Averaging Down Strategy1. Averaging Down:
Definition: "Averaging Down" is a strategy in which an investor buys more shares of a declining asset, thus lowering the average purchase price. The main idea is that, by averaging down, the investor can recover faster when the price eventually rebounds.
Risk Considerations: This strategy assumes that the asset will recover in value. If the price continues to decline, however, the investor may suffer larger losses. Academic research highlights the psychological bias of loss aversion that often leads investors to engage in averaging down, despite the increased risk (Barberis & Huang, 2001).
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Definition: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 (or in this case, 35) typically indicates an oversold condition, which might suggest a potential buying opportunity (Wilder, 1978).
Risk Considerations: RSI-based strategies can produce many false signals in range-bound or choppy markets, where prices do not exhibit strong trends. This can lead to multiple losing trades and an overall negative performance (Gencay, 1998).
3. Combination of RSI and Price Movement:
Approach: The combination of RSI for entry signals and price movement (previous day's high) for exit signals aims to capture short-term market reversals. This hybrid approach attempts to balance momentum with price confirmation.
Risk Considerations: While this combination can work well in trending markets, it may struggle in volatile or sideways markets. Additionally, a significant risk of averaging down is that the trader may continue adding to a losing position, which can exacerbate losses if the price keeps falling.
Risk Warnings:
Increased Losses Through Averaging Down:
Averaging down involves buying more of a falling asset, which can increase exposure to downside risk. Studies have shown that this approach can lead to larger losses when markets continue to decline, especially during prolonged bear markets (Statman, 2004).
A key risk is that this strategy may lead to significant capital drawdowns if the price of the asset does not recover as expected. In the worst-case scenario, this can result in a total loss of the invested capital.
False Signals with RSI:
RSI-based strategies are prone to generating false signals, particularly in markets that do not exhibit strong trends. For example, Gencay (1998) found that while RSI can be effective in certain conditions, it often fails in choppy or range-bound markets, leading to frequent stop-outs and drawdowns.
Psychological Bias:
Behavioral finance research suggests that the "Averaging Down" strategy may be influenced by loss aversion, a bias where investors prefer to avoid losses rather than achieve gains (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This can lead to poor decision-making, as investors continue to add to losing positions in the hope of a recovery.
Empirical Studies:
Gencay (1998): The study "The Predictability of Security Returns with Simple Technical Trading Rules" found that technical indicators like RSI can provide predictive value in certain markets, particularly in volatile environments. However, they are less reliable in markets that lack clear trends.
Barberis & Huang (2001): Their research on behavioral biases, including loss aversion, explains why investors are often tempted to average down despite the risks, as they attempt to avoid realizing losses.
Statman (2004): In "The Diversification Puzzle," Statman discusses how strategies like averaging down can increase risk exposure without necessarily improving long-term returns, especially if the underlying asset continues to perform poorly.
Conclusion:
The "Averaging Down Strategy with RSI" combines elements of technical analysis with a psychologically-driven averaging down approach. While the strategy may offer opportunities in trending or oversold markets, it carries significant risks, particularly in volatile or declining markets. Traders should be cautious when using this strategy, ensuring they manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure to a losing position.
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Price-Volume w Trendline - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Price-Volume with Trendline Strategy is an innovative strategy that combines volume profile analysis, price-based Z-scores, and dynamic trendline filtering to identify optimal entry and exit points in the market. What sets this strategy apart is the integration of volume concentration (Point of Control or PoC) with dynamic volatility thresholds. Additionally, this strategy introduces a multi-step take profit (TP) mechanism that adjusts based on predefined levels, allowing traders to exit trades progressively while capitalizing on market momentum.
BTCUSD 6hr LS Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The combination of multiple indicators and methodologies serves to create a more robust and reliable trading system. Each element is carefully chosen for its complementary role in providing accurate signals while minimizing false entries and exits. Here’s why the different components were chosen and how they work together:
- PoC and Z-Scores: The volume profile identifies key price areas, while the Z-score measures deviations from the mean. Together, they highlight points where the market is likely to react. For example, when the Z-score indicates an oversold condition near a PoC support level, it increases the probability of a reversal, providing a clear entry signal.
- Trendlines and Z-Scores: Trendlines serve as a secondary filter to ensure that price deviations identified by Z-scores align with broader market trends. This ensures that trades are only entered when the price has both deviated from its average and broken through a significant trendline level, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
- Multi-Step TP and Risk Management: Finally, the multi-step take profit logic works in tandem with the entry signals generated by the PoC, Z-scores, and trendlines. As the price moves in favor of the trade, profits are gradually locked in, ensuring the trader captures gains while still leaving room for further upside.
🔶 Point of Control (PoC) and Volume Profile Analysis
The PoC identifies the price level with the highest volume concentration within a specified lookback period. This price level represents where the most trading activity has occurred, often acting as a strong support or resistance. By breaking down the range into several rows (bins), the strategy identifies how much volume was traded at each price level.
🔶 Z-Score Calculation
The Z-score is a statistical metric that measures how far the current price is from its mean, expressed in terms of standard deviations. This is calculated both for price deviation and PoC-based deviation.
🔶 Trendline Breakout Filtering
The trendline filtering is a crucial aspect that refines entry signals by confirming trend continuation or reversals. It calculates trendlines based on pivot highs and lows using the selected method (e.g., ATR or standard deviation).
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit
The multi-step take profit mechanism allows the strategy to take partial profits at several predefined levels. For example, when the price reaches 3%, 8%, 14%, or 21% above (or below) the entry price, it exits portions of the position. This is a useful technique for locking in profits as the market moves favorably.
Local
█ Usage
The Price-Volume with Trendline Strategy can be applied to various asset classes, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, and commodities. It is particularly effective in volatile markets where price deviations and volume concentrations signal potential reversals or trend continuations. By adjusting the settings for volatility and the lookback period, this strategy can be tailored to both short-term intraday trades and longer-term swing trades.
█ Default Settings
The default settings in the strategy play a vital role in shaping its performance.
- POC_lookbackLength (144): This defines the number of bars used to calculate the PoC. A longer lookback captures more data, leading to a more stable PoC, but may result in delayed signals. A shorter lookback increases responsiveness but may introduce noise.
- priceDeviationLength (200): This determines the period for calculating the standard deviation of price. A higher length smooths out the volatility, reducing the likelihood of false signals. Shorter lengths make the strategy more sensitive to sudden price movements.
- TL_length (14): Controls the swing detection period for trendline calculation. A shorter length will generate more frequent trendline breakouts, while a longer length captures only significant moves.
- Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy offers both fixed and SuperTrend-based stop losses. SuperTrend is adaptive to volatility, while fixed stop losses provide simpler risk control. The multi-step take profit ensures that profits are secured progressively, which can improve performance in trending markets by reducing the risk of full reversals.
Each of these settings can significantly affect the strategy’s risk-reward balance. For instance, increasing the stop loss level or the take profit percentages allows the strategy to stay in trades longer, potentially increasing profit per trade but at the cost of larger drawdowns. Conversely, tighter stops and smaller profit targets result in more frequent trades with lower average profit per trade.
Fractal Proximity MA Aligment Scalping StrategyFractal Analysis
Fractals in trading help identify potential reversal points by marking significant price changes. Our strategy calculates a "fractal value" by comparing the current price to recent high and low fractal points. This is done by evaluating the sum of distances from the current closing price to the recent highs and lows. A positive fractal value suggests proximity to recent lows, hinting at upward momentum. Conversely, a negative value indicates closeness to recent highs, signaling potential downward movement.
Moving Averages for Confirmation
We use a series of 20 moving averages ranging from 5 to 100 to confirm trend directions indicated by fractal analysis. An entry signal is considered bullish when shorter-term moving averages are all above a long-term moving average, aligning with a positive fractal value.
Exit Strategy
The strategy employs dynamic stop-loss levels set at various moving averages, allowing for partial exits when the price crosses below specific thresholds. This helps manage the trade by locking in profits gradually. A full exit might be triggered by strong reversal signals suggested by both fractal values and moving average trends.
This open-source strategy is available for the community to test, adapt, and utilize. Your feedback and modifications are welcome as we refine the approach based on collective user experiences.
Negroni Opening Range StrategyStrategy Summary:
This tool can be used to help identify breakouts from a range during a time-zone of your choosing. It plots a pre-market range, an opening range, it also includes moving average levels that can be used as confluence, as well as plotting previous day SESSION highs and lows.
There are several options on how you wish to close out the trades, all described in more detail below.
Back-testing Inputs:
You define your timezone.
You define how many trades to open on any given day.
You decide to go: long only, short only, or long & short (CAREFUL: "Long & Short" can open trades that effectively closes-out existing ones, for better AND worse!)
You define between which times the strategy will open trades.
You define when it closes any open trades (preventing overnight trades, or leaving trades open into US data times!!).
This hopefully helps make back-testing reflect YOUR trading hours.
NOTE: Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts
For ALL strategies, don’t use Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts unless you know EXACTLY the implications.
