calculation – There are 2 dispersion custom "zones" that are computed based on the weighted mean and dynamically adjusted standard student-t deviation.
%B-Like Oscillator Calculation – The oscillator normalizes the price within the band structure, with values between 0 and 1:
* 0.00 → Price is at the lower band (-2σ).
* 0.50 → Price is at the volume-weighted mean (eμ).
* 1.00 → Price is at the upper band (+2σ).
* Readings above 1.00 or below 0.00 suggest extreme movements or possible breakouts.
Recommended Usage
For scalping in lower timeframes, it is recommended to use the fixed α Decay Factor, it is in raw format for better control, but you can easily make a like of transformation to N-bar size window like in EMA-1 bar dividing 2 / decayFactor or like an RMA dividing 1 / decayFactor.
The HTF selector catch quite well Higher Time Frame analysis, for example using a Daily chart and using as HTF the 200-day timeframe, weekly or monthly.
Suitable for trend confirmation, breakout detection, and mean reversion plays.
The %B-like oscillator helps gauge momentum strength and detect divergences in price action if user prefer a clean chart without bands, this thanks to pineScript v6 force overlay feature.
Ideal for markets with volume-driven momentum shifts (e.g., futures, forex, crypto).
Customization Parameters
Fixed α Decay Factor – Controls the rate of volume weighting influence for an approximation EWMA approach instead of using sum of series or arrays, making the code lightweight & computing fast O(1).
HTF Volume Smoothing – Instead of a fixed denominator for computing α , a volume sum of the last 2 higher timeframe closed candles are used as denominator for our α weight factor. This is useful to review mayor trends like in daily, weekly, monthly.
Tension Multipliers (±σ) – Adjusts sensitivity to dispersion sigma parameter (volatility).
Oscillator Zone Fills – Visual cues for price positioning within the cloud range.
Posible Interpretations
As market within indicators relay on each individual edge, this are just some key ideas to glimpse how the indicator could be interpreted by the user:
📌 Price inside bands – Market is considered somehow "stable"; price is like resting from tension or "charging batteries" for volume spike moves.
📌 Price breaking outer bands – Potential breakout or extreme movement; watch for reversals or continuation from strong moves. Market is already in tension or generating it.
📌 Narrowing Bands – Decreasing volatility; expect contraction before expansion.
📌 Widening Bands – Increased volatility; prepare for high probability pull-back moves, specially to the center location of the bands (the mean) or the other side of them.
📌 Oscillator is just the interpretation of the price normalized across the Student-T distribution fitting "curve" using the location parameter, our Elastic Volume weighted mean (eμ) fixed at 0.5 value.
Final Thoughts
The Elastic Volume-Weighted Student-T Tension indicator provides a powerful, volume-sensitive alternative to traditional volatility bands. By integrating real-time volume analysis with an adaptive statistical model, incremental variance computation, in a relative price oscillator that can be overlayed in the chart as bands, it offers traders an edge in identifying momentum shifts, trend strength, and breakout potential. Think of the distribution as a relative "tension" rubber band in which price never leave so far alone.
DISCLAIMER:
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets.
The following indicator was made for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is, following TradingView's regulations. Use of indicator and their code are published for work and knowledge sharing. All access granted over it, their use, copy or re-use should mention authorship(s) and origin(s).
WARNING NOTICE!
THE INCLUDED FUNCTION MUST BE CONSIDERED FOR TESTING. The models included in the indicator have been taken from open sources on the web and some of them has been modified by the author, problems could occur at diverse data sceneries, compiler version, or any other externality.
ALMA 20, 50, 200The ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average) crossover strategy uses two ALMA lines (fast and slow) to generate buy/sell signals, aiming to reduce lag and noise compared to traditional moving averages, and is often combined with volume filters for improved accuracy.
Here's a more detailed explanation:
What it is:
The ALMA indicator is a moving average (MA) variant designed to reduce lag and improve responsiveness while maintaining a smooth curve, using a Gaussian filter.
How it works:
ALMA calculates two moving averages, one from left to right and one from right to left, and then processes the output through a customizable formula for increased smoothness or responsiveness.
Crossover Strategy:
A common ALMA strategy involves using two ALMA lines with different lengths (fast and slow). A buy signal is generated when the fast ALMA crosses above the slow ALMA, and a sell signal when the fast ALMA crosses below the slow ALMA.
Benefits:
ALMA offers advantages like reduced lag, smoothness, and filtering capabilities, making it useful for identifying trends and potential reversals.
Potential Risks:
Like any indicator, ALMA can produce false signals, so it's crucial to combine it with other indicators and analyze price action.
Parameters:
ALMA has parameters like "Length" (number of periods), "Sigma" (filter's range, affecting responsiveness), and "Offset" (for accessing data of different candles).
Other uses:
ALMA can also be used for trend identification, dynamic support and resistance, and combined with other indicators to enhance trading strategies.
Adaptive Trend FinderAdaptive Trend Finder - The Ultimate Trend Detection Tool
Introducing Adaptive Trend Finder, the next evolution of trend analysis on TradingView. This powerful indicator is an enhanced and refined version of Adaptive Trend Finder (Log), designed to offer even greater flexibility, accuracy, and ease of use.
What’s New?
Unlike the previous version, Adaptive Trend Finder allows users to fully configure and adjust settings directly within the indicator menu, eliminating the need to modify chart settings manually. A major improvement is that users no longer need to adjust the chart's logarithmic scale manually in the chart settings; this can now be done directly within the indicator options, ensuring a smoother and more efficient experience. This makes it easier to switch between linear and logarithmic scaling without disrupting the analysis. This provides a seamless user experience where traders can instantly adapt the indicator to their needs without extra steps.
One of the most significant improvements is the complete code overhaul, which now enables simultaneous visualization of both long-term and short-term trend channels without needing to add the indicator twice. This not only improves workflow efficiency but also enhances chart readability by allowing traders to monitor multiple trend perspectives at once.
The interface has been entirely redesigned for a more intuitive user experience. Menus are now clearer, better structured, and offer more customization options, making it easier than ever to fine-tune the indicator to fit any trading strategy.
Key Features & Benefits
Automatic Trend Period Selection: The indicator dynamically identifies and applies the strongest trend period, ensuring optimal trend detection with no manual adjustments required. By analyzing historical price correlations, it selects the most statistically relevant trend duration automatically.
Dual Channel Display: Traders can view both long-term and short-term trend channels simultaneously, offering a broader perspective of market movements. This feature eliminates the need to apply the indicator twice, reducing screen clutter and improving efficiency.
Fully Adjustable Settings: Users can customize trend detection parameters directly within the indicator settings. No more switching chart settings – everything is accessible in one place.
Trend Strength & Confidence Metrics: The indicator calculates and displays a confidence score for each detected trend using Pearson correlation values. This helps traders gauge the reliability of a given trend before making decisions.
Midline & Channel Transparency Options: Users can fine-tune the visibility of trend channels, adjusting transparency levels to fit their personal charting style without overwhelming the price chart.
Annualized Return Calculation: For daily and weekly timeframes, the indicator provides an estimate of the trend’s performance over a year, helping traders evaluate potential long-term profitability.
Logarithmic Adjustment Support: Adaptive Trend Finder is compatible with both logarithmic and linear charts. Traders who analyze assets like cryptocurrencies, where log scaling is common, can enable this feature to refine trend calculations.
Intuitive & User-Friendly Interface: The updated menu structure is designed for ease of use, allowing quick and efficient modifications to settings, reducing the learning curve for new users.
Why is this the Best Trend Indicator?
Adaptive Trend Finder stands out as one of the most advanced trend analysis tools available on TradingView. Unlike conventional trend indicators, which rely on fixed parameters or lagging signals, Adaptive Trend Finder dynamically adjusts its settings based on real-time market conditions. By combining automatic trend detection, dual-channel visualization, real-time performance metrics, and an intuitive user interface, this indicator offers an unparalleled edge in trend identification and trading decision-making.
