Per Volume Price ImpactLiquidity, Information and Market Timing
* Market Liquidity
The term liquidity can refer to many things in finance. In this article, we will limit the scope of discussion to the market’s ability to transact without incurring a significant increase in volatility.
As we know, liquidity and volatility have an inversed relationship — the more ample the liquidity, the lower the volatility (attributed to transaction cost, price movement and, so on). With this understanding, we can say large movements in the market are driven by low liquidity. This does not seem to make sense because the markets are huge, how can it possibly be illiquid? Now, this has to do with how the market operates and how exchanges occur (This topic concerns the area of market microstructure).
* Order Book & the Trading Process
So how does a transaction actually occur in the market? Let’s assume we open a position with a market order. In this case, you will get the price on your quote board if there are enough units of assets people are willing to sell at that price. If there are not enough units, you will buy from the second-best price and so on until your order is filled. Now in the second case, as the order is being filled, the change in price is recorded. Therefore, if someone wishes to move the market, theoretically, they just need to buy up or sell up but it is problematic to do so.
Here is why:
while dry up the liquidity can make huge moves, it is inefficient to do so.
it takes a lot of money to do that
your position will be exposed, someone more resourceful than you may go against you and that is a huge risk
market manipulation charges
when you open a position, the entry price of the position is essentially a VWAP (volume-weighted average price). If you attempt to move the market and open a buy position at the same time, you will have a higher VWAP, eating into your own profit.
I think these reasons are sufficient in establishing why opening a position and drying up liquidity to profit is a dumb idea. But of course, the institutions are not stupid, the alternative is to enter your position first then move the market.
To measure liquidity one of the tools people use is the order book. It can offer an overview of the sentiment (by looking at the orders and changes in volume) and how people are positioned (if the broker offers such data). In my opinion, open interest is a much better tool than order as it records the transactions that have occurred, hence less prone to manipulations (google: “Navinder Singh Sarao”, the trader who used fake orders to manipulate algorithms to crash the market).
But to quantify the order book is so much work as well (there are ways, just difficult), what we can do is to make things simpler.
* Quantify Market Impact
We know price and volume reflect information, while the past technical information has no predictive power per semi-strong form of EMH, empirical studies have often tested this theory over a longer time horizon. In our case, precisely due to the mechanism of exchange and human behavior (The lack of incentive to move the market right away) we can, in the very short term (often intraday), foresee if the market is going to move or not. Back to the very definition of liquidity being the ability to transact without moving the market significantly, we can take this definition and quantify it with this formula:
Market Impact = (High — Low) / Volume
Why specifically “high — low”, because that’s the complete information in that moment and it is corresponding to the volume. A little crude but it is the simplest form.
A few things to take note of here:
We can only know the complete picture once the candle is complete. This is fine in most markets because it takes time to gather money and orders.
We often see high liquidity during certain time of the day, for example, when the market opens and so on. As a result, we need to take some scientific approaches to transform the data.
Now, this looks much better. To interpret this graph, the lower the value, the lower the market impact, the deeper the liquidity.
* Generate Tradable Insights
To generate trade ideas isn’t a difficult task, we all know the RSI, MOM, STOC, etc. all the indicators attempt to draw boundaries, and we can do the same but we need to be a little more advanced and critical.
step 1: we first need to normalize the data. To do that we will take the log of the values to make the skewed distribution normal. The result isn’t ideal if you zoom out but I think this is decent enough to work with. Here is
This is still not a stationary time series, but it looks stable enough and it mean-reverts. So we turn to our lovely standard deviation bands for help.
Step 2: Because this is not a stationary process (visually, you can test it statistically if you wish), we cannot just take sample mean and SD and also because we want to show off our data skills, so we turn to move averages and regressions. I’m going to use moving regression here because I think it is better (mean can be distorted by large values by a larger margin and it lags)
I’m using the moving regression band on TradingView and 1.5 SD here for convenience, you can try to optimize the parameters with codes or other regression models if you wish. But I think it is more important to understand the rationale here.
This step is essentially trying to figure out the anomalies in liquidity so that we can see when there is deep liquidity. This is also why choosing the parameter is crucial because you are essentially approximating how much informed trading is taking place (This is a concept in market microstructure for brokerages to set their spreads but it is not a good tool in a liquid market). By setting the level at 1.5 we are assuming about 86% of the time the market is in what we consider a normal liquid state. (again it is arbitrary, but based on the 68–95–99.7 rule of normal distribution). The rest of the time will be either low or high liquidity, When liquidity is deep, it perhaps, signals institutional money is pouring into the market and big moves may follow.
* Conclusion
There you have it, how to enter the market with the big bucks. But do take note there are plenty of assumptions and a lot to improve on here.
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CandelaCharts - Buyside & Sellside 📝 Overview
The Buyside & Sellside Liquidity Indicator is designed to identify and emphasize one of the foundational concepts within the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) trading methodology: liquidity levels.
This tool focuses on pinpointing key areas in the market where buy-side and sell-side liquidity is concentrated, providing traders with insights into potential price targets, reversal zones, and institutional order flow behavior.
By highlighting these liquidity zones, the indicator serves as a strategic aid in understanding market dynamics and enhancing decision-making in alignment with ICT principles.
📦 Features
Buyside & Sellside Liquidity
Invalidated Liquidity
Threshold
Styling
⚙️ Settings
Liquidity: Controls visibility of Bullish/Bearish Liquidity levels.
Invalidated: Displays the invalidated liquidity levels.
Levels: Controls the number of Liquidity levels that will be displayed.
Line Style: Customize the line style and width.
Threshold: Filter by swing points the Liquidity levels.
Labels: Control the Labels visibility.
⚡️ Showcase
Buyside & Sellside
Invalidated
🚨 Alerts
This script offers alert options for all signal types.
Bearish Signal
A bearish signal is generated when the price reaches a Buyside Liquidity level.
Bullish Signal
A bullish signal is generated when the price reaches a Sellside Liquidity level.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risk, and many participants may incur losses. The content on this site is not intended as financial advice and should not be interpreted as such. Decisions to buy, sell, hold, or trade securities, commodities, or other financial instruments carry inherent risks and are best made with guidance from qualified financial professionals. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Smart Volume S/R Pro [The_lurker]مؤشر "Smart Volume S/R Pro " هو أداة تحليل فني متقدمة مصممة لمساعدة المتداولين في تحديد مستويات الدعم والمقاومة القوية بناءً على حجم التداول، مع إضافة ميزات تحليلية متطورة مثل تصفية الاتجاه ، مناطق الثقة ، تقييم القوة ، حساب احتمالية الاختراق ، قياس السيولة ، تحديد الأهداف السعرية ، ومستويات فيبوناتشي . وايضا تقديم تسميات (Labels) بجانب كل مستوى دعم ومقاومة، تحتوي على أرقام ومعلومات دقيقة تعكس حالة السوق. هذه التسميات ليست مجرد زينة، بل أدوات تحليلية تساعد المتداولين على اتخاذ قرارات مستنيرة بناءً على بيانات السوقيهدف هذا المؤشر إلى توفير رؤية شاملة للسوق .
الوظائف الرئيسية للمؤشر
1- تحديد مستويات الدعم والمقاومة بناءً على حجم التداول العالي
يقوم المؤشر بتحليل الأشرطة (Bars) السابقة (حتى 300 شريط افتراضيًا) لتحديد النقاط التي شهدت أعلى مستويات حجم التداول.
يرسم خطوط أفقية تمثل مستويات المقاومة (عند أعلى سعر في تلك الأشرطة) والدعم (عند أدنى سعر)، ويمكن للمستخدم اختيار عدد الخطوط المعروضة (من 1 إلى 6).
2- تصفية الاتجاه باستخدام مؤشر ADX
يستخدم المؤشر مؤشر الاتجاه المتوسط (ADX) لتقييم قوة الاتجاه في السوق.
عندما تكون قوة الاتجاه عالية (تتجاوز عتبة محددة، 25 افتراضيًا)، يقلل المؤشر عدد مستويات الدعم والمقاومة المعروضة للتركيز فقط على المستويات الأكثر أهمية.
3- مناطق الثقة الديناميكية
يضيف المؤشر مناطق حول مستويات الدعم والمقاومة بناءً على متوسط المدى الحقيقي (ATR)، مما يساعد المتداولين على تصور النطاقات التي قد يتفاعل فيها السعر مع هذه المستويات.
يمكن تعديل عرض هذه المناطق باستخدام مضاعف ATR.
4- تقييم قوة المستويات
يحسب المؤشر قوة كل مستوى بناءً على حجم التداول، عدد المرات التي تم اختبار المستوى فيها (Touch Count)، وقرب السعر الحالي من المستوى.
يتم عرض درجة القوة (من 0 إلى 100) بجانب كل مستوى إذا تم تفعيل هذه الخاصية.
5- احتمالية الاختراق
يقدّر المؤشر احتمالية اختراق كل مستوى بناءً على الزخم (ROC)، قوة المستوى، والمسافة بين السعر الحالي والمستوى.
يظهر الاحتمال كنسبة مئوية إذا تم تفعيل الخيار، مما يساعد المتداولين على توقع الحركات المحتملة.
6- تحليل السيولة التاريخية
يقيس المؤشر السيولة حول كل مستوى بناءً على حجم التداول في النطاقات القريبة منه.
يمكن عرض قيم السيولة في التسميات أو استخدامها لتعديل عرض الخطوط (الخطوط الأكثر سيولة تظهر أعرض).
7- الأهداف السعرية
عند تفعيل هذه الخاصية، يحسب المؤشر أهداف سعرية للاختراق (Breakout) والارتداد (Reversal) بناءً على الزخم وقوة المستوى وATR.
يمكن عرض هذه الأهداف كنصوص في التسميات أو كخطوط أفقية على الرسم البياني.
8- مستويات فيبوناتشي
يرسم المؤشر مستويات فيبوناتشي (0.0، 0.236، 0.382، 0.5، 0.618، 0.786، 1.0) بناءً على أعلى وأدنى سعر في فترة النظرة الخلفية.
يمكن للمستخدم اختيار أي من هذه المستويات لعرضها أو إخفائها.
9- تنبيه شامل للاختراق
يوفر المؤشر تنبيهًا واحدًا يشمل جميع المستويات، حيث يُطلق التنبيه عندما يخترق السعر أي مستوى دعم أو مقاومة مع رسالة توضح نوع الاختراق والمستوى المخترق.
كيفية عمل المؤشر
الخطوة الأولى: يحدد المؤشر الأشرطة ذات الحجم العالي خلال فترة النظرة الخلفية المحددة (Lookback Period).
الخطوة الثانية: يرسم مستويات الدعم والمقاومة بناءً على أعلى وأدنى الأسعار في تلك الأشرطة، مع مراعاة عدد الخطوط المختارة من المستخدم.
الخطوة الثالثة: يطبق مرشح الاتجاه (إذا كان مفعلاً) لتقليل عدد المستويات في حالة الاتجاه القوي.
الخطوة الرابعة: يضيف التحليلات الإضافية مثل القوة، السيولة، احتمالية الاختراق، والأهداف السعرية، ويرسم مناطق الثقة ومستويات فيبوناتشي حسب الإعدادات.
الخطوة الخامسة: يراقب السعر ويطلق تنبيهًا عند الاختراق.
الإعدادات القابلة للتخصيص
1- فترة النظرة الخلفية (Lookback Period): عدد الأشرطة التي يتم تحليلها (افتراضيًا 300).
