ABCD Harmonic Pattern Strategy (Bull + Bear) This script is a strategy implementation of the classic ABCD Harmonic Pattern, designed for market structure analysis, backtesting, and educational research.
The ABCD pattern is one of the foundational harmonic price patterns in technical analysis. Its Fibonacci ratio relationships were formalized and standardized within harmonic trading theory by Scott M. Carney, whose work helped define modern harmonic pattern rules.
This strategy is conceptually inspired by educational ABCD pattern logic shared by the TradingView author theEccentricTrader.
The code, structure, execution logic, filters, and risk management have been independently developed, reconstructed, and extended into a complete TradingView strategy.
What this strategy does
Detects bullish and bearish ABCD harmonic patterns based on price structure and Fibonacci ratios.
Reconstructs ABCD market structure logic for both directions instead of using a simple visual inversion.
Draws the ABCD legs, structure labels (A, B, C, D), and projection levels directly on the chart.
Generates long and short trade entries using confirmed ABCD structures.
Includes optional confluence filters, such as:
Higher-timeframe EMA trend filter
RSI strength filter
ATR volatility filter
Volume confirmation
Candle body confirmation
Minimum bounce distance from point D
Provides built-in risk management, including:
Configurable Stop Loss
Configurable Take Profit
Optional trailing stop
Designed for backtesting, parameter optimization, and analytical research.
Why this strategy is different
This script is not a simple indicator conversion nor a basic bullish/bearish mirror.
The ABCD pattern logic has been recreated at the structural level to better reflect how bullish and bearish market formations behave in real price action.
Key differences
Reconstructed bullish and bearish structures
Bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are independently defined using market structure logic, not just inverted visually.
Each direction has its own pivot relationships and validation rules to produce a more faithful representation of the ABCD pattern.
Structure-aware pattern validation
Pattern confirmation is based on price swings, structure continuity, and Fibonacci alignment, helping reduce distorted or forced patterns.
Strategy-based execution
Unlike indicator-only ABCD tools that only visualize patterns, this script uses strategy.entry and strategy.exit, enabling full backtesting and performance analysis.
Confluence-driven entries
Trade entries can require multiple confirmation layers beyond the pattern itself, helping reduce low-quality signals and overtrading.
Integrated risk management
Stop Loss, Take Profit, and optional trailing logic are applied consistently for both long and short positions.
Non-repainting design
Pattern detection and entries rely on confirmed bars (barstate.isconfirmed) and higher-timeframe data with lookahead_off, ensuring signals do not repaint historically.
Improved and controlled visualization
Pattern drawings, projections, and entry markers are managed with strict object limits to comply with TradingView performance and publishing requirements.
How to use
Add the strategy to a chart and select a symbol and timeframe.
Enable or disable filters under “Entry Filters (Confluence)”.
Configure Stop Loss, Take Profit, and trailing behavior under “TP/SL”.
Use pattern drawings and entry markers as visual and analytical confirmation, not as standalone trade signals.
Important notes
This script is provided for educational and research purposes only.
It does not provide financial or investment advice.
No profitability or performance is implied or guaranteed.
Past performance does not indicate future results.
Always test across multiple markets and timeframes and apply proper risk management.
Credits
ABCD Harmonic Pattern: Harmonic trading principles as formalized by Scott M. Carney.
Conceptual inspiration: Educational ABCD pattern logic shared by @theEccentricTrader on TradingView.
Pattern reconstruction, strategy logic, and risk management: Independent development.
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Anya1This script is a **Trend-Following Momentum Strategy** specifically designed for **Gold (XAUUSD)** but applicable to other assets. It combines an oscillator (to find entry points) with two moving averages (to ensure you are trading with the trend).
Here is a breakdown of how the logic works and how to read the signals on your chart.
---
### 1. The Strategy "Gears" (The Filters)
The script uses a "triple-filter" system. A signal is only generated when all three of these conditions click into place at the exact same time:
* **Gear 1: Momentum (Cipher Twister):** This oscillator looks for "turning points." It identifies when the market is exhausted.
* **Buy:** The momentum lines cross while **below the zero line** (recovering from oversold).
* **Sell:** The momentum lines cross while **above the zero line** (dropping from overbought).
* **Gear 2: Medium-Term Trend (MA 25):** The price must be on the "correct" side of the **Yellow Line**. This ensures that the immediate price action is moving in your favor.
* **Gear 3: Macro Trend (MA 150):** This is the final gatekeeper (the **White Line**). You are forbidden from buying if the price is below this line, and forbidden from selling if it is above. This keeps you on the right side of the "Big Picture."
---
### 2. How to Read the Signals
| Signal | Chart Visual | Rule |
| --- | --- | --- |
| **BUY** | **Green "BUY" Label** | Price is above the Yellow & White lines + Oscillator crossed below zero. |
| **SELL** | **Red "SELL" Label** | Price is below the Yellow & White lines + Oscillator crossed above zero. |
**Visual Confirmation:** The script will also highlight the background in **Lime** for a Buy and **Red** for a Sell to make it impossible to miss.
---
### 3. Risk Management (The Exit)
This version is built as a **Strategy**, meaning it has a built-in "Exit Plan" for every trade:
* **Stop Loss (SL):** 100 Pips ($10.00 move in Gold).
* **Take Profit (TP):** 120 Pips ($12.00 move in Gold).
When a trade is entered, TradingView will automatically track the price. If it hits your target, the trade closes in profit. If it hits your stop, it closes to protect your capital.
---
### 5. Best Use Cases
* **Trending Markets:** This script thrives when Gold is in a clear uptrend or downtrend.
* **Timeframes:** It is most effective on the **15-minute (15M)** or **1-hour (1H)** charts. Lower timeframes (like the 1M) may hit the Stop Loss too frequently due to market noise.
**Would you like me to add a "Trailing Stop" feature, so the strategy locks in profits automatically as the price moves in your favor?**
VIOP Scalping - ATR SNIPERVIOP Scalping – ATR SNIPER is a momentum-based scalping strategy designed to capture short, high-probability moves while keeping risk strictly defined using ATR-based stop-loss and fixed risk/reward targets. The strategy trades only when trend direction, momentum, and strength are aligned.
This script is provided for educational and testing purposes only. It does not guarantee profitability and must be used with proper risk management.
Core Idea
Trade in the direction of the dominant trend, confirm momentum acceleration, and manage risk using ATR-based dynamic stops and targets.
How the Strategy Works
The main trend is defined using a Weighted Moving Average (WMA).
Momentum is measured by the distance and direction between a fast EMA and a slow EMA.
Trend strength is confirmed using ADX.
RSI is used as a filter to avoid weak or overextended market conditions.
Entries are blocked during a predefined no-trade time window to avoid high-noise periods.
Long Entry Conditions
Fast EMA is above Slow EMA and the EMA difference is greater than the minimum threshold.
EMA momentum is increasing compared to the previous bar.
RSI is within the user-defined long range.
Current close is higher than the previous close.
ADX is above the minimum strength threshold.
Price is above the WMA trend line.
The current bar is not inside the no-trade session.
Short Entry Conditions
Fast EMA is below Slow EMA and the EMA difference is below the negative threshold.
Bearish EMA momentum is increasing.
RSI is within the user-defined short range.
Current close is lower than the previous close.
ADX is above the minimum strength threshold.
Price is below the WMA trend line.
The current bar is not inside the no-trade session.
Risk Management – ATR Sniper Logic
Stop-loss distance is calculated as ATR multiplied by the ATR Multiplier.
Take-profit distance is calculated using the defined Risk/Reward ratio.
Stop-loss and take-profit levels are dynamically calculated per trade.
Only one position can be open at any given time.
What You See on the Chart
Weighted Moving Average (WMA) trend line.
Fast EMA and Slow EMA lines.
Dynamic stop-loss line during active trades.
Dynamic take-profit line during active trades.
Recommended Use
Intraday scalping on VİOP instruments.
Momentum-based short-term trading.
Traders who prefer rule-based systems with strict risk control.
Always backtest and forward-test on your own instruments and timeframes before using this strategy in live markets.
Multi-indicator Signal Builder [Skyrexio]Overview
Multi-Indicator Signal Builder is a versatile, all-in-one script designed to streamline your trading workflow by combining multiple popular technical indicators under a single roof.
It features a single-entry, single-exit logic, intrabar stop-loss/take-profit handling, an optional time filter, a visually accessible condition table, and a built-in statistics label.
Traders can choose any combination of 12+ indicators (RSI, Ultimate Oscillator, Bollinger %B, Moving Averages, ADX, Stochastic, MACD, PSAR, MFI, CCI, Heikin Ashi, and a “TV Screener” placeholder) to form entry or exit conditions.
This script aims to simplify strategy creation and analysis , making it a powerful toolkit for technical traders.
Indicators Overview
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Measures recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions on a 0–100 scale.
Ultimate Oscillator (UO)
Uses weighted averages of three different timeframes, aiming to confirm price momentum while avoiding false divergences.
Bollinger %B
Expresses price relative to Bollinger Bands, indicating whether price is near the upper band (overbought) or lower band (oversold).
Moving Average (MA)
Smooths price data over a specified period. The script supports both SMA and EMA to help identify trend direction and potential crossovers.
ADX (Average Directional Index)
Gauges the strength of a trend (0–100). Higher ADX signals stronger momentum, while lower ADX indicates a weaker trend.
Stochastic
Compares a closing price to a price range over a given period to identify momentum shifts and potential reversals.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence)
Tracks the difference between two EMAs plus a signal line, commonly used to spot momentum flips through crossovers.
PSAR (Parabolic SAR)
Plots a trailing stop-and-reverse dot that moves with the trend. Often used to signal potential reversals when price crosses PSAR.
MFI (Money Flow Index)
Similar to RSI but incorporates volume data. A reading above 80 can suggest overbought conditions, while below 20 may indicate oversold.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index)
Identifies cyclical trends or overbought/oversold levels by comparing current price to an average price over a set timeframe.
Heikin Ashi
A type of candlestick charting that filters out market noise. The script uses a streak-based approach (multiple consecutive bullish or bearish bars) to gauge mini-trends.
TV Screener
A placeholder condition designed to integrate external buy/sell logic (like a TradingView “Buy” or “Sell” rating). Users can override or reference external signals if desired.
Unique Features
Multi-Indicator Entry and Exit
You can selectively enable any subset of 12+ classic indicators, each with customizable parameters and conditions. A position opens only if all enabled entry conditions are met, and it closes only when all enabled exit conditions are satisfied, helping reduce false triggers.
Single-Entry / Single-Exit with Intrabar SL/TP
The script supports a single position at a time. Once a position is open, it monitors intrabar to see if the price hits your stop-loss or take-profit levels before the bar closes, making results more realistic for fast-moving markets.
Time Window Filter
Users may specify a start/end date range during which trades are allowed, making it convenient to focus on specific market cycles for backtesting or live trading.
Condition Table and Statistics
A table at the bottom of the chart lists all active entry/exit indicators. Upon each closed trade, an integrated statistics label displays net profit, total trades, win/loss count, average and median PnL, etc.
Seamless Alerts and Automation
• Configure alerts in TradingView using “Any alert() function call.”
• The script sends JSON alert messages you can route to your own webhook.
• The indicator can be integrated with Skyrexio alert bots to automate execution on major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Optional MA/PSAR Plots
For added visual clarity, optionally plot the chosen moving averages or PSAR on the chart to confirm signals without stacking multiple indicators.
Methodology
Multi-Indicator Entry Logic
When multiple entry indicators are enabled (e.g., RSI + Stochastic + MACD), the script requires all signals to align before generating an entry. Each indicator can be set for crossovers, crossunders, thresholds (above/below), etc. This “AND” logic aims to filter out low-confidence triggers.
Single-Entry Intrabar SL/TP
• One Position At a Time: Once an entry signal triggers, a trade opens at the bar’s close.
• Intrabar Checks: Stop-loss and take-profit levels (if enabled) are monitored on every tick. If either is reached, the position closes immediately, without waiting for the bar to end.
Exit Logic
All Conditions Must Agree: If the trade is still open (SL/TP not triggered), then all enabled exit indicators must confirm a closure before the script exits on the bar’s close.
Time Filter
Optional Trading Window: You can activate a date/time range to constrain entries and exits strictly to that interval.
Justification of Methodology
Indicator Confluence: Combining multiple tools (RSI, MACD, etc.) can reduce noise and false signals.
Intrabar SL/TP: Capturing real-time spikes or dips provides a more precise reflection of typical live trading scenarios.
Single-Entry Model: Straightforward for both manual and automated tracking (especially important in bridging to bots).
Custom Date Range: Helps refine backtesting for specific market conditions or to avoid known irregular data periods.
How to Use
Add the Script to Your Chart
• In TradingView, open Indicators , search for “Multi-indicator Signal Builder” .
• Click to add it to your chart.
Configure Inputs
• Time Filter: Set a start and end date for trades.
• Alerts Messages: Input any JSON or text payload needed by your external service or bot.
• Entry Conditions: Enable and configure any indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for a confluence-based entry.
• Close Conditions: Enable exit indicators, along with optional SL (negative %) and TP (positive %) levels.
Set Up Alerts
• In TradingView, select “Create Alert” → Condition = “Any alert() function call” → choose this script.
• Entry Alert: Triggers on the script’s entry signal.
• Close Alert: Triggers on the script’s close signal (or if SL/TP is hit).
• Skyrexio Alert Bots: You can route these alerts via webhook to Skyrexio alert bots to automate order execution on major crypto exchanges (or any other supported broker).
Visual Reference
• A condition table at the bottom summarizes active signals.
• Statistics Label updates automatically as trades are closed, showing PnL stats and distribution metrics.
Backtesting Guidelines
Symbol/Timeframe: Works on multiple assets and timeframes; always do thorough testing.
Realistic Costs: Adjust commissions and potential slippage to match typical exchange conditions.
Risk Management: If using the built-in stop-loss/take-profit, set percentages that reflect your personal risk tolerance.
Longer Test Horizons: Verify performance across diverse market cycles to gauge reliability.
Example of statistic calculation
Test Period: 2023-01-01 to 2025-12-31
Initial Capital: $1,000
Commission: 0.1%, Slippage ~5 ticks
Trade Count: 680 (varies by strategy conditions)
Win rate: 75.44% (varies by strategy conditions)
Net Profit: +90.14% (varies by strategy conditions)
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided strictly for informational and educational purposes.
It does not constitute financial or trading advice.
Past performance never guarantees future results.
Always test thoroughly in demo environments before using real capital.
Enjoy exploring the Multi-Indicator Signal Builder! Experiment with different indicator combinations and adjust parameters to align with your trading preferences, whether you trade manually or link your alerts to external automation services. Happy trading and stay safe!
A-Share Broad-Based ETF Dual-Core Timing System1. Strategy Overview
The "A-Share Broad-Based ETF Dual-Core Timing System" is a quantitative trading strategy tailored for the Chinese A-share market (specifically for broad-based ETFs like CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR 50). Recognizing the market's characteristic of "short bulls, long bears, and sharp bottoms," this strategy employs a "Left-Side Latency + Right-Side Full Position" dual-core driver. It aims to safely bottom-fish during the late stages of a bear market and maximize profits during the main ascending waves of a bull market.
2. Core Logic
A. Left-Side Latency (Rebound/Bottom Fishing)
Capital Allocation: Defaults to 50% position.
Philosophy: "Buy when others fear." Seeks opportunities in extreme panic or momentum divergence.
Entry Signals (Triggered by any of the following):
Extreme Panic: RSI Oversold (<30) + Price below Bollinger Lower Band + Bullish Candle Close (Avoid catching falling knives).
Oversold Bias: Price deviates more than 15% from the 60-day MA (Life Line), betting on mean reversion.
MACD Bullish Divergence: Price makes a new low while MACD histogram does not, accompanied by strengthening momentum.
B. Right-Side Full Position (Trend Following)
Capital Allocation: Aggressively scales up to Full Position (~99%) upon signal trigger.
Philosophy: "Follow the trend." Strike heavily once the trend is confirmed.
Entry Signals (All must be met):
Upward Trend: MACD Golden Cross + Price above 20-day MA.
Breakout Confirmation: CCI indicator breaks above 100, confirming a main ascending wave.
Volume Support: Volume MACD Golden Cross, ensuring price increase is backed by volume.
C. Smart Risk Control
Bear Market Exhaustion Exit: In a bearish trend (MA20 < MA60), the strategy does not "hold and hope." It immediately liquidates left-side positions upon signs of rebound exhaustion (breaking below MA20, touching MA60 resistance, or RSI failure).
ATR Trailing Stop: Uses Average True Range (ATR) to calculate a dynamic stop-profit line that rises with the price to lock in profits.
Hard Stop Loss: Forces a stop-loss if the left-side bottom fishing fails and losses exceed a set ATR multiple, preventing deep drawdowns.
3. Recommendations
Target Assets: High liquidity broad-based ETFs such as CSI 300 ETF (510300), CSI 500 ETF (510500), ChiNext ETF (159915), STAR 50 ETF (588000).
Timeframe: Daily Chart.
Alpha Options System# Apex Options Sniper - Advanced Multi-Signal Day Trading System
## 🎯 Overview
**Apex Options Sniper** is a professional-grade, multi-signal trading indicator specifically engineered for high-probability day trading of weekly options. This comprehensive system combines 10+ technical indicators into a sophisticated scoring algorithm that identifies optimal entry points with institutional-level precision.
Perfect for traders of SPY, QQQ, and high-volume stocks, this indicator eliminates guesswork by providing clear BUY CALLS and BUY PUTS signals based on multiple technical confluences.
---
## 🚀 Key Features
### **Multi-Signal Confluence Engine**
- **10+ Technical Indicators** working in harmony
- **Weighted Scoring System** (0-30+ points) for signal strength
- **Real-time Signal Classification**: Strong vs Moderate signals
- **False Signal Reduction** through multi-confirmation requirements
### **Advanced Momentum Analysis**
- ✅ RSI with Divergence Detection (bullish & bearish)
- ✅ Stochastic Oscillator (oversold/overbought + crossovers)
- ✅ MACD with crossover and momentum confirmation
- ✅ Automatic divergence spotting for reversal trades
### **Sophisticated Trend Detection**
- ✅ Triple EMA System (9/21/50) with alignment scoring
- ✅ SuperTrend Indicator with trend flip alerts
- ✅ VWAP for institutional price levels
- ✅ Multi-timeframe trend confirmation
### **Professional Volume Analysis**
- ✅ Volume Spike Detection (vs 20-period average)
- ✅ OBV (On-Balance Volume) with divergence detection
- ✅ Order Flow Analysis (buy vs sell pressure)
- ✅ Relative volume ratio display
### **Advanced Pattern Recognition**
- ✅ Bollinger Band Squeeze detection (volatility expansion)
- ✅ BB breakout signals (major move initiation)
- ✅ Automatic Support & Resistance levels (pivot-based)
- ✅ Price reaction scoring at key levels
### **Built-in Risk Management**
- ✅ ATR-based Stop Loss calculations
- ✅ Customizable Risk:Reward ratios
- ✅ Position sizing recommendations
- ✅ Real-time profit target calculations
### **Comprehensive Visual Dashboard**
- ✅ Live scoring breakdown for all indicators
- ✅ Individual signal strength display
- ✅ Bull vs Bear score comparison
- ✅ Color-coded signal status
- ✅ Risk management metrics
---
## 📊 How It Works
### **Scoring System**
The indicator assigns points based on technical conditions:
| **Category** | **Max Points** | **Conditions** |
|-------------|---------------|----------------|
| Momentum (RSI/Stoch) | 8 | Oversold/overbought + divergences |
| MACD | 4 | Crossovers + momentum direction |
| Trend (EMAs) | 6 | EMA alignment + SuperTrend |
| Volume | 4 | Spikes + OBV divergences |
| Order Flow | 2 | Buy/sell pressure imbalance |
| Bollinger Bands | 2 | Squeeze + breakouts |
| Support/Resistance | 2 | Price at key levels |
| VWAP | 1 | Above/below institutional level |
### **Signal Thresholds**
- **🚀 STRONG CALLS**: Bull score ≥6, Net score ≥4
- **📈 CALLS**: Bull score ≥4, Net score ≥2
- **🔥 STRONG PUTS**: Bear score ≥6, Net score ≤-4
- **📉 PUTS**: Bear score ≥4, Net score ≤-2
### **Multi-Timeframe Filter**
Optional higher timeframe confirmation reduces false signals by ensuring the broader trend supports your trade direction.
---
## 🎮 How to Use
### **Installation**
1. Open TradingView Pine Editor
2. Paste the complete indicator code
3. Click "Add to Chart"
4. Customize settings to your preference
### **Recommended Settings**
**For SPY/QQQ Day Trading:**
- Timeframe: 1-minute or 5-minute
- Strong Signal Threshold: 6
- Moderate Signal Threshold: 4
- Multi-timeframe Confluence: ON
**For Individual Stocks:**
- Timeframe: 5-minute or 15-minute
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier to 3.5-4.0
- Enable all advanced features
**For Scalping:**
- Timeframe: 1-minute
- Use STRONG signals only (6+)
- Tight stop loss (1.0-1.5 ATR multiplier)
### **Best Trading Times**
- **9:30-11:00 AM EST** - Highest volume, strongest signals
- **2:00-4:00 PM EST** - Afternoon momentum plays
- Avoid 11:30 AM-1:30 PM EST (lunch chop)
---
## 📈 Signal Interpretation
### **What You'll See on Chart:**
**Visual Signals:**
- 🟢 **Green Triangle (CALLS)**: Bullish entry point
- 🟢 **Large Green Triangle (STRONG CALLS)**: High-confidence bullish entry
- 🔴 **Red Triangle (PUTS)**: Bearish entry point
- 🔴 **Large Red Triangle (STRONG PUTS)**: High-confidence bearish entry
- 💎 **Small Diamonds**: RSI/OBV divergences (reversal warning)
**Dashboard Information:**
- Individual indicator values and signals
- Real-time score breakdown
- Bull/Bear score totals
- ATR stop loss levels
### **Entry Rules:**
✅ **High Probability Trades (Take These):**
- Strong signal (6+ score)
- 3+ indicators confirming
- Volume spike present
- SuperTrend aligned
- Higher timeframe confirms
⚠️ **Moderate Trades (Smaller Position):**
- Moderate signal (4-5 score)
- 2+ indicators confirming
- Normal volume
- Mixed trend signals
❌ **Avoid These:**
- Conflicting signals (Bull score ≈ Bear score)
- Low volume
- During major news events
- Bollinger squeeze without breakout direction
---
## 🛡️ Risk Management Guide
### **Position Sizing:**
- **Strong Signals (6+)**: 3-5% of portfolio
- **Moderate Signals (4-5)**: 2-3% of portfolio
- **Low Conviction**: 1-2% or skip
### **Stop Loss Strategy:**
- Use ATR-based stops (displayed in dashboard)
- Default: 1.5x ATR from entry
- Weekly options: 30-50% premium loss maximum
- Never hold through stop loss hoping for recovery
### **Profit Targets:**
- **Quick Scalps**: 25-50% gain (15-30 min)
- **Day Trades**: 50-100% gain (same day exit)
- **Swing**: 100-200% gain (1-2 days max for weeklies)
- **Take partial profits** at first target, let rest run
### **Time Decay Management (Weekly Options):**
- Monday-Wednesday: Hold overnight acceptable on strong signals
- Thursday: Close by EOD unless very strong conviction
- Friday: Avoid holding overnight, theta decay accelerates
---
## 🔔 Alert Configuration
### **Recommended Alerts:**
**Essential Alerts:**
1. 🚀 Strong Buy Calls
2. 🔥 Strong Buy Puts
**Advanced Alerts:**
3. 💎 RSI Bullish Divergence
4. ⚠️ RSI Bearish Divergence
5. 🔶 Bollinger Band Squeeze
6. ✅ SuperTrend Bull Flip
7. ❌ SuperTrend Bear Flip
**Alert Setup:**
- Set frequency: "Once Per Bar Close"
- Enable for all devices
- Use webhook for automation (optional)
---
## 💡 Pro Trading Tips
### **Maximize Win Rate:**
1. **Wait for confluence** - Best trades have 3+ indicators aligned
2. **Respect the dashboard** - Check WHY it's signaling (which indicators)
3. **Volume is king** - Signals with volume spikes are significantly more reliable
4. **Use BB Squeeze** - When squeeze + signal = explosive directional move
5. **SuperTrend flips** - Major trend change confirmations, very powerful
6. **Watch for divergences** - Diamond markers = hidden reversal opportunities
### **Common Mistakes to Avoid:**
❌ Trading every signal (be selective)
❌ Ignoring volume (volume confirms everything)
❌ Fighting the higher timeframe trend
❌ Oversizing positions on moderate signals
❌ Holding weekly options too long (theta decay)
❌ Trading during lunch hour (11:30-1:30 EST)
### **Advanced Techniques:**
- **Divergence + Support/Resistance** = Highest probability reversals
- **BB Squeeze + EMA alignment** = Explosive trend continuations
- **SuperTrend flip + Volume spike** = Major trend change entries
- **Multiple timeframe analysis** - Check 5m signal on 1m chart for precision entries
---
## 📊 Indicator Components Explained
### **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- Measures momentum and overbought/oversold conditions
- Divergences signal potential reversals before they happen
- Score: 2-3 points for extremes and divergences
### **Stochastic Oscillator**
- Confirms momentum extremes
- Crossovers provide entry timing
- Score: 1-2 points
### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Trend following momentum indicator
- Crossovers signal momentum shifts
- Score: 1-3 points based on signal strength
### **EMA System (9/21/50)**
- Dynamic support and resistance
- Alignment shows trend strength
- Price position relative to EMAs scores 1-2 points
### **SuperTrend**
- Volatility-based trend indicator
- Reduces whipsaws in choppy conditions
- Trend flips are major signals (2 points)
### **Bollinger Bands**
- Volatility measurement
- Squeeze = calm before the storm
- Breakouts = directional move initiation (2 points)
### **Volume Analysis**
- Confirms price movement legitimacy
- Spikes validate signals (2 points)
- OBV divergences predict reversals (2 points)
### **Order Flow**
- Buy vs sell pressure measurement
- Institutional footprint detection
- Score: 2 points for strong imbalances
---
## 🎓 Learning Path
### **Beginner (Week 1-2):**
- Use STRONG signals only
- Focus on high-volume stocks (SPY/QQQ)
- Trade only first hour of market
- Use paper trading first
### **Intermediate (Week 3-4):**
- Add moderate signals to your arsenal
- Learn to read the dashboard
- Understand why each signal triggers
- Start combining with support/resistance
### **Advanced (Month 2+):**
- Use divergence signals
- Trade BB squeeze breakouts
- Optimize settings for your style
- Develop your own confluence rules
---
## ⚙️ Customization Guide
### **Adjustable Parameters:**
**Momentum Settings:**
- RSI Length (default: 14)
- RSI Oversold/Overbought levels (30/70)
- Stochastic Length (14)
**Trend Settings:**
- EMA periods (9/21/50)
- SuperTrend ATR Length (10)
- SuperTrend Multiplier (3.0)
**Volume Settings:**
- Volume MA Length (20)
- Volume Spike Threshold (1.5x)
**Advanced Settings:**
- Bollinger Band Length (20)
- BB Standard Deviation (2.0)
- Pivot Lookback (10)
**Signal Thresholds:**
- Strong Signal Score (default: 6)
- Moderate Signal Score (default: 4)
**Risk Management:**
- ATR Length (14)
- Stop Loss Multiplier (1.5)
- Risk:Reward Ratio (2.0)
---
## 📈 Performance Optimization
### **For Volatile Markets (VIX > 25):**
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier to 4.0
- Raise signal thresholds (+1 point)
- Tighten stop losses (1.0-1.2 ATR)
### **For Ranging Markets:**
- Focus on RSI extremes and divergences
- Use BB squeeze signals
- Ignore moderate signals
- Wait for support/resistance confirmation
### **For Trending Markets:**
- Follow SuperTrend direction religiously
- Use EMA alignment signals
- Allow wider stops (2.0 ATR)
- Take partial profits, let winners run
---
## 🔍 Troubleshooting
**Too Many Signals:**
- Increase signal thresholds to 7/5
- Enable multi-timeframe filter
- Trade only STRONG signals
**Missing Signals:**
- Decrease thresholds to 5/3
- Disable multi-timeframe filter
- Check that all features are enabled
**Whipsaw in Choppy Markets:**
- Increase SuperTrend multiplier
- Require volume spike confirmation
- Avoid trading 11:30 AM-1:30 PM EST
---
## 🏆 Best Practices
✅ **Always check:**
1. Dashboard shows why signal triggered
2. Volume confirms the move
3. Not during news events
4. Adequate time until expiration
✅ **Risk Management:**
1. Never risk more than 2% per trade
2. Use stops religiously
3. Take profits at targets
4. Don't revenge trade
✅ **Journal Your Trades:**
1. Entry price and signal strength
2. Which indicators triggered
3. Exit price and profit/loss
4. What worked and what didn't
---
## 📞 Support & Updates
This indicator is designed to evolve with market conditions. Recommended to:
- Review settings monthly
- Backtest on your favorite instruments
- Adjust thresholds based on your risk tolerance
- Keep a trading journal to track performance
---
## ⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is a tool for technical analysis and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions. Options trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
- Do your own research and due diligence
- Never invest more than you can afford to lose
- Consider consulting with a financial advisor
- Practice with paper trading before using real money
- Understand options Greeks (Delta, Theta, Gamma, Vega)
- Be aware of earnings dates and major news events
**No indicator is 100% accurate. Use proper risk management and trade responsibly.**
---
## 📊 Version History
**v1.0 - Initial Release**
- Multi-signal confluence system
- 10+ technical indicators
- Advanced dashboard
- ATR-based risk management
- Comprehensive alert system
---
## 🎯 Final Thoughts
**Apex Options Sniper** transforms complex technical analysis into clear, actionable signals. By combining multiple proven indicators with sophisticated scoring logic, it helps traders identify high-probability setups while managing risk effectively.