Specific to my strategy, using a renko chart can make this 85-90% profitable (I wish it was!!) Although they can be useful, renko charts don’t always capture real wicks, so the renko chart may show your trade up-only but your broker (who is not using renko!!) will have likely stopped you out on a wick somewhere along the line.
NOTE: TradingView ‘Deep backtesting’
For ALL strategies, be cynical of all backtesting (e.g. repainting issues etc) as well as ‘Deep backtesting’ results.
Specific to this strategy, the default settings here SHOULD BE OK, but unfortunately at the time of writing, we can’t see on the chart what exactly ‘deep backtesting’ is calculating. In the past I have noted a number of trades that were not closed at the end of the day, despite my ‘end of day’ trade closing being enabled, so there were big winners and losers that would not have materialized otherwise. As I say, this seems ok at these settings but just always be cynical!!
Opening Range Inputs
You define a pre-market range (example: 08:00 - 09:00).
You define an opening range (example: 09:00 - 09:30).
The strategy will give an update at the close of the opening range to let you know if the opening range has broken out the pre-market range (OR Breakout), or if it has remained inside (OR Inside). The label appears at the end of the opening range NOT at the bar that ‘broke-out’.
This is just a visual cue for you, it has no bearing on what the strategy will do.
The strategy default will trade off the pre-market range, but you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range.
Opening Trades:
Strategy goes long when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-over the ‘pre-market’ high (not the ‘opening range’ high); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Strategy goes short when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-under the ‘pre-market’ low (not the ‘opening range low); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Remember, you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range instead.
NOTES:
Using momentum indicators can help (RSI and MACD): especially to trade range plays in failed breakouts, when momentum shifts… but the strategy won’t do this for you!
Using an anchored vwap at the session open can also provide nice confluence, as well as take-profit levels at the upper/lower of 3x standard deviation.
CLOSING TRADES:
You have 6 take-profit (TP) options:
1) Full TP: uses ATR Multiplier - Full TP at the ATR parameters as defined in inputs.
2) Take Partial profits: ATR Multiplier - Takes partial profits based on parameters as defined in inputs (i.e close 40% of original trade at TP1, close another 40% of original trade at TP2, then the remainder at Full TP as set in option 1.).
3) Full TP: Trailing Stop - Applies a Trailing Stop at the number of points, as defined in inputs.
4) Full TP: MA cross - Takes profit when price crosses ‘Trend MA’ as defined in inputs.
5) Scalp: Points - closes at a set number of points, as defined in inputs.
6) Full TP: PMKT Multiplier - places a SL at opposite pre-market Hi/Low (we go long at a break-out of the pre-market high, 50% would place a SL at the pre-market range mid-point; 100% would place a SL at the pre-market low)'. This takes profit at the input set in option 1).
TASC 2024.08 Volume Confirmation For A Trend System█ OVERVIEW
This script demonstrates the use of volume data to validate price movements based on the techniques Buff Pelz Dormeier discusses in his "Volume Confirmation For A Trend System" article from the August 2024 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . It presents a trend-following system implementation that utilizes a combination of three indicators: the Average Directional Index (ADX), the Trend Thrust Indicator (TTI), and the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI).
█ CONCEPTS
In his article, Buff Pelz Dormeier recounts his search for an optimal trend-following strategy enhanced with volume data, starting with a simple system combining the ADX , MACD , and OBV indicators. Even in these early tests, the author observed that the volume confirmation from OBV notably improved trading performance. Subsequently, the author replaced OBV with his VPCI, which considers the proportional weights of volume and price, to enhance the validation of trend momentum. Lastly, the author explored the inclusion of his TTI, a modified MACD that features volume-based enhancements, as a strategy component for improved trend-following performance.
According to the author's research, the ADX+TTI+VPCI system outperformed similar strategies he tested in the article, yielding significantly higher returns and enhanced perceived reliability. Because the system's design revolves around catching pronounced trends, it performs best with a portfolio of individual stocks. The author applies the system in the article by allocating 5% of the equity to long positions in S&P 500 components that meet the ADX+TTI+VPCI entry criteria (see the Calculations section below for details). He uses the proceeds from closing positions to enter new positions in other stocks meeting the screening criteria, holding any excess proceeds in cash.
█ CALCULATIONS
The TTI is similar to the MACD. Its calculation entails the following steps:
Calculate fast (short-term) and slow (long-term) volume-weighted moving averages (VWMAs).
Compute the volume multiple (VM) as the square of the ratio of the fast VWMA to the slow VWMA.
Adjust these averages by multiplying the fast VWMA by the VM and dividing the slow VWMA by the VM.
Calculate the difference between the adjusted VWMAs to determine the TTI value, and take the average of that series to determine the signal line value.
The VPCI utilizes differences and ratios between VWMAs and corresponding simple moving averages (SMAs) to provide an alternative volume-price confirmation tool. Its calculation is as follows:
Subtract the slow SMA from the VWMA of the same length to calculate the volume-price confirmation/contradiction (VPC) value.
Divide the fast VWMA by the corresponding fast SMA to determine the volume-price ratio (VPR).
Divide the short-term VWMA by the long-term VWMA to calculate the VM.
Compute the VPCI as the product of the VPC, VPR, and VM values.
The long entry criteria of the ADX+TTI+VPCI system are as follows:
The ADX is above 30.
The TTI crosses above its signal line.
The VPCI is above 0, confirming the trend.
Signals to close positions occur when the VPCI is below 0, indicating a contradiction .
NOTE: Unlike in the article, this script applies the ADX+TTI+VPCI system to one stock at a time , not a portfolio of S&P 500 constituents.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the trading system outlined by the TASC article. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script.
Moving Average Crossover Swing StrategyMoving Average Crossover Swing Strategy
**Overview:**
The basic concept of this strategy is to generate a signal when a faster/shorter length moving average crosses over (for Longs) or crosses under (for Shorts) a medium/longer length moving average. All of which are customizable. This strategy can work on any timeframe, however the daily is the timeframe used for the default settings and screenshots, as it was designed to be a multi-day swing strategy. Once a signal has been confirmed with a candle close, based on user options, the strategy will enter the trade on the open of the next candle.
The crossover strategy is nothing new to trading, but what can make this strategy unique and helpful, is the addition of further confirmation points, ATR based stop loss and take profit targets, optional early exit criteria, customizable to your needs and style, and just about everything visual can be toggled on/off. This strategy is based on a Trend (MA) indicator and a Momentum (MACD) indicator. While a Volume-based indicator is not shown here, one could consider using their favorite from that category to further compliment the signal idea.
It should be noted that depending on the time frame, direction(s) chosen, the signal options, confirmation options, and exit options selected, that a ticker may not produce more than 100 trades on the back test. Depending on your style and frequency, one could consider adjusting options and/or testing multiple tickers. It should also be noted that this strategy simply tests the underlying stock prices, not options contracts. And of course, testing this strategy against historical data does not assume that the same results will occur in future price action.
Shoutout given to Ripster's Clouds Indicator as pieces of that code were taken and modified to create both the Cloud visualization effects, and the Moving Average Pair Plots that are implemented in this strategy.
BASIC DEFAULTS
All can be changed as normal
Initial capital = 10,000
Order Sizing = 25% of equity (use the "Inputs" tab to modify this)
Pyramiding = 0
Commission = 0.65 USD per order
Price Verification = 1 tick
Slippage = 1 tick
RISK MANAGMENT
You will notice two different percentage options and ATR multipliers. This strategy will adjust position sizing by not exceeding either one of those % values based on the ATR (Average True Range) of the symbol and the multipliers selected, should the stock hit the stop loss price.
For Example, lets assume these values are true:
Account size = $10,000,
Max Risk = 1% of account size
Max Position Size = 25% of the account size
Stock Price = 23.45
ATR = 3.5
ATR Stop Loss Multiplier = 1.4
Then the formulas would be:
ACCT_SIZE * MaxRisk_% = 10000 * .01 = $100 (MaxCashRisk)
-----
MaxCashRisk / (ATR * ATR_SL_MULTIPLIER) = 100 / (3.5 * 1.4) = 20.4 Shares based on Max Cash Risk
-----
(ACCT_SIZE * MaxEquity_%) / STOCK_PRICE = (10000 * .25) / 23.45 = 106.61 Shares based on Max Equity Allocation
The minimum value of each of those options is then used, which in this case would be to purchase 20 shares so as not to exceed the max dollar risk should the stock reach the stop loss target. Likewise, if the ATR were to be much lower, say 0.48 cents, and all else the same, then the strategy would purchase the 106 shares based on Max Equity Allocation because the Max Cash Risk would require 149.25 shares.
MOVING AVERAGE OPTIONS
Select between and change the length & type of up to 5 pairs (10 total) of moving averages
The "Show Cloud-x" option will display a fill color between the "a" and "b" pairs
All moving averages lines can be toggled on/off in the "Style" tab, as well as adjusting their colors.
