LV Cop&RMA w HeikinA buy signal is generated when the indicator turns upwards from previous indicator level.
A sell signal is generated when the indicator turns downwards from previous indicator level.
The indicator is trend-following, and based on averages, so by its nature it doesn't pick a bottom, but rather shows when a rally has started.
It is designed for daily period use.
Frequent buy/sell signals can occur on low and high levels.
It is designed with the mentality of Coppock curve. Rma is used instead of Wma and Heikin-Ashi closing price is used instead of standard closing price.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "curve"
[blackcat] L2 Ehlers RSI with NETLevel: 2
Background
John F. Ehlers introuced RSI with Noise Elimination Technology (NET) in Dec, 2020.
Function
Many indicators produce more or less noisy output, resulting in false or delayed signals. Dr. Ehlers proposed “Noise Elimination Technology,” in Dec, 2020. He introduces using a Kendall correlation to reduce indicator noise and provide better clarification of the indicator direction. This approach attempts to reduce noise without using smoothing filters, which tend to introduce indicator lag and therefore, delayed decisions. With this script, I use his “MyRSI” indicator, which he introduced in his May 2018 article in S&C, by adding some Tradingview pine v4 code for the noise elimination technology. The indicator plots the MyRSI value as well as the value after applying NET to MyRSI. This de-noising technology uses the Kendall correlation of the indicator with a rising slope. Compared with a lowpass filter, this method does not delay the signals.
The technology appears to work well in this example for removing the noise. But note that the NET function is not meant as a replacement of a lowpass or smoothing filter; its output is always in the -1 to +1 range, so it can be used for de-noising oscillators, but not, for instance, to generate a smoothed version of the price curve.
Key Signal
NET --> Ehlers RSI with NET fast line
Trigger --> Ehlers RSI with NET slow line
Pros and Cons
100% John F. Ehlers definition translation, even variable names are the same. This help readers who would like to use pine to read his book.
Remarks
The 99th script for Blackcat1402 John F. Ehlers Week publication.
Readme
In real life, I am a prolific inventor. I have successfully applied for more than 60 international and regional patents in the past 12 years. But in the past two years or so, I have tried to transfer my creativity to the development of trading strategies. Tradingview is the ideal platform for me. I am selecting and contributing some of the hundreds of scripts to publish in Tradingview community. Welcome everyone to interact with me to discuss these interesting pine scripts.
The scripts posted are categorized into 5 levels according to my efforts or manhours put into these works.
Level 1 : interesting script snippets or distinctive improvement from classic indicators or strategy. Level 1 scripts can usually appear in more complex indicators as a function module or element.
Level 2 : composite indicator/strategy. By selecting or combining several independent or dependent functions or sub indicators in proper way, the composite script exhibits a resonance phenomenon which can filter out noise or fake trading signal to enhance trading confidence level.
Level 3 : comprehensive indicator/strategy. They are simple trading systems based on my strategies. They are commonly containing several or all of entry signal, close signal, stop loss, take profit, re-entry, risk management, and position sizing techniques. Even some interesting fundamental and mass psychological aspects are incorporated.
Level 4 : script snippets or functions that do not disclose source code. Interesting element that can reveal market laws and work as raw material for indicators and strategies. If you find Level 1~2 scripts are helpful, Level 4 is a private version that took me far more efforts to develop.
Level 5 : indicator/strategy that do not disclose source code. private version of Level 3 script with my accumulated script processing skills or a large number of custom functions. I had a private function library built in past two years. Level 5 scripts use many of them to achieve private trading strategy.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & Kase Dev Stops This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
Please, use it only for learning or paper trading. Do not for real trading.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Cycle Swing MomentumAdaptive Ultra-Smooth Momentum indicator
The Cycle-Swing-Indicator "CSI" provides an optimized "momentum" oscillator based on the current dominant cycle by looking at the swing of the dominant cycle instead of the raw source momentum. Offering the following improvements:
Smoothness
Zero delay
Sharpness at turning points
Robust and adaptable to market conditions
Accurate deviation detection
The following common problems with standard indicators are solved by this indicator:
First, normal indicators introduce a lot of false signals due to their noisy signal line. Second, to compensate for the noise, one would normally try to add some smoothing. But this only results in adding more delay to the indicator, which makes it almost useless. Third, standard indicators require a length adjustment to derive reliable signals. However, you never know how to set the right length.