**Success Keys:**
- Quality over quantity (be selective)
- Risk management is everything
- Volume confirms the signal
- Confluence increases probability
- Discipline beats emotion
**Trade smart. Trade with confidence. Trade with Apex Options Sniper.**
---
*For questions, suggestions, or to share your success stories, please comment below or send a message.*
**Happy Trading! 🚀📈**
ODTE Layman Signals 📌 Script Name
Layman Options Signals – Structured BUY CALL / BUY PUT with SL & TP
📖 Overview
This indicator is a complete, finished intraday trading system designed to simplify options trading (including 0DTE and weekly options) by converting price action and market structure into clear, actionable signals.
The script performs all analysis in the background and displays only what the trader needs to execute consistently:
BUY CALL or BUY PUT
Predefined Stop Loss (SL)
Two Take Profit levels (TP1 and TP2)
Trade status and levels displayed in a live status box
The focus of this tool is execution discipline, not prediction.
🧠 Core Concepts Used (What Makes This Script Original)
This script combines multiple price-action concepts into a single, rule-based framework:
1️⃣ Opening Range Breakout (ORB)
The script calculates the opening range high and low using the first X minutes of the regular session.
Trades are only allowed above ORB high for CALLs and below ORB low for PUTs.
This filters low-quality trades during early chop.
2️⃣ Market Structure Confirmation
CALL trades require higher highs and higher lows
PUT trades require lower lows and lower highs
This prevents trading against structure.
3️⃣ Retest & Liquidity Sweep Validation
Breakouts are validated using:
ORB retests (price accepts above/below the range)
Liquidity sweeps (false breakouts that trap traders)
This helps reduce fake breakouts.
4️⃣ Volatility-Aware Risk Management
Stop losses are placed using market structure + ATR buffer
This avoids stops being placed at obvious levels.
5️⃣ Multi-Target Trade Management
TP1 = partial profit (risk reduction)
TP2 = runner target (trend continuation)
After TP1, stop loss can move to breakeven (optional)
6️⃣ Discipline Controls
Only one active trade at a time
Cooldown period after a stop loss
Prevents over-trading and revenge trading
📊 What the Indicator Displays
The script plots the following directly on the chart:
Entry level
Stop Loss (SL)
Take Profit 1 (TP1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2)
Opening Range High & Low
It also includes a Status Box that always shows one of the following states:
WAIT
BUY CALL
BUY PUT
IN TRADE
COOLDOWN
This allows traders to understand the current state at a glance without reading code.
▶️ How to Use the Indicator
Recommended Timeframes
1-minute or 2-minute charts
Intraday use only
Entry Rules
When BUY CALL appears → Buy an ATM or slightly ITM call
When BUY PUT appears → Buy an ATM or slightly ITM put
Risk Management
Exit immediately if price hits the SL line
Take partial profits at TP1
Hold remaining position for TP2 if conditions allow
When Status Shows WAIT or COOLDOWN
No trade should be taken
⚙️ Recommended Instruments
SPY / QQQ
Liquid large-cap stocks
Intraday options (0DTE / weeklies)
⚠️ Important Disclaimer
This script is provided for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice
It does not guarantee profits
It does not place trades automatically
Options trading involves significant risk
Always test using paper trading or small size before live use.
🎯 Who This Script Is For
✔ Traders who want clear rules
✔ Traders who prefer price action over indicators
✔ Options traders who value risk management
✔ Users who want less chart clutter and more discipline
❌ Not intended for swing trading
❌ Not intended for automated trading systems
🧩 Final Notes
This is a complete, finished indicator, not a test or experimental script.
All logic is deterministic, non-repainting, and designed for real-time use.
The philosophy behind this tool is simple:
Good trading comes from structure, discipline, and risk control — not prediction.
Smart Money Swing Strategy [All-in-One]# Pro Swing Trader 📈
A comprehensive swing trading indicator for TradingView that combines multiple confluence factors to identify high-probability trade setups with built-in risk management.
## 🎯 Overview
This indicator is designed for swing traders who want to catch momentum pullbacks with precision entries. It filters trades using multiple timeframe analysis, RSI zones, volume confirmation, and EMA trends to deliver only the highest-confidence setups.
### Key Features
✅ **Multi-Timeframe Confluence** - Confirms trades with higher timeframe analysis (Daily, 4H, etc.)
✅ **Smart Entry Signals** - Detects pullback-to-EMA reclaim patterns
✅ **Automatic Risk Management** - Calculates stops, targets, and R-multiples
✅ **Dynamic Stop Loss** - ATR trailing stop + break-even automation
✅ **Real-Time HUD Dashboard** - Live confluence scoring and trade metrics
✅ **Comprehensive Alerts** - Entry, TP1, TP2, and stop-loss notifications
✅ **Visual Trade Levels** - Clear on-chart stop-loss and take-profit lines
---
## 📊 How It Works
### Signal Logic
The indicator identifies two types of signals:
**Base Signals** (Small triangles):
- Price pulls back between Fast EMA and Slow EMA
- RSI is in the swing zone (40-60 by default)
- Price reclaims the Fast EMA with momentum
- Optional: Volume spike confirmation
**High-Confidence Signals** (Large triangles):
- All base signal criteria met
- Higher timeframe confirms the trend direction
- HTF RSI and slope alignment
- These are your primary trade signals
### Entry Conditions
#### Long Entry (🟢 HC L)
1. Fast EMA > Slow EMA (uptrend)
2. Previous candle closed between the EMAs (pullback)
3. Current candle crosses above and closes above Fast EMA (reclaim)
4. RSI between 40-60 (swing zone)
5. **HTF Confirmation**: Daily/4H price above EMA50, RSI > 50, positive slope
6. Optional: Volume > 1.5x 20-bar average
#### Short Entry (🔻 HC S)
1. Fast EMA < Slow EMA (downtrend)
2. Previous candle closed between the EMAs (pullback)
3. Current candle crosses below and closes below Fast EMA (reclaim)
4. RSI between 40-60 (swing zone)
5. **HTF Confirmation**: Daily/4H price below EMA50, RSI < 50, negative slope
6. Optional: Volume > 1.5x 20-bar average
---
## 🎛️ Settings & Parameters
### Trend Parameters
- **Fast EMA**: Default 20 - Quick trend detection
- **Slow EMA**: Default 50 - Major trend filter
- **Swing Lookback**: Default 10 - Bars to find swing high/low for stops
### RSI Settings
- **RSI Length**: Default 14
- **RSI Min**: Default 40 - Lower bound of swing zone
- **RSI Max**: Default 60 - Upper bound of swing zone
### Risk Management
- **Final TP Risk-Reward (R)**: Default 2.0 - Main profit target multiplier
- **TP1 R Multiple**: Default 1.0 - Partial profit target
- **Use Break-even Stop**: Move stop to entry after 1R profit
- **ATR Trailing Stop**: Dynamic stop based on ATR(14) x 2.0
### Filters
- **Require Volume Spike**: Optional volume confirmation filter
- **Use Higher TF Confirmation**: Enable multi-timeframe analysis
- **Higher TF**: Default "D" (Daily) - Can use 240 (4H), W (Weekly), etc.
---
## 📈 Dashboard (HUD)
The top-center dashboard shows real-time confluence status:
| Column | Meaning |
|--------|---------|
| **Trend** | Current trend direction (UP/DOWN/Flat) |
| **HTF** | Higher timeframe alignment (Bull/Bear/Flat) |
| **RSI Zone** | Is RSI in swing zone? (YES/NO) |
| **Volume** | Volume spike detected? (YES/NO) |
| **Signal** | Active signal type (HC LONG/HC SHORT/None) |
| **R Risk** | Current profit in R-multiples |
| **Stop** | Current stop-loss level |
| **TP1** | Partial take-profit status |
| **TP2** | Final take-profit status |
| **Conf %** | Overall confluence score (0-100%) |
### Confidence Score Breakdown
- **20%** - Trend present (up or down)
- **30%** - HTF confirmation aligned (or 15% if HTF off)
- **20%** - RSI in swing zone
- **10%** - Volume spike
- **20%** - High-confidence signal triggered
**Scoring**:
- 🟢 70%+ = High probability setup
- 🟡 40-69% = Moderate setup
- 🔴 <40% = Low probability
---
## 🔔 Alert Setup
The indicator includes 8 alert conditions:
### Entry Alerts
- **HC LONG ENTRY** - High-confidence long signal triggered
- **HC SHORT ENTRY** - High-confidence short signal triggered
### Profit Target Alerts
- **LONG TP1 Reached** - Hit partial profit (1R by default)
- **LONG Final TP Reached** - Hit final target (2R by default)
- **SHORT TP1 Reached** - Hit partial profit
- **SHORT Final TP Reached** - Hit final target
### Stop Loss Alerts
- **LONG Stop/BE/Trail Level Hit** - Long position stopped out
- **SHORT Stop/BE/Trail Level Hit** - Short position stopped out
### How to Set Up Alerts
1. Click "Add Alert" on TradingView
2. Choose this indicator from the dropdown
3. Select desired alert condition
4. Set alert to trigger "Once Per Bar Close"
5. Customize notification method (popup/email/webhook)
---
## 📋 Trading Workflow
### 1. Wait for High-Confidence Signal
Look for the large **HC L** or **HC S** triangle on chart close.
### 2. Verify Confluence
Check the HUD dashboard:
- Confidence score should be 70%+
- HTF status should show alignment
- RSI Zone should be "YES"
### 3. Entry
Enter the trade at market or on next candle open.
### 4. Set Stop Loss
Use the **initial stop** shown in the HUD (red line on chart):
- **Longs**: Below the swing low (10-bar lookback)
- **Shorts**: Above the swing high (10-bar lookback)
### 5. Set Take Profits
- **TP1**: 1R (50% position close) - Yellow line
- **TP2**: 2R (remaining 50% close) - Green line
### 6. Manage the Trade
- Monitor the **R Risk** column to track profit
- Stop moves to break-even automatically after 1R (if enabled)
- ATR trailing stop engages dynamically (red line adjusts)
- Exit if price hits dynamic stop level
---
## 🎨 Visual Guide
### On-Chart Elements
**Triangles**:
- Small lime/red triangles = Base signals (lower confidence)
- Large lime/red triangles = High-confidence signals (trade these!)
**Lines**:
- 🟢 Green line = Fast EMA (20)
- 🟠 Orange line = Slow EMA (50)
- 🔴 Red line = Dynamic stop-loss level
- 🟡 Yellow line = TP1 level
- 🟢 Green line = TP2 (final target)
**HUD Colors**:
- 🟢 Green = Bullish/Active/Good
- 🔴 Red = Bearish/Inactive/Warning
- 🟡 Yellow = Neutral/Caution
- 🔵 Blue = Informational
- ⚫ Gray = Disabled/Off
---
## 💡 Strategy Tips
### Best Practices
1. **Only trade High-Confidence signals** - Ignore base signals unless very experienced
2. **Respect the HTF** - Don't fight the higher timeframe trend
3. **Use proper position sizing** - Risk 1-2% of account per trade
4. **Partial profits work** - Take 50% off at TP1, let rest run to TP2
5. **Let winners run** - Trailing stop helps capture extended moves
6. **Be patient** - Quality over quantity; wait for 70%+ confluence
### Optimal Timeframes
- **Primary Chart**: 1H, 4H, Daily (swing trading)
- **HTF Setting**: One level higher than your chart
- If trading 1H → Set HTF to 4H or D
- If trading 4H → Set HTF to D or W
- If trading Daily → Set HTF to W
### Market Conditions
**Best Performance**:
- Trending markets with healthy pullbacks
- Clear support/resistance zones
- Moderate volatility
**Avoid Trading**:
- Extremely choppy/sideways markets
- Major news events (unless experienced)
- Low confidence scores (<40%)
---
## ⚙️ Advanced Customization
### Aggressive Setup (More Signals)
```
Fast EMA: 12
Slow EMA: 26
RSI Min: 35
RSI Max: 65
Use HTF Confirmation: OFF
Require Volume Spike: OFF
```
### Conservative Setup (Fewer, Higher Quality)
```
Fast EMA: 20
Slow EMA: 50
RSI Min: 45
RSI Max: 55
Use HTF Confirmation: ON
Require Volume Spike: ON
Final TP R: 3.0
```
### Scalping Adaptation (Not Recommended)
```
Fast EMA: 9
Slow EMA: 21
Swing Lookback: 5
TP1 R: 0.5
Final TP R: 1.0
```
---
## ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
**IMPORTANT**: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- No indicator is 100% accurate
- Always use proper risk management
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Consider using a demo account first
- Seek professional financial advice if needed
Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
---
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
### "No signals appearing"
- Check if HTF confirmation is enabled but market isn't aligned
- Verify RSI zone isn't too restrictive
- Ensure volume spike isn't filtering out all setups
- Try adjusting EMA lengths for your asset
### "Too many false signals"
- Enable HTF confirmation
- Tighten RSI zone (e.g., 45-55)
- Enable volume spike requirement
- Only trade 70%+ confidence setups
### "Stops too tight/wide"
- Adjust Swing Lookback length
- Modify ATR multiplier for trailing stop
- Consider the asset's volatility
### "Alerts not working"
- Ensure alert is set to "Once Per Bar Close"
- Check indicator is added to the chart
- Verify TradingView notification settings
---
## 📚 Version History
**v1.0 (Current)**
- Initial release
- Multi-timeframe confluence system
- Dynamic risk management
- Real-time HUD dashboard
- Comprehensive alert system
- ATR trailing stops
- Break-even automation
---
## 🤝 Support & Feedback
If you find this indicator helpful:
- ⭐ Star the script on TradingView
- 💬 Share your results and feedback
- 🐛 Report bugs or suggest improvements
- 📖 Share with other traders
---
## 📖 Additional Resources
### Recommended Reading
- "The New Trading for a Living" by Dr. Alexander Elder
- "Swing Trading Using Multiple Timeframes" - Educational articles
- Risk management and position sizing guides
### Learn More About
- Multiple timeframe analysis
- EMA crossover strategies
- RSI divergence and zones
- ATR-based stops
- R-multiple profit management
---
## 📝 License
This indicator is provided as-is for personal trading use.
**Usage Rights**:
- ✅ Use for personal trading
- ✅ Modify for personal use
- ❌ Resell or redistribute
- ❌ Claim as original work
---
## 🎓 Quick Start Checklist
- Add indicator to TradingView chart
- Set your preferred timeframe (1H/4H/Daily)
- Configure HTF setting (one level higher)
- Review default parameters
- Set up entry alerts (HC LONG/SHORT)
- Set up TP and SL alerts
- Test on historical data
- Paper trade first
- Start with small position sizes
- Track your results
---
**Happy Trading! 📊💰**
*Remember: Discipline, patience, and risk management are the keys to long-term success.*
PEAD ScreenerPEAD Screener - Post-Earnings Announcement Drift Scanner
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WHY EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS CREATE OPPORTUNITY
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
The days immediately following an earnings announcement are among the noisiest periods for any stock. Within hours, the market must digest new information about a company's profits, revenue, and future outlook. Analysts scramble to update their models. Institutions rebalance positions. Retail traders react to headlines.
This chaos creates a well-documented phenomenon called Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD): stocks that beat expectations tend to keep rising, while those that miss tend to keep falling - often for weeks after the initial announcement. Academic research has confirmed this pattern persists across decades and markets.
But not every earnings surprise is equal. A company that beats estimates by 5 cents might move very differently than one that beats by 5 cents with unusually high volume, or one where both earnings AND revenue exceeded expectations. Raw numbers alone don't tell the full story.
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
HOW "STANDARDIZED UNEXPECTED" METRICS CUT THROUGH THE NOISE
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
This screener uses a statistical technique to measure how "surprising" a result truly is - not just whether it beat or missed, but how unusual that beat or miss was compared to the company's own history.
The core idea: convert raw surprises into Z-scores.
A Z-score answers the question: "How many standard deviations away from normal is this result?"
- A Z-score of 0 means the result was exactly average
- A Z-score of +2 means the result was unusually high (better than ~95% of historical results)
- A Z-score of -2 means the result was unusually low
By standardizing surprises this way, we can compare apples to apples. A small-cap biotech's $0.02 beat might actually be more significant than a mega-cap's $0.50 beat, once we account for each company's typical variability.
This screener applies this standardization to three dimensions: earnings (SUE), revenue (SURGE), and volume (SUV).
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
THE 9 SCREENING CRITERIA
═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
─────────────────────────────────────────
1. SUE (Standardized Unexpected Earnings)
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
SUE measures how surprising an earnings result was, adjusted for the company's historical forecast accuracy.
Calculation: Take the earnings surprise (actual EPS minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past forecast errors. This uses a rolling window of the last 8 quarters by default.
Formula: SUE = (Actual EPS - Estimated EPS) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUE > +2.0: Strongly positive surprise - earnings beat expectations by an unusually large margin. These stocks often continue drifting higher.
- SUE between 0 and +2.0: Modest positive surprise - beat expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE between -2.0 and 0: Modest negative surprise - missed expectations, but within normal range.
- SUE < -2.0: Strongly negative surprise - significant miss. These stocks often continue drifting lower.
For long positions, look for SUE values above +2.0, ideally combined with positive SURGE.
─────────────────────────────────────────
2. SURGE (Standardized Unexpected Revenue)
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
SURGE applies the same standardization technique to revenue surprises. While earnings can be manipulated through accounting choices, revenue is harder to fake - it represents actual sales.
Calculation: Take the revenue surprise (actual revenue minus analyst estimate), then divide by the standard deviation of past revenue forecast errors.
Formula: SURGE = (Actual Revenue - Estimated Revenue) / Standard Deviation of Past Errors
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SURGE > +1.5: Strongly positive revenue surprise - the company sold significantly more than expected.
- SURGE between 0 and +1.5: Modest positive surprise.
- SURGE < 0: Revenue missed expectations.
The most powerful signals occur when BOTH SUE and SURGE are positive and elevated (ideally SUE > 2.0 AND SURGE > 1.5). This indicates the company beat on both profitability AND top-line growth - a much stronger signal than either alone.
When SUE and SURGE diverge significantly (e.g., high SUE but negative SURGE), treat with caution - the earnings beat may have come from cost-cutting rather than genuine growth.
─────────────────────────────────────────
3. SUV (Standardized Unexpected Volume)
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
SUV detects unusual trading volume after accounting for how volatile the stock is. More volatile stocks naturally have higher volume, so raw volume comparisons can be misleading.
Calculation: This uses regression analysis to model the expected relationship between price volatility and volume. The "unexpected" volume is the residual - how much actual volume deviated from what the model predicted. This residual is then standardized into a Z-score.
In plain terms: SUV asks "Given how much this stock typically moves, is today's volume unusually high or low?"
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- SUV > +2.0: Exceptionally high volume relative to the stock's volatility. This often signals institutional activity - big players moving in or out.
- SUV between +1.0 and +2.0: Elevated volume - above normal interest.
- SUV between -1.0 and +1.0: Normal volume range.
- SUV < -1.0: Unusually quiet - less activity than expected.
High SUV combined with positive price movement suggests accumulation (buying). High SUV combined with negative price movement suggests distribution (selling).
─────────────────────────────────────────
4. % From D0 Close
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
This measures how far the current price has moved from the closing price on its initial earnings reaction day (D0). The "reaction day" is the first trading day that fully reflects the earnings news - typically the day after an after-hours announcement, or the announcement day itself for pre-market releases.
Calculation: ((Current Price - D0 Close) / D0 Close) × 100
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Positive values: Stock has gained ground since earnings. The higher the percentage, the stronger the post-earnings drift.
- 0% to +5%: Modest positive drift - earnings were received well but momentum is limited.
- +5% to +15%: Strong drift - buyers continue accumulating.
- > +15%: Exceptional drift - significant institutional interest likely.
- Negative values: Stock has given back gains or extended losses since earnings. May indicate the initial reaction was overdone, or that sentiment is deteriorating.
This metric is most meaningful within the first 5-20 trading days after earnings. Extended drift (maintaining gains over 2+ weeks) is a stronger signal than a quick spike that fades.
─────────────────────────────────────────
5. # Pocket Pivots
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
Pocket Pivots are a volume-based pattern developed by Chris Kacher and Gil Morales. They identify days where institutional buyers are likely accumulating shares without causing obvious breakouts.
Calculation: A Pocket Pivot occurs when:
- The stock closes higher than it opened (up day)
- The stock closes higher than the previous day's close
- Today's volume exceeds the highest down-day volume of the prior 10 trading sessions
The screener counts how many Pocket Pivots have occurred since the earnings announcement.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- 0 Pocket Pivots: No detected institutional accumulation patterns since earnings.
- 1-2 Pocket Pivots: Some institutional buying interest - worth monitoring.
- 3+ Pocket Pivots: Strong accumulation signal - institutions appear to be building positions.
Pocket Pivots are most significant when they occur:
- Immediately following earnings announcements
- Near moving average support (10-day, 21-day, or 50-day)
- On above-average volume
- After a period of price consolidation
Multiple Pocket Pivots in a short period suggest sustained institutional demand, not just a one-day event.
─────────────────────────────────────────
6. ADX/DI (Trend Strength and Direction)
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction. DI (Directional Indicator) shows whether the trend is bullish or bearish.
Calculation: ADX uses a 14-period lookback to measure how directional (trending) price movement is. Values range from 0 to 100. The +DI and -DI components compare upward and downward movement.
The screener shows:
- ADX value (trend strength)
- Direction indicator: "+" for bullish (price trending up), "-" for bearish (price trending down)
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- ADX < 20: Weak trend - the stock is moving sideways, choppy. Not ideal for momentum trading.
- ADX 20-25: Trend is emerging - potentially starting a directional move.
- ADX 25-40: Strong trend - clear directional movement. Good for momentum plays.
- ADX > 40: Very strong trend - powerful move in progress, but may be extended.
The direction indicator (+/-) tells you which way:
- "25+" means ADX of 25 with bullish direction (uptrend)
- "25-" means ADX of 25 with bearish direction (downtrend)
For post-earnings plays, ideal setups show ADX rising above 25 with positive direction, confirming the earnings reaction is developing into a sustained trend rather than a one-day spike.
─────────────────────────────────────────
7. Institutional Buying PASS
─────────────────────────────────────────
WHAT IT IS:
This proprietary composite indicator detects patterns consistent with institutional accumulation at three stages after earnings:
EARLY (Days 0-4): Looks for "large block" buying on the earnings reaction day (exceptionally high volume with a close in the upper half of the day's range) combined with follow-through buying on the next day.
MID (Days 5-9): Checks for sustained elevated volume (averaging 1.5x the 20-day average) combined with positive drift and consistent upward price movement (more up days than down days).
LATE (Days 10+): Detects either visible accumulation (positive drift with high volume) OR stealth accumulation (positive drift with unusually LOW volume - suggesting smart money is quietly building positions without attracting attention).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': Institutional buying pattern detected. The stock shows characteristics consistent with large players accumulating shares.
- X mark/value of '0': No institutional buying pattern detected. This doesn't mean institutions aren't buying - just that the typical footprints aren't visible.
A passing grade here adds conviction to other bullish signals. Institutions have research teams, information advantages, and long time horizons. When their footprints appear in the data, it often precedes sustained moves.
Important: This is a pattern detection tool, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis.
─────────────────────────────────────────
8. Strong ATR Drift PASS
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WHAT IT IS:
This measures whether the stock has drifted significantly relative to its own volatility. Instead of asking "did it move 10%?", it asks "did it move more than 1.5 ATRs?"
ATR (Average True Range) measures a stock's typical daily movement. A volatile stock might move 5% daily, while a stable stock might move 0.5%. Using ATR normalizes for this difference.
Calculation:
ATR Drift = (Current Close - D0 Close) / D0 ATR in dollars
The indicator passes when ATR Drift exceeds 1.5 AND at least 5 days have passed since earnings.
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Check mark/value of '1': The stock has drifted more than 1.5 times its average daily range since earnings - a statistically significant move that suggests genuine momentum, not just noise.
- X mark/value of '0': The drift (if any) is within normal volatility bounds - could just be random fluctuation.
Why wait 5 days? The immediate post-earnings reaction (days 0-2) often includes gap fills and noise. By day 5, if the stock is still extended beyond 1.5 ATRs from the earnings close, it suggests real buying pressure, not just a reflexive gap.
A passing grade here helps filter out stocks that "beat earnings" but haven't actually moved meaningfully. It focuses attention on stocks where the market is voting with real capital.
─────────────────────────────────────────
9. Days Since D0
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WHAT IT IS:
Simply counts the number of trading days since the earnings reaction day (D0).
HOW TO INTERPRET:
- Days 0-5 (Green): Fresh earnings - the information is new, institutional repositioning is active, and momentum trades are most potent. This is the "sweet spot" for PEAD strategies.
- Days 6-10 (Neutral): Mid-period - some edge remains but diminishing. Good for adding to winning positions, less ideal for new entries.
- Days 11+ (Red): Extended period - most of the post-earnings drift has typically played out. Higher risk that momentum fades or reverses.
Research shows PEAD effects are strongest in the first 5-10 days after earnings, then decay. Beyond 20-30 days, the informational advantage of the earnings surprise is largely priced in.
Use this to prioritize: focus on stocks with strong signals that are still in the early window, and be more selective about entries as days accumulate.