2- عدد الخطوط (Number of Lines): من 1 إلى 6 مستويات دعم ومقاومة.
3- الألوان والأنماط: يمكن تغيير ألوان الخطوط وأنماطها (ممتلئة، متقطعة، منقطة).
4- التسميات: تفعيل/تعطيل التسميات، وحجمها، وموقعها، ولون النص.
5- مرشح الاتجاه: تفعيل/تعطيل ADX، وتعديل طوله وعتبته.
6- مناطق الثقة: تفعيل/تعطيل، وتعديل طول ATR ومضاعفه.
7- القوة واحتمالية الاختراق: تفعيل/تعطيل العرض، وتعديل طول ROC.
8- السيولة: تفعيل/تعطيل تأثير السيولة على عرض الخطوط وقيمها في التسميات.
9- الأهداف السعرية: تفعيل/تعطيل الأهداف وعرضها كخطوط.
10- فيبوناتشي: اختيار المستويات المعروضة ولون الخطوط.
فوائد المؤشر
دقة عالية: يعتمد على حجم التداول لتحديد المستويات، مما يجعله أكثر موثوقية من المستويات العشوائية.
مرونة: يوفر خيارات تخصيص واسعة تتيح للمتداولين تكييفه حسب استراتيجياتهم.
تحليل شامل: يجمع بين الدعم والمقاومة، الاتجاه، السيولة، والأهداف في أداة واحدة.
سهولة الاستخدام: التسميات والتنبيهات تجعل من السهل متابعة السوق دون تعقيد.
==================================================================================تسميات (Labels) بجانب كل مستوى دعم ومقاومة، تحتوي على أرقام ومعلومات دقيقة تعكس حالة السوق. هذه التسميات ليست مجرد زينة، بل أدوات تحليلية تساعد المتداولين على اتخاذ قرارات مستنيرة بناءً على بيانات السوق. في هذا الشرح، سنستعرض كل رقم أو قيمة تظهر في التسميات ومعناها العملي.
مكونات التسميات
التسميات تظهر بجانب كل مستوى دعم (Support) ومقاومة (Resistance) وتبدأ بحرف "S" للدعم أو "R" للمقاومة، تليها مجموعة من الأرقام والقيم التي يمكن تفعيلها أو تعطيلها حسب إعدادات المستخدم. إليك تفصيل كل عنصر:
1- عدد اللمسات (Touch Count)
الرمز: يظهر مباشرة بعد "S" أو "R" (مثال: "R: 5" أو "S: 3").
المعنى: يشير إلى عدد المرات التي اختبر فيها السعر هذا المستوى دون اختراقه.
الفائدة: كلما زاد عدد اللمسات، كلما كان المستوى أقوى وأكثر أهمية. على سبيل المثال، إذا كان "R: 5"، فهذا يعني أن السعر ارتد من هذا المستوى 5 مرات، مما يجعله مقاومة قوية محتملة.
2- قوة المستوى (Strength Rating)
الرمز: يظهر بين قوسين مربعين (مثال: " ").
المعنى: قيمة من 0 إلى 100 تعكس قوة المستوى بناءً على عوامل مثل حجم التداول، عدد اللمسات، وقرب السعر الحالي من المستوى.
الفائدة: القيم العالية (مثل 75 أو أكثر) تشير إلى مستوى قوي يصعب اختراقه، بينما القيم المنخفضة (مثل 30 أو أقل) تدل على ضعف المستوى وسهولة اختراقه. يمكن للمتداول استخدام هذا لتحديد المستويات الأكثر موثوقية.
3- احتمالية الاختراق (Breakout Probability)
الرمز: يبدأ بحرف "B" متبوعًا بنسبة مئوية (مثال: "B: 60%").
المعنى: نسبة من 0% إلى 100% تُظهر احتمالية اختراق السعر للمستوى بناءً على الزخم الحالي، قوة المستوى، والمسافة بين السعر والمستوى.
الفائدة: نسبة مرتفعة (مثل 60% أو أكثر) تعني أن السعر قد يخترق المستوى قريبًا، بينما النسب المنخفضة (مثل 20%) تشير إلى احتمال ارتداد السعر. هذا مفيد لتوقع الحركة التالية.
4- قيمة السيولة (Liquidity Value)
الرمز: يبدأ بحرف "L" متبوعًا برقم (مثال: "L: 1200").
المعنى: يمثل متوسط حجم التداول في النطاق القريب من المستوى، مما يعكس السيولة التاريخية حوله.
الفائدة: القيم العالية تدل على وجود سيولة كبيرة، مما يعني أن السعر قد يتفاعل بقوة مع هذا المستوى (إما بالارتداد أو الاختراق). القيم المنخفضة تشير إلى سيولة ضعيفة، مما قد يجعل المستوى أقل تأثيرًا.
5- الأهداف السعرية (Price Targets)
الرمز: يبدأ بـ "BT" (هدف الاختراق) و"RT" (هدف الارتداد) متبوعين بأرقام (مثال: "BT: 150.50 RT: 148.20").
المعنى:
BT (Breakout Target): السعر المحتمل الذي قد يصل إليه السعر بعد اختراق المستوى.
RT (Reversal Target): السعر المحتمل الذي قد يصل إليه السعر إذا ارتد من المستوى.
الفائدة: تساعد المتداولين في تحديد نقاط الخروج المحتملة بعد الاختراق أو الارتداد، مما يسهل وضع خطة تداول دقيقة.
أمثلة عملية
تسمية مقاومة: "R: 4 B: 25% L: 1500 BT: 155.00 RT: 152.00"
المستوى اختُبر 4 مرات، قوته 80 (قوي جدًا)، احتمالية الاختراق 25% (منخفضة، أي احتمال ارتداد أعلى)، السيولة 1500 (مرتفعة)، هدف الاختراق 155.00، هدف الارتداد 152.00.
الاستنتاج: المستوى قوي ومن المرجح أن يرتد السعر منه، لكن إذا اخترق، فقد يصل إلى 155.00.
تسمية دعم: "S: 2 B: 70% L: 800 BT: 145.00 RT: 147.50"
المستوى اختُبر مرتين، قوته 40 (متوسطة إلى ضعيفة)، احتمالية الاختراق 70% (مرتفعة)، السيولة 800 (متوسطة)، هدف الاختراق 145.00، هدف الارتداد 147.50.
الاستنتاج: المستوى ضعيف ومن المحتمل أن يخترقه السعر ليهبط إلى 145.00.
كيفية الاستفادة من التسميات
تحديد القوة والضعف: استخدم قوة المستوى (Strength) لمعرفة ما إذا كان المستوى موثوقًا للارتداد أو عرضة للاختراق.
توقع الحركة: انظر إلى احتمالية الاختراق (Breakout Probability) لتحديد ما إذا كنت ستنتظر اختراقًا أو ترتدًا.
إدارة المخاطر: استخدم الأهداف السعرية (BT وRT) لتحديد نقاط جني الأرباح أو وقف الخسارة.
تقييم السيولة: ركز على المستويات ذات السيولة العالية لأنها غالبًا تكون نقاط تحول رئيسية في السوق.
تأكيد التحليل: ادمج عدد اللمسات مع القوة والسيولة للحصول على صورة كاملة عن أهمية المستوى.
تخصيص التسميات
يمكن للمستخدم تفعيل أو تعطيل أي من هذه القيم (القوة، الاحتمالية، السيولة، الأهداف) من إعدادات المؤشر.
يمكن أيضًا تغيير حجم التسميات (صغير، عادي، كبير)، موقعها (يمين، يسار، أعلى، أسفل)، ولون النص لتناسب احتياجاتك.
التسميات في هذا المؤشر هي بمثابة لوحة تحكم صغيرة بجانب كل مستوى دعم ومقاومة، تقدم لك معلومات فورية عن قوته، احتمالية اختراقه، سيولته، وأهدافه السعرية. بفهم هذه الأرقام، يمكنك تحسين قراراتك في التداول، سواء كنت تبحث عن نقاط دخول، خروج، أو إدارة مخاطر. إذا كنت تريد أداة تجمع بين البساطة والعمق التحليلي .
تنويه:
المؤشر هو أداة مساعدة فقط ويجب استخدامه مع التحليل الفني والأساسي لتحقيق أفضل النتائج.
إخلاء المسؤولية
لا يُقصد بالمعلومات والمنشورات أن تكون، أو تشكل، أي نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تجارية أو أنواع أخرى من النصائح أو التوصيات المقدمة أو المعتمدة من TradingView.
The Smart Volume S/R Pro indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify strong support and resistance levels based on trading volume, with the addition of advanced analytical features such as trend filtering, confidence zones, strength assessment, breakout probability calculation, liquidity measurement, price target identification, and Fibonacci levels. It also provides labels next to each support and resistance level, containing accurate numbers and information that reflect the market condition. These labels are not just decorations, but analytical tools that help traders make informed decisions based on market data. This indicator aims to provide a comprehensive view of the market.
Main functions of the indicator
1- Identifying support and resistance levels based on high trading volume
The indicator analyzes previous bars (up to 300 bars by default) to identify the points that witnessed the highest levels of trading volume.
It draws horizontal lines representing resistance levels (at the highest price in those bars) and support (at the lowest price), and the user can choose the number of lines displayed (from 1 to 6).
2- Filtering the trend using the ADX indicator
The indicator uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to assess the strength of a trend in the market.
When the strength of the trend is high (exceeding a specified threshold, 25 by default), the indicator reduces the number of support and resistance levels displayed to focus only on the most important levels.
3- Dynamic Confidence Zones
The indicator adds zones around support and resistance levels based on the Average True Range (ATR), helping traders visualize the ranges in which the price may interact with these levels.
The width of these zones can be adjusted using the ATR multiplier.
4- Assessing the Strength of Levels
The indicator calculates the strength of each level based on trading volume, the number of times the level has been tested (Touch Count), and the proximity of the current price to the level.
A strength score (from 0 to 100) is displayed next to each level if this feature is enabled.
5- Breakout Probability
The indicator estimates the probability of breaking each level based on momentum (ROC), the strength of the level, and the distance between the current price and the level.
The probability is displayed as a percentage if the option is enabled, helping traders anticipate potential moves.
6- Historical Liquidity Analysis
The indicator measures liquidity around each level based on the trading volume in the ranges near it.
The liquidity values can be displayed in the labels or used to adjust the width of the lines (the most liquid lines appear wider).
7- Price Targets
When this feature is enabled, the indicator calculates price targets for breakout and reversal based on momentum, level strength and ATR.
These targets can be displayed as text in the labels or as horizontal lines on the chart.
8- Fibonacci Levels
The indicator plots Fibonacci levels (0.0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786, 1.0) based on the highest and lowest price in the lookback period.
The user can choose which of these levels to display or hide.
9- Comprehensive Breakout Alert
The indicator provides a single alert that includes all levels, where the alert is triggered when the price breaks any support or resistance level with a message explaining the type of breakout and the level broken.
How the indicator works
Step 1: The indicator identifies the bars with high volume during the specified Lookback Period.
Step 2: Draws support and resistance levels based on the highest and lowest prices in those bars, taking into account the number of lines selected by the user.
Step 3: Apply the trend filter (if enabled) to reduce the number of levels in case of a strong trend.
Step 4: Adds additional analyses such as strength, liquidity, breakout probability, and price targets, and draws confidence zones and Fibonacci levels according to the settings.
Step 5: Monitors the price and triggers an alert when the breakout occurs.
