Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Kalman Trend Filter indicator is an advanced trend-following tool designed to help traders accurately identify market trends. Utilizing the Kalman Filter—a statistical algorithm rooted in control theory and signal processing—this indicator adapts to changing market conditions, smoothing price data to filter out noise. By focusing on state vector-based calculations, it dynamically adjusts trend and range measurements, making it an excellent tool for both trend-following and range-based trading strategies. The indicator's adaptive nature is enhanced by options for volatility adjustment and three unique Kalman filter models, each tailored for different market conditions.
█ How It Works
The Kalman Filter works by maintaining a model of the market state through matrices that represent state variables, error covariances, and measurement uncertainties. Here’s how each component plays a role in calculating the indicator’s trend:
⚪ State Vector (X): The state vector is a two-dimensional array where each element represents a market property. The first element is an estimate of the true price, while the second element represents the rate of change or trend in that price. This vector is updated iteratively with each new price, maintaining an ongoing estimate of both price and trend direction.
⚪ Covariance Matrix (P): The covariance matrix represents the uncertainty in the state vector’s estimates. It continuously adapts to changing conditions, representing how much error we expect in our trend and price estimates. Lower covariance values suggest higher confidence in the estimates, while higher values indicate less certainty, often due to market volatility.
⚪ Process Noise (Q): The process noise matrix (Q) is used to account for uncertainties in price movements that aren’t explained by historical trends. By allowing some degree of randomness, it enables the Kalman Filter to remain responsive to new data without overreacting to minor fluctuations. This noise is particularly useful in smoothing out price movements in highly volatile markets.
⚪ Measurement Noise (R): Measurement noise is an external input representing the reliability of each new price observation. In this indicator, it is represented by the setting Measurement Noise and determines how much weight is given to each new price point. Higher measurement noise makes the indicator less reactive to recent prices, smoothing the trend further.
⚪ Update Equations:
Prediction: The state vector and covariance matrix are first projected forward using a state transition matrix (F), which includes market estimates based on past data. This gives a “predicted” state before the next actual price is known.
Kalman Gain Calculation: The Kalman gain is calculated by comparing the predicted state with the actual price, balancing between the covariance matrix and measurement noise. This gain determines how much of the observed price should influence the state vector.
Correction: The observed price is then compared to the predicted price, and the state vector is updated using this Kalman gain. The updated covariance matrix reflects any adjustment in uncertainty based on the latest data.
█ Three Kalman Filter Models
Standard Model: Assumes that market fluctuations follow a linear progression without external adjustments. It is best suited for stable markets.
Volume Adjusted Model: Adjusts the filter sensitivity based on trading volume. High-volume periods result in stronger trends, making this model suitable for volume-driven assets.
Parkinson Adjusted Model: Uses the Parkinson estimator, accounting for volatility through high-low price ranges, making it effective in markets with high intraday fluctuations.
These models enable traders to choose a filter that aligns with current market conditions, enhancing trend accuracy and responsiveness.
█ Trend Strength
The Trend Strength provides a visual representation of the current trend's strength as a percentage based on oscillator calculations from the Kalman filter. This table divides trend strength into color-coded segments, helping traders quickly assess whether the market is strongly trending or nearing a reversal point. A high trend strength percentage indicates a robust trend, while a low percentage suggests weakening momentum or consolidation.
█ Trend Range
The Trend Range section evaluates the market's directional movement over a specified lookback period, highlighting areas where price oscillations indicate a trend. This calculation assesses how prices vary within the range, offering an indication of trend stability or the likelihood of reversals. By adjusting the trend range setting, traders can fine-tune the indicator’s sensitivity to longer or shorter trends.
█ Sigma Bands
The Sigma Bands in the indicator are based on statistical standard deviations (sigma levels), which act as dynamic support and resistance zones. These bands are calculated using the Kalman Filter's trend estimates and adjusted for volatility (if enabled). The bands expand and contract according to market volatility, providing a unique visualization of price boundaries. In high-volatility periods, the bands widen, offering better protection against false breakouts. During low volatility, the bands narrow, closely tracking price movements. Traders can use these sigma bands to spot potential entry and exit points, aiming for reversion trades or trend continuation setups.
Trend Based
Volatility Based
█ How to Use
Trend Following:
When the Kalman Filter is green, it signals a bullish trend, and when it’s red, it indicates a bearish trend. The Sigma Cloud provides additional insights into trend strength. In a strong bullish trend, the cloud remains below the Kalman Filter line, while in a strong bearish trend, the cloud stays above it. Expansion and contraction of the Sigma Cloud indicate market momentum changes. Rapid expansion suggests an impulsive move, which could either signal the continuation of the trend or be an early sign of a possible trend reversal.
Mean Reversion: Watch for prices touching the upper or lower sigma bands, which often act as dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Breakouts: Enable volatility-adjusted sigma bands. During high volatility, watch for price movements that extend beyond the bands as potential breakout signals.
Trend Continuation: When the Kalman Filter line aligns with a high trend strength, it signals a continuation in that direction.
█ Settings
Measurement Noise: Adjusts how sensitive the indicator is to price changes. Higher values smooth out fluctuations but delay reaction, while lower values increase sensitivity to short-term changes.
Kalman Filter Model: Choose between the standard, volume-adjusted, and Parkinson-adjusted models based on market conditions.
Band Sigma: Sets the standard deviation used for calculating the sigma bands, directly affecting the width of the dynamic support and resistance.
Volatility Adjusted Bands: Enables bands to dynamically adapt to volatility, increasing their effectiveness in fluctuating markets.
Trend Strength: Defines the lookback period for trend strength calculation. Shorter periods result in more responsive trend strength readings, while longer periods smooth out the calculation.
Trend Range: Specifies the lookback period for the trend range, affecting the assessment of trend stability over time.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
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Adaptive Kalman filter - Trend Strength Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Kalman Filter - Trend Strength Oscillator by Zeiierman is a sophisticated trend-following indicator that uses advanced mathematical techniques, including vector and matrix operations, to decompose price movements into trend and oscillatory components. Unlike standard indicators, this model assumes that price is driven by two latent (unobservable) factors: a long-term trend and localized oscillations around that trend. Through a dynamic "predict and update" process, the Kalman Filter leverages vectors to adaptively separate these components, extracting a clearer view of market direction and strength.
█ How It Works
This indicator operates on a trend + local change Kalman Filter model. It assumes that price movements consist of two underlying components: a core trend and an oscillatory term, representing smaller price fluctuations around that trend. The Kalman Filter adaptively separates these components by observing the price series over time and performing real-time updates as new data arrives.
Predict and Update Procedure: The Kalman Filter uses an adaptive predict-update cycle to estimate both components. This cycle allows the filter to adjust dynamically as the market evolves, providing a smooth yet responsive signal. The trend component extracted from this process is plotted directly, giving a clear view of the prevailing direction. The oscillatory component indicates the tendency or strength of the trend, reflected in the green/red coloration of the oscillator line.
Trend Strength Calculation: Trend strength is calculated by comparing the current oscillatory value against a configurable number of past values.
█ Three Kalman filter Models
This indicator offers three distinct Kalman filter models, each designed to handle different market conditions:
Standard Model: This is a conventional Kalman Filter, balancing responsiveness and smoothness. It works well across general market conditions.
Volume-Adjusted Model: In this model, the filter’s measurement noise automatically adjusts based on trading volume. Higher volumes indicate more informative price movements, which the filter treats with higher confidence. Conversely, low-volume movements are treated as less informative, adding robustness during low-activity periods.
Parkinson-Adjusted Model: This model adjusts measurement noise based on price volatility. It uses the price range (high-low) to determine the filter’s sensitivity, making it ideal for handling markets with frequent gaps or spikes. The model responds with higher confidence in low-volatility periods and adapts to high-volatility scenarios by treating them with more caution.
█ How to Use
Trend Detection: The oscillator oscillates around zero, with positive values indicating a bullish trend and negative values indicating a bearish trend. The further the oscillator moves from zero, the stronger the trend. The Kalman filter trend line on the chart can be used in conjunction with the oscillator to determine the market's trend direction.
Trend Reversals: The blue areas in the oscillator suggest potential trend reversals, helping traders identify emerging market shifts. These areas can also indicate a potential pullback within the prevailing trend.
Overbought/Oversold: The thresholds, such as 70 and -70, help identify extreme conditions. When the oscillator reaches these levels, it suggests that the trend may be overextended, possibly signaling an upcoming reversal.
