NUPL Z-ScoreThis indicator is derived from Market Value and Realized Value, which can be defined as:
Market Value: The current price of Bitcoin multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. This is like market cap in traditional markets i.e. share price multiplied by number of shares.
Realized Value: Rather than taking the current price of Bitcoin, Realized Value takes the price of each Bitcoin when it was last moved i.e. the last time it was sent from one wallet to another wallet. It then adds up all those individual prices and takes an average of them. It then multiplies that average price by the total number of coins in circulation.
By subtracting Realized Value from Market Value we calculate Unrealized Profit/Loss.
Unrealized Profit/Loss estimates the total paper profits/losses in Bitcoin held by investors. This is interesting to know but of greater value is identifying how this changes relatively over time.
To do this we can divide Unrealized Profit/Loss by Market Cap. This creates Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, sometimes referred to as NUPL, which is very useful to track investor sentiment over time for Bitcoin.
Relative Unrealised Profit/Loss is another name used for this analysis.
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1A Monthly P&L Table - Using Library1A Monthly P&L Table: Track Your Performance Month-by-Month
Overview:
The 1A Monthly P&L Table is a straightforward yet powerful indicator designed to give you an immediate overview of your asset's (or strategy's) percentage performance on a monthly basis. Displayed conveniently in the bottom-right corner of your chart, this tool helps you quickly assess historical gains and losses, making it easier to analyze trends in performance over time.
Key Features:
Monthly Performance at a Glance: Clearly see the percentage change for each past month.
Cumulative P&L: A running total of the displayed monthly P&L is provided, giving you a quick sum of performance over the selected period.
Customizable Display:
Months to Display: Choose how many past months you want to see in the table (from 1 to 60 months).
Text Size: Adjust the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large, Huge) to fit your viewing preferences.
Text Color: Customize the color of the text for better visibility against your chart background.
Intraday & Daily Compatibility: The table is optimized to display on daily and intraday timeframes, ensuring it's relevant for various trading styles. (Note: For very long-term analysis on weekly/monthly charts, you might consider other tools, as this focuses on granular monthly P&L.)
How It Works:
The indicator calculates the percentage change from the close of the previous month to the close of the current month. For the very first month displayed, it calculates the P&L from the opening price of the chart's first bar to the close of that month. This data is then neatly organized into a table, updated on the last bar of the day or session.
Ideal For:
Traders and investors who want a quick, visual summary of monthly performance.
Analyzing seasonal trends or consistent periods of profitability/drawdown.
Supplementing backtesting results with a clear month-by-month breakdown.
Settings:
Text Color: Changes the color of all text within the table.
Text Size: Controls the font size of the table content.
Months to Display: Determines the number of recent months included in the table.
Lorentzian Classification - Advanced Trading DashboardLorentzian Classification - Relativistic Market Analysis
A Journey from Theory to Trading Reality
What began as fascination with Einstein's relativity and Lorentzian geometry has evolved into a practical trading tool that bridges theoretical physics and market dynamics. This indicator represents months of wrestling with complex mathematical concepts, debugging intricate algorithms, and transforming abstract theory into actionable trading signals.
The Theoretical Foundation
Lorentzian Distance in Market Space
Traditional Euclidean distance treats all feature differences equally, but markets don't behave uniformly. Lorentzian distance, borrowed from spacetime geometry, provides a more nuanced similarity measure:
d(x,y) = Σ ln(1 + |xi - yi|)
This logarithmic formulation naturally handles:
Scale invariance: Large price moves don't overwhelm small but significant patterns
Outlier robustness: Extreme values are dampened rather than dominating
Non-linear relationships: Captures market behavior better than linear metrics
K-Nearest Neighbors with Relativistic Weighting
The algorithm searches historical market states for patterns similar to current conditions. Each neighbor receives weight inversely proportional to its Lorentzian distance:
w = 1 / (1 + distance)
This creates a "gravitational" effect where closer patterns have stronger influence on predictions.
The Implementation Challenge
Creating meaningful market features required extensive experimentation:
Price Features: Multi-timeframe momentum (1, 2, 3, 5, 8 bar lookbacks) Volume Features: Relative volume analysis against 20-period average
Volatility Features: ATR and Bollinger Band width normalization Momentum Features: RSI deviation from neutral and MACD/price ratio
Each feature undergoes min-max normalization to ensure equal weighting in distance calculations.
The Prediction Mechanism
For each current market state:
Feature Vector Construction: 12-dimensional representation of market conditions
Historical Search: Scan lookback period for similar patterns using Lorentzian distance
Neighbor Selection: Identify K nearest historical matches
Outcome Analysis: Examine what happened N bars after each match
Weighted Prediction: Combine outcomes using distance-based weights
Confidence Calculation: Measure agreement between neighbors
Technical Hurdles Overcome
Array Management: Complex indexing to prevent look-ahead bias
Distance Calculations: Optimizing nested loops for performance
Memory Constraints: Balancing lookback depth with computational limits
Signal Filtering: Preventing clustering of identical signals
Advanced Dashboard System
Main Control Panel
The primary dashboard provides real-time market intelligence:
Signal Status: Current prediction with confidence percentage
Neighbor Analysis: How many historical patterns match current conditions
Market Regime: Trend strength, volatility, and volume analysis
Temporal Context: Real-time updates with timestamp
Performance Analytics
Comprehensive tracking system monitors:
Win Rate: Percentage of successful predictions
Signal Count: Total predictions generated
Streak Analysis: Current winning/losing sequence
Drawdown Monitoring: Maximum equity decline
Sharpe Approximation: Risk-adjusted performance estimate
Risk Assessment Panel
Multi-dimensional risk analysis:
RSI Positioning: Overbought/oversold conditions
ATR Percentage: Current volatility relative to price
Bollinger Position: Price location within volatility bands
MACD Alignment: Momentum confirmation
Confidence Heatmap
Visual representation of prediction reliability:
Historical Confidence: Last 10 periods of prediction certainty
Strength Analysis: Magnitude of prediction values over time
Pattern Recognition: Color-coded confidence levels for quick assessment
Input Parameters Deep Dive
Core Algorithm Settings
K Nearest Neighbors (1-20): More neighbors create smoother but less responsive signals. Optimal range 5-8 for most markets.
Historical Lookback (50-500): Deeper history improves pattern recognition but reduces adaptability. 100-200 bars optimal for most timeframes.
Feature Window (5-30): Longer windows capture more context but reduce sensitivity. Match to your trading timeframe.
Feature Selection
Price Changes: Essential for momentum and reversal detection Volume Profile: Critical for institutional activity recognition Volatility Measures: Key for regime change detection Momentum Indicators: Vital for trend confirmation
Signal Generation
Prediction Horizon (1-20): How far ahead to predict. Shorter horizons for scalping, longer for swing trading.
Signal Threshold (0.5-0.9): Confidence required for signal generation. Higher values reduce false signals but may miss opportunities.
Smoothing (1-10): EMA applied to raw predictions. More smoothing reduces noise but increases lag.
Visual Design Philosophy
Color Themes
Professional: Corporate blue/red for institutional environments Neon: Cyberpunk cyan/magenta for modern aesthetics
Matrix: Green/red hacker-inspired palette Classic: Traditional trading colors
Information Hierarchy
The dashboard system prioritizes information by importance:
Primary Signals: Largest, most prominent display
Confidence Metrics: Secondary but clearly visible
Supporting Data: Detailed but unobtrusive
Historical Context: Available but not distracting
Trading Applications
Signal Interpretation
Long Signals: Prediction > threshold with high confidence
Look for volume confirmation
- Check trend alignment
- Verify support levels
Short Signals: Prediction < -threshold with high confidence
Confirm with resistance levels
- Check for distribution patterns
- Verify momentum divergence
- Market Regime Adaptation
Trending Markets: Higher confidence in directional signals
Ranging Markets: Focus on reversal signals at extremes
Volatile Markets: Require higher confidence thresholds
Low Volume: Reduce position sizes, increase caution
Risk Management Integration
Confidence-Based Sizing: Larger positions for higher confidence signals
Regime-Aware Stops: Wider stops in volatile regimes
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Align signals across timeframes
Volume Confirmation: Require volume support for major signals
Originality and Innovation
This indicator represents genuine innovation in several areas:
Mathematical Approach
First application of Lorentzian geometry to market pattern recognition. Unlike Euclidean-based systems, this naturally handles market non-linearities.
Feature Engineering
Sophisticated multi-dimensional feature space combining price, volume, volatility, and momentum in normalized form.
Visualization System
Professional-grade dashboard system providing comprehensive market intelligence in intuitive format.
Performance Tracking
Real-time performance analytics typically found only in institutional trading systems.
Development Journey
Creating this indicator involved overcoming numerous technical challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Translating theoretical concepts into practical code
Performance Optimization: Balancing accuracy with computational efficiency
User Interface Design: Making complex data accessible and actionable
Signal Quality: Filtering noise while maintaining responsiveness
The result is a tool that brings institutional-grade analytics to individual traders while maintaining the theoretical rigor of its mathematical foundation.
Best Practices
- Parameter Optimization
- Start with default settings and adjust based on:
Market Characteristics: Volatile vs. stable
Trading Timeframe: Scalping vs. swing trading
Risk Tolerance: Conservative vs. aggressive
Signal Confirmation
Never trade on Lorentzian signals alone:
Price Action: Confirm with support/resistance
Volume: Verify with volume analysis
Multiple Timeframes: Check higher timeframe alignment
Market Context: Consider overall market conditions
Risk Management
Position Sizing: Scale with confidence levels
Stop Losses: Adapt to market volatility
Profit Targets: Based on historical performance
Maximum Risk: Never exceed 2-3% per trade
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or guarantee profitable trading results. The Lorentzian classification system reveals market patterns but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Market dynamics are inherently uncertain, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, not as a standalone solution.
Bringing the elegance of relativistic geometry to market analysis through sophisticated pattern recognition and intuitive visualization.
Thank you for sharing the idea. You're more than a follower, you're a leader!
@vasanthgautham1221
Trade with precision. Trade with insight.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
SMA Backtest Optimizer [Mr_Rakun]The SMA Backtest Optimizer is a powerful Pine Script tool designed to systematically analyze and compare various Simple Moving Average (SMA) periods to identify the most profitable configuration for trading strategies. This indicator tests multiple SMA periods (from 10 to 100) using a crossover strategy where buys occur when price crosses above the SMA and sells when price crosses below it.
Key Features:
Tests 10 different SMA periods to determine optimal settings
Calculates profit/loss based on a defined starting capital
Tracks total profit and number of trades for each period
Visually highlights the best performing SMA on your chart
Displays comprehensive results in an easy-to-read table
Labels the chart with key performance metrics
This code serves as a core framework that traders can customize for their specific needs. You can easily modify the strategy parameters, test different technical indicators, adjust capital settings, or implement more complex entry/exit rules. The optimization methodology can be applied to virtually any trading approach you wish to evaluate.