Customizable Settings
1- Lookback Period: Number of bars to analyze (default 300).
2- Number of Lines: From 1 to 6 support and resistance levels.
3- Colors and Styles: Line colors and styles can be changed (filled, dashed, dotted).
4- Labels: Enable/disable labels, their size, location, and text color.
5- Trend Filter: Enable/disable ADX, and modify its length and threshold.
6- Confidence Zones: Enable/disable, and modify the ATR length and multiplier.
7- Strength and Breakout Probability: Enable/disable the display, and modify the ROC length.
8- Liquidity: Enable/disable the effect of liquidity on the display of the lines and their values in the labels.
9- Price Targets: Enable/disable the targets and display them as lines.
10- Fibonacci: Choose the displayed levels and the color of the lines.
Indicator Benefits
High Accuracy: It relies on trading volume to determine the levels, which makes it more reliable than random levels.
Flexibility: It provides extensive customization options that allow traders to adapt it to their strategies.
Comprehensive Analysis: Combines support and resistance, trend, liquidity, and targets in one tool. Ease of Use: Labels and alerts make it easy to follow the market without complexity.
Labels next to each support and resistance level contain accurate numbers and information that reflect the market situation. These labels are not just decorations, but analytical tools that help traders make informed decisions based on market data. In this explanation, we will review each number or value that appears in the labels and their practical meaning.
Label Components
Labels appear next to each support and resistance level and begin with the letter "S" for support or "R" for resistance, followed by a set of numbers and values that can be enabled or disabled according to the user's settings. Here is a breakdown of each element:
1- Touch Count
Symbol: Appears immediately after "S" or "R" (example: "R: 5" or "S: 3").
Meaning: Indicates the number of times the price has tested this level without breaking it.
Benefit: The more touches, the stronger and more important the level. For example, if it is "R: 5", it means that the price has bounced off this level 5 times, making it a potentially strong resistance.
2- Strength Rating
Symbol: Appears between square brackets (example: " ").
Meaning: A value from 0 to 100 that reflects the strength of the level based on factors such as trading volume, number of touches, and proximity of the current price to the level.
Benefit: High values (such as 75 or more) indicate a strong level that is difficult to break, while low values (such as 30 or less) indicate a weak level that is easy to break. A trader can use this to determine the most reliable levels.
3- Breakout Probability
Symbol: Starts with the letter "B" followed by a percentage (example: "B: 60%").
Meaning: A percentage from 0% to 100% that shows the probability of the price breaking the level based on the current momentum, the strength of the level, and the distance between the price and the level.
Interest: A high percentage (such as 60% or more) means that the price may soon break through the level, while low percentages (such as 20%) indicate that the price may bounce. This is useful for anticipating the next move.
4- Liquidity Value
Symbol: Starts with the letter "L" followed by a number (example: "L: 1200").
Meaning: Represents the average trading volume in the range near the level, reflecting historical liquidity around it.
Interest: High values indicate high liquidity, meaning that the price may react strongly to this level (either by bouncing or breaking through). Low values indicate low liquidity, which may make the level less influential.
5- Price Targets
Symbol: Starts with "BT" (breakout target) and "RT" (rebound target) followed by numbers (example: "BT: 150.50 RT: 148.20").
Meaning:
BT (Breakout Target): The potential price that the price may reach after breaking the level.
RT (Reversal Target): The potential price that the price may reach if it rebounds from the level.
Utility: Helps traders identify potential exit points after a breakout or rebound, making it easier to develop an accurate trading plan.
Working examples
Resistance label: "R: 4 B: 25% L: 1500 BT: 155.00 RT: 152.00"
Level tested 4 times, strength 80 (very strong), probability of breakout 25% (low, i.e. higher probability of rebound), liquidity 1500 (high), breakout target 155.00, rebound target 152.00.
Conclusion: The level is strong and the price is likely to rebound from it, but if it breaks, it may reach 155.00.
Support Label: "S: 2 B: 70% L: 800 BT: 145.00 RT: 147.50"
Level tested twice, Strength 40 (medium to weak), Breakout Probability 70% (high), Liquidity 800 (medium), Breakout Target 145.00, Rebound Target 147.50.
Conclusion: The level is weak and the price is likely to break it to drop to 145.00.
How to use labels
Determine strength and weakness: Use the level's strength to see if the level is reliable for a bounce or vulnerable to a breakout.
Predict the move: Look at the Breakout Probability to determine whether to wait for a breakout or a bounce.
Risk Management: Use price targets (BT and RT) to set take profit or stop loss points.
Liquidity Evaluation: Focus on levels with high liquidity as they are often key turning points in the market.
Analysis Confirmation: Combine the number of touches with strength and liquidity to get a complete picture of the level’s importance.
Customize Labels
The user can enable or disable any of these values (strength, probability, liquidity, targets) from the indicator settings.
The size of the labels (small, normal, large), their position (right, left, top, bottom), and the color of the text can also be changed to suit your needs.
The labels in this indicator act as a small dashboard next to each support and resistance level, providing you with instant information about its strength, probability of breakout, liquidity, and price targets. By understanding these numbers, you can improve your trading decisions, whether you are looking for entry points, exit points, or risk management. If you want a tool that combines simplicity with analytical depth.
Disclaimer:
The indicator is an auxiliary tool only and should be used in conjunction with technical and fundamental analysis for best results.
Disclaimer
The information and posts are not intended to be, or constitute, any financial, investment, trading or other types of advice or recommendations provided or endorsed by TradingView.
ICT Macros [LuxAlgo]The ICT Macros indicator aims to highlight & classify ICT Macros, which are time intervals where algorithmic trading takes place to interact with existing liquidity or to create new liquidity.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Macros
Macro Time options (such as '09:50 AM 10:10'): Enable specific macro display.
Top Line , Mid Line , Bottom Line and Extending Lines options: Controls the lines for the specific macro.
🔹 Macro Classification
Length : A length to detect Market Structure Brakes and classify macro type based on detection.
Swing Area : Swing or Liquidity Area selection, highest/lowest of the wick or the candle bodies.
Accumulation , Manipulation and Expansion color options for the classified macros.
🔹 Others
Macro Texts : Controls both the size and the visibility of the macro text.
Alert Macro Times in Advance (Minutes) : This option will plot a vertical line presenting the start of the next macro time. The line will not appear all the time, but it will be there based on remaining minutes specified in the option.
Daylight Saving Time (DST) : Adjust time appropriate to Daylight Saving Time of the specific region.
🔶 USAGE
A macro is a way to automate a task or procedure which you perform on a regular basis.
In the context of ICT's teachings, a macro is a small program or set of instructions that unfolds within an algorithm, which influences price movements in the market. These macros operate at specific times and can be related to price runs from one level to another or certain market behaviors during specific time intervals. They help traders anticipate market movements and potential setups during specific time intervals.
To trade these effectively, it is important to understand the time of day when certain macros come into play, and it is strongly advised to introduce the concept of liquidity in your analysis.
Macros can be classified into three categories where the Macro classification is calculated based on the Market Structure prior to macro and the Market Structure during the macro duration:
Manipulation Macro
Manipulation macros are characterized by liquidity being swept both on the buyside and sellside.
Expansion Macro
Expansion macros are characterized by liquidity being swept only on the buyside or sellside. Prices within these macros are highly correlated with the overall trend.
Accumulation Macro
Accumulation macros are characterized by an accumulation of liquidity. Prices within these macros tend to range.
The script returns the maximum/minimum price values reached during the macro interval alongside the average between the maximum/minimum and extends them until a new macro starts. These levels can act as supports and resistances.
🔶 DETAILS
All required data for the macro detection and classification is retrieved using 1 minute data sets, this includes candles as well as pivot/swing highs and lows. This approach guarantees the visually presented objects are same (same highs/lows) on higher timeframes as well as the macro classification remain same as it is in 1 min charts.
8 Macros can be displayed by the script (4 are enabled by default):
02:33 AM 03:00 London Macro
04:03 AM 04:30 London Macro
08:50 AM 09:10 New York Macro
09:50 AM 10:10 New York Macro
10:50 AM 11:10 New York Macro
11:50 AM 12:10 New York Launch Macro
13:10 PM 13:40 New York Macro
15:15 PM 15:45 New York Macro
🔶 ALERTS
When an alert is configured, the user will have the ability to be notified in advance of the next Macro time, where the value specified in 'Alert Macro Times in Advance (Minutes)' option indicates how early to be notified.
🔶 LIMITATIONS
The script is supported on 1 min, 3 mins and 5 mins charts.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
LIT - ConfirmationsOverview
The LIT - Confirmations Indicator is a dynamic checklist tool designed for traders who uses LIT Strategy (Liquidity Inducement Theory) following liquidity and smart money concepts as benefit. This tool allows users to document and track essential trading confirmations directly on their TradingView charts, offering a structured and visual approach to market analysis.
What Makes This Unique?
Unlike other open-source tools, the LIT - Confirmations Indicator introduces a fully interactive and customizable table directly on the chart. This table provides real-time feedback with clear ✅ (checked) and ❌ (unchecked) visual indicators for each confirmation. The user can position the table on the chart according to their preference, ensuring it integrates seamlessly into their trading workflow without obscuring critical chart data.
How It Works
1. Predefined Confirmations
The indicator includes a set of commonly used trading confirmations:
Identify Liquidity: Mark areas where liquidity might pool.
Inducement: Confirm the presence of inducements before market reversals.
Relevant Break of Structure (BOS): Validate critical structural changes.
Mitigation after RBoS: Check for mitigation following a BOS.
Smart Money Trap (SMT): Identify traps often utilized by smart money.
Timing: Ensure trades are entered during high-probability time windows.
Mitigation to the Leftside: Confirm whether price action aligns with prior mitigations.
Set Targets: Define and document logical take-profit or stop-loss levels.
2.Interactive Table Display
A table is dynamically created on the chart, showing all confirmations with their current state (checked or unchecked).
Users can choose the position of the table (top, middle, or bottom and left, center, or right) and customize its background color for better visibility.
3. Customization
All confirmations are toggled through the input settings, allowing traders to adapt the indicator to their unique strategies.
The display can be easily adjusted to match the trader’s preferences without cluttering the chart.
How to Use
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Open the settings panel to activate the relevant confirmations for your analysis.
3. Use the Display Settings section to adjust the table's position and background color.
4. View the table on your chart to track selected confirmations in real-time.
Who Is This For?
This indicator is ideal for traders who:
Use Liquidity Inducent Theory strategy in their analysis.
Prefer a structured and systematic trading approach.
Need an on-chart tool to document confirmations without relying on external notes or tools.
Why Closed Source?
The logic behind the interactive table and confirmation system is specifically tailored to LIT practitioners and is not publicly available in existing open-source scripts. The closed-source nature of this script protects its unique implementation, ensuring the integrity and exclusivity of the tool.
Disclaimer
This indicator does not provide trading signals or strategies. It is a tool to document user-defined confirmations and should be used in conjunction with a thorough understanding of market behavior and risk management practices.
ICT Setup 03 [TradingFinder] Judas Swing NY 9:30am + CHoCH/FVG🔵 Introduction
Judas Swing is an advanced trading setup designed to identify false price movements early in the trading day. This advanced trading strategy operates on the principle that major market players, or "smart money," drive price in a certain direction during the early hours to mislead smaller traders.
This deceptive movement attracts liquidity at specific levels, allowing larger players to execute primary trades in the opposite direction, ultimately causing the price to return to its true path.
