Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) ICT [TradingFinder] Hidden FVG OTE🔵 Introduction
The Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is distinctive due to its unique three-candlestick formation, which differentiates it from conventional Fair Value Gaps.
Implied fair value represents an estimated worth of an asset—often a business or its goodwill—based on the price likely to be received in a structured transaction between market participants at a specific point in time.
In the ever-evolving world of technical analysis, pinpointing price reversal points and market anomalies can significantly enhance trading strategies and decision-making for traders and investors. Among the advanced concepts gaining traction in this field is the Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG), introduced by the renowned analyst Inner Circle Trader (ICT).
This tool has proven to be an effective method for identifying hidden supply and demand zones in financial markets, offering a unique edge to traders looking for high-probability setups.
Unlike traditional gaps that are visible on price charts, IFVG is a hidden gap that doesn’t appear explicitly on the chart and thus requires specialized technical analysis tools for accurate identification.
This hidden gap can signal potential price reversals and offers traders insight into high-liquidity areas where price is likely to react. This article will guide you through using the ICT Implied Fair Value Gap Indicator effectively, covering its settings, usage strategies, and key features to help you make informed decisions in the market.
🟣 Bullish Implied FVG
🟣 Bearish Implied FVG
🔵 How to Use
The IFVG indicator is designed to assist traders in recognizing hidden support and resistance zones by identifying Bullish and Bearish IFVG patterns. With this tool, traders can make better-informed decisions about suitable entry and exit points for their trades based on these patterns.
🟣 Bullish Implied Fair Value Gap
This pattern occurs in an uptrend when a large bullish candlestick forms, with the wicks of the previous and following candles overlapping the body of the central candlestick.
This overlap creates a demand zone or a hidden support level, which can act as an ideal entry point for buy trades. Often, when the price returns to this area, it is likely to resume its upward trend, presenting a profitable buying opportunity.
🟣 Bearish Implied Fair Value Gap
This pattern is similar but forms in downtrends. Here, a large bearish candlestick appears on the chart, with the wicks of adjacent candles overlapping its body. This overlap defines a supply zone or a hidden resistance level and serves as a signal for potential sell trades.
When the price returns to this zone, it often continues its downward trend, providing an optimal point for entering sell trades.
The IFVG indicator also includes various filters that traders can use to refine their analysis based on market conditions. These filters, including Very Aggressive, Aggressive, Defensive, and Very Defensive, allow users to customize the IFVG zones' width, offering flexibility according to the trader’s risk tolerance and trading style.
🟣 Example Trading Scenarios
Suppose you’re in a strong uptrend and the IFVG indicator identifies a Bullish IFVG zone. In this scenario, you could consider entering a buy trade when the price retraces to this zone, expecting the uptrend to resume. Conversely, in a downtrend, a Bearish IFVG zone can signal a favorable entry point for short trades when the price revisits this area.
🔵 Settings
Implied Block Validity Period: This parameter specifies the validity period of each identified block, taking into account the number of bars that have passed since its formation. Proper adjustment of this period helps traders focus only on relevant zones, increasing the accuracy of the analysis.
Mitigation Level OB : This option defines the mitigation level for supply and demand blocks (Order Blocks), with settings including Proximal, 50% OB, and Distal.
Depending on the selected level, the indicator will focus on closer, mid-range, or farther points for block identification, allowing traders to adjust for the level of precision required.
Implied Filter : Activating this filter allows traders to apply conditions based on the width of the IFVG zones. With options like Very Aggressive and Very Defensive, traders can control the width of IFVG zones to suit their risk management strategy—whether they prefer high-risk setups or low-risk setups.
Display and Color Settings : This section enables users to customize the appearance of the IFVG zones on their charts. Traders can set different colors for Bullish and Bearish zones, allowing for easier distinction and improved visualization.
Alert Settings : One of the standout features of the IFVG indicator is the alert system. By setting up alerts, users can be notified whenever the price approaches a demand or supply zone.
Alerts can be customized to trigger Once Per Bar (one alert per bar) or Per Bar Close (alert at the close of each bar), ensuring that traders stay updated on critical price movements without needing to monitor the chart continuously.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) indicator is a powerful and sophisticated tool in technical analysis, allowing professional traders to identify hidden supply and demand zones and use them as entry and exit points for buy and sell trades.
This indicator’s automatic detection of IFVG zones helps traders uncover hidden trading opportunities that can enhance their analysis.
While the IFVG indicator offers numerous advantages, it is important to use it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and sound risk management practices.
IFVG alone does not guarantee profitability in trading; it works best when combined with other indicators such as volume analysis and trend-following indicators for a comprehensive trading strategy.
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The Most Powerful TQQQ EMA Crossover Trend Trading StrategyTQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy Indicator
Meta Title: TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy - Enhance Your Trading with Effective Signals
Meta Description: Discover the TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy, designed to optimize trading decisions with fast and slow EMA crossovers. Learn how to effectively use this powerful indicator for better trading results.
Key Features
The TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy is a powerful trading tool that utilizes Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential entry and exit points in the market. Key features of this indicator include:
**Fast and Slow EMAs:** The strategy incorporates two EMAs, allowing traders to capture short-term trends while filtering out market noise.
**Entry and Exit Signals:** Automated signals for entering and exiting trades based on EMA crossovers, enhancing decision-making efficiency.
**Customizable Parameters:** Users can adjust the lengths of the EMAs, as well as take profit and stop loss multipliers, tailoring the strategy to their trading style.
**Visual Indicators:** Clear visual plots of the EMAs and exit points on the chart for easy interpretation.
How It Works
The TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy operates by calculating two EMAs: a fast EMA (default length of 20) and a slow EMA (default length of 50). The core concept is based on the crossover of these two moving averages:
- When the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, it generates a *buy signal*, indicating a potential upward trend.
- Conversely, when the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, it produces a *sell signal*, suggesting a potential downward trend.
This method allows traders to capitalize on momentum shifts in the market, providing timely signals for trade execution.
Trading Ideas and Insights
Traders can leverage the TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy in various market conditions. Here are some insights:
**Scalping Opportunities:** The strategy is particularly effective for scalping in volatile markets, allowing traders to make quick profits on small price movements.
**Swing Trading:** Longer-term traders can use this strategy to identify significant trend reversals and capitalize on larger price swings.
**Risk Management:** By incorporating customizable stop loss and take profit levels, traders can manage their risk effectively while maximizing potential returns.
How Multiple Indicators Work Together
While this strategy primarily relies on EMAs, it can be enhanced by integrating additional indicators such as:
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** To confirm overbought or oversold conditions before entering trades.
- **Volume Indicators:** To validate breakout signals, ensuring that price movements are supported by sufficient trading volume.
Combining these indicators provides a more comprehensive view of market dynamics, increasing the reliability of trade signals generated by the EMA crossover.
Unique Aspects
What sets this indicator apart is its simplicity combined with effectiveness. The reliance on EMAs allows for smoother signals compared to traditional moving averages, reducing false signals often associated with choppy price action. Additionally, the ability to customize parameters ensures that traders can adapt the strategy to fit their unique trading styles and risk tolerance.
How to Use
To effectively utilize the TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy:
1. **Add the Indicator:** Load the script onto your TradingView chart.
2. **Set Parameters:** Adjust the fast and slow EMA lengths according to your trading preferences.
3. **Monitor Signals:** Watch for crossover points; enter trades based on buy/sell signals generated by the indicator.
4. **Implement Risk Management:** Set your stop loss and take profit levels using the provided multipliers.
Regularly review your trading performance and adjust parameters as necessary to optimize results.
Customization
The TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy allows for extensive customization:
- **EMA Lengths:** Change the default lengths of both fast and slow EMAs to suit different time frames or market conditions.
- **Take Profit/Stop Loss Multipliers:** Adjust these values to align with your risk management strategy. For instance, increasing the take profit multiplier may yield larger gains but could also increase exposure to market fluctuations.
This flexibility makes it suitable for various trading styles, from aggressive scalpers to conservative swing traders.
Conclusion
The TQQQ EMA Crossover Strategy is an effective tool for traders seeking an edge in their trading endeavors. By utilizing fast and slow EMAs, this indicator provides clear entry and exit signals while allowing for customization to fit individual trading strategies. Whether you are a scalper looking for quick profits or a swing trader aiming for larger moves, this indicator offers valuable insights into market trends.
Incorporate it into your TradingView toolkit today and elevate your trading performance!
Bullish B's - RSI Divergence StrategyThis indicator strategy is an RSI (Relative Strength Index) divergence trading tool designed to identify high-probability entry and exit points based on trend shifts. It utilizes both regular and hidden RSI divergence patterns to spot potential reversals, with signals for both bullish and bearish conditions.
Key Features
Divergence Detection:
Bullish Divergence: Signals when RSI indicates momentum strengthening at a lower price level, suggesting a reversal to the upside.
Bearish Divergence: Signals when RSI shows weakening momentum at a higher price level, indicating a potential downside reversal.
Hidden Divergences: Looks for hidden bullish and bearish divergences, which signal trend continuation points where price action aligns with the prevailing trend.
Volume-Adjusted Entry Signals:
The strategy enters long trades when RSI shows bullish or hidden bullish divergence, indicating an upward momentum shift.
An optional volume filter ensures that only high-volume, high-conviction trades trigger a signal.
Exit Signals:
Exits long positions when RSI reaches a customizable overbought level, typically indicating a potential reversal or profit-taking opportunity.
Also closes positions if bearish divergence signals appear after a bullish setup, providing protection against trend reversals.
Trailing Stop-Loss:
Uses a trailing stop mechanism based on ATR (Average True Range) or a percentage threshold to lock in profits as the price moves in favor of the trade.
Alerts and Custom Notifications:
Integrated with TradingView alerts to notify the user when entry and exit conditions are met, supporting timely decision-making without constant monitoring.
Customizable Parameters:
Users can adjust the RSI period, pivot lookback range, overbought level, trailing stop type (ATR or percentage), and divergence range to fit their trading style.
Ideal Usage
This strategy is well-suited for trend traders and swing traders looking to capture reversals and trend continuations on medium to long timeframes. The divergence signals, paired with trailing stops and volume validation, make it adaptable for multiple asset classes, including stocks, forex, and crypto.
Summary
With its focus on RSI divergence, trailing stop-loss management, and volume filtering, this strategy aims to identify and capture trend changes with minimized risk. This allows traders to efficiently capture profitable moves and manage open positions with precision.
This Strategy BEST works with GLD!