Traders no longer have to rely on guesswork or manually tweak settings to identify trends. Adaptive Trend Finder does the heavy lifting, ensuring that users are always working with the strongest and most reliable trends. The ability to simultaneously display both short-term and long-term trends allows for a more comprehensive market overview, making it ideal for scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors alike.
With its state-of-the-art algorithms, fully customizable interface, and professional-grade accuracy, Adaptive Trend Finder is undoubtedly one of the most powerful trend indicators available.
Try it today and experience the future of trend analysis.
This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to assist traders in identifying trends. It does not guarantee future performance or profitability. Users should conduct their own research and apply proper risk management before making trading decisions.
// Created by Julien Eche - @Julien_Eche
Quantum Moving Average - QMA (TechnoBlooms)The Quantum Moving Average (QMA) is an innovative and advanced Moving Average model designed for traders seeking a more adaptive and precise trend analysis. Unlike traditional moving averages, it integrates a multi-timeframe approach, dynamically selecting and weighting four different timeframes to provide traders with more accurate and reliable trend prediction.
Key Features
Multi-Timeframe averaging
QMA calculates its value based on four different timeframes, offering a broader perspective on market trends.
Dynamic Weighting Mechanism
Unlike fixed weight Moving Averages, QMA assigns adaptive weightage to the selected timeframes, enhancing its responsiveness.
Superior Trend Detection
Provides a smoother and more reliable trend curve reducing noise or false signals.
Enhanced Market Analysis
QMA helps traders identify trend shifts earlier by incorporating multi-timeframe confluence.
Enhanced ROC - Savitzky–Golay [AIBitcoinTrend]👽 Adaptive ROC - Savitzky–Golay (AIBitcoinTrend)
The Adaptive ROC - Savitzky–Golay redefines traditional Rate of Change (ROC) analysis by integrating Savitzky–Golay smoothing with volatility-adaptive normalization, allowing it to dynamically adjust across different market conditions. Unlike the standard ROC, which reacts rigidly to price changes, this advanced version refines trend signals while maintaining responsiveness to volatility.
Additionally, this indicator features real-time divergence detection and an ATR-based trailing stop system, equipping traders with a powerful toolset for momentum analysis, reversals, and trend-following strategies.
👽 What Makes the Adaptive ROC - Savitzky–Golay Unique?
Unlike conventional ROC indicators, this enhanced version leverages volatility-adjusted scaling and Z-score normalization to improve signal consistency across different timeframes and assets.
✅ Savitzky–Golay Smoothing – Reduces noise while preserving trend structure for clearer signals.
✅ Volatility-Adaptive Normalization – Ensures that overbought and oversold thresholds remain consistent across different markets.
✅ Real-Time Divergence Detection – Identifies early bullish and bearish divergence signals for potential reversals.
✅ Crossovers & ATR-Based Trailing Stops – Implements intelligent trade management with dynamic stop levels.
👽 The Math Behind the Indicator
👾 Savitzky–Golay Smoothing
The indicator applies a Savitzky–Golay filter to the raw ROC data, creating a smoother curve while preserving key inflection points. This technique prevents excessive lag while maintaining the integrity of price movements.
sg_roc = (roc_raw + 3*roc_raw + 5*roc_raw + 7*roc_raw + 5*roc_raw + 3*roc_raw + roc_raw ) / 25
👾 Volatility-Adaptive Scaling
By dynamically adjusting the smoothed ROC using standard deviation, the indicator ensures that momentum readings remain relative to the market’s current volatility.
volatility = ta.stdev(close, rocLength)
dynamicFactor = 1 / (1 + volatility / 100)
advanced_sg_roc = sg_roc * dynamicFactor
👾 Z-Score Normalization
To maintain a stable Overbought/Oversold structure across different markets, the ROC is normalized using a Z-score transformation, ensuring its values remain statistically relevant.
rocMean = ta.wma(advanced_sg_roc, lenZ)
rocStdev = ta.stdev(advanced_sg_roc, lenZ)
zRoc = (advanced_sg_roc - rocMean) / rocStdev
👽 How Traders Can Use This Indicator
👾 Divergence Trading Strategy
Bullish Divergence Setup:
Price makes a lower low, while the ROC forms a higher low.
A buy signal is confirmed when the ROC starts rising.
Bearish Divergence Setup:
Price makes a higher high, while the ROC forms a lower high.
A sell signal is confirmed when the ROC starts declining.
👾 Buy & Sell Signals with Trailing Stop
Bullish Setup:
✅ ROC crosses above the bullish trigger level → Buy Signal.
✅ A bullish trailing stop is placed at Low - (ATR × Multiplier).
✅ Exit if price crosses below the stop.
Bearish Setup:
✅ ROC crosses below the bearish trigger level → Sell Signal.
✅ A bearish trailing stop is placed at High + (ATR × Multiplier).
✅ Exit if price crosses above the stop.
👽 Why It’s Useful for Traders
Savitzky–Golay Filtering – Retains essential trend details while eliminating excessive noise.
Volatility-Adjusted Normalization – Makes overbought/oversold levels universally reliable across markets.
Real-Time Divergence Alerts – Identifies early reversal signals for optimal entries and exits.
ATR-Based Risk Management – Ensures stops dynamically adapt to market conditions.
Works Across Markets & Timeframes - Suitable for stocks, forex, crypto, and futures trading.
👽 Indicator Settings
ROC Period – Defines the number of bars used for ROC calculation.
Smoothing Strength – Adjusts the degree of Savitzky–Golay filtering.
Volatility Scaling – Enables or disables the adaptive volatility factor.
Enable Divergence Analysis – Turns on real-time divergence detection.
Lookback Period – Specifies the pivot detection period for divergences.
Enable Crosses Signals – Activates trade signals based on ROC crossovers.
ATR Multiplier – Controls the sensitivity of the trailing stop.
Disclaimer: This indicator is designed for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Uptrick: Alpha TrendIntroduction
Uptrick: Alpha Trend is a comprehensive technical analysis indicator designed to provide traders with detailed insights into market trends, momentum, and risk metrics. It adapts to various trading styles—from quick scalps to longer-term positions—by dynamically adjusting its calculations and visual elements. By combining multiple smoothing techniques, advanced color schemes, and customizable data tables, the indicator offers a holistic view of market behavior.
Originality
The Alpha Trend indicator distinguishes itself by blending established technical concepts with innovative adaptations. It employs three different smoothing techniques tailored to specific trading modes (Scalp, Swing, and Position), and it dynamically adjusts its parameters to match the chosen mode. The indicator also offers a wide range of color palettes and multiple on-screen tables that display key metrics. This unique combination of features, along with its ability to adapt in real time, sets it apart as a versatile tool for both novice and experienced traders.
Features
1. Multi-Mode Trend Line
The indicator automatically selects a smoothing method based on the trading mode:
- Scalp Mode uses the Hull Moving Average (HMA) for rapid responsiveness.
- Swing Mode employs the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for balanced reactivity.
- Position Mode applies the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) for smoother, long-term trends.
Each method is chosen to best capture the price action dynamics appropriate to the trader’s timeframe.
2. Adaptive Momentum Thresholds
It tracks bullish and bearish momentum with counters that increment as the trend confirms directional movement. When these counters exceed a user-defined threshold, the indicator generates optional buy or sell signals. This approach helps filter out minor fluctuations and highlights significant market moves.
3. Gradient Fills
Two types of fills enhance visual clarity:
- Standard Gradient Fill displays ATR-based zones above and below the trend line, indicating potential bullish and bearish areas.
- Fading Gradient Fill creates a smooth transition between the trend line and the price, visually emphasizing the distance between them.
4. Bar Coloring and Signal Markers
The indicator can color-code bars based on market conditions—bullish, bearish, or neutral—allowing for immediate visual assessment. Additionally, signal markers such as buy and sell arrows are plotted when momentum thresholds are breached.