Visualization features do not affect calculations, meaning you could have all or nothing on the chart and the strategy will still produce results
SIGNAL CHOICES
Choose the fast/shorter length MA and the medium/longer length MA to determine the entry signal
CONFIRMATION OPTIONS
Both of these have customizable values and can be toggled on/off
A candle close over a slower/much longer length moving average
An additional cross-over (cross-under for Shorts) on the MACD indicator using default MACD values. While the MACD indicator is not necessary to have on the chart, it can help to add that for visualization. The calculations will perform whether the indicator is on the chart or not.
EARLY EXIT CRITERIA
Both can be toggled on/off with customizable values
MA Cross Exit will exit the trade early if the select moving averages cross-under (for longs) or cross-over (for shorts), indicating a potential reversal.
Max Bars in Trades will act as a last-resort exit by simply calculating the amount of full bars the trade has been open, and exiting on the opening of the next bar. For example: the default value is 8 bars, so after 8 full bars in the trade, if no other exit has been triggered (Stop Loss, Take Profit, or MA Cross(if enabled)), then the trade will exit at the opening of the 9th bar.
Finally, there is a table displaying the amount of trades taken for each side, and the amount & percent of both early exits. This table can be turned off in the "Style" tab
ADDITIONAL PLOTS
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence):
- The MACD is an optional confirmation indicator for this strategy.
- Plotting the indicator is not necessary for the strategy to work, but it can be helpful to visually see the status and position of the MACD if this feature is enabled in the strategy
- This helps to identify if there is also momentum behind the entry signal
CCI and MACD Auto Trading Strategy with Risk/RewardOverview:
This strategy combines the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators to automate trading decisions. It dynamically sets stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent lows and highs, ensuring a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.5. This script aims to leverage trend and momentum signals while maintaining effective risk management.
Originality and Usefulness:
This script is not just a simple mashup of CCI and MACD indicators; it incorporates dynamic risk management by setting stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent price action. This approach helps traders to:
・Identify potential trend reversals using the combination of CCI and MACD signals.
・Manage trades effectively by setting realistic stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data.
・Maintain a balanced risk/reward ratio, which is essential for sustainable trading.
Indicators Used:
・CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
・Measures the deviation of the price from its average over a specified period, typically ranging from -100 to +100.
・Helps identify overbought and oversold conditions.
・MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
・Utilizes the difference between short-term and long-term moving averages to indicate trend strength and direction.
・Provides momentum signals that can be used for timing entries and exits.
How It Works:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry:
・The MACD histogram is above zero.
・The CCI crosses above the -100 line.
Short Entry:
・The MACD histogram is below zero.
・The CCI crosses below the +100 line.
Exit Conditions:
Long Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent low.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Short Positions:
・The stop-loss is set at the recent high.
・The take-profit is set at 1.5 times the distance between the entry price and the stop-loss.
Risk Management:
・The script dynamically adjusts stop-loss and take-profit levels based on recent market data, ensuring that the risk/reward ratio is maintained at 1:1.5.
・This approach helps in managing the risk effectively while aiming for consistent profits.
Strategy Properties:
・Account Size: Configured for a realistic account size suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Includes settings for realistic commission and slippage to reflect real market conditions.
・Risk per Trade: Designed to risk no more than 5-10% of equity per trade, aligning with sustainable trading practices.
・Backtesting Results: Configured to generate a sufficient sample size (ideally more than 100 trades) for reliable backtesting results.
Revised Backtesting Settings
Ensure that your backtesting settings are realistic:
・Account Size: Set a realistic initial capital suitable for the average trader.
・Commission and Slippage: Include realistic commission fees and slippage.
・Risk Management: Ensure that each trade risks no more than 5-10% of the account equity.
・Sufficient Sample Size: Choose a dataset that will generate more than 100 trades to provide a robust sample size.
KumoTrade Ichimoku StrategyThe KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy is an advanced trading strategy designed to help users identify market trends and potential trading opportunities using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo technical analysis indicator. This strategy leverages the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) along with other crucial indicators such as the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines to generate strong signals.
Main Components of the Strategy:
Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line): Indicates the short-term direction of the price, typically calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 9 periods.
Kijun-sen (Base Line): Indicates the medium-term direction of the price, usually calculated as the average of the highest high and the lowest low over the past 26 periods.
Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B: These two lines form the cloud (Kumo), which projects future support and resistance levels.
Chikou Span (Lagging Span): Plots the current closing price 26 periods back to measure the market's momentum.
Strategy Rules:
Bullish Bias (Bias Bull): Indicates that the prices are in a long-term uptrend. In this strategy, this is confirmed if the low prices are above the daily EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Kijun Sen Touch Down: Occurs when prices cross below the Kijun-sen line and then close back above it, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Tenkan-Kijun Cross Up: A bullish signal generated when the Tenkan-sen line crosses above the Kijun-sen line.
Close Over Tenkan and Kijun: A strong bullish signal when the close price crosses above both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines.
Trading Setups:
Long Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max) and the closing price is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min). This setup is checked over the last 21 bars.
Short Setup: Generated when the Kijun-sen is below the lowest point of the Kumo (senkou_min) and the closing price is above the highest point of the Kumo (senkou_max). This setup is also checked over the last 21 bars. (Not avalible yet)
Entry Conditions:
Ultra Long Entry: This condition checks for a bullish bias, the Tenkan-Kijun cross up or Kijun Sen touch down, high volume, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Main Long Entry: This condition requires the closing price to be above the Kumo cloud, a green Kumo cloud, a bullish bias, the Tenkan rule, and that the price is not within the Kumo cloud.
Exit Conditions:
A trailing stop loss is implemented to protect profits. The stop loss level is dynamically updated based on the highest high of the last 5 bars minus three times the ATR (Average True Range) value.
Visuals on the Chart:
The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines are plotted for visual reference.
The Kumo cloud is displayed with different colors indicating bullish (green) or bearish (red) conditions.
Entry points are marked on the chart, and the trailing stop loss levels are plotted as well.
The KumoTrade Ichimoku Strategy aims to provide a comprehensive approach to trading by combining multiple aspects of the Ichimoku indicator to generate reliable trading signals and manage risk effectively.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop### Description of "Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop"
#### Overview
The "Trend Crawler with Dynamic TP and Trailing Stop" is a comprehensive trading strategy designed for medium-frequency trading on various timeframes and markets. It utilizes a combination of trend identification and volatility analysis to determine optimal entry and exit points, aiming to maximize profitability by adapting to changing market conditions.
#### Strategy Mechanics
1. **Moving Averages**: Users can select between Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to define the trend. The strategy uses two moving averages (fast and slow) to identify the trend direction. A crossover of the fast MA above the slow MA signals a potential bullish trend, while a crossunder signals a bearish trend.
2. **Volume Analysis**: The strategy incorporates volume analysis to confirm the strength of the trend. It calculates a standard deviation of volume from its moving average to detect significant increases in trading activity, which supports the trend direction indicated by the MAs.
3. **Price Spread and RSI**: It uses the price spread (difference between the close and open of each bar) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to filter entries based on market momentum and overbought/oversold conditions. This helps in refining the entries to avoid weak or overly extended moves.
4. **Dynamic Take Profit and Trailing Stop**:
- **Trailing Stop**: As the position moves into profit, the strategy adjusts the stop loss dynamically to protect gains, using a trailing stop mechanism.
- **Dynamic Take Profit**: The take profit levels are adjusted based on the volatility (measured by the standard deviation of the price spread) to capture maximum profit from significant moves.
#### Usage
To use the strategy:
- Set the desired moving average type and lengths according to the asset and timeframe being traded.
- Adjust the RSI thresholds to match the market's volatility and trading style.
- Set the base take profit and stop loss levels along with the trailing stop distance based on risk tolerance and trading objectives.
#### Justification for Originality
While the use of moving averages, RSI, and volume analysis may be common, the integration of these elements with dynamic adjustments for take profit and trailing stops based on real-time volatility analysis offers a unique approach. The strategy adapts not just to trend direction but also to the market's momentum and volatility, providing a tailored trading solution that goes beyond standard indicator-based strategies.
#### Strategy Results and Settings
Backtesting should be conducted with realistic account sizes and include considerations for commission and slippage to ensure that the results are not misleading. Risk per trade should be kept within a sustainable range (ideally less than 5% of account equity), and the strategy should be tested over a sufficient sample size (at least 100 trades) to validate its effectiveness.
#### Chart Presentation
The script’s output includes:
- Colored backgrounds to indicate bullish or bearish market conditions.
- Plots of trailing stops to visually manage risk.
- Entry points are marked with shapes on the chart, providing clear visual cues for trading decisions.
#### Conclusion
This strategy offers traders a robust framework for trend following with enhanced risk management through dynamic adjustments based on real-time market analysis. It's designed to be versatile and adaptable to a wide range of markets and trading styles, providing traders with a tool that not only follows trends but also adapts to market changes to secure profits and reduce losses.
Brilliance Academy Secret StrategyThe Brilliance Academy Secret Strategy is a powerful trading strategy designed to identify potential trend reversals and optimize entry and exit points in the market. This strategy incorporates a combination of technical indicators, including Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Pivot Points, and Bollinger Bands.