All three problems described above are solved by the developed adaptive cyclic algorithm.
The above chart shows current Bitcoin 4h data from the last days as of writing with the proposed signal reading for this indicator. The standard momentum indicator is included for comparison.
HOW TO USE
The indicator works without any parameter and can be applied to any chart and any time-frame. It will adapt automatically to the Dominant Cycle and use the dominant cycle of the source data to derive the ultra smooth momentum curve. Adaptive upper/lower bands are included and highlight areas with extreme readings. Automatic divergence detection can be turned off/on.
HOW TO READ
The indicator can be used like any oscillator. In addition, it provides adaptive high and low bands.
* Look for turns above the upper/lower bands
* Look for divergences between source and signals line
Further reading/Original source:
The indicator uses the dominant cycle to optimize signal, smoothing and cyclic memory. To get more in-depth information on the Cycle Swing Indicator, please read Chapter 10 "Cycle Swing Indicator: Trading the swing of the dominant cycle" of the book "Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm, Part 1" available at your favorite book store.
Related ideas:
Please also check the cyclic RSI indicator which also uses cyclic information to improve the signal.
Bitcoin M2 supply adjusted priceThis script plots bitcoin candles adjusted by M2 supply (blue line), helping the trader to obtain insight of new support/resistance levels adjusted by M2 supply.
Note: As it was not possible to make the price adjust automatically by the last M2 value (pinescript limitation, I guess), the input parameter "M2Last" must be updated manually observing the last M2 value in blue curve.
Future Value: Compound Interest with Regular Deposits [racer8]This isn't no ordinary FV equation, this one takes into account regular deposits. I had to derive this equation myself.
This calculator calculates future value based on the following inputs:
- Present value
- Yearly return
- Yearly deposit
- years
Application: Can be used to determine you're future value of your equity curve.
C = c*m^n + a*m*{(m^(n-1)-1)/(m-1)}
C = Future value
c = present value
m = yearly return multiplier
n = years
a = yearly deposit amount
Enjoy :)
Ichimoku Cloud using Tilson T3 SmoothingThe standard Ichimoku Cloud is derived from Donchian Channels and is based on the range of the data set. However the channels are choppy and may not always be easy to read. By using moving averages, similar leading spans can be generated with a smoother outline. The T3 averages further smooths out the curve.
BTC Contango IndexInspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Contango and backwardation are terms used to define the structure of the forward curve. When a market is in contango, the forward price of a futures contract is higher than the spot price. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the forward price of the futures contract is lower than the spot price.
The aggregate prices on top exchanges are taken and then averaged to obtain a Spot Average and a Futures Average. The script then plots (Futures Average/Spot Average) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin.
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
XBT % ContangoSimilar to my other indicators, but measures XBTUSD Contango in terms of percent.
Also, built it so you could change the values that give the red and green signals. Default values are 0% or less (backwardation) indicates green. However, i found that a 0.5% setting worked will finding local bottoms for current contract of XBTH20 (March 2020). The upper value default is at 5%, and signals red when the next contract reaches over 5%.
My assumption is as BTC increases in value over time, measuring contango in terms of percent will be a better measure of the XBT futures curve.
Leverage Strategy and a few words on risk/opportunityHello traders,
I started this script as a joke for someone... finally appears it could be used for educational content
Let's talk about leverage and margin call
Margin Call
A margin call is the broker's demand that an investor deposit additional money or securities so that the account is brought up to the minimum value, known as the maintenance margin.
A margin call usually means that one or more of the securities held in the margin account has decreased in value below a certain point.
Leverage
A leverage is a system which allows the trader to open positions much larger than his own capital. ... “Leverage” usually refers to the ratio between the position value and the investment needed,
Strat
The strategy simulates long/short positions on a 4h high/low breakout based on the chart candle close.
The panel below shows the strategy equity curve. Activating the margin call option will show when the account would be margin called giving the settings
Casino
I'm not doing any financial recommendation here.
I made this strategy so that people include more risk management metrics into their strategy.
