Day ATR H/L + Yesterday H/L + Today H/L - divinechartistNow you can monitor Yesterday's high and low on a small time frame, You no need to switch time frame every time.
Also, you can monitor support and resistance base on Day's ATR (Default Value is 14)
and also we used EMA of 21 for small-time trand identify.
This indicator helps you to find the best trade near to support and resistance. Using this indicator you can enter in trand with small STOPLOSS and for a BIG PROFIT.
EX :
If your current price is below 21EMA and also broke yesterday's low, so its probability to go more down.
Same, If the price is above 21EMA and the price broke yesterday's high so probability it's going more UP.
Also, you can book profit and set STOPLOSS base on ATR value.
if the price above or near TOP-ATR it's mean it's not the best price to buy, You can book a profit at this price or try to find short sell trade.
Same as if price below BOTTOM-ATR it's mean it's not the best price to sell, You can book a profit at this price or try to find buy trade.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "profit"
Cross impro test by Canundo Crossover Crossunder Tick valuesThis is a script where I tried to check the following things:
Even thought the tick of an asset is, for example 0.5, there are calculated prices, like SMA's that have even more decimals. Leading to crosses happening that for example happen at the same price. Consequently triggering totally useless in side markets. What happens if SMA values are restricted to the tick resolution? (Option works on it's own or with a combination of the others.)
What happens if I set my own tick value, like 0.8 instead of 0.5, what will be the effect for calculated values that are used for crossings? Will tick sizes improve the success rate? (This option will work only when the first option is active.)
Can success rate, especially for sideway markets be improved when adding a spread between MA's, so that it triggers less in sideway markets? (Option works on it's own or with a combination of the others.)
First of all, I had a hard time to round prices properly when it needs to be dynamic and working for different assets with different amounts of decimal values in the tick. The solution is that abs(floor(syminfo.mintick)) will give you the amount of decimals a tick has. It works for all ticks that are at least lower than 10. I'm not sure how huge ticks are out there. I did not implement this solution at the end since I found another way to test it.
Findings:
The first option, when activated, takes out half the trades and raises the percent profitability by 8% so there is some effect. However, all of the tested options have less advantage than I hoped for but are nevertheless something worthy for sideway markets. The first option just forces the MA's from the example to use the tick resolution.
See these two images. One when the first option is off, the second when it's active.
The lines are the MA's with adjusted values, the crosses are the places of the MA's when left as is.
Here a screenshot of the third option set to the value 2 on the 1 minute XBTUSD chart.
The advantage is that less trades trigger that have a low change in price and so less trading fees will happen.
The disadvantage is that all options can implement some delay for a crossing since the crossing will trigger once a slightly bigger move into the direction was taken.
This test environment was not meant to be profitable but to test the effects.
Maybe someone finds it interesting or wanted to test the same, so here you can save some work.
Bollinger Bands Strategy with Intraday Intensity IndexFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets.
This is a mean reversion strategy based on Bollinger Bands and the Intraday Intensity Index (a volume indicator). John Bollinger mentions that the Intraday Intensity Index can be used with Bollinger Bands and is one of the top indicators he recommends in his book. It seems he prefers it over the other volume indicators that he compares to for some reason. III looks a lot like Chaikin Money Flow but without the denominator in that calculation. On the default settings of the BBs, the III helps give off better entry signals. John Bollinger however is vague on how to use the BBs and it's hard to say if one should enter when it is below/above the bands or when the price crosses them. I find that with many indicators and strategies it's best to wait for a confirmation of some sort, in this case by waiting for some crossover of a band. Like most mean reversion strategies, the exit is very loose if using BBs alone. Usually the plan to exit is when the price finally reverts back to the mean or in this case the middle band. This can potentially lead to huge drawdowns and/or losses. Mean reversion strategies can have high win/loss ratios but can still end up unprofitable because of the huge losses that can occur. These drawdowns/losses that mean reversion strategies suffer from can potentially eat away at a large chunk of all that was previously made or perhaps up to all of it in the worst cases, can occur weeks or perhaps up to months after being profitable trading such a strategy, and will take a while and several trades to make it all back or keep a profitable track record. It is important to have a stop loss, trailing stop, or some sort of stop plan with these types of strategies. For this one, in addition to exiting the trade when price reverts to the middle band, I included a time-based stop plan that exits with a gain or with a loss to avoid potentially large losses, and to exit after only a few periods after taking the trade if in profit instead of waiting for the price to revert back to the mean.
IFR2The IFR2 strategy is based on the RSI indicator.
If the two period RSI is less than the overbought level (25 is the default, but you can configure it to be lower), a long position is placed at the close of the candle. If you are doing it live, you'd have to enter the market ~ 10 minutes before it closes, check the RSI, and buy if it is lower than your overbought level. This generates a discrepancy in the backtesting, but since it is a very small difference, it can be disregarded. Higher overbought levels generate more signals, but they mostly are unreliable. Lower values generates better yields, but they won't occur very often. This strategy is designed to be used in a daily graph, and I don't recommend using it in intraday periods, since you'll make too little money to compensate for the operational cost.
The strategy exits when the high price of two previous candles is reached. If the exit price is higher than the closing price of when you entered, you'll be at a profit, otherwise you'll be at a loss. The exit price is plotted in the graph and it's colors depends on the current open profit: positive values will be green, negative will be red.
This strategy completely disregards the current trend. Long orders will be placed even if you are at a strong down trend. This may seem odd, but you have to keep in mind that this is a volatility based strategy , not a trend following one.