█ Settings
Process Noise 1: Controls the primary level of uncertainty in the Kalman filter model. Higher values make the filter more responsive to recent price changes, but may also increase susceptibility to random noise.
Process Noise 2: This secondary noise setting works with Process Noise 1 to adjust the model's adaptability. Together, these settings manage the uncertainty in the filter's internal model, allowing for finely-tuned adjustments to smoothness versus responsiveness.
Measurement Noise: Sets the uncertainty in the observed price data. Increasing this value makes the filter rely more on historical data, resulting in smoother but less reactive filtering. Lower values make the filter more responsive but potentially more prone to noise.
O sc Smoothness: Controls the level of smoothing applied to the trend strength oscillator. Higher values result in a smoother oscillator, which may cause slight delays in response. Lower values make the oscillator more reactive to trend changes, useful for capturing quick reversals or volatility within the trend.
Kalman Filter Model: Choose between Standard, Volume-Adjusted, and Parkinson-Adjusted models. Each model adapts the Kalman filter for specific conditions, whether balancing general market data, adjusting based on volume, or refining based on volatility.
Trend Lookback: Defines how far back to look when calculating the trend strength, which impacts the indicator's sensitivity to changes in trend strength. Shorter values make the oscillator more reactive to recent trends, while longer values provide a smoother reading.
Strength Smoothness: Adjusts the level of smoothing applied to the trend strength oscillator. Higher values create a more gradual response, while lower values make the oscillator more sensitive to recent changes.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Volumetric Rejection Blocks [UAlgo]The Volumetric Rejection Blocks is designed to help traders identify and visualize key price levels where volumetric rejections occur, which may indicate a shift in market sentiment. These rejections can signal potential trend reversals or areas where price action is likely to face support or resistance. By drawing rejection blocks based on volumetric strength, the indicator allows users to observe where significant buying or selling pressure has been exerted, which can be used as a reference point for future price action.
Also indicator dynamically calculates swing highs and lows, analyzes bullish and bearish strengths based on volume-weighted price movements, and displays rejection blocks on the chart. Each rejection block represents an area where the price attempted to move beyond a certain level but faced rejection, either on a close or wick basis. This can be particularly useful for traders who rely on market structure and order flow to make informed decisions about entering or exiting trades.
🔶 Key Features
Swing Length Customization: Allows users to define the swing length, helping tailor the sensitivity of the swing high and low detection to the specific market conditions.
Rejection Block Visualization: Displays up to the last 10 rejection blocks based on user settings, clearly marking areas of significant bullish or bearish rejections.
Volumetric Strength Analysis: The indicator calculates bullish and bearish strength for each rejection block, based on volume-weighted price movements over the last few bars, giving insight into the intensity of the rejection.
Violation Check Type: Offers two options for violation detection—"Close" and "Wick". This allows traders to specify whether a price level is considered broken only if it closes beyond the level or if any wick breaches it.
Bullish and Bearish Block Coloring: Rejection blocks are colored to represent bullish (green) and bearish (red) rejection areas. The color transparency can be adjusted for clear visibility overlaid on the price chart.
Market Structure Labels: Labels and lines marking "Market Structure Shift" (MSS) and "Break of Structure" (BOS) are displayed, giving traders context about significant market structure changes.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Rejection Blocks: These colored blocks on the chart indicate areas where the price faced significant buying or selling pressure. A green block suggests a bullish rejection (support zone), where buyers absorbed the sell-off, potentially pushing the price upward. Conversely, a red block indicates a bearish rejection (resistance zone), where sellers overpowered buyers, potentially driving the price lower.
Strength Analysis: The width of the green and red sections within a rejection block represents the relative bullish and bearish strengths. A wider green section indicates stronger bullish support, while a wider red section suggests more robust bearish resistance. This helps traders gauge the likelihood of price holding or breaching these levels.
Market Structure Shift (MSS) and Break of Structure (BOS): The indicator automatically detects and labels significant changes in market structure. An "MSS" label indicates the first break, suggesting a potential shift in trend direction. A "BOS" label indicates a subsequent confirmation in trend direction, allowing traders to recognize potential trend continuations.
Violation Check: Traders can choose how to interpret breaks of these rejection blocks. Using the "Close" option provides a more conservative approach, requiring a close beyond the level for confirmation. The "Wick" option is more aggressive, treating any wick beyond the level as a break.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Globex time (New York Time)This indicator is designed to highlight and analyze price movements within the Globex session. Primarily geared toward the Globex Trap trading strategy, this tool visually identifies the session's high and low prices, allowing traders to better assess price action during extended hours. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of its features and functionality:
Purpose
The "Globex Time (New York Time)" indicator tracks price levels during the Globex trading session, providing a clear view of overnight market activity. This session, typically running from 6 p.m. ET (18:00) until the following morning at 8:30 a.m. ET, is a critical period where significant market positioning can occur before the regular session opens. In the Globex Trap strategy, the session high and low are essential levels, as price movements around these areas often indicate potential support, resistance, or reversal zones, which traders use to set up entries or exits when the regular trading session begins.
Key Features
Customizable Session Start and End Times
The indicator allows users to specify the exact start and end times of the Globex session in New York time. The default settings are:
Start: 6 p.m. ET (18:00)
End: 8:30 a.m. ET
These settings can be adjusted to align with specific market hours or personal preferences.
Session High and Low Identification
Throughout the defined session, the indicator dynamically calculates and tracks:
Session High: The highest price reached within the session.
Session Low: The lowest price reached within the session.
These levels are essential for the Globex Trap strategy, as price action around them can indicate likely breakout or reversal points when regular trading resumes.
Vertical Lines for Session Start and End
The indicator draws vertical lines at both the session start and end times:
Session Start Line: A solid line marking the exact beginning of the Globex session.
Session End Line: A similar vertical line marking the session’s conclusion.
Both lines are customizable in terms of color and thickness, making it easy to distinguish the session boundaries visually on the chart.
Horizontal Lines for Session High and Low
At the end of the session, the indicator plots horizontal lines representing the Globex session's high and low levels. Users can customize these lines:
Color: Define specific colors for the session high (default: red) and session low (default: green) to easily differentiate them.
Line Style: Options to set the line style (solid, dashed, or dotted) provide flexibility for visual preferences and chart organization.
Automatic Reset for Daily Tracking
To adapt to the next trading day, the indicator resets the session high and low data once the current session ends. This reset prepares it to start tracking new levels at the beginning of the next session without manual intervention.
Practical Application in the Globex Trap Strategy
In the Globex Trap strategy, traders are primarily interested in price behavior around the high and low levels established during the overnight session. Common applications of this indicator for this strategy include:
Breakout Trades: Watching for price to break above the Globex high or below the Globex low, indicating potential momentum in the breakout direction.
Reversal Trades: Monitoring for failed breakouts or traps where price tests and rejects the Globex high or low, suggesting a reversal as liquidity is trapped in these zones.
Support and Resistance Zones: Using the session high and low as key support and resistance levels during the regular trading session, with potential entry or exit points when price approaches these areas.
Additional Configuration Options
Vertical Line Color and Width: Define the color and thickness of the vertical session start and end lines to match your chart’s theme.
Upper and Lower Line Colors and Styles: Customize the appearance of the session high and low horizontal lines by setting color and line style (solid, dashed, or dotted), making it easy to distinguish these critical levels from other chart markings.
Summary
This indicator is a valuable tool for traders implementing the Globex Trap strategy. It visually segments the Globex session and marks essential price levels, helping traders analyze market behavior overnight. Through its customizable options and clear visual representation, it simplifies tracking overnight price activity and identifying strategic levels for potential trade setups during the regular session.
Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) ICT [TradingFinder] Hidden FVG OTE🔵 Introduction
The Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is distinctive due to its unique three-candlestick formation, which differentiates it from conventional Fair Value Gaps.
Implied fair value represents an estimated worth of an asset—often a business or its goodwill—based on the price likely to be received in a structured transaction between market participants at a specific point in time.
In the ever-evolving world of technical analysis, pinpointing price reversal points and market anomalies can significantly enhance trading strategies and decision-making for traders and investors. Among the advanced concepts gaining traction in this field is the Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG), introduced by the renowned analyst Inner Circle Trader (ICT).
This tool has proven to be an effective method for identifying hidden supply and demand zones in financial markets, offering a unique edge to traders looking for high-probability setups.
Unlike traditional gaps that are visible on price charts, IFVG is a hidden gap that doesn’t appear explicitly on the chart and thus requires specialized technical analysis tools for accurate identification.