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PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
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You can use this screener in the chart view or in the Screener.
One combination of the above filters to develop a shortlist of positive drift candidates may be:
- SUE > 2.0 (significant earnings beat)
- SURGE > 1.5 (significant revenue beat)
- Positive % From D0 Close (price confirming the good news)
- Institutional Buying PASS (big players accumulating)
- Strong ATR Drift PASS (statistically significant movement)
- Days Since D0 < 10 (still in the active drift window)
No single indicator is sufficient. The power comes from convergence - when multiple independent measures all point the same direction.
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SETTINGS
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Key adjustable parameters:
- SUE Method: "Analyst-based" uses consensus estimates; "Time-series" uses year-over-year comparison
- Window Size: Number of quarters used for standardization (default: 8)
- ATR Drift Threshold: Minimum ATR multiple for "strong" classification (default: 1.5)
- Institutional Buying thresholds: Adjustable volume and CLV parameters
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DISCLAIMER
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This screener is a research tool, not financial advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately. Post-earnings trading involves significant uncertainty and volatility. The 'SUE' in this indicator does not represent a real person; any similarity to actual Sue's (or Susans for that matter) living or dead is quite frankly ridiculous, not to mention coincidental.
ALT Risk Metric StrategyHere's a professional write-up for your ALT Risk Strategy script:
ALT/BTC Risk Strategy - Multi-Crypto DCA with Bitcoin Correlation Analysis
Overview
This strategy uses Bitcoin correlation as a risk indicator to time entries and exits for altcoins. By analyzing how your chosen altcoin performs relative to Bitcoin, the strategy identifies optimal accumulation periods (when alt/BTC is oversold) and profit-taking opportunities (when alt/BTC is overbought). Perfect for traders who want to outperform Bitcoin by strategically timing altcoin positions.
Key Innovation: Why Alt/BTC Matters
Most traders focus solely on USD price, but Alt/BTC ratios reveal true altcoin strength:
When Alt/BTC is low → Altcoin is undervalued relative to Bitcoin (buy opportunity)
When Alt/BTC is high → Altcoin has outperformed Bitcoin (take profits)
This approach captures the rotation between BTC and alts that drives crypto cycles
Key Features
📊 Advanced Technical Analysis
RSI (60% weight): Primary momentum indicator on weekly timeframe
Long-term MA Deviation (35% weight): Measures distance from 150-period baseline
MACD (5% weight): Minor confirmation signal
EMA Smoothing: Filters noise while maintaining responsiveness
All calculations performed on Alt/BTC pairs for superior market timing
💰 3-Tier DCA System
Level 1 (Risk ≤ 70): Conservative entry, base allocation
Level 2 (Risk ≤ 50): Increased allocation, strong opportunity
Level 3 (Risk ≤ 30): Maximum allocation, extreme undervaluation
Continuous buying: Executes every bar while below threshold for true DCA behavior
Cumulative sizing: L3 triggers = L1 + L2 + L3 amounts combined
📈 Smart Profit Management
Sequential selling: Must complete L1 before L2, L2 before L3
Percentage-based exits: Sell portions of position, not fixed amounts
Auto-reset on re-entry: New buy signals reset sell progression
Prevents premature full exits during volatile conditions
🤖 3Commas Automation
Pre-configured JSON webhooks for Custom Signal Bots
Multi-exchange support: Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Bitfinex, Bybit
Flexible quote currency: USD, USDT, or BUSD
Dynamic order sizing: Automatically adjusts to your tier thresholds
Full webhook documentation compliance
🎨 Multi-Asset Support
Pre-configured for popular altcoins:
ETH (Ethereum)
SOL (Solana)
ADA (Cardano)
LINK (Chainlink)
UNI (Uniswap)
XRP (Ripple)
DOGE
RENDER
Custom option for any other crypto
How It Works
Risk Metric Calculation (0-100 scale):
Fetches weekly Alt/BTC price data for stability
Calculates RSI, MACD, and deviation from 150-period MA
Normalizes MACD to 0-100 range using 500-bar lookback
Combines weighted components: (MACD × 0.05) + (RSI × 0.60) + (Deviation × 0.35)
Applies 5-period EMA smoothing for cleaner signals
Color-Coded Risk Zones:
Green (0-30): Extreme buying opportunity - Alt heavily oversold vs BTC
Lime/Yellow (30-70): Accumulation range - favorable risk/reward
Orange (70-85): Caution zone - consider taking initial profits
Red/Maroon (85-100+): Euphoria zone - aggressive profit-taking
Entry Logic:
Buys execute every candle when risk is below threshold
As risk decreases, position sizing automatically scales up
Example: If risk drops from 60→25, you'll be buying at L1 rate until it hits 50, then L2 rate, then L3 rate
Exit Logic:
Sells only trigger when in profit AND risk exceeds thresholds
Sequential execution ensures partial profit-taking
If new buy signal occurs before all sells complete, sell levels reset to L1
Configuration Guide
Choosing Your Altcoin:
Select crypto from dropdown (or use CUSTOM for unlisted coins)
Pick your exchange
Choose quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
Risk Metric Tuning:
Long Term MA (default 150): Higher = more extreme signals, Lower = more frequent
RSI Length (default 10): Lower = more volatile, Higher = smoother
Smoothing (default 5): Increase for less noise, decrease for faster reaction
Buy Settings (Aggressive DCA Example):
L1 Threshold: 70 | Amount: $5
L2 Threshold: 50 | Amount: $6
L3 Threshold: 30 | Amount: $7
Total L3 buy = $18 per candle when deeply oversold
Sell Settings (Balanced Exit Example):
L1: 70 threshold, 25% position
L2: 85 threshold, 35% position
L3: 100 threshold, 40% position (final exit)
3Commas Setup
Bot Configuration:
Create Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Set trading pair to your altcoin/USD (e.g., ETH/USD, SOL/USDT)
Order size: Select "Send in webhook, quote" to use strategy's dollar amounts
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token
Script Configuration:
Paste credentials into 3Commas section inputs
Check "Enable 3Commas Alerts"
Save and apply to chart
TradingView Alert:
Create Alert → Condition: "alert() function calls only"
Webhook URL: api.3commas.io
Enable "Webhook URL" checkbox
Expiration: Open-ended
Strategy Advantages
✅ Outperform Bitcoin: Designed specifically to beat BTC by timing alt rotations
✅ Capture Alt Seasons: Automatically accumulates when alts lag, sells when they pump
✅ Risk-Adjusted Sizing: Buys more when cheaper (better risk/reward)
✅ Emotional Discipline: Systematic approach removes fear and FOMO
✅ Multi-Asset: Run same strategy across multiple altcoins simultaneously
✅ Proven Indicators: Combines RSI, MACD, and MA deviation - battle-tested tools
Backtesting Insights
Optimal Timeframes:
Daily chart: Best for backtesting and signal generation
Weekly data is fetched internally regardless of display timeframe
Historical Performance Characteristics:
Accumulates heavily during bear markets and BTC dominance periods
Captures explosive altcoin rallies when BTC stagnates
Sequential selling preserves capital during extended downtrends
Works best on established altcoins with multi-year history
Risk Considerations:
Requires capital reserves for extended accumulation periods
Some altcoins may never recover if fundamentals deteriorate
Past correlation patterns may not predict future performance
Always size positions according to personal risk tolerance
Visual Interface
Indicator Panel Displays:
Dynamic color line: Green→Lime→Yellow→Orange→Red as risk increases
Horizontal threshold lines: Dashed lines mark your buy/sell levels
Entry/Exit labels: Green labels for buys, Orange/Red/Maroon for sells
Real-time risk value: Numerical display on price scale
Customization:
All threshold lines are adjustable via inputs
Color scheme clearly differentiates buy zones (green spectrum) from sell zones (red spectrum)
Line weights emphasize most extreme thresholds (L3 buy and L3 sell)
Strategy Philosophy
This strategy is built on the principle that altcoins move in cycles relative to Bitcoin. During Bitcoin rallies, alts often bleed against BTC (high sell, accumulate). When Bitcoin consolidates, alts pump (take profits). By measuring risk on the Alt/BTC chart instead of USD price, we time these rotations with precision.
The 3-tier system ensures you're always averaging in at better prices and scaling out at better prices, maximizing your Bitcoin-denominated returns.
Advanced Tips
Multi-Bot Strategy:
Run this on 5-10 different altcoins simultaneously to:
Diversify correlation risk
Capture whichever alt is pumping
Smooth equity curve through rotation
Pairing with BTC Strategy:
Use alongside the BTC DCA Risk Strategy for complete portfolio coverage:
BTC strategy for core holdings
ALT strategies for alpha generation
Rebalance between them based on BTC dominance
Threshold Calibration:
Check 2-3 years of historical data for your chosen alt
Note where risk metric sat during major bottoms (set buy thresholds)
Note where it peaked during euphoria (set sell thresholds)
Adjust for your risk tolerance and holding period
Credits
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Technical Analysis Framework: RSI, MACD, Moving Average theory
Implementation: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Altcoins are especially volatile and many fail completely. The strategy assumes liquid markets and reliable Alt/BTC price data. Always do your own research, understand the fundamentals of any asset you trade, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no liability for trading decisions.
Additional Warning: Using leverage or trading illiquid altcoins amplifies risk significantly. This strategy is designed for spot trading of established cryptocurrencies with deep liquidity.
Tags: Altcoin, Alt/BTC, DCA, Risk Metric, Dollar Cost Averaging, 3Commas, ETH, SOL, Crypto Rotation, Bitcoin Correlation, Automated Trading, Alt Season
Feel free to modify any sections to better match your style or add specific backtesting results you've observed! 🚀Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses. Sonnet 4.5
BTC DCA Risk Metric StrategyBTC DCA Risk Strategy - Automated Dollar Cost Averaging with 3Commas Integration
Overview
This strategy combines the proven Oakley Wood Risk Metric with an intelligent tiered Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) system, designed to help traders systematically accumulate Bitcoin during periods of low risk and take profits during high-risk conditions.
Key Features
📊 Multi-Component Risk Assessment
4-Year SMA Deviation: Measures Bitcoin's distance from its long-term mean
20-Week MA Analysis: Tracks medium-term momentum shifts
50-Day/50-Week MA Ratio: Captures short-to-medium term trend strength
All metrics are normalized by time to account for Bitcoin's maturing market dynamics
💰 3-Tier DCA Buy System
Level 1 (Low Risk): Conservative entry with base allocation
Level 2 (Lower Risk): Increased allocation as opportunity improves
Level 3 (Extreme Low Risk): Maximum allocation during rare buying opportunities
Buys execute every bar while risk remains below thresholds, enabling true DCA accumulation
📈 Progressive Profit Taking
Sell Level 1: Take initial profits as risk increases
Sell Level 2: Scale out further positions during elevated risk
Sell Level 3: Final exit during extreme market conditions
Sell levels automatically reset when new buy signals occur, allowing flexible re-entry
🤖 3Commas Integration
Fully automated webhook alerts for Custom Signal Bots
JSON payloads formatted per 3Commas API specifications
Supports multiple exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, Bybit)
Configurable quote currency (USD, USDT, BUSD)
How It Works
The strategy calculates a composite risk metric (0-1 scale):
0.0-0.2: Extreme buying opportunity (green zone)
0.2-0.5: Favorable accumulation range (yellow zone)
0.5-0.8: Neutral to cautious territory (orange zone)
0.8-1.0+: High risk, profit-taking zone (red zone)
Buy Logic: As risk decreases, position sizes increase automatically. If risk drops from L1 to L3 threshold, the strategy combines all three tier allocations for maximum exposure.
Sell Logic: Sequential profit-taking ensures you capture gains progressively. The system won't advance to Sell L2 until L1 completes, preventing premature full exits.
Configuration
Risk Metric Parameters:
All calculations use Bitcoin price data (any BTC chart works)
Time-normalized formulas adapt to market maturity
No manual parameter tuning required
Buy Settings:
Set risk thresholds for each tier (default: 0.20, 0.10, 0.00)
Define dollar amounts per tier (default: $10, $15, $20)
Fully customizable to your risk tolerance and capital
Sell Settings:
Configure risk thresholds for profit-taking (default: 1.00, 1.50, 2.00)
Set percentage of position to sell at each level (default: 25%, 35%, 40%)
3Commas Setup:
Create a Custom Signal Bot in 3Commas
Copy Bot UUID and Secret Token into strategy inputs
Enable 3Commas Alerts checkbox
Create TradingView alert: Condition → "alert() function calls only", Webhook → api.3commas.io
Backtesting Results
Strengths:
Systematically buys dips without emotion
Averages down during extended bear markets
Captures explosive bull run profits through tiered exits
Pyramiding (1000 max orders) allows true DCA behavior
Considerations:
Requires sufficient capital for multiple buys during prolonged downtrends
Backtest on Daily timeframe for most reliable signals
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Visual Design
The indicator pane displays:
Color-coded risk metric line: Changes from white→red→orange→yellow→green as risk decreases
Background zones: Green (buy), yellow (hold), red (sell) areas
Dashed threshold lines: Clear visual markers for each buy/sell level
Entry/Exit labels: Green buy labels and orange/red sell labels mark all trades
Credits
Original Risk Metric: Oakley Wood
Strategy Development & 3Commas Integration: Claude AI (Anthropic)
Modifications: pommesUNDwurst
Disclaimer
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Cryptocurrency trading carries substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The authors are not financial advisors and assume no responsibility for trading decisions made using this tool.
Adaptive Risk Management [sgbpulse]1. Introduction:
Adaptive Risk Management is an advanced indicator designed to provide traders with a comprehensive risk management tool directly on the chart. Instead of relying on complex manual calculations, the indicator automates all critical steps of trade planning. It dynamically calculates the estimated Entry Price , the Stop Loss location, the required Position Size (Quantity) based on your capital and risk limits, and the three Take Profit targets based on your defined Reward/Risk ratios. The indicator displays all these essential data points clearly and visually on the chart, ensuring you always know the potential risk-reward profile of every trade.
ARM : The A daptive R isk M anagement every trader needs to ARM themselves with.
2. The Critical Importance of Risk Management
Proper risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. Consistent profitability in the market is impossible without rigorously defining risk limits.
Risk Control: This starts by setting the maximum risk amount you are willing to lose in a single trade (Risk per Trade), and limiting the total capital allocated to the position (Max Capital per Trade).
Defining Boundaries (Stop Loss & Take Profit): It is mandatory to define a technical Stop Loss and a Take Profit target. A fundamental rule of risk management is that the Reward/Risk Ratio (R/R) must be a minimum of 1:1.
3. Core Features, Adaptivity, and Customization
The Adaptive Risk Management indicator is engineered for use across all major trading styles, including Swing Trading, Intraday Trading, and Scalping, providing consistent risk control regardless of the chosen timeframe.
Real-Time Dynamic Adaptivity: The indicator calculates all risk management parameters (Entry, Stop Loss, Quantity) dynamically with every new bar, thus adapting instantly to changing market conditions.
Trend Direction Adjustment: Define the analysis direction (Long/Uptrend or Short/Downtrend).
Intraday Session Data Control: Full control over whether lookback calculations will include data from Extended Trading Hours (ETH), or if the daily calculations will start actively only from the first bar of Regular Trading Hours (RTH).
Status Validation: The indicator performs critical status checks and displays clear Warning Messages if risk conditions are not met.
4. Intuitive Visualization and Real-Time Data
Dynamic Tracking Lines: The Entry Price and Stop Loss lines are updated with every new bar. Crucially, the length of these lines dynamically reflects the calculation's lookback range (e.g., the extent of Lookback Bars or the location of the confirmed Pivot Point), providing a visual anchor for the calculated price.
Risk and Reward Zones: The indicator creates a graphical background fill between Entry and Stop Loss (marked with the risk color) and between Entry and the Reward Targets (marked with the reward color).
Essential Information Labels: Labels are placed at the end of each line, providing critical data: Estimated Entry Price, Stock/Contract Quantity (Quantity), Total Entry Amount, Estimated Stop Loss, Risk per Share, Total Financial Risk (Risk Amount), Exit Amount, Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3, Reward/Risk Ratio 1/2/3, Total Reward 1/2/3, TP Exit Amount 1/2/3.
4.1. Data Window Metrics (16 Full Series)
The indicator displays 16 full data series in the TradingView Data Window, allowing precise tracking of every calculation parameter:
Entry Data: Estimated Entry, Quantity, Entry Amount.
Risk Data (Stop Loss): Estimated Stop Loss, Risk per Share, Risk Amount, Exit Amount.
Reward Data (Take Profit): Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3, Reward/Risk Ratio 1/2/3, Total Reward 1/2/3, TP Exit Amount 1/2/3.
4.2. Instant Tracking in the Status Line
The indicator displays 6 critical parameters continuously in the indicator's Status Line: Estimated Entry, Quantity, Estimated Stop Loss, Estimated Take Profit 1/2/3.
5. Detailed Indicator Inputs
5.1 General
Focused Trend: Defines the analysis direction (Uptrend / Downtrend).
Max Capital per Trade: The maximum amount allocated to purchasing stocks/contracts (in account currency).
Risk per Trade: The maximum amount the user is willing to risk in this single trade (in account currency).
ATR Length: The lookback period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation.
5.2 Intraday Session Data Control
Regular Hours Limitation : If enabled, all daily lookback calculations (for Entry/Stop Loss anchor points) will begin strictly from the first Regular Trading Hours (RTH) bar. This limits the lookback range to the current RTH session, excluding preceding Extended Trading Hours (ETH) data. Only relevant for Intraday charts. Default: False (Off)
5.3 Entry Inputs
Entry Method: Selects the entry price calculation method:
Current Price: Uses the closing price of the current bar as the estimated entry point (Market Entry).
ATR Real Bodies Margin :
- Uptrend: Calculates the Maximum Real Body over the lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Calculates the Minimum Real Body over the lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
ATR Bars Margin :
- Uptrend: Calculates the Maximum High price over the lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Calculates the Minimum Low price over the lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
Lookback Bars: The number of bars used to calculate the extremes in the ATR-based entry methods (Relevant only for ATR Real Bodies Margin and ATR Bars Margin methods).
ATR Multiplier (Entry): The multiplier applied to the ATR value. The result of the multiplication is the calculated safety margin used to determine the estimated Entry Price.
5.4 Risk Inputs (Stop Loss)
Risk Method: Selects the Stop Loss price calculation method.
ATR Current Price Margin :
- Uptrend: Entry Price - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Entry Price + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Current Bar Margin :
- Uptrend: Current Bar's Low price - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Current Bar's High price + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Bars Margin :
- Uptrend: Lowest Low over lookback period - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: Highest High over lookback period + the calculated safety margin.
ATR Pivot Margin :
- Uptrend: The first confirmed Pivot Low point - the calculated safety margin.
- Downtrend: The first confirmed Pivot High point + the calculated safety margin.
Lookback Bars: The lookback period for finding the extreme price used in the 'ATR Bars Margin' calculation.
ATR Multiplier (Risk): The multiplier applied to the ATR value. The result of the multiplication is the calculated safety margin used to place the estimated Stop Loss. Note: If set to 0, the Stop Loss will be placed exactly at the technical anchor point, provided the Minimum Margin Value is also 0.
Minimum Margin Value: The minimum price value (e.g., $0.01) the Stop Loss margin buffer must be.
Pivot (Left / Right): The number of bars required on either side of the pivot bar for confirmation (relevant only for the ATR Pivot Margin method).
5.5 Reward Inputs (Take Profit)
Show Take Profit 1/2/3: ON/OFF switch to control the visibility of each Take Profit target.
Reward/Risk Ratio 1/ 2/ 3: Defines the R/R ratio for the profit target. Must be ≥1.0.
6. Indicator Status/Warning Messages
In situations where the Stop Loss location cannot be calculated logically and validly, often caused by a mismatch between the configured Focused Trend (Uptrend/Downtrend) and the actual price action, the indicator will display a warning message, explaining the reason and suggesting corrective action.
Status Message 1: Pivot reference unavailable
Condition: The Stop Loss is set to the "ATR Pivot Margin" method, but the anchor point (Pivot) is missing or inaccessible.
Message Displayed: "Pivot reference unavailable. Wait for valid price action, or adjust the Regular Hours Limitation setting or Pivot Left/Right inputs."
Status Message 2: Calculated Stop Loss is unsafe
Condition: The calculated Stop Loss is placed illogically or unsafely relative to the trend direction and the Entry price.
Message Displayed: "Calculated Stop Loss is unsafe for current trend. Wait for valid price action or adjust SL Lookback/Multiplier."
7. Summary
The Adaptive Risk Management (ARM) indicator provides a seamless and systematic approach to trade execution and risk control. By dynamically automating all critical trade parameters—from Entry Price and Stop Loss placement to Position Sizing and Take Profit targets—ARM removes emotional bias and ensures every trade adheres strictly to your predefined risk profile.
Key Benefits:
Systematic Risk Control: Strict enforcement of maximum capital allocation and risk per trade limits.
Adaptivity: Dynamic calculation of prices and quantities based on real-time market data (ATR and Lookback).
Clarity and Trust: Clear on-chart visualization, precise data metrics (16 series), and unambiguous Status/Warning Messages ensure transparency and reliability.
ARM allows traders to focus on strategy and analysis, confident that their execution complies with the core principles of professional risk management.
Important Note: Trading Risk
This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for trading in any form whatsoever.
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of capital loss. It is important to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
Trendshift [CHE] StrategyTrendshift Strategy — First-Shift Structural Regime Trading
Profitfactor 2,603
Summary
Trendshift Strategy implements a structural regime-shift trading model built around the earliest confirmed change in directional structure. It identifies major swing highs and lows, validates breakouts through optional ATR-based conviction, and reacts only to the first confirmed shift in each direction. After a regime reversal, the strategy constructs a premium and discount band between the breakout candle and the previous opposite swing. This band is used as contextual bias and may optionally inform stop placement and position sizing.
The strategy focuses on clear, interpretable structural events rather than continuous signal generation. By limiting entries to the first valid shift, it reduces false recycles and allows the structural state to stabilize before a new trade occurs. All signals operate on closed-bar logic, and the strategy avoids higher-timeframe calls to stabilize execution behavior.
Motivation: Why this design?
Many structure-based systems repeatedly trigger as price fluctuates around prior highs and lows. This often leads to multiple flips during volatile or choppy conditions. Trendshift Strategy addresses this problem by restricting execution to the first confirmed structural event in each direction. ATR-based filters help differentiate genuine structural breaks from noise, while the contextual band ensures that the breakout is meaningful in relation to recent volatility.
The design aims to represent a minimalistic structural trading framework focused on regime turns rather than continuous trend signaling. This reduces chart noise and clarifies where the market transitions from one regime to another.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
Baseline reference
Typical swing-based structure indicators report every break above or below recent swing points.
Architecture differences
First-shift-only regime logic that blocks repeated signals until direction reverses
ATR-filtered validation to avoid weak or momentum-less breaks
Premium and discount bands derived from breakout structure
Optional band-driven stop placement
Optional band-dependent position-sizing factor
Regime timeout system to neutralize structure after extended inactivity
Persistent-state architecture to prevent re-triggering
Practical effect
Only the earliest actionable structure change is traded
Fewer but higher-quality signals
Premium/discount tint assists contextual evaluation
Stops and sizing can be aligned with structural context rather than arbitrary volatility measures
Improved chart interpretability due to reduced marker frequency
How it works (technical)
The algorithm evaluates symmetric swing points using a fixed bar window. When a swing forms, its value and bar index are stored as persistent state. A structural shift occurs when price closes beyond the most recent major swing on the opposite side. If ATR filtering is enabled, the breakout must exceed a volatility-scaled distance to prevent micro-breaks from firing.
Once a valid shift is confirmed, the regime is updated to bullish or bearish. The script records the breakout level, the opposite swing, and derives a band between them. This band is checked for minimum size relative to ATR to avoid unrealistic contexts.
The first shift in a new direction generates both the strategy entry and a visual marker. Additional shifts in the same direction are suppressed until a reversal occurs. If a timeout is enabled, the regime resets after a specified number of bars without structural change, optionally clearing the band.
Stop placement, if enabled, uses either the opposite or same band edge depending on configuration. Position size is computed from account percentage and may optionally scale with the price-span-to-ATR relationship.
Parameter Guide
Market Structure
Swing length (default 5): Controls swing sensitivity. Lower values increase responsiveness.
Use ATR filter (default true): Requires breakouts to show momentum relative to ATR. Reduces false shifts.
ATR length (default 14): Volatility estimation for breakout and band validation.
Break ATR multiplier (default 1.0): Required breakout strength relative to ATR.
Premium/Discount Framework
Enable framework (default true): Activates premium/discount evaluation.
Persist band on timeout (default true): Keeps structural band after timeout.
Min band ATR mult (default 0.5): Rejects narrow bands.
Regime timeout bars (default 500): Neutralizes regime after inactivity.
Invert colors (default false): Color scheme toggle.
Visuals
Show zone tint (default true): Background shade in premium or discount region.
Show shift markers (default true): Display first-shift markers.
Execution and Risk
Risk per trade percent (default 1.0): Determines position size as account percentage.
Use band for size (default false): Scales size relative to band width behavior.
Flat on opposite shift (default true): Forces reversal behavior.
Use stop at band (default false): Stop anchored to band edges.
Stop band side: Chooses which band edge is used for stop generation.
Reading & Interpretation
A green background indicates discount conditions within the structural band; red indicates premium conditions. A green triangle below price marks the first bullish structural shift after a bearish regime. A red triangle above price marks the first bearish structural shift after a bullish regime.
When stops are active, the opposite band edge typically defines the protective level. Band width relative to ATR indicates how significant a structural change is: wider bands imply stronger volatility structure, while narrow bands may be suppressed by the minimum-size filter.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
Trend following: Use first-shift entries as initial regime confirmation. Add higher-timeframe trend filters for additional context.
Swing trading: Combine with simple liquidity or fair-value-gap concepts to refine entries.
Bias mapping: Use higher timeframes for structural regime and lower timeframes for execution within the premium/discount context.
Exit management: When using stops, consider ATR-scaling or multi-stage profit targets. When not using stops, reversals become the primary exit.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
The strategy uses only confirmed swings and closed-bar logic, avoiding intrabar repaint. Pivot-based swings inherently appear after the pivot window completes, which is standard behavior. No higher-timeframe calls are used, preventing HTF-related repaint issues.
Persistent variables track regime and structural levels, minimizing recomputation. The maximum bars back setting is five-thousand. The design avoids loops and arrays, keeping performance stable.
Known limitations include limited signal density during consolidations, delayed swing confirmation, and sensitivity to extreme gaps that stretch band logic. ATR filtering mitigates some of these effects but does not eliminate them entirely.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Fewer but stronger entries: Increase swing length or ATR breakout multiplier.
More responsive entries: Reduce swing length to capture earlier shifts.
More active band behavior: Lower the minimum band ATR threshold.
Stricter stop logic: Use the opposite band edge for stop placement.
Volatile markets: Increase ATR length slightly to stabilize behavior.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
Trendshift Strategy is a structural-regime trading engine that evaluates major directional shifts. It is not a complete trading system and does not include take-profit logic or prediction features. It does not attempt to forecast future price movement and should be used alongside broader market structure, volatility context, and disciplined risk management.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
Morning ORB FVG Trigger✅ Overview
Morning ORB FVG Trigger is a complete intraday trading framework built around:
A Morning Opening Range Breakout (ORB)
The first Fair Value Gap (FVG) after that breakout
Strict risk management and position sizing
Optional HTF trend filter (Daily / Weekly / Monthly)
Optional Daily ATR filter to avoid extreme days
The script is designed for futures / indices / FX on intraday charts up to 15 minutes and for traders who want a clean, mechanical entry framework with clear risk.