The Judas Swing setup functions within two primary time frames, tailored separately for Forex and Stock markets. In the Forex market, the setup uses the 8:15 to 8:30 AM window to identify the high and low points, followed by the 8:30 to 8:45 AM frame to execute the Judas move and identify the CISD Level break, where Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones are subsequently detected.
In the Stock market, these time frames shift to 9:15 to 9:30 AM for identifying highs and lows and 9:30 to 9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Concepts such as Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG) are crucial in this setup. An Order Block represents a chart region with a high volume of buy or sell orders placed by major financial institutions, marking significant levels where price reacts.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) refers to areas where price has moved rapidly without balance between supply and demand, highlighting zones of potential price action and future liquidity.
Bullish Setup :
Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
The Judas Swing setup enables traders to pinpoint entry and exit points by utilizing Order Block and FVG concepts, helping them align with liquidity-driven moves orchestrated by smart money. This setup applies two distinct time frames for Forex and Stocks to capture early deceptive movements, offering traders optimized entry or exit moments.
🟣 Bullish Setup
In the Bullish Judas Swing setup, the first step is to identify High and Low points within the initial time frame. These levels serve as key points where price may react, forming the basis for analyzing the setup and assisting traders in anticipating future market shifts.
In the second time frame, a critical stage of the bullish setup begins. During this phase, the price may create a false break or Fake Break below the low level, a deceptive move by major players to absorb liquidity. This false move often causes smaller traders to enter positions incorrectly. After this fake-out, the price reverses upward, breaking the CISD Level, a critical point in the market structure, signaling a potential bullish trend.
Upon breaking the CISD Level and reversing upward, the indicator identifies both the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Order Block is an area where major players typically place large buy orders, signaling potential price support. Meanwhile, the FVG marks a region of supply-demand imbalance, signaling areas where price might react.
Ultimately, after these key zones are identified, a trader may open a buy position if the price reaches one of these critical areas—Order Block or FVG—and reacts positively. Trading at these levels enhances the chance of success due to liquidity absorption and support from smart money, marking an opportune time for entering a long position.
🟣 Bearish Setup
In the Bearish Judas Swing setup, analysis begins with marking the High and Low levels in the initial time frame. These levels serve as key zones where price could react, helping to signal possible trend reversals. Identifying these levels is essential for locating significant bearish zones and positioning traders to capitalize on downward movements.
In the second time frame, the primary bearish setup unfolds. During this stage, price may exhibit a Fake Break above the high, causing a brief move upward and misleading smaller traders into incorrect positions. After this false move, the price typically returns downward, breaking the CISD Level—a crucial bearish trend indicator.
With the CISD Level broken and a bearish trend confirmed, the indicator identifies the Order Block and Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Bearish Order Block is a region where smart money places significant sell orders, prompting a negative price reaction. The FVG denotes an area of supply-demand imbalance, signifying potential selling pressure.
When the price reaches one of these critical areas—the Bearish Order Block or FVG—and reacts downward, a trader may initiate a sell position. Entering trades at these levels, due to increased selling pressure and liquidity absorption, offers traders an advantage in profiting from price declines.
🔵 Settings
Market : The indicator allows users to choose between Forex and Stocks, automatically adjusting the time frames for the "Opening Range" and "Trading Permit" accordingly: Forex: 8:15–8:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 8:30–8:45 AM for capturing the Judas move and CISD Level break. Stocks: 9:15–9:30 AM for identifying High and Low points, and 9:30–9:45 AM for executing the Judas move and CISD Level break.
Refine Order Block : Enables finer adjustments to Order Block levels for more accurate price responses.
Mitigation Level OB : Allows users to set specific reaction points within an Order Block, including: Proximal: Closest level to the current price. 50% OB: Midpoint of the Order Block. Distal: Farthest level from the current price.
FVG Filter : The Judas Swing indicator includes a filter for Fair Value Gap (FVG), allowing different filtering based on FVG width: FVG Filter Type: Can be set to "Very Aggressive," "Aggressive," "Defensive," or "Very Defensive." Higher defensiveness narrows the FVG width, focusing on narrower gaps.
Mitigation Level FVG : Like the Order Block, you can set price reaction levels for FVG with options such as Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
CISD : The Bar Back Check option enables traders to specify the number of past candles checked for identifying the CISD Level, enhancing CISD Level accuracy on the chart.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing indicator helps traders spot reliable trading opportunities by detecting false price movements and key levels such as Order Block and FVG. With a focus on early market movements, this tool allows traders to align with major market participants, selecting entry and exit points with greater precision, thereby reducing trading risks.
Its extensive customization options enable adjustments for various market types and trading conditions, giving traders the flexibility to optimize their strategies. Based on ICT techniques and liquidity analysis, this indicator can be highly effective for those seeking precision in their entry points.
Overall, Judas Swing empowers traders to capitalize on significant market movements by leveraging price volatility. Offering precise and dependable signals, this tool presents an excellent opportunity for enhancing trading accuracy and improving performance
Classic Nacked Z-Score ArbitrageThe “Classic Naked Z-Score Arbitrage” strategy employs a statistical arbitrage model based on the Z-score of the price spread between two assets. This strategy follows the premise of pair trading, where two correlated assets, typically from the same market sector, are traded against each other to profit from relative price movements (Gatev, Goetzmann, & Rouwenhorst, 2006). The approach involves calculating the Z-score of the price spread between two assets to determine market inefficiencies and capitalize on short-term mispricing.
Methodology
Price Spread Calculation:
The strategy calculates the spread between the two selected assets (Asset A and Asset B), typically from different sectors or asset classes, on a daily timeframe.
Statistical Basis – Z-Score:
The Z-score is used as a measure of how far the current price spread deviates from its historical mean, using the standard deviation for normalization.
Trading Logic:
• Long Position:
A long position is initiated when the Z-score exceeds the predefined threshold (e.g., 2.0), indicating that Asset A is undervalued relative to Asset B. This signals an arbitrage opportunity where the trader buys Asset B and sells Asset A.
• Short Position:
A short position is entered when the Z-score falls below the negative threshold, indicating that Asset A is overvalued relative to Asset B. The strategy involves selling Asset B and buying Asset A.
Theoretical Foundation
This strategy is rooted in mean reversion theory, which posits that asset prices tend to return to their long-term average after temporary deviations. This form of arbitrage is widely used in statistical arbitrage and pair trading techniques, where investors seek to exploit short-term price inefficiencies between two assets that historically maintain a stable price relationship (Avery & Sibley, 2020).
Further, the Z-score is an effective tool for identifying significant deviations from the mean, which can be seen as a signal for the potential reversion of the price spread (Braucher, 2015). By capturing these inefficiencies, traders aim to profit from convergence or divergence between correlated assets.
Practical Application
The strategy aligns with the Financial Algorithmic Trading and Market Liquidity analysis, emphasizing the importance of statistical models and efficient execution (Harris, 2024). By utilizing a simple yet effective risk-reward mechanism based on the Z-score, the strategy contributes to the growing body of research on market liquidity, asset correlation, and algorithmic trading.
The integration of transaction costs and slippage ensures that the strategy accounts for practical trading limitations, helping to refine execution in real market conditions. These factors are vital in modern quantitative finance, where liquidity and execution risk can erode profits (Harris, 2024).
References
• Gatev, E., Goetzmann, W. N., & Rouwenhorst, K. G. (2006). Pairs Trading: Performance of a Relative-Value Arbitrage Rule. The Review of Financial Studies, 19(3), 1317-1343.
• Avery, C., & Sibley, D. (2020). Statistical Arbitrage: The Evolution and Practices of Quantitative Trading. Journal of Quantitative Finance, 18(5), 501-523.
• Braucher, J. (2015). Understanding the Z-Score in Trading. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(4), 225-239.
• Harris, L. (2024). Financial Algorithmic Trading and Market Liquidity: A Comprehensive Analysis. Journal of Financial Engineering, 7(1), 18-34.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio [Alpha Extract]Stablecoin Supply Ratio Indicator
The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) indicator compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to the aggregate supply of major stablecoins, offering insights into relative purchasing power and liquidity. This tool helps traders:
✔ Assess Bitcoin's buying power relative to the available stablecoin liquidity.
✔ Detect periods of capital inflow or outflow from stablecoins.
✔ Identify market sentiment shifts based on stablecoin reserves.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator aggregates the supply of key stablecoins and compares it to Bitcoin's market cap:
Stablecoin Aggregation
• Inputs:
USDT, USDC, DAI, USDD (daily closing values).
BUSD Market Cap (Glassnode data).
• Total Stablecoin Supply:
Sum of the listed stablecoins' market caps.
Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR)
• Formula:
SSR = Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Stablecoin Supply
• Normalized SSR:
Normalized by dividing SSR by its 200-day SMA.
Bollinger Bands
• Bands are applied to the normalized SSR using a configurable moving average type and 2 standard deviations.
Example Calculation:
ssr = btcmc / stablecoin_liq
ratio = ssr / ta.sma(ssr, 200)
basis = ta.sma(ratio, 200)
dev = 2 * ta.stdev(ratio, 200)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
• Normalized SSR:
Plotted as a light green line.
• Upper Band:
Red line indicating SSR overbought zone.
• Lower Band:
Green line signaling SSR oversold zone.
Interpretation:
• High SSR: Indicates stablecoin reserves are low relative to Bitcoin's market cap, reducing stablecoin buying power.
• Low SSR: Suggests high stablecoin liquidity relative to Bitcoin's market cap, increasing potential buying pressure.
• Band Crosses: Movements beyond the upper or lower bands may signal sentiment extremes.
🔶 EXAMPLES
Market insights include:
• Capital Outflows: SSR rising into the upper band may reflect decreasing stablecoin reserves, potentially signaling a liquidity drain.
• Capital Inflows: SSR dropping near the lower band could indicate growing stablecoin reserves, potentially fueling Bitcoin demand.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
• MA Type: Choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, SMMA, and VWMA for band calculation.
• Period: Adjust the 200-day smoothing period.
• Deviation Multiplier: Modify the standard deviation multiplier (default: 2).
The Stablecoin Supply Ratio indicator is a valuable tool for traders monitoring liquidity dynamics and stablecoin trends to anticipate Bitcoin market moves and capital flows.
Aggregated Volume (Multi-Exchange)Indicator: Aggregated Volume (Multi-Exchange)
Overview:
The Aggregated Volume (Multi-Exchange) indicator is designed to aggregate trading volume data from multiple exchanges for a specific cryptocurrency pair. The goal is to provide a consolidated view of the total trading volume across different platforms, helping traders and analysts gauge the overall market activity for a given asset.
Features:
Multi-Exchange Support: The indicator allows you to aggregate trading volume data from various exchanges. Users can enable or disable volume data from specific exchanges (e.g., Binance, Bybit, Kucoin, etc.).
Spot and Futures Volumes: The indicator can sum the volume for spot trading and futures trading separately if desired. However, in the current version, it only sums the volume for specific pairs across multiple exchanges, without distinguishing between spot and futures volumes (though this feature can be added if necessary).
Customizable Exchange Selection: Users can select which exchanges' volume data to include in the aggregation.
Real-Time Updates: The volume data is updated in real-time as new bars are formed on the chart, providing an up-to-date picture of the trading volume.
Purpose:
The primary purpose of this indicator is to consolidate trading volume information from multiple exchanges for the same trading pair (e.g., BTC/USD). Traders can use this aggregated volume to gain a better understanding of market activity across various platforms, as well as assess the level of liquidity and interest in a particular asset.