Reversed Choppiness Index with Donchian Channels and SMAIn the chaotic world of trading, where every tick can lead to joy or despair, traders yearn for clarity amid the noise. They crave a mechanism that not only reveals the underlying market trends but also navigates the turbulent waters of volatility with grace. Enter the Reversed Choppiness Index with Donchian Channels and SMA Smoothing—a sophisticated tool crafted for those who refuse to be swayed by the whims of market noise.
This innovative script harnesses the power of the Choppiness Index, flipping it on its head to unveil the true direction of price movement. Choppiness, in its traditional form, indicates when the market is stuck in a sideways range, characterized by erratic price movements that can leave traders bewildered. High choppiness often signals confusion in the market, where prices oscillate without a clear trend, leading to potential losses. Conversely, low choppiness suggests a trending market, whether bullish or bearish, where trades can yield consistent profits. By reversing the Choppiness Index, this tool highlights lower choppiness levels as opportunities for selling when the market shows stability and momentum—perfect for traders looking to enter or exit positions with confidence.
The Donchian Channels serve as reliable markers, defining the boundaries of price action and helping to paint a clearer picture of market dynamics. Traders should look for breakouts from these channels, which may indicate a significant shift in momentum. When the Reversed Choppiness Index trends lower while price breaks above the upper Donchian Band, it may signal a strong buying opportunity, while a rise in choppiness alongside price dipping below the lower band can indicate a potential selling point.
But that's not all—this tool features a dual-layer of smoothing through two distinct Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The first SMA gently caresses the Reversed Choppiness Index, softening its edges to reveal the underlying trends. The second SMA adds an extra layer of finesse, ensuring traders can spot significant changes with less noise interference.
In a landscape filled with fleeting opportunities and unpredictable swings, this script stands as a beacon of stability. It allows traders to focus on what truly matters—seizing profitable moments without getting caught in the crossfire of volatility. By understanding the dynamics of choppiness through this reversed lens, traders can more effectively navigate their strategies, capitalizing on clearer signals while avoiding the pitfalls of market noise. Embrace this tool and transform the way you trade; the market's whispers will no longer drown out your strategies, paving the way for informed decisions and greater success.
The Pattern-Synced Moving Average System (PSMA)Description:
The Pattern-Synced Moving Average System (PSMA) is a comprehensive trading indicator that combines the reliability of moving averages with automated candlestick pattern detection, real-time alerts, and dynamic risk management to enhance both trend-following and reversal strategies. The PSMA system integrates key elements of trend analysis and pattern recognition to provide users with configurable entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. It is designed for all levels of traders who seek to trade in alignment with market context, using signals from trend direction and established candlestick patterns.
Key Functional Components:
Multi-Type Moving Average:
Provides flexibility with multiple moving average options: SMA, EMA, WMA, and SMMA.
The selected moving average helps users determine market trend direction, with price positions relative to the MA acting as a trend confirmation.
Automatic Candlestick Pattern Detection:
Identifies pivotal patterns, including bullish/bearish engulfing and reversal signals.
Helps traders spot potential market turning points and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Configurable Entry, Stop-Loss, and Take-Profit:
Risk management is customizable through risk/reward ratios and risk tolerance settings.
Entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are automatically plotted when patterns appear, facilitating rapid trade decision-making with predefined exit points.
Higher Timeframe Trend Confirmation:
Optional feature to verify trend alignment on a higher timeframe (e.g., checking a daily trend on an intraday chart).
This added filter improves signal reliability by focusing on patterns aligned with the broader market trend.
Real-Time Alerts:
Alerts can be set for key pattern detections, allowing traders to respond promptly without constant chart monitoring.
How to Use PSMA:
Set Moving Average Preferences:
Choose the preferred moving average type and length based on your trading strategy. The MA acts as a foundational trend indicator, with price positions indicating potential uptrends (price above MA) or downtrends (price below MA).
Adjust Risk Management Settings:
Set a Risk/Reward Ratio for defining take-profit levels relative to the entry and stop-loss levels.
Modify the Risk Tolerance Percentage to adjust stop-loss placement, adding flexibility in managing trades based on market volatility.
Activate Higher Timeframe Confirmation (Optional):
Enable higher timeframe trend confirmation to filter out counter-trend trades, ensuring that detected patterns are in sync with the larger market trend.
Review Alerts and Trade Levels:
With PSMA’s real-time alerts, traders receive notifications for detected patterns without having to continuously monitor charts.
Visualized entry, stop-loss, and take-profit lines simplify trade execution by highlighting levels directly on the chart.
Execute Based on Entry and Exit Levels:
The entry line suggests the potential entry price once a bullish or bearish pattern is detected.
The stop-loss line is based on your set risk tolerance, establishing a predefined risk level.
The take-profit line is calculated according to your preferred risk/reward ratio, providing a clear profit target.
Example Strategy:
Ensure price is above or below the selected moving average to confirm trend direction.
Await a PSMA signal for a bullish or bearish pattern.
Review the plotted entry, stop-loss, and take-profit lines, and enter the trade if the setup aligns with your risk/reward criteria.
Activate alerts for continuous monitoring, allowing PSMA to notify you of emerging trade opportunities.
Release Notes:
Line Color and Style Customization: Customizable colors and line styles for entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels.
Dynamic Trade Tracking: Tracks trade statistics, including total trades, win rate, and average P/L, displayed in the data window for comprehensive trade performance analysis.
Summary: The PSMA indicator is a powerful, user-friendly tool that combines trend detection, pattern recognition, and risk management into a cohesive system for improved trade decision-making. Suitable for stocks, forex, and futures, PSMA offers a unique blend of adaptability and precision, making it valuable for day traders and long-term investors alike. Enjoy this tool as it enhances your ability to execute timely, well-informed trades on TradingView.
S&P 100 Option Expiration Week StrategyThe Option Expiration Week Strategy aims to capitalize on increased volatility and trading volume that often occur during the week leading up to the expiration of options on stocks in the S&P 100 index. This period, known as the option expiration week, culminates on the third Friday of each month when stock options typically expire in the U.S. During this week, investors in this strategy take a long position in S&P 100 stocks or an equivalent ETF from the Monday preceding the third Friday, holding until Friday. The strategy capitalizes on potential upward price pressures caused by increased option-related trading activity, rebalancing, and hedging practices.
The phenomenon leveraged by this strategy is well-documented in finance literature. Studies demonstrate that options expiration dates have a significant impact on stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. This effect is driven by various market dynamics, including portfolio rebalancing, delta hedging by option market makers, and the unwinding of positions by institutional investors (Stoll & Whaley, 1987; Ni, Pearson, & Poteshman, 2005). These market activities intensify near option expiration, causing price adjustments that may create short-term profitable opportunities for those aware of these patterns (Roll, Schwartz, & Subrahmanyam, 2009).
The paper by Johnson and So (2013), Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks, provides empirical evidence supporting this strategy. The study analyzes the impact of option expiration on S&P 100 stocks, showing that these stocks tend to exhibit abnormal returns and increased volume during the expiration week. The authors attribute these patterns to intensified option trading activity, where demand for hedging and arbitrage around options expiration causes temporary price adjustments.
Scientific Explanation
Research has found that option expiration weeks are marked by predictable increases in stock returns and volatility, largely due to the role of options market makers and institutional investors. Option market makers often use delta hedging to manage exposure, which requires frequent buying or selling of the underlying stock to maintain a hedged position. As expiration approaches, their activity can amplify price fluctuations. Additionally, institutional investors often roll over or unwind positions during expiration weeks, creating further demand for underlying stocks (Stoll & Whaley, 1987). This increased demand around expiration week typically leads to temporary stock price increases, offering profitable opportunities for short-term strategies.
Key Research and Bibliography
Johnson, T. C., & So, E. C. (2013). Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(11), 4226-4240.
This study specifically examines the S&P 100 stocks and demonstrates that option expiration weeks are associated with abnormal returns and trading volume due to increased activity in the options market.
Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (1987). Program Trading and Expiration-Day Effects. Financial Analysts Journal, 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll and Whaley analyze how program trading and portfolio insurance strategies around expiration days impact stock prices, leading to temporary volatility and increased trading volume.
Ni, S. X., Pearson, N. D., & Poteshman, A. M. (2005). Stock Price Clustering on Option Expiration Dates. Journal of Financial Economics, 78(1), 49-87.
This paper investigates how option expiration dates affect stock price clustering and volume, driven by delta hedging and other option-related trading activities.
Roll, R., Schwartz, E., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2009). Options Trading Activity and Firm Valuation. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(3), 519-534.
The authors explore how options trading activity influences firm valuation, finding that higher options volume around expiration dates can lead to temporary price movements in underlying stocks.
Cao, C., & Wei, J. (2010). Option Market Liquidity and Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(2), 481-507.
This study examines the relationship between options market liquidity and stock return volatility, finding that increased liquidity needs during expiration weeks can heighten volatility, impacting stock returns.
Summary
The Option Expiration Week Strategy utilizes well-researched financial market phenomena related to option expiration. By positioning long in S&P 100 stocks or ETFs during this period, traders can potentially capture abnormal returns driven by option market dynamics. The literature suggests that options-related activities—such as delta hedging, position rollovers, and portfolio adjustments—intensify demand for underlying assets, creating short-term profit opportunities around these key dates.
XAUUSD 10-Minute StrategyThis XAUUSD 10-Minute Strategy is designed for trading Gold vs. USD on a 10-minute timeframe. By combining multiple technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and ATR), the strategy effectively captures both trend-following and reversal opportunities, with adaptive risk management for varying market volatility. This approach balances high-probability entries with robust volatility management, making it suitable for traders seeking to optimise entries during significant price movements and reversals.
Key Components and Logic:
MACD (12, 26, 9):
Generates buy signals on MACD Line crossovers above the Signal Line and sell signals on crossovers below the Signal Line, helping to capture momentum shifts.
RSI (14):
Utilizes oversold (below 35) and overbought (above 65) levels as a secondary filter to validate entries and avoid overextended price zones.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2):
Uses upper and lower Bollinger Bands to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, aiming to enter long trades near the lower band and short trades near the upper band.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are dynamically set as multiples of ATR (3x for stop loss, 5x for take profit), ensuring flexibility with market volatility to optimise exit points.
Entry & Exit Conditions:
Buy Entry: T riggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line
RSI is oversold
Price drops below the lower Bollinger Band
Sell Entry: Triggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line
RSI is overbought
Price moves above the upper Bollinger Band
Exit Strategy: Trades are closed based on opposing entry signals, with adaptive spread adjustments for realistic exit points.