This setup was designed by Alexandre Wolwacz, a.k.a. Stormer.
Ampleforth Rebase MACDThis script reveals Ampleforth rebase levels which are going to always work. In addition to that is MACD crossovers serving as potential buy/sell entries. You can set alerts for MACD crossovers and price entering balanced value area (0.96 - 1.06).
MACD signals can be used to automatically open a position and entering a balanced value area can be used as take-profit. Since the price will always move to this level, using this strategy without leverage should be profitable.
Ampleforth seems like a nice asset to trade since it is unlikely to correlate with anything else. At least not when it gets to the extreme levels.
Bitcoin - MA Crossover StrategyBefore You Begin:
Please read these warnings carefully before using this script, you will bear all fiscal responsibility for your own trades.
Trading Strategy Warning - Past performance of this strategy may not equal future performance, due to macro-environment changes, etc.
Account Size Warning - Performance based upon default 10% risk per trade, of account size $100,000. Adjust BEFORE you trade to see your own drawdown.
Time Frame - D1 and H4. H4 has a lower profit factor (more fake-outs, and account drawdown), D1 recommended.
Trend Following System - Profitability of this system is dependent on STRONG future trends in Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
Default Settings:
This script was tested on Daily and 4 Hourly charts using the following default settings. Note that 4 Hourly exhibits higher drawdowns and lower profit factor, whilst Daily appears more stable.
Account Size ($): 100,000 (please adjust to simulate your own risk)
Equity Risk (%): 10 (please adjust to simulate your own risk)
Fast Moving Average (Period): 20
Slow Moving Average (Period): 40
Relative Strength Index (Period): 14
Trading Mechanism:
Trend following strategies work well for assets that display the tendency of long-trends. Please do not use this script on financial assets that have a historical tendency for mean reversion. Bitcoin has historically exhibited strong trends, and thus this script is designed to capitalise on that behaviour. It is hoped (but we cannot predict), that Bitcoin will strongly trend in the coming days.
LONG:
Enter Long - When fast moving average (20) crosses ABOVE slow moving average (40)
Exit Long - When fast moving average (20) crosses BELOW slow moving average (40)
SHORT:
Enter Short - When fast moving average (20) crosses BELOW slow moving average (40)
Exit Short - When fast moving average (20) crosses ABOVE slow moving average (40)
Risk Warnings:
Do note that "moving averages" are a lagging indicator, and as such heavy drawdowns could occur when a trade is open. If you are trading this system manually, it is best to avoid emotions and let the system tell you when to enter and exit. Do not panic and exit manually when under heavy drawdown, always follow the system. Do not be emotional. If possible, connect this to your broker for auto-trading. Ensure that your risk per trade (Equity Risk) is SMALL enough that it does not result in a margin-call on your trading account. Equity risk must always be considered relative to your total account size.
Remember: You bear all financial responsibility for your trades, best of luck.
PineScript v4 - Forex Pin-Bar Trading StrategyPineScript v4, forex trading robot based on the commonly used bullish / bearish pin-bar piercing the moving averages strategy.
I coded this robot to stress-test the PineScript v4 language to see how advanced it is, and whether I could port a forex trading strategy from MT4 to TradingView.
In my opinion, PineScript v4 is still not a professional coding language; for example you cannot use IF-statements to modify the contents of global variables; this makes complex robot behaviour difficult to implement. In addition, it is unclear if the programmer can use nested IF-ELSE, or nested FOR within IF.
The sequence of program execution is also unclear, and although complex order entry and exit appears to function properly, I am not completely comfortable with it.
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: Forex
Time Frame: H1
Long Entry Conditions:
a) Moving Average up trend, fast crosses above slow
b) Presence of a Bullish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces either Moving Average
d) Moving Averages must be sloping up, angle threshold (optional)
Short Entry Conditions:
a) Moving Average down trend, fast crosses below slow
b) Presence of a Bearish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces either Moving Average
d) Moving Averages must be sloping down, angle threshold (optional)
Exit Conditions:
a) Stoploss level is hit
b) Takeprofit level is hit
c) Moving Averages cross-back (optional)
Default Robot Settings:
Equity Risk (%): 3 //how much account balance to risk per trade
Stop Loss (x*ATR, Float): 2.1 //stoploss = x * ATR, you can change x
Risk : Reward (1 : x*SL, Float): 3.1 //takeprofit = x * stop_loss_distance, you can change x
Fast MA (Period): 20 //fast moving average period
Slow MA (Period): 50 //slow moving average period
ATR (Period): 14 //average true range period
Use MA Slope (Boolean): true //toggle the requirement of the moving average slope
Bull Slope Angle (Deg): 1 //angle above which, moving average is considered to be sloping up
Bear Slope Angle (Deg): -1 //angle below which, moving average is considered to be sloping down
Exit When MA Re-Cross (Boolean): true //toggle, close trade if moving average crosses back
Cancel Entry After X Bars (Period): 3 //cancel the order after x bars not triggered, you can change x
Backtest Results (2019 to 2020, H1, Default Settings):
EURJPY - 111% profit, 2.631 profit factor, 16.43% drawdown
EURUSD - 103% profit, 2.899 profit factor, 14.95% drawdown
EURAUD - 76.75% profit, 1.8 profit factor, 17.99% drawdown
NZDUSD - 64.62% profit, 1.727 profit factor, 19.14% drawdown
GBPUSD - 58.73% profit, 1.663 profit factor, 15.44% downdown
AUDJPY - 48.71% profit, 1.635 profit factor, 11.81% drawdown
USDCHF - 30.72% profit, 1.36 profit factor, 22.63% drawdown
AUDUSD - 8.54% profit, 1.092 profit factor, 19.86% drawdown
EURGBP - 0.03% profit, 1.0 profit factor, 29.66% drawdown
USDJPY - 1.96% loss, 0.972 profit factor, 28.37% drawdown
USDCAD - 6.36% loss, 0.891 profit factor, 21.14% drawdown
GBPJPY - 28.27% loss, 0.461 profit factor, 39.13% drawdown
To reduce the possibility of curve-fitting, this robot was backtested on 12 popular forex currencies, as shown above. The robot was profitable on 8 out of 12 currencies, breakeven on 1, and made a loss on 3.