By viewing the total aggregated volume, traders can:
Track market trends: Higher aggregated volume can signal increased market interest, making it easier to spot trends or potential breakouts.
Analyze liquidity: This indicator can help traders assess liquidity in the market, especially when using multiple exchanges.
Identify potential market manipulation: If there is a sudden spike in volume on multiple exchanges, it could signal market manipulation or an event-driven surge.
How it Works:
Volume Aggregation: The indicator collects and sums the volume data for a given symbol (e.g., BTC/USD) from different exchanges like Binance, Bybit, Kucoin, and others.
Multiple Exchanges: The volume data is aggregated from each selected exchange and plotted as a single volume value on the chart.
Real-Time Volume Plotting: The total aggregated volume is then plotted as a histogram on the chart, with the color of the bars changing depending on whether the price is rising or falling (typically green for rising prices and red for falling prices).
Inputs/Settings:
Exchange Selection: A list of checkboxes where users can choose which exchanges' volume data to include (e.g., Binance, Bybit, Kucoin, etc.).
Color Settings: Users can set the color for the histogram bars based on price direction (e.g., green for rising and red for falling).
Volume Calculation: The indicator calculates the volume for a specific cryptocurrency pair across selected exchanges in real-time.
Engulfing Candles with Sweep by AydmaxxEngulfing Candles with Sweep Indicator
The "Engulfing Candles with Sweep" indicator identifies bullish and bearish engulfing candles that exhibit liquidity sweeps. It marks these significant candlestick patterns and draws a 50% Fibonacci retracement line from the high to low of the engulfing candle. The indicator helps traders spot potential reversal points where large market players might be accumulating or distributing positions.
Key Features:
Bullish Engulfing Candle with Sweep:
Identifies when a bullish candle (closing higher than it opened) engulfs the previous bearish candle (closing lower than it opened).
Ensures that the bullish candle’s low is lower than the previous candle’s low, indicating a sweep of liquidity.
Marks the identified bullish candle with a symbol below the candlestick.
Draws a 50% Fibonacci retracement line from the high to the low of the bullish engulfing candle.
Bearish Engulfing Candle with Sweep:
Identifies when a bearish candle (closing lower than it opened) engulfs the previous bullish candle (closing higher than it opened).
Ensures that the bearish candle’s high is higher than the previous candle’s high, indicating a sweep of liquidity.
Marks the identified bearish candle with a symbol above the candlestick.
Draws a 50% Fibonacci retracement line from the high to the low of the bearish engulfing candle.
Customizable Settings:
Fibonacci Line Color: Allows customization of the Fibonacci retracement line color for both bullish and bearish engulfing candles.
Fibonacci Line Style: Provides options to choose the line style (solid, dotted, dashed).
Fibonacci Line Width: Enables adjustment of the line width for better visibility.
Toggle Fibonacci Lines: Option to enable or disable the display of Fibonacci retracement lines.
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to your chart.
Look for symbols below or above the candlesticks, indicating bullish or bearish engulfing candles with liquidity sweeps.
Utilize the 50% Fibonacci retracement lines to identify potential support or resistance levels.
Benefits:
Helps in identifying key reversal patterns in the market.
Provides visual aids with Fibonacci retracement levels for potential entry and exit points.
Enhances trading decisions by confirming engulfing patterns with liquidity sweeps.
ICT Power Of Three | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new ICT Power Of Three Indicator! This indicator is built around the ICT's "Power Of Three" strategy. This strategy makes use of these 3 key smart money concepts : Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution. Each step is explained in detail within this write-up. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new ICT Power Of Three Indicator :
Implementation of ICT's Power Of Three Strategy
Different Algorithm Modes
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The "Power Of Three" comes from these three keywords "Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution". Here is a brief explanation of each keyword :
Accumulation -> Accumulation phase is when the smart money accumulate their positions in a fixed range. This phase indicates price stability, generally meaning that the price constantly switches between up & down trend between a low and a high pivot point. When the indicator detects an accumulation zone, the Power Of Three strategy begins.
Manipulation -> When the smart money needs to increase their position sizes, they need retail traders' positions for liquidity. So, they manipulate the market into the opposite direction of their intended direction. This will result in retail traders opening positions the way that the smart money intended them to do, creating liquidity. After this step, the real move that the smart money intended begins.
Distribution -> This is when the real intention of the smart money comes into action. With the new liquidity thanks to the manipulation phase, the smart money add their positions towards the opposite direction of the retail mindset. The purpose of this indicator is to detect the accumulation and manipulation phases, and help the trader move towards the same direction as the smart money for their trades.
Detection Methods Of The Indicator :
Accumulation -> The indicator detects accumulation zones as explained step-by-step :
1. Draw two lines from the lowest point and the highest point of the latest X bars.
2. If the (high line - low line) is lower than Average True Range (ATR) * accumulationConstant
3. After the condition is validated, an accumulation zone is detected. The accumulation zone will be invalidated and manipulation phase will begin when the range is broken.
Manipulation -> If the accumulation range is broken, check if the current bar closes / wicks above the (high line + ATR * manipulationConstant) or below the (low line - ATR * manipulationConstant). If the condition is met, the indicator detects a manipulation zone.
Distribution -> The purpose of this indicator is to try to foresee the distribution zone, so instead of a detection, after the manipulation zone is detected the indicator automatically create a "shadow" distribution zone towards the opposite direction of the freshly detected manipulation zone. This shadow distribution zone comes with a take-profit and stop-loss layout, customizable by the trader in the settings.
The X bars, accumulationConstant and manipulationConstant are subject to change with the "Algorithm Mode" setting. Read the "Settings" section for more information.
This indicator follows these steps and inform you step by step by plotting them in your chart.
🚩UNIQUENESS
This indicator is an all-in-one suite for the ICT's Power Of Three concept. It's capable of plotting the strategy, giving signals, a backtesting dashboard and alerts feature. Different and customizable algorithm modes will help the trader fine-tune the indicator for the asset they are currently trading. The backtesting dashboard allows you to see how your settings perform in the current ticker. You can also set up alerts to get informed when the strategy is executable for different tickers.
⚙️SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Algorithm Mode -> The indicator offers 3 different detection algorithm modes according to your needs. Here is the explanation of each mode.
a) Small Manipulation
This mode has the default bar length for the accumulation detection, but a lower manipulation constant, meaning that slighter imbalances in the price action can be detected as manipulation. This setting can be useful on tickers that have lower liquidity, thus can be manipulated easier.
b) Big Manipulation
This mode has the default bar length for the accumulation detection, but a higher manipulation constant, meaning that heavier imbalances on the price action are required in order to detect manipulation zones. This setting can be useful on tickers that have higher liquidity, thus can be manipulated harder.
c) Short Accumulation
This mode has a ~70% lower bar length requirement for accumulation zone detection, and the default manipulation constant. This setting can be useful on tickers that are highly volatile and do not enter accumulation phases too often.
Breakout Method -> If "Close" is selected, bar close price will be taken into calculation when Accumulation & Manipulation zone invalidation. If "Wick" is selected, a wick will be enough to validate the corresponding zone.
2. TP / SL
TP / SL Method -> If "Fixed" is selected, you can adjust the TP / SL ratios from the settings below. If "Dynamic" is selected, the TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm.
Risk -> The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
3. Visuals
Show Zones -> Enables / Disables rendering of Accumulation (yellow) and Manipulation (red) zones.
Global M2 Index Percentage### **Global M2 Index Percentage**
**Description:**
The **Global M2 Index Percentage** is a custom indicator designed to track and visualize the global money supply (M2) in a normalized percentage format. It aggregates M2 data from major economies (e.g., the US, EU, China, Japan, and the UK) and adjusts for exchange rates to provide a comprehensive view of global liquidity. This indicator helps traders and investors understand the broader macroeconomic environment, identify trends in money supply, and make informed decisions based on global liquidity conditions.
---
### **How It Works:**
1. **Data Aggregation**:
- The indicator collects M2 data from key economies and adjusts it using exchange rates to calculate a global M2 value.
- The formula for global M2 is:
\
2. **Normalization**:
- The global M2 value is normalized into a percentage (0% to 100%) based on its range over a user-defined period (default: 13 weeks).
- The formula for normalization is:
\
3. **Visualization**:
- The indicator plots the M2 Index as a line chart.
- Key reference levels are highlighted:
- **10% (Red Line)**: Oversold level (low liquidity).
- **50% (Black Line)**: Neutral level.
- **80% (Green Line)**: Overbought level (high liquidity).
---
### **How to Use the Indicator:**
#### **1. Understanding the M2 Index:**
- **Below 10%**: Indicates extremely low liquidity, which may signal economic contraction or tight monetary policy.
- **Above 80%**: Indicates high liquidity, which may signal loose monetary policy or potential inflationary pressures.
- **Between 10% and 80%**: Represents a neutral to moderate liquidity environment.
#### **2. Trading Strategies:**
- **Long-Term Investing**:
- Use the M2 Index to assess global liquidity trends.
- **High M2 Index (e.g., >80%)**: Consider investing in risk assets (stocks, commodities) as liquidity supports growth.
- **Low M2 Index (e.g., <10%)**: Shift to defensive assets (bonds, gold) as liquidity tightens.
- **Short-Term Trading**:
- Combine the M2 Index with technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for timing entries and exits.
- **M2 Index Rising + RSI Oversold**: Potential buying opportunity.
- **M2 Index Falling + RSI Overbought**: Potential selling opportunity.
#### **3. Macroeconomic Analysis**:
- Use the M2 Index to monitor the impact of central bank policies (e.g., quantitative easing, rate hikes).
- Correlate the M2 Index with inflation data (CPI, PPI) to anticipate inflationary or deflationary trends.
---
### **Key Features:**
- **Customizable Timeframe**: Adjust the lookback period (e.g., 13 weeks, 26 weeks) to suit your trading style.
- **Multi-Economy Data**: Aggregates M2 data from the US, EU, China, Japan, and the UK for a global perspective.
- **Normalized Output**: Converts raw M2 data into an easy-to-interpret percentage format.
- **Reference Levels**: Includes key levels (10%, 50%, 80%) for quick analysis.
---
### **Example Use Case:**
- **Scenario**: The M2 Index rises from 49% to 62% over two weeks.
- **Interpretation**: Global liquidity is increasing, potentially due to central bank stimulus.
- **Action**:
- **Long-Term**: Increase exposure to equities and commodities.
- **Short-Term**: Look for buying opportunities in oversold assets (e.g., RSI < 30).
---
### **Why Use the Global M2 Index Percentage?**
- **Macro Insights**: Understand the broader economic environment and its impact on financial markets.
- **Risk Management**: Identify periods of high or low liquidity to adjust your portfolio accordingly.
- **Enhanced Timing**: Combine with technical analysis for better entry and exit points.
---
### **Conclusion:**
The **Global M2 Index Percentage** is a powerful tool for traders and investors seeking to incorporate macroeconomic data into their strategies. By tracking global liquidity trends, this indicator helps you make informed decisions, whether you're trading short-term or planning long-term investments. Add it to your TradingView charts today and gain a deeper understanding of the global money supply!
---
**Disclaimer**: This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
Silver Bullet ICT Strategy [TradingFinder] 10-11 AM NY Time +FVG🔵 Introduction
The ICT Silver Bullet trading strategy is a precise, time-based algorithmic approach that relies on Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity to identify high-probability trade setups. The strategy primarily focuses on the New York AM Session from 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM, leveraging heightened market activity within this critical window to capture short-term trading opportunities.