5. Comprehensive Data Tables
Uptrick: Alpha Trend offers several optional tables for detailed analysis:
- Insider Info: Displays key metrics like the current trend value, bullish/bearish momentum counts, and ATR.
- Indicator Metrics: Lists input settings such as trend length, damping, signal threshold, and net momentum.
- Market Analysis: Summarizes overall trend direction, trend strength, Sortino ratio, return, and volatility.
- Price & Trend Dynamics: Details price deviation from the trend, trend slope, and ATR ratio.
- Momentum & Volatility Insights: Presents RSI, standard deviation (volatility), and net momentum.
- Performance & Acceleration Metrics: Focuses on the Sortino ratio, trend acceleration, return, and trend strength.
Each table can be positioned flexibly on the chart, allowing traders to customize the layout according to their needs.
Why It Combines Specific Smoothing Techniques
Smoothing techniques are essential for filtering out market noise and revealing underlying trends. The indicator combines three smoothing methods for the following reasons:
- The Hull Moving Average (HMA) in Scalp Mode minimizes lag and responds quickly to price changes, which is critical for short-term trading.
- The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in Swing Mode gives more weight to recent data, striking a balance between speed and smoothness. This makes it suitable for mid-term trend analysis.
- The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) in Position Mode smooths out short-term fluctuations, offering a clear view of longer-term trends and reducing the impact of transient market volatility.
By using these specific methods in their respective trading modes, the indicator ensures that the trend line is appropriately responsive for the intended time frame, enhancing decision-making while maintaining clarity.
Inputs
1. Trend Length (Default: 30)
Defines the lookback period for the smoothing calculation. A shorter trend length results in a more responsive line, while a longer length produces a smoother, less volatile trend.
2. Trend Damping (Default: 0.75)
Controls the degree of smoothing applied to the trend line. Lower values lead to a smoother curve, whereas higher values increase sensitivity to price fluctuations.
3. Signal Strength Threshold (Default: 5)
Specifies the number of consecutive bullish or bearish bars required to trigger a signal. Higher thresholds reduce the frequency of signals, focusing on stronger moves.
4. Enable Bar Coloring (Default: True)
Toggles whether each price bar is colored to indicate bullish, bearish, or neutral conditions.
5. Enable Signals (Default: True)
When enabled, this option plots buy or sell arrows on the chart once the momentum thresholds are met.
6. Enable Standard Gradient Fill (Default: False)
Activates ATR-based gradient fills around the trend line to visualize potential support and resistance zones.
7. Enable Fading Gradient Fill (Default: True)
Draws a gradual color transition between the trend line and the current price, emphasizing their divergence.
8. Trading Mode (Options: Scalp, Swing, Position)
Determines which smoothing method and ATR period to use, adapting the indicator’s behavior to short-term, medium-term, or long-term trading.
9. Table Position Inputs
Allows users to select from nine possible chart positions (top, middle, bottom; left, center, right) for each data table.
10. Show Table Booleans
Separate toggles control the display of each table (Insider Info, Indicator Metrics, Market Analysis, and the three Deep Tables), enabling a customized view of the data.
Color Schemes
(Default) - The colors in the preview image of the indicator.
(Emerald)
(Sapphire)
(Golden Blaze)
(Mystic)
(Monochrome)
(Pastel)
(Vibrant)
(Earth)
(Neon)
Calculations
1. Trend Line Methods
- Scalp Mode: Utilizes the Hull Moving Average (HMA), which computes two weighted moving averages (one at half the length and one at full length), subtracts them, and then applies a final weighted average based on the square root of the length. This method minimizes lag and increases responsiveness.
- Swing Mode: Uses the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which assigns greater weight to recent prices, thus balancing quick reaction with smoothness.
- Position Mode: Applies the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to focus on longer-term trends by emphasizing the entire lookback period and reducing the impact of short-term volatility.
2. Momentum Tracking
The indicator maintains separate counters for bullish and bearish momentum. These counters increase as the trend confirms directional movement and reset when the trend reverses. When a counter exceeds the defined signal strength threshold, a corresponding signal (buy or sell) is triggered.
3. Volatility and ATR Zones
The Average True Range (ATR) is calculated using a period that adapts to the selected trading mode (shorter for Scalp, longer for Position). The ATR value is then used to define upper and lower zones around the trend line, highlighting the current level of market volatility.
4. Return and Trend Acceleration
- Return is calculated as the difference between the current and previous closing prices, providing a simple measure of price change.
- Trend Acceleration is derived from the change in the trend line’s movement (its first derivative) compared to the previous bar. This metric indicates whether the trend is gaining or losing momentum.
5. Sortino Ratio and Standard Deviation
- The Sortino Ratio measures risk-adjusted performance by comparing returns to downside volatility (only considering negative price changes).
- Standard Deviation is computed over the lookback period to assess the extent of price fluctuations, offering insights into market stability.
Usage
This indicator is suitable for various time frames and market instruments. Traders can enable or disable specific visual elements such as gradient fills, bar coloring, and signal markers based on their preference. For a minimalist approach, one might choose to display only the primary trend line. For a deeper analysis, enabling multiple tables can provide extensive data on momentum, volatility, trend dynamics, and risk metrics.
Important Note on Risk
Trading involves inherent risk, and no indicator can eliminate the uncertainty of the markets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. It is essential to use proper risk management, test any new tool thoroughly, and consult multiple sources or professional advice before making trading decisions.
Conclusion
Uptrick: Alpha Trend unifies a diverse set of calculations, adaptive smoothing techniques, and customizable visual elements into one powerful tool. By combining the Hull, Exponential, and Weighted Moving Averages, the indicator is able to provide a trend line that is both responsive and smooth, depending on the trading mode. Its advanced color schemes, gradient fills, and detailed data tables deliver a comprehensive analysis of market trends, momentum, and risk. Whether you are a short-term trader or a long-term investor, this indicator aims to clarify price action and assist you in making more informed trading decisions.
Volume Weighted HMA Index | mad_tiger_slayerTitle: 🍉 Volume Weighted HMA Index | mad_tiger_slayer 🐯
Description:
The Volume Weighted HMA Index is a cutting-edge indicator designed to enhance the accuracy and responsiveness of trading signals by combining the power of volume with the Hull Moving Average (HMA). This indicator adjusts the HMA based on volume-weighted price changes, providing faster and more reliable entry and exit signals while reducing the likelihood of false signals.
Intended and Best Uses:
Used for Strategy Creation:
Extremely Quick Entries and Exits
Intended for Higher timeframe however can be used for scalping paired with additional scripts.
Can be paired to create profitable strategies
TREND FOLLOWING NOT MEAN REVERTING!!!!
[Key Features:
Volume Integration: Dynamically adjusts the HMA using volume data to prioritize higher-volume bars, ensuring that market activity plays a crucial role in signal generation.
Enhanced Signal Clarity: The indicator calculates precise long and short signals by detecting volume-weighted HMA crossovers.
Bar Coloring: Visually differentiate bullish and bearish conditions with customizable bar colors, making trends easier to identify.
Custom Signal Plotting: Optional long and short signal markers for a clear visual representation of potential trade opportunities.
Highly Configurable: Adjust parameters such as volume length and calculation source to tailor the indicator to your trading preferences and strategy.
How It Works:
Volume Weighting: The indicator calculates the HMA using a volume-weighted price change, amplifying the influence of high-volume periods on the moving average.
Trend Identification: Crossovers of the volume-weighted HMA with zero determine trend direction, where:
A bullish crossover signals a long condition.
A bearish crossunder signals a short condition.
Visual Feedback: Bar colors and optional signal markers provide real-time insights into trend direction and trading signals.
Use Cases:
Trend Following: Quickly identify emerging trends with volume-accelerated HMA calculations.