🧠 Core idea
Define a morning opening range (e.g. 09:30–09:45).
Wait for a clean breakout above/below that range.
After the breakout, wait for the first FVG in breakout direction,
confirmed by the next candle (no immediate full reclaim).
Use a chosen stop logic + R:R factor to build risk/reward boxes.
Calculate position size based on your account risk.
(Optional) Only take trades:
In the direction of the HTF EMA trend (D/W/M).
On days where the morning range is within a band of the Daily ATR.
You can also disable all signals/boxes and use the script just as a visual ORB tool.
⏰ 1. ORB / Morning Range
Inputs (Main section)
Morning Range Session
Time window of the opening range in exchange time
Example: 09:30–09:45 for a 15-minute ORB.
You can type custom ranges (e.g. 09:30–09:35 for a 5-minute ORB).
Risk/Reward (TP factor)
Multiplier for the take-profit distance relative to the stop.
2.0 = TP is 2× the stop distance
1.5 = TP is 1.5× the stop distance
Show ORB range
If enabled, draws:
ORB high/low lines
ORB labels (e.g. 15min ORB high / low)
Optional midline
Extend ORB lines to the right (bars)
How many bars to extend the ORB high/low horizontally beyond the ORB itself.
Trade box width (bars)
Horizontal width (in bars) of:
Red risk box (entry–stop)
Green reward box (entry–TP)
Implementation details
The ORB is always calculated on 1-minute data internally, so it stays precise even on 5m/15m charts.
The script only works on intraday timeframes up to 15 minutes.
📦 2. FVG Block
Group: “FVG”
Threshold %
Minimum size of an FVG in % of price.
0 = every FVG
Higher values = only larger gaps
Auto threshold (from volatility)
If enabled, the minimum FVG size is derived from historical volatility
instead of a fixed percentage.
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB
Off (default): the FVG must lie fully outside the ORB.
On: the breakout FVG itself may still overlap the ORB a bit,
as long as it is the first one attached to the breakout move.
Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts
On: full system – FVG detection, entry labels, risk/TP boxes, alerts.
Off: no entries, no risk/TP boxes, no alerts.
You only get the ORB and (optionally) the HTF dashboard, so you can trade your own setups.
Entry mode
Entry mode (Mid / Edge / NextOpen)
Mid – Entry at the midpoint of the FVG.
Edge – Long at the upper FVG edge, short at the lower FVG edge.
NextOpen – No limit order in the gap. Entry is placed at the next bar open after FVG confirmation.
Edge offset (ticks)
Additional offset for Edge entries:
Long:
+ticks = a bit above the FVG (more conservative)
-ticks = deeper into the FVG (more aggressive)
Short:
+ticks = a bit below the FVG
-ticks = deeper into the FVG
FVG detection logic
Uses a LuxAlgo-style 3-candle FVG pattern (gap between candle 1 and 3).
Only one FVG is taken: the first valid FVG after the ORB breakout in breakup direction.
The FVG candle is the middle bar; the script:
Detects the FVG on the previous bar.
Waits for the current bar to confirm it:
Bullish: current low must stay above the lower FVG boundary
Bearish: current high must stay below the upper FVG boundary
Only then an entry signal is generated.
🛑 3. Stop Logic
Group: “Stop Logic”
Stop mode (PrevBar / Pivot / FVG Candle)
PrevBar – Stop at the low/high of the candle before the FVG
(tight/aggressive).
FVG Candle – Stop at the low/high of the FVG candle itself
(medium).
Pivot – Stop at the most recent swing high/low
using pivotLeft / pivotRight pivots (more conservative).
Ticks (stop buffer)
Offset (in ticks) from the selected stop level.
> 0 = further away (more room, more risk)
< 0 = closer (tighter stop)
Pivot left / Pivot right
Number of candles left/right to define a swing high/low
when using Pivot stop mode.
Typical intraday values: 2–3.
The script also sanity-checks the stop:
if the calculated stop would be invalid (e.g. above entry in a long), it moves it by a minimal distance (2 ticks) to keep a valid risk.
📈 4. HTF Trend Filter (Daily / Weekly / Monthly)
Group: “HTF Trend Filter”
Enable HTF trend filter
If enabled, trades are only allowed:
Long when at least 2 of D/W/M closes are above their EMA
Short when at least 2 of D/W/M closes are below their EMA
EMA length (D/W/M)
EMA length for all three higher timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly).
This helps focus entries in the direction of the dominant higher-timeframe trend.
📊 5. ATR Filter (Daily)
Group: “ATR Filter (Daily)”
Use daily ATR filter
If enabled, the height of the ORB (ORB high – ORB low) must be within
a band of the Daily ATR to allow any signals.
Daily ATR length
ATR period on the Daily timeframe.
Min ORB size vs ATR
Lower bound:
Example: 0.3 → ORB must be at least 0.3 × Daily ATR
0.0 = no minimum.
Max ORB size vs ATR
Upper bound:
Example: 1.5 → ORB must be ≤ 1.5 × Daily ATR
0.0 = no maximum.
If the ORB is too small (choppy) or too large (exhausted move), no breakout or FVG signal will be generated on that day.
🧭 6. HTF Dashboard & Signal Labels
Group: “HTF Trend Dashboard”
Show HTF dashboard
Draws a small label at the top of the chart showing:
HTF Trend (EMA X)
D: UP/FLAT/DOWN
W: UP/FLAT/DOWN
M: UP/FLAT/DOWN
Dashboard position
Top Right, Top Center, Top Left – places the dashboard at the top.
Over Risk Info – no top dashboard; instead, the HTF trend info is shown as a label near the risk box when a new signal appears.
Lookback (bars) for top anchor
How many bars to use to determine the top price level for dashboard placement.
Show HTF trend above risk box on signal
Only relevant if Dashboard position = Over Risk Info.
When enabled, a small HTF label appears near the risk box for each new trade.
Signal label vertical offset (ticks)
Vertical spacing between risk info label and HTF label.
Minimum spacing HTF/Risk (ticks)
Ensures a minimum vertical distance so the two labels don’t overlap.
HTF signal label X offset (bars)
Horizontal offset (left/right) relative to the risk info label.
⏳ 7. ORB–FVG Filters (Session & Time Window)
Group: “ORB FVG Filter”
Only same session day
If enabled, FVG entries are only allowed on the same calendar day
as the ORB. When the date changes, all state & drawings are reset.
Limit hours after ORB
Enables a time window after the ORB end.
Trading window after ORB (hours)
Length of that window in hours.
Example: 2.0 → FVG signals only in the first 2 hours after ORB end.
💰 8. Risk Management & Position Sizing
Group: “Risk Management”
Calculate position size
If enabled, the script computes suggested mini and micro contract size for you.
Account size
Your trading account size (in account currency).
Risk mode
Percent – risk is a % of account size (Account risk %).
Fixed amount – risk is a fixed dollar amount (Fixed risk ($)).
Account risk %
Risk per trade as a percentage of account size (e.g. 1.0 for 1%).
Fixed risk ($)
Fixed risk per trade in dollars when using Fixed amount mode.
Micro factor (vs mini)
How much a micro contract is worth relative to a mini.
Example:
0.1 → one micro moves 1/10 of one mini.
Risk Info label
For each new trade, a label is shown above the boxes with:
Stop distance in price and $ risk per mini
Max risk allowed for the trade
Suggested mini and micro size
Text like:
Suggested: 2 mini
Suggested: 5 micro
or Suggested: no trade
This makes the script especially useful for prop-firm rules or strict risk discipline.
🎨 9. Visual Style (Boxes, Labels, ORB Lines)
Group: “Box & Label Style (Trade)”
Label font size (Very small, Small, Normal, Large)
Entry label BG / text color
Stop label BG / text color
TP label BG / text color
Risk info BG / text color
Risk box color (entry–stop zone)
Reward box color (entry–TP zone)
Group: “ORB Style”
ORB high line color
ORB low line color
ORB line width
ORB label font size
ORB label background color
ORB label text color
Show ORB midline
ORB midline color / width / style (Solid / Dashed / Dotted)
⚠️ 10. Alerts
Group: “Alerts”
The script defines three alert conditions:
Long entry FVG breakout
Triggered when a new long signal appears.
Short entry FVG breakout
Triggered when a new short signal appears.
FVG entry (long/short)
Generic alert for any new signal (long or short).
To use them:
Add the indicator to the chart.
Open the Alerts dialog → “Condition”.
Select this script and one of the alert conditions.
Set your preferred expiration and notification settings.
Alerts only fire when Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts is on.
🧩 11. How the trading logic flows (summary)
Build ORB on 1-minute data during the selected session.
Optionally reject the day if ORB is outside the ATR bounds.
Wait for a breakout (close above high or below low), respecting HTF trend filter.
After breakout, look for the first valid FVG in that direction:
Outside the ORB (unless breakout FVG allowed inside)
Confirmed by the next candle (no full reclaim)
Once confirmed:
Compute entry, stop, target.
Draw risk/reward boxes and all labels.
Optionally show HTF signal label over the risk info.
Trigger alerts if enabled.
If you disable FVG signals, only steps 1–3 (plus dashboard) are effectively active.
⚠️ 12. Notes & Disclaimer
Script is intended for intraday trading up to 15-minute timeframes.
All signals are mechanical and do not guarantee profitability.
Always backtest and forward-test on your own data before risking real money.
This script is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
🚀 Quick-start guide
Add the script to your chart
Use an intraday timeframe ≤ 15 minutes (1m, 3m, 5m, 15m).
Works best on liquid indices, futures, FX and large-cap stocks.
Set the Morning Range
In “Morning Range Session” choose the exchange’s opening window.
Examples
US index futures (CME): 08:30–08:45 or 08:30–08:35
US stocks (NYSE/Nasdaq): 09:30–09:45 or 09:30–09:35
The ORB is always calculated on 1-minute data internally, so the range stays accurate on higher intraday charts.
Keep the default filters at first
HTF Trend Filter: ON
EMA length = 20
This will only allow trades in the direction of the dominant D/W/M trend.
ATR Filter: OFF (optional; you can enable later once you’re comfortable).
Use the full trade system
In the FVG group leave
“Enable FVG entry signals, boxes & alerts” = ON
Entry mode: Mid
Stop mode: FVG Candle or PrevBar
Risk/Reward: 2.0 as a starting point.
Set your risk
Turn on “Calculate position size”.
Enter your Account size and choose either:
Risk mode = Percent (e.g. 1.0 = 1% per trade), or
Risk mode = Fixed amount (e.g. $250 per trade).
The risk info label will show:
Stop distance in price and $/contract
Max allowed risk
Suggested mini and micro contract size.
Enable alerts (optional)
Open the Alerts dialog → Condition: this script.
Choose one of:
Long entry FVG breakout
Short entry FVG breakout
FVG entry (long/short)
Choose “Once per bar” or “Once per bar close”, and your preferred notification type.
Replay & journal
Use the TradingView bar replay tool to step through past days.
Focus on:
How the ORB defines the structure.
How the first confirmed FVG outside the ORB behaves.
Whether the risk/TP levels fit your own style and product.
🎛 Recommended settings & profiles
These are starting points, not rules. Always adapt to the instrument and your own risk tolerance.
1. Conservative / Trend-following
Timeframe: 5m or 15m
Morning Range Session: 15-minute ORB around the cash or futures open
FVG
Threshold %: 0.05–0.1 (filter out very small gaps)
Auto threshold: OFF (keep it simple)
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: OFF
Enable FVG entry signals/boxes/alerts: ON
Entry mode: Mid
Stop Logic
Stop mode: Pivot
Pivot left/right: 2–3
Stop buffer: +1–2 ticks
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: ON
EMA length: 20
ATR Filter
Enabled: ON
Daily ATR length: 14
Min ORB vs ATR: 0.3–0.4
Max ORB vs ATR: 1.2–1.5
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: 0.5–1.0%
Idea: Only trade when the higher-timeframe trend supports the move and the opening range is of a “normal” size for the current volatility.
2. Balanced / Intraday directional
Timeframe: 3m or 5m
FVG
Threshold %: 0.02–0.05
Auto threshold: ON (lets the script adapt to volatility)
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: ON
(first breakout FVG may partly sit inside the ORB)
Entry mode: Edge
Edge offset (ticks): 0 or +1
Stop Logic
Stop mode: FVG Candle
Stop buffer: 0–1 ticks
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: ON
ATR Filter
Enabled: OFF (optional)
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: 1.0–1.5% (if this fits your plan)
Idea: Slightly more aggressive entries at the gap edge, still aligned with HTF trend, but with more flexibility on ATR.
3. Aggressive / Scalping around the ORB
Timeframe: 1m or 3m
FVG
Threshold %: 0.0–0.02
Auto threshold: ON
Allow breakout FVG partly inside ORB: ON
Entry mode: NextOpen or Edge with a negative offset (deeper into the gap)
Stop Logic
Stop mode: PrevBar
Stop buffer: 0 or -1 tick
HTF Trend Filter
Enabled: OFF (or ON but treat as soft guidance)
ATR Filter
Enabled: OFF
Risk Management
Risk mode: Percent
Account risk: lower, e.g. 0.25–0.5% per trade
Idea: More trades and tighter stops. Best for experienced traders who understand the limitations of scalping and whipsaw risk.
Final reminder
All of these are templates, not guarantees:
Always check how the system behaves on your market and session.
Start on replay and demo before trading real money.
Adjust filters (HTF, ATR, thresholds) until the signals fit your personal approach.
Session Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework - TrendPredator OBSession Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework — TrendPredator Open Box
Stacey Burke’s trading approach combines concepts from George Douglas Taylor, Tony Crabel, Steve Mauro, and Robert Schabacker. His framework focuses on reading price behaviour across daily templates and identifying how markets move through recurring cycles of expansion, contraction, and reversal. While effective, much of this analysis requires real-time interpretation of session-based behaviour, which can be demanding for traders working on lower intraday timeframes.
The TrendPredator indicators formalize parts of this methodology by introducing mechanical rules for multi-timeframe bias tracking and session structure analysis. They aim to present the key elements of the system—bias, breakouts, fakeouts, and range behaviour—in a consistent and objective way that reduces discretionary interpretation.
The Open Box indicator focuses specifically on the opening behaviour of major trading sessions. It builds on principles found in classical Open Range Breakout (ORB) techniques described by Tony Crabel, where a defined time window around the session open forms a structural reference range. Price behaviour relative to this range—breaking out, failing back inside, or expanding—can highlight developing session bias, potential trap formation, and directional conviction.
This indicator applies these concepts throughout the major equity sessions. It automatically maps the session’s initial range (“Open Box”) and tracks how price interacts with it as liquidity and volatility increase. It also incorporates related structural references such as:
* the first-hour high and low of the futures session
* the exact session open level
* an anchored VWAP starting at the session open
* automated expansion levels projected from the Open Box
In combination, these components provide a unified view of early session activity, including breakout attempts, fakeouts, VWAP reactions, and liquidity targeting. The Open Box offers a structured lens for observing how price transitions through the major sessions (Asia → London → New York) and how these behaviours relate to higher-timeframe bias defined in the broader TrendPredator framework.
Core Features
Open Box (Session Structure)
The indicator defines an initial session range beginning at the selected session open. This “Open Box” represents a fixed time window—commonly the first 30 minutes, or any user-defined duration—that serves as a structural reference for analysing early session behaviour.
The range highlights whether price remains inside the box, breaks out, or rejects the boundaries, providing a consistent foundation for interpreting early directional tendencies and recognising breakout, continuation, or fakeout characteristics.
How it works:
* At the session open, the indicator calculates the high and low over the specified time window.
* This range is plotted as the initial structure of the session.
* Price behaviour at the boundaries can illustrate emerging bias or potential trap formation.
* An optional secondary range (e.g., 15-minute high/low) can be enabled to capture early volatility with additional precision.
Inputs / Options:
* Session specifications (Tokyo, London, New York)
* Open Box start and end times (e.g., equity open + first 30 minutes, or any custom length)
* Open Box colour and label settings
* Formatting options for Open Box high and low lines
* Optional secondary range per session (e.g., 15-minute high/low)
* Forward extension of Open Box high/low lines
* Number of historic Open Boxes to display
Session VWAPs
The indicator plots VWAPs for each major trading session—Asia, London, and New York—anchored to their respective session opens. These session-specific VWAPs assist in tracking how value develops through the day and how price interacts with session-based volume distributions.
How it works:
* At each session open, a VWAP is anchored to the open price.
* The VWAP updates throughout the session as new volume and price data arrive.
* Deviations above or below the VWAP may indicate balance, imbalance, or directional control.
* Viewed together, session VWAPs help identify transitions in value across sessions.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable VWAP per session
* Adjustable anchor and end times (optionally to end of day)
* Line styling and label settings
* Number of historic VWAPs to draw
First Hour High/Low Extensions
The indicator marks the high and low formed during the first hour of each session. These reference points often function as early control levels and provide context for assessing whether the session is establishing bias, consolidating, or exhibiting reversal behaviour.
How it works:
* After the session starts, the indicator records the highest and lowest prices during the first hour.
* These levels are plotted and extended across the session.
* They provide a visual reference for observing reactions, targets, or rejection zones.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable for each session
* Line style, colour, and label visibility
* Number of historic sessions displayed
EQO Levels (Equity Open)
The indicator plots the opening price of each configured session. These “Equity Open” levels represent short-term reference points that can attract price early in the session.
Once the level is revisited after the Open Box has formed, it is automatically cut to avoid clutter. If not revisited, the line remains as an untested reference, similar to a naked point of control.
How it works:
* At session open, the open price is recorded.
* The level is plotted as a local reference.
* If price interacts with the level after the Open Box completes, the line is cut.
* Untested EQOs extend forward until interacted with.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Line style and label settings
* Optional extension into the next day
* Option for cutting vs. hiding on revisit
* Number of historic sessions displayed
OB Range Expansions (Automatic)
Range expansions are calculated from the height of the Open Box. These levels provide structured reference zones for identifying potential continuation or exhaustion areas within a session.
How it works:
* After the Open Box is formed, multiples of the range (e.g., 1×, 2×, 3×) are projected.
* These expansion levels are plotted above and below the range.
* Price reactions near these areas can illustrate continuation, hesitation, or potential reversal.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable per session
* Select number of multiples
* Line style, colour, and label settings
* Extension length into the session
Stacey Burke 12-Candle Window Marker
The indicator can highlight the 12-candle window often referenced in Stacey Burke’s session methodology. This window represents the key active period of each session where breakout attempts, volatility shifts, and reversal signatures often occur.
How it works:
* A configurable window (default 12 candles) is highlighted from each session open.
* This window acts as a guide for observing active session behaviour.
* It remains visible throughout the session for structural context.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Configurable window duration (default: 3 hours)
* Colour and transparency controls
Concept and Integration
The Open Box is built around the same multi-timeframe logic that underpins the broader TrendPredator framework.
While higher-timeframe tools track bias and setups across the H8–D–W–M levels, the Open Box focuses on the H1–M30 domain to define session structure and observe how early intraday behaviour aligns with higher-timeframe conditions.
The indicator integrates with the TrendPredator FO (Breakout, Fakeout & Trend Switch Detector), which highlights microstructure signals on lower timeframes (M15/M5). Together they form a layered workflow:
* Higher timeframes: context, bias, and developing setups
* TrendPredator OB: intraday and intra-session structure
* TrendPredator FO: microstructure confirmation (e.g., FOL/FOH, switches)
This alignment provides a structured way to observe how daily directional context interacts with intraday behaviour.
See the public open source indicator TP FO here (click on it for access):
Practical Application
Before Session Open
* Review previous session Open Box, Open level, and VWAPs
* Assess how higher-timeframe bias aligns with potential intraday continuation or reversal
* Note untested EQO levels or VWAPs that may function as liquidity attractors
During Session Open
* Observe behaviour around the first-hour high/low and higher-timeframe reference levels
* Monitor how the M15 and 30-minute ranges close
* Track reactions relative to the session open level and the session VWAP
After the Open Box completes
* Assess price interaction with Open Box boundaries and first-hour levels
* Use microstructure signals (e.g., FOH/FOL, switches) for potential confirmation
* Refer to expansion levels as reference zones for management or target setting
After Session
* Review how price behaved relative to the Open Box, EQO levels, VWAPs, and expansion zones
* Analyse breakout attempts, fakeouts, and whether intraday structure aligned with the broader daily move
Example Workflow and Trade
1. Higher-timeframe analysis signals a Daily Fakeout Low Continuation (bullish context).
2. The New York session forms an Open Box; price breaks above and holds above the first-hour high.
3. A Fakeout Low + Switch Bar appears on M5 (via FO), after retesting the session VWAP triggering the entry.
4. 1x expansion level serves as reference targets for take profit.
Relation to the TrendPredator Ecosystem
The Open Box is part of the TrendPredator Indicator Family, designed to apply multi-timeframe logic consistently across:
* higher-timeframe context and setups
* intraday and session structure (OB)
* microstructure confirmation (FO)
Together, these modules offer a unified structure for analysing how daily and intraday cycles interact.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee profits.
It does not provide buy or sell signals but highlights structural and behavioural areas for analysis.
Users are solely responsible for their trading decisions and outcomes.
Dumb Money Flow - Retail Panic & FOMO# Dumb Money Flow (DMF) - Retail Panic & FOMO
## 🌊 Overview
**Dumb Money Flow (DMF)** is a powerful **contrarian indicator** designed to track the emotional state of the retail "herd." It identifies moments of extreme **Panic** (irrational selling) and **FOMO** (irrational buying) by analyzing on-chain data, volume anomalies, and price velocity.
In crypto markets, retail traders often buy the top (FOMO) and sell the bottom (Panic). This indicator helps you do the opposite: **Buy when the herd is fearful, and Sell when the herd is greedy.**
---
## 🧠 How It Works
The indicator combines multiple data points into a single **Sentiment Index** (0-100), normalized over a 90-day period to ensure it always uses the full range of the chart.
### 1. Panic Index (Bearish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of capitulation and fear. High values contribute to the **Panic Zone**.
* **Exchange Inflows:** Spikes in funds moving to exchanges (preparing to sell).
* **Volume Spikes:** High volume during price drops (panic selling).
* **Price Crash (ROC):** Rapid, emotional price drops over 3 days.
* **Volatility (ATR):** High market nervousness and instability.
### 2. FOMO Index (Bullish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of euphoria and greed. High values contribute to the **FOMO Zone**.
* **Exchange Outflows:** Funds moving to cold storage (HODLing/Greed).
* **Profitable Addresses:** When >90% of holders are in profit, tops often form.
* **Parabolic Rise:** Rapid, unsustainable price increases.
---
## 🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator uses a distinct color scheme to highlight extremes:
* **🟢 Dark Green Zone (> 80): Extreme FOMO**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is euphoric. Risk of a correction is high.
* **Action:** Consider taking profits or looking for short entries.
* **🔴 Dark Burgundy Zone (< 20): Extreme Panic**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is capitulating. Prices may be oversold.
* **Action:** Look for buying opportunities (catching the knife with confirmation).
* **🔵 Light Blue Line:**
* The smoothed moving average of the sentiment, helpful for seeing the trend direction.
---
## 🛠️ How to Use (Trading Strategies)
### 1. Contrarian Reversals (The Primary Strategy)
* **Buy Signal:** Wait for the line to drop deep into the **Burgundy Panic Zone (< 20)** and then start curling up. This indicates that the worst of the selling pressure is over.
* **Sell Signal:** Wait for the line to spike into the **Green FOMO Zone (> 80)** and then start curling down. This suggests buying exhaustion.
### 2. Divergences
* **Bullish Divergence:** Price makes a **Lower Low**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Higher Low** (less panic on the second drop). This is a strong reversal signal.
* **Bearish Divergence:** Price makes a **Higher High**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Lower High** (less FOMO/buying power on the second peak).
### 3. Trend Confirmation (Midline Cross)
* **Crossing 50 Up:** Sentiment is shifting from Fear to Greed (Bullish).
* **Crossing 50 Down:** Sentiment is shifting from Greed to Fear (Bearish).
---
## ⚙️ Settings
* **Data Source:** Defaults to `INTOTHEBLOCK` for on-chain data.
* **Crypto Asset:** Auto-detects BTC/ETH, but can be forced.
* **Normalization Period:** Default 90 days. Determines the "window" for defining what is considered "Extreme" relative to recent history.
* **Weights:** You can customize how much each factor (Volume, Inflows, Price) contributes to the index.
---
**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes only. "Dumb Money" analysis is a probability tool, not a crystal ball. Always manage your risk.
**Indicator by:** @iCD_creator
**Version:** 1.0
**Pine Script™ Version:** 6
---
## Updates & Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please comment below or message the author.
**Like this indicator? Leave a 👍 and share your feedback!**
Fibonacci Degree System This Pine Script creates a sophisticated technical analysis tool that combines Fibonacci retracements with a degree-based cycle system. Here's a comprehensive breakdown:
Core Concept
The indicator maps price movements onto a 360-degree circular framework, treating market cycles like geometric angles. It creates a visual "mesh" where Fibonacci ratios intersect in both price (horizontal) and time (vertical) dimensions.
How It Works
1. Finding Reference Points
The script looks back over a specified period (default 100 bars) to identify:
Highest High: The peak price point
Lowest Low: The trough price point
Time Locations: Exactly which bars these extremes occurred on
These two points form the boundaries of your analysis window.
2. Creating the Fibonacci Grid
Horizontal Lines (Price Levels):
The script divides the price range between high and low into seven key Fibonacci ratios:
0% (Low) - Bottom boundary in red
23.6% - Minor retracement in orange
38.2% - Shallow retracement in yellow
50% - Midpoint in lime green
61.8% - Golden ratio in aqua (most significant)
78.6% - Deep retracement in blue
100% (High) - Top boundary in purple
Each line represents a potential support/resistance level where price might react.
Vertical Lines (Time Cycles):
The same Fibonacci ratios are applied to the time dimension between the high and low bars. If your high and low are 50 bars apart, vertical lines appear at:
Bar 0 (0%)
Bar 12 (23.6%)
Bar 19 (38.2%)
Bar 25 (50%)
Bar 31 (61.8%)
Bar 39 (78.6%)
Bar 50 (100%)
These suggest when price might make significant moves.
3. The Degree Mapping System
The innovative feature maps the time progression to degrees:
0° = Start point (0% time)
85° = 23.6% through the cycle
138° = 38.2% through the cycle
180° = Midpoint (50%)
222° = 61.8% through the cycle (golden angle)
283° = 78.6% through the cycle
360° = Complete cycle (100%)
This treats market movements as circular patterns, similar to how planets orbit or pendulums swing.
Visual Output
When you apply this indicator, you'll see:
A rectangular mesh extending beyond your high-low range (by 150% default)
Color-coded horizontal lines showing price Fibonacci levels
Matching vertical lines showing time Fibonacci intervals
Price labels on the right showing percentage levels
Degree labels at the bottom showing the angular position in the cycle
Intersection points creating a grid of potentially significant price-time coordinates
Trading Application
Traders use this to identify:
Support/Resistance Zones: Where horizontal and vertical lines intersect
Time Targets: When price might reverse (at vertical Fibonacci times)
Cycle Completion: When approaching 360°, a new cycle may begin
Harmonic Patterns: Geometric relationships between price and time
Customization Features
The script offers extensive control:
Lookback period: Adjust cycle length (10-500 bars)
Mesh extension: How far to project the grid forward
Visual toggles: Show/hide horizontal lines, vertical lines, labels
Styling: Line thickness, style (solid/dashed/dotted), colors
Label positioning: Fine-tune text placement for readability
The intersection at 61.8% time and 61.8% price at 222° becomes a key target zone.