This hidden gap can signal potential price reversals and offers traders insight into high-liquidity areas where price is likely to react. This article will guide you through using the ICT Implied Fair Value Gap Indicator effectively, covering its settings, usage strategies, and key features to help you make informed decisions in the market.
🟣 Bullish Implied FVG
🟣 Bearish Implied FVG
🔵 How to Use
The IFVG indicator is designed to assist traders in recognizing hidden support and resistance zones by identifying Bullish and Bearish IFVG patterns. With this tool, traders can make better-informed decisions about suitable entry and exit points for their trades based on these patterns.
🟣 Bullish Implied Fair Value Gap
This pattern occurs in an uptrend when a large bullish candlestick forms, with the wicks of the previous and following candles overlapping the body of the central candlestick.
This overlap creates a demand zone or a hidden support level, which can act as an ideal entry point for buy trades. Often, when the price returns to this area, it is likely to resume its upward trend, presenting a profitable buying opportunity.
🟣 Bearish Implied Fair Value Gap
This pattern is similar but forms in downtrends. Here, a large bearish candlestick appears on the chart, with the wicks of adjacent candles overlapping its body. This overlap defines a supply zone or a hidden resistance level and serves as a signal for potential sell trades.
When the price returns to this zone, it often continues its downward trend, providing an optimal point for entering sell trades.
The IFVG indicator also includes various filters that traders can use to refine their analysis based on market conditions. These filters, including Very Aggressive, Aggressive, Defensive, and Very Defensive, allow users to customize the IFVG zones' width, offering flexibility according to the trader’s risk tolerance and trading style.
🟣 Example Trading Scenarios
Suppose you’re in a strong uptrend and the IFVG indicator identifies a Bullish IFVG zone. In this scenario, you could consider entering a buy trade when the price retraces to this zone, expecting the uptrend to resume. Conversely, in a downtrend, a Bearish IFVG zone can signal a favorable entry point for short trades when the price revisits this area.
🔵 Settings
Implied Block Validity Period: This parameter specifies the validity period of each identified block, taking into account the number of bars that have passed since its formation. Proper adjustment of this period helps traders focus only on relevant zones, increasing the accuracy of the analysis.
Mitigation Level OB : This option defines the mitigation level for supply and demand blocks (Order Blocks), with settings including Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
Depending on the selected level, the indicator will focus on closer, mid-range, or farther points for block identification, allowing traders to adjust for the level of precision required.
Implied Filter : Activating this filter allows traders to apply conditions based on the width of the IFVG zones. With options like Very Aggressive and Very Defensive, traders can control the width of IFVG zones to suit their risk management strategy—whether they prefer high-risk setups or low-risk setups.
Display and Color Settings : This section enables users to customize the appearance of the IFVG zones on their charts. Traders can set different colors for Bullish and Bearish zones, allowing for easier distinction and improved visualization.
Alert Settings : One of the standout features of the IFVG indicator is the alert system. By setting up alerts, users can be notified whenever the price approaches a demand or supply zone.
Alerts can be customized to trigger Once Per Bar (one alert per bar) or Per Bar Close (alert at the close of each bar), ensuring that traders stay updated on critical price movements without needing to monitor the chart continuously.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) indicator is a powerful and sophisticated tool in technical analysis, allowing professional traders to identify hidden supply and demand zones and use them as entry and exit points for buy and sell trades.
This indicator’s automatic detection of IFVG zones helps traders uncover hidden trading opportunities that can enhance their analysis.
While the IFVG indicator offers numerous advantages, it is important to use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and sound risk management practices.
IFVG alone does not guarantee profitability in trading; it works best when combined with other indicators such as volume analysis and trend-following indicators for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) v1.0Description
The Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to provide real-time correlation analysis between multiple assets. It offers a comprehensive view of market relationships through correlation coefficients, technical indicators, and visual representations.
Key Features
- Multi-asset correlation tracking (up to 5 symbols)
- Dynamic correlation strength categorization
- Integrated technical indicators (RSI, MACD, DX)
- Customizable visualization options
- Real-time price change monitoring
- Flexible timeframe selection
## Use Cases
1. **Portfolio Diversification**
- Identify highly correlated assets to avoid concentration risk
- Find negatively correlated assets for hedging strategies
- Monitor correlation changes during market events
2. Pairs Trading
- Detect correlation breakdowns for potential trading opportunities
- Track correlation strength for pair selection
- Monitor technical indicators for trade timing
3. Risk Management
- Assess portfolio correlation risk in real-time
- Monitor correlation shifts during market stress
- Identify potential portfolio vulnerabilities
4. **Market Analysis**
- Study sector relationships and rotations
- Analyze cross-asset correlations (e.g., stocks vs. commodities)
- Track market regime changes through correlation patterns
Components
Input Parameters
- **Timeframe**: Custom timeframe selection for analysis
- **Length**: Correlation calculation period (default: 20)
- **Source**: Price data source selection
- **Symbol Selection**: Up to 5 customizable symbols
- **Display Options**: Table position, text color, and size settings
Technical Indicators
1. **Correlation Coefficient**
- Range: -1 to +1
- Strength categories: Strong/Moderate/Weak (Positive/Negative)
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- 14-period default setting
- Momentum comparison across assets
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Standard settings (12, 26, 9)
- Trend direction indicator
4. **DX (Directional Index)**
- Trend strength measurement
- Based on DMI calculations
Visual Components
1. **Correlation Table**
- Symbol identifiers
- Correlation coefficients
- Correlation strength descriptions
- Price change percentages
- Technical indicator values
2. **Correlation Plot**
- Real-time correlation visualization
- Multiple correlation lines
- Reference levels at -1, 0, and +1
- Color-coded for easy identification
Installation and Setup
1. Load the indicator on TradingView
2. Configure desired symbols (up to 5)
3. Adjust timeframe and calculation length
4. Customize display settings
5. Enable/disable desired components (table, plot, RSI)
Best Practices
1. **Symbol Selection**
- Choose related but distinct assets
- Include a mix of asset classes
- Consider market cap and liquidity
2. **Timeframe Selection**
- Match timeframe to trading strategy
- Consider longer timeframes for strategic analysis
- Use shorter timeframes for tactical decisions
3. **Interpretation**
- Monitor correlation changes over time
- Consider multiple timeframes
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
- Account for market conditions and volatility
Performance Notes
- Calculations update in real-time
- Resource usage scales with number of active symbols
- Historical data availability may affect initial calculations
Version History
- v1.0: Initial release with core functionality
- Multi-symbol correlation analysis
- Technical indicator integration
- Customizable display options
Future Enhancements (Planned)
- Additional technical indicators
- Advanced correlation algorithms
- Enhanced visualization options
- Custom alert conditions
- Statistical significance testing
Austin's Apex AcceleratorIndicator Name: Austin’s Apex Accelerator
Overview
The Austin’s Apex Accelerator is a highly aggressive trading indicator designed specifically for high-frequency Forex trading. It combines several technical analysis tools to identify rapid entry and exit points, making it well-suited for intraday or even lower timeframe trades. The indicator leverages a combination of exponential moving averages (EMAs), Bollinger Bands, volume filters, and volatility-adjusted ranges to detect breakout opportunities and manage risk with precision.
Core Components
Fast and Slow EMAs: The two EMAs act as trend and momentum indicators. When the shorter EMA crosses the longer EMA, it signals a change in momentum. The crossover of these EMAs often indicates a potential entry point, especially when combined with volume and volatility filters.
ATR-Based Range Filter: Using the Average True Range (ATR) for dynamic range calculation, the indicator adapts to market volatility. Higher ATR values widen the range, helping the indicator adjust for volatile conditions.
Volume Filter: A volume condition ensures that buy and sell signals only trigger when there’s significant market interest, reducing the likelihood of false signals in low-liquidity environments.
Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands provide additional context for potential overbought or oversold conditions, highlighting opportunities for price reversals or trend continuations.
Key Features
Aggressive Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, confirming bullish momentum, and the volume condition is met. If the price is also near the lower Bollinger Band, it adds further confirmation of an oversold condition.
Sell Signal: A sell signal is generated when the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, confirming bearish momentum, with sufficient trading volume. If the price is near the upper Bollinger Band, it signals a potential overbought condition, which supports the sell signal.
Dynamic Range with ATR:
The indicator uses a volatility-based range, derived from the ATR, to adjust the signal sensitivity based on recent price fluctuations. This dynamic range ensures that signals are responsive in both high and low volatility conditions.