Trade Confirmation: Use the indicator to confirm the strength and validity of your trade setups.
Custom Signal Integration: Combine this indicator with your existing strategies to refine entries and exits.
Notes:
Ensure that your trading instrument provides volume data for accurate calculations. If no volume is available, the script will notify you.
This script works best when combined with other indicators or trading frameworks for a comprehensive market view.
Inspired by the community and designed for traders looking to stay ahead of the curve, the Volume Weighted HMA Index is a versatile tool for traders of all levels.
Relative Risk MetricOVERVIEW
The Relative Risk Metric is designed to provide a relative measure of an asset's price, within a specified range, over a log scale.
PURPOSE
Relative Position Assessment: Visualizes where the current price stands within a user-defined range, adjusted for log scale.
Logarithmic Transformation: Utilizes the natural log to account for a log scale of prices, offering a more accurate representation of relative positions.
Calculation: The indicator calculates a normalized value via the function Relative Price = / log(UpperBound) − log(LowerBound) . The result is a value between 0 and 1, where 0 corresponds to the lower bound and 1 corresponds to the upper bound on a log scale.
VISUALIZATION
The indicator plots three series:
Risk Metric - a plot of the risk metric value that’s computed from an asset's relative price so that it lies within a logarithmic range between 0.0 & 1.0.
Smoothed Risk Metric - a plot of the risk metric that’s been smoothed.
Entry/Exit - a scatter plot for identified entry and exit. Values are expressed as percent and are coded as red being exit and green being entity. E.g., a red dot at 0.02 implies exit 2% of the held asset. A green dot at 0.01 implies use 1% of a designated capital reserve.
USAGE
Risk Metric
The risk metric transformation function has several parameters. These control aspects such as decay, sensitivity, bounds and time offset.
Decay - Acts as an exponent multiplier and controls how quickly dynamic bounds change as a function of the bar_index.
Time Offset - provides a centering effect of the exponential transformation relative to the current bar_index.
Sensitivity - controls how sensitive to time the dynamic bound adjustments should be.
Baseline control - Serves as an additive offset for dynamic bounds computation which ensures that bounds never become too small or negative.
UpperBound - provides headroom to accomodate growth an assets price from the baseline. For example, an upperbound of 3.5 accommodates a 3.5x growth from the baseline value (e.g., $100 -> $350).
LowerBound - provides log scale compression such that the overall metric provides meaningful insights for prices well below the average whilst avoiding extreme scaling. A lowerbound of 0.25 corresponds to a price that is approx one quarter of a normalised baseline in a log context.
Weighted Entry/Exit
This feature provides a weighted system for identifying DCA entry and exit. This weighting mechanism adjusts the metric's interpretation to highlight conditions based on dynamic thresholds and user-defined parameters to identify high-probability zones for entry/exit actions and provide risk-adjusted insights.
Weighting Parameters
The weighting function supports fine-tuning of the computed weighted entry/exit values
Base: determines the foundational multiplier for weighting the entry/exit value. A higher base amplifies the weighting effect, making the weighted values more pronounced. It acts as a scaling factor to control the overall magnitude of the weighting.
Exponent: adjusts the curve of the weighting function. Higher exponent values increase sensitivity, emphasizing differences between risk metric values near the entry or exit thresholds. This creates a steeper gradient for the computed entry/exit value making it more responsive to subtle shifts in risk levels.
Cut Off: specifies the maximum percentage (expressed as a fraction of 1.0) that the weighted entry/exit value can reach. This cap ensures the metric remains within a meaningful range and avoids skewing
Exit condition: Defines a threshold for exit. When the risk metric is below the exit threshold (but above the entry threshold) then entry/exit is neutral.
Entry condition: Defines a threshold for entry. When the risk metric is above the entry threshold (but below the exit threshold) then entry/exit is neutral.
Weighting Behaviour
For entry conditions - value is more heavily weighted as the metric approaches the entry threshold, emphasizing lower risk levels.
For exit conditions - value is more heavily weighted as the metric nears the exit threshold, emphasizing increased risk levels.
USE-CASES
Identifying potential overbought or oversold conditions within the specified logarithmic range.
Assisting in assessing how the current price compares to historical price levels on a logarithmic scale.
Guiding decision-making processes by providing insights into the relative positioning of prices within a log context
CONSIDERATIONS
Validation: It's recommended that backtesting over historical data be done before acting on any identified entry/exit values.
User Discretion: This indicator focus on price risk. Consider other risk factors and general market conditions as well.
MA Deviation Suite [InvestorUnknown]This indicator combines advanced moving average techniques with multiple deviation metrics to offer traders a versatile tool for analyzing market trends and volatility.
Moving Average Types :
SMA, EMA, HMA, DEMA, FRAMA, VWMA: Standard moving averages with different characteristics for smoothing price data.
Corrective MA: This method corrects the MA by considering the variance, providing a more responsive average to price changes.
f_cma(float src, simple int length) =>
ma = ta.sma(src, length)
v1 = ta.variance(src, length)
v2 = math.pow(nz(ma , ma) - ma, 2)
v3 = v1 == 0 or v2 == 0 ? 1 : v2 / (v1 + v2)
var tolerance = math.pow(10, -5)
float err = 1
// Gain Factor
float kPrev = 1
float k = 1
for i = 0 to 5000 by 1
if err > tolerance
k := v3 * kPrev * (2 - kPrev)
err := kPrev - k
kPrev := k
kPrev
ma := nz(ma , src) + k * (ma - nz(ma , src))
Fisher Least Squares MA: Aims to reduce lag by using a Fisher Transform on residuals.
f_flsma(float src, simple int len) =>
ma = src
e = ta.sma(math.abs(src - nz(ma )), len)
z = ta.sma(src - nz(ma , src), len) / e
r = (math.exp(2 * z) - 1) / (math.exp(2 * z) + 1)
a = (bar_index - ta.sma(bar_index, len)) / ta.stdev(bar_index, len) * r
ma := ta.sma(src, len) + a * ta.stdev(src, len)
Sine-Weighted MA & Cosine-Weighted MA: These give more weight to middle bars, creating a smoother curve; Cosine weights are shifted for a different focus.
Deviation Metrics :
Average Absolute Deviation (AAD) and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD): AAD calculates the average of absolute deviations from the MA, offering a measure of volatility. MAD uses the median, which can be less sensitive to outliers.
Standard Deviation (StDev): Measures the dispersion of prices from the mean.
Average True Range (ATR): Reflects market volatility by considering the day's range.
Average Deviation (adev): The average of previous deviations.
// Calculate deviations
float aad = f_aad(src, dev_len, ma) * dev_mul
float mad = f_mad(src, dev_len, ma) * dev_mul
float stdev = ta.stdev(src, dev_len) * dev_mul
float atr = ta.atr(dev_len) * dev_mul
float avg_dev = math.avg(aad, mad, stdev, atr)
// Calculated Median with +dev and -dev
float aad_p = ma + aad
float aad_m = ma - aad
float mad_p = ma + mad
float mad_m = ma - mad
float stdev_p = ma + stdev
float stdev_m = ma - stdev
float atr_p = ma + atr
float atr_m = ma - atr
float adev_p = ma + avg_dev
float adev_m = ma - avg_dev
// upper and lower
float upper = f_max4(aad_p, mad_p, stdev_p, atr_p)
float upper2 = f_min4(aad_p, mad_p, stdev_p, atr_p)
float lower = f_min4(aad_m, mad_m, stdev_m, atr_m)
float lower2 = f_max4(aad_m, mad_m, stdev_m, atr_m)
Determining Trend
The indicator generates trend signals by assessing where price stands relative to these deviation-based lines. It assigns a trend score by summing individual signals from each deviation measure. For instance, if price crosses above the MAD-based upper line, it contributes a bullish point; crossing below an ATR-based lower line contributes a bearish point.
When the aggregated trend score crosses above zero, it suggests a shift towards a bullish environment; crossing below zero indicates a bearish bias.