The default robot settings could be over-fitting for the EUR, as we can see out-sized performance for the EUR pairs, with the exception of the EURGBP. We can see that GBPJPY made the largest loss, so these two pairs could be related.
Risk Warning:
This is a forex trading strategy that involves high risk of equity loss, and backtest performance will not equal future results. You agree to use this script at your own risk.
Fibonacci-Trading-Indicator_2 (Code-Änderung)Tägliche Gewinne mit dem Fibonacci-Trading Indikator
Die Notierungen bewegen sich in liquiden Märkten in Fibonacci-Verhältnissen. Mit diesem Indikator erhalten Sie für Tagesgeschäfte und für Positionstrades auf Basis einer Woche oder eines Monats Informationen, wo Sie in den Markt einsteigen sollten und was das mindeste erreichbare Kursziel ist. Dieses Kursziel liegt bei 61,8% der gestrigen Handelspanne, der Handelspanne der Vorwoche oder der Handelspanne des Vormonats. Dort realisieren Sie Ihre Gewinne.
Erforderliche Eingaben im Eigenschaftenfenster des Indikators:
• Vorwahl Aufwärtstrend/ Abwärtstrend.
• Zeitrahmen des Kursbalkens für das zu ermittelnde mögliche Hoch/ Tief.
• Handelspanne der vorherigen Periode.
• Aktuell tiefstes Tief des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn die Notierungen steigen.
• Aktuell höchstes Hoch des vorgewählten Zeitrahmens, wenn die Notierungen fallen.
Für die Erkennung der Bewegungsrichtung kann der Camelback-Indikator eine gute Hilfe sein.
Ausgaben im Chart sind die möglichen Kurslevels, für das mögliche Hoch oder Tief des Kursbalkens im eingestellten Zeitrahmen des Trading-Indikators.
Wichtige Bereiche für das Trading sind folgende Kurslevels:
• Einstiegsbereich 0% - 14,6% oder 0% - 23,6%
• Kursziellevel 61,8%
Kaufen/ verkaufen Sie innerhalb des Einstiegsbereichs zwischen 0% und 23,6%, während der Markt die Bewegungsrichtung vorgibt und sich in Richtung des long-/ oder short-Einstiegspunktes bewegt. Das sind jeweils die Kurslevels bei 14,6% oder 23,6%. Der 61,8%-Kurslevel ist das mindeste erwartbare Kursziel. Wir gehen davon aus, dass der aktuelle Kursbalken mindestens 61,8% der Handelsspanne, der vorherigen Periode erreichen wird. Realisieren Sie deshalb die angelaufenen Gewinne mit 50% der Position, wenn die Notierungen den 61,8% - Level erreicht haben. Mit einem geeigneten Trailing-Stopp lassen Sie sich mit der restlichen Position ausstoppen, riskieren Sie dafür aber nicht mehr als 50 % der angelaufenen Gewinne.
Wählen Sie einen kleinen Zeitrahmen, wenn sich die Notierungen noch im Einstiegsbereich bewegen, um die Richtung des Kursbalkens zu erkennen. Für Positionstrades auf Wochen- oder Monatssicht wird für den Einstieg der Einstiegsbereich 0% - bis 14,6% gewählt. Für Tagesgeschäfte (Zeitrahmen Tag vorgewählt) wird wegen der geringeren Tageshandelspanne der Einstiegsbereich 0% - 23,6% empfohlen.
Mit der Vorwahl Jahr und den entsprechenden Eingaben kann auch das mindeste erwartbare Jahreshoch/ Jahrestief ermittelt werden.
Die Fibonacci-Kurslevels lassen sich ein- und ausblenden. Klicken Sie im Chart auf das Zahnrad für „Chart Einstellungen“. Im Menü „Skalierungen“ kann mit der Vorwahl „Label für Indikatornahmen“ und „Label für letzten Indikatorwert“ die Kurslevels angezeigt werden. Schieben Sie den Chart nach rechts um Unterstützungen und Widerstände an den Kurslevels zu finden.
Bei Eingabefehlern oder fehlenden Eingaben zu einem Zeitrahmen wird der Indikator ausgeblendet.
Achten Sie zur Vermeidung von Verlusten auf ihr Handelsmanagement.
Daily profits with the Fibonacci trading indicator
The quotes move in Fibonacci ratios in liquid markets. With this indicator you receive information for daily trades and position trades based on a week or a month, where you should enter the market and what is the minimum price target that you can achieve. This price target is 61.8% of yesterday's trading range, the trading range of the previous week or the trading range of the previous month.
There you realize your profits.Required entries in the properties window of the indicator:
• Preselection uptrend / downtrend.
• Time frame of the price bar for the possible high / low to be determined.
• previous period trading range.
• Current lowest low of the selected time frame when prices rise.
• Current highest high in the selected time frame when prices fall.
The camelback indicator can be of great help in recognizing the direction of movement.