Feel free to adapt this framework to test your own trading ideas and discover which parameters work best in different market conditions.
Ultimate Scalping Tool[BullByte]Overview
The Ultimate Scalping Tool is an open-source TradingView indicator built for scalpers and short-term traders released under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. It uses a custom Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) oscillator to combine multiple market forces into one visual signal. In plain terms, the script reads momentum, trend strength, volatility, and volume together and plots a special “candlestick” each bar (the QFC) that reflects the overall market bias. This unified view makes it easier to spot entries and exits: the tool labels signals as Strong Buy/Sell, Pullback (a brief retracement in a trend), Early Entry, or Exit Warning . It also provides color-coded alerts and a small dashboard of metrics. In practice, traders see green/red oscillator bars and symbols on the chart when conditions align, helping them scalp or trend-follow without reading multiple separate indicators.
Core Components
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Construction
The QFC is the heart of the indicator. Rather than using raw price, it creates a candlestick-like bar from the underlying oscillator values. Each QFC bar has an “open,” “high/low,” and “close” derived from calculated momentum and volatility inputs for that period . In effect, this turns the oscillator into intuitive candle patterns so traders can recognize momentum shifts visually. (For comparison, note that Heikin-Ashi candles “have a smoother look because take an average of the movement”. The QFC instead represents exact oscillator readings, so it reflects true momentum changes without hiding price action.) Colors of QFC bars change dynamically (e.g. green for bullish momentum, red for bearish) to highlight shifts. This is the first open-source QFC oscillator that dynamically weights four non-correlated indicators with moving thresholds, which makes it a unique indicator on its own.
Oscillator Normalization & Adaptive Weights
The script normalizes its oscillator to a fixed scale (for example, a 0–100 range much like the RSI) so that various inputs can be compared fairly. It then applies adaptive weighting: the relative influence of trend, momentum, volatility or volume signals is automatically adjusted based on current market conditions. For instance, in very volatile markets the script might weight volatility more heavily, or in a strong trend it might give extra weight to trend direction. Normalizing data and adjusting weights helps keep the QFC sensitive but stable (normalization ensures all inputs fit a common scale).
Trend/Momentum/Volume/Volatility Fusion
Unlike a typical single-factor oscillator, the QFC oscillator fuses four aspects at once. It may compute, for example, a trend indicator (such as an ADX or moving average slope), a momentum measure (like RSI or Rate-of-Change), a volume-based pressure (similar to MFI/OBV), and a volatility measure (like ATR) . These different values are combined into one composite oscillator. This “multi-dimensional” approach follows best practices of using non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) for confirmation. By encoding all these signals in one line, a high QFC reading means that trend, momentum, and volume are all aligned, whereas a neutral reading might mean mixed conditions. This gives traders a comprehensive picture of market strength.
Signal Classification
The script interprets the QFC oscillator to label trades. For example:
• Strong Buy/Sell : Triggered when the oscillator crosses a high-confidence threshold (e.g. breaks clearly above zero with strong slope), indicating a well-confirmed move. This is like seeing a big green/red QFC candle aligned with the trend.
• Pullbacks : Identified when the trend is up but momentum dips briefly. A Pullback Buy appears if the overall trend is bullish but the oscillator has a short retracement – a typical buying opportunity in an uptrend. (A pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : Marks an initial swing in the oscillator suggesting a possible new trend, before it is fully confirmed. It’s a hint of momentum building (an early-warning signal), not as strong as the confirmed “Strong” signal.
• Exit Warnings : Issued when momentum peaks or reverses. For instance, if the QFC bars reach a high and start turning red/green opposite, the indicator warns that the move may be ending. In other words, a Momentum Peak is the point of maximum strength after which weakness may follow.
These categories correspond to typical trading concepts: Pullback (temporary reversal in an uptrend), Early Buy (an initial bullish cross), Strong Buy (confirmed bullish momentum), and Momentum Peak (peak oscillator value suggesting exhaustion).
Filters (DI Reversal, Dynamic Thresholds, HTF EMA/ADX)
Extra filters help avoid bad trades. A DI Reversal filter uses the +DI/–DI lines (from the ADX system) to require that the trend direction confirms the signal . For example, it might ignore a buy signal if the +DI is still below –DI. Dynamic Thresholds adjust signal levels on-the-fly: rather than fixed “overbought” lines, they move with volatility so signals happen under appropriate market stress. An optional High-Timeframe EMA or ADX filter adds a check against a larger timeframe trend: for instance, only taking a trade if price is above the weekly EMA or if weekly ADX shows a strong trend. (Notably, the ADX is “a technical indicator used by traders to determine the strength of a price trend”, so requiring a high-timeframe ADX avoids trading against the bigger trend.)
Dashboard Metrics & Color Logic
The Dashboard in the Ultimate Scalping Tool (UST) serves as a centralized information hub, providing traders with real-time insights into market conditions, trend strength, momentum, volume pressure, and trade signals. It is highly customizable, allowing users to adjust its appearance and content based on their preferences.
1. Dashboard Layout & Customization
Short vs. Extended Mode : Users can toggle between a compact view (9 rows) and an extended view (13 rows) via the `Short Dashboard` input.
Text Size Options : The dashboard supports three text sizes— Tiny, Small, and Normal —adjustable via the `Dashboard Text Size` input.
Positioning : The dashboard is positioned in the top-right corner by default but can be moved if modified in the script.
2. Key Metrics Displayed
The dashboard presents critical trading metrics in a structured table format:
Trend (TF) : Indicates the current trend direction (Strong Bullish, Moderate Bullish, Sideways, Moderate Bearish, Strong Bearish) based on normalized trend strength (normTrend) .
Momentum (TF) : Displays momentum status (Strong Bullish/Bearish or Neutral) derived from the oscillator's position relative to dynamic thresholds.
Volume (CMF) : Shows buying/selling pressure levels (Very High Buying, High Selling, Neutral, etc.) based on the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator.
Basic & Advanced Signals:
Basic Signal : Provides simple trade signals (Strong Buy, Strong Sell, Pullback Buy, Pullback Sell, No Trade).
Advanced Signal : Offers nuanced signals (Early Buy/Sell, Momentum Peak, Weakening Momentum, etc.) with color-coded alerts.
RSI : Displays the Relative Strength Index (RSI) value, colored based on overbought (>70), oversold (<30), or neutral conditions.
HTF Filter : Indicates the higher timeframe trend status (Bullish, Bearish, Neutral) when using the Leading HTF Filter.
VWAP : Shows the V olume-Weighted Average Price and whether the current price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) it.
ADX : Displays the Average Directional Index (ADX) value, with color highlighting whether it is rising (green) or falling (red).
Market Mode : Shows the selected market type (Crypto, Stocks, Options, Forex, Custom).
Regime : Indicates volatility conditions (High, Low, Moderate) based on the **ATR ratio**.
3. Filters Status Panel
A secondary panel displays the status of active filters, helping traders quickly assess which conditions are influencing signals:
- DI Reversal Filter: On/Off (confirms reversals before generating signals).
- Dynamic Thresholds: On/Off (adjusts buy/sell thresholds based on volatility).
- Adaptive Weighting: On/Off (auto-adjusts oscillator weights for trend/momentum/volatility).
- Early Signal: On/Off (enables early momentum-based signals).
- Leading HTF Filter: On/Off (applies higher timeframe trend confirmation).
4. Visual Enhancements
Color-Coded Cells : Each metric is color-coded (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for neutral) for quick interpretation.
Dynamic Background : The dashboard background adapts to market conditions (bullish/bearish/neutral) based on ADX and DI trends.
Customizable Reference Lines : Users can enable/disable fixed reference lines for the oscillator.
How It(QFC) Differs from Traditional Indicators
Quantum Flux Candle (QFC) Versus Heikin-Ashi
Heikin-Ashi candles smooth price by averaging (HA’s open/close use averages) so they show trend clearly but hide true price (the current HA bar’s close is not the real price). QFC candles are different: they are oscillator values, not price averages . A Heikin-Ashi chart “has a smoother look because it is essentially taking an average of the movement”, which can cause lag. The QFC instead shows the raw combined momentum each bar, allowing faster recognition of shifts. In short, HA is a smoothed price chart; QFC is a momentum-based chart.
Versus Standard Oscillators
Common oscillators like RSI or MACD use fixed formulas on price (or price+volume). For example, RSI “compares gains and losses and normalizes this value on a scale from 0 to 100”, reflecting pure price momentum. MFI is similar but adds volume. These indicators each show one dimension: momentum or volume. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s QFC goes further by integrating trend strength and volatility too. In practice, this means a move that looks strong on RSI might be downplayed by low volume or weak trend in QFC. As one source notes, using multiple non-correlated indicators (trend, momentum, volume, volatility) provides a more complete market picture. The QFC’s multi-factor fusion is unique – it is effectively a multi-dimensional oscillator rather than a traditional single-input one.
Signal Style
Traditional oscillators often use crossovers (RSI crossing 50) or fixed zones (MACD above zero) for signals. The Ultimate Scalping Tool’s signals are custom-classified: it explicitly labels pullbacks, early entries, and strong moves. These terms go beyond a typical indicator’s generic “buy”/“sell.” In other words, it packages a strategy around the oscillator, which traders can backtest or observe without reading code.
Key Term Definitions
• Pullback : A short-term dip or consolidation in an uptrend. In this script, a Pullback Buy appears when price is generally rising but shows a brief retracement. (As defined by Investopedia, a pullback is “a brief decline or pause in a generally upward price trend”.)
• Early Buy/Sell : An initial or tentative entry signal. It means the oscillator first starts turning positive (or negative) before a full trend has developed. It’s an early indication that a trend might be starting.
• Strong Buy/Sell : A confident entry signal when multiple conditions align. This label is used when momentum is already strong and confirmed by trend/volume filters, offering a higher-probability trade.
• Momentum Peak : The point where bullish (or bearish) momentum reaches its maximum before weakening. When the oscillator value stops rising (or falling) and begins to reverse, the script flags it as a peak – signaling that the current move could be overextended.
What is the Flux MA?
The Flux MA (Moving Average) is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) applied to a normalized oscillator, referred to as FM . Its purpose is to smooth out the fluctuations of the oscillator, providing a clearer picture of the underlying trend direction and strength. Think of it as a dynamic baseline that the oscillator moves above or below, helping you determine whether the market is trending bullish or bearish.
How it’s calculated (Flux MA):
1.The oscillator is normalized (scaled to a range, typically between 0 and 1, using a default scale factor of 100.0).
2.An EMA is applied to this normalized value (FM) over a user-defined period (default is 10 periods).