// Define Trend scores
var int aad_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, aad_p)
aad_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, aad_m)
aad_t := -1
var int mad_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, mad_p)
mad_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, mad_m)
mad_t := -1
var int stdev_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, stdev_p)
stdev_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, stdev_m)
stdev_t := -1
var int atr_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, atr_p)
atr_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, atr_m)
atr_t := -1
var int adev_t = 0
if ta.crossover(src, adev_p)
adev_t := 1
if ta.crossunder(src, adev_m)
adev_t := -1
int upper_t = src > upper ? 3 : 0
int lower_t = src < lower ? 0 : -3
int upper2_t = src > upper2 ? 1 : 0
int lower2_t = src < lower2 ? 0 : -1
float trend = aad_t + mad_t + stdev_t + atr_t + adev_t + upper_t + lower_t + upper2_t + lower2_t
var float sig = 0
if ta.crossover(trend, 0)
sig := 1
else if ta.crossunder(trend, 0)
sig := -1
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
The code integrates with a backtesting library that allows traders to:
Evaluate the strategy historically
Compare the indicator’s signals with a simple buy-and-hold approach
Generate performance metrics (e.g., mean returns, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio) to assess historical effectiveness.
Practical Usage and Calibration
Default settings are not optimized: The given parameters serve as a starting point for demonstration. Users should adjust:
len: Affects how smooth and lagging the moving average is.
dev_len and dev_mul: Influence the sensitivity of the deviation measures. Larger multipliers widen the bands, potentially reducing false signals but introducing more lag. Smaller multipliers tighten the bands, producing quicker signals but potentially more whipsaws.
This flexibility allows the trader to tailor the indicator for various markets (stocks, forex, crypto) and time frames.
Disclaimer
No guaranteed results: Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Market conditions can vary widely.
User responsibility: Traders should combine this indicator with other forms of analysis, appropriate risk management, and careful calibration of parameters.
Adjust Asset for Future Interest (Brazil)Este script foi criado para ajustar o preço de um ativo com base na taxa de juros DI11!, que reflete a expectativa do mercado para os juros futuros. O objetivo é mostrar como o valor do ativo seria influenciado se fosse diretamente ajustado pela variação dessa taxa de juros.
Como funciona?
Preço do Ativo
O script começa capturando o preço de fechamento do ativo que está sendo visualizado no gráfico. Esse é o ponto de partida para o cálculo.
Taxa de Juros DI11!
Em seguida, ele busca os valores diários da taxa DI11! no mercado. Esta taxa é uma referência de juros de curto prazo, usada para ajustes financeiros e projeções econômicas.
Fator de Ajuste
Com a taxa de juros DI11!, o script calcula um fator de ajuste simples:
Fator de Ajuste
=
1
+
DI11
100
Fator de Ajuste=1+
100
DI11
Esse fator traduz a taxa percentual em um multiplicador aplicado ao preço do ativo.
Cálculo do Ativo Ajustado
Multiplica o preço do ativo pelo fator de ajuste para obter o valor ajustado do ativo. Este cálculo mostra como o preço seria se fosse diretamente influenciado pela variação da taxa DI11!.
Exibição no Gráfico
O script plota o preço ajustado do ativo como uma linha azul no gráfico, com maior espessura para facilitar a visualização. O resultado é uma curva que reflete o impacto teórico da taxa de juros DI11! sobre o ativo.
Utilidade
Este indicador é útil para entender como as taxas de juros podem influenciar ativos financeiros de forma hipotética. Ele é especialmente interessante para analistas que desejam avaliar a relação entre o mercado de renda variável e as condições de juros no curto prazo.
This script was created to adjust the price of an asset based on the DI11! interest rate, which reflects the market's expectation for future interest rates. The goal is to show how the asset's value would be influenced if it were directly adjusted by the variation of this interest rate.
How does it work?
Asset Price
The script starts by capturing the closing price of the asset that is being viewed on the chart. This is the starting point for the calculation.
DI11! Interest Rate
The script then searches for the daily values of the DI11! rate in the market. This rate is a short-term interest reference, used for financial adjustments and economic projections.
Adjustment Factor
With the DI11! interest rate, the script calculates a simple adjustment factor:
Adjustment Factor
=
1
+
DI11
100
Adjustment Factor=1+
100
DI11
This factor translates the percentage rate into a multiplier applied to the asset's price.
Adjusted Asset Calculation
Multiplies the asset price by the adjustment factor to obtain the adjusted asset value. This calculation shows how the price would be if it were directly influenced by the variation of the DI11! rate.
Display on the Chart
The script plots the adjusted asset price as a blue line on the chart, with greater thickness for easier visualization. The result is a curve that reflects the theoretical impact of the DI11! interest rate on the asset.
Usefulness
This indicator is useful for understanding how interest rates can hypothetically influence financial assets. It is especially interesting for analysts who want to assess the relationship between the equity market and short-term interest rate conditions.
CauchyTrend [InvestorUnknown]The CauchyTrend is an experimental tool that leverages a Cauchy-weighted moving average combined with a modified Supertrend calculation. This unique approach provides traders with insight into trend direction, while also offering an optional ATR-based range analysis to understand how often the market closes within, above, or below a defined volatility band.
Core Concepts
Cauchy Distribution and Gamma Parameter
The Cauchy distribution is a probability distribution known for its heavy tails and lack of a defined mean or variance. It is characterized by two parameters: a location parameter (x0, often 0 in our usage) and a scale parameter (γ, "gamma").
Gamma (γ): Determines the "width" or scale of the distribution. Smaller gamma values produce a distribution more concentrated near the center, giving more weight to recent data points, while larger gamma values spread the weight more evenly across the sample.
In this indicator, gamma influences how much emphasis is placed on values closer to the current price versus those further away in time. This makes the resulting weighted average either more reactive or smoother, depending on gamma’s value.
// Cauchy PDF formula used for weighting:
// f(x; γ) = (1/(π*γ)) *
f_cauchyPDF(offset, gamma) =>
numerator = gamma * gamma
denominator = (offset * offset) + (gamma * gamma)
pdf = (1 / (math.pi * gamma)) * (numerator / denominator)
pdf
A chart showing different Cauchy PDFs with various gamma values, illustrating how gamma affects the weight distribution.
Cauchy-Weighted Moving Average (CWMA)
Using the Cauchy PDF, we calculate normalized weights to create a custom Weighted Moving Average. Each bar in the lookback period receives a weight according to the Cauchy PDF. The result is a Cauchy Weighted Average (cwm_avg) that differs from typical moving averages, potentially offering unique sensitivity to price movements.
// Summation of weighted prices using Cauchy distribution weights
cwm_avg = 0.0
for i = 0 to length - 1
w_norm = array.get(weights, i) / sum_w
cwm_avg += array.get(values, i) * w_norm
Supertrend with a Cauchy Twist
The indicator integrates a modified Supertrend calculation using the cwm_avg as its reference point. The Supertrend logic typically sets upper and lower bands based on volatility (ATR), and flips direction when price crosses these bands.
In this case, the Cauchy-based average replaces the usual baseline, aiming to capture trend direction via a different weighting mechanism.
When price closes above the upper band, the trend is considered bullish; closing below the lower band signals a bearish trend.
ATR Stats Range (Optional)
Beyond the fundamental trend detection, the indicator optionally computes ATR-based stats to understand price distribution relative to a volatility corridor centered on the cwm_avg line:
Volatility Range:
Defined as cwm_avg ± (ATR * atr_mult), this range creates upper and lower bands. Turning on atr_stats computes how often the daily close falls: Within the range, Above the upper ATR boundary, Below the lower ATR boundary, Within the range but above cwm_avg, Within the range but below cwm_avg
These statistics can help traders gauge how the market behaves relative to this volatility envelope and possibly identify if the market tends to revert to the mean or break out more often.