Outputs in the chart are the possible price levels for the possible high or low of the price bar in the set time frame of the trading indicator.
The following price levels are important areas for trading:
• Entry range 0% - 14.6% or 0% - 23.6%
• Target price level 61.8%
Buy / sell within the entry range between 0% and 23.6% as the market sets the direction of movement and moves towards the long / or short entry point. These are the price levels at 14.6% or 23.6%. The 61.8% price level is the minimum expected price target. We assume that the current bar will reach at least 61.8% of the trading range of the previous period. You should therefore realize the profits you have made with 50% of the position when the prices have reached the 61.8% level. With a suitable trailing stop you can be stopped with the rest of the position, but do not risk more than 50% of the profits.
Choose a small time frame when the quotes are still moving in the entry area to see the direction of the price bar. For position trades on a weekly or monthly perspective, the entry range 0% - to 14.6% is chosen. For day-to-day trades (pre-selected time frame), the entry range 0% - 23.6% is recommended due to the lower daily trading range.With the preselection year and the corresponding entries, the minimum expected annual high / annual low can also be determined.
The Fibonacci price levels can be shown and hidden. In the chart click on the gear wheel for “Chart Settings”. In the “Scaling” menu, the price levels can be displayed with the preselection “Label for indicator names” and “Label for last indicator value”. Slide the chart to the right to find support and resistance at the price levels.
In the event of input errors or missing entries for a time frame, the indicator is hidden.
Pay attention to your trade management to avoid losses.
The Lazy Trader - Index (ETF) Trend Following Robot50/150 moving average, index (ETF) trend following robot. Coded for people who cannot psychologically handle dollar-cost-averaging through bear markets and extreme drawdowns (although DCA can produce better results eventually), this robot helps you to avoid bear markets. Be a fair-weathered friend of Mr Market, and only take up his offer when the sun is shining! Designed for the lazy trader who really doesn't care...
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: ETF
Time Frame: Daily
Necessary ETF Macro Conditions:
a) Country must have healthy demographics, good ratio of young > old
b) Country population must be increasing
c) Country must be experiencing price-inflation
Default Robot Settings:
Slow Moving Average: 50 (integer) //adjust to suit your underlying index
Fast Moving Average: 150 (integer) //adjust to suit your underlying index
Bullish Slope Angle: 5 (degrees) //up angle of moving averages
Bearish Slope Angle: -5 (degrees) //down angle of moving averages
Average True Range: 14 (integer) //input for slope-angle formula
Risk: 100 (%) //100% risk means using all equity per trade
ETF Test Results (Default Settings):
SPY (1993 to 2020, 27 years), 332% profit, 20 trades, 6.4 profit factor, 7% drawdown
EWG (1996 to 2020, 24 years), 310% profit, 18 trades, 3.7 profit factor, 10% drawdown
EWH (1996 to 2020, 24 years), 4% loss, 26 trades, 0.9 profit factor, 36% drawdown
QQQ (1999 to 2020, 21 years), 232% profit, 17 trades, 3.6 profit factor, 2% drawdown
EEM (2003 to 2020, 17 years), 73% profit, 17 trades, 1.1 profit factor, 3% drawdown
GXC (2007 to 2020, 13 years), 18% profit, 14 trades, 1.3 profit factor, 26% drawdown
BKF (2009 to 2020, 11 years), 11% profit, 13 trades, 1.2 profit factor, 33% drawdown
A longer time in the markets is better, with the exception of EWH. 6 out of 7 tested ETFs were profitable, feel free to test on your favourite ETF (default settings) and comment below.
Risk Warning:
Not tested on commodities nor other financial products like currencies (code will not work), feel free to leave comments below.
Moving Average Slope Angle Formula:
Reproduced and modified from source:
MACD+ Strategy [SystemAlpha]This is a strategy based on MACD Oscillator . Instead of using just the normal crossovers, we use trend filters, trailing stop loss and take profit targets. This strategy was developed for crypto, forex and stocks on daily timeframe but feel free to experiment on 15 minutes or higher using heikin ashi or normal candles
In this strategy you have a choice of:
Trend Filters:
- Average Directional Index ( ADX ) – buy when price is trend is up and sell when trend is down.
- Moving Average (MA) – buy when price close above the defined moving average and sell when price close below moving average
- Parabolic SAR – buy when SAR is above price is above price and sell when SAR is below price.
- All - Use ADX , MA and SAR as filters
For MA Filter , you can use the “TF MA Type” and "TF MA Period" parameter to select Simple or Exponential Moving Average and length.
Stop Loss:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Parabolic SAR ( SAR ) – Parabolic SAR adapted as trailing stop loss.
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Trailing Stop Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Take Profit Target:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Standard % – Percent as target profit
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Take Profit Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Additional feature include:
- Regular and Hidden Divergence display and alerts
STRATEGY ONLY:
- Set back test date range
- Set trade direction - Long, Short or Both
- Use timed exit - Select method and bars
- Method 1: Exit after specified number of bars.
- Method 2: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently profitable.
- Method 3: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently losing.
TradingView Links:
Alerts:
MACD:
How to use:
1. Apply the script by browsing through Indicators --> Invite-Only scripts and select the indicator
2. Once loaded, click the gear (settings) button to select/adjust the parameters based on your preference.
3. Wait for the next BUY or SELL signal to enter the trade!
Disclaimer:
The indicator and signals generated do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are subject to change without notice.