3.The result is rescaled back to the oscillator’s original range for plotting.
Why it matters : The Flux MA acts like a support or resistance level for the oscillator, making it easier to spot trend shifts.
Color of the Flux Candle
The Quantum Flux Candle visualizes the normalized oscillator (FM) as candlesticks, with colors that indicate specific market conditions based on the relationship between the FM and the Flux MA. Here’s what each color means:
• Green : The FM is above the Flux MA, signaling bullish momentum. This suggests the market is trending upward.
• Red : The FM is below the Flux MA, signaling bearish momentum. This suggests the market is trending downward.
• Yellow : Indicates strong buy conditions (e.g., a "Strong Buy" signal combined with a positive trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go long.
• Purple : Indicates strong sell conditions (e.g., a "Strong Sell" signal combined with a negative trend). This is a high-confidence signal to go short.
The candle mode shows the oscillator’s open, high, low, and close values for each period, similar to price candlesticks, but it’s the color that provides the quick visual cue for trading decisions.
How to Trade the Flux MA with Respect to the Candle
Trading with the Flux MA and Quantum Flux Candle involves using the MA as a trend indicator and the candle colors as entry and exit signals. Here’s a step-by-step guide:
1. Identify the Trend Direction
• Bullish Trend : The Flux Candle is green and positioned above the Flux MA. This indicates upward momentum.
• Bearish Trend : The Flux Candle is red and positioned below the Flux MA. This indicates downward momentum.
The Flux MA serves as the reference line—candles above it suggest buying pressure, while candles below it suggest selling pressure.
2. Interpret Candle Colors for Trade Signals
• Green Candle : General bullish momentum. Consider entering or holding a long position.
• Red Candle : General bearish momentum. Consider entering or holding a short position.
• Yellow Candle : A strong buy signal. This is an ideal time to enter a long trade.
• Purple Candle : A strong sell signal. This is an ideal time to enter a short trade.
3. Enter Trades Based on Crossovers and Colors
• Long Entry : Enter a buy position when the Flux Candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA. If it turns yellow, this is an even stronger signal to go long.
• Short Entry : Enter a sell position when the Flux Candle turns red and crosses below the Flux MA. If it turns purple, this is an even stronger signal to go short.
4. Exit Trades
• Exit Long : Close your buy position when the Flux Candle turns red or crosses below the Flux MA, indicating the bullish trend may be reversing.
• Exit Short : Close your sell position when the Flux Candle turns green or crosses above the Flux MA, indicating the bearish trend may be reversing.
•You might also exit a long trade if the candle changes from yellow to green (weakening strong buy signal) or a short trade from purple to red (weakening strong sell signal).
5. Use Additional Confirmation
To avoid false signals, combine the Flux MA and candle signals with other indicators or dashboard metrics (e.g., trend strength, momentum, or volume pressure). For example:
•A yellow candle with a " Strong Bullish " trend and high buying volume is a robust long signal.
•A red candle with a " Moderate Bearish " trend and neutral momentum might need more confirmation before shorting.
Practical Example
Imagine you’re scalping a cryptocurrency:
• Long Trade : The Flux Candle turns yellow and is above the Flux MA, with the dashboard showing "Strong Buy" and high buying volume. You enter a long position. You exit when the candle turns red and dips below the Flux MA.
• Short Trade : The Flux Candle turns purple and crosses below the Flux MA, with a "Strong Sell" signal on the dashboard. You enter a short position. You exit when the candle turns green and crosses above the Flux MA.
Market Presets and Adaptation
This indicator is designed to work on any market with candlestick price data (stocks, crypto, forex, indices, etc.). To handle different behavior, it provides presets for major asset classes. Selecting a “Stocks,” “Crypto,” “Forex,” or “Options” preset automatically loads a set of parameter values optimized for that market . For example, a crypto preset might use a shorter lookback or higher sensitivity to account for crypto’s high volatility, while a stocks preset might use slightly longer smoothing since stocks often trend more slowly. In practice, this means the same core QFC logic applies across markets, but the thresholds and smoothing adjust so signals remain relevant for each asset type.
Usage Guidelines
• Recommended Timeframes : Optimized for 1 minute to 15 minute intraday charts. Can also be used on higher timeframes for short term swings.
• Market Types : Select “Crypto,” “Stocks,” “Forex,” or “Options” to auto tune periods, thresholds and weights. Use “Custom” to manually adjust all inputs.
• Interpreting Signals : Always confirm a signal by checking that trend, volume, and VWAP agree on the dashboard. A green “Strong Buy” arrow with green trend, green volume, and price > VWAP is highest probability.
• Adjusting Sensitivity : To reduce false signals in fast markets, enable DI Reversal Confirmation and Dynamic Thresholds. For more frequent entries in trending environments, enable Early Entry Trigger.
• Risk Management : This tool does not plot stop loss or take profit levels. Users should define their own risk parameters based on support/resistance or volatility bands.
Background Shading
To give you an at-a-glance sense of market regime without reading numbers, the indicator automatically tints the chart background in three modes—neutral, bullish and bearish—with two levels of intensity (light vs. dark):
Neutral (Gray)
When ADX is below 20 the market is considered “no trend” or too weak to trade. The background fills with a light gray (high transparency) so you know to sit on your hands.
Bullish (Green)
As soon as ADX rises above 20 and +DI exceeds –DI, the background turns a semi-transparent green, signaling an emerging uptrend. When ADX climbs above 30 (strong trend), the green becomes more opaque—reminding you that trend-following signals (Strong Buy, Pullback) carry extra weight.
Bearish (Red)
Similarly, if –DI exceeds +DI with ADX >20, you get a light red tint for a developing downtrend, and a darker, more solid red once ADX surpasses 30.
By dynamically varying both hue (green vs. red vs. gray) and opacity (light vs. dark), the background instantly communicates trend strength and direction—so you always know whether to favor breakout-style entries (in a strong trend) or stay flat during choppy, low-ADX conditions.
The setup shown in the above chart snapshot is BTCUSD 15 min chart : Binance for reference.
Disclaimer
No indicator guarantees profits. Backtest or paper trade this tool to understand its behavior in your market. Always use proper position sizing and stop loss orders.
Good luck!
- BullByte
[blackcat] L3 Mean Reversion ATR Stop Loss OVERVIEW
The L3 Mean Reversion ATR Stop Loss indicator is meticulously crafted to empower traders by offering statistically-driven stop-loss levels that adapt seamlessly to evolving market dynamics. By harmoniously blending mean reversion concepts with Advanced True Range (ATR) metrics, it delivers a robust framework for managing risks more effectively. 🌐 The primary objective is to furnish traders with intelligent exit points grounded in both short-term volatility assessments and long-term trend evaluations.
Key highlights encompass:
• Dynamic calculation of Z-scores to evaluate deviations from established means
• Adaptive stop-loss pricing leveraging real-time ATR measurements
• Clear visual cues enabling swift decision-making processes
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COMPONENTS
📉 Z-SCORE CALCULATION
Measures how many standard deviations an asset's current price lies away from its average
Facilitates identification of extreme conditions indicative of impending reversals
Utilizes simple moving averages and standard deviation computations
📊 STANDARD DEVIATION MEASUREMENT
Quantifies dispersion of closing prices around the mean
Provides insights into underlying price distribution characteristics
Crucial for assessing potential volatility levels accurately
🕵️♂️ ADAPTIVE STOP-LOSS DETECTION
Employs ATR as a proxy for prevailing market volatility
Modulates stop-loss placements dynamically responding to shifting trends
Ensures consistent adherence to predetermined risk management protocols
INDICATOR FUNCTIONALITY
🔢 Core Algorithms
Integrate Smooth Moving Averages (SMAs) alongside standardized deviation formulas
Generate precise Z-scores reflecting true price deviations
Leverage ATR-derived multipliers for fine-grained stop-loss adjustments
🖱️ User Interface Elements
Interactive plots displaying real-time stop-loss markers
Context-sensitive color coding enhancing readability
Background shading indicating proximity to stop-level activations
STRATEGY IMPLEMENTATION
✅ Entry Conditions
Confirm bullish/bearish setups validated through multiple confirmatory signals
Ensure alignment between Z-score readings and broader trend directions
Validate entry decisions considering concurrent market sentiment factors
🚫 Exit Mechanisms
Trigger exits upon hitting predefined ATR-based stop-loss thresholds
Monitor continuous breaches signifying potential trend reversals
Execute partial/total closes contingent upon cumulative loss limits
PARAMETER CONFIGURATIONS
🎯 Optimization Guidelines
Period Length: Governs responsiveness versus smoothing trade-offs
ATR Length: Dictates the temporal scope for volatility analysis
Stop Loss ATR Multiplier: Tunes sensitivity towards stop-trigger activations
💬 Customization Recommendations
Commence with baseline defaults; iteratively refine parameters
Evaluate impacts independently prior to combined adjustments
Prioritize minimizing erroneous trigger occurrences first
Sustain balanced risk-reward profiles irrespective of chosen settings
ADVANCED RISK MANAGEMENT
🛡️ Proactive Risk Mitigation Techniques
Enforce strict compliance with pre-defined maximum leverage constraints
Mandatorily apply trailing stop-loss orders conforming to script outputs
Allocate positions proportionately relative to available capital reserves
Conduct periodic reviews gauging strategy effectiveness rigorously
⚠️ Potential Pitfalls & Solutions
Address frequent violations arising during heightened volatility phases
Manage false alerts warranting manual interventions judiciously
Prepare contingency plans mitigating margin call possibilities
Continuously assess automated system reliability amidst fluctuating conditions
PERFORMANCE AUDITS & REFINEMENTS
🔍 Critical Evaluation Metrics
Assess win percentages consistently across diverse trading instruments
Calculate average profit ratios per successful execution
Measure peak drawdown durations alongside associated magnitudes
Analyze signal generation frequencies revealing hidden patterns
📈 Historical Data Analysis Tools
Maintain comprehensive records capturing every triggered event
Compare realized profits/losses against backtested simulations
Identify recurrent systematic errors demanding corrective actions
Implement iterative refinements bolstering overall efficacy steadily
PROBLEM SOLVING ADVICE
🔧 Frequent Encountered Challenges
Unpredictable behaviors emerging within thinly traded markets
Latency issues manifesting during abrupt price fluctuations
Overfitted models yielding suboptimal results post-extensive tuning
Inaccuracies stemming from incomplete or delayed data inputs
💡 Effective Resolution Pathways
Exclude low-liquidity assets prone to erratic movements
Introduce buffer intervals safeguarding major news/event impacts
Limit ongoing optimization attempts preventing model degradation
Verify seamless connectivity ensuring uninterrupted data flows
USER ENGAGEMENT SEGMENT
🤝 Community Contributions Welcome
Highly encourage active participation sharing experiences & recommendations!