The range’s upper and lower bands act as thresholds, with trades often occurring when the price breaches these levels, signaling momentum shifts or trend reversals.
Trend Background Color:
A green background highlights bullish trends when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA.
A red background signifies bearish trends when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, providing a visual indication of the overall market trend direction.
Trend Line:
The indicator plots a dynamic trend line that changes color based on the price's relationship to the EMAs, helping traders quickly assess the current trend’s strength and direction.
Alerts:
The indicator includes configurable alerts for buy and sell signals, allowing traders to be notified of entry opportunities without needing to monitor the chart continuously.
How to Use Austin’s Apex Accelerator
Identify Entry Points:
Buy Entry: When the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, a buy signal is triggered. Confirm this signal by checking if the price is near or below the lower Bollinger Band (indicating an oversold condition) and if trading volume meets the set threshold.
Sell Entry: When the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, a sell signal is triggered. Confirm the signal by ensuring the price is near or above the upper Bollinger Band (suggesting an overbought condition) and that volume is sufficient.
Exit Strategy:
Take Profit: The take profit level is calculated as 1.5 times the ATR from the entry point. This ensures that each trade aims to achieve a positive risk/reward ratio.
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 1 ATR from the entry, providing a tight risk control mechanism that limits potential losses on each trade.
Trend Identification and Background Colors:
Use the background colors to assess the trend direction. A green background indicates a bullish trend, while a red background suggests a bearish trend. These colors can help you filter signals that go against the trend, increasing the chances of a successful trade.
Volume Confirmation:
This indicator has an inbuilt volume filter to prevent trading in low-volume conditions. Look for signals only when volume exceeds the average volume threshold, which is set by the multiplier. This helps avoid trading during quieter times when false signals are more likely.
Alerts:
Set up alerts for buy and sell signals to be notified in real-time whenever a new trading opportunity arises, so you can act on high-quality signals promptly.
Practical Tips for Using Austin’s Apex Accelerator
Timeframe: Best suited for short timeframes such as 5-minute or 15-minute charts for high-frequency trading.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
India market cap and smart dataThis indicator displays important financial and technical data, such as Market Cap, P/E Ratio, ADR %, etc.
It is specially designed for swing traders.
Key Features and Highlights
- Market Cap Alert: If the Market Cap of a stock is below 1000 crore , it is displayed in red to indicate a potential liquidity issue.
- P/E Ratio for Loss-Making Companies : For companies with net losses, the P/E ratio is shown as 0 and displayed in red , alerting you to the unprofitable status of the company.
- ADR Alert: When the ADR is below 4% , it is highlighted in red . Swing traders typically look for stocks with high ADR.
- 52-Week High Proximity: If a stock is more than 20% below its 52-week high , this data is shown in red .
- 52-Week Low Performance: If a stock is up by more than 70% from its 52-week low , the data is displayed in green , indicating strong performance.
Additional Features
- Toggle data points on or off as desired.
- Supports both dark and light modes.
- Position the table wherever preferred on the chart.
- Customize the ADR % calculation based on the desired number of days (default is 20 days).
Note: The calculation for the percentage away from the 52-week high is based on the closing price of the 52-week high candle, not the high price.
Swing Breakout Sequence [LuxAlgo]The Swing Breakout Sequence tool enables traders to identify a directional price action scalping sequence comprising two unsuccessful breakouts in the same direction, with the expectation of a third.
🔶 USAGE
This sequence looks for pressure on one side of a swing zone.
The market tried to break out of the zone twice but failed. This led to a pullback into the zone after each attempt. Once a reversal inside the zone is identified, the sequence is complete. It is expected that the market will move from the final reversal within the zone to the final breakout attempt outside the zone.
The sequence of price action is as follows:
Point 1: Breakout attempt out of the swing zone
Point 2: Pullback into the zone
Point 3: Breakout attempt out of Point 1
Point 4: Pullback into the zone, tapping into Point 2 liquidity
Point 5: Reversal structure with Point 4 in the form of a double top or double bottom
This sequence assumes traders will be caught off-guard when they try to capitalize on the initial breakout at Point 1, which is likely to result in a loss. If the breakout at Point 3 fails, all traders will be caught out and switch positions.
If there is enough pressure in the swing zone to cause a reversal at Point 5, the trapped traders could be the start of the next breakout attempt.
🔹 Sequence Detection
Traders can define sequence behavior and adjust detection with three parameters from the Settings panel.
Disabling Points 4 and 5 will detect the most uncompleted sequences.
🔹 Showing/Hiding Elements
Traders can change the look of sequences by showing or hiding their parts using the Style settings.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swing Length: Number of candles to confirm a swing high or swing low. A higher number detects larger swings.
Internal Length: Number of candles to confirm a internal high or internal low. A lower number detects smaller swings. It must be the same size or smaller than the swing length.
🔹 Detection
Point 4 Beyond Point 2: It only detects sequences where Point 4 is beyond Point 2.
Show Point 5: Enable/disable Point 5 detection.
Require Equal H/L at Point 5: Enable/Disable double top/bottom detection at Point 5 within a given threshold. A bigger value detects more sequences.
🔹 Style
Show Sequence Path: Enable/disable a line between sequence points.
Show Boxes: Enable/disable colored boxes for each sequence.
Show Lines: Enable/disable horizontal lines from each point of the sequence.
Default Color: Define the color or enable/disable auto color.
Custom Candlestick Pattern IndicatorCustom Candlestick Pattern Indicator - Buy Signal Based on Green Candles Breaking Previous Lows
Overview:
This custom candlestick pattern indicator is designed to highlight potential buy opportunities based on a simple yet powerful candlestick pattern. The indicator identifies green candles that break below the low of the previous candle. This combination may signal a potential market reversal or a bullish continuation after a pullback, depending on the market context. Traders can use this indicator to detect areas where prices may be bouncing from recent lows, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Pattern Explanation:
The strategy underlying this indicator is a two-part condition that must be met before a buy signal is generated:
Green Candle: A green candle forms when the closing price of the current candle is higher than its opening price. This visually represents bullish momentum as buyers have taken control, closing the price higher than where it opened.
Breaking the Previous Low: The low of the current candle must be lower than the low of the previous candle. This suggests that, despite initial bearish pressure during the candle formation (which drove the price below the previous candle's low), buyers stepped in to push the price higher by the candle’s close. This pattern can signify a potential reversal or bullish continuation, as it demonstrates that buyers are overcoming initial selling pressure.
When the Pattern Occurs:
This pattern is particularly interesting to traders who look for potential reversal signals after a brief decline in price.
It may also work well in markets where pullbacks are common, as this pattern could mark the end of a retracement and the resumption of the bullish trend.
How the Indicator Works:
Green Candle: The indicator first identifies a green candle, where the close of the candle is greater than its open (close > open). This signals that the current period closed higher than it opened, which is generally a bullish sign.
Breaking Previous Low: The indicator checks if the current candle's low is below the low of the previous candle (low < low ). If this condition is met, it means the price dropped below the previous candle's low but was still able to close higher (green candle), signaling a potential reversal or buying opportunity.
Buy Signal: If both conditions are true (green candle + breaking previous low), the indicator plots a buy signal below the candle in the form of an upward-facing triangle labeled "Buy" in green. This serves as a visual cue for traders to consider entering a buy position.
Optional Previous Low Plot: For added reference, the indicator plots the previous candle's low as a red step-line on the chart. This helps traders visualize when the price has dipped below the prior candle's low, making it easier to spot instances where the pattern is forming.
How to Use:
This indicator can be used across multiple timeframes, whether you’re trading short-term intraday patterns or longer-term swing trades.
It works well in markets that experience pullbacks or minor retracements, as the pattern it identifies suggests a rejection of lower prices followed by a push higher.
Traders can combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools (such as moving averages, support/resistance levels, or momentum oscillators) to strengthen the buy signals and add more context to the trading decision.
Example Scenarios:
Reversal Signal: Suppose a market has been in a minor downtrend, and suddenly a green candle forms after a low that breaks the previous day’s low. This indicator would generate a buy signal, suggesting the downtrend may be losing strength and that buyers are taking control. This could be an early indication of a reversal.
Bullish Continuation After Pullback: Imagine a market in a steady uptrend experiences a temporary pullback. The price breaks the previous candle’s low, but the current candle closes higher (green candle). This buy signal could indicate that the pullback is over, and the uptrend is likely to continue.