Mean Deviation Detector - Throw Out All Other IndicatorsI set out this morning to create a script that searches out price moves that went too far too fast relative to historical pricing, given that such situations often result in the most profitable trading opportunities. I came up with the mean deviation detector. This script should be used as a means of judging how far a price is trading, in percent terms, from it's "average trading zone".
This is extremely helpful in a couple scenarios.
First, it can be used to judge a move's volatility relative to it's previous volatility. Put simply, a 5% move in the stock of Coca Cola is a lot more meaningful than a 5% move in the stock of Tesla, and the detector puts moves into historical (visual) perspective.
Second, the indicator can be used in real time as a means of determining when the chances of mean reversion are high or low. Extreme values are unsustainable and often lead to EITHER A.) price mean reversion or B.) time mean reversion. Put simply, prices either went too far and are due to fall back to a historical mean, or they need more time to digest a potentially new pricing zone.
Without getting too deep into volume profile analysis, the MDD can be a simple way of telling that a stock has moved into an "air pocket", where prices will either come back to the previous volume node (price mean reversion) or set up shop in a new, uncharted area (time mean reversion).
An extreme value doesn't always mean a trading opportunity, but it means that something interesting is happening in the stock / instrument.
I use this indicator to help me trade covered calls. Lots of high yielding weekly opportunities are stocks that have moved too far too fast, and I like to use this indicator as a means of either a.) scooping up stocks that have gotten beat up from a historical mean perspective & have likely seen the risk already "beaten" out of them, or to b.) stay away from stocks that have a very high chance of price correcting lower. In situations where I say that the risk has been "beaten" out of something, it doesn't mean that the stock won't continue to fall, it simply means that the degree and acceleration of the fall has peaked and that risk premiums in selling options will / should easily pay for continued losses. In the event that it's a price correction and not a time correction, you also increase your bat rate because you get auto-liquidated at a max profit. It's a really valuable tool in my kit.
You can also feel free to put a Keltner Chanel overlay onto the MDD to filter out noise, identify "extreme" values, and place mean reversion trades if you expect price mean reversion is likely, if you want to use this as the basis of a proper trading strategy. For a high extreme value, you could sell short term OTM call spreads, for example.
The MDD is adaptable to your own trading style & preferences.
Volume Weighted Bollinger Bands Strategy
Simple strategy,
Using Volume weighted Bollinger Bands
> Directions for Usage:
1. Use only in scripts where volume is specified by tradingview
2. Check on which timeframe the script has a profit factor greater than 1.4
3. Use that timeframe for profitability
4. In some high liquid securities there is a decent profit factor even at 5 min scale (optimise at your end!! all i want to say)
Enjoy!
Hope this helps!!
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
13612WThis script is a 13612W momentum filter used in the Vigilant Asset Allocation (VAA) and Defensive Asset Allocation (DAA) created by Wouter J. Keller and Jan Willem Keuning.
This asset allocation strategy was uploaded to SSRN in 2017 and 2018.
13612W Calculation Method
(Profitability in Last 1 months * 12 +
Profitability in Last 3 months * 4 +
Profitability in Last 6 months * 2 +
Profitability in Last 12 months)/4
Let me briefly explain one of the VAAs, VAA-G4.
The VAA-G4 has an annualized return of 17.7%, a Sharpe ratio of 1.07% and Max Drawdown of 16.1%.
(It's too long and complicated to describe all VAA, DAA strategies. Above all, the translator performance is not good.)
VAA Global 4 Universe: SPY, EFA, EEM, AGG
Cash Universe: SHY , IEF, LQD
If 13612W of VAA Global 4 Universe is negative at least one
>> 100% of assets hold one of the highest 13612W of Cash Universe
If all 13612W of VAA Global 4 Universe are positive
>> 100% of assets hold one of the highest 13612W of VAA Global 4 Universe
Rebalancing is done every month according to this method.
inwCoin Martingale Strategy ( for Bitcoin )** Same as my previous martingale script but this version = opensource **
inwCoin Martingale Strategy is the proof of concept strategy that in the end, anyone who using martingale strategy will kaboom their portfolio.
For those who don't know what is "martingale".. it's a simple double down strategy in the hope to cover the loss in previous entry.
Example
In the game that if you win, you'll get 100% of your bet money back.
1st loss = 1$
2nd loss = bet 2$ : if win, get 2$ / real profit = 1$ ( 2-1 )
3rd loss = bet 4$ : if win, get 4$ / real profit = 1$ ( 4 - ( 2+1) )
4th loss = bet 8$ : if win, get 8$ / real profit = 1$ ( 8 - ( 4+2+1 ) )
...
...
10th loss = bet 512$ : if win, get 512$ / real profit = 1$ ( 512 - ( 256+128+64+32+16+8+4+2+1) )
as you can see, the next bet will be first bet x 2^(n-1)
and the profit will equal to your first bet.
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In trading and forex EA ( Expert Advisor or bot ) people use this strategy to fool newbies that their martingale system will generate steady income for eternity.
But in reality, this strategy will destroy your whole portfolio eventually some time in the future. Because there will be some "Blackswan event" in market at some point in time. And one who ignore this fact, will lose everything.
But, if you using low risk strategy and generate some profit from your low-risk portfolio. You can take small chunk of that profit and put it in riskier strategy like this martingale, to accerelate your profit snowball.