Key Features:
MACD Indicator: A momentum oscillator that helps identify changes in trend strength and direction.
RSI Indicator: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, indicating potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Pivot Points: Key levels used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels in the market, aiding in trend reversal identification.
Bollinger Bands: Volatility bands placed above and below a moving average, indicating potential market volatility and overbought or oversold conditions.
How to Use:
Long Signals: Look for long signals when the market price is above the 200-period moving average, MACD line crosses below the signal line, RSI is above 30, and price is above the lower Bollinger Band or at a pivot low.
Short Signals: Look for short signals when the market price is below the 200-period moving average, MACD line crosses above the signal line, RSI is below 70, and price is below the upper Bollinger Band or at a pivot high.
Exit Strategy: Long trades are closed when the next short signal occurs or when the profit reaches a fixed take profit percentage (3% above entry price). Short trades are closed when the next long signal occurs or when the profit reaches a fixed take profit percentage (3% below entry price).
Big RunnerPresenting the "Big Runner" technique, dubbed "Sprinter," which is intended to help traders looking for momentum chances recognise important market swings. This approach maximises profit potential while controlling risk by using trend ribbons and moving averages to identify entry and exit locations.
Important characteristics:
Moving Averages: To determine the direction of the underlying trend, moving averages, both rapid and slow, are used. Depending on their preferred trading strategy, traders can alter the duration of these averages.
Trend Ribbon: Shows phases of bullish and bearish momentum by using a ribbon indicator to visualise the strength of the trend. Trend transitions are simple to spot for traders so they can make wise decisions.
Buy and Sell Signals: This tool generates buy and sell signals that indicate possible entry and exit opportunities based on the crossing and crossunder of moving averages.
Stop Loss/Take Profit Management: This feature enables traders to successfully apply risk management methods by giving them the ability to set stop loss and take profit levels as a percentage of the entry price.
Dynamic Position Sizing: Optimises capital allocation for every trade by dynamically calculating position size depending on leverage and portfolio proportion.
Implementation:
Long Entry: Started when a bullish trend is indicated by a price cross above the fast and slow moving averages. To control risk and lock in earnings, stop loss and take profit thresholds are established appropriately.
Short Entry: Indicates a bearish trend when the price crosses below both moving averages. The concepts of risk management are similar, with dynamic calculations used to determine take-profit and stop-loss levels.
Extra Personalisation:
Take Profit/Stop Loss Management: Provides the ability to select a take profit and stop loss
API Integration: This feature improves execution flexibility and efficiency by enabling traders to include custom parameters for automated trading.
Notice:
Trading entails risk, and performances in the past do not guarantee future outcomes. Before making any trades with this approach, careful analysis and risk management are necessary.
In summary:
By integrating risk management procedures with technical indicators, the "Big Runner" strategy provides a thorough method for identifying noteworthy market changes and achieving the best possible trading results. Traders can adjust parameters to suit their interests and style of trading, giving them the confidence to traverse volatile market situations.
RSI Strategy with Manual TP and SL 19/03/2024This TradingView script implements a simple RSI (Relative Strength Index) strategy with manual take profit (TP) and stop-loss (SL) levels. Let's break down the script and analyze its components:
RSI Calculation: The script calculates the RSI using the specified length parameter. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and typically values above 70 indicate overbought conditions while values below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Strategy Parameters:
length: Length of the RSI period.
overSold: Threshold for oversold condition.
overBought: Threshold for overbought condition.
trail_profit_pct: Percentage for trailing profit.
Entry Conditions:
For a long position: RSI crosses above 30 and the daily close is above 70% of the highest close in the last 50 bars.
For a short position: RSI crosses below 70 and the daily close is below 130% of the lowest close in the last 50 bars.
Entry Signals:
Long entry is signaled when both conditions for a long position are met.
Short entry is signaled when both conditions for a short position are met.
Manual TP and SL:
Take profit and stop-loss levels are calculated based on the entry price and the specified percentage.
For long positions, the take profit level is set above the entry price and the stop-loss level is set below the entry price.
For short positions, the take profit level is set below the entry price and the stop-loss level is set above the entry price.
Strategy Exits:
Exit conditions are defined for both long and short positions using the calculated take profit and stop-loss levels.
Chart Analysis:
This strategy aims to capitalize on short-term momentum shifts indicated by RSI crossings combined with daily price movements.
It utilizes manual TP and SL levels, providing traders with flexibility in managing their positions.
The strategy may perform well in ranging or oscillating markets where RSI signals are more reliable.
However, it may encounter challenges in trending markets where RSI can remain overbought or oversold for extended periods.
Traders should backtest this strategy thoroughly on historical data and consider optimizing parameters to suit different market conditions.
Risk management is crucial, so traders should carefully adjust TP and SL percentages based on their risk tolerance and market volatility.
Overall, this strategy provides a structured approach to trading based on RSI signals while allowing traders to customize their risk management. However, like any trading strategy, it should be used judiciously and in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques.
Yeong RRGThe code outlines a trading strategy that leverages Relative Strength (RS) and Rate of Change (RoC) to make trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of the tactic described by the code:
Ticker and Period Selection: The strategy begins by selecting a stock ticker symbol and defining a period (len) for the calculations, which defaults to 14 but can be adjusted by the user.
Stock and Index Data Retrieval: It fetches the closing price (stock_close) of the chosen stock and calculates its 25-period exponential moving average (stock_ema). Additionally, it retrieves the closing price of the S&P 500 Index (index_close), used as a benchmark for calculating Relative Strength.
Relative Strength Calculation: The Relative Strength (rs) is computed by dividing the stock's closing price by the index's closing price, then multiplying by 100 to scale the result. This metric is used to assess the stock's performance relative to the broader market.
Moving RS Ratio and Rate of Change: The strategy calculates a Simple Moving Average (sma) of the RS over the specified period to get the RS Ratio (rs_ratio). It then computes the Rate of Change (roc) of this RS Ratio over the same period to get the RM Ratio (rm_ratio).
Normalization: The RS Ratio and RM Ratio are normalized using a formula that adjusts their values based on the mean and standard deviation of their respective series over the specified window. This normalization process helps in standardizing the indicators, making them easier to interpret and compare.
Indicator Plotting: The normalized RS Ratio (jdk_rs_ratio) and RM Ratio (jdk_rm_ratio) are plotted on the chart with different colors for visual analysis. A horizontal line (hline) at 100 serves as a reference point, indicating a neutral level for the indicators.
State Color Logic: The script includes a logic to determine the state color (statecolor) based on the previous state color and the current values of jdk_rs_ratio and jdk_rm_ratio. This color coding is intended to visually represent different market states: green for bullish, red for bearish, yellow for hold, and blue for watch conditions.
Signal Generation: The strategy generates buy, sell, hold, and watch signals based on the state color and the indicators' values relative to 100. For example, a buy signal is generated when both jdk_rs_ratio and jdk_rm_ratio are above 100, and the background color is set to green to reflect this bullish condition.
Trade Execution: Finally, the strategy executes trades based on the generated signals. A "BUY" trade is entered when a buy signal is present, and it is closed when a sell signal occurs.
Overall, the strategy uses a combination of RS and RoC indicators, normalized for better comparison, to identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the stock's performance relative to the market and its momentum.
Aroon and ASH strategy - ETHERIUM [IkkeOmar]Intro:
This post introduces a Pine Script strategy, as an example if anyone needs a push to get started. This example is a strategy on ETH, obviously it isn't a good strategy, and I wouldn't share my own good strategies because of alpha decay. This strategy combines two technical indicators: Aroon and Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH).
Overview:
The strategy employs the Aroon indicator alongside the Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH) to determine market trends and potential trade setups. Aroon helps identify the strength and direction of a trend, while ASH provides insights into the strength of momentum. By combining these indicators, the strategy aims to capture profitable trading opportunities in Ethereum markets. Normally when developing strats using indicators, you want to find some good indicators, but you NEED to understand their strengths and weaknesses, other indicators can be incorporated to minimize the downs of another indicator. Try to look for synergy in your indicators!
Indicator settings:
Aroon Indicator:
- Two sets of parameters are used for the Aroon indicator:
- For Long Positions: Aroon periods are set to 56 (upper) and 20 (lower).
- For Short Positions: Aroon periods are set to 17 (upper) and 55 (lower).
Absolute Strength Histogram (ASH):
ASH is calculated with a length of 9 bars using the closing price as the data source.
Trading Conditions:
The strategy incorporates specific conditions to initiate and exit trades:
Start Date:
Traders can specify the start date for backtesting purposes.
Trade Direction:
Traders can select the desired trade direction: Long, Short, or Both.
Entry and Exit Conditions:
1. Long Position Entry: A long position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the lower Aroon threshold, indicating a potential uptrend.
2. Long Position Exit: A long position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the lower Aroon threshold.
3. Short Position Entry: A short position is initiated when the Aroon indicator crosses under (crossunder) the upper Aroon threshold, signaling a potential downtrend.