Advantages:
Simplicity: This indicator relies on basic price action (green candles and lows) without requiring complicated indicators or oscillators, making it easy to understand and use.
Visual Alerts: The plotted buy signals and previous lows provide a clear, visual representation on the chart, simplifying decision-making for traders.
Versatility: It can be applied across different timeframes and asset classes (stocks, forex, crypto, etc.), making it a versatile tool for all kinds of traders.
Limitations:
As with any single indicator or pattern, this should not be used in isolation. It is important to incorporate broader market context, support/resistance levels, and other forms of analysis to avoid false signals.
The pattern tends to be more effective when there’s sufficient market liquidity and may perform better in trending or volatile markets compared to sideways or flat markets.
SMT Divergences [OutOfOptions]Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence is designed to identify discrepancies between correlated assets within the same timeframe. It occurs when two related assets exhibit opposing signals, such as one forming a higher low while the other forms a lower low. This technique is particularly useful for anticipating market shifts or reversals before they become evident through other Premium Discount (PD) Arrays.
This indicator works by identifying the highs and lows that have formed for an asset on the current chart and the correlated symbol defined in the settings. Once a pivot on either asset is formed, it checks if the pivot has taken liquidity as identified by the previous pivot in the same direction (i.e., a new high taking out a previous high). If this is the case and the corresponding asset has not taken a similar pivot, the condition is determined to be a potential valid divergence. The indicator will then filter out SMTs formed by adjacent candles, requiring at least one candle difference between the candles forming the SMT.
If the “Candle Direction Validation” setting is enabled, the indicator will further check both assets to ensure that for bullish SMTs, the last high on both assets was formed by down candle, and for bearish SMTs, the low was formed by an up candle. This check can often eliminate low-probability SMTs that are frequently broken.
The referenced chart shows divergence between Nasdaq (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES) futures, which are normally closely correlated assets that move in the same direction. The lines shown represent bullish and bearish divergences between the two when they are formed. As you can see from the chart, SMT Divergences may not always indicate a reversal, or a reversal might be just a short-term retrace. Therefore, SMT Divergences should not be used independently. However, in conjunction with other PD arrays, they can provide strong confirmation of a change in market direction.
Configurability:
Pivot strength - Indicates how many bars to the left/right of a high for pivot to be considered, recommended to keep at 1 for maximum detection speed
Candle Direction Validation - Additional SMT validation to filter out weak/low-probability SMTs be examining candle direction
Line Styling for Bullish/Bearish SMTs - Ability to customize line style, color & width for bullish/bearish SMTs
Label Control - Whether or not to show SMT label and if shown what font size & color should be used
What makes this indicator different:
Unlike other SMT indicators, this indicators has additional built-in controls to remove low-probability SMTs
Advanced Economic Indicator by USCG_VetAdvanced Economic Indicator by USCG_Vet
tldr:
This comprehensive TradingView indicator combines multiple economic and financial metrics into a single, customizable composite index. By integrating key indicators such as the yield spread, commodity ratios, stock indices, and the Federal Reserve's QE/QT activities, it provides a holistic view of the economic landscape. Users can adjust the components and their weights to tailor the indicator to their analysis, aiding in forecasting economic conditions and market trends.
Detailed Description
Overview
The Advanced Economic Indicator is designed to provide traders and investors with a powerful tool to assess the overall economic environment. By aggregating a diverse set of economic indicators and financial market data into a single composite index, it helps identify potential turning points in the economy and financial markets.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Coverage: Includes 14 critical economic and financial indicators.
Customizable Components: Users can select which indicators to include.
Adjustable Weights: Assign weights to each component based on perceived significance.
Visual Signals: Clear plotting with threshold lines and background highlights.
Alerts: Set up alerts for when the composite index crosses user-defined thresholds.
Included Indicators
Yield Spread (10-Year Treasury Yield minus 3-Month Treasury Yield)
Copper/Gold Ratio
High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Stock Market Performance (S&P 500 Index - SPX)
Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Volatility Index (VIX)
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Housing Market Index (XHB)
Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
How to Use the Indicator
Configuring the Indicator:
Open Settings: Click on the gear icon (⚙️) next to the indicator's name.
Inputs Tab: You'll find a list of all components with checkboxes and weight inputs.
Including/Excluding Components
Checkboxes: Check or uncheck the box next to each component to include or exclude it from the composite index.
Default State: By default, all components are included.
Adjusting Component Weights:
Weight Inputs: Next to each component's checkbox is a weight input field.
Default Weights: Pre-assigned based on economic significance but fully adjustable.
Custom Weights: Enter your desired weight for each component to reflect your analysis.
Threshold Settings:
Bearish Threshold: Default is -1.0. Adjust to set the level below which the indicator signals potential economic downturns.
Bullish Threshold: Default is 1.0. Adjust to set the level above which the indicator signals potential economic upswings.
Setting the Timeframe:
Weekly Timeframe Recommended: Due to the inclusion of the Fed's balance sheet data (updated weekly), it's best to use this indicator on a weekly chart.
Changing Timeframe: Select 1W (weekly) from the timeframe options at the top of the chart.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Composite Index Line
Plot: The blue line represents the composite economic indicator.
Movement: Observe how the line moves relative to the threshold lines.
Threshold Lines
Zero Line (Gray Dotted): Indicates the neutral point.
Bearish Threshold (Red Dashed): Crossing below suggests potential economic weakness.
Bullish Threshold (Green Dashed): Crossing above suggests potential economic strength.
Background Highlights
Red Background: When the composite index is below the bearish threshold.
Green Background: When the composite index is above the bullish threshold.
No Color: When the composite index is between the thresholds.
Understanding the Components
1. Yield Spread
Description: The difference between the 10-year and 3-month U.S. Treasury yields.
Economic Significance: An inverted yield curve (negative spread) has historically preceded recessions.
2. Copper/Gold Ratio
Description: The price ratio of copper to gold.
Economic Significance: Copper is tied to industrial demand; gold is a safe-haven asset. The ratio indicates risk sentiment.
3. High Yield Spread (HYG/IEF Ratio)
Description: Ratio of high-yield corporate bonds (HYG) to intermediate-term Treasury bonds (IEF).
Economic Significance: Reflects investor appetite for risk; widening spreads can signal credit stress.
4. Stock Market Performance (SPX)
Description: S&P 500 Index levels.
Economic Significance: Broad measure of U.S. equity market performance.
5. Bitcoin Performance (BLX)
Description: Bitcoin Liquid Index price.
Economic Significance: Represents risk appetite in speculative assets.
6. Crude Oil Prices (CL1!)
Description: Front-month crude oil futures price.
Economic Significance: Influences inflation and consumer spending.
7. Volatility Index (VIX)
Description: Market's expectation of volatility (fear gauge).
Economic Significance: High VIX indicates market uncertainty; inverted in the indicator to align directionally.
8. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Description: Value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies.
Economic Significance: Affects international trade and commodity prices; inverted in the indicator.
9. Inflation Expectations (TIP ETF)
Description: iShares TIPS Bond ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Reflects market expectations of inflation.
10. Consumer Confidence (XLY ETF)
Description: Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for consumer confidence and spending.
11. Housing Market Index (XHB)
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF prices.
Economic Significance: Indicator of the housing market's health.
12. Manufacturing PMI (XLI ETF)
Description: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund prices.
Economic Significance: Proxy for manufacturing activity.
13. Unemployment Rate (Inverse SPY as Proxy)
Description: Inverse of the SPY ETF price.
Economic Significance: Represents unemployment trends; higher inverse SPY suggests higher unemployment.
14. Federal Reserve QE/QT Activities (Fed Balance Sheet - WALCL)
Description: Total assets held by the Federal Reserve.
Economic Significance: Indicates liquidity injections (QE) or withdrawals (QT); impacts interest rates and asset prices.
Customization and Advanced Usage
Adjusting Weights:
Purpose: Emphasize components you believe are more predictive or relevant.
Method: Increase or decrease the weight value next to each component.