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
The code is integrated with a backtesting library that allows users to assess strategy performance historically:
Equity Curve Calculation: Compares CauchyTrend-based signals against the underlying asset.
Performance Metrics Table: Once enabled, displays key metrics such as mean returns, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and more, comparing the strategy to a simple Buy & Hold approach.
Alerts and Notifications
The indicator provides Alerts for key events:
Long Alert: Triggered when the trend flips bullish.
Short Alert: Triggered when the trend flips bearish.
Customization and Calibration
Important: The default parameters are not optimized for any specific instrument or time frame. Traders should:
Adjust the length and gamma parameters to influence how sharply or broadly the cwm_avg reacts to price changes.
Tune the atr_len and atr_mult for the Supertrend logic to better match the asset’s volatility characteristics.
Experiment with atr_stats on/off to see if that additional volatility distribution information provides helpful insights.
Traders may find certain sets of parameters that align better with their preferred trading style, risk tolerance, or asset volatility profile.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. Past performance in backtesting does not guarantee future results. Always perform due diligence, and consider consulting a qualified financial advisor before trading.
Volume Weighted Jurik Moving AverageThe Jurik Moving Average (JMA) is a smoothing indicator that is designed to improve upon traditional moving averages by reducing lag while enhancing responsiveness to price movements. It was created by Jurik Research and is often used to track trends with greater accuracy and minimal delay. The JMA is based on a combination of **exponential smoothing** and **phase adjustments**, making it more adaptable to varying market conditions compared to standard moving averages like SMA (Simple Moving Average) or EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
The core advantage of the JMA lies in its ability to adjust to price changes without excessively lagging, which is a common issue with traditional moving averages. It incorporates a **phase parameter** that can be adjusted to smooth out the signal further or make it more responsive to recent price action. This phase adjustment allows traders to fine-tune the JMA's sensitivity to the market, optimizing it for different timeframes and trading strategies.
How JMA Works and Benefits of Adding Volume Weight
The JMA works by applying a **smoothing process** to price data while allowing for adjustments through its phase and power parameters. These parameters help control the degree of smoothness and responsiveness. The result is a curve that follows price trends closely but with less lag than traditional moving averages.
Adding **volume weighting** to the JMA enhances its ability to reflect market activity more accurately. Just like the **Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)**, volume-weighting adjusts the moving average based on the strength of trading volume, meaning that price movements with higher volume will have a greater influence on the JMA. This can help traders identify trends that are supported by significant market participation, making the moving average more reliable.
The benefit of a volume-weighted JMA is that it responds more effectively to price movements that occur during periods of high trading volume, which are often considered more significant. This can help traders avoid false signals that may occur during low-volume periods when price changes may not reflect true market sentiment. By incorporating volume into the calculation, the JMA becomes more aligned with real market conditions, enhancing its effectiveness for trend identification and decision-making.
MadTrend [InvestorUnknown]The MadTrend indicator is an experimental tool that combines the Median and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) to generate signals, much like the popular Supertrend indicator. In addition to identifying Long and Short positions, MadTrend introduces RISK-ON and RISK-OFF states for each trade direction, providing traders with nuanced insights into market conditions.
Core Concepts
Median and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Median: The middle value in a sorted list of numbers, offering a robust measure of central tendency less affected by outliers.
Median Absolute Deviation (MAD): Measures the average distance between each data point and the median, providing a robust estimation of volatility.
Supertrend-like Functionality
MadTrend utilizes the median and MAD in a manner similar to how Supertrend uses averages and volatility measures to determine trend direction and potential reversal points.
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF States
RISK-ON: Indicates favorable conditions for entering or holding a position in the current trend direction.
RISK-OFF: Suggests caution, signaling RISK-ON end and potential trend weakening or reversal.
Calculating MAD
The mad function calculates the median of the absolute deviations from the median, providing a robust measure of volatility.
// Function to calculate the Median Absolute Deviation (MAD)
mad(series float src, simple int length) =>
med = ta.median(src, length) // Calculate median
abs_deviations = math.abs(src - med) // Calculate absolute deviations from median
ta.median(abs_deviations, length) // Return the median of the absolute deviations
MADTrend Function
The MADTrend function calculates the median and MAD-based upper (med_p) and lower (med_m) bands. It determines the trend direction based on price crossing these bands.
MADTrend(series float src, simple int length, simple float mad_mult) =>
// Calculate MAD (volatility measure)
mad_value = mad(close, length)
// Calculate the MAD-based moving average by scaling the price data with MAD
median = ta.median(close, length)
med_p = median + (mad_value * mad_mult)
med_m = median - (mad_value * mad_mult)
var direction = 0
if ta.crossover(src, med_p)
direction := 1
else if ta.crossunder(src, med_m)
direction := -1
Trend Direction and Signals
Long Position (direction = 1): When the price crosses above the upper MAD band (med_p).
Short Position (direction = -1): When the price crosses below the lower MAD band (med_m).
RISK-ON: When the price moves further in the direction of the trend (beyond median +- MAD) after the initial signal.
RISK-OFF: When the price retraces towards the median, signaling potential weakening of the trend.
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF States
RISK-ON LONG: Price moves above the upper band after a Long signal, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
RISK-OFF LONG: Price falls back below the upper band, suggesting potential weakness in the bullish trend.
RISK-ON SHORT: Price moves below the lower band after a Short signal, indicating strengthening bearish momentum.
RISK-OFF SHORT: Price rises back above the lower band, suggesting potential weakness in the bearish trend.
Picture below show example RISK-ON periods which can be identified by “cloud”
Note: Highlighted areas on the chart indicating RISK-ON and RISK-OFF periods for both Long and Short positions.
Implementation Details
Inputs and Parameters:
Source (input_src): The price data used for calculations (e.g., close, open, high, low).
Median Length (length): The number of periods over which the median and MAD are calculated.
MAD Multiplier (mad_mult): Determines the distance of the upper and lower bands from the median.
Calculations:
Median and MAD are recalculated each period based on the specified length.
Upper (med_p) and Lower (med_m) Bands are computed by adding and subtracting the scaled MAD from the median.
Visual representation of the indicator on a price chart:
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
The MadTrend indicator includes a Backtesting Mode with a performance metrics table to evaluate its effectiveness compared to a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Equity Calculation:
Calculates the equity curve based on the signals generated by the indicator.
Performance Metrics:
Metrics such as Mean Returns, Standard Deviation, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio are computed.
The metrics are displayed in a table for both the strategy and the buy-and-hold approach.
Note: Due to the use of labels and plot shapes, automatic chart scaling may not function ideally in Backtest Mode.
Alerts and Notifications
MadTrend provides alert conditions to notify traders of significant events:
Trend Change Alerts
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF Alerts - Provides real-time notifications about the RISK-ON and RISK-OFF states for proactive trade management.
Customization and Calibration
Default Settings: The provided default settings are experimental and not optimized. They serve as a starting point for users.
Parameter Adjustment: Traders are encouraged to calibrate the indicator's parameters (e.g., length, mad_mult) to suit their specific trading style and the characteristics of the asset being analyzed.
Source Input: The indicator allows for different price inputs (open, high, low, close, etc.), offering flexibility in how the median and MAD are calculated.
Important Notes
Market Conditions: The effectiveness of the MadTrend indicator can vary across different market conditions. Regular calibration is recommended.
Backtest Limitations: Backtesting results are historical and do not guarantee future performance.
Risk Management: Always apply sound risk management practices when using any trading indicator.
Honest Volatility Grid [Honestcowboy]The Honest Volatility Grid is an attempt at creating a robust grid trading strategy but without standard levels.
Normal grid systems use price levels like 1.01;1.02;1.03;1.04... and place an order at each of these levels. In this program instead we create a grid using keltner channels using a long term moving average.
🟦 IS THIS EVEN USEFUL?