Backtesting Configuration & Results:
Backtesting Period: July 21, 2024, to October 30, 2024
Symbol Info: XAUUSD, 10-minute timeframe, OANDA data source
Backtesting Capital: Initial capital of $700, with each trade set to 10 contracts (equivalent to approximately 0.1 lots based on the broker’s contract size for gold).
Users should confirm their broker's contract size for gold, as this may differ. This script uses 10 contracts for backtesting purposes, aligned with 0.1 lots on brokers offering a 100-contract specification.
Key Backtesting Performance Metrics:
Net Profit: $4,733.90 USD (676.27% increase)
Total Closed Trades: 526
Win Rate: 53.99%
Profit Factor: 1.44 (1.96 for Long trades, 1.14 for Short trades)
Max Drawdown: $819.75 USD (56.33% of equity)
Sharpe Ratio: 1.726
Average Trade: $9.00 USD (0.04% of equity per trade)
This backtest reflects realistic conditions, with a spread adjustment of 38 points and no slippage or commission applied. The settings aim to simulate typical retail trading conditions. However, please adjust the initial capital, contract size, and other settings based on your account specifics for best results.
Usage:
This strategy is tuned specifically for XAUUSD on a 10-minute timeframe, ideal for both trend-following and reversal trades. The ATR-based stop loss and take profit levels adapt dynamically to market volatility, optimising entries and exits in varied conditions. To backtest this script accurately, ensure your broker’s contract specifications for gold align with the parameters used in this strategy.
FS Scorpion TailKey Features & Components:
1. Custom Date & Chart-Based Controls
The software allows users to define whether they want signals to start on a specific date (useSpecificDate) or base calculations on the visible chart’s range (useRelativeScreenSumLeft and useRelativeScreenSumRight).
Users can input the number of stocks to buy/sell per signal and decide whether to sell only for profit.
2. Technical Indicators Used
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Users can define the length of the EMA and specify if buy/sell signals should occur when the EMA is rising or falling.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD crossovers, slopes of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram are used for generating buy/sell signals.
ATR (Average True Range): Signals are generated based on rising or falling ATR.
Aroon Indicator: Buy and sell signals are based on the behavior of the Aroon upper and lower lines.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Tracks whether the RSI and its moving average are rising or falling to generate signals.
Bollinger Bands: Buy/sell signals depend on the basis, upper, and lower band behavior (rising or falling).
3. Signal Detection
The software creates arrays for each indicator to store conditions for buy/sell signals.
The allTrue() function checks whether all conditions for buy/sell signals are true, ensuring that only valid signals are plotted.
Signals are differentiated between buy-only, sell-only, and both buy and sell (dual signal).
4. Visual Indicators
Vertical Lines: When buy, sell, or dual signals are detected, vertical lines are drawn at the corresponding bar with configurable colors (green for buy, red for sell, silver for dual).
Buy/Sell Labels: Visual labels are plotted directly on the chart to denote buy or sell signals, allowing for clear interpretation of the strategy.
5. Cash Flow & Metrics Display
The software maintains an internal ledger of how many stocks are bought/sold, their prices, and whether a profit is being made.
A table is displayed at the bottom right of the chart, showing:
Initial investment
Current stocks owned
Last buy price
Market stake
Net profit
The table background turns green for profit and red for loss.
6. Dynamic Decision Making
Buy Condition: If a valid buy signal is generated, the software decrements the cash balance and adds stocks to the inventory.
Sell Condition: If the sell signal is valid (and meets the profit requirement), stocks are sold, and cash is incremented.
A fallback check ensures the sell logic prevents selling more stocks than are available and adjusts stock holding appropriately (e.g., sell half).
Customization and Usage
Indicator Adjustments: The user can choose which indicators to activate (e.g., EMA, MACD, RSI) via input controls. Each indicator has specific customizable parameters such as lengths, slopes, and conditions.
Signal Flexibility: The user can adjust conditions for buying and selling based on various technical indicators, which adds flexibility in implementing trading strategies. For example, users may require the RSI to be higher than its moving average or trigger sales only when MACD crosses under the signal line.
Profit Sensitivity: The software allows the option to sell only when a profit is assured by checking if the current price is higher than the last buy price.
Summary of Usage:
Indicator Selection: Enable or disable technical indicators like EMA, MACD, RSI, Aroon, ATR, and Bollinger Bands to fit your trading strategy.
Custom Date/Chart Settings: Choose whether to calculate based on specific time ranges or visible portions of the chart.
Dynamic Signal Plotting: Once buy or sell conditions are met, the software will visually plot signals on your chart, giving clear entry and exit points.
Investment Tracking: Real-time tracking of stock quantities, investments, and profit ensures a clear view of your trading performance.
Backtesting: Use this software for backtesting your strategy by analyzing how buy and sell signals would have performed historically based on the chosen indicators.
Conclusion
The FS Scorpion Tail software is a robust and flexible trading tool, allowing traders to develop custom strategies based on multiple well-known technical indicators. Its visual aid, coupled with real-time investment tracking, makes it valuable for systematic traders looking to automate or refine their trading approach.
Flashtrader´s Statistical BandwidthsThe vast majority of traders exclusively concern
themselves with trend-following in all its facets. Scoring
points with trends on a regular basis is a difficult task
since prices do not constantly move in one direction
or another. In the case of the DAX future, for example,
only about 30 per cent of all trading days in a year are
trend days. And of these, there are x percent long ones
and x per cent short ones. Catching the very days when
prices rise or fall from the opening to the close is a major
challenge for a trader who also needs to have previously
recognised the corresponding direction.
However, there are also other ways of profit-taking
every day – for example, by using the mean reversion
strategy. The idea behind this is the fact that prices reach
a high and a low every day – but very rarely close at the
high or the low. This means that prices always move
away from these extreme points and the closing price is
somewhere in between. A profitable trading strategy can
be developed out of this.
But how can you know where the high and the low
will be tomorrow? Is it possible for you to know this in
advance? No – because no one can predict the future. Or
can they? At least it can be statistically determined how
high or low prices could go tomorrow. There is a high
degree of probability that one of the two possibilities
will materialise. It will then be necessary to act.
Calculation
Classic pivot points for the following day are calculated
from the high, low and closing price. But does it really
make sense to use such a mix? I don’t think so and
use a different calculation for this strategy. In a first step,
only the differences between the start and the high or low
are calculated on a daily basis. To avoid being dependent
on individual days and outliers, it is advisable to calculate,
in a second step, the average of these differences over
the past five days. Finally, this average will then be added
at the opening price of the current trading day for the
upper statistical bandwidth and subtracted for the lower
bandwidth.
upper bandwidth = oSTB (violet dashed line in the chart)
lower bandwidth = uSTB (violet dashedline in the chart)
The second interesting question is, if the previous day's high has been exceeded, how much further can the price rise from a mathematical/statistical point of view?
These calculated previous day highs expansions are shown as red dashed lines
Previous day's high expansion = VTHA
Previous day's low expansion = VTTA
For further orientation, the previous day's high (VTH) and the previous day's low (VTT) are shown in light blue dashed lines
And as a supplement, the previous day's close in the DAX Future at 10:00 p.m. VTSA in violet solid lines and the previous day's close in the cash register at 5:30 p.m. VTSN in yellow solid lines
Reaching the calculated extreme values does not mean that the trend has to change immediately, but there is at least temporary exhaustion potential with which you can earn a few points every day in the area of scalping.
Example for cheap entry long:
Example for cheap entry short:
Deutsch:
Die Masse der Trader beschäftigt sich ausschließlich mit Trendfolge in all ihren Facetten. Mit Trends regelmäßig zu punkten ist ein schwieriges Unterfangen, da die Kurse nicht ständig in die eine oder andere Richtung laufen. Beim DAX-Future zum Beispiel sind von allen Börsentagen im Jahr lediglich zirka 30 Prozent Trendtage. Davon sind dann auch noch x Prozent Long und x Prozent Short. Hier genau die Tage abzupassen, an denen die Kurse von Börsenbeginn bis zum Schluss steigen beziehungsweise fallen, ist eine große Herausforderung – wobei der Trader zuvor noch die entsprechende Richtung erkannt haben muss. Es gibt jedoch auch noch andere Methoden täglich Gewinne mitzunehmen, zum Beispiel mit der Mean-Reversion-Strategie (Mittelwertumkehr).
Hintergrund ist die Tatsache, dass die Kurse jeden Tag ein Hoch und ein Tief erreichen – aber sehr selten am Hoch oder am Tief schließen. Das bedeutet, dass die Preise sich immer wie der von diesen Extrempunkten wegbewegen und der Schlusskurs irgendwo dazwischen liegt. Hieraus lässt sich eine profitable Handelsstrategie entwickeln. Aber woher kannst Du wissen, wo morgen das Hoch und das Tief sein wird? Kannst Du das vorher schon wissen? Nein – denn niemand kann die Zukunft vorhersagen. Oder doch? Statistisch lässt sich zumindest bestimmen, wie hoch und wie tief die Kurse morgen steigen oder fallen könnten. Eine Seite wird mit sehr hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit ein treffen. Dann gilt es zu handeln.
Berechnung Klassischer Pivot-Punkte für den folgenden Tag werden aus Hoch, Tief und Schlusskurs berechnet. Aber ist es wirklich sinnvoll, einen solchen Mix zu verwenden? Ich finde das nicht und verwenden für diese Strategie eine andere Berechnung. Im ersten Schritt werden täglich die Differenzen nur vom Start bis zum Hoch beziehungsweise Tief errechnet. Um nicht von einzelnen Tagen und Ausreißern abhängig zu sein, empfiehlt es sich, in einem zweiten Schritt den Durchschnitt dieser Differenzen über die letzten fünf Tage zu errechnen. Zuletzt wird dann dieser Durchschnitt zum Eröffnungskurs des aktuellen Handelstages für die obere statistische Bandbreite addiert und für die untere Bandbreite subtrahiert.
Obere statistische Bandbreite = oSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Untere statistische Bandbreite = uSTB (violette gestrichelte Linie im Chart)
Die zweite interessante Frage ist, wenn das Vortageshoch überschritten wurde, wie weit kann der Kurs dann noch steigen aus mathematisch/statistischer Sicht?
Diese berechneten Vortagesextremausdehnungen sind als rote gestrichelte Linien dargestellt
Vortageshochausdehnung = VTHA
Vortagestiefausdehnung = VTTA
Für die weitere Orientierung sind die Vortageshochs (VTH) und die Vortagestiefs (VTT) als hellblaue gestrichelte Linien abgebildet.
Als Ergänzung wird noch der Vortages Schluss im Dax Future um 22:00 Uhr VTSA mit einer violetten durchgezogenen Linie und der Kassamarktschluss um 17:30 Uhr mit einer gelben durchgezogenen Linie gezeigt.