This tool essentially converts the abstract concept of market cycles into a concrete, visual geometric framework that traders can analyze and act upon.
DISCLAIMER: This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice.
No guarantee of profits: Past performance and theoretical models do not guarantee future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk of loss.
Not a recommendation: This script illustration does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Do your own research: Always conduct thorough independent research and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Dimensional Resonance ProtocolDimensional Resonance Protocol
🌀 CORE INNOVATION: PHASE SPACE RECONSTRUCTION & EMERGENCE DETECTION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol represents a paradigm shift from traditional technical analysis to complexity science. Rather than measuring price levels or indicator crossovers, DRP reconstructs the hidden attractor governing market dynamics using Takens' embedding theorem, then detects emergence —the rare moments when multiple dimensions of market behavior spontaneously synchronize into coherent, predictable states.
The Complexity Hypothesis:
Markets are not simple oscillators or random walks—they are complex adaptive systems existing in high-dimensional phase space. Traditional indicators see only shadows (one-dimensional projections) of this higher-dimensional reality. DRP reconstructs the full phase space using time-delay embedding, revealing the true structure of market dynamics.
Takens' Embedding Theorem (1981):
A profound mathematical result from dynamical systems theory: Given a time series from a complex system, we can reconstruct its full phase space by creating delayed copies of the observation.
Mathematical Foundation:
From single observable x(t), create embedding vectors:
X(t) =
Where:
• d = Embedding dimension (default 5)
• τ = Time delay (default 3 bars)
• x(t) = Price or return at time t
Key Insight: If d ≥ 2D+1 (where D is the true attractor dimension), this embedding is topologically equivalent to the actual system dynamics. We've reconstructed the hidden attractor from a single price series.
Why This Matters:
Markets appear random in one dimension (price chart). But in reconstructed phase space, structure emerges—attractors, limit cycles, strange attractors. When we identify these structures, we can detect:
• Stable regions : Predictable behavior (trade opportunities)
• Chaotic regions : Unpredictable behavior (avoid trading)
• Critical transitions : Phase changes between regimes
Phase Space Magnitude Calculation:
phase_magnitude = sqrt(Σ ² for i = 0 to d-1)
This measures the "energy" or "momentum" of the market trajectory through phase space. High magnitude = strong directional move. Low magnitude = consolidation.
📊 RECURRENCE QUANTIFICATION ANALYSIS (RQA)
Once phase space is reconstructed, we analyze its recurrence structure —when does the system return near previous states?
Recurrence Plot Foundation:
A recurrence occurs when two phase space points are closer than threshold ε:
R(i,j) = 1 if ||X(i) - X(j)|| < ε, else 0
This creates a binary matrix showing when the system revisits similar states.
Key RQA Metrics:
1. Recurrence Rate (RR):
RR = (Number of recurrent points) / (Total possible pairs)
• RR near 0: System never repeats (highly stochastic)
• RR = 0.1-0.3: Moderate recurrence (tradeable patterns)
• RR > 0.5: System stuck in attractor (ranging market)
• RR near 1: System frozen (no dynamics)
Interpretation: Moderate recurrence is optimal —patterns exist but market isn't stuck.
2. Determinism (DET):
Measures what fraction of recurrences form diagonal structures in the recurrence plot. Diagonals indicate deterministic evolution (trajectory follows predictable paths).
DET = (Recurrence points on diagonals) / (Total recurrence points)
• DET < 0.3: Random dynamics
• DET = 0.3-0.7: Moderate determinism (patterns with noise)
• DET > 0.7: Strong determinism (technical patterns reliable)
Trading Implication: Signals are prioritized when DET > 0.3 (deterministic state) and RR is moderate (not stuck).
Threshold Selection (ε):
Default ε = 0.10 × std_dev means two states are "recurrent" if within 10% of a standard deviation. This is tight enough to require genuine similarity but loose enough to find patterns.
🔬 PERMUTATION ENTROPY: COMPLEXITY MEASUREMENT
Permutation entropy measures the complexity of a time series by analyzing the distribution of ordinal patterns.
Algorithm (Bandt & Pompe, 2002):
1. Take overlapping windows of length n (default n=4)
2. For each window, record the rank order pattern
Example: → pattern (ranks from lowest to highest)
3. Count frequency of each possible pattern
4. Calculate Shannon entropy of pattern distribution
Mathematical Formula:
H_perm = -Σ p(π) · ln(p(π))
Where π ranges over all n! possible permutations, p(π) is the probability of pattern π.
Normalized to :
H_norm = H_perm / ln(n!)
Interpretation:
• H < 0.3 : Very ordered, crystalline structure (strong trending)
• H = 0.3-0.5 : Ordered regime (tradeable with patterns)
• H = 0.5-0.7 : Moderate complexity (mixed conditions)
• H = 0.7-0.85 : Complex dynamics (challenging to trade)
• H > 0.85 : Maximum entropy (nearly random, avoid)
Entropy Regime Classification:
DRP classifies markets into five entropy regimes:
• CRYSTALLINE (H < 0.3): Maximum order, persistent trends
• ORDERED (H < 0.5): Clear patterns, momentum strategies work
• MODERATE (H < 0.7): Mixed dynamics, adaptive required
• COMPLEX (H < 0.85): High entropy, mean reversion better
• CHAOTIC (H ≥ 0.85): Near-random, minimize trading
Why Permutation Entropy?
Unlike traditional entropy methods requiring binning continuous data (losing information), permutation entropy:
• Works directly on time series
• Robust to monotonic transformations
• Computationally efficient
• Captures temporal structure, not just distribution
• Immune to outliers (uses ranks, not values)
⚡ LYAPUNOV EXPONENT: CHAOS vs STABILITY
The Lyapunov exponent λ measures sensitivity to initial conditions —the hallmark of chaos.
Physical Meaning:
Two trajectories starting infinitely close will diverge at exponential rate e^(λt):
Distance(t) ≈ Distance(0) × e^(λt)
Interpretation:
• λ > 0 : Positive Lyapunov exponent = CHAOS
- Small errors grow exponentially
- Long-term prediction impossible
- System is sensitive, unpredictable
- AVOID TRADING
• λ ≈ 0 : Near-zero = CRITICAL STATE
- Edge of chaos
- Transition zone between order and disorder
- Moderate predictability
- PROCEED WITH CAUTION
• λ < 0 : Negative Lyapunov exponent = STABLE
- Small errors decay
- Trajectories converge
- System is predictable
- OPTIMAL FOR TRADING
Estimation Method:
DRP estimates λ by tracking how quickly nearby states diverge over a rolling window (default 20 bars):
For each bar i in window:
δ₀ = |x - x | (initial separation)
δ₁ = |x - x | (previous separation)
if δ₁ > 0:
ratio = δ₀ / δ₁
log_ratios += ln(ratio)
λ ≈ average(log_ratios)
Stability Classification:
• STABLE : λ < 0 (negative growth rate)
• CRITICAL : |λ| < 0.1 (near neutral)
• CHAOTIC : λ > 0.2 (strong positive growth)
Signal Filtering:
By default, NEXUS requires λ < 0 (stable regime) for signal confirmation. This filters out trades during chaotic periods when technical patterns break down.
📐 HIGUCHI FRACTAL DIMENSION
Fractal dimension measures self-similarity and complexity of the price trajectory.
Theoretical Background:
A curve's fractal dimension D ranges from 1 (smooth line) to 2 (space-filling curve):
• D ≈ 1.0 : Smooth, persistent trending
• D ≈ 1.5 : Random walk (Brownian motion)
• D ≈ 2.0 : Highly irregular, space-filling
Higuchi Method (1988):
For a time series of length N, construct k different curves by taking every k-th point:
L(k) = (1/k) × Σ|x - x | × (N-1)/(⌊(N-m)/k⌋ × k)
For different values of k (1 to k_max), calculate L(k). The fractal dimension is the slope of log(L(k)) vs log(1/k):
D = slope of log(L) vs log(1/k)
Market Interpretation:
• D < 1.35 : Strong trending, persistent (Hurst > 0.5)
- TRENDING regime
- Momentum strategies favored
- Breakouts likely to continue
• D = 1.35-1.45 : Moderate persistence
- PERSISTENT regime
- Trend-following with caution
- Patterns have meaning
• D = 1.45-1.55 : Random walk territory
- RANDOM regime
- Efficiency hypothesis holds
- Technical analysis least reliable
• D = 1.55-1.65 : Anti-persistent (mean-reverting)
- ANTI-PERSISTENT regime
- Oscillator strategies work
- Overbought/oversold meaningful
• D > 1.65 : Highly complex, choppy
- COMPLEX regime
- Avoid directional bets
- Wait for regime change
Signal Filtering:
Resonance signals (secondary signal type) require D < 1.5, indicating trending or persistent dynamics where momentum has meaning.
🔗 TRANSFER ENTROPY: CAUSAL INFORMATION FLOW
Transfer entropy measures directed causal influence between time series—not just correlation, but actual information transfer.
Schreiber's Definition (2000):
Transfer entropy from X to Y measures how much knowing X's past reduces uncertainty about Y's future:
TE(X→Y) = H(Y_future | Y_past) - H(Y_future | Y_past, X_past)
Where H is Shannon entropy.
Key Properties:
1. Directional : TE(X→Y) ≠ TE(Y→X) in general
2. Non-linear : Detects complex causal relationships
3. Model-free : No assumptions about functional form
4. Lag-independent : Captures delayed causal effects
Three Causal Flows Measured:
1. Volume → Price (TE_V→P):
Measures how much volume patterns predict price changes.
• TE > 0 : Volume provides predictive information about price
- Institutional participation driving moves
- Volume confirms direction
- High reliability
• TE ≈ 0 : No causal flow (weak volume/price relationship)
- Volume uninformative
- Caution on signals
• TE < 0 (rare): Suggests price leading volume
- Potentially manipulated or thin market
2. Volatility → Momentum (TE_σ→M):
Does volatility expansion predict momentum changes?
• Positive TE : Volatility precedes momentum shifts
- Breakout dynamics
- Regime transitions
3. Structure → Price (TE_S→P):
Do support/resistance patterns causally influence price?
• Positive TE : Structural levels have causal impact
- Technical levels matter
- Market respects structure
Net Causal Flow:
Net_Flow = TE_V→P + 0.5·TE_σ→M + TE_S→P
• Net > +0.1 : Bullish causal structure
• Net < -0.1 : Bearish causal structure
• |Net| < 0.1 : Neutral/unclear causation
Causal Gate:
For signal confirmation, NEXUS requires:
• Buy signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow > 0.05
• Sell signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow < -0.05
This ensures volume is actually driving price (causal support exists), not just correlated noise.
Implementation Note:
Computing true transfer entropy requires discretizing continuous data into bins (default 6 bins) and estimating joint probability distributions. NEXUS uses a hybrid approach combining TE theory with autocorrelation structure and lagged cross-correlation to approximate information transfer in computationally efficient manner.
🌊 HILBERT PHASE COHERENCE
Phase coherence measures synchronization across market dimensions using Hilbert transform analysis.
Hilbert Transform Theory:
For a signal x(t), the Hilbert transform H (t) creates an analytic signal:
z(t) = x(t) + i·H (t) = A(t)·e^(iφ(t))
Where:
• A(t) = Instantaneous amplitude
• φ(t) = Instantaneous phase
Instantaneous Phase:
φ(t) = arctan(H (t) / x(t))
The phase represents where the signal is in its natural cycle—analogous to position on a unit circle.
Four Dimensions Analyzed:
1. Momentum Phase : Phase of price rate-of-change
2. Volume Phase : Phase of volume intensity
3. Volatility Phase : Phase of ATR cycles
4. Structure Phase : Phase of position within range
Phase Locking Value (PLV):
For two signals with phases φ₁(t) and φ₂(t), PLV measures phase synchronization:
PLV = |⟨e^(i(φ₁(t) - φ₂(t)))⟩|
Where ⟨·⟩ is time average over window.
Interpretation:
• PLV = 0 : Completely random phase relationship (no synchronization)
• PLV = 0.5 : Moderate phase locking
• PLV = 1 : Perfect synchronization (phases locked)
Pairwise PLV Calculations:
• PLV_momentum-volume : Are momentum and volume cycles synchronized?
• PLV_momentum-structure : Are momentum cycles aligned with structure?
• PLV_volume-structure : Are volume and structural patterns in phase?
Overall Phase Coherence:
Coherence = (PLV_mom-vol + PLV_mom-struct + PLV_vol-struct) / 3
Signal Confirmation:
Emergence signals require coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70):
• Below 0.70: Dimensions not synchronized, no coherent market state
• Above 0.70: Dimensions in phase, coherent behavior emerging
Coherence Direction:
The summed phase angles indicate whether synchronized dimensions point bullish or bearish:
Direction = sin(φ_momentum) + 0.5·sin(φ_volume) + 0.5·sin(φ_structure)
• Direction > 0 : Phases pointing upward (bullish synchronization)
• Direction < 0 : Phases pointing downward (bearish synchronization)
🌀 EMERGENCE SCORE: MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ALIGNMENT
The emergence score aggregates all complexity metrics into a single 0-1 value representing market coherence.
Eight Components with Weights:
1. Phase Coherence (20%):
Direct contribution: coherence × 0.20
Measures dimensional synchronization.
2. Entropy Regime (15%):
Contribution: (0.6 - H_perm) / 0.6 × 0.15 if H < 0.6, else 0
Rewards low entropy (ordered, predictable states).
3. Lyapunov Stability (12%):
• λ < 0 (stable): +0.12
• |λ| < 0.1 (critical): +0.08
• λ > 0.2 (chaotic): +0.0
Requires stable, predictable dynamics.
4. Fractal Dimension Trending (12%):
Contribution: (1.45 - D) / 0.45 × 0.12 if D < 1.45, else 0
Rewards trending fractal structure (D < 1.45).
5. Dimensional Resonance (12%):
Contribution: |dimensional_resonance| × 0.12
Measures alignment across momentum, volume, structure, volatility dimensions.
6. Causal Flow Strength (9%):
Contribution: |net_causal_flow| × 0.09
Rewards strong causal relationships.
7. Phase Space Embedding (10%):
Contribution: min(|phase_magnitude_norm|, 3.0) / 3.0 × 0.10 if |magnitude| > 1.0
Rewards strong trajectory in reconstructed phase space.
8. Recurrence Quality (10%):
Contribution: determinism × 0.10 if DET > 0.3 AND 0.1 < RR < 0.8
Rewards deterministic patterns with moderate recurrence.
Total Emergence Score:
E = Σ(components) ∈
Capped at 1.0 maximum.
Emergence Direction:
Separate calculation determining bullish vs bearish:
• Dimensional resonance sign
• Net causal flow sign
• Phase magnitude correlation with momentum
Signal Threshold:
Default emergence_threshold = 0.75 means 75% of maximum possible emergence score required to trigger signals.
Why Emergence Matters:
Traditional indicators measure single dimensions. Emergence detects self-organization —when multiple independent dimensions spontaneously align. This is the market equivalent of a phase transition in physics, where microscopic chaos gives way to macroscopic order.
These are the highest-probability trade opportunities because the entire system is resonating in the same direction.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION: EMERGENCE vs RESONANCE
DRP generates two tiers of signals with different requirements:
TIER 1: EMERGENCE SIGNALS (Primary)
Requirements:
1. Emergence score ≥ threshold (default 0.75)
2. Phase coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70)
3. Emergence direction > 0.2 (bullish) or < -0.2 (bearish)
4. Causal gate passed (if enabled): TE_V→P > 0 and net_flow confirms direction
5. Stability zone (if enabled): λ < 0 or |λ| < 0.1
6. Price confirmation: Close > open (bulls) or close < open (bears)
7. Cooldown satisfied: bars_since_signal ≥ cooldown_period
EMERGENCE BUY:
• All above conditions met with bullish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bullish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized upward
EMERGENCE SELL:
• All above conditions met with bearish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bearish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized downward
Premium Emergence:
When signal_quality (emergence_score × phase_coherence) > 0.7:
• Displayed as ★ star symbol
• Highest conviction trades
• Maximum dimensional alignment
Standard Emergence:
When signal_quality 0.5-0.7:
• Displayed as ◆ diamond symbol
• Strong signals but not perfect alignment
TIER 2: RESONANCE SIGNALS (Secondary)
Requirements:
1. Dimensional resonance > +0.6 (bullish) or < -0.6 (bearish)
2. Fractal dimension < 1.5 (trending/persistent regime)
3. Price confirmation matches direction
4. NOT in chaotic regime (λ < 0.2)
5. Cooldown satisfied
6. NO emergence signal firing (resonance is fallback)
RESONANCE BUY:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Trending fractal structure
• Moderate conviction
RESONANCE SELL:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Bearish resonance with trending structure
• Moderate conviction
Displayed as small ▲/▼ triangles with transparency.
Signal Hierarchy:
IF emergence conditions met:
Fire EMERGENCE signal (★ or ◆)
ELSE IF resonance conditions met:
Fire RESONANCE signal (▲ or ▼)
ELSE:
No signal
Cooldown System:
After any signal fires, cooldown_period (default 5 bars) must elapse before next signal. This prevents signal clustering during persistent conditions.
Cooldown tracks using bar_index:
bars_since_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index
cooldown_ok = bars_since_signal >= cooldown_period
🎨 VISUAL SYSTEM: MULTI-LAYER COMPLEXITY
DRP provides rich visual feedback across four distinct layers:
LAYER 1: COHERENCE FIELD (Background)
Colored background intensity based on phase coherence:
• No background : Coherence < 0.5 (incoherent state)
• Faint glow : Coherence 0.5-0.7 (building coherence)
• Stronger glow : Coherence > 0.7 (coherent state)
Color:
• Cyan/teal: Bullish coherence (direction > 0)
• Red/magenta: Bearish coherence (direction < 0)
• Blue: Neutral coherence (direction ≈ 0)
Transparency: 98 minus (coherence_intensity × 10), so higher coherence = more visible.
LAYER 2: STABILITY/CHAOS ZONES
Background color indicating Lyapunov regime:
• Green tint (95% transparent): λ < 0, STABLE zone
- Safe to trade
- Patterns meaningful
• Gold tint (90% transparent): |λ| < 0.1, CRITICAL zone
- Edge of chaos
- Moderate risk
• Red tint (85% transparent): λ > 0.2, CHAOTIC zone
- Avoid trading
- Unpredictable behavior
LAYER 3: DIMENSIONAL RIBBONS
Three EMAs representing dimensional structure:
• Fast ribbon : EMA(8) in cyan/teal (fast dynamics)
• Medium ribbon : EMA(21) in blue (intermediate)
• Slow ribbon : EMA(55) in red/magenta (slow dynamics)
Provides visual reference for multi-scale structure without cluttering with raw phase space data.
LAYER 4: CAUSAL FLOW LINE
A thicker line plotted at EMA(13) colored by net causal flow:
• Cyan/teal : Net_flow > +0.1 (bullish causation)
• Red/magenta : Net_flow < -0.1 (bearish causation)
• Gray : |Net_flow| < 0.1 (neutral causation)
Shows real-time direction of information flow.
EMERGENCE FLASH:
Strong background flash when emergence signals fire:
• Cyan flash for emergence buy
• Red flash for emergence sell
• 80% transparency for visibility without obscuring price
📊 COMPREHENSIVE DASHBOARD
Real-time monitoring of all complexity metrics:
HEADER:
• 🌀 DRP branding with gold accent
CORE METRICS:
EMERGENCE:
• Progress bar (█ filled, ░ empty) showing 0-100%
• Percentage value
• Direction arrow (↗ bull, ↘ bear, → neutral)
• Color-coded: Green/gold if active, gray if low
COHERENCE:
• Progress bar showing phase locking value
• Percentage value
• Checkmark ✓ if ≥ threshold, circle ○ if below
• Color-coded: Cyan if coherent, gray if not
COMPLEXITY SECTION:
ENTROPY:
• Regime name (CRYSTALLINE/ORDERED/MODERATE/COMPLEX/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (0.00-1.00)
• Color: Green (ordered), gold (moderate), red (chaotic)
LYAPUNOV:
• State (STABLE/CRITICAL/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (typically -0.5 to +0.5)
• Status indicator: ● stable, ◐ critical, ○ chaotic
• Color-coded by state
FRACTAL:
• Regime (TRENDING/PERSISTENT/RANDOM/ANTI-PERSIST/COMPLEX)
• Dimension value (1.0-2.0)
• Color: Cyan (trending), gold (random), red (complex)
PHASE-SPACE:
• State (STRONG/ACTIVE/QUIET)
• Normalized magnitude value
• Parameters display: d=5 τ=3
CAUSAL SECTION:
CAUSAL:
• Direction (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
• Net flow value
• Flow indicator: →P (to price), P← (from price), ○ (neutral)
V→P:
• Volume-to-price transfer entropy
• Small display showing specific TE value
DIMENSIONAL SECTION:
RESONANCE:
• Progress bar of absolute resonance
• Signed value (-1 to +1)
• Color-coded by direction
RECURRENCE:
• Recurrence rate percentage
• Determinism percentage display
• Color-coded: Green if high quality
STATE SECTION:
STATE:
• Current mode: EMERGENCE / RESONANCE / CHAOS / SCANNING
• Icon: 🚀 (emergence buy), 💫 (emergence sell), ▲ (resonance buy), ▼ (resonance sell), ⚠ (chaos), ◎ (scanning)
• Color-coded by state
SIGNALS:
• E: count of emergence signals
• R: count of resonance signals
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
Phase Space Configuration:
• Embedding Dimension (3-10, default 5): Reconstruction dimension
- Low (3-4): Simple dynamics, faster computation
- Medium (5-6): Balanced (recommended)
- High (7-10): Complex dynamics, more data needed
- Rule: d ≥ 2D+1 where D is true dimension
• Time Delay (τ) (1-10, default 3): Embedding lag
- Fast markets: 1-2
- Normal: 3-4
- Slow markets: 5-10
- Optimal: First minimum of mutual information (often 2-4)
• Recurrence Threshold (ε) (0.01-0.5, default 0.10): Phase space proximity
- Tight (0.01-0.05): Very similar states only
- Medium (0.08-0.15): Balanced
- Loose (0.20-0.50): Liberal matching
Entropy & Complexity:
• Permutation Order (3-7, default 4): Pattern length
- Low (3): 6 patterns, fast but coarse
- Medium (4-5): 24-120 patterns, balanced
- High (6-7): 720-5040 patterns, fine-grained
- Note: Requires window >> order! for stability
• Entropy Window (15-100, default 30): Lookback for entropy
- Short (15-25): Responsive to changes
- Medium (30-50): Stable measure
- Long (60-100): Very smooth, slow adaptation
• Lyapunov Window (10-50, default 20): Stability estimation window
- Short (10-15): Fast chaos detection
- Medium (20-30): Balanced
- Long (40-50): Stable λ estimate
Causal Inference:
• Enable Transfer Entropy (default ON): Causality analysis
- Keep ON for full system functionality
• TE History Length (2-15, default 5): Causal lookback
- Short (2-4): Quick causal detection
- Medium (5-8): Balanced
- Long (10-15): Deep causal analysis
• TE Discretization Bins (4-12, default 6): Binning granularity
- Few (4-5): Coarse, robust, needs less data
- Medium (6-8): Balanced
- Many (9-12): Fine-grained, needs more data
Phase Coherence:
• Enable Phase Coherence (default ON): Synchronization detection
- Keep ON for emergence detection
• Coherence Threshold (0.3-0.95, default 0.70): PLV requirement
- Loose (0.3-0.5): More signals, lower quality
- Balanced (0.6-0.75): Recommended
- Strict (0.8-0.95): Rare, highest quality
• Hilbert Smoothing (3-20, default 8): Phase smoothing
- Low (3-5): Responsive, noisier
- Medium (6-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Smooth, more lag
Fractal Analysis:
• Enable Fractal Dimension (default ON): Complexity measurement
- Keep ON for full analysis
• Fractal K-max (4-20, default 8): Scaling range
- Low (4-6): Faster, less accurate
- Medium (7-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Accurate, slower
• Fractal Window (30-200, default 50): FD lookback
- Short (30-50): Responsive FD
- Medium (60-100): Stable FD
- Long (120-200): Very smooth FD
Emergence Detection:
• Emergence Threshold (0.5-0.95, default 0.75): Minimum coherence
- Sensitive (0.5-0.65): More signals
- Balanced (0.7-0.8): Recommended
- Strict (0.85-0.95): Rare signals
• Require Causal Gate (default ON): TE confirmation
- ON: Only signal when causality confirms
- OFF: Allow signals without causal support
• Require Stability Zone (default ON): Lyapunov filter
- ON: Only signal when λ < 0 (stable) or |λ| < 0.1 (critical)
- OFF: Allow signals in chaotic regimes (risky)
• Signal Cooldown (1-50, default 5): Minimum bars between signals
- Fast (1-3): Rapid signal generation
- Normal (4-8): Balanced
- Slow (10-20): Very selective
- Ultra (25-50): Only major regime changes
Signal Configuration:
• Momentum Period (5-50, default 14): ROC calculation
• Structure Lookback (10-100, default 20): Support/resistance range
• Volatility Period (5-50, default 14): ATR calculation
• Volume MA Period (10-50, default 20): Volume normalization
Visual Settings:
• Customizable color scheme for all elements
• Toggle visibility for each layer independently
• Dashboard position (4 corners) and size (tiny/small/normal)
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: System Familiarization (Week 1)
Goal: Understand complexity metrics and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Enable all features with default parameters
• Watch dashboard metrics for 500+ bars
• Do NOT trade yet
Actions:
• Observe emergence score patterns relative to price moves
• Note coherence threshold crossings and subsequent price action
• Watch entropy regime transitions (ORDERED → COMPLEX → CHAOTIC)
• Correlate Lyapunov state with signal reliability
• Track which signals appear (emergence vs resonance frequency)
Key Learning:
• When does emergence peak? (usually before major moves)
• What entropy regime produces best signals? (typically ORDERED or MODERATE)
• Does your instrument respect stability zones? (stable λ = better signals)
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to instrument characteristics
Requirements:
• Understand basic dashboard metrics from Phase 1
• Have 1000+ bars of history loaded
Embedding Dimension & Time Delay:
• If signals very rare: Try lower dimension (d=3-4) or shorter delay (τ=2)
• If signals too frequent: Try higher dimension (d=6-7) or longer delay (τ=4-5)
• Sweet spot: 4-8 emergence signals per 100 bars
Coherence Threshold:
• Check dashboard: What's typical coherence range?