From the code, we see it's fairly easy to calculate a leveraged position size and a margin call flag - when that flag is hit, the system stops trading.
I simplified things to the extreme here but my point is that the leverage is a double-edge sword gift.
Assuming we always take the same position sizing, increasing the leverage speed up how fast a margin could be ..... called. (bad joke? feel free to tell me). Not saying it will, saying it introduces more risk by design.
Then one could say "I'll just turn off that stupid margin call option". And that's when someone starts backtesting with unrealistic market conditions.
Finally...
When I backtest I always assume the worst in every scenario possible (because I'm French), I always try to minimize the risk first (also because I'm French), keeping as close from 0 as possible (French again)
Then I add the "opportunity" component, looking to catch the maximum of opportunity while keeping the risk low.
It's like a Rubix cube puzzle - decreasing the risk is one side of the equation but whenever I try to catch more opportunity... my risks increases.
Then I update my risk... and now the opportunity decreases... (#wut #wen #simple)
Completely removing the risk from a trading strategy isn't something I wouldn't dare doing.
Trading involves risk. Being obsessed by decreasing the risk is what I do BEST :)
Dave
Kase Dev Stops Backtest The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Kase Dev Stops Strategy The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Kase Dev Stops The Kase Dev Stops system finds the optimal statistical balance between letting profits run,
while cutting losses. Kase DevStop seeks an ideal stop level by accounting for volatility (risk),
the variance in volatility (the change in volatility from bar to bar), and volatility skew
(the propensity for volatility to occasionally spike incorrectly).
Kase Dev Stops are set at points at which there is an increasing probability of reversal against
the trend being statistically significant based on the log normal shape of the range curve.
Setting stops will help you take as much risk as necessary to stay in a good position, but not more.
Lucid SARI wrote this script after having listened to Hyperwave with Sawcruhteez and Tyler Jenks of Lucid Investments Strategies LLC on July 3, 2019. They felt that the existing built-in Parabolic SAR indicator was not doing its calculations properly, and they hoped that someone might help them correct this. So I tried my hand at it, learning Pine Script as I went. I worked on it through the early morning hours and finished it by 4 am on July 4, 2019. I've added a few bits of code since, adding the rule regarding the SAR not advancing beyond the high (low) of the prior two candles during an uptrend (downtrend), but the core script is as it was.
This code is open source under the MIT license. If you have any improvements or corrections to suggest, please send me a pull request via the github repository github.com
For more details on the initial script, see
Sawcruhteez from Lucid Investment Strategies wrote the following description of the Parabolic SAR, where the quotes are from Section II of J. Welles Wilder, Jr.'s book New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems (1978)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Parabolic SAR
"The Parabolic Time / Price System derives its name from the fact that when charted, the
pattern formed by the stops resembles a parabola, or if you will, a French Curve. The system
allows room for the market to react for the first few days after a trade is initiated and then the
stop begins to move up more rapidly. The stop is not only a function of price but also a function
of time .
"The stop never backs up. It moves an incremental amount each day, only in the direction which
the trade has been initiated."
"The stop is also a function of price because the distance the stop moves up is relative to the
favorable distance the price has moved... specifically, the most favorable price reached since the
trade was initiated."
A. The calculation for a bullish Parabolic SAR is:
Tomorrow’s SAR = Today’s SAR + AF(EP - Today’s SAR)
"Acceleration Factor (AF) is one of a progression of numbers beginning at 0.02 and ending at
0.20. The AF is increased by 0.02 each period that a new high is made" (if long) or new low is
made (if short).
EP is the "Extreme Price Point for the trade made so far. If Long , EP is the extreme high price for
the trade; if Short , EP is the extreme low price for the trade.”
Most websites will provide the above calculation for the Parabolic SAR but almost all of them
leave out this crucial detail:
B. "Never move the SAR into the previous day’s range or today’s range
"1. If Long , never move the SAR for tomorrow above the previous day’s low or
today’s low . If the SAR is calculated to be above the previous day’s low or
today’s low, then use the lower low between today and the previous day as
the new SAR. Make the next days calculations based upon this SAR.