Das Erreichen der berechneten Extremwerte bedeutet nicht, das der Trend sofort drehen muss, aber es sind zumindest temporäre Erschöpfungspotentiale mit denen sich im Bereich scalping täglich einige Punkte verdienen lassen.
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Long:
Beispiel für günstigen Einstieg Short:
Triple EMA Crossover StrategyTriple EMA Crossover Strategy
Overview
The Triple EMA Crossover Strategy is a trend-following trading system that utilizes three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify potential entry and exit points in the market. This strategy is based on the principle that when shorter-term prices cross above longer-term prices, it can indicate a bullish trend, and conversely when they cross below, it can signal a bearish trend.
Components
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Short EMA: A fast-moving average that reacts quickly to price changes (commonly set to 9 periods).
Medium EMA: A medium-term average that smooths out price data and helps confirm trends (commonly set to 21 periods).
Long EMA: A slow-moving average that helps identify the overall trend direction (commonly set to 55 periods).
Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: A long entry is triggered when:
The Short EMA (9) crosses above the Medium EMA (21).
The Medium EMA (21) is above the Long EMA (55).
Sell Signal: A short entry is signaled when:
The Short EMA (9) crosses below the Medium EMA (21).
The Medium EMA (21) is below the Long EMA (55).
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: Implement a predefined percentage or ATR-based stop loss to limit potential losses.
Take Profit: Set a target based on a risk-to-reward ratio that reflects your trading strategy's goals.
Advantages
Trend Identification: The EMA crossover system allows traders to identify the current trend dynamically, focusing on upward or downward price movements.
Simplicity: The strategy is straightforward, making it accessible for both new and experienced traders.
Flexibility: This method can be applied across multiple timeframes and asset classes, making it versatile for various trading styles.
Disadvantages
Lagging Indicator: Moving averages are lagging indicators, meaning signals may come later than the actual price movement, which can lead to missed opportunities.
Whipsaw Effect: In ranging markets, the strategy may produce false signals leading to potential losses.
Price Action StrategyThe **Price Action Strategy** is a tool designed to capture potential market reversals by utilizing classic reversal candlestick patterns such as Hammer, Shooting Star, Doji, and Pin Bar near dinamic support and resistance levels.
***Note to moderators
- The moving average was removed from the strategy because it was not suitable for the strategy and not participating in the entry or exit criteria.
- The moving average length has been replaced/renamed by the support/resistance lenght.
- The bullish engulfing and bearish engulfing patterns were also removed because in practice they were not working as entry criteria, since the candle price invariably closes far from the support/resistance level even considering the sensitivity range. There was no change in the backtest results after removing these patterns.
### Key Elements of the Strategy
1. Support and Resistance Levels
- Support and resistance are pivotal price levels where the asset has previously struggled to move lower (support) or higher (resistance). These levels act as psychological barriers where buying interest (at support) or selling interest (at resistance) often increases, potentially causing price reversals.
- In this strategy, support is calculated as the lowest low and resistance as the highest high over a 16-period length. When the price nears these levels, it indicates possible zones for a reversal, and the strategy looks for specific candlestick patterns to confirm an entry.
2. Candlestick Patterns
- This strategy uses classic reversal patterns, including:
- **Hammer**: Indicates a buy signal, suggesting rejection of lower prices.
- **Shooting Star**: Suggests a sell signal, showing rejection of higher prices.
- **Doji**: Reflects indecision and potential reversal.
- **Pin Bar**: Represents price rejection with a long shadow, often signaling a reversal.
By combining these reversal patterns with the proximity to dinamic support or resistance levels, the strategy aims to capture potential reversal movements.
3. Sensitivity Level
- The sensitivity parameter adjusts the acceptable range (Default 0.018 = 1.8%) around support and resistance levels within which reversal patterns can trigger trades (i.e. the closing price of the candle must occur within the specified range defined by the sensitivity parameter). A higher sensitivity value expands this range, potentially leading to less accurate signals, as it may allow for more false positives.
4. Entry Criteria
- **Buy (Long)**: A Hammer, Doji, or Pin Bar pattern near support.
- **Sell (Short)**: A Shooting Star, Doji, or Pin Bar near resistance.
5. Exit criteria
- Take profit = 9.5%
- Stop loss = 16%
6. No Repainting
- The Price Action Strategy is not subject to repainting.
7. Position Sizing by Equity and risk management
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. The stop loss is set to 16% from the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity and stop loss can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
8. Backtest results
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtest and operations in replay mode on **1000000MOGUSDT.P**, with the inclusion of transaction fees at 0.12% and slipagge of 5 ticks, and the past results have shown consistent profitability. Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
9. Chart Visualization
- Support and resistance levels are displayed as green (support) and red (resistance) lines.
- Only the candlestick pattern that generated the entry signal to triger the trade is identified and labeled on the chart. During the operation, the occurrence of new Doji, Pin Bar, Hammer and Shooting Star patterns will not be demonstrated on the chart, since the exit criteria are based on percentage take profit and stop loss.
Doji:
Pin Bar and Doji
Shooting Star and Doji
Hammer
10. Default settings
Chart timeframe: 20 min
Moving average lenght: 16
Sensitivity: 0.018
Stop loss (%): 16
Take Profit (%): 9.5
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
Macros ICT KillZones [TradingFinder] Times & Price Trading Setup🔵 Introduction
ICT Macros, developed by Michael Huddleston, also known as ICT (Inner Circle Trader), is a powerful trading tool designed to help traders identify the best trading opportunities during key time intervals like the London and New York trading sessions.
For traders aiming to capitalize on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG), understanding and using these critical time zones can significantly improve trading outcomes.
In today’s highly competitive financial markets, identifying the moments when the market is seeking buy-side or sell-side liquidity, or filling price imbalances, is essential for maximizing profitability.
The ICT Macros indicator is built on the renowned ICT time and price theory, which enables traders to track and leverage key market dynamics such as breaks of highs and lows, imbalances, and liquidity hunts.
This indicator automatically detects crucial market times and optimizes strategies for traders by highlighting the specific moments when price movements are most likely to occur. A standout feature of ICT Macros is its automatic adjustment for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring that traders remain synced with the correct session times.
This means you can rely on accurate market timing without the need for manual updates, allowing you to focus on capturing profitable trades during critical timeframes.
🔵 How to Use
The ICT Macros indicator helps you capitalize on trading opportunities during key market moments, particularly when the market is breaking highs or lows, filling Fair Value Gaps (FVG), or addressing imbalances. This indicator is particularly beneficial for traders who seek to identify liquidity, market volatility, and price imbalances.
🟣 Sessions
London Sessions
London Macro 1 :
UTC Time : 06:33 to 07:00
New York Time : 02:33 to 03:00
London Macro 2 :
UTC Time : 08:03 to 08:30
New York Time : 04:03 to 04:30
New York Sessions
New York Macro AM 1 :
UTC Time : 12:50 to 13:10
New York Time : 08:50 to 09:10
New York Macro AM 2 :
UTC Time : 13:50 to 14:10
New York Time : 09:50 to 10:10
New York Macro AM 3 :
UTC Time : 14:50 to 15:10
New York Time : 10:50 to 11:10
New York Lunch Macro :
UTC Time : 15:50 to 16:10
New York Time : 11:50 to 12:10
New York PM Macro :
UTC Time : 17:10 to 17:40
New York Time : 13:10 to 13:40
New York Last Hour Macro :
UTC Time : 19:15 to 19:45
New York Time : 15:15 to 15:45
These time intervals adjust automatically based on Daylight Saving Time (DST), helping traders to enter or exit trades during key market moments when price volatility is high.
Below are the main applications of this tool and how to incorporate it into your trading strategies :
🟣 Combining ICT Macros with Trading Strategies
The ICT Macros indicator can easily be used in conjunction with various trading strategies. Two well-known strategies that can be combined with this indicator include:
ICT 2022 Trading Model : This model is designed based on identifying market liquidity, structural price changes, and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). By using ICT Macros, you can identify the key time intervals when the market is seeking liquidity, filling imbalances, or breaking through important highs and lows, allowing you to enter or exit trades at the right moment.
Silver Bullet Strategy : This strategy, which is built around liquidity hunting and rapid price movements, can work more accurately with the help of ICT Macros. The indicator pinpoints precise liquidity times, helping traders take advantage of market shifts caused by filling Fair Value Gaps or correcting imbalances.
🟣 Capitalizing on Price Volatility During Key Times
Large market algorithms often seek liquidity or fill Fair Value Gaps (FVG) during the intervals marked by ICT Macros. These periods are when price volatility increases, and traders can use these moments to enter or exit trades.
For example, if sell-side liquidity is drained and the market fills an imbalance, the price might move toward buy-side liquidity. By identifying these moments, which may also involve breaking a previous high or low, you can leverage rapid market fluctuations to your advantage.
🟣 Identifying Liquidity and Price Imbalances
One of the important uses of ICT Macros is identifying points where the market is seeking liquidity and correcting imbalances. You can determine high or low liquidity levels in the market before each ICT Macro, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and price imbalances that need to be filled, using them to adjust your trading strategy. This capability allows you to manage trades based on liquidity shifts or imbalance corrections without needing a bias toward a specific direction.
🔵 Settings
The ICT Macros indicator offers various customization options, allowing users to tailor it to their specific needs. Below are the main settings:
Time Zone Mode : You can select one of the following options to define how time is displayed:
UTC : For traders who need to work with Universal Time.
Session Local Time : The local time corresponding to the London or New York markets.
Your Time Zone : You can specify your own time zone (e.g., "UTC-4:00").
Your Time Zone : If you choose "Your Time Zone," you can set your specific time zone. By default, this is set to UTC-4:00.
Show Range Time : This option allows you to display the time range of each session on the chart. If enabled, the exact start and end times of each interval are shown.
Show or Hide Time Ranges : Toggle on/off for visual clarity depending on user preference.
Custom Colors : Set distinct colors for each session, allowing users to personalize their chart based on their trading style.These settings allow you to adjust the key time intervals of each trading session to your preference and customize the time format according to your own needs.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT Macros indicator is a powerful tool for traders, helping them to identify key time intervals where the market seeks liquidity or fills Fair Value Gaps (FVG), corrects imbalances, and breaks highs or lows. This tool is especially valuable for traders using liquidity-based strategies such as ICT 2022 or Silver Bullet.
One of the key features of this indicator is its support for Daylight Saving Time (DST), ensuring you are always in sync with the correct trading session timings without manual adjustments. This is particularly beneficial for traders operating across different time zones.