THANKS
A heartfelt acknowledgment extends to all developers contributing invaluable insights about adaptive stop-loss strategies using statistical measures! ✨
SMC Strategy BTC 1H - OB/FVGGeneral Context
This strategy is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), in particular:
The bullish Break of Structure (BOS), indicating a possible reversal or continuation of an upward trend.
The detection of Order Blocks (OB): consolidation zones preceding the BOS where the "smart money" has likely accumulated positions.
The detection of Fair Value Gaps (FVG), also called imbalance zones where the price has "jumped" a level, creating a disequilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Strategy Mechanics
Bullish Break of Structure (BOS)
A bullish BOS is detected when the price breaks a previous swing high.
A swing high is defined as a local peak higher than the previous 4 peaks.
Order Block (OB)
A bearish candle (close < open) just before a bullish BOS is identified as an OB.
This OB is recorded with its high and low.
An "active" OB zone is maintained for a certain number of bars (the zoneTimeout parameter).
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A bullish FVG is detected if the high of the candle two bars ago is lower than the low of the current candle.
This FVG zone is also recorded and remains active for zoneTimeout bars.
Long Entry
An entry is possible if the price returns into the active OB zone or FVG zone (depending on which parameters are enabled).
Entry is only allowed if no position is currently open (strategy.position_size == 0).
Risk Management
The stop loss is placed below the OB low, with a buffer based on a multiple of the ATR (Average True Range), adjustable via the atrFactor parameter.
The take profit is set according to an adjustable Risk/Reward ratio (rrRatio) relative to the stop loss to entry distance.
Adjustable Parameters
Enable/disable entries based on OB and/or FVG.
ATR multiplier for stop loss.
Risk/Reward ratio for take profit.
Duration of OB and FVG zone activation.
Visualization
The script displays:
BOS (Break of Structure) with a green label above the candles.
OB zones (in orange) and FVG zones (in light blue).
Entry signals (green triangle below the candle).
Stop loss (red line) and take profit (green line).
Strengths and Limitations
Strengths:
Based on solid Smart Money analysis concepts.
OB and FVG zones are natural potential reversal areas.
Adjustable parameters allow optimization for different market conditions.
Dynamic risk management via ATR.
Limitations:
Only takes long positions.
No trend filter (e.g., EMA), which may lead to false signals in sideways markets.
Fixed zone duration may not fit all situations.
No automatic optimization; testing with different parameters is necessary.
Summary
This strategy aims to capitalize on price retracements into key zones where "smart money" has acted (OB and FVG) just after a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) signal. It is simple, customizable, and can serve as a foundation for a more comprehensive strategy.
Trend Volatility Index (TVI)Trend Volatility Index (TVI)
A robust nonparametric oscillator for structural trend volatility detection
⸻
What is this?
TVI is a volatility oscillator designed to measure the strength and emergence of price trends using nonparametric statistics.
It calculates a U-statistic based on the Gini mean difference across multiple simple moving averages.
This allows for objective, robust, and unbiased quantification of trend volatility in tick-scale values.
⸻
What can it do?
• Quantify trend strength as a continuous value aligned with tick price scale
• Detect trend breakouts and volatility expansions
• Identify range-bound market states
• Detect early signs of new trends with minimal lag
⸻
What can’t it do?
• Predict future price levels
• Predict trend direction before confirmation
⸻
How it works
TVI computes a nonparametric dispersion metric (Gini mean difference) from multiple SMAs of different lengths.
As this metric shares the same dimension as price ticks, it can be directly interpreted on the chart as a volatility gauge.
The output is plotted using candlestick-style charts to enhance visibility of change rate and trend behavior.
⸻
Disclaimer
TVI does not predict price. It is a structural indicator designed to support discretionary judgment.
Trading carries inherent risk, and this tool does not guarantee profitability. Use at your own discretion.
⸻
Innovation
This indicator introduces a novel approach to trend volatility by applying U-statistics over time series
to produce a nonparametric, unbiased, and robust estimate of structural volatility.
日本語要約
Trend Volatility Index (TVI) は、ノンパラメトリックなU統計量(Gini平均差)を使ってトレンドの強度を客観的に測定することを目的に開発されたボラティリティ・オシレーターです。
ティック単位で連続的に変化し、トレンドのブレイク・レンジ・初動の予兆を定量的に検出します。
未来の価格や方向は予測せず、現在の構造的ばらつきだけをロバストに評価します。
Liquidity Sweep DetectorThe Liquidity Sweep Detector represents a technical analysis tool specifically designed to identify market microstructure patterns typically associated with institutional trading activity. According to Harris (2003), institutional traders frequently employ tactics where they momentarily break through price levels to trigger stop orders before redirecting the market in the opposite direction. This phenomenon, commonly referred to as "stop hunting" or "liquidity sweeping," constitutes a significant aspect of institutional order flow analysis (Osler, 2003). The current implementation provides retail traders with a means to identify these patterns, potentially aligning their trading decisions with institutional movements rather than becoming victims of such strategies.
Osler's (2003) research documents how stop-loss orders tend to cluster around significant price levels, creating concentrations of liquidity. Taylor (2005) argues that sophisticated institutional participants systematically exploit these liquidity clusters by inducing price movements that trigger these orders, subsequently profiting from the ensuing price reaction. The algorithmic detection of such patterns involves several key processes. First, the indicator identifies swing points—local maxima and minima—through comparison with historical price data within a definable lookback period. These swing points correspond to what Bulkowski (2011) describes as "significant pivot points" that frequently serve as liquidity zones where stop orders accumulate.
The core detection algorithm utilizes a multi-stage process to identify potential sweeps. For high sweeps, it monitors when price exceeds a previous swing high by a specified threshold percentage, followed by a bearish candle that closes below the original swing high level. Conversely, for low sweeps, it detects when price drops below a previous swing low by the threshold percentage, followed by a bullish candle closing above the original swing low. As noted by Lo and MacKinlay (2011), these price patterns often emerge when large institutional players attempt to capture liquidity before initiating significant directional moves.
The indicator maintains historical arrays of detected sweep events with their corresponding timestamps, enabling temporal analysis of market behavior following such events. Visual elements include horizontal lines marking sweep levels, background color highlighting for sweep events, and an information table displaying active sweeps with their corresponding price levels and elapsed time since detection. This visualization approach allows traders to quickly identify potential institutional activity without requiring complex interpretation of raw price data.
Parameter customization includes adjustable lookback periods for swing point identification, sweep threshold percentages for signal sensitivity, and display duration settings. These parameters allow traders to adapt the indicator to various market conditions and timeframes, as markets demonstrate different liquidity characteristics across instruments and periods (Madhavan, 2000).
Empirical studies by Easley et al. (2012) suggest that retail traders who successfully identify and act upon institutional liquidity sweeps may achieve superior risk-adjusted returns compared to conventional technical analysis approaches. However, as cautioned by Chordia et al. (2008), such patterns should be considered within broader market context rather than in isolation, as their predictive value varies significantly with overall market volatility and liquidity conditions.
References:
Bulkowski, T. (2011). Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Chordia, T., Roll, R., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2008). Liquidity and market efficiency. Journal of Financial Economics, 87(2), 249-268.
Easley, D., López de Prado, M., & O'Hara, M. (2012). Flow Toxicity and Liquidity in a High-frequency World. The Review of Financial Studies, 25(5), 1457-1493.
Harris, L. (2003). Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners. Oxford University Press.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (2011). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
Madhavan, A. (2000). Market microstructure: A survey. Journal of Financial Markets, 3(3), 205-258.
Osler, C. L. (2003). Currency Orders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: An Explanation for the Predictive Success of Technical Analysis. Journal of Finance, 58(5), 1791-1820.
Taylor, M. P. (2005). Official Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Coordinating Signal in the Dollar-Yen Market. Pacific Economic Review, 10(1), 73-82.
[blackcat] L2 Market Risk MeterOVERVIEW
The L2 Market Risk Meter is designed to evaluate market conditions using various technical indicators including Moving Averages (MA), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Bollinger Bands 📈🔍. By analyzing these elements, the script helps traders identify potential buying opportunities and assess the overall market sentiment more effectively. This comprehensive approach aids in making informed trading decisions by providing clear visual representations of critical market factors 🚀💸.
Key components include the calculation of short-term and long-term moving averages, MACD lines, and Bollinger Bands, which are then used to plot histograms and labels directly on the chart. These visual cues assist traders in quickly interpreting complex market data, thereby enhancing their ability to navigate volatile markets and capitalize on emerging trends ✅✨.
FEATURES
Advanced Technical Analysis:
Utilizes Short and Long Moving Averages (MAs) to capture different trend durations.
Implements MACD for detecting changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend.
Incorporates Bollinger Bands to measure volatility and provide dynamic support/resistance levels.
Comprehensive Visualization:
Generates colored histograms representing positive and negative MACD values.
Displays labels indicating "Safe," "Risk," and "Buy" signals at crucial points on the chart.
Flexible Settings:
Allows customization of the short_ma_period and long_ma_period to tailor the analysis to individual trading styles or asset types.
Provides configurable colors and styles for histograms and labels to suit personal preferences.
Real-Time Feedback:
Updates dynamically as new price data becomes available, ensuring timely insights.
Facilitates rapid identification of shifts in market conditions through clear graphical outputs.
HOW TO USE
Adding the Indicator:
Begin by adding the L2 Market Risk Meter to your chart on TradingView. You can do this via the "Pine Editor" located at the bottom of the screen. Simply copy-paste the script into the editor and click "Add to Chart."
Configuring Parameters:
Adjust the short_ma_period and long_ma_period inputs based on your preferred timeframes and strategies. For example, shorter periods will react faster but may be noisier, while longer periods offer smoother trends but slower reactions.
Interpreting Histograms:
Monitor the plotted histograms closely:
Positive Values: Represent bullish momentum where the closing prices are higher than the moving average.
Negative Values: Suggest bearish pressure when the closing prices fall below the moving average.
Understanding Labels:
Pay attention to generated labels for actionable insights:
"Safe" Zone: Appears when the price crosses from below to above the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting reduced risk.
"Risk" Zone: Indicates heightened caution if the price breaches upward from below the upper Bollinger Band.
"Buy" Signal: Triggered under stringent bullish conditions combining all predefined criteria, signaling an opportune moment to enter long positions.
Integrating with Other Tools:
Use the L2 Market Risk Meter alongside other technical studies and fundamental analyses to corroborate findings and strengthen your trading strategy.
Regular Review:
Periodically revisit and tweak your parameters and interpretations in light of changing market environments and performance evaluations.
LIMITATIONS
Dependency on Historical Data: Since the indicator relies extensively on historical price movements, its predictions about future trends should be viewed cautiously.