As an intraday strategy, it is most effective on lower timeframes, with ICT recommending a 15-minute chart or lower. While experienced traders often utilize 1-minute to 5-minute charts, beginners may find the 1-minute timeframe more manageable for applying this strategy.
This approach specifically targets quick trades, designed to take advantage of market movements within tight one-hour windows. By narrowing its focus, the Silver Bullet offers a streamlined and efficient method for traders to capitalize on liquidity shifts and price imbalances with precision.
In the fast-paced world of forex trading, the ability to identify market manipulation and false price movements is crucial for traders aiming to stay ahead of the curve. The Silver Bullet Indicator simplifies this process by integrating ICT principles such as liquidity traps, Order Blocks, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
These concepts form the foundation of a tool designed to mimic the strategies of institutional players, empowering traders to align their trades with the "smart money." By transforming complex market dynamics into actionable insights, the Silver Bullet Indicator provides a powerful framework for short-term trading success
Silver Bullet Bullish Setup :
Silver Bullet Bearish Setup :
🔵 How to Use
The Silver Bullet Indicator is a specialized tool that operates within the critical time windows of 9:00-10:00 and 10:00-11:00 in the forex market. Its design incorporates key principles from ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology, focusing on concepts such as liquidity traps, CISD Levels, Order Blocks, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) to provide precise and actionable trade setups.
🟣 Bullish Setup
In a bullish setup, the indicator starts by marking the high and low of the session, serving as critical reference points for liquidity. A typical sequence involves a liquidity grab below the low, where the price manipulates retail traders into selling positions by breaching a key support level.
This movement is often orchestrated by smart money to accumulate buy orders. Following this liquidity grab, a market structure shift (MSS) occurs, signaled by the price breaking the CISD Level—a confirmation of bullish intent. The indicator then highlights an Order Block near the CISD Level, representing the zone where institutional buying is concentrated.
Additionally, it identifies a Fair Value Gap, which acts as a high-probability area for price retracement and trade entry. Traders can confidently take long positions when the price revisits these zones, targeting the next significant liquidity pool or resistance level.
Bullish Setup in CAPITALCOM:US100 :
🟣 Bearish Setup
Conversely, in a bearish setup, the price manipulates liquidity by creating a false breakout above the high of the session. This move entices retail traders into long positions, allowing institutional players to enter sell orders.
Once the price reverses direction and breaches the CISD Level to the downside, a change of character (CHOCH) becomes evident, confirming a bearish market structure. The indicator highlights an Order Block near this level, indicating the origin of the institutional sell orders, along with an associated FVG, which represents an imbalance zone likely to be revisited before the price continues downward.
By entering short positions when the price retraces to these levels, traders align their strategies with the anticipated continuation of bearish momentum, targeting nearby liquidity voids or support zones.
Bearish Setup in OANDA:XAUUSD :
🔵 Settings
Refine Order Block : Enables finer adjustments to Order Block levels for more accurate price responses.
Mitigation Level OB : Allows users to set specific reaction points within an Order Block, including: Proximal: Closest level to the current price. 50% OB: Midpoint of the Order Block. Distal: Farthest level from the current price.
FVG Filter : The Judas Swing indicator includes a filter for Fair Value Gap (FVG), allowing different filtering based on FVG width: FVG Filter Type: Can be set to "Very Aggressive," "Aggressive," "Defensive," or "Very Defensive." Higher defensiveness narrows the FVG width, focusing on narrower gaps.
Mitigation Level FVG : Like the Order Block, you can set price reaction levels for FVG with options such as Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
CISD : The Bar Back Check option enables traders to specify the number of past candles checked for identifying the CISD Level, enhancing CISD Level accuracy on the chart.
🔵 Conclusion
The Silver Bullet Indicator is a cutting-edge tool designed specifically for forex traders who aim to leverage market dynamics during critical liquidity windows. By focusing on the highly active 9:00-10:00 and 10:00-11:00 timeframes, the indicator simplifies complex market concepts such as liquidity traps, Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and CISD Levels, transforming them into actionable insights.
What sets the Silver Bullet Indicator apart is its precision in detecting false breakouts and market structure shifts (MSS), enabling traders to align their strategies with institutional activity. The visual clarity of its signals, including color-coded zones and directional arrows, ensures that both novice and experienced traders can easily interpret and apply its findings in real-time.
By integrating ICT principles, the indicator empowers traders to identify high-probability entry and exit points, minimize risk, and optimize trade execution. Whether you are capturing short-term price movements or navigating complex market conditions, the Silver Bullet Indicator offers a robust framework to enhance your trading performance.
Ultimately, this tool is more than just an indicator; it is a strategic ally for traders who seek to decode the movements of smart money and capitalize on institutional strategies. With the Silver Bullet Indicator, traders can approach the market with greater confidence, precision, and profitability.
Macros ICT KillZones [TradingFinder] Times & Price Trading Setup🔵 Introduction
ICT Macros, developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as ICT (Inner Circle Trader), is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify the best trading opportunities during key time intervals like the London and New York trading sessions.
For traders aiming to capitalize on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), understanding and using these critical time zones can significantly improve trading outcomes.
In today’s highly competitive financial markets, identifying the moments when the market is seeking buy-side or sell-side liquidity, or filling price imbalances, is essential for maximizing profitability.
The ICT Macros indicator is built on the renowned ICT time and price theory, which enables traders to track and leverage key market dynamics such as breaks of highs and lows, imbalances, and liquidity hunts.
This indicator automatically detects crucial market times and optimizes strategies for traders by highlighting the specific moments when price movements are most likely to occur. A standout feature of ICT Macros is its automatic adjustment for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring that traders remain synced with the correct session times.
This means you can rely on accurate market timing without the need for manual updates, allowing you to focus on capturing profitable trades during critical timeframes.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Macros indicator helps you capitalize on trading opportunities during key market moments, particularly when the market is breaking highs or lows, filling Fair Value Gaps (FVG), or addressing imbalances. This indicator is particularly beneficial for traders who seek to identify liquidity, market volatility, and price imbalances.
🟣 Sessions
London Sessions
London Macro 1 :
UTC Time : 06:33 to 07:00
New York Time : 02:33 to 03:00
London Macro 2 :
UTC Time : 08:03 to 08:30
New York Time : 04:03 to 04:30
New York Sessions
New York Macro AM 1 :
UTC Time : 12:50 to 13:10
New York Time : 08:50 to 09:10
New York Macro AM 2 :
UTC Time : 13:50 to 14:10
New York Time : 09:50 to 10:10
New York Macro AM 3 :
UTC Time : 14:50 to 15:10
New York Time : 10:50 to 11:10
New York Lunch Macro :
UTC Time : 15:50 to 16:10
New York Time : 11:50 to 12:10
New York PM Macro :
UTC Time : 17:10 to 17:40
New York Time : 13:10 to 13:40
New York Last Hour Macro :
UTC Time : 19:15 to 19:45
New York Time : 15:15 to 15:45
These time intervals adjust automatically based on Daylight Saving Time (DST), helping traders to enter or exit trades during key market moments when price volatility is high.
Below are the main applications of this tool and how to incorporate it into your trading strategies :
🟣 Combining ICT Macros with Trading Strategies
The ICT Macros indicator can easily be used in conjunction with various trading strategies. Two well-known strategies that can be combined with this indicator include:
ICT 2022 Trading Model : This model is designed based on identifying market liquidity, structural price changes, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). By using ICT Macros, you can identify the key time intervals when the market is seeking liquidity, filling imbalances, or breaking through important highs and lows, allowing you to enter or exit trades at the right moment.
Silver Bullet Strategy : This strategy, which is built around liquidity hunting and rapid price movements, can work more accurately with the help of ICT Macros. The indicator pinpoints precise liquidity times, helping traders take advantage of market shifts caused by filling Fair Value Gaps or correcting imbalances.
🟣 Capitalizing on Price Volatility During Key Times
Large market algorithms often seek liquidity or fill Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the intervals marked by ICT Macros. These periods are when price volatility increases, and traders can use these moments to enter or exit trades.
For example, if sell-side liquidity is drained and the market fills an imbalance, the price might move toward buy-side liquidity. By identifying these moments, which may also involve breaking a previous high or low, you can leverage rapid market fluctuations to your advantage.
🟣 Identifying Liquidity and Price Imbalances
One of the important uses of ICT Macros is identifying points where the market is seeking liquidity and correcting imbalances. You can determine high or low liquidity levels in the market before each ICT Macro, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and price imbalances that need to be filled, using them to adjust your trading strategy. This capability allows you to manage trades based on liquidity shifts or imbalance corrections without needing a bias toward a specific direction.
🔵 Settings
The ICT Macros indicator offers various customization options, allowing users to tailor it to their specific needs. Below are the main settings:
Time Zone Mode : You can select one of the following options to define how time is displayed:
UTC : For traders who need to work with Universal Time.
Session Local Time : The local time corresponding to the London or New York markets.
Your Time Zone : You can specify your own time zone (e.g., "UTC-4:00").
Your Time Zone : If you choose "Your Time Zone," you can set your specific time zone. By default, this is set to UTC-4:00.
Show Range Time : This option allows you to display the time range of each session on the chart. If enabled, the exact start and end times of each interval are shown.
Show or Hide Time Ranges : Toggle on/off for visual clarity depending on user preference.
Custom Colors : Set distinct colors for each session, allowing users to personalize their chart based on their trading style.These settings allow you to adjust the key time intervals of each trading session to your preference and customize the time format according to your own needs.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Macros indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping them to identify key time intervals where the market seeks liquidity or fills Fair Value Gaps (FVG), corrects imbalances, and breaks highs or lows. This tool is especially valuable for traders using liquidity-based strategies such as ICT 2022 or Silver Bullet.
One of the key features of this indicator is its support for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring you are always in sync with the correct trading session timings without manual adjustments. This is particularly beneficial for traders operating across different time zones.
With ICT Macros, you can capitalize on crucial market opportunities during sensitive times, take advantage of imbalances, and enhance your trading strategies based on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps.
Market Structure Trailing Stop [BigBeluga]The Market Structure Trailing Stop indicator is an advanced tool for identifying market structure shifts, liquidity sweeps, and potential trend reversals using comprehensive volume analysis. This indicator combines the analysis of market structure pivots (CHoCH - Change of Character) with a sophisticated volume-based trailing stop logic. By evaluating delta volume at key structural points, it allows traders to identify high-probability trend continuations or reversals and manage their trades more effectively.
🔵 KEY FEATURES
● Market Structure Analysis
Pivot-Based Market Structure : The indicator identifies high and lows using user-defined periods, allowing traders to spot key market structure shifts.
Change of Character (CHoCH) : The first significant break of a market structure is marked as a CHoCH, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Break of Structure (BoS) : The indicator highlights subsequent breaks of structure after CHoCH, providing traders with crucial insights into trend strength.
● Advanced Volume Analysis
Delta Volume Evaluation : The indicator calculates delta volume (difference between up and down volume) at each ChoCh or BoS market structure point to assess the strength of the move. Identify Delta Volume from break point back to Pivot
● Trailing Stop Logic
Volume-Validated Trailing Stop : The indicator automatically plots a trailing stop if the delta volume at the UP CHoCH is positive and above the defined threshold and vice versa for Down CHoCH , allowing traders to protect their profits while riding the trend.
Trend Weakness Detection : If a subsequent BoS occurs with negative delta volume or lower volume than the input threshold, the trailing stop disappears, indicating potential trend exhaustion or reversal.