With ICT Macros, you can capitalize on crucial market opportunities during sensitive times, take advantage of imbalances, and enhance your trading strategies based on market volatility, liquidity shifts, and Fair Value Gaps.
Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator 5Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator
Description: The Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator is a powerful tool designed for traders who seek to capitalize on rapid price movements in the Bitcoin market. This indicator provides clear entry and exit signals based on a combination of price action analysis and pre-defined profit targets.
Key Features:
Quick Entry and Exit Signals: The indicator generates buy and sell signals in real-time, allowing traders to enter and exit positions quickly and effectively.
Targeting 100 Pips: Specifically designed to target 100 pips of profit for each trade, this indicator sets clear take profit and stop loss levels, helping traders manage their risk and reward effectively.
User-Friendly Interface: With easily visible signals and annotations directly on the chart, the indicator enhances your trading experience without cluttering your view.
Adjustable Settings: Traders can customize the pip target and stop loss levels according to their individual strategies, providing flexibility to accommodate different trading styles.
Ideal for Short-Term Trading: Whether you are a scalper or a day trader, this indicator is optimized for M5 and M15 timeframes, making it ideal for capturing quick price movements in the volatile Bitcoin market.
How to Use:
Apply the Bitcoin 100 Pips Indicator to your chart and select your preferred trading timeframe (M5 or M15).
Look for buy signals indicated by green labels when market conditions favor upward movement.
Conversely, watch for sell signals marked by red labels during downward trends.
Use the provided take profit and stop loss levels to manage your trades effectively.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for informational purposes only and does not guarantee profits. Always practice proper risk management and conduct your own analysis before trading.
Ping Pong Bot StrategyOverview:
The Ping Pong Bot Strategy is designed for traders who focus on scalping and short-term opportunities using support and resistance levels. This strategy identifies potential buy entries when the price reaches a key support area and shows bullish momentum (a green bar). It aims to capitalize on small price movements with predefined risk management and take profit levels, making it suitable for active traders looking to maximize quick trades in trending or ranging markets.
How It Works:
Support & Resistance Calculation:
The strategy dynamically identifies support and resistance levels using the lowest and highest price points over a user-defined period. These levels help pinpoint potential price reversal areas, guiding traders on where to enter or exit trades.
Buy Entry Criteria:
A buy signal is triggered when the closing price is at or below the support level, and the bar is green (i.e., the closing price is higher than the opening price). This ensures that entries are made when prices show signs of upward momentum after hitting support.
Risk Management:
For each trade, a stop loss is calculated based on a user-defined risk percentage, helping to protect against significant drawdowns. Additionally, a take profit level is set at a ratio relative to the risk, ensuring a disciplined approach to exit points.
0.5% Take Profit Target:
The strategy also includes a 0.5% quick take profit target, indicated by an orange arrow when reached. This feature helps traders lock in small gains rapidly, making it ideal for volatile market conditions.
Customizable Inputs:
Length: Adjusts the period for calculating support and resistance levels.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Allows traders to set the desired risk-to-reward ratio for each trade.
Risk Percentage: Defines the risk tolerance for stop loss calculations.
Take Profit Target: Enables the customization of the quick take profit target.
Ideal For:
Traders who prefer an active trading style and want to leverage support and resistance levels for precise entries and exits. This strategy is particularly useful in markets that experience frequent price bounces between support and resistance, allowing traders to "ping pong" between these levels for profitable trades.
Note:
This strategy is developed mainly for the 5-minute chart and has not been tested on longer time frames. Users should perform their own testing and adjustments if using it on different time frames.
Trade Entry Detector, Wick to Body Ratio Trade Entry Detector: Wick-to-Body Ratio Strategy with Bollinger Bands
Overview
The Trade Entry Detector is a custom strategy for TradingView that leverages the Bollinger Bands and a unique wick-to-body ratio approach to capture precise entry opportunities. This indicator is designed for traders who want to pinpoint high-probability reversal points when price interacts with Bollinger Bands, all while offering flexible entry fill options.
The strategy performs primary analysis on the daily time frame, regardless of your current chart setting, allowing you to view daily Bollinger Band levels and entry signals even on lower time frames. This approach is suitable for swing traders and short-term traders looking to align intraday moves with higher time frame signals.
How the Strategy Works
1. Bollinger Band Analysis on the Daily Time Frame
Bollinger Bands are calculated using a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) and a standard deviation multiplier (default is 2). These bands dynamically expand and contract based on market volatility, making them ideal for identifying overbought and oversold conditions:
* Upper Band: Indicates potential overbought levels.
* Lower Band: Indicates potential oversold levels.
2. Wick-to-Body Ratio Condition
This strategy places significant emphasis on candle wicks relative to the candle body. Here’s why:
* A large upper wick relative to the body signals potential selling pressure after testing the upper Bollinger Band.
* A large lower wick relative to the body indicates buying support after testing the lower Bollinger Band.
* Ratio Threshold: You can set a minimum wick-to-body ratio (default is 1.0), meaning that the wick must be at least equal in size to the body. This ensures only candles with significant reversals are considered for entry.
3. Flexible Entry Timing
To adapt to various trading styles, the indicator allows you to choose the entry fill timing:
* Daily Close: Enter at the close of the daily candle.
* Daily Open: Enter at the open of the following daily candle.
* HOD (High of Day): Set entry at the daily high, for those who want confirmation of upward momentum.
* LOD (Low of Day): Set entry at the daily low, ideal for confirming downward movement.
4. Position Sizing and Risk Management
The strategy calculates position size based on a fixed risk percentage of your account balance (default is 1%). This approach dynamically adjusts position sizes based on stop-loss distance:
* Stop Loss: Placed at the nearest swing high (for shorts) or swing low (for longs).
* Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the opposite Bollinger Band.
5. Order Expiration
Each pending order (long or short) expires after two days if unfilled, allowing for new setups on subsequent candles if conditions are met again.
Using the Trade Entry Detector
Step-by-Step Guide
1. Set the Primary Time Frame
The core calculations run on the daily time frame, but the strategy can be applied to intraday charts (e.g., 65-minute or 15-minute) for deeper insights.
2. Adjust Bollinger Band Settings
* Length: Default is 20, which determines the period for calculating the moving average.
* Standard Deviation Multiplier: Default is 2.0, which sets the width of the bands. Adjusting this can help you capture broader or tighter volatility ranges.
3. Define the Wick-to-Body Ratio
Set the minimum ratio between wick and body (default 1.0). Higher values filter out candles with less wick-to-body contrast, focusing on stronger rejection moves.
4. Choose Entry Fill Timing
Select your preferred fill condition:
* Daily Close: Confirms the trade at the end of the daily session.
* Daily Open: Executes the entry at the open of the next day.
* HOD/LOD: Uses the daily high or low as an additional confirmation for upward or downward moves.
5. Position Sizing and Risk Management
* Set your account balance and risk percentage. The strategy automatically calculates position sizes based on the stop distance to manage risk efficiently.
* Stop Loss and Take Profit points are automatically set based on swing highs/lows and opposing Bollinger Bands, respectively.
Practical Example
Let’s say SPY (S&P 500 ETF) tests the lower Bollinger Band on the daily time frame, with a lower wick that is twice the size of the body (meeting the 1.0 ratio threshold). Here’s how the strategy might proceed:
1. Signal: The lower wick on SPY suggests buying interest at the lower Bollinger Band.
2. Entry Fill Timing: If you’ve selected "Daily Open," the entry order will be placed at the next day's open price.
3. Stop Loss: Positioned at the nearest daily swing low to minimize risk.
4. Take Profit: If SPY price moves up and reaches the upper Bollinger Band, the position is automatically closed.
Indicator Features and Benefits
* Multi-Time Frame Compatibility: Perform daily analysis while tracking signals on any intraday chart.
* Automatic Position Sizing: Tailor risk per trade based on account balance and desired risk percentage.
* Flexible Entry Options: Choose from close, open, HOD, or LOD for optimal timing.
* Effective Trend Reversal Identification: Uses wick-to-body ratio and Bollinger Band interaction to pinpoint potential reversals.
* Dynamic Visualization: Bollinger Bands are displayed on your chosen time frame, allowing seamless intraday tracking.
Summary
The Trade Entry Detector provides a unique, data-driven way to spot reversal points with customizable entry options. By combining Bollinger Bands with wick-to-body ratio conditions, it identifies potential trade setups where price has tested extremes and shown reversal signals. With its flexible entry timing, risk management features, and multi-time frame compatibility, this indicator is ideal for traders looking to blend daily market context with shorter-term execution.
Tips for Usage:
* For swing trading, consider the Daily Open or Close entry options.
* For momentum entries, HOD or LOD may offer better alignment with the direction of the wick.
* Backtest on different assets to find optimal Bollinger Band and wick-to-body settings for your market.
Use this indicator to enhance your understanding of price behavior at key levels and improve the precision of your entry points. Happy trading!
Gold Scalping Strategy with Precise EntriesThe Gold Scalping Strategy with Precise Entries is designed to take advantage of short-term price movements in the gold market (XAU/USD). This strategy uses a combination of technical indicators and chart patterns to identify precise buy and sell opportunities during times of consolidation and trend continuation.
Key Elements of the Strategy:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
50 EMA: Used as the shorter-term moving average to detect the recent price trend.
200 EMA: Used as the longer-term moving average to determine the overall market trend.
Trend Identification:
A bullish trend is identified when the 50 EMA is above the 200 EMA.
A bearish trend is identified when the 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA.
Average True Range (ATR):
ATR (14) is used to calculate the market's volatility and to set a dynamic stop loss based on recent price movements. Higher ATR values indicate higher volatility.
ATR helps define a suitable stop-loss distance from the entry point.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI (14) is used as a momentum oscillator to detect overbought or oversold conditions.
However, in this strategy, the RSI is primarily used as a consolidation filter to look for neutral zones (between 45 and 55), which may indicate a potential breakout or trend continuation after a consolidation phase.
Engulfing Patterns:
Bullish Engulfing: A bullish signal is generated when the current candle fully engulfs the previous bearish candle, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bearish Engulfing: A bearish signal is generated when the current candle fully engulfs the previous bullish candle, signaling potential downward momentum.
Precise Entry Conditions:
Long (Buy):
The 50 EMA is above the 200 EMA (bullish trend).
The RSI is between 45 and 55 (neutral/consolidation zone).
A bullish engulfing pattern occurs.
The price closes above the 50 EMA.
Short (Sell):
The 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA (bearish trend).
The RSI is between 45 and 55 (neutral/consolidation zone).