Not Standalone Solution: Like any other tool, it does not guarantee profitability and must be part of a holistic trading plan that includes multiple confirmation methods.
Parameter Sensitivity: Optimal performance depends greatly on selecting appropriate MA period lengths; improper choices could lead to misleading signals.
Volatility Assumptions: The effectiveness of Bollinger Bands varies across different market conditions, especially during low volatility phases where bands might fail to expand significantly.
NOTES
Understanding individual components such as MAs, MACDs, and Bollinger Bands is essential before fully depending on this script's output.
Always backtest any new strategy incorporating this meter thoroughly against diverse market scenarios to gauge reliability.
Consider employing supplementary filters like volume spikes or candlestick patterns to validate signals further.
Be mindful of sudden news events or economic releases impacting asset prices independently of underlying trends highlighted here.
THANKS
A big thank you goes out to fellow members of the TradingView community who have contributed invaluable feedback and suggestions throughout the development process of this indicator 🙏. Your input has been instrumental in refining and improving the functionality and usability of the L2 Market Risk Meter. Continue sharing your experiences so we can collectively enhance our trading capabilities!
External Signals Strategy Tester v5External Signals Strategy Tester v5 – User Guide (English)
1. Purpose
This Pine Script strategy is a universal back‑tester that lets you plug in any external buy/sell series (for example, another indicator, webhook feed, or higher‑time‑frame condition) and evaluate a rich set of money‑management rules around it – with a single click on/off workflow for every module.
2. Core Workflow
Feed signals
Buy Signal / Sell Signal inputs accept any series (price, boolean, output of request.security(), etc.).
A crossover above 0 is treated as “signal fired”.
Date filter
Start Date / End Date restricts the test window so you can exclude unwanted history.
Trade engine
Optional Long / Short enable toggles.
Choose whether opposite signals simply close the trade or reverse it (flip direction in one transaction).
Risk modules – all opt‑in via check‑boxes
Classic % block – fixed % Take‑Profit / Stop‑Loss / Break‑Even.
Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (FBB) module
Draws dynamic VWMA/HMA/SMA/EMA/DEMA/TEMA mid‑line with ATR‑scaled Fibonacci envelopes.
Every line can be used for stops, trailing, or multi‑target exits.
Separate LONG and SHORT sub‑modules
Each has its own SL plus three Take‑Profits (TP1‑TP3).
Per TP you set line, position‑percentage to close, and an optional trailing flag.
Executed TP/SLs deactivate themselves so they cannot refire.
Trailing behaviour
If Trail is checked, the selected line is re‑evaluated once per bar; the order is amended via strategy.exit().
3. Inputs Overview
Group Parameter Notes
Trade Settings Enable Long / Enable Short Master switches
Close on Opposite / Reverse Position How to react to a counter‑signal
Risk % Use TP / SL / BE + their % Traditional fixed‑distance management
Fibo Bands FIBO LEVELS ENABLE + visual style/length Turn indicator overlay on/off
FBB LONG SL / TP1‑TP3 Enable, Line, %, Trail Rules applied only while a long is open
FBB SHORT SL / TP1‑TP3 Enable, Line, %, Trail Rules applied only while a short is open
Line choices: Basis, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.764, 1.0 – long rules use lower bands, short rules use upper bands automatically.
4. Algorithm Details
Position open
On the very first bar after entry, the script checks the direction and activates the corresponding LONG or SHORT module, deactivating the other.
Order management loop (every bar)
FBB Stop‑Loss: placed/updated at chosen band; if trailing, follows the new value.
TP1‑TP3: each active target updates its limit price to the selected band (or holds static if trailing is off).
The classic % block runs in parallel; its exits have priority because they call strategy.close_all().
Exit handling
When any strategy.exit() fires, the script reads exit_id and flips the *_Active flag so that order will not be recreated.
A Stop‑Loss (SL) also disables all remaining TPs for that leg.
5. Typical Use Cases
Scenario Suggested Setup
Scalping longs into VWAP‐reversion Enable LONG TP1 @ 0.382 (30 %), TP2 @ 0.618 (40 %), SL @ 0.236 + trailing
Fade shorts during news spikes Enable SHORT SL @ 1.0 (no trail) and SHORT TP1,2,3 on consecutive lowers with small size‑outs
Classic trend‑follow Use only classic % TP/SL block and disable FBB modules
6. Hints & Tips
Signal quality matters – this script manages exits, it does not generate entries.
Keep TV time zone in mind when picking start/end dates.
For portfolio‑style testing allocate smaller default_qty_value than 100 % or use strategy.percent_of_equity sizing.
You can combine FBB exits with fixed‑% ones for layered management.
7. Limitations / Safety
No pyramiding; the script holds max one position at a time.
All calculations are bar‑close; intra‑bar touches may differ from real‑time execution.
The indicator overlay is optional, so you can run visual‑clean tests by unchecking FIBO LEVELS ENABLE.
EXODUS EXODUS by (DAFE) Trading Systems
EXODUS is a sophisticated trading algorithm built by Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems for competitive and competition purposes, designed to identify high-probability trades with robust risk management. this strategy leverages a multi-signal voting system, combining three core components—SPR, VWMO, and VEI—alongside ADX, choppiness filters, and ATR-based volatility gates to ensure trades are taken only in favorable market conditions. the algo uses a take-profit to stop-loss ratio, dynamic position sizing, and a strict voting mechanism requiring all signals to align before entering a trade.
EXODUS was not overfitted for any specific symbol. instead, it uses a generic tuned setting, making it versatile across various markets. while it can trade futures, it’s not currently set up for it but has the potential to do more with further development. visuals are intentionally minimal due to its competition focus, prioritizing performance over aesthetics. a more visually stunning version may be released in the future with enhanced graphics.
The Unique Core Components Developed for EXODUS
SPR (Session Price Recalibration)
SPR measures momentum during regular trading hours (RTH, 0930-1600, America/New_York) to catch session-specific trends.
spr_lookback = input.int(15, "SPR Lookback") this sets how many bars back SPR looks to calculate momentum (default 15 bars). it compares the current session’s price-volume score to the score 15 bars ago to gauge momentum strength.
how it works: a longer lookback smooths out the signal, focusing on bigger trends. a shorter one makes SPR more sensitive to recent moves.
how to adjust: on a 1-hour chart, 15 bars is 15 hours (about 2 trading days). if you’re on a shorter timeframe like 5 minutes, 15 bars is just 75 minutes, so you might want to increase it to 50 or 100 to capture more meaningful trends. if you’re trading a choppy stock, a shorter lookback (like 5) can help catch quick moves, but it might give more false signals.
spr_threshold = input.float (0.7, "SPR Threshold")
this is the cutoff for SPR to vote for a trade (default 0.7). if SPR’s normalized value is above 0.7, it votes for a long; below -0.7, it votes for a short.
how it works: SPR normalizes its momentum score by ATR, so this threshold ensures only strong moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher conviction.
how to adjust: if you’re getting too few trades, lower it to 0.5 to let more signals through. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise it to 1.0 for stricter filtering. test on your chart to find a balance.
spr_atr_length = input.int(21, "SPR ATR Length") this sets the ATR period (default 21 bars) used to normalize SPR’s momentum score. ATR measures volatility, so this makes SPR’s signal relative to market conditions.
how it works: a longer ATR period (like 21) smooths out volatility, making SPR less jumpy. a shorter one makes it more reactive.
how to adjust: if you’re trading a volatile stock like TSLA, a longer period (30 or 50) can help avoid noise. for a calmer stock, try 10 to make SPR more responsive. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter ATR.
rth_session = input.session("0930-1600","SPR: RTH Sess.") rth_timezone = "America/New_York" this defines the session SPR uses (0930-1600, New York time). SPR only calculates momentum during these hours to focus on RTH activity.
how it works: it ignores pre-market or after-hours noise, ensuring SPR captures the main market action.
how to adjust: if you trade a different session (like London hours, 0300-1200 EST), change the session to match. you can also adjust the timezone if you’re in a different region, like "Europe/London". just make sure your chart’s timezone aligns with this setting.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum Oscillator)
VWMO measures momentum weighted by volume to spot sustained, high-conviction moves.
vwmo_momlen = input.int(21, "VWMO Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VWMO looks to calculate price momentum (default 21 bars). it takes the price change (close minus close 21 bars ago).
how it works: a longer period captures bigger trends, while a shorter one reacts to recent swings.
how to adjust: on a daily chart, 21 bars is about a month—good for trend trading. on a 5-minute chart, it’s just 105 minutes, so you might bump it to 50 or 100 for more meaningful moves. if you want faster signals, drop it to 10, but expect more noise.
vwmo_volback = input.int(30, "VWMO Volume Lookback") this sets the period for calculating average volume (default 30 bars). VWMO weights momentum by volume divided by this average.
how it works: it compares current volume to the average to see if a move has strong participation. a longer lookback smooths the average, while a shorter one makes it more sensitive.
how to adjust: for stocks with spiky volume (like NVDA on earnings), a longer lookback (50 or 100) avoids overreacting to one-off spikes. for steady volume stocks, try 20. match this to your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter lookback.
vwmo_smooth = input.int(9, "VWMO Smoothing")
this sets the SMA period to smooth VWMO’s raw momentum (default 9 bars).
how it works: smoothing reduces noise in the signal, making VWMO more reliable for voting. a longer smoothing period cuts more noise but adds lag.
how to adjust: if VWMO is too jumpy (lots of false votes), increase to 15. if it’s too slow and missing trades, drop to 5. test on your chart to see what keeps the signal clean but responsive.
vwmo_threshold = input.float(10, "VWMO Threshold") this is the cutoff for VWMO to vote for a trade (default 10). above 10, it votes for a long; below -10, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong momentum signals count. a higher threshold means fewer but stronger trades.
how to adjust: if you want more trades, lower it to 5. if you’re getting too many weak signals, raise it to 15. this depends on your market—volatile stocks might need a higher threshold to filter noise.
VEI (Velocity Efficiency Index)
VEI measures market efficiency and velocity to filter out choppy moves and focus on strong trends.
vei_eflen = input.int(14, "VEI Efficiency Smoothing") this sets the EMA period for smoothing VEI’s efficiency calc (bar range / volume, default 14 bars).
how it works: efficiency is how much price moves per unit of volume. smoothing it with an EMA reduces noise, focusing on consistent efficiency. a longer period smooths more but adds lag.
how to adjust: for choppy markets, increase to 20 to filter out noise. for faster markets, drop to 10 for quicker signals. this should match your timeframe—shorter timeframes might need a shorter period.
vei_momlen = input.int(8, "VEI Momentum Length") this sets how many bars back VEI looks to calculate momentum in efficiency (default 8 bars).
how it works: it measures the change in smoothed efficiency over 8 bars, then adjusts for inertia (volume-to-range). a longer period captures bigger shifts, while a shorter one reacts faster.
how to adjust: if VEI is missing quick reversals, drop to 5. if it’s too noisy, raise to 12. test on your chart to see what catches the right moves without too many false signals.
vei_threshold = input.float(4.5, "VEI Threshold") this is the cutoff for VEI to vote for a trade (default 4.5). above 4.5, it votes for a long; below -4.5, a short.
how it works: it ensures only strong, efficient moves count. a higher threshold means fewer trades but higher quality.
how to adjust: if you’re not getting enough trades, lower to 3. if you’re seeing too many false entries, raise to 6. this depends on your market—fast stocks like NQ1 might need a lower threshold.