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Parameter Explaination
====================
Price = datasource for indicator calculation
Fixed position size option = if uncheck, the "Start position size" parameter will be % of your initial capital. If checked, it will fixed position size ( like 1 BTC )
Start Position Logic = condition to enter first trade
- MACD singal > 0 : Self explanatory, default macd value
- Stochastic RSI cross up : enter when sto line cross up from bottom ( 20 )
- ATR channel : enter trade if price cross above 2.3 ATR
Take Profit Percent = take profit target % from average entry
Start martingale ..= if price compare to average position entry less than this %, it will start to double down ( martingale )
Martingale Multiplier = you can specific how big you'll double down, default is 2
Trade Direction = long only for now
Use date rang = self explanatory
** make sure to setup your initial capital in properties tab **
On chart
=======
White Line = Average position price
Orange Line = your current equity
If equity less than 0, it will close any remaining positions ( It's mean your position got liquidated )
If price > equity line for "take profit percent" it will close any remaining positions.
=======
As you can see, this strategy survive 2018 drop and pump profit to 1000+% ( Check in the strategy tester tab > list of trades )
But in May 2020 -50% drop in just 3 days, your whole portfolio got liquidated.
Actually, after some digging in profit and backtest result.
This strategy, when it can survive a shape drop, can generate a lot of profit.
So, if you want to use martingale. Make sure to use only small chunk of your profit from "low-risk" strategy to accelerate your profit generation ( aka degen port )
DO NOT greedy and use all of your initial capital or borrowed money to use with this strategy!
Percent Trailing Stop %===========
Percent Trailing Stop %
===========
Another Stop Loss Indicator today - our last Fixed SL/TP script went down quite well, this one is for adding a Percent Trailing Stop from Entry Price to your own strategy.
You can ignore the actual entry/exit orders - they're based on a simple MA cross and are therefore NOT relevant, NOT profitable and NOT recommended!
You should be using this code as a way of adding a % Trailing Stop to your own scripts - hope it helps!
You should also notice that a generally considered losing strategy (a simple MA cross) could actually become profitable with careful money management - try combining this Trailing Stop script with our Fixed Stop/Take Profit script for really accurate management of your capital.
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Good Luck and Happy Trading!
CBMA Bollinger Bands Strategy directed [ChuckBanger]I just did a Bollinger Bands script with my newly CB moving average
While I'm generally against posting strategies because it's very easy to fake performance numbers... This is just to share a cool strategy snippet. My settings are 10 contracts/order with pyramiding set to 10. You can make the profitability a lot higher if you set the order size higher. But that dosent help you getting more out of this script when u make a bot of this script. I set the order size to 10 contracts to get your attention not to showcase the performance.
When the price is going down and outside of the lower side of the band. And when the price comes back into the channel the strategy buys. Usually that means the price is going up. And when the price is going up and outside of the upper band. The strategy sells when it crosses back in to the channel.
It is a very simple strategy but it is effective. I guess you need a proper stop-loss for this script to bee really profitable in a bot environment.
BitMEX pump catcher - MACDThis is a modified version of the BitMEX pump catcher by Jomy .
I have tweaked the algorithm to use the difference in MACD to get the correct direction of entries rather than using direction of candles which are not always indicative of trend direction. These changes increase net profit, profitable trades, while reducing drawdown.
Below is a copy and paste of Jomy's explanation of the algorithm.
What is going on here? This strategy is pretty simple. We start by measuring a very long chunk of volume history on BitMEX:XBTUSD 1 hour chart to find out if the current volume is high or low. At 1.0 the indicator is showing we are at 100% of normal historical volume . The blue line is a measure of recent volume! This indicator gets interested when the volume drops below 90% of the regular volume (0.9), and then comes back up over 90%. There's usually a pump of increased price activity during this time. When the 0.9 line is crossed by the blue line, the indicator surveys the last 2 bars of price action to figure out which way we're going, long or short. Green is long. Red is short. To exit the trade we use a 7 period fast ema of the volume crossing under an 11 ema slower period which shows declining interest in the market signifying an end to the pump or dump. The profit factor is quite high with 5x leverage, but historically we see 50% drawdown -- very risky. 1x leverage looks nice and tight with very low drawdown. Play with the inputs to see what matches your own risk profile. I would not recommend taking this into much lower timeframes as trading fees are not included in the profit calculations. Please don't get burned trading on stupid high leverage. This indicator is probably not going to work well on alts, as Bitcoin FOMO build up and behavior is different. This whole indicator is tuned to Bitcoin , and attempts to trade only the meatiest part of the market moves.
Jomy should get full credit to this indicator
SMA_Cross + RSI1. long
a. RSI does not open an order when it is overbought, until the RSI falls below a certain threshold, and then open a position
b. There are already many positions. If the RSI is overbought, it will be profitable. When the RSI falls below a certain threshold, open a long position again until the moving average crossover signal turns short.
2. Short
a. RSI does not open an order when it is oversold, and then opens a position after RSI rises to a certain threshold
b. There are already short positions. If the RSI is oversold, it will be profitable to close the short position. When the RSI rises above a certain threshold, open the short position again until there is a reversal of the moving average crossing signal.
1. 做多
a. RSI在超买区间时不开单，直到RSI回落到某个阈值之下，再开仓
b. 已经有多仓，如果RSI超买，则平多获利，当RSI回落到某个阈值之下后，再次开多，直到有均线交叉信号反转做空
2. 做空
a. RSI在超卖区间时不开单，直到RSI上升到某个阈值之后，再开仓
b. 已经有空仓，如果RSI超卖，则平空获利，当RSI上升到某个阈值之上后，再次开空，直到有均线交叉信号反转做多
NR4 / NR7 + Inside BarIndicator Script for identifying Narrow Range 4 / 7 + Inside Bar
It also helps to check whether NR4 / NR7 breakout trading has been profitable or not in the past in a particular instrument.