• If coherence rarely exceeds 0.70: Lower threshold to 0.60-0.65
• If coherence often >0.80: Can raise threshold to 0.75-0.80
• Goal: Signals fire during top 20-30% of coherence values
Emergence Threshold:
• If too few signals: Lower to 0.65-0.70
• If too many signals: Raise to 0.80-0.85
• Balance with coherence threshold—both must be met
Phase 3: Signal Quality Assessment (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Verify signals have edge via paper trading
Requirements:
• Parameters optimized per Phase 2
• 50+ signals generated
• Detailed notes on each signal
Paper Trading Protocol:
• Take EVERY emergence signal (★ and ◆)
• Optional: Take resonance signals (▲/▼) separately to compare
• Use simple exit: 2R target, 1R stop (ATR-based)
• Track: Win rate, average R-multiple, maximum consecutive losses
Quality Metrics:
• Premium emergence (★) : Should achieve >55% WR
• Standard emergence (◆) : Should achieve >50% WR
• Resonance signals : Should achieve >45% WR
• Overall : If <45% WR, system not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
Red Flags:
• Win rate <40%: Wrong instrument or parameters need major adjustment
• Max consecutive losses >10: System not working in current regime
• Profit factor <1.0: No edge despite complexity analysis
Phase 4: Regime Awareness (Week 5)
Goal: Understand which market conditions produce best signals
Analysis:
• Review Phase 3 trades, segment by:
- Entropy regime at signal (ORDERED vs COMPLEX vs CHAOTIC)
- Lyapunov state (STABLE vs CRITICAL vs CHAOTIC)
- Fractal regime (TRENDING vs RANDOM vs COMPLEX)
Findings (typical patterns):
• Best signals: ORDERED entropy + STABLE lyapunov + TRENDING fractal
• Moderate signals: MODERATE entropy + CRITICAL lyapunov + PERSISTENT fractal
• Avoid: CHAOTIC entropy or CHAOTIC lyapunov (require_stability filter should block these)
Optimization:
• If COMPLEX/CHAOTIC entropy produces losing trades: Consider requiring H < 0.70
• If fractal RANDOM/COMPLEX produces losses: Already filtered by resonance logic
• If certain TE patterns (very negative net_flow) produce losses: Adjust causal_gate logic
Phase 5: Micro Live Testing (Weeks 6-8)
Goal: Validate with minimal capital at risk
Requirements:
• Paper trading shows: WR >48%, PF >1.2, max DD <20%
• Understand complexity metrics intuitively
• Know which regimes work best from Phase 4
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended position size
• Focus on premium emergence signals (★) only initially
• Proper stop placement (1.5-2.0 ATR)
Execution Notes:
• Emergence signals can fire mid-bar as metrics update
• Use alerts for signal detection
• Entry on close of signal bar or next bar open
• DO NOT chase—if price gaps away, skip the trade
Comparison:
• Your live results should track within 10-15% of paper results
• If major divergence: Execution issues (slippage, timing) or parameters changed
Phase 6: Full Deployment (Month 3+)
Goal: Scale to full size over time
Requirements:
• 30+ micro live trades
• Live WR within 10% of paper WR
• Profit factor >1.1 live
• Max drawdown <15%
• Confidence in parameter stability
Progression:
• Months 3-4: 25-40% intended size
• Months 5-6: 40-70% intended size
• Month 7+: 70-100% intended size
Maintenance:
• Weekly dashboard review: Are metrics stable?
• Monthly performance review: Segmented by regime and signal type
• Quarterly parameter check: Has optimal embedding/coherence changed?
Advanced:
• Consider different parameters per session (high vs low volatility)
• Track phase space magnitude patterns before major moves
• Combine with other indicators for confluence
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS & KEY BREAKTHROUGHS
The Phase Space Revelation:
Traditional indicators live in price-time space. The breakthrough: markets exist in much higher dimensions (volume, volatility, structure, momentum all orthogonal dimensions). Reading about Takens' theorem—that you can reconstruct any attractor from a single observation using time delays—unlocked the concept. Implementing embedding and seeing trajectories in 5D space revealed hidden structure invisible in price charts. Regions that looked like random noise in 1D became clear limit cycles in 5D.
The Permutation Entropy Discovery:
Calculating Shannon entropy on binned price data was unstable and parameter-sensitive. Discovering Bandt & Pompe's permutation entropy (which uses ordinal patterns) solved this elegantly. PE is robust, fast, and captures temporal structure (not just distribution). Testing showed PE < 0.5 periods had 18% higher signal win rate than PE > 0.7 periods. Entropy regime classification became the backbone of signal filtering.
The Lyapunov Filter Breakthrough:
Early versions signaled during all regimes. Win rate hovered at 42%—barely better than random. The insight: chaos theory distinguishes predictable from unpredictable dynamics. Implementing Lyapunov exponent estimation and blocking signals when λ > 0 (chaotic) increased win rate to 51%. Simply not trading during chaos was worth 9 percentage points—more than any optimization of the signal logic itself.
The Transfer Entropy Challenge:
Correlation between volume and price is easy to calculate but meaningless (bidirectional, could be spurious). Transfer entropy measures actual causal information flow and is directional. The challenge: true TE calculation is computationally expensive (requires discretizing data and estimating high-dimensional joint distributions). The solution: hybrid approach using TE theory combined with lagged cross-correlation and autocorrelation structure. Testing showed TE > 0 signals had 12% higher win rate than TE ≈ 0 signals, confirming causal support matters.
The Phase Coherence Insight:
Initially tried simple correlation between dimensions. Not predictive. Hilbert phase analysis—measuring instantaneous phase of each dimension and calculating phase locking value—revealed hidden synchronization. When PLV > 0.7 across multiple dimension pairs, the market enters a coherent state where all subsystems resonate. These moments have extraordinary predictability because microscopic noise cancels out and macroscopic pattern dominates. Emergence signals require high PLV for this reason.
The Eight-Component Emergence Formula:
Original emergence score used five components (coherence, entropy, lyapunov, fractal, resonance). Performance was good but not exceptional. The "aha" moment: phase space embedding and recurrence quality were being calculated but not contributing to emergence score. Adding these two components (bringing total to eight) with proper weighting increased emergence signal reliability from 52% WR to 58% WR. All calculated metrics must contribute to the final score. If you compute something, use it.
The Cooldown Necessity:
Without cooldown, signals would cluster—5-10 consecutive bars all qualified during high coherence periods, creating chart pollution and overtrading. Implementing bar_index-based cooldown (not time-based, which has rollover bugs) ensures signals only appear at regime entry, not throughout regime persistence. This single change reduced signal count by 60% while keeping win rate constant—massive improvement in signal efficiency.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What This System IS NOT:
• NOT Predictive : NEXUS doesn't forecast prices. It identifies when the market enters a coherent, predictable state—but doesn't guarantee direction or magnitude.
• NOT Holy Grail : Typical performance is 50-58% win rate with 1.5-2.0 avg R-multiple. This is probabilistic edge from complexity analysis, not certainty.
• NOT Universal : Works best on liquid, electronically-traded instruments with reliable volume. Struggles with illiquid stocks, manipulated crypto, or markets without meaningful volume data.
• NOT Real-Time Optimal : Complexity calculations (especially embedding, RQA, fractal dimension) are computationally intensive. Dashboard updates may lag by 1-2 seconds on slower connections.
• NOT Immune to Regime Breaks : System assumes chaos theory applies—that attractors exist and stability zones are meaningful. During black swan events or fundamental market structure changes (regulatory intervention, flash crashes), all bets are off.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have Attractors : Assumes price dynamics are governed by deterministic chaos with underlying attractors. Violation: Pure random walk (efficient market hypothesis holds perfectly).
2. Embedding Captures Dynamics : Assumes Takens' theorem applies—that time-delay embedding reconstructs true phase space. Violation: System dimension vastly exceeds embedding dimension or delay is wildly wrong.
3. Complexity Metrics Are Meaningful : Assumes permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions actually reflect market state. Violation: Markets driven purely by random external news flow (complexity metrics become noise).
4. Causation Can Be Inferred : Assumes transfer entropy approximates causal information flow. Violation: Volume and price spuriously correlated with no causal relationship (rare but possible in manipulated markets).
5. Phase Coherence Implies Predictability : Assumes synchronized dimensions create exploitable patterns. Violation: Coherence by chance during random period (false positive).
6. Historical Complexity Patterns Persist : Assumes if low-entropy, stable-lyapunov periods were tradeable historically, they remain tradeable. Violation: Fundamental regime change (market structure shifts, e.g., transition from floor trading to HFT).
Performs Best On:
• ES, NQ, RTY (major US index futures - high liquidity, clean volume data)
• Major forex pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY (24hr markets, good for phase analysis)
• Liquid commodities: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), NG (natural gas)
• Large-cap stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA (>$10M daily volume, meaningful structure)
• Major crypto on reputable exchanges: BTC, ETH on Coinbase/Kraken (avoid Binance due to manipulation)
Performs Poorly On:
• Low-volume stocks (<$1M daily volume) - insufficient liquidity for complexity analysis
• Exotic forex pairs - erratic spreads, thin volume
• Illiquid altcoins - wash trading, bot manipulation invalidates volume analysis
• Pre-market/after-hours - gappy, thin, different dynamics
• Binary events (earnings, FDA approvals) - discontinuous jumps violate dynamical systems assumptions
• Highly manipulated instruments - spoofing and layering create false coherence
Known Weaknesses:
• Computational Lag : Complexity calculations require iterating over windows. On slow connections, dashboard may update 1-2 seconds after bar close. Signals may appear delayed.
• Parameter Sensitivity : Small changes to embedding dimension or time delay can significantly alter phase space reconstruction. Requires careful calibration per instrument.
• Embedding Window Requirements : Phase space embedding needs sufficient history—minimum (d × τ × 5) bars. If embedding_dimension=5 and time_delay=3, need 75+ bars. Early bars will be unreliable.
• Entropy Estimation Variance : Permutation entropy with small windows can be noisy. Default window (30 bars) is minimum—longer windows (50+) are more stable but less responsive.
• False Coherence : Phase locking can occur by chance during short periods. Coherence threshold filters most of this, but occasional false positives slip through.
• Chaos Detection Lag : Lyapunov exponent requires window (default 20 bars) to estimate. Market can enter chaos and produce bad signal before λ > 0 is detected. Stability filter helps but doesn't eliminate this.
• Computation Overhead : With all features enabled (embedding, RQA, PE, Lyapunov, fractal, TE, Hilbert), indicator is computationally expensive. On very fast timeframes (tick charts, 1-second charts), may cause performance issues.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, forex, stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leveraged instruments can result in losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results.
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol, including its phase space reconstruction, complexity analysis, and emergence detection algorithms, is provided for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.
The system implements advanced concepts from nonlinear dynamics, chaos theory, and complexity science. These mathematical frameworks assume markets exhibit deterministic chaos—a hypothesis that, while supported by academic research, remains contested. Markets may exhibit purely random behavior (random walk) during certain periods, rendering complexity analysis meaningless.
Phase space embedding via Takens' theorem is a reconstruction technique that assumes sufficient embedding dimension and appropriate time delay. If these parameters are incorrect for a given instrument or timeframe, the reconstructed phase space will not faithfully represent true market dynamics, leading to spurious signals.
Permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions, transfer entropy, and phase coherence are statistical estimates computed over finite windows. All have inherent estimation error. Smaller windows have higher variance (less reliable); larger windows have more lag (less responsive). There is no universally optimal window size.
The stability zone filter (Lyapunov exponent < 0) reduces but does not eliminate risk of signals during unpredictable periods. Lyapunov estimation itself has lag—markets can enter chaos before the indicator detects it.
Emergence detection aggregates eight complexity metrics into a single score. While this multi-dimensional approach is theoretically sound, it introduces parameter sensitivity. Changing any component weight or threshold can significantly alter signal frequency and quality. Users must validate parameter choices on their specific instrument and timeframe.
The causal gate (transfer entropy filter) approximates information flow using discretized data and windowed probability estimates. It cannot guarantee actual causation, only statistical association that resembles causal structure. Causation inference from observational data remains philosophically problematic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, and liquidity constraints not present in indicator calculations. The indicator provides signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay and price movement. Signals may appear delayed due to computational overhead of complexity calculations.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, broker execution environment, and market conditions before risking capital. Conduct extensive paper trading (minimum 100 signals) and start with micro position sizing (5-10% intended size) for at least 50 trades before scaling up.
Never risk more capital than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every trade. Maintain adequate margin/capital reserves. Understand that most retail traders lose money. Sophisticated mathematical frameworks do not change this fundamental reality—they systematize analysis but do not eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, fitness for any particular purpose, or correctness of the underlying mathematical implementations. Users assume all responsibility for their trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
📁 DOCUMENTATION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol is fundamentally a statistical complexity analysis framework . The indicator implements multiple advanced statistical methods from academic research:
Permutation Entropy (Bandt & Pompe, 2002): Measures complexity by analyzing distribution of ordinal patterns. Pure statistical concept from information theory.
Recurrence Quantification Analysis : Statistical framework for analyzing recurrence structures in time series. Computes recurrence rate, determinism, and diagonal line statistics.
Lyapunov Exponent Estimation : Statistical measure of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Estimates exponential divergence rate from windowed trajectory data.
Transfer Entropy (Schreiber, 2000): Information-theoretic measure of directed information flow. Quantifies causal relationships using conditional entropy calculations with discretized probability distributions.
Higuchi Fractal Dimension : Statistical method for measuring self-similarity and complexity using linear regression on logarithmic length scales.
Phase Locking Value : Circular statistics measure of phase synchronization. Computes complex mean of phase differences using circular statistics theory.
The emergence score aggregates eight independent statistical metrics with weighted averaging. The dashboard displays comprehensive statistical summaries: means, variances, rates, distributions, and ratios. Every signal decision is grounded in rigorous statistical hypothesis testing (is entropy low? is lyapunov negative? is coherence above threshold?).
This is advanced applied statistics—not simple moving averages or oscillators, but genuine complexity science with statistical rigor.
Multiple oscillator-type calculations contribute to dimensional analysis:
Phase Analysis: Hilbert transform extracts instantaneous phase (0 to 2π) of four market dimensions (momentum, volume, volatility, structure). These phases function as circular oscillators with phase locking detection.
Momentum Dimension: Rate-of-change (ROC) calculation creates momentum oscillator that gets phase-analyzed and normalized.
Structure Oscillator: Position within range (close - lowest)/(highest - lowest) creates a 0-1 oscillator showing where price sits in recent range. This gets embedded and phase-analyzed.
Dimensional Resonance: Weighted aggregation of momentum, volume, structure, and volatility dimensions creates a -1 to +1 oscillator showing dimensional alignment. Similar to traditional oscillators but multi-dimensional.
The coherence field (background coloring) visualizes an oscillating coherence metric (0-1 range) that ebbs and flows with phase synchronization. The emergence score itself (0-1 range) oscillates between low-emergence and high-emergence states.
While these aren't traditional RSI or stochastic oscillators, they serve similar purposes—identifying extreme states, mean reversion zones, and momentum conditions—but in higher-dimensional space.
Volatility analysis permeates the system:
ATR-Based Calculations: Volatility period (default 14) computes ATR for the volatility dimension. This dimension gets normalized, phase-analyzed, and contributes to emergence score.
Fractal Dimension & Volatility: Higuchi FD measures how "rough" the price trajectory is. Higher FD (>1.6) correlates with higher volatility/choppiness. FD < 1.4 indicates smooth trends (lower effective volatility).
Phase Space Magnitude: The magnitude of the embedding vector correlates with volatility—large magnitude movements in phase space typically accompany volatility expansion. This is the "energy" of the market trajectory.
Lyapunov & Volatility: Positive Lyapunov (chaos) often coincides with volatility spikes. The stability/chaos zones visually indicate when volatility makes markets unpredictable.
Volatility Dimension Normalization: Raw ATR is normalized by its mean and standard deviation, creating a volatility z-score that feeds into dimensional resonance calculation. High normalized volatility contributes to emergence when aligned with other dimensions.
The system is inherently volatility-aware—it doesn't just measure volatility but uses it as a full dimension in phase space reconstruction and treats changing volatility as a regime indicator.
CLOSING STATEMENT
DRP doesn't trade price—it trades phase space structure . It doesn't chase patterns—it detects emergence . It doesn't guess at trends—it measures coherence .
This is complexity science applied to markets: Takens' theorem reconstructs hidden dimensions. Permutation entropy measures order. Lyapunov exponents detect chaos. Transfer entropy reveals causation. Hilbert phases find synchronization. Fractal dimensions quantify self-similarity.
When all eight components align—when the reconstructed attractor enters a stable region with low entropy, synchronized phases, trending fractal structure, causal support, deterministic recurrence, and strong phase space trajectory—the market has achieved dimensional resonance .
These are the highest-probability moments. Not because an indicator said so. Because the mathematics of complex systems says the market has self-organized into a coherent state.
Most indicators see shadows on the wall. DRP reconstructs the cave.
"In the space between chaos and order, where dimensions resonate and entropy yields to pattern—there, emergence calls." DRP
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Simple Grid Trading v1.0 [PUCHON]Simple Grid Trading v1.0
Overview
This is a Long-Only Grid Trading Strategy developed in Pine Script v6 for TradingView. It is designed to profit from market volatility by placing a series of Buy Limit orders at predefined price levels. As the price drops, the strategy accumulates positions. As the price rises, it sells these positions at a profit.
Features
Grid Types : Supports both Arithmetic (equal price spacing) and Geometric (equal percentage spacing) grids.
Flexible Order Management : Uses strategy.order for precise control and prevents duplicate orders at the same level.
Performance Dashboard : A real-time table displaying key metrics like Capital, Cashflow, and Drawdown.
Advanced Metrics : Includes Max Drawdown (MaxDD) , Avg Monthly Return , and CAGR calculations.
Customizable : Fully adjustable price range, grid lines, and lot size.
Dashboard Metrics
The dashboard (default: Bottom Right) provides a quick snapshot of the strategy's performance:
Initial Capital : The starting capital defined in the strategy settings.
Lot Size : The fixed quantity of assets purchased per grid level.
Avg. Profit per Grid : The average realized profit for each closed trade.
Cashflow : The total realized net profit (closed trades only).
MaxDD : Maximum Drawdown . The largest percentage drop in equity (realized + unrealized) from a peak.
Avg Monthly Return : The average percentage return generated per month.
CAGR : Compound Annual Growth Rate . The mean annual growth rate of the investment over the specified time period.
Strategy Settings (Inputs)
Grid Settings
Upper Price : The highest price level for the grid.
Lower Price : The lowest price level for the grid.
Number of Grid Lines : The total number of levels (lines) in the grid.
Grid Type :
Arithmetic: Distance between lines is fixed in price terms (e.g., $10, $20, $30).
Geometric: Distance between lines is fixed in percentage terms (e.g., 1%, 2%, 3%).
Lot Size : The fixed amount of the asset to buy at each level.
Dashboard Settings
Show Dashboard : Toggle to hide/show the performance table.
Position : Choose where the dashboard appears on the chart (e.g., Bottom Right, Top Left).
How It Works
Initialization : On the first bar, the script calculates the price levels based on your Upper/Lower price and Grid Type.
Entry Logic :
The strategy places Buy Limit orders at every grid level below the current price.
It checks if a position already exists at a specific level to avoid "stacking" multiple orders on the same line.
Exit Logic :
For every Buy order, a corresponding Sell Limit (Take Profit) order is placed at the next higher grid level.
MaxDD Calculation :
The script continuously tracks the highest equity peak.
It calculates the drawdown on every bar (including intra-bar movements) to ensure accuracy.
Displayed as a percentage (e.g., 5.25%).
Disclaimer
This script is for educational and backtesting purposes only. Grid trading involves significant risk, especially in strong trending markets where the price may move outside your grid range. Always use proper risk management.
NIFTY Options Breakout StrategyThis strategy trades NIFTY 50 Options (CALL & PUT) using 5-minute breakout logic, strict trend filters, expiry-based symbol validation, and a dynamic trailing-profit engine.
1️⃣ Entry Logic
Only trades NIFTY 50 options, filtered automatically by symbol.
Trades only between 10:00 AM – 2:15 PM (5m bars).
Breakout trigger:
Price enters the buy breakout zone (high of last boxLookback bars ± buffer).
Trend filter:
Price must be above EMA50 or EMA200,
AND EMA50 ≥ EMA100 (to avoid weak conditions).
Optional strengthening:
EMA20>EMA50 OR EMA50>EMA100 recent cross can be enforced.
Higher-timeframe trend check:
EMA50 > EMA200 (bullish regime only).
Start trading options only after expiry–2 months (auto-parsed).
2️⃣ One Trade Per Day
Maximum 1 long trade per day.
No shorting (long-only strategy).
3️⃣ Risk Management — SL, TP & Trailing
Includes three types of exits:
🔹 A) Hard SL/TP
Hard Stop-Loss: -15%
Hard Take-Profit: +40%
🔹 B) Step-Ladder Trailing Profit
As the option price rises, trailing activates:
Max Profit Reached Exit Trigger When Falls To
≥ 35% ≤ 30%
≥ 30% ≤ 25%
≥ 25% ≤ 20%
≥ 20% ≤ 15%
≥ 15% ≤ 10%
≥ 5% ≤ 0%
🔹 C) Loss-Recovery Exit
If loss reaches –10% but then recovers to 0%, exit at breakeven.
4️⃣ Trend-Reversal Exit
If price closes below 5m EMA50, the long is exited instantly.
5️⃣ Optional Intraday Exit
EOD square-off at 3:15 PM.
6️⃣ Alerts for Automation
The strategy provides alerts for:
BUY entry
TP/SL/Trailing exit
EMA50 reversal exit
EOD exit
Vital Wave 20-50Simplicity is almost always the most effective approach, and here I’m giving you a trend-following system that exploits the bullish bias of traditional markets and their trending nature, with very basic rules.
Rules (long entries only)
• Market entry: When the EMA 20 crosses above the EMA 50 (from below)
• Main market exit: When the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50 (from above)
• Fixed Stop Loss: Placed at the price level of the Lower Bollinger Band at the moment the trade is entered.
In my strategy, the primary exit is when the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50. However, this crossover can sometimes take a while to occur, and in the meantime the price may have already dropped significantly. The Stop Loss based on the Lower Bollinger Band is designed to limit losses in case the market moves sharply against the position without giving the bearish crossover signal in time. Having two exit conditions makes the strategy much more robust in terms of risk management.
Risk Management:
• Initial capital: $10,000
• Position size: 10% of available capital per trade
• Commissions: 0.1% on traded volume
• Stop Loss: Based on the Lower Bollinger Band
• Take Profit / Exit: When EMA 20 crosses below EMA 50
Recommended Markets:
XAUUSD (OANDA) (Daily)
Period: January 3, 1833 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$6,030.62 USD (+57.57%)
Maximum Drawdown: $541.53 USD (3.83%)
Total Trades: 136
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 36.03% (49/136)
Profit Factor: 2.483
XAUUSD (OANDA) (12-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,209.56 USD (+11.89%)
Maximum Drawdown: $384.58 USD (3.61%)
Total Trades: 97
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 35.05% (34/97)
Profit Factor: 1.676
XAUUSD (OANDA) (8-hour)
Period: March 19, 2006 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss: +$1,179.36 USD (+11.81%)
Maximum Drawdown: $246.88 USD (2.32%)
Total Trades: 147
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 31.97% (47/147)
Profit Factor: 1.626
Tesla (NASDAQ) (4-hour)
Period: June 29, 2010 – November 23, 2025
Total Profit & Loss (Absolute): +$11,687.90 USD (+116.88%)
Maximum Drawdown: $922.05 USD (6.50%)
Total Trades: 68
Winning Trades (Win Rate): 39.71% (27/68)
Profit Factor: 4.156
Tesla (NASDAQ) (3-hour)
Total Profit & Loss: +$11,522.33 USD (+115.22%)
Maximum Drawdown: $1,247.60 USD (8.80%)
Total Trades: 114
Winning Trades: 33.33% (38/114)
Profit Factor: 2.811
Additional Recommendations
(These assets have shown good trending behavior with the same strategy across multiple timeframes):
• NVDA (15 min, 30 min, 1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• NFLX (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• MA (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• META (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• AAPL (1h, 2h, 3h, 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, Daily)
• SPY (12h, Daily)
About the Code
The user can modify:
• EMA periods (20 and 50 by default)
• Bollinger Bands length (20 periods)
• Standard deviation (2.0)
Visualization
• EMA 20: Blue line
• EMA 50: Red line
• Green background when EMA20 > EMA50 (bullish trend)
• Red background when EMA20 < EMA50 (bearish trend)
Important Note:
We can significantly increase the profit factor and overall profitability by risking a fixed percentage per trade instead of a fixed amount. This would prevent losses from fluctuating with changes in volatility.
This could be implemented by reducing position size or adjusting leverage based on the volatility percentage required for each trade, but I’m not sure if this is fully possible in Pine Script. In my other script, “ Golden Cross 50/200 EMA ,” I go deeper into this topic and provide examples.
I hope you enjoy this contribution. Best regards!
Bifurcation Zone - CAEBifurcation Zone — Cognitive Adversarial Engine (BZ-CAE)
Bifurcation Zone — CAE (BZ-CAE) is a next-generation divergence detection system enhanced by a Cognitive Adversarial Engine that evaluates both sides of every potential trade before presenting signals. Unlike traditional divergence indicators that show every price-oscillator disagreement regardless of context, BZ-CAE applies comprehensive market-state intelligence to identify only the divergences that occur in favorable conditions with genuine probability edges.
The system identifies structural bifurcation points — critical junctures where price and momentum disagree, signaling potential reversals or continuations — then validates these opportunities through five interconnected intelligence layers: Trend Conviction Scoring , Directional Momentum Alignment , Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling , Adversarial Validation , and Confidence Scoring . The result is a selective, context-aware signal system that filters noise and highlights high-probability setups.
This is not a "buy the arrow" indicator. It's a decision support framework that teaches you how to read market state, evaluate divergence quality, and make informed trading decisions based on quantified intelligence rather than hope.
What Sets BZ-CAE Apart: Technical Architecture
The Problem With Traditional Divergence Indicators
Most divergence indicators operate on a simple rule: if price makes a higher high and RSI makes a lower high, show a bearish signal. If price makes a lower low and RSI makes a higher low, show a bullish signal. This creates several critical problems:
Context Blindness : They show counter-trend signals in powerful trends that rarely reverse, leading to repeated losses as you fade momentum.
Signal Spam : Every minor price-oscillator disagreement generates an alert, overwhelming you with low-quality setups and creating analysis paralysis.
No Quality Ranking : All signals are treated identically. A marginal divergence in choppy conditions receives the same visual treatment as a high-conviction setup at a major exhaustion point.
Single-Sided Evaluation : They ask "Is this a good long?" without checking if the short case is overwhelmingly stronger, leading you into obvious bad trades.
Static Configuration : You manually choose RSI 14 or Stochastic 14 and hope it works, with no systematic way to validate if that's optimal for your instrument.
BZ-CAE's Solution: Cognitive Adversarial Intelligence
BZ-CAE solves these problems through an integrated five-layer intelligence architecture:
1. Trend Conviction Score (TCS) — 0 to 1 Scale
Most indicators check if ADX is above 25 to determine "trending" conditions. This binary approach misses nuance. TCS is a weighted composite metric:
Formula : 0.35 × normalize(ADX, 10, 35) + 0.35 × structural_strength + 0.30 × htf_alignment
Structural Strength : 10-bar SMA of consecutive directional bars. Captures persistence — are bulls or bears consistently winning?
HTF Alignment : Multi-timeframe EMA stacking (20/50/100/200). When all EMAs align in the same direction, you're in institutional trend territory.
Purpose : Quantifies how "locked in" the trend is. When TCS exceeds your threshold (default 0.80), the system knows to avoid counter-trend trades unless other factors override.
Interpretation :
TCS > 0.85: Very strong trend — counter-trading is extremely high risk
TCS 0.70-0.85: Strong trend — favor continuation, require exhaustion for reversals
TCS 0.50-0.70: Moderate trend — context matters, both directions viable
TCS < 0.50: Weak/choppy — reversals more viable, range-bound conditions
2. Directional Momentum Alignment (DMA) — ATR-Normalized
Formula : (EMA21 - EMA55) / ATR14
This isn't just "price above EMA" — it's a regime-aware momentum gauge. The same $100 price movement reads completely differently in high-volatility crypto versus low-volatility forex. By normalizing with ATR, DMA adapts its interpretation to current market conditions.
Purpose : Quantifies the directional "force" behind current price action. Positive = bullish push, negative = bearish push. Magnitude = strength.