Features
Multi-Signal Voting: requires all three signals (SPR, VWMO, VEI) to align for a trade, ensuring high-probability setups.
Risk Management: uses ATR-based stops (2.1x) and take-profits (4.1x), with dynamic position sizing based on a risk percentage (default 0.4%).
Market Filters: ADX (default 27) ensures trending conditions, choppiness index (default 54.5) avoids sideways markets, and ATR expansion (default 1.12) confirms volatility.
Dashboard: provides real-time stats like SPR, VWMO, VEI values, net P/L, win rate, and streak, with a clean, functional design.
Visuals
EXODUS prioritizes performance over visuals, as it was built for competitive and competition purposes. entry/exit signals are marked with simple labels and shapes, and a basic heatmap highlights market regimes. a more visually stunning update may be released later, with enhanced graphics and overlays.
Usage
EXODUS is designed for stocks and ETFs but can be adapted for futures with adjustments. it performs best in trending markets with sufficient volatility, as confirmed by its generic tuning across symbols like TSLA, AMD, NVDA, and NQ1. adjust inputs like SPR threshold, VWMO smoothing, or VEI momentum length to suit specific assets or timeframes.
Setting I used: (Again, these are a generic setting, each security needs to be fine tuned)
SPR LB = 19 SPR TH = 0.5 SPR ATR L= 21 SPR RTH Sess: 9:30 – 16:00
VWMO L = 21 VWMO LB = 18 VWMO S = 6 VWMO T = 8
VEI ES = 14 VEI ML = 21 VEI T = 4
R % = 0.4
ATR L = 21 ATR M (S) =1.1 TP Multi = 2.1 ATR min mult = 0.8 ATR Expansion = 1.02
ADX L = 21 Min ADX = 25
Choppiness Index = 14 Chop. Max T = 55.5
Backtesting: TSLA
Frame: Jan 02, 2018, 08:00 — May 01, 2025, 09:00
Slippage: 3
Commission .01
Disclaimer
this strategy is for educational purposes. past performance is not indicative of future results. trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. always backtest and validate any strategy before using it in live markets.
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
About the Author
Dskyz (DAFE) Trading Systems is dedicated to building high-performance trading algorithms. EXODUS is a product of rigorous research and development, aimed at delivering consistent, and data-driven trading solutions.
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
2025 Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade smart, trade bold.
Rawstocks 15 Minute ModelRawstocks 15-Minute Model
The Rawstocks 15-Minute Model is a precision intraday trading strategy designed for the US stock market (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET), optimized for the 15-minute timeframe. It combines institutional order flow concepts with Fibonacci retracements to identify high-probability reversal setups while enforcing strict risk management and session-based rules.
Key Features
Time-Based Execution
Trading Hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET (no new entries after 4:00 PM)
Force Close: All positions auto-exit at 4:30 PM ET (prevents overnight risk)
Entry Logic
Order Block + Fib Confluence:
Identifies institutional order blocks (previous swing highs/lows)
Requires price pullback to 61.8% or 79% Fibonacci level
Liquidity Confirmation:
Waits for stop runs (liquidity sweeps) before reversal entries
Exit Rules
Stop Loss: 1x ATR (14) from entry
Take Profit: 2:1 Risk-Reward (adjustable)
Visual Signals
Green Triangle: Valid long setup (pullback to bullish OB + Fib)
Red Triangle: Valid short setup (pullback to bearish OB + Fib)
Blue/Purple Background: Highlights active trading vs. close period
How It Works
Identify the Setup
Wait for a strong impulse move (break of structure)
Mark the order block (institutional zone)
Confirm Pullback
Price must retrace to 61.8% or 79% Fib level
Must occur within trading hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM)
Enter on Confirmation
Long: Break of pullback candle high (stop below recent swing low)
Short: Break of pullback candle low (stop above recent swing high)
Manage the Trade
Trail stop or exit at 2R (risk-to-reward)
All positions close at 4:30 PM sharp
SMC Entry Signals MTF v2📘 User Guide for the SMC Entry Signals MTF v2 Indicator
🎯 Purpose of the Indicator
This indicator is designed to identify reversal entry points based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and candlestick confirmation. It’s especially useful for traders who use:
Imbalance zones, order blocks, breaker blocks
Liquidity grabs
Multi-timeframe confirmation (MTF)
📈 How to Use the Signals on the Chart
✅ LONG Signal (green triangle below the candle):
Conditions:
Price is in a discount zone (below the FIB 50% level)
A bullish engulfing candle appears
A bullish Order Block (OB) or Breaker Block is detected
There’s an upward imbalance
A bullish OB is confirmed on the higher timeframe
➡️ How to act:
Consider entering long on the current or next candle.
Place your stop-loss below the OB or the nearest swing low.
Take profit at the nearest liquidity zone or premium area (above FIB 50%).
🔻 SHORT Signal (red triangle above the candle):
Conditions:
Price is in a premium zone (above FIB 50%)
A bearish engulfing candle appears
A bearish OB or Breaker Block is detected
There’s a downward imbalance
A bearish OB is confirmed on the higher timeframe
➡️ How to act:
Consider short entry after the signal.
Place your stop-loss above the OB or swing high.
Target the discount zone or the next liquidity pocket.
⚙️ Recommended Settings by Trading Style
Trading Style Suggested Settings Notes
Intraday (1–15m) fibLookback = 20–50, obLookback = 5–10, htf_tf = 1H/4H Fast signals. Use Discount/Premium + Engulfing.
Swing/Position (1H–1D) fibLookback = 50–100, obLookback = 10–20, htf_tf = 1D/1W Higher trust in MTF confirmation. Ideal with fundamentals.
Scalping (1m) fibLookback = 10–20, obLookback = 3–5, htf_tf = 15m/1H Remove Breaker and MTF for quick reaction trades.
🧠 Best Practices for Traders
Trend Filtering:
Use EMAs or volume to confirm the current trend.
Take longs only in uptrends, shorts in downtrends.
Liquidity Zones:
Use this indicator after liquidity grabs.
OBs and Breakers often appear right after stop hunts.
Combine with Manual Zones:
This works best when paired with manually drawn OBs and key levels.
Backtest the Signals:
Use Bar Replay mode on TradingView to test past signals.
🧪 Example Trade Setup
Example on BTCUSDT 15m:
Price drops into the discount zone.
A green triangle appears (bullish engulfing + OB + imbalance + HTF OB).
You enter long, stop below the OB, target the premium zone.
🎯 This type of setup often gives a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or better — profitable even with a 40% win rate.
⏰ Alerts & Automation
Enable alerts:
"SMC Long Entry" — fires when a long signal appears.
"SMC Short Entry" — fires when a short signal appears.
You can integrate this with bots via webhook, like:
TradingConnector, 3Commas, Alertatron, etc.
✅ What This Indicator Gives You
High-probability entries using SMC logic
Customizable filters for entry logic
Multi-timeframe confirmation for stronger setups
Suitable for both intraday and swing trading
ADR% Extension Levels from SMA 50I created this indicator inspired by RealSimpleAriel (a swing trader I recommend following on X) who does not buy stocks extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA and uses extensions from the 50 SMA at 7-8-9-10-11-12-13 ADR% to take profits with a 20% position trimming.
RealSimpleAriel's strategy (as I understood it):
-> Focuses on leading stocks from leading groups and industries, i.e., those that have grown the most in the last 1-3-6 months (see on Finviz groups and then select sector-industry).
-> Targets stocks with the best technical setup for a breakout, above the 200 SMA in a bear market and above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA in a bull market, selecting those with growing Earnings and Sales.
-> Buys stocks on breakout with a stop loss set at the day's low of the breakout and ensures they are not extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA.
-> 3-5 day momentum burst: After a breakout, takes profits by selling 1/2 or 1/3 of the position after a 3-5 day upward move.
-> 20% trimming on extension from the 50 SMA: At 7 ADR% (ADR% calculated over 20 days) extension from the 50 SMA, takes profits by selling 20% of the remaining position. Continues to trim 20% of the remaining position based on the stock price extension from the 50 SMA, calculated using the 20-period ADR%, thus trimming 20% at 8-9-10-11 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA. Upon reaching 12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA, considers the stock overextended, closes the remaining position, and evaluates a short.
-> Trailing stop with ascending SMA: Uses a chosen SMA (10, 20, or 50) as the definitive stop loss for the position, depending on the stock's movement speed (preferring larger SMAs for slower-moving stocks or for long-term theses). If the stock's closing price falls below the chosen SMA, the entire position is closed.
In summary:
-->Buy a breakout using the day's low of the breakout as the stop loss (this stop loss is the most critical).
--> Do not buy stocks extended beyond 4 ADR% from the 50 SMA.
--> Sell 1/2 or 1/3 of the position after 3-5 days of upward movement.
--> Trim 20% of the position at each 7-8-9-10-11-12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA.
--> Close the entire position if the breakout fails and the day's low of the breakout is reached.
--> Close the entire position if the price, during the rise, falls below a chosen SMA (10, 20, or 50, depending on your preference).
--> Definitively close the position if it reaches 12-13 ADR% extension from the 50 SMA.
I used Grok from X to create this indicator. I am not a programmer, but based on the ADR% I use, it works.
Below is Grok from X's description of the indicator:
Script Description
The script is a custom indicator for TradingView that displays extension levels based on ADR% relative to the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below is a detailed description of its features, structure, and behavior:
1. Purpose of the Indicator
Name: "ADR% Extension Levels from SMA 50".
Objective: Draw horizontal blue lines above and below the 50-period SMA, corresponding to specific ADR% multiples (4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13). These levels represent potential price extension zones based on the average daily percentage volatility.
Overlay: The indicator is overlaid on the price chart (overlay=true), so the lines and SMA appear directly on the price graph.
2. Configurable Inputs
The indicator allows users to customize parameters through TradingView settings:
SMA Length (smaLength):
Default: 50 periods.
Description: Specifies the number of periods for calculating the Simple Moving Average (SMA). The 50-period SMA serves as the reference point for extension levels.
Constraint: Minimum 1 period.