"2. If Short , never move the SAR for tomorrow below the previous day’s high or
today’s high . If the SAR is calculated to be below the previous days’ high or
today’s high, then use the higher high between today and the previous day
as the new SAR. Make the next days calculations based upon this SAR."
When a Bullish SAR is broken then it gets placed at the SIP (significant point) of the prior trend.
In otherwords it is placed above the current candle and at the price that was the SIP.
The inverse is true for the first Bullish SAR.
"This system is a true reversal system; that is, every stop point is also a reverse point." If breaking
through a bearish SAR (one above price) that simultaneously signals to close a short and go
long.
DSL Synthetic MomentumThis indicator combines 5 running moving averages of different periods, calculate their momentum and synthesize the result into 1 single curve.
Dynamic levels made of the discontinued signal lines function are added to create pseudo overbought and oversold levels.
Rolling Skew (Returns) - Beasley SavageSkewness is a term in statistics used to describe asymmetry from the normal distribution in a set of statistical data. Skewness can come in the form of negative skewness or positive skewness, depending on whether data points are skewed to the left and negative, or to the right and positive of the data average. A dataset that shows this characteristic differs from a normal bell curve.
MMI SignalTrend trading strategies filtered by the Market Meanness Index.
This is a port of the experiment described at
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
www.financial-hacker.com
The Market Meanness Index tells whether the market is currently moving in or out of a "trending" regime. It can this way prevent losses by false signals of trend indicators. It is a purely statistical algorithm and not based on volatility, trends, or cycles of the price curve.
The indicator measures the meanness of the market - its tendency to revert to the mean after pretending to start a trend. If that happens too often, all trend following systems will bite the dust.
Inputs
Price Source: Either open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, or ohlc4. The default value is hlc3.
Trend MA Type: Either SMA, EMA, LowPass, Hull MA, Zero-Lag MA, ALMA, Laguerre, Smooth, Decycle. The default value is LowPass.
Trend MA Period: Sets the lookback period of trend MA. The default value is 200.
MMI Period: Sets the lookback period of the Market Meanness Index. The default value is 300.
NG [Gaussian Filter Multi-Pole]When smoothing data there is always a trade-off between lag and removal of noise.
Gaussian filter has a consistently low lag and a very smooth curve.
This filter works for poles higher than the 4 (usual usage).
Mathematically maximum poles is 15 after which coefficients are too high to see any difference.
By tuning Lag and number of Poles you can achieve a very smooth MA with least lag possible.
It's just as good as 3rd gen moving averages and can be used as input feed for other indicators.
Standard Error of the Estimate -Composite Bands-Standard Error of the Estimate - Code and adaptation by @glaz & @XeL_arjona
Ver. 2.00.a
Original implementation idea of bands by:
Traders issue: Stocks & Commodities V. 14:9 (375-379):
Standard Error Bands by Jon Andersen
This code is a former update to previous "Standard Error Bands" that was wrongly applied given that previous version in reality use the Standard Error OF THE MEAN, not THE ESTIMATE as it should be used by Jon Andersen original idea and corrected in this version.
As always I am very Thankfully with the support at the Pine Script Editor chat room, with special mention to user @glaz in order to help me adequate the alpha-beta (y-y') algorithm, as well to give him full credit to implement the "wide" version of the former bands.
For a quick and publicly open explanation of this truly statistical (regression analysis) indicator, you can refer at Here!
Extract from the former URL:
Standard Error Bands are quite different than Bollinger's. First, they are bands constructed around a linear regression curve. Second, the bands are based on two standard errors above and below this regression line. The error bands measure the standard error of the estimate around the linear regression line. Therefore, as a price series follows the course of the regression line the bands will narrow, showing little error in the estimate. As the market gets noisy and random, the error will be greater resulting in wider bands.
Standard Error Bands by @XeL_arjonaStandard Error Bands - Code by @XeL_arjona
Original implementation by:
Traders issue: Stocks & Commodities V. 14:9 (375-379):
Standard Error Bands by Jon Andersen
Version 1
For a quick and publicly open explanation of this Statistical indicator, you can refer at Here!
Extract from the former URL:
Standard Error bands are quite different than Bollinger's. First, they are bands constructed around a linear regression curve. Second, the bands are based on two standard errors above and below this regression line. The error bands measure the standard error of the estimate around the linear regression line. Therefore, as a price series follows the course of the regression line the bands will narrow, showing little error in the estimate. As the market gets noisy and random, the error will be greater resulting in wider bands.