It has helped me to select profitable scripts and avoid losing ones. Can be used for anytime frame.
SIGNAL
NR4 == Narrowest range of 4 periods + signal day is an inside bar
NR4 & NR7 == Narrowest range of 7 periods + signal day is an inside bar
SIGNAL "PROFIT" -
Prior day was NR4 / NR7 and next day price broke out of prior day range in 1 direction and closed in the direction of breakout away from breakout price, resulting in a profit trade.
SIGNAL "LOSS" -
Prior day was NR4 / NR7 and next day price broke out of prior day range and returned back to close inside the narrow zone OR went in opposite direction after the initial breakout, resulting in a loss trade.
TradingView Alerts to MT4 MT5 + dynamic variables NON-REPAINTINGAccidentally, I’m sharing open-source profitable Forex strategy. Accidentally, because this was aimed to be purely educational material. A few days ago TradingView released a very powerful feature of dynamic values from PineScript now being allowed to be passed in Alerts. And thanks to TradingConnector, they could be instantly executed in MT4 or MT5 platform of any broker in the world. So yeah - TradingConnector works with indices and commodities, too.
The logic of this EURUSD 6h strategy is very simple - it is based on Stochastic crossovers with stop-loss set under most recent pivot point. Setting stop-loss with surgical precision is possible exactly thanks to allowance of dynamic values in alerts. TradingConnector has been also upgraded to take advantage of these dynamic values and it now enables executing trades with pre-calculated stop-loss, take-profit, as well as stop and limit orders.
Another fresh feature of TradingConnector, is closing positions only partly - provided that the broker allows it, of course. A position needs to have trade_id specified at entry, referred to in further alerts with partial closing. Detailed spec of alerts syntax and functionalities can be found at TradingConnector website. How to include dynamic variables in alert messages can be seen at the very end of the script in alertcondition() calls.
The strategy also takes commission into consideration.
Slippage is intentionally left at 0. Due to shorter than 1 second delivery time of TradingConnector, slippage is practically non-existing. This can be achieved especially if you’re using VPS server, hosted in the same datacenter as your brokers’ servers. I am using such setup, it is doable. Small slippage and spread is already included in commission value.
This strategy is NON-REPAINTING and uses NO TRAILING-STOP or any other feature known to be faulty in TradingView backtester. Does it make this strategy bulletproof and 100% success-guaranteed? Hell no! Remember the no.1 rule of backtesting - no matter how profitable and good looking a script is, it only tells about the past. There is zero guarantee the same strategy will get similar results in the future.
To turn this script into study so that alerts can be produced, do 2 things:
1. comment “strategy” line at the beginning and uncomment “study” line
2. comment lines 54-59 and uncomment lines 62-65.
Then add script to the chart and configure alerts.
This script was build for educational purposes only.
Certainly this is not financial advice. Anybody using this script or any of its parts in any way, must be aware of high risks connected with trading.
Thanks @LucF and @a.tesla2018 for helping me with code fixes :)
Backtesting on Non-Standard Charts: Caution! - PineCoders FAQMuch confusion exists in the TradingView community about backtesting on non-standard charts. This script tries to shed some light on the subject in the hope that traders make better use of those chart types.
Non-standard charts are:
Heikin Ashi (HA)
Renko
Kagi
Point & Figure
Range
These chart types are called non-standard because they all transform market prices into synthetic views of price action. Some focus on price movement and disregard time. Others like HA use the same division of bars into fixed time intervals but calculate artificial open, high, low and close (OHLC) values.
Non-standard chart types can provide traders with alternative ways of interpreting price action, but they are not designed to test strategies or run automated traded systems where results depend on the ability to enter and exit trades at precise price levels at specific times, whether orders are issued manually or algorithmically. Ironically, the same characteristics that make non-standard chart types interesting from an analytical point of view also make them ill-suited to trade execution. Why? Because of the dislocation that a synthetic view of price action creates between its non-standard chart prices and real market prices at any given point in time. Switching from a non-standard chart price point into the market always entails a translation of time/price dimensions that results in uncertainty—and uncertainty concerning the level or the time at which orders are executed is detrimental to all strategies.
The delta between the chart’s price when an order is issued (which is assumed to be the expected price) and the price at which that order is filled is called slippage . When working from normal chart types, slippage can be caused by one or more of the following conditions:
• Time delay between order submission and execution. During this delay the market may move normally or be subject to large orders from other traders that will cause large moves of the bid/ask levels.
• Lack of bids for a market sell or lack of asks for a market buy at the current price level.
• Spread taken by middlemen in the order execution process.
• Any other event that changes the expected fill price.
When a market order is submitted, matching engines attempt to fill at the best possible price at the exchange. TradingView strategies usually fill market orders at the opening price of the next candle. A non-standard chart type can produce misleading results because the open of the next candle may or may not correspond to the real market price at that time. This creates artificial and often beneficial slippage that would not exist on standard charts.
Consider an HA chart. The open for each candle is the average of the previous HA bar’s open and close prices. The open of the HA candle is a synthetic value, but the real market open at the time the new HA candle begins on the chart is the unrelated, regular open at the chart interval. The HA open will often be lower on long entries and higher on short entries, resulting in unrealistically advantageous fills.
Another example is a Renko chart. A Renko chart is a type of chart that only measures price movement. The purpose of a Renko chart is to cluster price action into regular intervals, which consequently removes the time element. Because Trading View does not provide tick data as a price source, it relies on chart interval close values to construct Renko bricks. As a consequence, a new brick is constructed only when the interval close penetrates one or more brick thresholds. When a new brick starts on the chart, it is because the previous interval’s close was above or below the next brick threshold. The open price of the next brick will likely not represent the current price at the time this new brick begins, so correctly simulating an order is impossible.