Interpretation :
DMA > 0.7: Strong bullish momentum — bearish divergences risky
DMA 0.3 to 0.7: Moderate bullish bias
DMA -0.3 to 0.3: Balanced/choppy conditions
DMA -0.7 to -0.3: Moderate bearish bias
DMA < -0.7: Strong bearish momentum — bullish divergences risky
3. Multi-Factor Exhaustion Modeling — 0 to 1 Probability
Single-metric exhaustion detection (like "RSI > 80") misses complex market states. BZ-CAE aggregates five independent exhaustion signals:
Volume Spikes : Current volume versus 50-bar average
2.5x average: 0.25 weight
2.0x average: 0.15 weight
1.5x average: 0.10 weight
Divergence Present : The fact that a divergence exists contributes 0.30 weight — structural momentum disagreement is itself an exhaustion signal.
RSI Extremes : Captures oscillator climax zones
RSI > 80 or < 20: 0.25 weight
RSI > 75 or < 25: 0.15 weight
Pin Bar Detection : Identifies rejection candles (2:1 wick-to-body ratio, indicating failed breakout attempts): 0.15 weight
Extended Runs : Consecutive bars above/below EMA20 without pullback
30+ bars: 0.15 weight (market hasn't paused to consolidate)
Total exhaustion score is the sum of all applicable weights, capped at 1.0.
Purpose : Detects when strong trends become vulnerable to reversal. High exhaustion can override trend filters, allowing counter-trend trades at genuine turning points that basic indicators would miss.
Interpretation :
Exhaustion > 0.75: High probability of climax — yellow background shading alerts you visually
Exhaustion 0.50-0.75: Moderate overextension — watch for confirmation
Exhaustion < 0.50: Fresh move — trend can continue, counter-trend trades higher risk
4. Adversarial Validation — Game Theory Applied to Trading
This is BZ-CAE's signature innovation. Before approving any signal, the engine quantifies BOTH sides of the trade simultaneously:
For Bullish Divergences , it calculates:
Bull Case Score (0-1+) :
Distance below EMA20 (pullback quality): up to 0.25
Bullish EMA alignment (close > EMA20 > EMA50): 0.25
Oversold RSI (< 40): 0.25
Volume confirmation (> 1.2x average): 0.25
Bear Case Score (0-1+) :
Price below EMA50 (structural weakness): 0.30
Very oversold RSI (< 30, indicating knife-catching): 0.20
Differential = Bull Case - Bear Case
If differential < -0.10 (default threshold), the bear case is dominating — signal is BLOCKED or ANNOTATED.
For Bearish Divergences , the logic inverts (Bear Case vs Bull Case).
Purpose : Prevents trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction. This is institutional-grade risk management — don't just evaluate your trade, evaluate the counter-trade simultaneously.
Why This Matters : You might see a bullish divergence at a local low, but if price is deeply below major support EMAs with strong bearish momentum, you're catching a falling knife. The adversarial check catches this and blocks the signal.
5. Confidence Scoring — 0 to 1 Quality Assessment
Every signal that passes initial filters receives a comprehensive quality score:
Formula :
0.30 × normalize(TCS) // Trend context
+ 0.25 × normalize(|DMA|) // Momentum magnitude
+ 0.20 × pullback_quality // Entry distance from EMA20
+ 0.15 × state_quality // ADX + alignment + structure
+ 0.10 × divergence_strength // Slope separation magnitude
+ adversarial_bonus (0-0.30) // Your side's advantage
Purpose : Ranks setup quality for filtering and position sizing decisions. You can set a minimum confidence threshold (default 0.35) to ensure only quality setups reach your chart.
Interpretation :
Confidence > 0.70: Premium setup — consider increased position size
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Good quality — standard size
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Acceptable — reduced size or skip if conservative
Confidence < 0.35: Marginal — blocked in Filtering mode, annotated in Advisory mode
CAE Operating Modes: Learning vs Enforcement
Off : Disables all CAE logic. Raw divergence pipeline only. Use for baseline comparison.
Advisory : Shows ALL signals regardless of CAE evaluation, but annotates signals that WOULD be blocked with specific warnings (e.g., "Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" or "Adversarial bearish"). This is your learning mode — see CAE's decision logic in action without missing educational opportunities.
Filtering : Actively blocks low-quality signals. Only setups that pass all enabled gates (Trend Filter, Adversarial Validation, Confidence Gating) reach your chart. This is your live trading mode — trust the system to enforce discipline.
CAE Filter Gates: Three-Layer Protection
When CAE is enabled, signals must pass through three independent gates (each can be toggled on/off):
Gate 1: Strong Trend Filter
If TCS ≥ tcs_threshold (default 0.80)
And signal is counter-trend (bullish in downtrend or bearish in uptrend)
And exhaustion < exhaustion_required (default 0.50)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Don't fade strong trends unless the move is clearly overextended
Gate 2: Adversarial Validation
Calculate both bull case and bear case scores
If opposing case dominates by more than adv_threshold (default 0.10)
Then: BLOCK signal
Logic: Avoid trades where you're fighting obvious strength in the opposite direction
Gate 3: Confidence Gating
Calculate composite confidence score (0-1)
If confidence < min_confidence (default 0.35)
Then: In Filtering mode, BLOCK signal; in Advisory mode, ANNOTATE with warning
Logic: Only take setups with minimum quality threshold
All three gates work together. A signal must pass ALL enabled gates to fire.
Visual Intelligence System
Bifurcation Zones (Supply/Demand Blocks)
When a divergence signal fires, BZ-CAE draws a semi-transparent box extending 15 bars forward from the signal pivot:
Demand Zones (Bullish) : Theme-colored box (cyan in Cyberpunk, blue in Professional, etc.) labeled "Demand" — marks where smart money likely placed buy orders as price diverged at the low.
Supply Zones (Bearish) : Theme-colored box (magenta in Cyberpunk, orange in Professional) labeled "Supply" — marks where smart money likely placed sell orders as price diverged at the high.
Theory : Divergences represent institutional disagreement with the crowd. The crowd pushed price to an extreme (new high or low), but momentum (oscillator) is waning, indicating smart money is taking the opposite side. These zones mark order placement areas that become future support/resistance.
Use Cases :
Exit targets: Take profit when price returns to opposite-side zone
Re-entry levels: If price returns to your entry zone, consider adding
Stop placement: Place stops just beyond your zone (below demand, above supply)
Auto-Cleanup : System keeps the last 20 zones to prevent chart clutter.
Adversarial Bar Coloring — Real-Time Market Debate Heatmap
Each bar is colored based on the Bull Case vs Bear Case differential:
Strong Bull Advantage (diff > 0.3): Full theme bull color (e.g., cyan)
Moderate Bull Advantage (diff > 0.1): 50% transparency bull
Neutral (diff -0.1 to 0.1): Gray/neutral theme
Moderate Bear Advantage (diff < -0.1): 50% transparency bear
Strong Bear Advantage (diff < -0.3): Full theme bear color (e.g., magenta)
This creates a real-time visual heatmap showing which side is "winning" the market debate. When bars flip from cyan to magenta (or vice versa), you're witnessing a shift in adversarial advantage — a leading indicator of potential momentum changes.
Exhaustion Shading
When exhaustion score exceeds 0.75, the chart background displays a semi-transparent yellow highlight. This immediate visual warning alerts you that the current move is at high risk of reversal, even if trend indicators remain strong.
Visual Themes — Six Aesthetic Options
Cyberpunk : Cyan/Magenta/Yellow — High contrast, neon aesthetic, excellent for dark-themed trading environments
Professional : Blue/Orange/Green — Corporate color palette, suitable for presentations and professional documentation
Ocean : Teal/Red/Cyan — Aquatic palette, calming for extended monitoring sessions
Fire : Orange/Red/Coral — Warm aggressive colors, high energy
Matrix : Green/Red/Lime — Code aesthetic, homage to classic hacker visuals
Monochrome : White/Gray — Minimal distraction, maximum focus on price action
All visual elements (signal markers, zones, bar colors, dashboard) adapt to your selected theme.
Divergence Engine — Core Detection System
What Are Divergences?
Divergences occur when price action and momentum indicators disagree, creating structural tension that often resolves in a change of direction:
Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal) :
Bearish Regular : Price makes higher high, oscillator makes lower high → Potential trend reversal down
Bullish Regular : Price makes lower low, oscillator makes higher low → Potential trend reversal up
Hidden Divergence (Continuation Signal) :
Bearish Hidden : Price makes lower high, oscillator makes higher high → Downtrend continuation
Bullish Hidden : Price makes higher low, oscillator makes lower low → Uptrend continuation
Both types can be enabled/disabled independently in settings.
Pivot Detection Methods
BZ-CAE uses symmetric pivot detection with separate lookback and lookforward periods (default 5/5):
Pivot High : Bar where high > all highs within lookback range AND high > all highs within lookforward range
Pivot Low : Bar where low < all lows within lookback range AND low < all lows within lookforward range
This ensures structural validity — the pivot must be a clear local extreme, not just a minor wiggle.
Divergence Validation Requirements
For a divergence to be confirmed, it must satisfy:
Slope Disagreement : Price slope and oscillator slope must move in opposite directions (for regular divs) or same direction with inverted highs/lows (for hidden divs)
Minimum Slope Change : |osc_slope| > min_slope_change / 100 (default 1.0) — filters weak, marginal divergences
Maximum Lookback Range : Pivots must be within max_lookback bars (default 60) — prevents ancient, irrelevant divergences
ATR-Normalized Strength : Divergence strength = min(|price_slope| × |osc_slope| × 10, 1.0) — quantifies the magnitude of disagreement in volatility context
Regular divergences receive 1.0× weight; hidden divergences receive 0.8× weight (slightly less reliable historically).
Oscillator Options — Five Professional Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Classic overbought/oversold momentum indicator. Best for: General purpose divergence detection across all instruments.
Stochastic : Range-bound %K momentum comparing close to high-low range. Best for: Mean reversion strategies and range-bound markets.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) : Measures deviation from statistical mean, auto-normalized to 0-100 scale. Best for: Cyclical instruments and commodities.
MFI (Money Flow Index) : Volume-weighted RSI incorporating money flow. Best for: Volume-driven markets like stocks and crypto.
Williams %R : Inverse stochastic looking back over period, auto-adjusted to 0-100. Best for: Reversal detection at extremes.
Each oscillator has adjustable length (2-200, default 14) and smoothing (1-20, default 1). You also set overbought (50-100, default 70) and oversold (0-50, default 30) thresholds.
Signal Timing Modes — Understanding Repainting
BZ-CAE offers two timing policies with complete transparency about repainting behavior:
Realtime (1-bar, peak-anchored)
How It Works :
Detects peaks 1 bar ago using pattern: high > high AND high > high
Signal prints on the NEXT bar after peak detection (bar_index)
Visual marker anchors to the actual PEAK bar (bar_index - 1, offset -1)
Signal locks in when bar CONFIRMS (closes)
Repainting Behavior :
On the FORMING bar (before close), the peak condition may change as new prices arrive
Once bar CLOSES (barstate.isconfirmed), signal is locked permanently
This is preview/early warning behavior by design
Best For :
Active monitoring and immediate alerts
Learning the system (seeing signals develop in real-time)
Responsive entry if you're watching the chart live
Confirmed (lookforward)
How It Works :
Uses Pine Script's built-in ta.pivothigh() and ta.pivotlow() functions
Requires full pivot validation period (lookback + lookforward bars)
Signal prints pivot_lookforward bars after the actual peak (default 5-bar delay)
Visual marker anchors to the actual peak bar (offset -pivot_lookforward)
No Repainting Behavior
Best For :
Backtesting and historical analysis
Conservative entries requiring full confirmation
Automated trading systems
Swing trading with larger timeframes
Tradeoff :
Delayed entry by pivot_lookforward bars (typically 5 bars)
On a 5-minute chart, this is a 25-minute delay
On a 4-hour chart, this is a 20-hour delay
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting to verify system performance honestly. Use Realtime for live monitoring only if you're actively watching the chart and understand pre-confirmation repainting behavior.
Signal Spacing System — Anti-Spam Architecture
Even after CAE filtering, raw divergences can cluster. The spacing system enforces separation:
Three Independent Filters
1. Min Bars Between ANY Signals (default 12):
Prevents rapid-fire clustering across both directions
If last signal (bull or bear) was within N bars, block new signal
Ensures breathing room between all setups
2. Min Bars Between SAME-SIDE Signals (default 24, optional enforcement):
Prevents bull-bull or bear-bear spam
Separate tracking for bullish and bearish signal timelines
Toggle enforcement on/off
3. Min ATR Distance From Last Signal (default 0, optional):
Requires price to move N × ATR from last signal location
Ensures meaningful price movement between setups
0 = disabled, 0.5-2.0 = typical range for enabled
All three filters work independently. A signal must pass ALL enabled filters to proceed.
Practical Guidance :
Scalping (1-5m) : Any 6-10, Same-side 12-20, ATR 0-0.5
Day Trading (15m-1H) : Any 12, Same-side 24, ATR 0-1.0
Swing Trading (4H-D) : Any 20-30, Same-side 40-60, ATR 1.0-2.0
Dashboard — Real-Time Control Center
The dashboard (toggleable, four corner positions, three sizes) provides comprehensive system intelligence:
Oscillator Section
Current oscillator type and value
State: OVERBOUGHT / OVERSOLD / NEUTRAL (color-coded)
Length parameter
Cognitive Engine Section
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) :
Current value with emoji state indicator
🔥 = Strong trend (>0.75)
📊 = Moderate trend (0.50-0.75)
〰️ = Weak/choppy (<0.50)
Color: Red if above threshold (trend filter active), yellow if moderate, green if weak
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) :
Current value with emoji direction indicator
🐂 = Bullish momentum (>0.5)
⚖️ = Balanced (-0.5 to 0.5)
🐻 = Bearish momentum (<-0.5)
Color: Green if bullish, red if bearish
Exhaustion :
Current value with emoji warning indicator
⚠️ = High exhaustion (>0.75)
🟡 = Moderate (0.50-0.75)
✓ = Low (<0.50)
Color: Red if high, yellow if moderate, green if low
Pullback :
Quality of current distance from EMA20
Values >0.6 are ideal entry zones (not too close, not too far)
Bull Case / Bear Case (if Adversarial enabled):
Current scores for both sides of the market debate
Differential with emoji indicator:
📈 = Bull advantage (>0.2)
➡️ = Balanced (-0.2 to 0.2)
📉 = Bear advantage (<-0.2)
Last Signal Metrics Section (New Feature)
When a signal fires, this section captures and displays:
Signal type (BULL or BEAR)
Bars elapsed since signal
Confidence % at time of signal
TCS value at signal time
DMA value at signal time
Purpose : Provides a historical reference for learning. You can see what the market state looked like when the last signal fired, helping you correlate outcomes with conditions.
Statistics Section
Total Signals : Lifetime count across session
Blocked Signals : Count and percentage (filter effectiveness metric)
Bull Signals : Total bullish divergences
Bear Signals : Total bearish divergences
Purpose : System health monitoring. If blocked % is very high (>60%), filters may be too strict. If very low (<10%), filters may be too loose.
Advisory Annotations
When CAE Mode = Advisory, this section displays warnings for signals that would be blocked in Filtering mode:
Examples:
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars"
"Bear: strong uptrend (TCS=0.87)"
"Adversarial bearish"
"Low confidence 32%"
Multiple warnings can stack, separated by " | ". This teaches you CAE's decision logic transparently.
How to Use BZ-CAE — Complete Workflow
Phase 1: Initial Setup (First Session)
Apply BZ-CAE to your chart
Select your preferred Visual Theme (Cyberpunk recommended for visibility)
Set Signal Timing to "Confirmed (lookforward)" for learning
Choose your Oscillator Type (RSI recommended for general use, length 14)
Set Overbought/Oversold to 70/30 (standard)
Enable both Regular Divergence and Hidden Divergence
Set Pivot Lookback/Lookforward to 5/5 (balanced structure)
Enable CAE Intelligence
Set CAE Mode to "Advisory" (learning mode)
Enable all three CAE filters: Strong Trend Filter , Adversarial Validation , Confidence Gating
Enable Show Dashboard , position Top Right, size Normal
Enable Draw Bifurcation Zones and Adversarial Bar Coloring
Phase 2: Learning Period (Weeks 1-2)
Goal : Understand how CAE evaluates market state and filters signals.
Activities :
Watch the dashboard during signals :
Note TCS values when counter-trend signals fail — this teaches you the trend strength threshold for your instrument
Observe exhaustion patterns at actual turning points — learn when overextension truly matters
Study adversarial differential at signal times — see when opposing cases dominate
Review blocked signals (orange X-crosses):
In Advisory mode, you see everything — signals that would pass AND signals that would be blocked
Check the advisory annotations to understand why CAE would block
Track outcomes: Were the blocks correct? Did those signals fail?
Use Last Signal Metrics :
After each signal, check the dashboard capture of confidence, TCS, and DMA
Journal these values alongside trade outcomes
Identify patterns: Do confidence >0.70 signals work better? Does your instrument respect TCS >0.85?
Understand your instrument's "personality" :
Trending instruments (indices, major forex) may need TCS threshold 0.85-0.90
Choppy instruments (low-cap stocks, exotic pairs) may work best with TCS 0.70-0.75
High-volatility instruments (crypto) may need wider spacing
Low-volatility instruments may need tighter spacing
Phase 3: Calibration (Weeks 3-4)
Goal : Optimize settings for your specific instrument, timeframe, and style.
Calibration Checklist :
Min Confidence Threshold :
Review confidence distribution in your signal journal
Identify the confidence level below which signals consistently fail
Set min_confidence slightly above that level
Day trading : 0.35-0.45
Swing trading : 0.40-0.55
Scalping : 0.30-0.40
TCS Threshold :
Find the TCS level where counter-trend signals consistently get stopped out
Set tcs_threshold at or slightly below that level
Trending instruments : 0.85-0.90
Mixed instruments : 0.80-0.85
Choppy instruments : 0.75-0.80
Exhaustion Override Level :
Identify exhaustion readings that marked genuine reversals
Set exhaustion_required just below the average
Typical range : 0.45-0.55
Adversarial Threshold :
Default 0.10 works for most instruments
If you find CAE is too conservative (blocking good trades), raise to 0.15-0.20
If signals are still getting caught in opposing momentum, lower to 0.07-0.09
Spacing Parameters :
Count bars between quality signals in your journal
Set min bars ANY to ~60% of that average
Set min bars SAME-SIDE to ~120% of that average
Scalping : Any 6-10, Same 12-20
Day trading : Any 12, Same 24
Swing : Any 20-30, Same 40-60
Oscillator Selection :
Try different oscillators for 1-2 weeks each
Track win rate and average winner/loser by oscillator type
RSI : Best for general use, clear OB/OS
Stochastic : Best for range-bound, mean reversion
MFI : Best for volume-driven markets
CCI : Best for cyclical instruments
Williams %R : Best for reversal detection
Phase 4: Live Deployment
Goal : Disciplined execution with proven, calibrated system.
Settings Changes :
Switch CAE Mode from Advisory to Filtering
System now actively blocks low-quality signals
Only setups passing all gates reach your chart
Keep Signal Timing on Confirmed for conservative entries
OR switch to Realtime if you're actively monitoring and want faster entries (accept pre-confirmation repaint risk)
Use your calibrated thresholds from Phase 3
Enable high-confidence alerts: "⭐ High Confidence Bullish/Bearish" (>0.70)
Trading Discipline Rules :
Respect Blocked Signals :
If CAE blocks a trade you wanted to take, TRUST THE SYSTEM
Don't manually override — if you consistently disagree, return to Phase 2/3 calibration
The block exists because market state failed intelligence checks
Confidence-Based Position Sizing :
Confidence >0.70: Standard or increased size (e.g., 1.5-2.0% risk)
Confidence 0.50-0.70: Standard size (e.g., 1.0% risk)
Confidence 0.35-0.50: Reduced size (e.g., 0.5% risk) or skip if conservative
TCS-Based Management :
High TCS + counter-trend signal: Use tight stops, quick exits (you're fading momentum)
Low TCS + reversal signal: Use wider stops, trail aggressively (genuine reversal potential)
Exhaustion Awareness :
Exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading): Market is overextended, reversal risk is elevated — consider early exit or tighter trailing stops even on winning trades
Exhaustion <0.30: Continuation bias — hold for larger move, wide trailing stops
Adversarial Context :
Strong differential against you (e.g., bullish signal with bear diff <-0.2): Use very tight stops, consider skipping
Strong differential with you (e.g., bullish signal with bull diff >0.2): Trail aggressively, this is your tailwind
Practical Settings by Timeframe & Style
Scalping (1-5 Minute Charts)
Objective : High frequency, tight stops, quick reversals in fast-moving markets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or Stochastic (fast response to quick moves)
Length: 9-11 (more responsive than standard 14)
Smoothing: 1 (no lag)
OB/OS: 65/35 (looser thresholds ensure frequent crossings in fast conditions)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 3/3 (tight structure, catch small swings)
Max Lookback: 40-50 bars (recent structure only)
Min Slope Change: 0.8-1.0 (don't be overly strict)
CAE :
Mode: Advisory first (learn), then Filtering
Min Confidence: 0.30-0.35 (lower bar for speed, accept more signals)
TCS Threshold: 0.70-0.75 (allow more counter-trend opportunities)
Exhaustion Required: 0.45-0.50 (moderate override)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (still respect major intraday trends)
Adversarial: ON (critical for scalping protection — catches bad entries quickly)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 6-10 (fast pace, many setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 12-20 (prevent clustering)
Min ATR Distance: 0 or 0.5 (loose)
Timing : Realtime (speed over precision, but understand repaint risk)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny (chart clarity in busy conditions)
Show Zones: Optional (can clutter on low timeframes)
Bar Coloring: ON (helps read momentum shifts quickly)
Dashboard: Small size (corner reference, not main focus)
Key Consideration : Scalping generates noise. Even with CAE, expect lower win rate (45-55%) but aim for favorable R:R (2:1 or better). Size conservatively.
Day Trading (15-Minute to 1-Hour Charts)
Objective : Balance quality and frequency. Standard divergence trading approach.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or MFI (proven reliability, volume confirmation with MFI)
Length: 14 (industry standard, well-studied)
Smoothing: 1-2
OB/OS: 70/30 (classic levels)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 (balanced structure)
Max Lookback: 60 bars
Min Slope Change: 1.0 (standard strictness)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (enforce discipline from the start after brief Advisory learning)
Min Confidence: 0.35-0.45 (quality filter without being too restrictive)
TCS Threshold: 0.80-0.85 (respect strong trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50 (balanced override threshold)
Strong Trend Filter: ON
Adversarial: ON
Confidence Gating: ON (all three filters active)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 12 (breathing room between all setups)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 24 (prevent bull/bear clusters)
Min ATR Distance: 0-1.0 (optional refinement, typically 0.5-1.0)
Timing : Confirmed (1-bar delay for reliability, no repainting)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Tiny or Small
Show Zones: ON (useful reference for exits/re-entries)
Bar Coloring: ON (context awareness)
Dashboard: Normal size (full visibility)
Key Consideration : This is the "sweet spot" timeframe for BZ-CAE. Market structure is clear, CAE has sufficient data, and signal frequency is manageable. Expect 55-65% win rate with proper execution.
Swing Trading (4-Hour to Daily Charts)
Objective : Quality over quantity. High conviction only. Larger stops and targets.
Oscillator :
Type: RSI or CCI (robust on higher timeframes, smooth longer waves)
Length: 14-21 (capture larger momentum swings)
Smoothing: 1-3
OB/OS: 70/30 or 75/25 (strict extremes)
Divergence :
Pivot Lookback/Lookforward: 5/5 or 7/7 (structural purity, major swings only)
Max Lookback: 80-100 bars (broader historical context)
Min Slope Change: 1.2-1.5 (require strong, undeniable divergence)
CAE :
Mode: Filtering (strict enforcement, premium setups only)
Min Confidence: 0.40-0.55 (high bar for entry)
TCS Threshold: 0.85-0.95 (very strong trend protection — don't fade established HTF trends)
Exhaustion Required: 0.50-0.60 (higher bar for override — only extreme exhaustion justifies counter-trend)
Strong Trend Filter: ON (critical on HTF)
Adversarial: ON (avoid obvious bad trades)
Confidence Gating: ON (quality gate essential)
Spacing :
Min Bars ANY: 20-30 (substantial separation)
Min Bars SAME-SIDE: 40-60 (significant breathing room)
Min ATR Distance: 1.0-2.0 (require meaningful price movement)
Timing : Confirmed (purity over speed, zero repaint for swing accuracy)
Visuals :
Signal Size: Small or Normal (clear markers on zoomed-out view)
Show Zones: ON (important HTF levels)
Bar Coloring: ON (long-term trend awareness)
Dashboard: Normal or Large (comprehensive analysis)
Key Consideration : Swing signals are rare but powerful. Expect 2-5 signals per month per instrument. Win rate should be 60-70%+ due to stringent filtering. Position size can be larger given confidence.
Dashboard Interpretation Reference
TCS (Trend Conviction Score) States
0.00-0.50: Weak/Choppy
Emoji: 〰️
Color: Green/cyan
Meaning: No established trend. Range-bound or consolidating. Both reversal and continuation signals viable.
Action: Reversals (regular divs) are safer. Use wider profit targets (market has room to move). Consider mean reversion strategies.
0.50-0.75: Moderate Trend
Emoji: 📊
Color: Yellow/neutral
Meaning: Developing trend but not locked in. Context matters significantly.
Action: Check DMA and exhaustion. If DMA confirms trend and exhaustion is low, favor continuation (hidden divs). If exhaustion is high, reversals are viable.
0.75-0.85: Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥
Color: Orange/warning
Meaning: Well-established trend with persistence. Counter-trend is high risk.
Action: Require exhaustion >0.50 for counter-trend entries. Favor continuation signals. Use tight stops on counter-trend attempts.
0.85-1.00: Very Strong Trend
Emoji: 🔥🔥
Color: Red/danger (if counter-trading)
Meaning: Locked-in institutional trend. Extremely high risk to fade.
Action: Avoid counter-trend unless exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading). Focus exclusively on continuation opportunities. Momentum is king here.
DMA (Directional Momentum Alignment) Zones
-2.0 to -1.0: Strong Bearish Momentum
Emoji: 🐻🐻
Color: Dark red
Meaning: Powerful downside force. Sellers are in control.
Action: Bullish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bearish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on longs.
-0.5 to 0.5: Neutral/Balanced
Emoji: ⚖️
Color: Gray/neutral
Meaning: No strong directional bias. Choppy or consolidating.
Action: Both directions have similar probability. Focus on confidence score and adversarial differential for edge.
1.0 to 2.0: Strong Bullish Momentum
Emoji: 🐂🐂
Color: Bright green/cyan
Meaning: Powerful upside force. Buyers are in control.
Action: Bearish divergences are counter-momentum (high risk). Bullish divergences are with-momentum (lower risk). Size down on shorts.
Exhaustion States
0.00-0.50: Fresh Move
Emoji: ✓
Color: Green
Meaning: Trend is healthy, not overextended. Room to run.
Action: Counter-trend trades are premature. Favor continuation. Hold winners for larger moves. Avoid early exits.
0.50-0.75: Mature Move
Emoji: 🟡
Color: Yellow
Meaning: Move is aging. Watch for signs of climax.
Action: Tighten trailing stops on winning trades. Be ready for reversals. Don't add to positions aggressively.
0.75-0.85: High Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️
Color: Orange
Background: Yellow shading appears
Meaning: Move is overextended. Reversal risk elevated significantly.