4. Short Position Exit: A short position is closed when the Aroon indicator crosses over (crossover) the upper Aroon threshold.
Disclaimer:
THIS ISN'T AN OPTIMAL STRATEGY AT ALL! It was just an old project from when I started learning pine script!
The backtest doesn't promise the same results in the future, always do both in-sample and out-of-sample testing when backtesting a strategy. And make sure you forward test it as well before implementing it!
[strategy][1H] SPY slow stochastics
SPY slow stochastics
Overview
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy is designed to leverage a combination of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators to identify potential entry and exit points in trading the SPY $SP:SPX.
The technicals:
A simple yet effective strategy for identifying (reversal) trends on SPY (or any asset).
The logic is as follows:
1. Slow stochastics are effective at predicting momentum. They can also be used to effectively identify reversals.
2. A combination of slow and fast RSI (along with an SMA for the fast RSI) can be used to see potential changes in the directional trend of the underlying asset.
3. In order to reduce noise, a band in the middle of RSI values is ignored; think of this as the price converging and potential explosions (sometimes fake) on either side.
4. Outside this noise band, a crossover of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates an upward trend incoming.
5. A crossunder of fast RSI on slow RSI indicates a downward trend incoming.
Strategy Specific Notes -
1. Load this strategy on SPREADEX:SPX on an hourly chart for the best results.
2. This is a generic strategy, use it on anything - index, stocks, etc. You will need to adjust the parameters for the best results.
3. The RSI Upper defines the cutoff for two things -- threshold for entering a long AND exit signal for short. Likewise for RSI Lower.
4. To have alerts on the strategy, add this to your chart, be content with the backtesting results, select "strategy tester", the alert icon, replace the message body with "{{strategy.order.alert_message}}" without the ".
5. In my experience, the strategy won't be immediately profitable upon a signal but it does get there in the backtested results. Intuitively, this makes sense. Reversals take some time to kick in completely.
Inputs
- **slowRSILength**: Length parameter for the slow RSI calculation.
- **fastRSILength**: Length parameter for the fast RSI calculation.
- **smaRSILength**: Length parameter for the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the fast RSI.
- **RSIUpperThreshold**: Upper threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSILowerThreshold**: Lower threshold for the RSI, used in exit conditions.
- **RSIUpperDeadzone**: Upper deadzone threshold for the RSI.
- **RSILowerDeadzone**: Lower deadzone threshold for the RSI.
Strategy Logic
- **RSI Calculation**: The script calculates both slow and fast RSI values based on the provided lengths.
- **Entry Condition**: Entry conditions for long and short positions are based on the crossing of fast RSI over slow RSI and SMA RSI, respectively, along with avoidance of RSI deadzones and validation of trade time.
- **Exit Condition**: Exit conditions for both long and short positions are based on crossing RSI thresholds or opposite entry conditions.
Trade Management
- **Position Entry**: Long and short positions are entered based on predefined entry conditions.
- **Position Exit**: Positions are exited based on predefined exit conditions.
- **Alerts**: The script provides alert messages for entry and exit points.
Plotting
- **Slow RSI**: Plots the slow RSI on the chart.
- **SMA RSI**: Plots the Simple Moving Average of fast RSI on the chart.
Example Usage
The defaults work well for SPY on a 1H timeframe.
If you apply this to anything else DAX, EUSTX50, FTSE, CAC (these are what i have); tweak the input parameters.
Plotting
plot(slowRSI, "Slow RSI", color=color.green) //or fastRSI
plot(smaRSI, "SMA RSI", color=color.white)
Conclusion
The "SPY Auto RSI Stochastics" strategy combines RSI and Stochastic indicators to provide potential trade signals for the SPY ETF. Traders can use this strategy with proper risk management and analysis to enhance their trading decisions.
Octopus Nest Strategy Hello Fellas,
Hereby, I come up with a popular strategy from YouTube called Octopus Nest Strategy. It is a no repaint, lower timeframe scalping strategy utilizing PSAR, EMA and TTM Squeeze.
The strategy considers these market factors:
PSAR -> Trend
EMA -> Trend
TTM Squeeze -> Momentum and Volatility by incorporating Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
Note: As you can see there is a potential improvement by incorporating volume.
What's Different Compared To The Original Strategy?
I added an option which allows users to use the Adaptive PSAR of @loxx, which will hopefully improve results sometimes.
Signals
Enter Long -> source above EMA 100, source crosses above PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses above 0
Enter Short -> source below EMA 100, source crosses below PSAR and TTM Squeeze crosses below 0
Exit Long and Exit Short are triggered from the risk management. Thus, it will just exit on SL or TP.
Risk Management
"High Low Stop Loss" and "Automatic High Low Take Profit" are used here.
High Low Stop Loss: Utilizes the last high for short and the last low for long to calculate the stop loss level. The last high or low gets multiplied by the user-defined multiplicator and if no recent high or low was found it uses the backup multiplier.
Automatic High Low Take Profit: Utilizes the current stop loss level of "High Low Stop Loss" and gets calculated by the user-defined risk ratio.
Now, follows the bunch of knowledge for the more inexperienced readers.
PSAR: Parabolic Stop And Reverse; Developed by J. Welles Wilders and a classic trend reversal indicator.
The indicator works most effectively in trending markets where large price moves allow traders to capture significant gains. When a security’s price is range-bound, the indicator will constantly be reversing, resulting in multiple low-profit or losing trades.
TTM Squeeze: TTM Squeeze is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Trade the Markets (now Simpler Trading), which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
The volatility component of the TTM Squeeze indicator measures price compression using Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels. If the Bollinger Bands are completely enclosed within the Keltner Channels, that indicates a period of very low volatility. This state is known as the squeeze. When the Bollinger Bands expand and move back outside of the Keltner Channel, the squeeze is said to have “fired”: volatility increases and prices are likely to break out of that tight trading range in one direction or the other. The on/off state of the squeeze is shown with small dots on the zero line of the indicator: red dots indicate the squeeze is on, and green dots indicate the squeeze is off.
EMA: Exponential Moving Average; Like a simple moving average, but with exponential weighting of the input data.
Don't forget to check out the settings and keep it up.
Best regards,
simwai
---
Credits to:
@loxx
@Bjorgum
@Greeny
Triple MA HTF strategy - Dynamic SmoothingThe triple MA strategy is a simple but effective method to trade the trend. The advantage of this script over the existing triple MA strategies is that the user can open a lower time frame chart and select higher time frame inputs for different MA types mainting the visibility on the chart. The dynamic smoothing code makes sure the HTF trendlines are not jagged, but a fluid line visiable on the lower time frame chart. The script comes with a MA crossover and crossunder strategy explained below.
Moving Averages (MA) Crossover for Entry:
Long Entry: A long entry signal is triggered when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside. However, to validate this signal, the strategy checks if the moving average 3 on a higher time frame (eg. 4 hour) is in an upward trend. This additional filter ensures that the trade aligns with the prevailing trend on a broader time scale, increasing the probability of success.
Short Entry: Conversely, a short entry signal occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a possible downturn in market momentum. However, for a short trade to be confirmed, the strategy verifies that the moving average 3 on the higher time frame is in a downward trend. This confirmation ensures that the trade is in harmony with the overarching market direction.
Exit from Long Position: The strategy triggers an exit signal from a long position when the moving average line 1 crosses below the moving average line 2. This crossover indicates a potential reversal in the market trend, prompting the trader to close their long position and take profits or minimize losses.
Exit from Short Position: Similarly, an exit signal from a short position occurs when the moving average line 1 crosses above the moving average line 2. This crossover suggests a potential shift in market sentiment towards the upside, prompting the trader to exit their short position and manage their risk accordingly.
Features of the script
This Triple MA Strategy is basically the HTF Trend Filter displayed 3 times on the chart. For more infomation on how the MA with dynamic smoothing is calculated I recommend reading the following script:
For risk management I included a simple script to opt for % of eauity or # of contracts of in the instrument. For explanation on how the risk management settings work I refer to my ealier published script:
The strategy is a simplified example for setting up an entry and exit logic based on multiple moving avarages. Hence the script is meant for educational purposes only.
Megabar Breakout (Range & Volume & RSI)Hey there,
This strategy is based on the idea that certain events lead to what are called Megabars. Megabars are bars that have a very large range and volume. I wanted to verify whether these bars indicate the start of a trend and whether one should follow the trend.
Summary of the Code:
The code is based on three indicators: the range of the bar, the volume of the bar, and the RSI. When certain values of these indicators are met, a Megabar is identified. The direction of the Megabar indicates the direction in which we should trade.
Why do I combine these indicators?
I want to identify special bars that have the potential to mark the beginning of a breakout. Therefore, a bar needs to exhibit high volume, have a large range (huge price movement), and we also use the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess potential momentum. Only if all three criteria are met within one candle, do we use this as an identifier for a megabar.