Some traders have argued with us that backtesting and trading off HA charts and other non-standard charts is useful, and so we have written this script to show traders what happens when order fills from backtesting on non-standard charts are compared to real-world fills at market prices.
Let’s review how TV backtesting works. TV backtesting uses a broker emulator to execute orders. When an order is executed by the broker emulator on historical bars, the price used for the fill is either the close of the order’s submission bar or, more often, the open of the next. The broker emulator only has access to the chart’s prices, and so it uses those prices to fill orders. When backtesting is run on a non-standard chart type, orders are filled at non-standard prices, and so backtesting results are non-standard—i.e., as unrealistic as the prices appearing on non-standard charts. This is not a bug; where else is the broker emulator going to fetch prices than from the chart?
This script is a strategy that you can run on either standard or non-standard chart types. It is meant to help traders understand the differences between backtests run on both types of charts. For every backtest, a label at the end of the chart shows two global net profit results for the strategy:
• The net profits (in currency) calculated by TV backtesting with orders filled at the chart’s prices.
• The net profits (in currency) calculated from the same orders, but filled at market prices (fetched through security() calls from the underlying real market prices) instead of the chart’s prices.
If you run the script on a non-standard chart, the top result in the label will be the result you would normally get from the TV backtesting results window. The bottom result will show you a more realistic result because it is calculated from real market fills.
If you run the script on a normal chart type (bars, candles, hollow candles, line, area or baseline) you will see the same result for both net profit numbers since both are run on the same real market prices. You will sometimes see slight discrepancies due to occasional differences between chart prices and the corresponding information fetched through security() calls.
Features
• Results shown in the Data Window (third icon from the top right of your chart) are:
— Cumulative results
— For each order execution bar on the chart, the chart and market previous and current fills, and the trade results calculated from both chart and market fills.
• You can choose between 2 different strategies, both elementary.
• You can use HA prices for the calculations determining entry/exit conditions. You can use this to see how a strategy calculated from HA values can run on a normal chart. You will notice that such strategies will not produce the same results as the real market results generated from HA charts. This is due to the different environment backtesting is running on where for example, position sizes for entries on the same bar will be calculated differently because HA and standard chart close prices differ.
• You can choose repainting/non-repainting signals.
• You can show MAs, entry/exit markers and market fill levels.
• You can show candles built from the underlying market prices.
• You can color the background for occurrences where an order is filled at a different real market price than the chart’s price.
Notes
• On some non-standard chart types you will not obtain any results. This is sometimes due to how certain types of non-standard types work, and sometimes because the script will not emit orders if no underlying market information is detected.
• The script illustrates how those who want to use HA values to calculate conditions can do so from a standard chart. They will then be getting orders emitted on HA conditions but filled at more realistic prices because their strategy can run on a standard chart.
• On some non-standard chart types you will see market results surpass chart results. While this may seem interesting, our way of looking at it is that it points to how unreliable non-standard chart backtesting is, and why it should be avoided.
• In order not to extend an already long description, we do not discuss the particulars of executing orders on the realtime bar when using non-standard charts. Unless you understand the minute details of what’s going on in the realtime bar on a particular non-standard chart type, we recommend staying away from this.
• Some traders ask us: Why does TradingView allow backtesting on non-standard chart types if it produces unrealistic results? That’s somewhat like asking a hammer manufacturer why it makes hammers if hammers can hurt you. We believe it’s a trader’s responsibility to understand the tools he is using.
Takeaways
• Non-standard charts are not bad per se, but they can be badly used.
• TV backtesting on non-standard charts is not broken and doesn’t require fixing. Traders asking for a fix are in dire need of learning more about trading. We recommend they stop trading until they understand why.
• Stay away from—even better, report—any vendor presenting you with strategies running on non-standard charts and implying they are showing reliable results.
• If you don’t understand everything we discussed, don’t use non-standard charts at all.
• Study carefully how non-standard charts are built and the inevitable compromises used in calculating them so you can understand their limitations.
Thanks to @allanster and @mortdiggiddy for their help in editing this description.
Look first. Then leap.
NoNonsense Forex - high timeframe trading absurd NON-REPAINTINGSome time ago I bumped into NoNonsense Forex - pretty good-looking course with well-designed videos, reasonable rules, etc. Nice explanatory videos, not selling anything, building indicators-only strategy. But there was one thing that really annoyed me - it was supposed to work only on Daily timeframe. What is the point in trading such high timeframe, if decisions changing market direction are playing out within 1 minute? What is the point in evaluating trades from 1994 if we are 25 years later?
Anyway, I have developed this strategy, which is:
- non-repainting
- not using trailing-stop
- not using any other known TradingView backtest bugs
And I'm showing it as an example of OVERFITTING. Backtesting results look absurd: 100% profitable. But if you change any of the many parameters in the Settings popup, they will turn into disaster. It means, the rules of this strategy are very fragile. Don't trade this! Remember about backtesting rule #1: past results do not guarantee success in the future.
I'm giving this strategy out with the source code. Feel free to do anything you want with it. But if you find parameters or modifications on, which allow profitable trading on lower timeframes, don't be shy, let me know :)
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Forex / Indices / Commodities traders who want to start AUTO-TRADING might want to take a look at "TradingConnector", which allows no-latency trades execution from TradingView to MT4/MT5.