A bearish engulfing pattern occurs.
The price closes below the 50 EMA.
Take Profit and Stop Loss:
Take Profit: A fixed 20-pip target (where 1 pip = 0.10 movement in gold) is used for each trade.
Stop Loss: The stop-loss is dynamically set based on the ATR, ensuring that it adapts to current market volatility.
Visual Signals:
Buy and sell signals are visually plotted on the chart using green and red labels, indicating precise points of entry.
Advantages of This Strategy:
Trend Alignment: The strategy ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the overall trend, as indicated by the 50 and 200 EMAs.
Volatility Adaptation: The use of ATR allows the stop loss to adapt to the current market conditions, reducing the risk of premature exits in volatile markets.
Precise Entries: The combination of engulfing patterns and the neutral RSI zone provides a high-probability entry signal that captures momentum after consolidation.
Quick Scalping: With a fixed 20-pip profit target, the strategy is designed to capture small price movements quickly, which is ideal for scalping.
This strategy can be applied to lower timeframes (such as 1-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts) for frequent trade opportunities in gold trading, making it suitable for day traders or scalpers. However, proper risk management should always be used due to the inherent volatility of gold.
VATICAN BANK CARTELVATICAN BANK CARTEL - Precision Signal Detection for Buyers.
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is a highly sophisticated tool designed specifically for buyers, helping them identify key market trends and generate actionable buy signals. Utilizing advanced algorithms, this indicator employs a multi-variable detection mechanism that dynamically adapts to price movements, offering real-time insights to assist in executing profitable buy trades. This indicator is optimized solely for identifying buying opportunities, ensuring that traders are equipped to make well-timed entries and exits, without signals for shorting or selling.
The recommended settings for VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is as follows:-
Depth Engine = 20,30,40,50,100.
Deviation Engine = 3,5,7,15,20.
Backstep Engine = 15,17,20,25.
NOTE:- But you can also use this indicator as per your setting, whichever setting gives you best results use that setting.
Key Features:
1.Adaptive Depth, Deviation, and Backstep Inputs:
The core of this indicator is its customizable Depth Engine, Deviation Engine, and Backstep Engine parameters. These inputs allow traders to adjust the sensitivity of the trend detection algorithm based on specific market conditions:
Depth: Defines how deep the indicator scans historical price data for potential trend reversals.
Deviation: Determines the minimum required price fluctuation to confirm a market movement.
Backstep: Sets the retracement level to filter false signals and maintain the accuracy of trend detection.
2. Visual Signal Representation:
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL plots highly visible labels on the chart to mark trend reversals. These labels are customizable in terms of size and transparency, ensuring clarity in various chart environments. Traders can quickly spot buying opportunities with green labels and potential square-off points with red labels, focusing exclusively on buy-side signals.
3.Real-Time Alerts:
The indicator is equipped with real-time alert conditions to notify traders of significant buy or square-off buy signals. These alerts, which are triggered based on the indicator’s internal signal logic, ensure that traders never miss a critical market movement on the buy side.
4.Custom Label Size and Transparency:
To enhance visual flexibility, the indicator allows the user to adjust label size (from small to large) and transparency levels. This feature provides a clean, adaptable view suited for different charting styles and timeframes.
How It Works:
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL analyzes the price action using a sophisticated algorithm that considers historical low and high points, dynamically detecting directional changes. When a change in market direction is detected, the indicator plots a label at the key reversal points, helping traders confirm potential entry points:
- Buy Signal (Green): Indicates potential buying opportunities based on a trend reversal.
- Square-Off Buy Signal (Red): Marks the exit point for open buy positions, allowing traders to take profits or protect capital from potential market reversals.
Note: This indicator is exclusively designed to provide signals for buyers. It does not generate sell or short signals, making it ideal for traders focused solely on identifying optimal buying opportunities in the market.
Customizable Parameters:
- Depth Engine: Fine-tunes the historical data analysis for signal generation.
- Deviation Engine: Adjusts the minimum price change required for detecting trends.
- Backstep Engine: Controls the indicator's sensitivity to retracements, minimizing false signals.
- Labels Transparency: Adjusts the opacity of the labels, ensuring they integrate seamlessly into any chart layout.
- Buy and Sell Colors: Customizable color options for buy and square-off buy labels to match your preferred color scheme.
- Label Size: Select between five different label sizes for optimal chart visibility.
Ideal For:
This indicator is ideal for both beginner and experienced traders looking to enhance their buying strategy with a highly reliable, visual, and alert-driven tool. The VATICAN BANK CARTEL adapts to various timeframes, making it suitable for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike—focused exclusively on buying opportunities.
Benefits and Applications:
1.Intraday Trading: The VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is particularly well-suited for intraday trading, as it provides accurate and timely "buy" and "square-off buy" signals based on the current market dynamics.
2.Trend-following Strategies: Traders who employ trend-following strategies can leverage the indicator's ability to identify the overall market direction, allowing them to align their trades with the dominant trend.
3.Swing Trading: The dynamic price tracking and signal generation capabilities of the indicator can be beneficial for swing traders, who aim to capture medium-term price movements.
Security Measures:
1. The code includes a security notice at the beginning, indicating that it is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which is a reputable open-source license.
2. The code does not appear to contain any obvious security vulnerabilities or malicious content that could compromise user data or accounts.
NOTE:- This indicator is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and is subject to its terms and conditions.
Disclaimer: The usage of VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator might or might not contribute to your trading capital(money) profits and losses and the author is not responsible for the same.
IMPORTANT NOTICE:
While the indicator aims to provide reliable "buy" and "square-off buy" signals, it is crucial to understand that the market can be influenced by unpredictable events, such as natural disasters, political unrest, changes in monetary policies, or economic crises. These unforeseen situations may occasionally lead to false signals generated by the VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator.
Users should exercise caution and diligence when relying on the indicator's signals, as the market's behavior can be unpredictable, and external factors may impact the accuracy of the signals. It is recommended to thoroughly backtest the indicator's performance in various market conditions and to use it as one of the many tools in a comprehensive trading strategy, rather than solely relying on its output.
Ultimately, the success of the VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator will depend on the user's ability to adapt it to their specific trading style, market conditions, and risk management approach. Continuous monitoring, analysis, and adjustment of the indicator's settings may be necessary to maintain its effectiveness in the ever-evolving financial markets.
DEVELOPER:- yashgode9
PineScript:- version:- 5
This indicator aims to enhance trading decision-making by combining DEPTH, DEVIATION, BACKSTEP with custom signal generation, offering a comprehensive tool for traders seeking clear "buy" and "square-off buy" signals on the TradingView platform.
E9 Shark-32 Pattern Strategy The E9 Shark-32 Pattern is a powerful trading tool designed to capitalize on the Shark-32 pattern—a specific Candlestick pattern.
The Shark-32 Pattern: What Is It?
The Shark-32 pattern is a technical formation that occurs when the following conditions are met:
Higher Highs and Lower Lows: The low of two bars ago is lower than the previous bar, and the previous bar's low is lower than the current bar. At the same time, the high of two bars ago is higher than the previous bar, and the previous bar’s high is higher than the current bar.
This unique setup forms the "Shark-32" pattern, which signals potential volume squeezes and trend changes in the market.
How Does the Strategy Work?
The E9 Shark-32 Pattern Strategy builds upon this pattern by defining clear entry and exit rules based on the pattern's confirmation. Here's a breakdown of how the strategy operates:
1. Identifying the Shark-32 Pattern
When the Shark-32 pattern is confirmed, the strategy "locks" the high and low prices from the initial bar of the pattern. These locked prices serve as key levels for future trade entries and exits.
2. Entry Conditions
The strategy waits for the price to cross the pattern's locked high or low, signaling potential market direction.
Long Entry: A long trade is triggered when the closing price crosses above the locked pattern high (green line).
Short Entry: A short trade is triggered when the closing price crosses below the locked pattern low (red line).
The strategy ensures that only one trade is taken for each Shark-32 pattern, preventing overtrading and allowing traders to focus on high-probability setups.
3. Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
The strategy has built-in risk management through stop-loss and take-profit levels, which are visually represented by the lines on the chart:
Stop Loss:
Stop loss can be adjusted in settings.
Take Profit:
For long trades: The take-profit target is set at the upper white dotted line, which is projected above the pattern high.
For short trades: The take-profit target is set at the lower white dotted line, which is projected below the pattern low.
These clearly defined levels help traders to manage risk effectively while maximizing potential returns.
4. Visual Cues
To make trading decisions even easier, the strategy provides helpful visual cues:
Green Line (Pattern High): This line represents the high of the Shark-32 pattern and serves as a resistance level and short entry signal.
Red Line (Pattern Low): This line represents the low of the Shark-32 pattern and serves as a support level and long entry signal.
White Dotted Lines: These lines represent potential profit targets, projected both above and below the pattern. They help traders define where the market might go next.
Additionally, the strategy highlights the pattern formation with color-coded bars and background shading to draw attention to the Shark-32 pattern when it is confirmed. This adds a layer of visual confirmation, making it easier to spot opportunities in real-time.
5. No Repeated Trades
An important aspect of the strategy is that once a trade is taken (either long or short), no additional trades are executed until a new Shark-32 pattern is identified. This ensures that only valid and confirmed setups are acted upon.
Fibonacci Swing Trading BotStrategy Overview for "Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot"
Strategy Name: Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot
Version: Pine Script v5
Purpose: This strategy is designed for swing traders who want to leverage Fibonacci retracement levels and candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades on higher time frames.
Key Components:
1. Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
The strategy uses a customizable timeframe for analysis. You can choose between 4hour, daily, weekly, or monthly time frames to fit your preferred trading horizon. The high and low-price data is retrieved from the selected timeframe to identify swing points.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The script calculates two key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.618: A common level where price often retraces before resuming its trend.
0.786: A deeper retracement level, often used to identify stronger support/resistance areas.
These levels are dynamically plotted on the chart based on the highest high and lowest low over the last 50 bars of the selected timeframe.
3. Candlestick Based Entry Signals:
The strategy uses candlestick patterns as the only indicator for trade entries:
Bullish Candle: A green candle (close > open) that forms between the 0.618 retracement level and the swing high.
Bearish Candle: A red candle (close < open) that forms between the 0.786 retracement level and the swing low.
When these candlestick patterns align with the Fibonacci levels, the script triggers buy or sell signals.
4. Risk Management:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 1% below the entry price for long trades and 1% above the entry price for short trades. This tight risk management ensures controlled losses.
Take Profit: The strategy uses a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The take profit is automatically calculated based on this ratio relative to the stop loss.