Dynamic Stop Placement : The trailing stop is dynamically adjusted based on market structure and volume, providing traders with a more adaptive stop-loss strategy.
Up Trend Trailing Stop:
Down Trend Trailing Stop:
● Liquidity Sweep Detection
Liquidity Sweep (X) Labels : The indicator identifies liquidity sweeps—points where the price temporarily reverses to sweep liquidity above or below a key level—marked with an “X” label.
Potential Reversal Zones : These liquidity sweeps are potential reversal zones, especially when accompanied by significant delta volume changes, providing traders with early warnings of potential trend reversals.
🔵 HOW TO USE
● Identifying Market Structure Shifts
Change of Character (CHoCH) : When a CHoCH occurs, the indicator calculates the total volume from the high point to the break point. If the delta volume is positive and exceeds the input threshold, a trailing stop is plotted, signaling potential trend continuation.
Break of Structure (BoS) : If BoS is enabled, subsequent breaks of structure are highlighted. If these BoS points show weaker volume or negative delta volume, the trailing stop will disappear, indicating that the trend may be losing strength.
● Using the Trailing Stop Feature
Protecting Profits : Once a CHoCH occurs and the delta volume validates the trend, the trailing stop will be plotted below (or above) the price to protect profits while allowing the trend to run.
Trend Reversal Signals : If the trailing stop disappears due to weak volume at subsequent BoS points, it may signal that the trend is losing momentum, and traders may consider closing their positions or tightening their stops manually.
● Liquidity Sweep Interpretation
Spotting Reversal Zones : Liquidity sweeps, marked with an “X” label, indicate zones where the price has swept liquidity. These areas can serve as potential reversal zones, especially when significant delta volume is observed at these points.
Early Reversal Warnings : Traders can use these liquidity sweep labels as early warnings for potential trend reversals, particularly in conjunction with other technical analysis methods.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Highs and Lows Calculation : Customize the number of bars to the left and right for identifying pivots and market structure shifts.
Volume Threshold : Define the volume threshold to filter out weaker moves and focus on significant market structure shifts.
BoS and Liquidity Sweep Labels : Toggle on or off the BoS and Liquidity Sweep labels to tailor the indicator to your trading style.
Trend Color : Enable or disable trend coloring for candles to visually highlight uptrends and downtrends on the chart.
🔵 CONCLUSION
The Market Structure Trailing Stop indicator combines advanced volume analysis with market structure detection to provide traders with a powerful tool for identifying and managing trends. By leveraging delta volume at key structure points, it helps traders validate trend strength and manage their positions with a dynamic trailing stop strategy. The addition of liquidity sweep detection further enhances its utility, offering early warnings of potential trend reversals. This indicator is ideal for traders who want to gain a deeper understanding of market structure while incorporating volume-based insights into their trading strategies.
Dark Energy Divergence OscillatorThe Dark Energy Divergence Oscillator (DEDO)
What makes The Universe grow at an accelerating pace?
Dark Energy.
What makes The Economy grow at an accelerating pace?
Debt.
Debt is the Dark Energy of The Economy.
I pronounce DEDO "Deed-oh", but variations are fine with me.
Note: The Pine Script version of DEDO is improved from the original formula, which used a constant all-time high calculation in the normalization factor. This was technically not as accurate for calculating liquidity pressure in historical data because it meant that historical prices were being tested against future liquidity factors. Now using Pine, the functions can be normalized for the bar at the time of calculation, so the liquidity factors are normalized per candle, not across the entire series, which feels like an improvement to me.
Thought Process:
It's all about the liquidity. What I started with is a correlation between major stock indices such as SPX and WRESBAL , a balance sheet metric on FRED
After September 2008, when QE was initiated, many asset valuations started to follow more closely with liquidity factors. This led me to create a function that could combine asset prices and liquidity in WRESBAL , in order to calculate their divergence and chart the signal in TradingView.
The original formula:
First, we don't want "non-QE" data. we only want data for the market affected by QE .
So, find SPX on the day of pre-QE: 1255.08 and subtract that from the 2022 top 4818.62 = 3563.54
With this post-QE SPX range, now you can normalize the price level simply by dividing by the range = ( SPX -1255.08)/3563.54)
Normalization produces values from 0 to 1 so that they can be compared with other normalized figures.
In order to test the 0 to 1 normalized SPX range measure against the liquidity number, WRESBAL , it's the same idea: normalize it using the max as the denominator and you get a 0 to 1 liquidity index:
( WRESBAL /4276000000000)
Subtract one from the other to get the divergence:
(( WRESBAL /4276000000000)-(( SPX -1255.08)/3563.54))*10
x10 to reduce decimal places, but this option is configurable in DEDO's input settings tab.
Positive values indicate there's ample liquidity to hold up price or even create bullish momentum in some cases. Negative values mean price levels are potentially extended beyond what liquidity levels can support.
Note: many viewers of the charts on social media wanted the values to go down in alignment with price moving down, so inverting the chart is what I do with Option + I. I like the fact that negative values represent a deficit in liquidity to hold up price but that's just me.
Now with Pine Script and some help from other liquidity focused accounts on TradingView , I was able to derive a script that includes central bank liquidity and Reverse Repo liquidity drain, all in one algorithm, with adjustable settings.
Central bank assets included in this version:
-JPY (Japan)
-CNY (China)
-UK (British Pound)
-SNB (Swiss National Bank)
-ECB (European Central Bank )
Central Bank assets can be adjusted to an allocation % so that the formula is adjusted for the market cap of the asset.
A handy table in the lower right corner displays useful information about the asset market cap, and percentage it represents in the liquidity pool.
Reverse repo soak is also an optional addition in the Input settings using the RRPONTSYD value from FRED. This value is subtracted from global liquidity used to determine divergence since it is swept away from markets when residing in the Fed's reverse repo facility.
There is an option to draw a line at the Zero bound. This provides a convenience so that the line doesn't keep having to be redrawn on every chart. The normalized equation produces a value that should oscillate around zero, as price/valuation grows past liquidity support, falls under it, and repeats in cycles.
Gross and Net LTF Volume + Trailing Percentile Sessions CVOL Hi Traders !
Gross volume, net lower time frame (LTF) volume and trailing session percentile Cumulative session volume:
The code calculates and plots the following volume indicators:
Volume (Gross Volume): The total volume for the current bar.
Net lower time frame volume: The difference between the buy and sell volumes of the lower time frame.
Cumulative daily session volume: The cumulative sum of the volume for the current day.
Percentile Cumulative daily session volume: The percentile of the cumulative daily session volume (calculated on a rolling basis).
The above indicators may be plotted exclusively or exclusively.
Why is Volume important:
Volume is the number of shares or contracts traded (of a financial asset) during a given time period (timeframe). It is a crucial indicator in technical analysis and quantitative trading, as volume helps in identifying
Price Confirmation: Volume confirms price movements by indicating the level of interest and participation in the market. When prices move significantly, accompanied by strong volume, it suggests that the movement is likely to be sustained. Conversely, if prices move without significant volume, it suggests that the movement may be temporary or lacking conviction.
Trend Strength: Volume can help identify the strength and direction of a trend. During an uptrend, increasing volume alongside price increases indicates that the upward momentum is gaining traction. Conversely, decreasing volume during an uptrend suggests that the upward momentum may be weakening.
Reversal Points: Sharp volume spikes in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend can signal a potential reversal point. This is because large volume indicates a significant shift in trader sentiment, suggesting that the trend may be changing direction.
Liquidity: High volume indicates that a security is liquid, meaning that it can be easily bought and sold without significant price impact. Liquidity is important for traders who want to execute large orders without significantly affecting the market price.
For example, suppose we want to identify positive price confirmation and positive trend strength, in this case we may use the CVOL (with trailing percentile).
The above image showcases price expansion conditional on high positive volume (increasing CVOL), The price expansion also exhibits Volume confluences (the colored bars).
Positive Confluence: Increase in positive total volume and an increase in positive lower time frame volume in relative and absolute terms.
Negative Confluence : Increase in negative total volume and an increase in negative lower time frame volume in relative and absolute terms.
Also note how the percentile color does not change, this means that the new volume bars are > than the highest percentile (80%) of volume values from the beginning of the session.
Smart Money Concepts IndicatorBEST ICT AND SMC INDICATOR
The **Smart Money Concepts Indicator** is designed to enhance trading decisions by incorporating key principles from Smart Money Concepts (SMC), focusing on the detection of market structure changes, liquidity zones, order flow, and order blocks. This indicator is particularly useful for traders looking to understand market dynamics and make informed trading decisions based on advanced market analysis.
#### Key Features:
1. **Break of Structure (BOS)**:
- Identifies upward and downward breaks in market structure, indicating potential trend reversals.
- Visual markers on the chart help traders spot these critical levels.
2. **Change of Character (CHOCH)**:
- Detects significant changes in market direction, highlighting potential shifts in momentum.
- Clearly labeled signals indicate when the market may be changing its character.
3. **Order Blocks**:
- Highlights order blocks, which are key areas where significant buying or selling has occurred.
- Provides visual cues for potential support and resistance zones.
4. **Liquidity Zones**:
- Marks liquidity zones, indicating areas where buy-side or sell-side liquidity may be targeted.
- Helps traders understand where the market might draw liquidity.
5. **Dynamic Take Profit and Stop Loss Levels**:
- Calculates and plots take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels based on the Average True Range (ATR) for adaptive risk management.
- Customizable multipliers allow traders to adjust levels based on their risk tolerance.
6. **Order Flow Analysis**:
- Displays bullish and bearish order flow signals based on candle close relative to open.
- Provides insights into market sentiment and potential future price action.
#### How to Use:
- **Identifying Entry and Exit Points**: Use BOS and CHOCH signals to find potential entry points, while leveraging TP and SL levels for risk management.
- **Market Analysis**: Analyze order blocks and liquidity zones to make informed decisions on market behavior.
- **Visual Confirmation**: The clear visual cues provided by the indicator make it easier to interpret market movements and align trades with institutional behavior.
#### Conclusion:
The Smart Money Concepts Indicator is an invaluable tool for traders looking to enhance their understanding of market structure and make more informed trading decisions. By integrating advanced concepts like BOS, CHOCH, and liquidity analysis, this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with greater confidence.
NetLiquidityLibraryMacFLibrary "NetLiquidityLibraryMacF"
The Net Liquidity Library provides daily values for net liquidity. Net liquidity is measured as Fed Balance Sheet - Treasury General Account - Reverse Repo. Time series for each individual component included too.
get_net_liquidity(component)
Gets the Net Liquidity time series for the last 250 trading days. Dates that are not present are represented as na.
Parameters:
component (simple string) : The component of the Net Liquidity function to return. Possible values: 'fed', 'tga', and 'rrp'. (`Net Liquidity` is returned if no argument is supplied).
Returns: The Net Liquidity time series or a component of the Net Liquidity function.
Candle Range DetectorCandle Range Detector
// Pine Script v6
// Detects candle-based ranges, mitigations, and sweeps with advanced logic
Overview
This indicator automatically detects price ranges based on candle containment, then tracks when those ranges are mitigated (broken) and when a sweep occurs. It is designed for traders who want to identify liquidity events and range breaks with precision.
How It Works
- Range Detection: A range is formed when a candle is fully contained within the previous candle (its high is lower and its low is higher). This marks a potential area of price balance or liquidity.