Example: If you think the yield spread is particularly important, you might assign it a higher weight.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading and investing involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Always conduct your own analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Candle Range Theory | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Candle Range Theory Indicator! This powerful tool offers a strategy built around the Candle Range Theory, which analyzes market movements through the relative size and structure of price candles. For more information about the process, check the "HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new Candle Range Theory Indicator :
Implementation of the Candle Range Theory
FVG & Order Block Entry Methods
2 Different TP / SL Methods
Customizable Execution Settings
Customizable Backtesting Dashboard
Alerts for Buy, Sell, TP & SL Signals
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The Candle Range Theory (CRT) indicator operates by identifying significant price movements through the relative size and structure of candlesticks. A key part of the strategy is determining large candles based on their range compared to the Average True Range (ATR) in a higher timeframe. Once identified, a breakout of either the high wick or the low wick of the large candle is required. This breakout is considered a liquidity grab. After that, the indicator waits for confirmation through Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Order Blocks (OBs). The confirmation structure must be the opposite direction of the breakout, for example if the high wick is broken, a bearish FVG is required for the short entry. After a confirmation signal is received, the indicator will trigger entry points based on your chosen entry method (FVG or OB), and exit points will be calculated using either a dynamic ATR-based TP/SL method or fixed percentages. Alerts for Buy, Sell, Take-Proft, and Stop-Loss are available.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator stands out because it combines two highly effective entry methods: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Order Blocks (OBs). You can choose between these strategies depending on market conditions. Additionally, the dynamic TP/SL system uses the ticker's volatility to automatically calculate stop-loss and take-profit targets. The backtesting dashboard provides metrics about the performance of the indicator. You can use it to tune the settings for best use in the current tiker. The Candle Range Theory approach offers more flexibility compared to traditional indicators, allowing for better customization and control based on your risk tolerance.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Higher Timeframe: Customize the higher timeframe for analysis. Recommended combinations include M15 -> H4, H4 -> Daily, Daily -> Weekly, and Weekly -> Monthly.
HTF Candle Size: Define the size of the higher timeframe candles as Big, Normal, or Small to filter valid setups based on their range relative to ATR.
Entry Mode: Choose between FVGs and Order Blocks for your entry triggers.
Require Retracement: Enable this option if you want a retracement to the FVG or OB for entry confirmation.
Show HTF Candle Lines: Toggle to display the higher timeframe candle lines for better visual clarity.
2. Fair Value Gaps
FVG Sensitivity: You may select between Low, Normal, High or Extreme FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivities resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivities resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
3. Order Blocks
Swing Length: Swing length is used when finding order block formations. Smaller values will result in finding smaller order blocks.
4. TP / SL
TP / SL Method:
a) Dynamic: The TP / SL zones will be auto-determined by the algorithm based on the Average True Range (ATR) of the current ticker.
b) Fixed : You can adjust the exact TP / SL ratios from the settings below.
Dynamic Risk: The risk you're willing to take if "Dynamic" TP / SL Method is selected. Higher risk usually means a better winrate at the cost of losing more if the strategy fails. This setting is has a crucial effect on the performance of the indicator, as different tickers may have different volatility so the indicator may have increased performance when this setting is correctly adjusted.
Judas Swing ICT 01 [TradingFinder] New York Midnight Opening M15🔵 Introduction
The Judas Swing (ICT Judas Swing) is a trading strategy developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as Inner Circle Trader (ICT). This strategy allows traders to identify fake market moves designed by smart money to deceive retail traders.
By concentrating on market structure, price action patterns, and liquidity flows, traders can align their trades with institutional movements and avoid common pitfalls. It is particularly useful in FOREX and stock markets, helping traders identify optimal entry and exit points while minimizing risks from false breakouts.
In today's volatile markets, understanding how smart money manipulates price action across sessions such as Asia, London, and New York is essential for success. The ICT Judas Swing strategy helps traders avoid common pitfalls by focusing on key movements during the opening time and range of each session, identifying breakouts and false breakouts.
By utilizing various time frames and improving risk management, this strategy enables traders to make more informed decisions and take advantage of significant market movements.
In the Judas Swing strategy, for a bullish setup, the price first touches the high of the 15-minute range of New York midnight and then the low. After that, the price returns upward, breaks the high, and if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback, a buy signal is generated.
bearish setup, the price first touches the low of the range, then the high. With the price returning downward and breaking the low, if there’s a candlestick confirmation during the pullback to the low, a sell signal is generated.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively implement the Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) in trading, traders must first identify the price range of the 15-minute window following New York midnight. This range, consisting of highs and lows, sets the stage for the upcoming movements in the London and New York sessions.
🟣 Bullish Setup
For a bullish setup, the price first moves to touch the high of the range, then the low, before returning upward to break the high. Following this, a pullback occurs, and if a valid candlestick confirmation (such as a reversal pattern) is observed, a buy signal is generated. This confirmation could indicate the presence of smart money supporting the bullish movement.
🟣 Bearish Setup
For a bearish setup, the process is the reverse. The price first touches the low of the range, then the high. Afterward, the price moves downward again and breaks the low. A pullback follows to the broken low, and if a bearish candlestick confirmation is seen, a sell signal is generated. This confirmation signals the continuation of the downward price movement.
Using the Judas Swing strategy enables traders to avoid fake breakouts and focus on strong market confirmations. The strategy is versatile, applying to FOREX, stocks, and other financial instruments, offering optimal trading opportunities through market structure analysis and time frame synchronization.
To execute this strategy successfully, traders must combine it with effective risk management techniques such as setting appropriate stop losses and employing optimal risk-to-reward ratios. While the Judas Swing is a powerful tool for predicting price movements, traders should remember that no strategy is entirely risk-free. Proper capital management remains a critical element of long-term success.
By mastering the ICT Judas Swing strategy, traders can better identify entry and exit points and avoid common traps from fake market movements, ultimately improving their trading performance.
🔵 Setting
Opening Range : High and Low identification time range.
Extend : The time span of the dashed line.
Permit : Signal emission time range.
🔵 Conclusion
The Judas Swing strategy (ICT Judas Swing) is a powerful tool in technical analysis that helps traders identify fake moves and align their trades with institutional actions, reducing risk and enhancing their ability to capitalize on market opportunities.
By leveraging key levels such as range highs and lows, fake breakouts, and candlestick confirmations, traders can enter trades with more precision. This strategy is applicable in forex, stocks, and other financial markets and, with proper risk management, can lead to consistent trading success.
Parent Session Sweeps + Alert Killzone Ranges with Parent Session Sweep
Key Features:
1. Multiple Session Support: The script tracks three major trading sessions - Asia, London, and New York. Users can customize the timing of these sessions.
2. Killzone Visualization: The strategy visually represents each session's range, either as filled boxes or lines, allowing traders to easily identify key price levels.
3. Parent Session Logic: The core of the strategy revolves around identifying a "parent" session - a session that encompasses the range of the following session. This parent session becomes the basis for potential trade setups.
4. Sweep and Reclaim Setups: The strategy looks for price movements that sweep (break above or below) the parent session's high or low, followed by a reclaim of that level. This price action often indicates a potential reversal.
5. Risk-Reward Filtering: Each potential setup is evaluated based on a user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio, ensuring that only high-quality trade opportunities are considered.
6. Candle Close Filter: An optional filter that checks the characteristics of the candle that reclaims the parent session level, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the setup.
7. Performance Tracking: The strategy keeps track of bullish and bearish setup success rates, providing valuable feedback on its performance over time.
8. Visual Aids: The script draws lines to mark the parent session's high and low, making it easy for traders to identify key levels.
How It Works:
1. The script continuously monitors price action across the defined sessions.
2. When a session fully contains the range of the next session, it's identified as a potential parent session.
3. The strategy then waits for price to sweep either the high or low of this parent session.
4. If a sweep occurs, it looks for a reclaim of the swept level within the parameters set by the user.
5. If a valid setup is identified, the script generates an alert and places a trade (if backtesting or running live).
6. The strategy continues to monitor the trade for either reaching the target (opposite level of the parent session) or hitting the stop loss.
Considerations for Signals:
- Sweep: A break of the parent session's high or low.
- Reclaim: A close back inside the parent session range after a sweep.
- Candle Characteristics: Optional filter for the reclaim candle (e.g., bullish candle for long setups).
- Risk-Reward: Each setup must meet or exceed the user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio.
- Session Timing: The strategy is sensitive to the defined session times, which should be set according to the trader's preferred time zone.
This strategy aims to capitalize on institutional order flow and liquidity patterns in the forex market, providing traders with a systematic approach to identifying potential reversal points with favorable risk-reward profiles.
ICT CheckListCredit to the owner of this script "TalesOfTrader"
The Awakening Checklist indicator is a tool designed to help traders evaluate certain key market conditions and elements before making trading decisions. It consists of a series of questions that the trader must answer using the options "Yes", "No" or "N/A" (not applicable).