ADR% Length (adrLength):
Default: 20 periods.
Description: Specifies the number of days to calculate the moving average of the daily high/low ratio, used to determine ADR%.
Constraint: Minimum 1 period.
Scale Factor (scaleFactor):
Default: 1.0.
Description: An optional multiplier to adjust the distance of extension levels from the SMA. Useful if levels are too close or too far due to an overly small or large ADR%.
Constraint: Minimum 0.1, increments of 0.1.
Tooltip: "Adjust if levels are too close or far from SMA".
3. Main Calculations
50-period SMA:
Calculated with ta.sma(close, smaLength) using the closing price (close).
Serves as the central line around which extension levels are drawn.
ADR% (Average Daily Range Percentage):
Formula: 100 * (ta.sma(dhigh / dlow, adrLength) - 1).
Details:
dhigh and dlow are the daily high and low prices, obtained via request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "D", high/low) to ensure data is daily-based, regardless of the chart's timeframe.
The dhigh / dlow ratio represents the daily percentage change.
The simple moving average (ta.sma) of this ratio over 20 days (adrLength) is subtracted by 1 and multiplied by 100 to obtain ADR% as a percentage.
The result is multiplied by scaleFactor for manual adjustments.
Extension Levels:
Defined as ADR% multiples: 4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13.
Stored in an array (levels) for easy iteration.
For each level, prices above and below the SMA are calculated as:
Above: sma50 * (1 + (level * adrPercent / 100))
Below: sma50 * (1 - (level * adrPercent / 100))
These represent price levels corresponding to a percentage change from the SMA equal to level * ADR%.
4. Visualization
Horizontal Blue Lines:
For each level (4, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13 ADR%), two lines are drawn:
One above the SMA (e.g., +4 ADR%).
One below the SMA (e.g., -4 ADR%).
Color: Blue (color.blue).
Style: Solid (style=line.style_solid).
Management:
Each level has dedicated variables for upper and lower lines (e.g., upperLine1, lowerLine1 for 4 ADR%).
Previous lines are deleted with line.delete before drawing new ones to avoid overlaps.
Lines are updated at each bar with line.new(bar_index , level, bar_index, level), covering the range from the previous bar to the current one.
Labels:
Displayed only on the last bar (barstate.islast) to avoid clutter.
For each level, two labels:
Above: E.g., "4 ADR%", positioned above the upper line (style=label.style_label_down).
Below: E.g., "-4 ADR%", positioned below the lower line (style=label.style_label_up).
Color: Blue background, white text.
50-period SMA:
Drawn as a gray line (color.gray) for visual reference.
Diagnostics:
ADR% Plot: ADR% is plotted in the status line (orange, histogram style) to verify the value.
ADR% Label: A label on the last bar near the SMA shows the exact ADR% value (e.g., "ADR%: 2.34%"), with a gray background and white text.
5. Behavior
Dynamic Updating:
Lines update with each new bar to reflect new SMA 50 and ADR% values.
Since ADR% uses daily data ("D"), it remains constant within the same day but changes day-to-day.
Visibility Across All Bars:
Lines are drawn on every bar, not just the last one, ensuring visibility on historical data as well.
Adaptability:
The scaleFactor allows level adjustments if ADR% is too small (e.g., for low-volatility symbols) or too large (e.g., for cryptocurrencies).
Compatibility:
Works on any timeframe since ADR% is calculated from daily data.
Suitable for symbols with varying volatility (e.g., stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies).
6. Intended Use
Technical Analysis: Extension levels represent significant price zones based on average daily volatility. They can be used to:
Identify potential price targets (e.g., take profit at +7 ADR%).
Assess support/resistance zones (e.g., -4 ADR% as support).
Measure price extension relative to the 50 SMA.
Trading: Useful for strategies based on breakouts or mean reversion, where ADR% levels indicate reversal or continuation points.
Debugging: Labels and ADR% plot help verify that values align with the symbol’s volatility.
7. Limitations
Dependence on Daily Data: ADR% is based on daily dhigh/dlow, so it may not reflect intraday volatility on short timeframes (e.g., 1 minute).
Extreme ADR% Values: For low-volatility symbols (e.g., bonds) or high-volatility symbols (e.g., meme stocks), ADR% may require adjustments via scaleFactor.
Graphical Load: Drawing 16 lines (8 upper, 8 lower) on every bar may slow the chart for very long historical periods, though line management is optimized.
ADR% Formula: The formula 100 * (sma(dhigh/dlow, Length) - 1) may produce different values compared to other ADR% definitions (e.g., (high - low) / close * 100), so users should be aware of the context.
8. Visual Example
On a chart of a stock like TSLA (daily timeframe):
The 50 SMA is a gray line tracking the average trend.
Assuming an ADR% of 3%:
At +4 ADR% (12%), a blue line appears at sma50 * 1.12.
At -4 ADR% (-12%), a blue line appears at sma50 * 0.88.
Other lines appear at ±7, ±8, ±9, ±10, ±11, ±12, ±13 ADR%.
On the last bar, labels show "4 ADR%", "-4 ADR%", etc., and a gray label shows "ADR%: 3.00%".
ADR% is visible in the status line as an orange histogram.
9. Code: Technical Structure
Language: Pine Script @version=5.
Inputs: Three configurable parameters (smaLength, adrLength, scaleFactor).
Calculations:
SMA: ta.sma(close, smaLength).
ADR%: 100 * (ta.sma(dhigh / dlow, adrLength) - 1) * scaleFactor.
Levels: sma50 * (1 ± (level * adrPercent / 100)).
Graphics:
Lines: Created with line.new, deleted with line.delete to avoid overlaps.
Labels: Created with label.new only on the last bar.
Plots: plot(sma50) for the SMA, plot(adrPercent) for debugging.
Optimization: Uses dedicated variables for each line (e.g., upperLine1, lowerLine1) for clear management and to respect TradingView’s graphical object limits.
10. Possible Improvements
Option to show lines only on the last bar: Would reduce visual clutter.
Customizable line styles: Allow users to choose color or style (e.g., dashed).
Alert for anomalous ADR%: A message if ADR% is too small or large.
Dynamic levels: Allow users to specify ADR% multiples via input.
Optimization for short timeframes: Adapt ADR% for intraday timeframes.
Conclusion
The script creates a visual indicator that helps traders identify price extension levels based on daily volatility (ADR%) relative to the 50 SMA. It is robust, configurable, and includes debugging tools (ADR% plot and labels) to verify values. The ADR% formula based on dhigh/dlow
Sweep Reversal 5M PRO – by [TuNombre]🔹 **Sweep Reversal 5M PRO – by ** 🔹
This indicator is built to detect high-probability *Institutional Sweeps* using Swing Failure Patterns (SFP), fully filtered with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) logic and volume confirmation.
✅ Identifies key liquidity grabs
✅ Confirms with strong impulse candle + increasing volume
✅ Filters out false signals (doji, weak zones, low volume)
✅ Optimized for the 5-minute timeframe (5M)
✅ Compatible with push alerts to your mobile
---
**How to use it:**
1. Wait for a “BUY” or “SELL” signal on the chart
2. Only enter if the next candle confirms with momentum
3. Place a tight stop just beyond the sweep
4. Recommended Take Profit: 1:1 minimum / 2:1 ideal
---
💡 Inspired by institutional trading (SMC, ICT-style setups)
🔒 Developed by – private or team-based use
📲 Activate alerts to get real-time trade opportunities on your phone
---
⚠️ This script does not repaint.
Built for serious traders who want precision, not noise.
Bitcoin NUPL IndicatorThe Bitcoin NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) Indicator is a powerful metric that shows the difference between Bitcoin's market cap and realized cap as a percentage of market cap. This indicator helps identify different market cycle phases, from capitulation to euphoria.
// How It Works
NUPL measures the aggregate profit or loss held by Bitcoin investors, calculated as:
```
NUPL = ((Market Cap - Realized Cap) / Market Cap) * 100
```
// Market Cycle Phases
The indicator automatically color-codes different market phases:
• **Deep Red (< 0%)**: Capitulation Phase - Most coins held at a loss, historically excellent buying opportunities
• **Orange (0-25%)**: Hope & Fear Phase - Early accumulation, price uncertainty and consolidation
• **Yellow (25-50%)**: Optimism & Anxiety Phase - Emerging bull market, increasing confidence
• **Light Green (50-75%)**: Belief & Denial Phase - Strong bull market, high conviction
• **Bright Green (> 75%)**: Euphoria & Greed Phase - Potential market top, historically good profit-taking zone
// Features
• Real-time NUPL calculation with customizable smoothing
• RSI indicator for additional momentum confirmation
• Color-coded background reflecting current market phase
• Reference lines marking key transition zones
• Detailed metrics table showing NUPL value, market sentiment, market cap, realized cap, and RSI
// Strategy Applications
• **Long-term investors**: Use extreme negative NUPL values (deep red) to identify potential bottoms for accumulation
• **Swing traders**: Look for transitions between phases for potential trend changes
• **Risk management**: Consider taking profits when entering the "Euphoria & Greed" phase (bright green)
• **Mean reversion**: Watch for overbought/oversold conditions when NUPL reaches historical extremes
// Settings
• **RSI Length**: Adjusts the period for RSI calculation
• **NUPL Smoothing Length**: Applies moving average smoothing to reduce noise
// Notes
• Premium TradingView subscription required for Glassnode and Coin Metrics data
• Best viewed on daily timeframes for macro analysis
• Historical NUPL extremes have often marked cycle bottoms and tops
• Use in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation
Triple Confirmation Scalper v2 - Alarm CompatibleTriple Confirmation Scalper Strategy
A high-probability scalping strategy combining trend momentum, overbought/sold conditions, and volume confirmation to filter low-noise signals.
📊 Strategy Logic
Trend Direction
Dual EMA crossover (9 & 21 periods) for momentum and trend bias.
Overbought/Oversold Zones
RSI (14-period) to avoid entries at extremes.
Volume Spike Filter
OBV + 20-period volume average to confirm breakout validity.
Dynamic Risk Management
Stop-loss: Adaptive to recent price action (5-candle low/high ±1%).
Take-profit: 1.5% target (1.5:1 risk/reward).
🔍 Advanced Features
Precision VWAP (20-period, HLC3-based) for dynamic S/R levels.
Visual Aids:
EMA/VWAP bands + trend-colored background.
Volume spike alerts.
TradingView Alerts pre-configured for long/short signals.
⚙️ Default Settings
Commission: 0.1% factored into backtests.
Mode: Supports both long/short positions.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a technical analysis tool, not financial advice.
Past performance ≠ future results. Test thoroughly in a demo account.
Adjust parameters (e.g., EMA periods, RSI thresholds) to match your risk tolerance.
✅ TradingView Compliance Notes:
No exaggerated claims (e.g., "100% win rate").