5. Buy/Sell Logic:
Buy Signal: Triggered when a bullish candle forms above the 0.618 retracement level and below the swing high. The bot then places a long position.
Sell Signal: Triggered when a bearish candle forms below the 0.786 retracement level and above the swing low. The bot then places a short position.
The stop loss and take profit levels are automatically managed once the trade is placed.
Strengths of This Strategy:
Swing Trading Focus: The strategy is ideal for swing traders, targeting longer-term price moves that can take days or weeks to play out.
Simple Yet Effective Indicators: By only relying on Fibonacci retracement levels and basic candlestick patterns, the strategy avoids complexity while capitalizing on well-known support and resistance zones.
Automated Risk Management: The built-in stop loss and take profit mechanism ensures trades are protected, adhering to a strict 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: The script adapts to various market conditions by allowing users to switch between different timeframes (4hour, daily, weekly, monthly), giving traders flexibility.
Strategy Use Cases:
Retracement Traders: Traders who focus on entering the market at key retracement levels (0.618 and 0.786) will find this strategy especially useful.
Trend Reversal Traders: The strategy’s reliance on candlestick formations at Fibonacci levels helps traders spot potential reversals in price trends.
Risk Conscious Traders: With its 1% risk per trade and 2:1 risk/reward ratio, the strategy is ideal for traders who prioritize risk management in their trades.
Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) // AlgoFyreThe Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator detects mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. It calculates a dynamic mean using an Exponential Weighted Moving Average, surrounded by volatility bands, signaling potential buy/sell points when prices deviate.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
🔶 ORIGINALITY
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ)
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
🞘 Table Overview
🞘 Plotshapes Explanation
🞘 Code extract
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
🞘 Additional Tips
🔸Customize settings
🔶 CONCLUSION
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🔶 ORIGINALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) is a unique indicator that applies the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process to identify mean-reverting behavior in asset prices. Unlike traditional moving average-based indicators, this model uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to calculate the long-term mean, dynamically adjusting to recent price movements while still considering all historical data. It also incorporates volatility bands, providing a "cloud" that visually highlights overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of mean reversion (θ) through the autocorrelation of log returns, this indicator offers traders a more nuanced and mathematically robust tool for identifying mean-reversion opportunities. These innovations make it especially useful for markets that exhibit range-bound characteristics, offering timely buy and sell signals based on statistical deviations from the mean.
🔸Adaptive Mean Calculation Traditional MA indicators use fixed lengths, which can lead to lagging signals or over-sensitivity in volatile markets. The Mean Reversion Cloud uses an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), which adapts to price movements by dynamically adjusting its calculation, offering a more responsive mean.
🔸Volatility-Based Cloud Unlike simple moving averages that only plot a single line, the Mean Reversion Cloud surrounds the dynamic mean with volatility bands. These bands, based on standard deviations, provide traders with a visual cue of when prices are statistically likely to revert, highlighting potential reversal zones.
🔸Speed of Reversion (θ) The indicator goes beyond price averages by calculating the speed at which the price reverts to the mean (θ), using the autocorrelation of log returns. This gives traders an additional tool for estimating the likelihood and timing of mean reversion, making the signals more reliable in practice.
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator is designed to detect potential mean-reversion opportunities in asset prices by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. It calculates a dynamic mean through the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility bands based on the standard deviation of the asset's price over a specified period. These bands create a "cloud" that represents expected price fluctuations, helping traders to identify overbought or oversold conditions. By calculating the speed of reversion (θ) from the autocorrelation of log returns, the indicator offers a more refined way of assessing how quickly prices may revert to the mean. Additionally, the inclusion of volatility provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, allowing for more accurate buy and sell signals.
Let's dive into the details:
🔸Dynamic Mean and Volatility Bands The dynamic mean (μ) is calculated using the EWMA, giving more weight to recent prices but considering all historical data. This process closely resembles the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which models the tendency of a stochastic variable (such as price) to revert to its mean over time. Volatility bands are plotted around the mean using standard deviation, forming the "cloud" that signals overbought or oversold conditions. The cloud adapts dynamically to price fluctuations and market volatility, making it a versatile tool for mean-reversion strategies. 🞘 How it works Step one: Calculate the dynamic mean (μ) The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes how a variable, such as an asset's price, tends to revert to a long-term mean while subject to random fluctuations. In this indicator, the EWMA is used to compute the dynamic mean (μ), mimicking the mean-reverting behavior of the OU process. Use the EWMA formula to compute a weighted mean that adjusts to recent price movements. Assign exponentially decreasing weights to older data while giving more emphasis to current prices. Step two: Plot volatility bands Calculate the standard deviation of the price over a user-defined period to determine market volatility. Position the upper and lower bands around the mean by adding and subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation. 🞘 How to calculate Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)
The EWMA dynamically adjusts to recent price movements:
mu_t = lambda * mu_{t-1} + (1 - lambda) * P_t
Where mu_t is the mean at time t, lambda is the decay factor, and P_t is the price at time t. The higher the decay factor, the more weight is given to recent data.
Autocorrelation (ρ) and Standard Deviation (σ)
To measure mean reversion speed and volatility: rho = correlation(log(close), log(close ), length) Where rho is the autocorrelation of log returns over a specified period.
To calculate volatility:
sigma = stdev(close, length)
Where sigma is the standard deviation of the asset's closing price over a specified length.
Upper and Lower Bands
The upper and lower bands are calculated as follows:
upper_band = mu + (threshold * sigma)
lower_band = mu - (threshold * sigma)
Where threshold is a multiplier for the standard deviation, usually set to 2. These bands represent the range within which the price is expected to fluctuate, based on current volatility and the mean.
🞘 Code extract // Calculate Returns
returns = math.log(close / close )
// Calculate Long-Term Mean (μ) using EWMA over the entire dataset
var float ewma_mu = na // Initialize ewma_mu as 'na'
ewma_mu := na(ewma_mu ) ? close : decay_factor * ewma_mu + (1 - decay_factor) * close
mu = ewma_mu
// Calculate Autocorrelation at Lag 1
rho1 = ta.correlation(returns, returns , corr_length)
// Ensure rho1 is within valid range to avoid errors
rho1 := na(rho1) or rho1 <= 0 ? 0.0001 : rho1
// Calculate Speed of Mean Reversion (θ)
theta = -math.log(rho1)
// Calculate Volatility (σ)
sigma = ta.stdev(close, corr_length)
// Calculate Upper and Lower Bands
upper_band = mu + threshold * sigma
lower_band = mu - threshold * sigma
🔸Visualization via Table and Plotshapes
The table shows key statistics such as the current value of the dynamic mean (μ), the number of times the price has crossed the upper or lower bands, and the consecutive number of bars that the price has remained in an overbought or oversold state.
Plotshapes (diamonds) are used to signal buy and sell opportunities. A green diamond below the price suggests a buy signal when the price crosses below the lower band, and a red diamond above the price indicates a sell signal when the price crosses above the upper band.
The table and plotshapes provide a comprehensive visualization, combining both statistical and actionable information to aid decision-making.
🞘 Code extract // Reset consecutive_bars when price crosses the mean
var consecutive_bars = 0
if (close < mu and close >= mu) or (close > mu and close <= mu)
consecutive_bars := 0
else if math.abs(deviation) > 0
consecutive_bars := math.min(consecutive_bars + 1, dev_length)
transparency = math.max(0, math.min(100, 100 - (consecutive_bars * 100 / dev_length)))
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator can be set up by adding it to your TradingView chart and configuring parameters such as the decay factor, autocorrelation length, and volatility threshold to suit current market conditions. Look for price crossovers and deviations from the calculated mean for potential entry signals. Use the upper and lower bands as dynamic support/resistance levels for setting take profit and stop-loss orders. Combining this indicator with additional trend-following or momentum-based indicators can improve signal accuracy. Adjust settings for better mean-reversion detection and risk management.
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
Adding the Indicator to the Chart:
Go to your TradingView chart.
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top.
Search for "Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck)" in the indicators list.
Click on the indicator to add it to your chart.
Configuring the Indicator:
Open the indicator settings by clicking on the gear icon next to its name on the chart.
Decay Factor: Adjust the decay factor (λ) to control the responsiveness of the mean calculation. A higher value prioritizes recent data.
Autocorrelation Length: Set the autocorrelation length (θ) for calculating the speed of mean reversion. Longer lengths consider more historical data.
Threshold: Define the number of standard deviations for the upper and lower bands to determine how far price must deviate to trigger a signal.
Chart Setup:
Select the appropriate timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, daily) based on your trading strategy.
Consider using other indicators such as RSI or MACD to confirm buy and sell signals.
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
Indicator Behavior:
Observe how the price interacts with the dynamic mean and volatility bands. The price staying within the bands suggests mean-reverting behavior, while crossing the bands signals potential entry points.
The indicator calculates overbought/oversold conditions based on deviation from the mean, highlighted by color-coded cloud areas on the chart.
Crossovers and Deviation:
Look for crossovers between the price and the mean (μ) or the bands. A bullish crossover occurs when the price crosses below the lower band, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
A bearish crossover occurs when the price crosses above the upper band, suggesting a potential sell signal.
Deviations from the mean indicate market extremes. A large deviation indicates that the price is far from the mean, suggesting a potential reversal.
Slope and Direction:
Pay attention to the slope of the mean (μ). A rising slope suggests bullish market conditions, while a declining slope signals a bearish market.
The steepness of the slope can indicate the strength of the mean-reversion trend.
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
Bullish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a long position when the price crosses below the lower band with a positive deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Use additional indicators like RSI (above 50) or increasing volume to confirm the bullish signal.
Bearish Entry:
Crossover Entry: Enter a short position when the price crosses above the upper band with a negative deviation from the mean.
Confirmation Entry: Look for RSI (below 50) or decreasing volume to confirm the bearish signal.
Deviation Confirmation:
Enter trades when the deviation from the mean is significant, indicating that the price has strayed far from its expected value and is likely to revert.
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
Static Take Profit Levels:
Set predefined take profit levels based on historical volatility, using the upper and lower bands as guides.
Place take profit orders near recent support/resistance levels, ensuring you're capitalizing on the mean-reversion behavior.
Trailing Stop Loss:
Use a trailing stop based on a percentage of the price deviation from the mean to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
Adjust the trailing stop dynamically along the calculated bands to protect profits as the price returns to the mean.
Deviation-Based Exits:
Exit when the deviation from the mean starts to decrease, signaling that the price is returning to its equilibrium.
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
Initial Stop Loss:
Place an initial stop loss outside the lower band (for long positions) or above the upper band (for short positions) to protect against excessive deviations.