Explanation of Drawings on the Chart:
As you can see, there is a green background on my chart. The green background symbolizes the time when I'm entering a trade. Only if a Megabar happens during that time, I'm ready to enter a trade. The time is between 6 AM and 4 PM CET. It's just because I prefer that time. Also, the strategy draws an error every time a Megabar happens based on VOL and Range only (not on the RSI). That makes it pretty easy to go through your chart and check the biggest bars manually. You can activate or deactivate these settings via the input data of the strategy.
When Do We Enter a Trade?
We wait for a Megabar to happen during our trading session. If the Megabar is bullish, we open a LONG trade at the opening price of the next candle. If the Megabar is bearish, we open a SHORT trade at the opening price of the next candle.
Where Do We Put Our Take Profit & Stop Loss?
The default setting is TP = 40 Pips and SL = 30 Pips. In that case, we are always trading with a risk-reward ratio of 1.33 by default. You can easily change these settings via the input data of the strategy.
Strategy Results
The criteria for Megabars were chosen by me in a way that makes Megabars something special. They are not intended to occur too frequently, as the fundamental idea of this strategy would otherwise not hold. This results in only 37 closed trades within the last 12 months. If you change the criterias for a megabar to a milder one, you will create more Megabars and therefore more trades. It's up to you. I have adapted this strategy to the 30-minute chart of the EURUSD. In the evaluation, we consider a period of 12 months, which I believe is sufficient.
My default settings for the indicators look like this:
Avg Length Vol 20
Avg Multiplier Vol 3
Avg Length Range 20
Avg Multiplier Range 4
Value SMA RSI for Long Trades 50
Value SMA RSI for Short Trades 70
IMPORTANT: The current performance overview does not display the results of these settings. Please change the settings to my default ones so that you can see how I use this strategy.
I do not recommend trading this strategy without further testing. The script is meant to reflect a basic idea and be used as a tool to identify Megabars. I have made this strategy completely public so that it can be further developed. One can take this framework and test it on different timeframes and different markets.
MACD of Relative Strenght StrategyMACD Relative Strenght Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on two well-known indicators: MACD and Relative Strenght (RS). By coupling them, we obtain powerful buy signals. In fact, the special feature of this strategy is that it creates an indicator from an indicator. Thus, we construct a MACD whose source is the value of the RS. The strategy only takes buy signals, ignoring SHORT signals as they are mostly losers. There's also a money management method enabling us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
RELATIVE STRENGHT :
RS is an indicator that measures the anomaly between momentum and the assumption of market efficiency. It is used by professionals and is one of the most robust indicators. The idea is to own assets that do better than average, based on their past performance. We calculate RS using this formula :
RS = close/highest_high(RS_Length)
Where highest_high(RS_Length) = highest value of the high over a user-defined time period (which is the RS_Length).
We can thus situate the current price in relation to its highest price over this user-defined period.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence - Divergence) :
This is one of the best-known indicators, measuring the distance between two exponential moving averages : one fast and one slower. A wide distance indicates fast momentum and vice versa. We'll plot the value of this distance and call this line macdline. The MACD uses a third moving average with a lower period than the first two. This last moving average will give a signal when it crosses the macdline. It is therefore constructed using the values of the macdline as its source.
It's important to note that the first two MAs are constructed using RS values as their source. So we've just built an indicator of an indicator. This kind of method is very powerful because it is rarely used and brings value to the strategy.
PARAMETERS :
RS Length : Relative Strength length i.e. the number of candles back to find the highest high and compare the current price with this high. Default is 300.
MACD Fast Length : Relative Strength fast EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 14.
MACD Slow Length : Relative Strength slow EMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 26.
MACD Signal Smoothing : Macdline SMA length used to plot the MACD. Default is 10.
Max risk per trade (in %) : The maximum loss a trade can incur (in percentage of the trade value). Default is 8%.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. Default is 400, meaning that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by a user-selected amount.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in 8h timeframe with the parameters set by default.
ENTER RULES :
The entry rules are very simple : we open a long position when the MACD value turns positive. You are therefore LONG when the MACD is green.
EXIT RULES :
We exit a position (whether losing or winning) when the MACD becomes negative, i.e. turns red.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy can incur losses, so it's important to manage our risks well. If the position is losing and has incurred a loss of -8%, our stop loss is activated to limit losses.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest What is the Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest ?
It is the backtesting version of the Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters indicator.
This Pine Script code defines a complex indicator used to determine buy-sell signals on financial charts. The indicator operates based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi and is fortified with various filters.
1. Parameters and Settings:
At the start of the code, there are a series of input parameters for the user to customize the indicator. These parameters include:
Trend Filter: Checks whether it is above or below the long-term moving average.
Momentum Filter: Uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator to check if the market is overbought or oversold.
Volatility Filter: Evaluates the market's volatility level using the ATR (Average True Range) indicator.
Volume Filters: Uses various volume-related parameters to measure the strength of the trade signal.
Trade Settings: Specifies percentage values for target and stop-loss levels to be used in trading.
Moving Average Settings: Allows you to select which moving average to use and its duration.
2. Heikin Ashi Smoothed Calculations:
Heikin Ashi is a charting method used to more clearly represent price movements. The smoothed Heikin Ashi ensures smoother price movements.
3. Moving Average Calculations:
The indicator contains a function to calculate different types of moving averages. These moving averages are used to determine the market trend.
4. Filters:
This indicator includes a series of filters to enhance the quality of the signal. Filters help reduce false signals and produce more robust trading signals.
5. Buy-Sell Signals:
All these filters and calculations are brought together to determine potential buy and sell signals. Signals are triggered when all the specified conditions are met.
6. Chart Visualizations:
This indicator uses various plotting functions to visualize signals and trend information on the chart. This allows the user to easily see signals and the trend on the chart.
7. Trade Settings:
When buy and sell signals are triggered, this section checks if it has reached the specified targets and stop-loss levels.
8. Alerts:
This indicator also sends alerts to the user when specific conditions are met. This ensures that the user doesn't miss potential trading opportunities.
In conclusion, this Pine Script indicator produces buy-sell signals by analyzing market movements and applying various filters. Based on the smoothed version of Heikin Ashi, this indicator is useful for trend followers and is fortified with various filters, thus enhancing the quality of trading signals.
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters Backtest Nedir?
Heikin Ashi Smoothed Buy Sell with Filters indikatörünün backtest yapan versiyonudur
Bu Pine Script kodu, finansal grafiklerde al-sat sinyallerini belirlemek için kullanılan karmaşık bir göstergeyi tanımlar. Gösterge, Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümünü temel alarak çalışır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir.
1. Parametreler ve Ayarlar:
Kodun başlangıcında, kullanıcının göstergeyi kişiselleştirmesi için bir dizi giriş parametresi bulunmaktadır. Bu parametreler şunları içerir:
Trend Filtresi: Uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamanın üstünde veya altında olup olmadığını kontrol eder.
Momentum Filtresi: RSI (Göreceli Güç Endeksi) göstergesini kullanarak piyasanın aşırı alım veya aşırı satım durumunu kontrol eder.
Oynaklık Filtresi: ATR (Ortalama Gerçek Aralık) göstergesi ile piyasanın oynaklık seviyesini değerlendirir.
Hacim Filtreleri: Ticaret sinyalinin gücünü ölçmek için hacimle ilgili çeşitli parametreleri kullanır.
Ticaret Ayarları: Ticarette kullanılacak hedef ve stop-loss seviyeleri için yüzdelik değerleri belirtir.
Hareketli Ortalama Ayarları: Hangi hareketli ortalamayı kullanacağınızı ve bu ortalamanın süresini seçmenizi sağlar.
2. Heikin Ashi Yumuşatılmış Hesaplamaları:
Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerini daha net bir şekilde göstermek için kullanılan bir grafikleme yöntemidir. Yumuşatılmış Heikin Ashi, fiyat hareketlerinin daha pürüzsüz olmasını sağlar.
3. Hareketli Ortalama Hesaplamaları:
Gösterge, farklı türde hareketli ortalamaları hesaplamak için bir fonksiyon içerir. Bu hareketli ortalamalar, piyasa trendini belirlemek için kullanılır.
4. Filtreler:
Bu gösterge, sinyal kalitesini artırmak için bir dizi filtre içerir. Filtreler, yanlış sinyalleri azaltmaya yardımcı olur ve daha sağlam ticaret sinyalleri üretir.
5. Al-Sat Sinyalleri:
Tüm bu filtreler ve hesaplamalar, potansiyel al ve sat sinyallerini belirlemek için bir araya getirilir. Sinyaller, belirlenen koşulların tümü karşılandığında tetiklenir.
6. Grafik Görselleştirmeleri:
Bu gösterge, sinyalleri ve trend bilgisini grafik üzerinde görselleştirmek için çeşitli çizim fonksiyonları kullanır. Bu, kullanıcının grafik üzerinde kolayca sinyalleri ve trendi görmesini sağlar.
7. Ticaret Ayarları:
Alış ve satış sinyalleri tetiklendiğinde, bu bölüm belirlenen hedeflere ve stop-loss seviyelerine ulaşıp ulaşmadığını kontrol eder.