MA Ribbon (Horizontal Levels)📊 MA Ribbon (Horizontal Levels)
MA Ribbon (Horizontal Levels) is a minimalist moving average tool that displays moving averages as horizontal price levels instead of traditional sloping lines.
Rather than showing the historical path of each moving average, this indicator focuses exclusively on where each selected MA is currently located in price, allowing traders to treat moving averages as dynamic support and resistance levels.
The result is a clean, uncluttered chart that preserves moving average structure without visual noise.
🔍 What Makes It Different
No traditional moving average curves
No shading, bands, or fills
Each moving average is represented as a horizontal line at its current value
Lines automatically update as price and the MA value change
Designed to complement price action rather than dominate the chart
This approach makes it easier to see key MA levels at a glance, especially when multiple averages are in use.
⚙️ Key Features
✅ Fully Customizable Moving Averages
Select the moving average type:
SMA
EMA
SMMA (RMA)
WMA
VWMA
Choose the price source (e.g., close)
Configure up to 10 independent moving averages
✅ Per-MA Controls
Each moving average can be customized individually:
Enable or disable any MA (use anywhere from 1 to 10)
Set the MA period (length)
Choose line color
Adjust line thickness
Select line style (solid, dashed, dotted)
✅ Horizontal Level Visualization
Each MA is plotted as a horizontal line extending across the chart, representing the current value of that moving average.
As the MA updates, the level shifts vertically, maintaining a clear and consistent reference point.
🧠 How to Use It
This indicator is designed as a context and structure tool, not a signal generator.
Common use cases include:
Identifying dynamic support and resistance zones
Visualizing where short-term and long-term MA levels are stacked
Using MA levels as confluence with price action, VWAP, or volume-based tools
Maintaining a clean chart while still respecting moving average structure
Because the lines are horizontal, the indicator is especially useful for:
Breakout traders
Mean-reversion traders
Market participants who focus on structure and levels rather than indicator signals
🎯 Who It’s For
This indicator is ideal for traders who:
Prefer minimal, uncluttered charts
Think of moving averages as levels, not signals
Want full control over MA appearance and behavior
Use price action and structure first, indicators second
Use this tool in conjunction with standard moving average indicators, treating these horizontal MA levels as complementary reference points rather than replacements
MA Ribbon (Horizontal Levels) is built for traders who want clarity, flexibility, and structural insight — without sacrificing chart readability.
Apex Wallet - Ultimate Trading Suite: All-In-One Overlay & SignaOverview The Apex Wallet All-In-One is a comprehensive professional trading toolkit designed to centralize every essential technical analysis tool directly onto your main price chart. Instead of cluttering your workspace with dozens of separate indicators, this script integrates trend analysis, volatility bands, automated chart patterns, and a multi-indicator signal engine into a single, cohesive interface.
Key Modular Features:
Trend Core: Features dynamic trend curves, cloud fills for momentum visualization, and a multi-timeframe dashboard (1m to 4h) to ensure you are always trading with the higher-timeframe bias.
Automated Chart Structures: Automatically detects and plots Support/Resistance levels, Standard Pivot Points, Market Gaps, and Fair Value Gaps (Imbalances).
Volatility & Volume: Includes professional-grade VWAP with standard deviation bands, Bollinger Bands, and a built-in Volume Delta (Raw/Net) tracker.
Signal Engine: A powerful cross-logic system that generates entry signals based on RSI (QQE), MACD (Zero-cross & Relance), Stochastic, TDI, and the Andean Oscillator.
Predictive Projections: A unique feature that projects current indicator slopes into future candles to help anticipate potential trend continuations or reversals.
Adaptability The script includes three core presets—Scalping, Day-Trading, and Swing-Trading—which automatically adjust all internal periods (Moving Averages, Bollinger, RSI, etc.) to match your specific market speed.