“Has Asia Session ended?” : This question aims to determine if the Asian trading session has ended. The answer to this question can influence trading strategies depending on market conditions.
“Have you identified potential medium induction?” : This question concerns the identification of potential average inductions on the market. Recognizing these inductions can help traders anticipate future price movements.
"Have you identified potential PoI's": This question asks about the identification of potential points of interest on the market. These points of interest can indicate areas of significant support or resistance.
"Have you identified in which direction they are creating lQ?" : This question aims to determine in which direction market participants create liquidity (lQ). Understanding this dynamic can help make informed trade decisions.
“Have they induced Asia Range”: This question concerns the induction of the Asian range by market participants. Recognizing this induction can be important in assessing future price movements.
“Have you had a medium induction”: This question asks about the presence of a medium induction on the market. The answer to this question can influence trading prospects.
“Do you have a BoS away from the induction”: This question aims to find out if the trader has an offer (BoS) far from the identified induction. This can be a risk management strategy.
"Doas your induction PoI have imbalance": This question concerns the imbalance of points of interest (PoI) linked to induction. Recognizing this imbalance can help anticipate price movements.
“Do you have a valid target in mind”: This question aims to find out if the trader has a clear trading objective in mind. Having a goal can help guide trading decisions and manage risk.
Killzones And Macros LibraryKillzones & Macros Library for Trading Sessions
This Pine Script library is designed to help traders identify and act during high-volatility trading windows, commonly referred to as "Killzones." These are specific times during the day when institutional traders are most active, resulting in increased liquidity and price movement. The library provides boolean fields that return true when the current time falls within one of the killzones or macroeconomic event windows, allowing for enhanced trade timing and precision.
Killzones Include:
London Open, New York Open, Midnight Open, London Lunch, New York PM, and more.
Capture high-volume periods like Power Hour, Equities Open, and Asian Range.
Macros:
Identify key moments like London 02:33, New York 08:50, and other significant times aligned with market movements or events.
This library is perfect for integrating into your custom strategies, backtesting, or setting alerts for optimal trade execution during major trading sessions and events.
MM Relative Volume (RVOL)What this script does:
This script shows you the "Relative Volume" (RVOL) value up to the current minute. RVOL is the volume from market open up to the current minute today, compared to the average of the same over the last n (30 by default) days.
How this script works:
There are a lot of indicators out there for RVOL, but they all take shortcuts that result in sub-par data. This indicator goes the distance to store data for every minute for the last n days for the current chart, then in sums the volume up to the current minute today along with the average of the same up-to-the-minute data from the prior n days to calculate the relative volume of the stock. It's super important to get this data up to the current minute, because most traders use this information primarily during the first 90 minutes of trading, and need to know if this value is going up or down.
How to use this script:
Relative volume can be used to gauge how "In Play" a stock is. If RVOL is less than 1 it is not "In Play" on this trading day and you might not want to trade it. If RVOL is above 2, it is "In Play" and you may want to trade it. When stocks are very "In Play", you can see an RVOL of 5 and above. The higher the RVOL the more "In Play" the stock is. You can also used RVOL for position sizing. If RVOL is <1 you may decide not to take a large position in the name. If RVOL is >3, this may give you more confidence to take a larger position as more reward and more liquidity should be present.
What makes this script original:
This particular implementation of RVOL has never been done before on TradingView to my knowledge. Most other indicators use a rolling average of the prior 30 days which is much easier to do, but this doesn't actually work properly because instead of getting large volume spikes from prior days filtered out correctly, it takes a LOT longer for those to even out as the rolling average eventually smooths down. Instead, with this indicator, any large/small volume days will truly drop off after the moving average length and the calculated average daily volume (ADV) will be accurate up to the minute. For more details on the original concept behind this indicator, check out the blog linked on my profile.
Decoding the Volume of candlesThe indicator is designed for traders who are more interested in market structures and price action using volumes. Volume analysis can help traders build a clearer understanding of zones of buyer and seller interest, as well as liquidity gathering points (traders' stop levels).
Key Features:
The indicator visualizes on the chart the volumes selected according to the trader's chosen settings.
The indicator highlights candle volumes in selected colors, where the volume is greater individually than the volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles. Or the volume that is greater than the sum of volumes of the trader's chosen number of preceding candles.
The indicator mark selected volumes on the chart based on the type of candle. The candle type (1, 2, or 3) is determined by its result (close) relative to other candles.
Volume marked for a type 3 candle draws the trader’s attention to the lack of results from the applied volume compared to the previous candle, indicating potential weakness of the candle’s owner. This is especially important in buyer or seller context areas.
Volume marked for a type 2 candle highlights the presence of results from the applied volume but only relative to the previous candle. In buyer or seller context areas, this can signal weakness of the candle’s owner.
Volume marked for a type 1 candle signals a strong result from the applied volume, indicating potential strength of the candle’s owner.
The marking of volumes can be displayed either on the main chart or on the volume chart, depending on the trader's preference. Colors and symbols for marking can be customized on the Style tab.
Volumes can be filtered on both the volume chart and the main chart according to their marking. This feature can be useful, for example, for traders who don’t work with signs of buyer or seller weakness. In such cases, they can filter out volumes only for type 1 candles.
Good luck exploring the impact of volumes on price behavior!
Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal### Title: Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal
### Overview
The "Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal" is an innovative trading tool designed to offer traders a sophisticated synthesis of momentum, volatility, volume flow, and trend detection into a single comprehensive indicator. This tool stands out by providing an integrated view of market dynamics, which is critical for identifying potential trading opportunities with greater precision and confidence. Its unique approach differentiates it from traditional indicators available on the TradingView platform, making it a valuable asset for traders aiming to enhance their market analysis.
### Unique Features
This indicator integrates multiple crucial elements of market behavior:
- Momentum Analysis : Utilizes Rate of Change (ROC) metrics to assess the speed and strength of market movements.
- Volatility Tracking : Incorporates Average True Range (ATR) metrics to measure market volatility, aiding in risk assessment.
- Volume Flow Analysis : Analyzes shifts in volume to detect buying or selling pressure, adding depth to market understanding.
- Trend Detection : Uses the difference between short-term and long-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to detect market trends, providing insights into potential reversals or confirmations.
Customization and Inputs
The Uptrick indicator offers a variety of user-defined settings tailored to fit different trading styles and strategies, enhancing its adaptability across various market conditions:
Rate of Change Length (rocLength) : This setting defines the period over which momentum is calculated. Shorter periods may be preferred by day traders who need to respond quickly to market changes, while longer periods could be better suited for position traders looking at more extended trends.
ATR Length (atrLength) : Adjusts the timeframe for assessing volatility. A shorter ATR length can help day traders manage the quick shifts in market volatility, whereas longer lengths might be more applicable for swing or position traders who deal with longer-term market movements.
Volume Flow Length (volumeFlowLength): Determines the analysis period for volume flow to identify buying or selling pressure. Day traders might opt for shorter periods to catch rapid volume changes, while longer periods could serve swing traders to understand the accumulation or distribution phases better.
Short EMA Length (shortEmaLength): Specifies the period for the short-term EMA, crucial for trend detection. Shorter lengths can aid day traders in spotting immediate trend shifts, whereas longer lengths might help swing traders in identifying more sustainable trend changes.
Long EMA Length (longEmaLength): Sets the period for the long-term EMA, which is useful for observing longer-term market trends. This setting is particularly valuable for position traders who need to align with the broader market direction.
Composite Signal Moving Average Length (maLength): This parameter sets the smoothing period for the composite signal's moving average, helping to reduce noise in the signal output. A shorter moving average length can be beneficial for day traders reacting to market conditions swiftly, while a longer length might help swing and position traders in smoothing out less significant fluctuations to focus on significant trends.
These customization options ensure that traders can fine-tune the Uptrick indicator to their specific trading needs, whether they are scanning for quick opportunities or analyzing more prolonged market trends.
### Functionality Details
The indicator operates through a sophisticated algorithm that integrates multiple market dimensions:
1. Momentum and Volatility Calculation : Combines ROC and ATR to gauge the market’s momentum and stability.
2. Volume and Trend Analysis : Integrates volume data with EMAs to provide a comprehensive view of current market trends and potential shifts.
3. Signal Composite : Each component is normalized and combined into a composite signal, offering traders a nuanced perspective on when to enter or exit trades.