8. Uyarılar:
Bu gösterge ayrıca, belirli koşullar karşılandığında kullanıcıya uyarı gönderir. Bu, kullanıcının potansiyel ticaret fırsatlarını kaçırmamasını sağlar.
Sonuç olarak, bu Pine Script göstergesi, piyasa hareketlerini analiz ederek ve çeşitli filtreleri uygulayarak al-sat sinyalleri üretir. Heikin Ashi'nin yumuşatılmış sürümüne dayanan bu gösterge, trend takipçileri için kullanışlıdır ve çeşitli filtrelerle güçlendirilmiştir, böylece ticaret sinyallerinin kalitesi artar.
Machine Learning: Donchian DCA Grid Strategy [YinYangAlgorithms]This strategy uses a Machine Learning approach on the Donchian Channels with a DCA and Grid purchase/sell Strategy. Not only that, but it uses a custom Bollinger calculation to determine its Basis which is used as a mild sell location. This strategy is a pure DCA strategy in the sense that no shorts are used and theoretically it can be used in webhooks on most exchanges as it’s only using Spot Orders. The idea behind this strategy is we utilize both the Highest Highs and Lowest Lows within a Machine Learning standpoint to create Buy and Sell zones. We then fraction these zones off into pieces to create Grids. This allows us to ‘micro’ purchase as it enters these zones and likewise ‘micro’ sell as it goes up into the upper (sell) zones.
You have the option to set how many grids are used, by default we use 100 with max 1000. These grids can be ‘stacked’ together if a single bar is to go through multiple at the same time. For instance, if a bar goes through 30 grids in one bar, it will have a buy/sell power of 30x. Stacking Grid Buy and (sometimes) Sells is a very crucial part of this strategy that allows it to purchase multitudes during crashes and capitalize on sales during massive pumps.
With the grids, you’ll notice there is a middle line within the upper and lower part that makes the grid. As a Purchase Type within our Settings this is identified as ‘Middle of Zone Purchase Amount In USDT’. The middle of the grid may act as the strongest grid location (aside from maybe the bottom). Therefore there is a specific purchase amount for this Grid location.
This DCA Strategy also features two other purchase methods. Most importantly is its ‘Purchase More’ type. Essentially it will attempt to purchase when the Highest High or Lowest Low moves outside of the Outer band. For instance, the Lowest Low becomes Lower or the Higher High becomes Higher. When this happens may be a good time to buy as it is featuring a new High or Low over an extended period.
The last but not least Purchase type within this Strategy is what we call a ‘Strong Buy’. The reason for this is its verified by the following:
The outer bounds have been pushed (what causes a ‘Purchase More’)
The Price has crossed over the EMA 21
It has been verified through MACD, RSI or MACD Historical (Delta) using Regular and Hidden Divergence (Note, only 1 of these verifications is required and it can be any).
By default we don’t have Purchase Amount for ‘Strong Buy’ set, but that doesn’t mean it can’t be viable, it simply means we have only seen a few pairs where it actually proved more profitable allocating money there rather than just increasing the purchase amount for ‘Purchase More’ or ‘Grids’.
Now that you understand where we BUY, we should discuss when we SELL.
This Strategy features 3 crucial sell locations, and we will discuss each individually as they are very important.
1. ‘Sell Some At’: Here there are 4 different options, by default its set to ‘Both’ but you can change it around if you want. Your options are:
‘Both’ - You will sell some at both locations. The amount sold is the % used at ‘Sell Some %’.
‘Basis Line’ - You will sell some when the price crosses over the Basis Line. The amount sold is the % used at ‘Sell Some %’.
‘Percent’ - You will sell some when the Close is >= X% between the Lower Inner and Upper Inner Zone.
‘None’ - This simply means don’t ever Sell Some.
2. Sell Grids. Sell Grids are exactly like purchase grids and feature the same amount of grids. You also have the ability to ‘Stack Grid Sells’, which basically means if a bar moves multiple grids, it will stack the amount % wise you will sell, rather than just selling the default amount. Sell Grids use a DCA logic but for selling, which we deem may help adjust risk/reward ratio for selling, especially if there is slow but consistent bullish movement. It causes these grids to constantly push up and therefore when the close is greater than them, accrue more profit.
3. Take Profit. Take profit occurs when the close first goes above the Take Profit location (Teal Line) and then Closes below it. When Take Profit occurs, ALL POSITIONS WILL BE SOLD. What may happen is the price enters the Sell Grid, doesn’t go all the way to the top ‘Exiting it’ and then crashes back down and closes below the Take Profit. Take Profit is a strong location which generally represents a strong profit location, and that a strong momentum has changed which may cause the price to revert back to the buy grid zone.
Keep in mind, if you have (by default) ‘Only Sell If Profit’ toggled, all sell locations will only create sell orders when it is profitable to do so. Just cause it may be a good time to sell, doesn’t mean based on your DCA it is. In our opinion, only selling when it is profitable to do so is a key part of the DCA purchase strategy.
You likewise have the ability to ‘Only Buy If Lower than DCA’, which is likewise by default. These two help keep the Yin and Yang by balancing each other out where you’re only purchasing and selling when it makes logical sense too, even if that involves ignoring a signal and waiting for a better opportunity.
Tutorial:
Like most of our Strategies, we try to capitalize on lower Time Frames, generally the 15 minutes so we may find optimal entry and exit locations while still maintaining a strong correlation to trend patterns.
First off, let’s discuss examples of how this Strategy works prior to applying Machine Learning (enabled by default).
In this example above we have disabled the showing of ‘Potential Buy and Sell Signals’ so as to declutter the example. In here you can see where actual trades had gone through for both buying and selling and get an idea of how the strategy works. We also have disabled Machine Learning for this example so you can see the hard lines created by the Donchian Channel. You can also see how the Basis line ‘white line’ may act as a good location to ‘Sell Some’ and that it moves quite irregularly compared to the Donchian Channel. This is due to the fact that it is based on two custom Bollinger Bands to create the basis line.
Here we zoomed out even further and moved back a bit to where there were dense clusters of buy and sell orders. Sometimes when the price is rather volatile you’ll see it ‘Ping Pong’ back and forth between the buy and sell zones quite quickly. This may be very good for your trades and profit as a whole, especially if ‘Only Buy If Lower Than DCA’ and ‘Only Sell If Profit’ are both enabled; as these toggles will ensure you are:
Always lowering your Average when buying
Always making profit when selling
By default 8% commission is added to the Strategy as well, to simulate the cost effects of if these trades were taking place on an actual exchange.
In this example we also turned on the visuals for our ‘Purchase More’ (orange line) and ‘Take Profit’ (teal line) locations. These are crucial locations. The Purchase More makes purchases when the bottom of the grid has been moved (may dictate strong price movement has occurred and may be potential for correction). Our Take Profit may help secure profit when a momentum change is happening and all of the Sell Grids weren’t able to be used.
In the example above we’ve enabled Buy and Sell Signals so that you can see where the Take Profit and Purchase More signals have occurred. The white circle demonstrates that not all of the Position Size was sold within the Sell Grids, and therefore it was ALL CLOSED when the price closed below the Take Profit Line (Teal).
Then, when the bottom of the Donchian Channel was pushed further down due to the close (within the yellow circle), a Purchase More Signal was triggered.
When the close keeps pushing the bottom of the Buy Grid lower, it can cause multiple Purchase More Signals to occur. This is normal and also a crucial part of this strategy to help lower your DCA. Please note, the Purchase More won’t trigger a Buy if the Close is greater than the DCA and you have ‘Only Purchase If Lower Than DCA’ activated.
By turning on Machine Learning (default settings) the Buy and Sell Grid Zones are smoothed out more. It may cause it to look quite a bit different. Machine Learning although it looks much worse, may help increase the profit this Strategy can produce. Previous results DO NOT mean future results, but in this example, prior to turning on Machine Learning it had produced 37% Profit in ~5 months and with Machine Learning activated it is now up to 57% Profit in ~5 months.
Machine Learning causes the Strategy to focus less on Grids and more on Purchase More when it comes to getting its entries. However, if you likewise attempt to focus on Purchase More within non Machine Learning, the locations are different and therefore the results may not be as profitable.
PLEASE NOTE:
By default this strategy uses 1,000,000 as its initial capital. The amount it purchases in its Settings is relevant to this Initial capital. Considering this is a DCA Strategy, we only want to ‘Micro’ Buy and ‘Micro’ Sell whenever conditions are met.
Therefore, if you increase the Initial Capital, you’ll likewise want to increase the Purchase Amounts within the Settings and Vice Versa. For instance, if you wish to set the Initial Capital to 10,000, you should likewise can the amounts in the Settings to 1% of what they are to account for this.
We may change the Purchase Amounts to be based on %’s in a later update if it is requested.
We will conclude this Tutorial here, hopefully you can see how a DCA Grid Purchase Model applied to Machine Learning Donchian Channels may be useful for making strategic purchases in low and high zones.
Settings:
Display Data:
Show Potential Buy Locations: These locations are where 'Potentially' orders can be placed. Placement of orders is dependant on if you have 'Only Buy If Lower Than DCA' toggled and the Price is lower than DCA. It also is effected by if you actually have any money left to purchase with; you can't buy if you have no money left!