Use a volatility-based buffer to avoid getting stopped out during normal price fluctuations.
Dynamic Stop Loss:
Move the stop loss closer to the mean as the price converges back towards equilibrium, reducing risk.
Adjust the stop loss dynamically along the bands to account for sudden market movements.
🞘 Additional Tips
Combine with Other Indicators:
Enhance your strategy by combining the Mean Reversion Cloud with momentum indicators like MACD, RSI, or Bollinger Bands to confirm market conditions.
Backtesting and Practice:
Backtest the indicator on historical data to understand how it performs in various market environments.
Practice using the indicator on a demo account before implementing it in live trading.
Market Awareness:
Keep an eye on market news and events that might cause extreme price movements. The indicator reacts to price data and might not account for news-driven events that can cause large deviations.
🔸Customize settings 🞘 Decay Factor (λ): Defines the weight assigned to recent price data in the calculation of the mean. A value closer to 1 places more emphasis on recent prices, while lower values create a smoother, more lagging mean.
🞘 Autocorrelation Length (θ): Sets the period for calculating the speed of mean reversion and volatility. Longer lengths capture more historical data, providing smoother calculations, while shorter lengths make the indicator more responsive.
🞘 Threshold (σ): Specifies the number of standard deviations used to create the upper and lower bands. Higher thresholds widen the bands, producing fewer signals, while lower thresholds tighten the bands for more frequent signals.
🞘 Max Gradient Length (γ): Determines the maximum number of consecutive bars for calculating the deviation gradient. This setting impacts the transparency of the plotted bands based on the length of deviation from the mean.
🔶 CONCLUSION
The Mean Reversion Cloud (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) indicator offers a sophisticated approach to identifying mean-reversion opportunities by applying the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck stochastic process. This dynamic indicator calculates a responsive mean using an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) and plots volatility-based bands to highlight overbought and oversold conditions. By incorporating advanced statistical measures like autocorrelation and standard deviation, traders can better assess market extremes and potential reversals. The indicator’s ability to adapt to price behavior makes it a versatile tool for traders focused on both short-term price deviations and longer-term mean-reversion strategies. With its unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity, the Mean Reversion Cloud provides an invaluable tool for understanding and capitalizing on market inefficiencies.
Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Indicator [presentTrading]This version of the indicator is built upon the foundation of a strategy version published earlier. However, this indicator version focuses on providing visual insights and alerts for traders, rather than executing trades. This one is mostly for @thorcmt.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend Indicator** is a versatile tool designed to provide traders with a highly customizable and flexible approach to trend analysis. Unlike traditional supertrend indicators, which focus on a single factor or threshold, the **FlexiSuperTrend** allows users to define multiple levels of take-profit targets and incorporate different trend normalization methods.
It comes with several advanced customization features, including multi-step take profits, deviation plotting, and trend normalization, making it suitable for both novice and expert traders.
BTCUSD 6hr Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend** works by calculating a supertrend based on multiple factors and incorporating oscillations from trend deviations. Here’s a breakdown of how it functions:
🔶 SuperTrend Calculation
At the heart of the indicator is the SuperTrend formula, which dynamically adjusts based on price movements.
🔶 Normalization of Deviations
To enhance accuracy, the **FlexiSuperTrend** calculates multiple deviations from the trend and normalizes them.
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Levels
The indicator allows setting up to three take profit levels, which are displayed via price level alerts. lows traders to exit part of their position at various profit intervals.
For more detail, please check the strategy version - Multi-Step-FlexiSuperTrend-Strategy:
and 'FlexiSuperTrend-Strategy'
█ Trade Direction
The **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend Indicator** supports both long and short trade directions.
This flexibility allows traders to adapt to trending, volatile, or sideways markets.
█ Usage
To use the **FlexiSuperTrend Indicator**, traders can set up their preferences for the following key features:
- **Trading Direction**: Choose whether to focus on long, short, or both signals.
- **Indicator Source**: The price source to calculate the trend (e.g., close, hl2).
- **Indicator Length**: The number of periods to calculate the ATR and trend (the larger the value, the smoother the trend).
- **Starting and Increment Factor**: These adjust how reactive the trend is to price movements. The starting factor dictates how far the initial trend band is from the price, and the increment factor adjusts subsequent trend deviations.
The indicator then displays buy and sell signals on the chart, along with alerts for each take-profit level.
Local picture
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the **Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend** are carefully designed to provide an optimal balance between sensitivity and accuracy. Let’s examine these default parameters and their effect on performance:
🔶 Indicator Length (Default: 10)
The **Indicator Length** determines the lookback period for the ATR calculation. A smaller value makes the indicator more reactive to price changes, but may generate more false signals. A longer length smooths the trend and reduces noise but may delay signals.
Effect on performance: Shorter lengths perform better in volatile markets, while longer lengths excel in trending markets.
🔶 Starting Factor (Default: 0.618)
This factor adjusts the starting distance of the SuperTrend from the current price. The smaller the starting factor, the closer the trend is to the price, making it more sensitive. Conversely, a larger factor allows more distance, reducing sensitivity but filtering out false signals.
Effect on performance: A smaller factor provides quicker signals but can lead to frequent false positives. A larger factor generates fewer but more reliable signals.
🔶 Increment Factor (Default: 0.382)
The **Increment Factor** controls how the trend bands adjust as the price moves. It increases the distance of the bands from the price with each iteration.
Effect on performance: A higher increment factor can result in wider stop-loss or trend reversal bands, allowing for longer trends to develop without frequent exits. A lower factor keeps the bands closer to the price and is more suited for shorter-term trades.
🔶 Take Profit Levels (Default: 2%, 8%, 18%)
The default take-profit levels are set at 2%, 8%, and 18%. These values represent the thresholds at which the trader can partially exit their positions. These multi-step levels are highly customizable depending on the trader’s risk tolerance and strategy.
Effect on performance: Lower take-profit levels (e.g., 2%) capture small, quick profits in volatile markets, while higher levels (8%-18%) allow for a more gradual exit in strong trends.
🔶 Normalization Method (Default: None)
The default normalization method is **None**, meaning the deviations are not normalized. However, enabling normalization (e.g., **Max-Min**) can improve the clarity of the indicator’s signals in volatile or choppy markets by smoothing out the noise.
Effect on performance: Using a normalization method can reduce the effect of extreme deviations, making signals more stable and less prone to false positives.
TPS Short Strategy by Larry ConnersThe TPS Short strategy aims to capitalize on extreme overbought conditions in an ETF by employing a scaling-in approach when certain technical indicators signal potential reversals. The strategy is designed to short the ETF when it is deemed overextended, based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages.
Components:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Purpose: Acts as a long-term trend filter. The ETF must be below its 200-day SMA to be eligible for shorting.
Rationale: The 200-day SMA is widely used to gauge the long-term trend of a security. When the price is below this moving average, it is often considered to be in a downtrend (Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll, "The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging Into the Latest Indicators").
2-Period RSI:
Purpose: Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought conditions.
Criteria: Short 10% of the position when the 2-period RSI is above 75 for two consecutive days.
Rationale: A high RSI value (above 75) indicates that the ETF may be overbought, which could precede a price reversal (J. Welles Wilder, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems").
Scaling-In Mechanism:
Purpose: Gradually increase the short position as the ETF price rises beyond previous entry points.
Scaling Strategy:
20% more when the price is higher than the first entry.
30% more when the price is higher than the second entry.
40% more when the price is higher than the third entry.
Rationale: This incremental approach allows for an increased position size in a worsening trend, potentially increasing profitability if the trend continues to align with the strategy’s premise (Marty Schwartz, "Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader").
Exit Conditions:
Criteria: Close all positions when the 2-period RSI drops below 30 or the 10-day SMA crosses above the 30-day SMA.
Rationale: A low RSI value (below 30) suggests that the ETF may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound, while the SMA crossover indicates a potential change in the trend (Martin J. Pring, "Technical Analysis Explained").
Risks and Considerations:
Market Risk:
The strategy assumes that the ETF will continue to decline once shorted. However, markets can be unpredictable, and price movements might not align with the strategy's expectations, especially in a volatile market (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable").
Scaling Risks:
Scaling into a position as the price increases may increase exposure to adverse price movements. This method can amplify losses if the market moves against the position significantly before any reversal occurs.
Liquidity Risk:
Depending on the ETF’s liquidity, executing large trades in increments might affect the price and increase trading costs. It is crucial to ensure that the ETF has sufficient liquidity to handle large trades without significant slippage (James Altucher, "Trade Like a Hedge Fund").
Execution Risk:
The strategy relies on timely execution of trades based on specific conditions. Delays or errors in order execution can impact performance, especially in fast-moving markets.
Technical Indicator Limitations:
Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical data and may not always predict future price movements accurately. They can sometimes produce false signals, leading to potential losses if used in isolation (John Murphy, "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets").
Conclusion
The TPS Short strategy utilizes a combination of long-term trend filtering, overbought conditions, and incremental shorting to potentially profit from price reversals. While the strategy has a structured approach and leverages well-known technical indicators, it is essential to be aware of the inherent risks, including market volatility, liquidity issues, and potential limitations of technical indicators. As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting and risk management are crucial to its successful implementation.
Average True Range with Price MAATR with Price Moving Average Indicator
This custom indicator combines the Average True Range (ATR) with a Price Moving Average (MA) to help traders analyze market volatility in percent to the price.
Key Components:
Average True Range (ATR)
Price Moving Average (MA)
ATR/Price in Percent
ATR/Price in Percent
Purpose: This ratio helps traders understand the relative size of the ATR compared to the current price, providing a clearer sense of how significant the volatility is in proportion to the price level.
Calculation: ATR is divided by the current closing price and multiplied by 100 to express it as a percentage. This makes it easier to compare volatility across assets with different price ranges.
Plot: This is plotted as a percentage, making it easier to gauge whether the volatility is proportionally high or low compared to the asset's price.
Usage:
This indicator is designed to help identify the most volatile tokens, making it ideal for configuring a Grid Bot to maximize profit. By focusing on high-volatility assets, traders can capitalize on larger price swings within the grid, increasing the potential for more profitable trades.
Features:
Customizable Smoothing Method: Choose from RMA (Relative Moving Average), SMA (Simple Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), or WMA (Weighted Moving Average) for both ATR and the Price Moving Average.
Dual Perspective: The indicator provides both volatility analysis (ATR) and trend analysis (Price MA) in a single view.
Proportional Volatility: The ATR/Price (%) ratio adds a layer of context by showing how volatile the asset is relative to its current price.