The idea is to have a more fluid style of trading where levels expand and follow price and do not stick to precreated levels. This however also makes each closed trade different instead of using fixed take profit levels. In this strategy a take profit level can even be a loss. It is useful as a strategy because it works in a different way than most strategies, making it a good tool to diversify a portfolio of trading strategies.
🟦 STRATEGY
There are 10 levels below the moving average and 10 above the moving average. For each side of the moving average the strategy uses 1 to 3 orders maximum (3 shorts at top, 3 longs at bottom). For instance you buy at level 2 below moving average and you increase position size when level 6 is reached (a cheaper price) in order to spread risks.
By default the strategy exits all trades when the moving average is reached, this makes it a mean reversion strategy. It is specifically designed for the forex market as these in my experience exhibit a lot of ranging behaviour on all the timeframes below daily.
There is also a stop loss at the outer band by default, in case price moves too far from the mean.
What are the risks?
In case price decides to stay below the moving average and never reaches the outer band one trade can create a very substantial loss, as the bands will keep following price and are not at a fixed level.
Explanation of default parameters
By default the strategy uses a starting capital of 25000$, this is realistic for retail traders.
Lot sizes at each level are set to minimum lot size 0.01, there is no reason for the default to be risky, if you want to risk more or increase equity curve increase the number at your own risk.
Slippage set to 20 points: that's a normal 2 pip slippage you will find on brokers.
Fill limit assumtion 20 points: so it takes 2 pips to confirm a fill, normal forex spread.
Commission is set to 0.00005 per contract: this means that for each contract traded there is a 5$ or whatever base currency pair has as commission. The number is set to 0.00005 because pinescript does not know that 1 contract is 100000 units. So we divide the number by 100000 to get a realistic commission.
The script will also multiply lot size by 100000 because pinescript does not know that lots are 100000 units in forex.
Extra safety limit
Normally the script uses strategy.exit() to exit trades at TP or SL. But because these are created 1 bar after a limit or stop order is filled in pinescript. There are strategy.orders set at the outer boundaries of the script to hedge against that risk. These get deleted bar after the first order is filled. Purely to counteract news bars or huge spikes in price messing up backtest.
🟦 VISUAL GOODIES
I've added a market profile feature to the edge of the grid. This so you can see in which grid zone market has been the most over X bars in the past. Some traders may wish to only turn on the strategy whenever the market profile displays specific characteristics (ranging market for instance).
These simply count how many times a high, low, or close price has been in each zone for X bars in the past. it's these purple boxes at the right side of the chart.
🟦 Script can be fully automated to MT5
There are risk settings in lot sizes or % for alerts and symbol settings provided at the bottom of the indicator. The script will send alert to MT5 broker trying to mimic the execution that happens on tradingview. There are always delays when using a bridge to MT5 broker and there could be errors so be mindful of that. This script sends alerts in format so they can be read by tradingview.to which is a bridge between the platforms.
Use the all alert function calls feature when setting up alerts and make sure you provide the right webhook if you want to use this approach.
Almost every setting in this indicator has a tooltip added to it. So if any setting is not clear hover over the (?) icon on the right of the setting.
Equilibrium Candles + Pattern [Honestcowboy]The Equilibrium Candles is a very simple trend continuation or reversal strategy depending on your settings.
How an Equilibrium Candle is created:
We calculate the equilibrium by measuring the mid point between highest and lowest point over X amount of bars back.
This now is the opening price for each bar and will be considered a green bar if price closes above equilibrium.
Bars get shaded by checking if regular candle close is higher than open etc. So you still see what the normal candles are doing.
Why are they useful?
The equilibrium is calculated the same as Baseline in Ichimoku Cloud. Which provides a point where price is very likely to retrace to. This script visualises the distance between close and equilibrium using candles. To provide a clear visual of how price relates to this equilibrium point.
This also makes it more straightforward to develop strategies based on this simple concept and makes the trader purely focus on this relationship and not think of any Ichimoku Cloud theories.
Script uses a very simple pattern to enter trades:
It will count how many candles have been one directional (above or below equilibrium)
Based on user input after X candles (7 by default) script shows we are in a trend (bg colors)
On the first pullback (candle closes on other side of equilibrium) it will look to enter a trade.
Places a stop order at the high of the candle if bullish trend or reverse if bearish trend.
If based on user input after X opposite candles (2 by default) order is not filled will cancel it and look for a new trend.
Use Reverse Logic:
There is a use reverse logic in the settings which on default is turned on. It will turn long orders into short orders making the stop orders become limit orders. It will use the normal long SL as target for the short. And TP as stop for the short. This to provide a means to reverse equity curve in case your pair is mean reverting by nature instead of trending.
ATR Calculation:
Averaged ATR, which is using ta.percentile_nearest_rank of 60% of a normal ATR (14 period) over the last 200 bars. This in simple words finds a value slightly above the mean ATR value over that period.
Big Candle Exit Logic:
Using Averaged ATR the script will check if a candle closes X times that ATR from the equilibrium point. This is then considered an overextension and all trades are closed.
This is also based on user input.
Simple trade management logic:
Checks if the user has selected to use TP and SL, or/and big candle exit.
Places a TP and SL based on averaged ATR at a multiplier based on user Input.
Closes trade if there is a Big Candle Exit or an opposite direction signal from indicator.
Script can be fully automated to MT5
There are risk settings in % and symbol settings provided at the bottom of the indicator. The script will send alert to MT5 broker trying to mimic the execution that happens on tradingview. There are always delays when using a bridge to MT5 broker and there could be errors so be mindful of that. This script sends alerts in format so they can be read by tradingview.to which is a bridge between the platforms.
Use the all alert function calls feature when setting up alerts and make sure you provide the right webhook if you want to use this approach.
There is also a simple buy and sell alert feature if you don't want to fully automate but still get alerts. These are available in the dropdown when creating an alert.
Almost every setting in this indicator has a tooltip added to it. So if any setting is not clear hover over the (?) icon on the right of the setting.
The backtest uses a 4% exposure per trade and a 10 point slippage. I did not include a commission cause I'm not personaly aware what the commissions are on most forex brokers. I'm only aware of minimal slippage to use in a backtest. Trading conditions vary per broker you use so always pay close attention to trading costs on your own broker. Use a full automation at your own risk and discretion and do proper backtesting.
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop [InvestorUnknown]The Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop (HTVS) is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines the smoothing capabilities of the Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA) with a volatility-based stop mechanism. This indicator is designed to identify trends and reversals while accounting for market volatility.
Hyperbolic Tangent Moving Average (HTMA):
The HTMA is at the heart of the HTVS. This custom moving average uses a hyperbolic tangent transformation to smooth out price fluctuations, focusing on significant trends while ignoring minor noise. The transformation reduces the sensitivity to sharp price movements, providing a clearer view of the underlying market direction.
The hyperbolic tangent function (tanh) is commonly used in mathematical fields like calculus, machine learning and signal processing due to its properties of “squashing” inputs into a range between -1 and 1. The function provides a non-linear transformation that can reduce the impact of extreme values while retaining a certain level of smoothness.
tanh(x) =>
e_x = math.exp(x)
e_neg_x = math.exp(-x)
(e_x - e_neg_x) / (e_x + e_neg_x)
The HTMA is calculated by applying a non-linear transformation to the difference between the source price and its simple moving average, then adjusting it using the standard deviation of the price data. The result is a moving average that better tracks the real market direction.
htma(src, len, mul) =>
tanh_src = tanh((src - ta.sma(src, len)) * mul) * ta.stdev(src, len) + ta.sma(src, len)
htma = ta.sma(tanh_src, len)
Important Note: The Hyperbolic Tangent function becomes less accurate with very high prices. For assets priced above 100,000, the results may deteriorate, and for prices exceeding 1 million, the function may stop functioning properly. Therefore, this indicator is better suited for assets with lower prices or lower price ratios.