The indicator performs its calculations as follows:
Momentum and Volatility Calculation:
roc = ta.roc(close, rocLength)
atr = ta.atr(atrLength)
Volume and Trend Analysis:
volumeFlow = ta.cum(volume) - ta.ema(ta.cum(volume), volumeFlowLength)
emaShort = ta.ema(close, shortEmaLength)
emaLong = ta.ema(close, longEmaLength)
emaDifference = emaShort - emaLong
Composite Signal Calculation:
Normalizes each component (ROC, ATR, volume flow, EMA difference) and combines them into a composite signal:
rocNorm = (roc - ta.sma(roc, rocLength)) / ta.stdev(roc, rocLength)
atrNorm = (atr - ta.sma(atr, atrLength)) / ta.stdev(atr, atrLength)
volumeFlowNorm = (volumeFlow - ta.sma(volumeFlow, volumeFlowLength)) / ta.stdev(volumeFlow, volumeFlowLength)
emaDiffNorm = (emaDifference - ta.sma(emaDifference, longEmaLength)) / ta.stdev(emaDifference, longEmaLength)
compositeSignal = (rocNorm + atrNorm + volumeFlowNorm + emaDiffNorm) / 4
### Originality
The originality of the Uptrick indicator lies in its ability to merge diverse market metrics into a unified signal. This multi-faceted approach goes beyond traditional indicators by offering a deeper, more holistic analysis of market conditions, providing traders with insights that are not only based on price movements but also on underlying market dynamics.
### Practical Application
The Uptrick indicator excels in environments where understanding the interplay between volume, momentum, and volatility is crucial. It is especially useful for:
- Day Traders : Can leverage real-time data to make quick decisions based on sudden market changes.
- Swing Traders : Benefit from understanding medium-term trends to optimize entry and exit points.
- Position Traders : Utilize long-term market trend data to align with overall market movements.
### Best Practices
To maximize the effectiveness of the Uptrick indicator, consider the following:
- Combine with Other Indicators : Use alongside other technical tools like RSI or MACD for additional validation.
- Adapt Settings to Market Conditions : Adjust the indicator settings based on the asset and market volatility to improve signal accuracy.
- Risk Management : Implement robust risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders based on the volatility measured by the ATR.
### Practical Examples and Demonstrations
- Example for Day Trading : In a volatile market, a trader notices a sharp increase in the momentum score coinciding with a surge in volume but stable volatility, signaling a potential bullish breakout.
- Example for Swing Trading : On a 4-hour chart, the indicator shows a gradual alignment of decreasing volatility and increasing buying volume, suggesting a strengthening upward trend suitable for a long position.
### Alerts and Their Uses
- Alert Configurations : Set alerts for when the composite score crosses predefined thresholds to capture potential buy or sell events.
- Strategic Application : Use alerts to stay informed of significant market moves without the need to continuously monitor the markets, enabling timely and informed trading decisions.
Technical Notes
Efficiency and Compatibility: The indicator is designed for efficiency, running smoothly across different trading platforms including TradingView, and can be easily integrated with existing trading setups. It leverages advanced mathematical models for normalizing and smoothing data, ensuring consistent and reliable signal quality across different market conditions.
Limitations : The effectiveness of the Uptrick indicator can vary significantly across different market conditions and asset classes. It is designed to perform best in liquid markets where data on volume, volatility, and price trends are readily available and reliable. Traders should be aware that in low-liquidity or highly volatile markets, the signals might be less reliable and require additional confirmation.
Usage Recommendations : While the Uptrick indicator is a powerful tool, it is recommended to use it in conjunction with other analysis methods to confirm signals. Traders should also continuously monitor the performance and adjust settings as needed to align with their specific trading strategies and market conditions.
### Conclusion
The "Uptrick: Momentum-Volatility Composite Signal" is a revolutionary tool that offers traders an advanced methodology for analyzing market dynamics. By combining momentum, volatility, volume, and trend detection into a single, cohesive indicator, it provides a powerful, actionable insight into market movements, making it an indispensable tool for traders aiming to optimize their trading strategies.
Larry Connors RSI 3 StrategyThe Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy. It combines a moving average filter and a modified version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential buying opportunities in an uptrend. The strategy assumes that a short-term pullback within a long-term uptrend is an opportunity to buy at a discount before the trend resumes.
Components of the Strategy:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price must be above the 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend.
2-Period RSI: This is a very short-term RSI, used to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. The standard RSI is typically calculated over 14 periods, but Connors uses just 2 periods to capture extreme overbought and oversold conditions.
Three-Day RSI Drop: The RSI must decline for three consecutive days, with the first drop occurring from an RSI reading above 60.
RSI Below 10: After the three-day drop, the RSI must reach a level below 10, indicating a highly oversold condition.
Buy Condition: All the above conditions must be satisfied to trigger a buy order.
Sell Condition: The strategy closes the position when the RSI rises above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a trader, author, and founder of Connors Research, a firm specializing in quantitative trading research. He is best known for developing strategies that focus on short-term market movements. Connors co-authored several popular books, including "Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies" with Linda Raschke, which has become a staple among traders seeking reliable, rule-based strategies. His research often emphasizes simplicity and robust testing, which appeals to both retail and institutional traders.
Scientific Foundations
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), originally developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. However, the use of a 2-period RSI in Connors' strategy is unconventional, as most traders rely on longer periods, such as 14. Connors' research showed that using a shorter period like 2 can better capture short-term reversals, particularly when combined with a longer-term trend filter such as the 200-day SMA.
Connors' strategies, including this one, are built on empirical research using historical data. For example, in a study of over 1,000 signals generated by this strategy, Connors found that it performed consistently well across various markets, especially when trading ETFs and large-cap stocks (Connors & Alvarez, 2009).
Risks and Considerations
While the Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is backed by empirical research, it is not without risks:
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the premise that markets revert to the mean. However, in strong trending markets, the strategy may underperform as prices can remain oversold or overbought for extended periods.
Short-Term Nature: The strategy focuses on very short-term movements, which can result in frequent trading. High trading frequency can lead to increased transaction costs, which may erode profits.
Market Conditions: The strategy performs best in certain market environments, particularly in stable uptrends. In highly volatile or strongly trending markets, the strategy's performance can deteriorate.
Data and Backtesting Limitations: While backtests may show positive results, they rely on historical data and do not account for future market conditions, slippage, or liquidity issues.
Scientific literature suggests that while technical analysis strategies like this can be effective in certain market conditions, they are not foolproof. According to Lo et al. (2000), technical strategies may show patterns that are statistically significant, but these patterns often diminish once they are widely adopted by traders.
References
Connors, L., & Alvarez, C. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work. TradingMarkets Publishing Group.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research
Ultra High/LowThe Ultra High/Low script helps traders track key price levels by automatically marking significant highs and lows on a chart, highlighting potential reversal points for future trading decisions.
Introduction
The Ultra High/Low script identifies and marks significant highs and lows on a trading chart. These are specific points where the price reached a peak or bottomed out before reversing. The script draws lines at these levels, which can be extended, and it also labels the exact price at these points. This makes it easy for traders to see where the price has changed direction previously, helping them make more informed trading decisions.
Detailed Description
In more detail, the Ultra High/Low script is designed using Pine Script™, a programming language used for creating custom indicators and strategies on the TradingView platform. Here's how it works:
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Detection of Pivot Highs and Lows
The script identifies "pivot highs" and "pivot lows." These are points on the chart where the price reached a local maximum or minimum, surrounded by lower highs (for pivot highs) or higher lows (for pivot lows).
The user can customize how many bars to the left and right of the high or low the script should consider to confirm a pivot (Length argument in the settings).
The script uses Pine Script functions for pivot detection. ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() .
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Drawing Lines and Labels
Once a pivot is identified, the script draws a dashed line from the pivot point to the current price bar. This line helps visualize where significant price reversals have occurred.
The script also adds a label next to these lines showing the exact price of the pivot point. This label also shows "PDH" (Previous Day High) or "PDL" (Previous Day Low) if the pivot is PDH or PDL. Same for "PWH" (Previous Week High) and "PWL" (Previous Week Low).
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Purging and Extending Lines
If the price crosses a pivot line after it has been drawn, the script can either delete the old line (purged line) or keep it and add additional indicators to show that the line has been liquidated.
The script also has options to extend the lines into the right.
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Custom Inputs
The script offers several customizable options, like the color of the lines and labels, whether to show the exact price or not, and whether to extend the lines. This allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs and preferences.
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Overall, the Ultra High/Low script is a powerful visual aid for identifying critical price levels that may influence future price movements, making it easier for traders to make decisions based on historical price behavior.