- Mitigation: A range is considered mitigated when price closes beyond its extension levels (configurable by normal or Fibonacci logic). This signals that the range has been invalidated or "taken out" by price action.
- Sweep Detection: After mitigation, the script watches for a sweep event: a candle that both trades through the range extreme and closes decisively beyond the log-mid of the candle itself. This is a strong sign of a liquidity grab or stop run.
- Alerts & Visuals: You can enable alerts and on-chart labels for sweeps. Only the most recent mitigated range can be swept, and each range can only be swept once.
- Timeframe Sensitivity: On weekly or monthly charts, a candle can both mitigate and sweep a range on the same bar. On lower timeframes, only one event can occur per bar.
Why It Works
- Candle containment is a robust way to identify natural price ranges and liquidity pools, as it reflects where price is consolidating or being absorbed.
- Mitigation marks the moment when a range is no longer defended, often leading to new directional moves.
- Sweeps are powerful signals of stop hunts or liquidity grabs, especially when confirmed by a close beyond the log-mid of the candle, indicating strong intent.
Visual Explanation
Tip: Use this tool to spot high-probability reversal or continuation zones, and to get alerted to key liquidity events in real time.
SiCInside Sweep Close (ISC):
This concept captures a specific price action behavior and can help refine trading strategies for better precision. Here's a detailed explanation:
Inside:
The closing price of the candle stays within the range of the previous candle.
This indicates a containment of price action, suggesting indecision or preparation for a significant move.
Sweep:
The wick of the candle takes out (or "sweeps") the low (or high) of the previous candle.
This sweep can trigger stop-losses of retail traders or activate pending orders, often used by smart money strategies.
Close:
The candle ultimately closes inside the range of the previous candle.
This close signifies that the sweep was a liquidity grab rather than a genuine breakout, providing an actionable trading signal.
How ISC Can Be Used in Trading:
Liquidity Grab Recognition:
ISC can indicate when liquidity is swept from the market, making it an ideal entry point for traders anticipating a reversal or continuation.
Smart Money Concept (SMC) Synergy:
If you follow SMC principles, ISC aligns with key concepts like liquidity sweeps, order blocks, and mitigation zones.
Risk Management:
By identifying the ISC setup, you can place tighter stop-loss levels just outside the sweep, optimizing risk-reward ratios.
Entry Signals:
When you spot an ISC, you can enter trades at the close of the candle, anticipating a move in the direction opposite to the sweep.
Example of ISC in Action:
Imagine a bearish candle:
The wick sweeps the low of the previous candle, possibly triggering stop-losses.
However, the close stays inside the previous candle’s range.
This setup might indicate a reversal, where price moves upward after grabbing liquidity.
Why This Name Works:
It’s concise, professional, and directly linked to the trading action you’re describing.
The short form, ISC, is easy to remember and discuss within trading circles or while teaching others.
It ties into widely known concepts like smart money, price action, and liquidity sweeps, making it relatable yet unique.
Does this align with how you envision using the concept? Let me know if you’d like more refinements or visual examples!
Sessions Lite [TradingFinder] New York, London, Asia, NYSE Forex🔵 Introduction
A trading session is one of the basic concepts in the financial market that refers to specific time periods. In fact, a session means hours during the day and night, during which traders in a certain part of the world conduct their transactions.
Although the "Forex" and "CFDs" market is open 24 hours a day and it is possible to trade in it, but in some hours the activity in this market decreases so much that many traders prefer not to trade and only watch the market. On the other hand, there are specific times when the market is very busy and dynamic, and many traders tend to trade during these hours of the day and night.
Trading sessions are usually divided into three main categories, which are "Asian", "European" and "North American" sessions. These trading sessions are also called the "Tokyo", "London" and "New York" sessions, respectively. But they also categorized these sessions in more detailed ways such as "Sydney session", "Shanghai session" or "NYSE session".
🔵 Tokyo trading session (Asian session)
After the weekend that happens on Saturday and Sunday, the Forex market starts with the Asian session. In this continent, most of the transactions are done in the Tokyo session, and for this reason, it is usually called the Asian session or the Tokyo session. However, other countries such as Australia, China and Singapore also do a lot of trading in this session.
The Tokyo session has a lower volume of transactions compared to the London and New York sessions, and therefore the liquidity is lower. In this session, most of the Forex currency pairs move in a price range. For this reason, different people use the ups and downs with the trading strategy in the range and get profit.
The low liquidity of the Tokyo session means that trading spreads are also higher during these hours. Besides, most of the transactions of this session are done in the early hours and at the same time as the planned news release.
In the Tokyo or Asia session, the best currency pairs to trade are the "Japanese yen", the "Australian dollar", and the "New Zealand dollar".
"Nikkei" index is also a good option for trading. If you trade in the Tokyo session, you should also be aware of the release of economic news and data from Australian, New Zealand and Japanese financial institutions.
🔵 London trading session (European session)
After the Asian session, it is time for the European session. In this period of time, transactions are very large and many European markets are involved. However, the European session is usually known as the London session.
Because of its specific time zone, London is not only known as the Forex trading center in Europe, but it is also known as the Forex trading center in the world. The London session overlaps with two other major trading sessions in the world, Asia and America. This means that most of the Forex transactions are done in this session. According to the latest statistics, 32% of Forex transactions are related to the London session, which shows that about a third of the activity performed in Forex takes place during this period.
This will increase the volume of Forex transactions and increase liquidity. An event that causes the spread of transactions to decrease. Of course, high liquidity also leads to greater volatility, which is desirable for many traders.
In the European session, the pound and euro currencies and the "DAX", "FTSE100", and "CAC40" indices are known as the best tradable assets. Also, traders of this session should pay attention to the news and data published by the "European Central Bank" and the "Bank of England". The news of countries like Germany, France and Italy are also very important.
🔵 American trading session (New York session)
When the New York session begins, several hours have passed since the end of the Tokyo session, but the European session is in the middle. In this session, they usually affect the financial activities carried out in America, but they also affect other countries such as Canada, Mexico and several South American countries.
The "US dollar" and stock indices such as "S&P", "Dow Jones" and "Nasdaq" are the most important assets that are traded in this session.
The early hours of the American session have a lot of liquidity and volatility due to the overlap with the European session, but with the end of the European session, the activity in the American session also decreases.
You can trade all major Forex currency pairs in the New York trading session. In this session, the "Federal Reserve", as the most important central bank in the world, is the institution that you should pay attention to its news and data.
The trading session indicator is an analytical tool in the financial markets that is used to display and analyze specific trading periods during a day. These indicators are generally useful for determining support and resistance levels during any trading session and for detecting different trading patterns.
For example, usually these indicators display the open and close price levels, the highest and lowest prices during a trading session. Also, you may notice various price patterns such as price channels, price phase phases and market trend changes during different trading sessions using these indicators.
🔵 cause of construction
In particular, the session light indicator version is designed and built for those traders who use many different tools on their chart at the same time. These traders can include "Volume Traders", "ICT traders", "Day Traders" and... These individuals can use "Session Lite" without disturbing the display of their other trading tools such as "Order Blocks", "Liquidity", "Zigzag", "FVG" etc.
But in general, there are several reasons for making tools like trading session indicators in financial markets, some of which include the following :
1. Analysis of specific time frames : Some traders and investors like to consider specific time frames for price analysis and review. For example, analyzing price changes during each trading session can help analyze trading patterns and identify trading opportunities.
2. Recognize different price patterns : Different price patterns may be observed during trading sessions. Trading session indicators can help to make better trading decisions by analyzing these patterns and their strengths and weaknesses.
3. Identifying Support and Resistance Levels : These tools may help to identify support and resistance levels during any trading session which can be helpful in deciding whether to enter or exit the market.
🔵 How to use
The Session Lite indicator displays 8 sessions by default. Asia session, Sydney session, Tokyo session, Shanghai session, Europe session, London session, New York session and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) session are the sessions that are displayed.
You can activate or deactivate the display of each session by using the tick button next to the name of each session.
Two gray vertical dashes are also displayed by default, which indicate the beginning of the European session and the New York session. This feature is available for all sessions, but it is enabled by default only for these two sessions, and you can activate it for the rest of the session. You can enable or disable the display of this line by using the Start Session tick key.
Likewise, the information table is displayed by default, which includes the open or closed information of each session and the start and end times of each session. These timings are based on the UTC time zone.
Accordingly, the schedule of trading sessions is as follows :
Asia session from 23:00 to 06:00
Sydney session from 23:00 to 05:00
Tokyo session from 00:00 to 00:06
Shanghai session from 01:30 to 06:57
European session from 07:00 to 16:30
London session from 08:00 to 16:30
New York session from 13:00 to 22:00
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) session from 14:30 to T 22:00
Important note : the beginning of the European session coincides with the opening of the Frankfurt market.
🔵 Settings
• In the settings section, there are customization capabilities according to the type of use of each user. The settings related to showing or not showing the box of each session, the start indicator of each session, setting the start and end time of the session and choosing the desired color to display each session are among the things that can be set from this section.
• At the end of the settings, you will see the "Info Table" option; By disabling this option, the "sessions" clock table displayed on the upper right side will be disabled.
Currency Futures StatisticsThe "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator provides comprehensive insights into the performance and characteristics of various currency futures. This indicator is crucial for portfolio management as it combines multiple metrics that are instrumental in evaluating currency futures' risk and return profiles.
Metrics Included:
Historical Volatility:
Definition: Historical volatility measures the standard deviation of returns over a specified period, scaled to an annual basis.
Importance: High volatility indicates greater price fluctuations, which translates to higher risk. Investors and portfolio managers use volatility to gauge the stability of a currency future and to make informed decisions about risk management and position sizing (Hull, J. C. (2017). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives).
Open Interest:
Definition: Open interest represents the total number of outstanding futures contracts that are held by market participants.
Importance: High open interest often signifies liquidity in the market, meaning that entering and exiting positions is less likely to impact the price significantly. It also reflects market sentiment and the degree of participation in the futures market (Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities).
Year-over-Year (YoY) Performance:
Definition: YoY performance calculates the percentage change in the futures contract's price compared to the same week from the previous year.
Importance: This metric provides insight into the long-term trend and relative performance of a currency future. Positive YoY performance suggests strengthening trends, while negative values indicate weakening trends (Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II).
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) Position:
Definition: This metric indicates whether the current price of the currency future is above or below its 200-day simple moving average.
Importance: The 200-day SMA is a widely used trend indicator. If the price is above the SMA, it suggests a bullish trend, while being below indicates a bearish trend. This information is vital for trend-following strategies and can help in making buy or sell decisions (Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands).
Why These Metrics are Important for Portfolio Management:
Risk Assessment: Historical volatility and open interest provide essential information for assessing the risk associated with currency futures. Understanding the volatility helps in estimating potential price swings, which is crucial for managing risk and setting appropriate stop-loss levels.
Liquidity and Market Participation: Open interest is a critical indicator of market liquidity. Higher open interest usually means tighter bid-ask spreads and better liquidity, which facilitates smoother trading and better execution of trades.
Trend Analysis: YoY performance and the SMA position help in analyzing long-term trends. This analysis is crucial for making strategic investment decisions and adjusting the portfolio based on changing market conditions.
Informed Decision-Making: Combining these metrics allows for a holistic view of the currency futures market. This comprehensive view helps in making informed decisions, balancing risks and returns, and optimizing the portfolio to align with investment goals.
In summary, the "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator equips investors and portfolio managers with valuable data points that are essential for effective risk management, liquidity assessment, trend analysis, and overall portfolio optimization.