Action: Counter-trend reversals are higher probability. Consider early exits on with-trend positions. Size up on reversal divergences (if CAE allows).
0.85-1.00: Critical Exhaustion
Emoji: ⚠️⚠️
Color: Red
Background: Yellow shading intensifies
Meaning: Climax conditions. Reversal imminent or underway.
Action: Aggressive reversal trades justified. Exit all with-trend positions. This is where major turns occur.
Confidence Score Tiers
0.00-0.30: Low Quality
Color: Red
Status: Blocked in Filtering mode
Action: Skip entirely. Setup lacks fundamental quality across multiple factors.
0.30-0.50: Moderate Quality
Color: Yellow/orange
Status: Marginal — passes in Filtering only if >min_confidence
Action: Reduced position size (0.5-0.75% risk). Tight stops. Conservative profit targets. Skip if you're selective.
0.50-0.70: High Quality
Color: Green/cyan
Status: Good setup across most quality factors
Action: Standard position size (1.0-1.5% risk). Normal stops and targets. This is your bread-and-butter trade.
0.70-1.00: Premium Quality
Color: Bright green/gold
Status: Exceptional setup — all factors aligned
Visual: Double confidence ring appears
Action: Consider increased position size (1.5-2.0% risk, maximum). Wider stops. Larger targets. High probability of success. These are rare — capitalize when they appear.
Adversarial Differential Interpretation
Bull Differential > 0.3 :
Visual: Strong cyan/green bar colors
Meaning: Bull case strongly dominates. Buyers have clear advantage.
Action: Bullish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bearish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bullish.
Bull Differential 0.1 to 0.3 :
Visual: Moderate cyan/green transparency
Meaning: Moderate bull advantage. Buyers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward longs.
Differential -0.1 to 0.1 :
Visual: Gray/neutral bars
Meaning: Balanced debate. No clear advantage either side.
Action: Rely on other factors (confidence, TCS, exhaustion) for direction. Adversarial is neutral.
Bear Differential -0.3 to -0.1 :
Visual: Moderate red/magenta transparency
Meaning: Moderate bear advantage. Sellers have edge but not overwhelming.
Action: Both directions viable. Slight bias toward shorts.
Bear Differential < -0.3 :
Visual: Strong red/magenta bar colors
Meaning: Bear case strongly dominates. Sellers have clear advantage.
Action: Bearish divergences favored (with-advantage). Bullish divergences face headwind (reduce size or skip). Momentum is bearish.
Last Signal Metrics — Post-Trade Analysis
After a signal fires, dashboard captures:
Type : BULL or BEAR
Bars Ago : How long since signal (updates every bar)
Confidence : What was the quality score at signal time
TCS : What was trend conviction at signal time
DMA : What was momentum alignment at signal time
Use Case : Post-trade journaling and learning.
Example: "BULL signal 12 bars ago. Confidence: 68%, TCS: 0.42, DMA: -0.85"
Analysis : This was a bullish reversal (regular div) with good confidence, weak trend (TCS), but strong bearish momentum (DMA). The bet was that momentum would reverse — a counter-momentum play requiring exhaustion confirmation. Check if exhaustion was high at that time to justify the entry.
Track patterns:
Do your best trades have confidence >0.65?
Do low-TCS signals (<0.50) work better for you?
Are you more successful with-momentum (DMA aligned with signal) or counter-momentum?
Troubleshooting Guide
Problem: No Signals Appearing
Symptoms : Chart loads, dashboard shows metrics, but no divergence signals fire.
Diagnosis Checklist :
Check dashboard oscillator value : Is it crossing OB/OS levels (70/30)? If oscillator stays in 40-60 range constantly, it can't reach extremes needed for divergence detection.
Are pivots forming? : Look for local swing highs/lows on your chart. If price is in tight consolidation, pivots may not meet lookback/lookforward requirements.
Is spacing too tight? : Check "Last Signal" metrics — how many bars since last signal? If <12 and your min_bars_ANY is 12, spacing filter is blocking.
Is CAE blocking everything? : Check dashboard Statistics section — what's the blocked signal count? High blocks indicate overly strict filters.
Solutions :
Loosen OB/OS Temporarily :
Try 65/35 to verify divergence detection works
If signals appear, the issue was threshold strictness
Gradually tighten back to 67/33, then 70/30 as appropriate
Lower Min Confidence :
Try 0.25-0.30 (diagnostic level)
If signals appear, filter was too strict
Raise gradually to find sweet spot (0.35-0.45 typical)
Disable Strong Trend Filter Temporarily :
Turn off in CAE settings
If signals appear, TCS threshold was blocking everything
Re-enable and lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75
Reduce Min Slope Change :
Try 0.7-0.8 (from default 1.0)
Allows weaker divergences through
Helpful on low-volatility instruments
Widen Spacing :
Set min_bars_ANY to 6-8
Set min_bars_SAME_SIDE to 12-16
Reduces time between allowed signals
Check Timing Mode :
If using Confirmed, remember there's a pivot_lookforward delay (5+ bars)
Switch to Realtime temporarily to verify system is working
Realtime has no delay but repaints
Verify Oscillator Settings :
Length 14 is standard but might not fit all instruments
Try length 9-11 for faster response
Try length 18-21 for slower, smoother response
Problem: Too Many Signals (Signal Spam)
Symptoms : Dashboard shows 50+ signals in Statistics, confidence scores mostly <0.40, signals clustering close together.
Solutions :
Raise Min Confidence :
Try 0.40-0.50 (quality filter)
Blocks bottom-tier setups
Targets top 50-60% of divergences only
Tighten OB/OS :
Use 70/30 or 75/25
Requires more extreme oscillator readings
Reduces false divergences in mid-range
Increase Min Slope Change :
Try 1.2-1.5 (from default 1.0)
Requires stronger, more obvious divergences
Filters marginal slope disagreements
Raise TCS Threshold :
Try 0.85-0.90 (from default 0.80)
Stricter trend filter blocks more counter-trend attempts
Favors only strongest trend alignment
Enable ALL CAE Gates :
Turn on Trend Filter + Adversarial + Confidence
Triple-layer protection
Blocks aggressively — expect 20-40% reduction in signals
Widen Spacing :
min_bars_ANY: 15-20 (from 12)
min_bars_SAME_SIDE: 30-40 (from 24)
Creates substantial breathing room
Switch to Confirmed Timing :
Removes realtime preview noise
Ensures full pivot validation
5-bar delay filters many false starts
Problem: Signals in Strong Trends Get Stopped Out
Symptoms : You take a bullish divergence in a downtrend (or bearish in uptrend), and it immediately fails. Dashboard showed high TCS at the time.
Analysis : This is INTENDED behavior — CAE is protecting you from low-probability counter-trend trades.
Understanding :
Check Last Signal Metrics in dashboard — what was TCS when signal fired?
If TCS was >0.85 and signal was counter-trend, CAE correctly identified it as high risk
Strong trends rarely reverse cleanly without major exhaustion
Your losses here are the system working as designed (blocking bad odds)
If You Want to Override (Not Recommended) :
Lower TCS_threshold to 0.70-0.75 (allows more counter-trend)
Lower exhaustion_required to 0.40 (easier override)
Disable Strong Trend Filter entirely (very risky)
Better Approach :
TRUST THE FILTER — it's preventing costly mistakes
Wait for exhaustion >0.75 (yellow shading) before counter-trending strong TCS
Focus on continuation signals (hidden divs) in high-TCS environments
Use Advisory mode to see what CAE is blocking and learn from outcomes
Problem: Adversarial Blocking Seems Wrong
Symptoms : You see a divergence that "looks good" visually, but CAE blocks with "Adversarial bearish/bullish" warning.
Diagnosis :
Check dashboard Bull Case and Bear Case scores at that moment
Look at Differential value
Check adversarial bar colors — was there strong coloring against your intended direction?
Understanding :
Adversarial catches "obvious" opposing momentum that's easy to miss
Example: Bullish divergence at a local low, BUT price is deeply below EMA50, bearish momentum is strong, and RSI shows knife-catching conditions
Bull Case might be 0.20 while Bear Case is 0.55
Differential = -0.35, far beyond threshold
Block is CORRECT — you'd be fighting overwhelming opposing flow
If You Disagree Consistently
Review blocked signals on chart — scroll back and check outcomes
Did those blocked signals actually work, or did they fail as adversarial predicted?
Raise adv_threshold to 0.15-0.20 (more permissive, allows closer battles)
Disable Adversarial Validation temporarily (diagnostic) to isolate its effect
Use Advisory mode to learn adversarial patterns over 50-100 signals
Remember : Adversarial is conservative BY DESIGN. It prevents "obvious" bad trades where you're fighting strong strength the other way.
Problem: Dashboard Not Showing or Incomplete
Solutions :
Toggle "Show Dashboard" to ON in settings
Try different dashboard sizes (Small/Normal/Large)
Try different positions (Top Left/Right, Bottom Left/Right) — might be off-screen
Some sections require CAE Enable = ON (Cognitive Engine section won't appear if CAE is disabled)
Statistics section requires at least 1 lifetime signal to populate
Check that visual theme is set (dashboard colors adapt to theme)
Problem: Performance Lag, Chart Freezing
Symptoms : Chart loading is slow, indicator calculations cause delays, pinch-to-zoom lags.
Diagnosis : Visual features are computationally expensive, especially adversarial bar coloring (recalculates every bar).
Solutions (In Order of Impact) :
Disable Adversarial Bar Coloring (MOST EXPENSIVE):
Turn OFF "Adversarial Bar Coloring" in settings
This is the single biggest performance drain
Immediate improvement
Reduce Vertical Lines :
Lower "Keep last N vertical lines" to 20-30
Or set to 0 to disable entirely
Moderate improvement
Disable Bifurcation Zones :
Turn OFF "Draw Bifurcation Zones"
Reduces box drawing calculations
Moderate improvement
Set Dashboard Size to Small :
Smaller dashboard = fewer cells = less rendering
Minor improvement
Use Shorter Max Lookback :
Reduce max_lookback to 40-50 (from 60+)
Fewer bars to scan for divergences
Minor improvement
Disable Exhaustion Shading :
Turn OFF "Show Market State"
Removes background coloring calculations
Minor improvement
Extreme Performance Mode :
Disable ALL visual enhancements
Keep only triangle markers
Dashboard Small or OFF
Use Minimal theme if available
Problem: Realtime Signals Repainting
Symptoms : You see a signal appear, but on next bar it disappears or moves.
Explanation :
Realtime mode detects peaks 1 bar ago: high > high AND high > high
On the FORMING bar (before close), this condition can change as new prices arrive
Example: At 10:05, high (10:04 bar) was 100, current high is 99 → peak detected
At 10:05:30, new high of 101 arrives → peak condition breaks → signal disappears
At 10:06 (bar close), final high is 101 → no peak at 10:04 anymore → signal gone permanently
This is expected behavior for realtime responsiveness. You get preview/early warning, but it's not locked until bar confirms.
Solutions :
Use Confirmed Timing :
Switch to "Confirmed (lookforward)" mode
ZERO repainting — pivot must be fully validated
5-bar delay (pivot_lookforward)
What you see in history is exactly what would have appeared live
Accept Realtime Repaint as Tradeoff :
Keep Realtime mode for speed and alerts
Understand that pre-confirmation signals may vanish
Only trade signals that CONFIRM at bar close (check barstate.isconfirmed)
Use for live monitoring, NOT for backtesting
Trade Only After Confirmation :
In Realtime mode, wait 1 full bar after signal appears before entering
If signal survives that bar close, it's locked
This adds 1-bar delay but removes repaint risk
Recommendation : Use Confirmed for backtesting and conservative trading. Use Realtime only for active monitoring with full understanding of preview behavior.
Risk Management Integration
BZ-CAE is a signal generation system, not a complete trading strategy. You must integrate proper risk management:
Position Sizing by Confidence
Confidence 0.70-1.00 (Premium) :
Risk: 1.5-2.0% of account (MAXIMUM)
Reasoning: High-quality setup across all factors
Still cap at 2% — even premium setups can fail
Confidence 0.50-0.70 (High Quality) :
Risk: 1.0-1.5% of account
Reasoning: Standard good setup
Your bread-and-butter risk level
Confidence 0.35-0.50 (Moderate Quality) :
Risk: 0.5-1.0% of account
Reasoning: Marginal setup, passes minimum threshold
Reduce size or skip if you're selective
Confidence <0.35 (Low Quality) :
Risk: 0% (blocked in Filtering mode)
Reasoning: Insufficient quality factors
System protects you by not showing these
Stop Placement Strategies
For Reversal Signals (Regular Divergences) :
Place stop beyond the divergence pivot plus buffer
Bullish : Stop below the divergence low - 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Bearish : Stop above the divergence high + 1.0-1.5 × ATR
Reasoning: If price breaks the pivot, divergence structure is invalidated
For Continuation Signals (Hidden Divergences) :
Place stop beyond recent swing in opposite direction
Bullish continuation : Stop below recent swing low (not the divergence pivot itself)
Bearish continuation : Stop above recent swing high
Reasoning: You're trading with trend, allow more breathing room
ATR-Based Stops :
1.5-2.0 × ATR is standard
Scale by timeframe:
Scalping (1-5m): 1.0-1.5 × ATR (tight)
Day trading (15m-1H): 1.5-2.0 × ATR (balanced)
Swing (4H-D): 2.0-3.0 × ATR (wide)
Never Use Fixed Dollar/Pip Stops :
Markets have different volatility
50-pip stop on EUR/USD ≠ 50-pip stop on GBP/JPY
Always normalize by ATR or pivot structure
Profit Targets and Scaling
Primary Target :
2-3 × ATR from entry (minimum 2:1 reward-risk)
Example : Entry at 100, ATR = 2, stop at 97 (1.5 × ATR) → target at 106 (3 × ATR) = 2:1 R:R
Scaling Out Strategy :
Take 50% off at 1.5 × ATR (secure partial profit)
Move stop to breakeven
Trail remaining 50% with 1.0 × ATR trailing stop
Let winners run if trend persists
Targets by Confidence :
High Confidence (>0.70) : Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR), trail wider (1.5 × ATR)
Standard Confidence (0.50-0.70) : Normal targets (2-3 × ATR), standard trail (1.0 × ATR)
Low Confidence (0.35-0.50) : Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR), tight trail (0.75 × ATR)
Use Bifurcation Zones :
If opposite-side zone is visible on chart (from previous signal), use it as target
Example : Bullish signal at 100, prior supply zone at 110 → use 110 as target
Zones mark institutional resistance/support
Exhaustion-Based Exits :
If you're in a trade and exhaustion >0.75 develops (yellow shading), consider early exit
Market is overextended — reversal risk is high
Take profit even if target not reached
Trade Management by TCS
High TCS + Counter-Trend Trade (Risky) :
Use very tight stops (1.0-1.5 × ATR)
Conservative targets (1.5-2 × ATR)
Quick exit if trade doesn't work immediately
You're fading momentum — respect it
Low TCS + Reversal Trade (Safer) :
Use wider stops (2.0-2.5 × ATR)
Aggressive targets (3-4 × ATR)
Trail with patience
Genuine reversal potential in weak trend
High TCS + Continuation Trade (Safest) :
Standard stops (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
Very aggressive targets (4-5 × ATR)
Trail wide (1.5-2.0 × ATR)
You're with institutional momentum — let it run
Educational Value — Learning Machine Intelligence
BZ-CAE is designed as a learning platform, not just a tool:
Advisory Mode as Teacher
Most indicators are binary: signal or no signal. You don't learn WHY certain setups are better.
BZ-CAE's Advisory mode shows you EVERY potential divergence, then annotates the ones that would be blocked in Filtering mode with specific reasons:
"Bull: strong downtrend (TCS=0.87)" teaches you that TCS >0.85 makes counter-trend very risky
"Adversarial bearish" teaches you that the opposing case was dominating
"Low confidence 32%" teaches you that the setup lacked quality across multiple factors
"Bull spacing: wait 8 bars" teaches you that signals need breathing room
After 50-100 signals in Advisory mode, you internalize the CAE's decision logic. You start seeing these factors yourself BEFORE the indicator does.
Dashboard Transparency
Most "intelligent" indicators are black boxes — you don't know how they make decisions.
BZ-CAE shows you ALL metrics in real-time:
TCS tells you trend strength
DMA tells you momentum alignment
Exhaustion tells you overextension
Adversarial shows both sides of the debate
Confidence shows composite quality
You learn to interpret market state holistically, a skill applicable to ANY trading system beyond this indicator.
Divergence Quality Education
Not all divergences are equal. BZ-CAE teaches you which conditions produce high-probability setups:
Quality divergence : Regular bullish div at a low, TCS <0.50 (weak trend), exhaustion >0.75 (overextended), positive adversarial differential, confidence >0.70
Low-quality divergence : Regular bearish div at a high, TCS >0.85 (strong uptrend), exhaustion <0.30 (not overextended), negative adversarial differential, confidence <0.40
After using the system, you can evaluate divergences manually with similar intelligence.
Risk Management Discipline
Confidence-based position sizing teaches you to adjust risk based on setup quality, not emotions:
Beginners often size all trades identically
Or worse, size UP on marginal setups to "make up" for losses
BZ-CAE forces systematic sizing: premium setups get larger size, marginal setups get smaller size
This creates a probabilistic approach where your edge compounds over time.
What This Indicator Is NOT
Complete transparency about limitations and positioning:
Not a Prediction System
BZ-CAE does not predict future prices. It identifies structural divergences (price-momentum disagreements) and assesses current market state (trend, exhaustion, adversarial conditions). It tells you WHEN conditions favor a potential reversal or continuation, not WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
Markets are probabilistic. Even premium-confidence setups fail ~30-40% of the time. The system improves your probability distribution over many trades — it doesn't eliminate risk.
Not Fully Automated
This is a decision support tool, not a trading robot. You must:
Execute trades manually based on signals
Manage positions (stops, targets, trailing)
Apply discretionary judgment (news events, liquidity, context)
Integrate with your broader strategy and risk rules
The confidence scores guide position sizing, but YOU determine final risk allocation based on your account size, risk tolerance, and portfolio context.
Not Beginner-Friendly
BZ-CAE requires understanding of:
Divergence trading concepts (regular vs hidden, reversal vs continuation)
Market state interpretation (trend vs range, momentum, exhaustion)
Basic technical analysis (pivots, support/resistance, EMAs)
Risk management fundamentals (position sizing, stops, R:R)
This is designed for intermediate to advanced traders willing to invest time learning the system. If you want "buy the arrow" simplicity, this isn't the tool.
Not a Holy Grail
There is no perfect indicator. BZ-CAE filters noise and improves signal quality significantly, but:
Losing trades are inevitable (even at 70% win rate, 30% still fail)
Market conditions change rapidly (yesterday's strong trend becomes today's chop)
Black swan events occur (fundamentals override technicals)
Execution matters (slippage, fees, emotional discipline)
The system provides an EDGE, not a guarantee. Your job is to execute that edge consistently with proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool. All trading decisions are your responsibility. Past performance (backtested or live) does not guarantee future results. Only risk capital you can afford to lose. Consult a licensed financial advisor for investment advice specific to your situation.
Ideal Market Conditions
Best Performance Characteristics
Liquid Instruments :
Major forex pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY)
Large-cap stocks and index ETFs (SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT)
High-volume crypto (BTC, ETH)
Major commodities (Gold, Oil, Natural Gas)
Reasoning: Clean price structure, clear pivots, meaningful oscillator behavior
Trending with Consolidations :
Markets that trend for 20-40 bars, then consolidate 10-20 bars, repeat
Creates divergences at consolidation boundaries (reversals) and within trends (continuations)
Both regular and hidden divs find opportunities
5-Minute to Daily Timeframes :
Below 5m: too much noise, false pivots, CAE metrics unstable
Above daily: too few signals, edge diminishes (fundamentals dominate)
Sweet spot: 15m to 4H for most traders
Consistent Volume and Participation :
Regular trading sessions (not holidays or thin markets)
Predictable volatility patterns
Avoid instruments with sudden gaps or circuit breakers
Challenging Conditions
Extremely Low Liquidity :
Penny stocks, exotic forex pairs, low-volume crypto
Erratic pivots, unreliable oscillator readings
CAE metrics can't assess market state properly
Very Low Timeframes (1-Minute or Below) :
Dominated by market microstructure noise
Divergences are everywhere but meaningless
CAE filtering helps but still unreliable
Extended Sideways Consolidation :
100+ bars of tight range with no clear pivots
Oscillator hugs midpoint (45-55 range)
No divergences to detect
Fundamentally-Driven Gap Markets :
Earnings releases, economic data, geopolitical events
Price gaps over stops and targets
Technical structure breaks down
Recommendation: Disable trading around known events
Calculation Methodology — Technical Depth
For users who want to understand the math:
Oscillator Computation
Each oscillator type calculates differently, but all normalize to 0-100:
RSI : ta.rsi(close, length) — Standard Relative Strength Index
Stochastic : ta.stoch(high, low, close, length) — %K calculation
CCI : (ta.cci(hlc3, length) + 100) / 2 — Normalized from -100/+100 to 0-100
MFI : ta.mfi(hlc3, length) — Volume-weighted RSI equivalent
Williams %R : ta.wpr(length) + 100 — Inverted stochastic adjusted to 0-100
Smoothing: If smoothing > 1, apply ta.sma(oscillator, smoothing)
Divergence Detection Algorithm
Identify Pivots :
Price high pivot: ta.pivothigh(high, lookback, lookforward)
Price low pivot: ta.pivotlow(low, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator high pivot: ta.pivothigh(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Oscillator low pivot: ta.pivotlow(osc, lookback, lookforward)
Store Recent Pivots :
Maintain arrays of last 10 pivots with bar indices
When new pivot confirmed, unshift to array, pop oldest if >10
Scan for Slope Disagreements :
Loop through last 5 pivots
For each pair (current pivot, historical pivot):
Check if within max_lookback bars
Calculate slopes: (current - historical) / bars_between
Regular bearish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Regular bullish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Hidden bearish: price_slope < 0, osc_slope > 0, osc_slope > min_threshold
Hidden bullish: price_slope > 0, osc_slope < 0, |osc_slope| > min_threshold
Important Disclaimers and Terms
Performance Disclosure
Past performance, whether backtested or live-traded, does not guarantee future results. Markets change. What works today may not work tomorrow. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading.
Risk of Loss
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Only trade with risk capital you can afford to lose entirely. The high degree of leverage often available in trading can work against you as well as for you. Leveraged trading may result in losses exceeding your initial deposit.
Not Financial Advice
BZ-CAE is an educational and analytical tool for technical analysis. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. All trading decisions are your sole responsibility. Consult a licensed financial advisor for advice specific to your circumstances.
Technical Indicator Limitations
BZ-CAE is a technical analysis tool based on price and volume data. It does not account for:
Fundamental analysis (earnings, economic data, financial health)
Market sentiment and positioning
Geopolitical events and news
Liquidity conditions and market microstructure changes
Regulatory changes or exchange rules
Integrate with broader analysis and strategy. Do not rely solely on technical indicators for trading decisions.
Repainting Acknowledgment
As disclosed throughout this documentation:
Realtime mode may repaint on forming bars before confirmation (by design for preview functionality)
Confirmed mode has zero repainting (fully validated pivots only)
Choose timing mode appropriate for your use case. Understand the tradeoffs.
Testing Recommendation
ALWAYS test on demo/paper accounts before committing real capital. Validate the indicator's behavior on your specific instruments and timeframes. Learn the system thoroughly in Advisory mode before using Filtering mode.
Learning Resources :
In-indicator tooltips (hover over setting names for detailed explanations)
This comprehensive publishing statement (save for reference)
User guide in script comments (top of code)
Final Word — Philosophy of BZ-CAE
BZ-CAE is not designed to replace your judgment — it's designed to enhance it.
The indicator identifies structural inflection points (bifurcations) where price and momentum disagree. The Cognitive Engine evaluates market state to determine if this disagreement is meaningful or noise. The Adversarial model debates both sides of the trade to catch obvious bad setups. The Confidence system ranks quality so you can choose your risk appetite.
But YOU still execute. YOU still manage risk. YOU still learn from outcomes.
This is intelligence amplification, not intelligence replacement.
Use Advisory mode to learn how expert traders evaluate market state. Use Filtering mode to enforce discipline when emotions run high. Use the dashboard to develop a systematic approach to reading markets. Use confidence scores to size positions probabilistically.
The system provides an edge. Your job is to execute that edge with discipline, patience, and proper risk management over hundreds of trades.
Markets are probabilistic. No system wins every trade. But a systematic edge + disciplined execution + proper risk management compounds over time. That's the path to consistent profitability. BZ-CAE gives you the edge. The discipline and risk management are on you.
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Hash Momentum IndicatorHash Momentum Indicator
Overview
The Hash Momentum Indicator provides real-time momentum-based trading signals with visual entry/exit markers and automatic risk management levels. This is the indicator version of the popular Hash Momentum Strategy, designed for traders who want signal alerts without backtesting functionality.
Perfect for: Live trading, automation via alerts, multi-indicator setups, and clean chart visualization.
What Makes This Indicator Special
1. Pure Momentum-Based Signals
Captures price acceleration in real-time - not lagging moving average crossovers. Enters when momentum exceeds a dynamic ATR-based threshold, catching moves as they begin accelerating.
2. Automatic Risk Management Visualization
Every signal automatically displays:
Entry level (white dashed line)
Stop loss level (red line)
Take profit target (green line)
Partial TP levels (dotted green lines)
3. Smart Trade Management
Trade Cooldown: Prevents overtrading by enforcing waiting period between signals
EMA Trend Filter: Only trades with the trend (optional)
Session Filters: Trade only during Tokyo/London/New York sessions (optional)
Weekend Toggle: Avoid low-liquidity weekend periods (optional)
4. Clean Visual Design
🟢 Tiny green dot = Long entry signal
🔴 Tiny red dot = Short entry signal
🔵 Blue X = Long exit
🟠 Orange X = Short exit
No cluttered labels or dashboard - just clean signals
5. Professional Alerts Ready
Set up TradingView alerts for:
Long signals
Short signals
Long exits
Short exits
How It Works
Step 1: Calculate Momentum
Momentum = Current Price - Price
Normalized by standard deviation for consistency
Must exceed ATR × Threshold to trigger
Step 2: Confirm Acceleration
Momentum must be increasing (positive momentum change)
Price must be moving in signal direction
Step 3: Apply Filters
EMA Filter: Long only above EMA, short only below EMA (if enabled)
Session Filter: Check if in allowed trading session (if enabled)
Weekend Filter: Block signals on Sat/Sun (if enabled)
Cooldown: Ensure minimum bars passed since last signal
Step 4: Generate Signal
All conditions met = Entry signal fires
Lines automatically drawn for entry, stop, and targets
Step 5: Exit Detection
Opposite momentum detected = Exit signal
Stop loss or take profit hit = Exit signal
Lines removed from chart
⚙️ Settings Guide
Core Strategy
Momentum Length (Default: 13)
Number of bars for momentum calculation. Higher values = stronger signals but fewer trades.
Aggressive: 10
Balanced: 13
Conservative: 18-24
Momentum Threshold (Default: 2.25)
ATR multiplier for signal generation. Higher values = only trade the biggest momentum moves.
Aggressive: 2.0
Balanced: 2.25
Conservative: 2.5-3.0
Risk:Reward Ratio (Default: 2.5)
Your target profit as a multiple of your risk. With 2.2% stop and 2.5 R:R, your target is 5.5% profit.
Conservative: 3.0+ (need 25% win rate to profit)
Balanced: 2.5 (need 29% win rate to profit)
Aggressive: 2.0 (need 33% win rate to profit)