Volatility Stop (VolStop):
HTVS employs a Volatility Stop mechanism based on the Average True Range (ATR). This stop dynamically adjusts based on market volatility, ensuring that the indicator adapts to changing conditions and avoids false signals in choppy markets.
The VolStop follows the price, with a higher ATR pushing the stop farther away to avoid premature exits during volatile periods. Conversely, when volatility is low, the stop tightens to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
The ATR Length and ATR Multiplier are customizable, allowing traders to control how tightly or loosely the stop follows the price.
pine_volStop(src, atrlen, atrfactor) =>
if not na(src)
var max = src
var min = src
var uptrend = true
var float stop = na
atrM = nz(ta.atr(atrlen) * atrfactor, ta.tr)
max := math.max(max, src)
min := math.min(min, src)
stop := nz(uptrend ? math.max(stop, max - atrM) : math.min(stop, min + atrM), src)
uptrend := src - stop >= 0.0
if uptrend != nz(uptrend , true)
max := src
min := src
stop := uptrend ? max - atrM : min + atrM
Backtest Mode:
HTVS includes a built-in backtest mode, allowing traders to evaluate the indicator's performance on historical data. In backtest mode, it calculates the cumulative equity curve and compares it to a simple buy and hold strategy.
Backtesting features can be adjusted to focus on specific signal types, such as Long Only, Short Only, or Long & Short.
An optional Buy and Hold Equity plot provides insight into how the indicator performs relative to simply holding the asset over time.
The indicator includes a Hints Table, which provides useful recommendations on how to best display the indicator for different use cases. For example, when using the overlay mode, it suggests displaying the indicator in the same pane as price action, while backtest mode is recommended to be used in a separate pane for better clarity.
The Hyperbolic Tangent Volatility Stop offers traders a balanced approach to trend-following, using the robustness of the HTMA for smoothing and the adaptability of the Volatility Stop to avoid whipsaw trades during volatile periods. With its backtesting features and alert system, this indicator provides a comprehensive toolkit for active traders.
Uptrick: Market MoodsThe "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool designed for the TradingView platform. It combines three powerful indicators—Relative Strength Index (RSI), Average True Range (ATR), and Bollinger Bands—into one cohesive framework, aimed at helping traders better understand and interpret market sentiment. By capturing shifts in the emotional climate of the market, it provides a holistic view of market conditions, which can range from calm to stressed or even highly excited. This multi-dimensional analysis tool stands apart from traditional single-indicator approaches by offering a more complete picture of market dynamics, making it a valuable resource for traders looking to anticipate and react to changes in market behavior.
The RSI in the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is used to measure momentum. RSI is an essential component of many technical analysis strategies, and in this tool, it is used to identify potential market extremes. When RSI values are high, they indicate an overbought condition, meaning the market may be approaching a peak. Conversely, low RSI values suggest an oversold condition, signaling that the market could be nearing a bottom. These extremes provide crucial clues about shifts in market sentiment, helping traders gauge whether the current emotional state of the market is likely to result in a reversal. This understanding is pivotal in predicting whether the market is transitioning from calm to stressed or from excited to overbought.
The Average True Range adds another layer to this analysis by offering insights into market volatility. Volatility is a key factor in understanding the mood of the market, as periods of high volatility often reflect high levels of excitement or stress, while low volatility typically indicates a calm, steady market. ATR is calculated based on the range of price movements over a given period, and the higher the value, the more volatile the market is. The "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator uses ATR to dynamically gauge volatility levels, helping traders understand whether the market is currently moving in a way that aligns with its emotional mood. For example, an increase in ATR accompanied by an RSI value that indicates overbought conditions could suggest that the market is in a highly excited state, with the potential for either strong momentum continuation or a sharp reversal.
Bollinger Bands complement these tools by providing visual cues about price volatility and the range within which the market is likely to move. Bollinger Bands plot two standard deviations away from a simple moving average of the price. This banding technique helps traders visualize how far the price is likely to deviate from its average over a certain period. The "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator uses Bollinger Bands to establish price boundaries and identify breakout conditions. When prices break above the upper band or below the lower band, it often signals that the market is either highly stressed or excited. This breakout condition serves as a visual representation of the market mood, alerting traders to moments when prices are moving beyond typical ranges and when significant emotional shifts are occurring in the market.
Technically, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator has been developed using TradingView’s Pine Script language, a highly efficient language for building custom indicators. It employs functions like ta.rsi, ta.atr, and ta.sma to perform the necessary calculations. The use of these built-in functions ensures that the calculations are both accurate and efficient, allowing the indicator to operate in real-time without lagging, even in volatile market conditions. The ta.rsi function is used to compute the Relative Strength Index, while ta.atr calculates the Average True Range, and ta.sma is used to smooth out price data for the Bollinger Bands. These functions are applied dynamically within the script, allowing the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator to respond to changes in market conditions in real time.
The user interface of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is designed to provide a visually intuitive experience. The market mood is color-coded on the chart, making it easy for traders to identify whether the market is calm, stressed, or excited at a glance. This feature is especially useful for traders who need to make quick decisions in fast-moving markets. Additionally, the indicator includes an interactive table that updates in real-time, showing the most recent mood state and its frequency. This provides valuable statistical insights into market behavior over specific time frames, helping traders track the dominant emotional state of the market. Whether the market is in a prolonged calm state or rapidly transitioning through moods, this real-time feedback offers actionable data that can help traders adjust their strategies accordingly.
The RSI component of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator helps detect the speed and direction of price movements, offering insight into whether the market is approaching extreme conditions. By providing signals based on overbought and oversold levels, the RSI helps traders decide whether to enter or exit positions. The ATR element acts as a volatility gauge, dynamically adjusting traders’ expectations in response to changes in market volatility. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands help identify trends and potential breakout conditions, serving as an additional confirmation tool that highlights when the price has moved beyond normal boundaries, indicating heightened market excitement or stress.
Despite the robust capabilities of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator, it does have limitations. In markets affected by sudden shifts, such as those driven by major news events or external economic factors, the indicator’s performance may not always be reliable. These external factors can cause rapid mood swings that are difficult for any technical analysis tool to fully anticipate. Additionally, the indicator’s complexity may pose a learning curve for novice traders, particularly those who are unfamiliar with the concepts of RSI, ATR, and Bollinger Bands. However, with practice, traders can become proficient in using the tool to its full potential, leveraging the insights it provides to better navigate market shifts.
For traders seeking a deeper understanding of market sentiment, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is an invaluable resource. It is recommended for those dealing with medium to high volatility instruments, where understanding emotional shifts can offer a strategic advantage. While it can be used on its own, integrating it with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis and additional technical indicators, can enhance its effectiveness. By confirming signals with other tools, traders can reduce the likelihood of false signals and improve their overall trading strategy.
To further enhance the accuracy of the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator, it can be integrated with volume-based tools like Volume Profile or On-Balance Volume (OBV). This combination allows traders to confirm the moods identified by the indicator with volume data, providing additional confirmation of market sentiment. For example, when the market is in an excited mood, an increase in trading volume could reinforce the reliability of that signal. Conversely, if the market is stressed but volume remains low, traders may want to proceed with caution. Using multiple indicators together creates a more comprehensive trading approach, helping traders better manage risk and make informed decisions based on multiple data points.
In conclusion, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator is a powerful and unique addition to the suite of technical analysis tools available on TradingView. It provides traders with a multi-dimensional view of market sentiment by combining the analytical strengths of RSI, ATR, and Bollinger Bands into a single tool. Its ability to capture and interpret the emotional mood of the market makes it an essential tool for traders seeking to gain an edge in understanding market behavior. While the indicator has certain limitations, particularly in rapidly shifting markets, its ability to provide real-time insights into market sentiment is a valuable asset for traders of all experience levels. Used in conjunction with other tools and sound trading practices, the "Uptrick: Market Moods" indicator offers a comprehensive solution for navigating the complexities of financial markets.