Visual Cleanliness Every feature is toggleable. You can display a "clean" chart with just the Trend Cloud or a "complete" workstation with signals, patterns (Doji, Engulfing), and pivot levels
Fed Balance Sheet (Candles)Fed Balance Sheet (Candles) - TradingView Description
📊 OVERVIEW
Fed Balance Sheet (Candles) transforms the Federal Reserve's total assets into an intuitive candlestick visualization, allowing you to track monetary policy changes with the same visual language you use for price action.
This indicator pulls real-time data directly from FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data) and displays the Total Assets of All Federal Reserve Banks as dynamic candles on your chart, making it effortless to correlate central bank liquidity with market movements.
🎯 WHY THIS MATTERS
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is one of the most powerful leading indicators in global markets. When the Fed expands its balance sheet (Quantitative Easing), it injects liquidity into the financial system, historically correlating with:
Rising asset prices (stocks, crypto, commodities)
Lower volatility
Risk-on sentiment
Currency devaluation
When the Fed contracts its balance sheet (Quantitative Tightening), liquidity drains from markets, often leading to:
Asset price pressure
Increased volatility
Risk-off sentiment
Dollar strength
By visualizing this as candles, you can instantly see:
The pace of change (candle size)
The direction (green = expansion, red = contraction)
Acceleration or deceleration (consecutive candles in same direction)
Pivots in monetary policy (color changes from green to red or vice versa)
🔧 HOW IT WORKS
Data Source
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)
Metric: Total Assets of All Federal Reserve Banks
Unit: Displayed in Trillions of USD for easy reading
Frequency: Weekly updates (every Wednesday)
Candlestick Construction
Since balance sheet data is reported as a single number each week (not traditional open-high-low-close), this indicator creates candles by comparing each period to the previous one:
Open = Last week's balance sheet value
Close = This week's balance sheet value
High = The higher of the two values
Low = The lower of the two values
This captures directional movement and magnitude of change, making it intuitive for traders accustomed to candlestick analysis.
Color Scheme
🟢 GREEN CANDLES (Expanding Balance Sheet)
When this week's value is higher than last week's
Interpretation: Fed is adding liquidity (Quantitative Easing)
Historically bullish for risk assets
🔴 RED CANDLES (Contracting Balance Sheet)
When this week's value is lower than last week's
Interpretation: Fed is removing liquidity (Quantitative Tightening)
Historically bearish or neutral for risk assets
Value Label
A floating label displays the current balance sheet value in trillions (e.g., "$8.75T") so you always know the exact figure at a glance.
📈 PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
1. Market Regime Identification
Strings of green candles = Liquidity-driven bull markets
Strings of red candles = Tightening-induced bear markets or corrections
Color transitions = Potential market inflection points
2. Correlation Analysis
Overlay on stock indices (SPY, QQQ, IWM)
Overlay on crypto (BTC, ETH)
Overlay on commodities (Gold, Silver)
Observe how asset prices react to Fed liquidity changes in real-time
3. Macro Timing
Large green candles = Aggressive easing (crisis response)
Large red candles = Aggressive tightening (inflation fighting)
Small candles = Neutral policy (Fed on hold)
4. Risk Management
Shift portfolio allocation based on liquidity environment
Reduce leverage during red candle trends
Increase exposure during green candle trends
Use as confirmation for other technical signals
5. Multi-Timeframe Context
Daily charts: See how daily price action relates to weekly Fed data
Weekly charts: Perfect alignment with data release frequency
Monthly charts: Visualize long-term monetary cycles spanning years
⚙️ SETTINGS
Zero configuration needed. Simply add the indicator to any chart and it works immediately.
The indicator automatically:
Overlays on your main chart
Uses the left price scale (won't interfere with asset prices)
Updates with the latest Fed data
Displays values in trillions for clean readability
🎨 VISUAL DESIGN PHILOSOPHY
The indicator uses semi-transparent candle bodies with vibrant borders to maintain visibility without obscuring your price action. The color scheme follows universal chart conventions where green represents growth/expansion and red represents decline/contraction.
It's designed to blend seamlessly into any chart theme while providing immediate visual clarity about the Fed's monetary stance.