Show Potential Sell Locations: These locations are where 'Potentially' orders will be sold. If 'Only Sell If Profit' is toggled, the sell will only happen if you'll make profit from it!
Show Grid Locations: Displaying won't affect your trades but it can be useful to see where trades will be placed, as well as which have gone through and which are left to be purchased. Max 100 Grids, but visuals will only be shown if its 20 or less.
Purchase Settings:
Only Buy if its lower than DCA: Generally speaking, we want to lower our Average, and therefore it makes sense to only buy when the close is lower than our current DCA and a Purchase Condition is met.
Compound Purchases: Compounding Purchases means reinvesting profit back into your trades right away. It drastically increases profits, but it also increases risk too. It will adjust your Purchase Amounts for the Purchase Type you have set at the same % rate of strategy initial_capital to the amounts you have set.
Adjust Purchase Amount Ratio to Maintain Risk level: By adjusting purchase levels we generally help maintain a safe risk level. Basically we generally want to reserve X amount of % for each purchase type being used and relocate money when there is too much in one type. This helps balance out purchase amounts and ensure the types selected have a correct ratio to ensure they can place the right amount of orders.
Stack Grid Buys: Stacking Buy Grids is when the Close crosses multiple Buy Grids within the same bar. Should we still only purchase the value of 1 Buy Grid OR stack the grid buys based on how many buy grids it went through.
Purchase Type: Where do you want to make Purchases? We recommend lowering your risk by combining All purchase types, but you may also customize your trading strategy however you wish.
Strong Buy Purchase Amount In USDT: How much do you want to purchase when the 'Strong Buy' signal appears? This signal only occurs after it has at least entered the Buy Zone and there have been other verifications saying it's now a good time to buy. Our Strong Buy Signal is a very strong indicator that a large price movement towards the Sell Zone will likely occur. It almost always results in it leaving the Buy Zone and usually will go to at least the White Basis line where you can 'Sell Some'.
Buy More Purchase Amount In USDT: How much should you purchase when the 'Purchase More' signal appears? This 'Purchase More' signal occurs when the lowest level of the Buy Zone moves lower. This is a great time to buy as you're buying the dip and generally there is a correction that will allow you to 'Sell Some' for some profit.
Amount of Grid Buy and Sells: How many Grid Purchases do you want to make? We recommend having it at the max of 10, as it will essentially get you a better Average Purchase Price, but you may adjust it to whatever you wish. This amount also only matters if your Purchase Type above incorporates Grid Purchases. Max 100 Grids, but visuals will only be shown if it's 20 or less.
Each Grid Purchase Amount In USDT: How much should you purchase after closing under a grid location? Keep in mind, if you have 10 grids and it goes through each, it will be this amount * 10. Grid purchasing is a great way to get a good entry, lower risk and also lower your average.
Middle Of Zone Purchase Amount In USDT: The Middle Of Zone is the strongest grid location within the Buy Zone. This is why we have a unique Purchase Amount for this Grid specifically. Please note you need to have 'Middle of Zone is a Grid' enabled for this Purchase Amount to be used.
Sell:
Only Sell if its Profit: There is a chance that during a dump, all your grid buys when through, and a few Purchase More Signals have appeared. You likely got a good entry. A Strong Buy may also appear before it starts to pump to the Sell Zone. The issue that may occur is your Average Purchase Price is greater than the 'Sell Some' price and/or the Grids in the Sell Zone and/or the Strong Sell Signal. When this happens, you can either take a loss and sell it, or you can hold on to it and wait for more purchase signals to therefore lower your average more so you can take profit at the next sell location. Please backtest this yourself within our YinYang Purchase Strategy on the pair and timeframe you are wanting to trade on. Please also note, that previous results will not always reflect future results. Please assess the risk yourself. Don't trade what you can't afford to lose. Sometimes it is better to strategically take a loss and continue on making profit than to stay in a bad trade for a long period of time.
Stack Grid Sells: Stacking Sell Grids is when the Close crosses multiple Sell Grids within the same bar. Should we still only sell the value of 1 Sell Grid OR stack the grid sells based on how many sell grids it went through.
Stop Loss Type: This is when the Close has pushed the Bottom of the Buy Grid More. Do we Stop Loss or Purchase More?? By default we recommend you stay true to the DCA part of this strategy by Purchasing More, but this is up to you.
Sell Some At: Where if selected should we 'Sell Some', this may be an important way to sell a little bit at a good time before the price may correct. Also, we don't want to sell too much incase it doesn't correct though, so its a 'Sell Some' location. Basis Line refers to our Moving Basis Line created from 2 Bollinger Bands and Percent refers to a Percent difference between the Lower Inner and Upper Inner bands.
Sell Some At Percent Amount: This refers to how much % between the Lower Inner and Upper Inner bands we should well at if we chose to 'Sell Some'.
Sell Some Min %: This refers to the Minimum amount between the Lower Inner band and Close that qualifies a 'Sell Some'. This acts as a failsafe so we don't 'Sell Some' for too little.
Sell % At Strong Sell Signal: How much do we sell at the 'Strong Sell' Signal? It may act as a strong location to sell, but likewise Grid Sells could be better.
Grid and Donchian Settings:
Donchian Channel Length: How far back are we looking back to determine our Donchian Channel.
Extra Outer Buy Width %: How much extra should we push the Outer Buy (Low) Width by?
Extra Inner Buy Width %: How much extra should we push the Inner Buy (Low) Width by?
Extra Inner Sell Width %: How much extra should we push the Inner Sell (High) Width by?
Extra Outer Sell Width %: How much extra should we push the Outer Sell (High) Width by?
Machine Learning:
Rationalized Source Type: Donchians usually use High/Low. What Source is our Rationalized Source using?
Machine Learning Type: Are we using a Simple ML Average, KNN Mean Average, KNN Exponential Average or None?
Machine Learning Length: How far back is our Machine Learning going to keep data for.
k-Nearest Neighbour (KNN) Length: How many k-Nearest Neighbours will we account for?
Fast ML Data Length: What is our Fast ML Length?? This is used with our Slow Length to create our KNN Distance.
Slow ML Data Length: What is our Slow ML Length?? This is used with our Fast Length to create our KNN Distance.
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
Strategy:Reversal-CatcherWhat
This is a plain and vanilla reversal based strategy for intraday (15m) timeframe on Futures prices of the assets.
Now what all it comprises of?
It finds out the dynamic support & resistance from Bollinger Band (20 period, 1.5 std dev).
It finds out the potential divergence of price deviation from 5 period exponential moving average (EMA).
If the previous candle (N-1) shows a divergence it confirms the reversal by checking the present candle (N) to be closed inside the Bollinger Band.
It confirms the momentum by checking RSI shows a crossover/crossunder to oversold (30) / overbought (70) region.
It also confirms whether the trend is up (then only reversal trade to short) or down (then only reversal trade to long). The trend is checked with EMA-21 and EMA-50.
Re-affirmation Condition : It re-affirms the position of two successive candles called as `hhLLong` and `hhLLShort` in the script.
Why
In Indian context, retail participants are pre-dominantly (yes- 80% of Indian daily volume) Options buyers mainly in weekly indices (Nifty, BankNifty, FinNifty, CNXMidcap, Sensex, Bankx .. well everyday is expiry now in India, except -- Thank God -- Saturday & Sunday).
And in Index Options the momentum plays a big role.
If one can catch a good reversal point the potential of high Risk-to-Reward trade (hence earn handsomely) is very likely (please note: there is no holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100%).
So this is the attempt to catch a reversal.
Re-affirmation of Reversal
hhLLong : It's a reversal point after an uptrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLong in script.
hhLLShort : It's a reversal point after a downtrend. It checks the relative positioning of current candle compared to that of previous candle. [The details are in the script. Check for variable hhLLShort in script.
Unique-ness
What's unique in it? Why we decided to publicly share this:
Already given the context of The Great Indian Options Buyers community. It should be helpful to them, we believe.
It takes Very Less Number of Trades with High Accuracy . Please check the result in NSE:NIFTY1! in 15m timeframe. 71% accuracy with roughly a trade in a month.
There is no point giving brokers' the brokerages taking 10 trades a day and ending not-so-good EoD. Better lets take less trades with better result possibility. .
Mention
There are many people uses this variation of Bolling Band, 5EMA
Many people use RSI, trends and relative positioning of candles.
--> We are grateful to all of them. It's really difficult to mention everyone's name. But all people somehow influence the thought process. Thanks for all of them.
Statutory Disclaimer
There is no silver bullet / holy grail in trading. Nothing works 100% time. One has to be careful about the loss (s)he can bear in case of the trade goes against.
We, as the author of this script, is not responsible for any trading or position decision one is taken based on the outcome of this.
It is our sole discretion to change, add, delete the portion or withdraw the whole script without any prior notice or intimation.
In Indian Context : We are not SEBI registered, will never be SEBI registered.