📚 WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
Data Availability
Historical data available from December 2002 (over 20 years of Fed policy)
Updates every Wednesday (Federal Reserve's reporting schedule)
Typically published with a 1-week lag
How the Data Appears
On weekdays: Shows the most recent Wednesday's data
On weekends: Shows Friday's data (which is the prior Wednesday's figure)
Updates automatically when new data is released
Scale Considerations
The Fed's balance sheet is measured in trillions, while most assets are priced much lower. The indicator uses the left price scale by default to avoid conflicts with your main asset's price scale. You can easily move it to a separate pane if you prefer.
🧠 INTERPRETATION GUIDE
Historical QE Phases (Green Candles)
2008-2014: Financial Crisis Response
The Fed's balance sheet expanded from under $1T to ~$4.5T to stabilize markets after the mortgage crisis.
2020: COVID-19 Response
Rapid expansion to ~$7T as the Fed stepped in during pandemic lockdowns.
2020-2022: Extended Support
Balance sheet reached historic peak of ~$9T.
Historical QT Phases (Red Candles)
2017-2019: First Modern QT Attempt
The Fed tried to normalize its balance sheet, reducing it from ~$4.5T to ~$3.8T before pivoting.
2022-Present: Inflation-Fighting QT
The Fed began shrinking its balance sheet to combat inflation, letting bonds mature without replacement.
Key Insights
Size matters, but rate of change matters MORE.
A $9T balance sheet growing slowly has different implications than a $5T balance sheet growing rapidly.
Watch for acceleration.
Increasingly large candles (up or down) signal a policy shift that markets will notice.
Plateaus mean "wait and see."
Tiny candles indicate the Fed is holding steady and watching economic data.
Reversals are major events.
When candles switch from green to red (or vice versa), the Fed has changed course—these are critical market turning points.
🎓 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
This indicator helps you understand:
The mechanics of monetary policy through visual learning
The lag between Fed actions and market reactions by observing temporal correlation
The scale of modern central banking (trillions put into perspective)
The relationship between liquidity and asset prices (cause and effect in action)
Many traders talk about "don't fight the Fed" but never actually track what the Fed is doing. Now you can see it as clearly as you see price action.
🔗 RELATED CONCEPTS
For comprehensive macro analysis, consider also tracking:
Fed Funds Rate (short-term interest rates)
M2 Money Supply (broader measure of money in circulation)
Treasury Yield Curves (bond market expectations)
Dollar Index (DXY) (currency strength)
VIX (market fear/volatility)
The Fed's balance sheet is just one piece of the puzzle, but it's arguably the most important one for understanding liquidity conditions.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This indicator displays publicly available economic data from the Federal Reserve. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Important considerations:
Past monetary policy does not guarantee future market outcomes
Correlation does not equal causation
Asset prices are influenced by many factors beyond Fed liquidity
Always use proper risk management
Consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
📜 VERSION HISTORY
Version 1.0 - Initial Release
Fed balance sheet visualized as candlesticks
Real-time FRED data integration
Automatic display in trillions
Dynamic color coding (green/red)
Current value label with exact figure
💡 WHY CANDLES?
You might wonder: "Why show the Fed's balance sheet as candles instead of a line?"
Because candles tell stories that lines can't.
A line shows you where we are
Candles show you how we got here, how fast we're moving, and what momentum looks like
Candles make the Fed's actions feel immediate and tangible
Candles connect macro data to the chart language you already speak
When you see three big green candles in a row on the Fed balance sheet while your crypto or stock portfolio is rallying, you feel the connection. When you see the candles turn red and shrink, you understand the headwinds forming.
It transforms dry economic data into actionable market intelligence.
📞 SUPPORT & FEEDBACK
If you find this indicator valuable:
⭐ Like and favorite to help others discover it
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🔔 Follow for updates and new macro indicators
Your feedback drives improvements and helps build better tools for the trading community.
🚀 THE BOTTOM LINE
The Fed's balance sheet is the tide that lifts or lowers all boats.
Whether you're trading stocks, crypto, forex, or commodities—whether you're a day trader or long-term investor—understanding the Fed's liquidity operations gives you an edge.
This indicator makes that understanding visual, immediate, and actionable.
Stop guessing about macro conditions. Start seeing them.
"Don't fight the Fed" - Wall Street Wisdom
Now you can see exactly what they're doing—in the same language you use to read price action.
May your trades ride the tide of liquidity. 🌊📈