Clear disclaimer included.
Focus on objective strategy logic (no promotional language).
TrendTwisterV1.5 (Forex Ready + Indicators)A Precision Trend-Following TradingView Strategy for Forex**
HullShiftFX is a Pine Script strategy for TradingView that combines the power of the **Hull Moving Average (HMA)** and a **shifted Exponential Moving Average (EMA)** with multi-layered momentum filters including **RSI** and **dual Stochastic Oscillators**.
It’s designed for traders looking to catch high-probability breakouts with tight risk management and visual clarity.
Chart settings:
1. Select "Auto - Fits data to screen"
2. Please Select "Scale Price Chart Only" (To make the chart not squished)
### ✅ Entry Conditions
**Long Position:**
- Price closes above the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes above the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is above 50.
- Hull MA crosses above the shifted EMA.
**Short Position:**
- Price closes below the 12-period Hull Moving Average.
- Price closes below the 5-period EMA shifted forward by 2 bars.
- RSI is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (12,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) %K is below 50.
- Hull MA crosses below the shifted EMA.
---
## 📉 Risk Management
- **Stop Loss:** Set at the low (for long) or high (for short) of the previous 2 candles.
- **Take Profit:** Calculated at a risk/reward ratio of **1.65x** the stop loss distance.
---
## 📊 Indicators Used
- **Hull Moving Average (12)**
- **Exponential Moving Average (5) **
- **Relative Strength Index (14)**
- **Stochastic Oscillators:**
- %K (12,3,3)
- %K (5,3,3)
Dkoderweb repainting issue fix strategyHarmonic Pattern Recognition Trading Strategy
This TradingView strategy called "Dkoderweb repainting issue fix strategy" is designed to identify and trade harmonic price patterns with optimized entry and exit points using Fibonacci levels. The strategy implements various popular harmonic patterns including Bat, Butterfly, Gartley, Crab, Shark, ABCD, and their anti-patterns.
Key Features
Pattern Recognition: Identifies 17+ harmonic price patterns including standard and anti-patterns
Fibonacci-Based Entries and Exits: Uses customizable Fibonacci levels for precision entries, take profits, and stop losses
Alternative Timeframe Analysis: Option to use higher timeframes for pattern identification
Heiken Ashi Support: Optional use of Heiken Ashi candles instead of regular candlesticks
Visual Indicators:
Pattern visualization with ZigZag indicator
Buy/sell signal markers
Color-coded background to highlight active trade zones
Customizable Fibonacci level display
How It Works
The strategy uses a ZigZag-based pattern identification system to detect pivot points
When a valid harmonic pattern forms, the strategy calculates the optimal entry window using the specified Fibonacci level (default 0.382)
Entries trigger when price returns to the entry window after pattern completion
Take profit and stop loss levels are automatically set based on customizable Fibonacci ratios
Visual alerts notify you of entries and exits
The strategy tracks active trades and displays them with background color highlights
Customizable Settings
Trade size
Entry window Fibonacci level (default 0.382)
Take profit Fibonacci level (default 0.618)
Stop loss Fibonacci level (default -0.618)
Alert messages for entries and exits
Display options for specific Fibonacci levels
Alternative timeframe selection
This strategy is designed to fix repainting issues that are common in harmonic pattern strategies, ensuring more reliable signals and backtesting results.
Daily Bollinger Band StrategyOverview of the Daily Bollinger Band Strategy
1. Strategy Overview and Features
This strategy is a tool for backtesting a trading method that uses Bollinger Bands. It is *not* a tool for automated trading.
1-1. Main Display Items
The main chart displays the Bollinger Bands and the 200-day moving average.
It also shows the entry and exit points along with the position size (in units of 100 shares).
1-2. Summary of Trading Rules
For long (buy) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses above the +1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride an upward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses below the middle band.
For short (sell) strategies, the trade enters when the price crosses below the -1σ line of the Bollinger Bands, aiming to ride a downward trend. The position is exited when the price crosses above the middle band.
1-3. Strategic Enhancements
The strategy uses the slope of the 200-day moving average to determine the trend direction and enter trades accordingly. This improves the win rate and payoff ratio.
Additionally, to reduce the probability of ruin, the risk per trade is limited to 1.0% of capital, and position sizing is adjusted using ATR (a volatility indicator).
2. Trading Rules
2-1. Chart Type
Only daily charts are used.
2-2. Indicators Used
(1) Bollinger Bands** (used for entry and exit signals)
- Period: Fixed at 80 days
- Upper and lower bands: Fixed at ±1σ
(2) Moving Average** (used to determine trend direction)
- Period: Fixed at 200 days
- Trend direction is judged based on whether the difference from the previous day is positive (upward) or negative (downward)
2-3. Buy Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses above the +1σ line from below
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are upward sloping
Entry:
- Buy at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses below the middle band, sell at the next day’s open using a market order
2-4. Sell Rules
Setup:
- Price crosses below the -1σ line from above
- Both the middle band and 200-day moving average are downward sloping
Entry:
- Sell at the next day’s market open using a market order
Exit:
- If the price crosses above the middle band, buy back at the next day’s open using a market order
2-5. Risk Management Rules
- Risk per trade: 1.0% of total capital (acceptable loss = capital × 1.0%)
- Position size: Acceptable loss ÷ 2ATR (rounded down to the nearest unit of 100 shares)
2-6. Other Notes
- No brokerage fees
- No pyramiding
- No partial exits
- No reverse positions (no “stop-and-reverse” trades)
3. Strategy Parameters
The following settings can be specified:
3-1. Period Settings
- Start date: Set the start date for the backtest period
- Stop date: Set the end date for the backtest period
3-2. Display of Trend and Signals
- Show trend: When checked, the background color of the bars is light red for an uptrend and light blue for a downtrend
- Show signal: When checked, entry and exit signals are displayed (note: signals are executed at the next day’s open, so there is a one-day lag in the display)
3-3. Capital Management Settings
- Funds: Capital available for trading (in JPY)
- Risk rate: Specify what percentage of the capital to risk per trade
Settings in the “Properties” tab are not used in this strategy.
4. Backtest Results (Example)
Here are the backtest results conducted by the author:
- Target Stocks: All components of the Nikkei 225
- Test Period: January 4, 2000 – December 30, 2024
- Data Points: 12,886
- Win Rate: 33.45%
- Net Profit: ¥82,132,380
- Payoff Ratio: 2.450
- Expected Value: ¥6,373.8
- Risk Rate: 1.0%
- Probability of Ruin: 0.00%
---
デイリー・ボリンジャーバンド・ストラテジーの概要
1. ストラテジーの概要と特徴
このストラテジーは、ボリンジャーバンドを使ったトレード手法のバックテストを行うツールです。自動売買を行うツールではありません。
1-1. 主な表示項目
メインチャートにボリンジャーバンドと 200日移動平均線を表示します。
また、エントリーと手仕舞いのタイミングと数量(100株単位)も表示されます。
1-2. トレードルールの概要
買い戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ 超えでエントリーして上昇トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを割ったら決済します。
売り戦略の場合、ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ 割りでエントリーして下降トレンドに乗り、ミドルバンドを上抜けたら決済します。
1-3. ストラテジーの工夫点
200日移動平均線の傾きを見てトレンド方向にエントリーをしています。こうして勝率とペイオフレシオの成績を向上しています。
また、破産確率を抑えるために、リスク資金比率を 1.0% にして、ATR(ボラティリティ指標) を使って注文数を調整しています。
2. 売買ルール
2-1. 使用するチャート
日足チャートに限定します
2-2. 使用する指標
(1) ボリンジャーバンド(仕掛けと手仕舞いのシグナルに使用)
期間は80日に固定
上下バンドは ±1σ に固定
(2) 移動平均線(トレンドの方向を見るために使用)
期間は200日に固定
移動平均の値の前日との差がプラスのとき上向き、マイナスのとき下向きと判断
2-3. 買いのルール
セットアップ:ボリンジャーバンドの +1σ を価格が下から上に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が上向き
仕掛け:翌日の寄り付きに成行で買う
手仕舞い:ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が上から下に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
2-4. 売りのルール
セットアップ:ボリンジャーバンドの -1σ を価格が上から下に交差 かつ ミドルバンドと 200日移動平均線が下向き
仕掛け:翌日の寄り付きに成行で売る
手仕舞い:ボリンジャーバンドのミドルバンドを価格が下から上に交差したら、翌日の寄り付きに成行で買い戻す
2-5. 資金管理のルール
リスク資金比率:資産の 1.0%(許容損失 = 資産 × 1.0%)
注文数:許容損失 ÷ 2ATR(単元株数未満は切り捨て)
2-6. その他
仲介手数料:なし
ピラミッディング:なし
分割決済:なし
ドテン:しない
3. ストラテジーのパラメーター
次の項目が指定できます。
3-1. 期間の設定
Staer date : バックテストの検証期間の開始日を指定します
Stop date : バックテストの検証期間の終了日を指定します
3-2. トレンドとシグナルの表示
Show trend : チェックを入れると、バーの背景色が、トレンドが上昇のときは薄い赤で、下落のときは薄い青で表示されます
Show signal : チェックを入れると、エントリーと手仕舞いのシグナルを表示します(シグナルの出た翌日の寄り付きに売買をするので表示に1日のずれがあります)
3-3. 資金管理用の設定
Funds : トレード用の資金(円)
Risk rate : 許容損失を資金の何%にするかで指定します
「プロパティタブ」で設定する値は、このストラテジーでは有効ではありません。
4. バックテストの結果(例)
作者がバックテストを実施した結果をお知らせします。
対象銘柄:日経225構成銘柄すべて
対象期間:2000年1月4日~2024年12月30日
データ件数:12,886
勝率:33.45%
純利益:82,132,380
ペイオフレシオ:2.450
期待値:6,373.8
リスク資金比率:1.0%
破産確率:0.00%
NY First Candle Break and RetestStrategy Overview
Session and Time Parameters:
The strategy focuses on the New York trading session, starting at 9:30 AM and lasting for a predefined session length, typically 3 to 4 hours. This timing captures the most active market hours, providing ample trading opportunities.
Strategy Parameters:
Utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) to set dynamic stop-loss levels, ensuring risk is managed according to market volatility.
Employs a reward-to-risk ratio to determine take profit levels, aiming for a balanced approach between potential gains and losses.
Strategy Settings:
Incorporates simple moving averages (EMA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to identify trend direction and price levels.
Volume confirmation is used to validate breakouts, ensuring trades are based on significant market activity.
Trade Management:
Features a trailing stop mechanism to lock in profits as the trade moves in favor, with multiple take profit levels to secure gains incrementally.
The strategy is designed to handle both long and short positions, adapting to market conditions.
Alert Settings:
Provides alerts for key events such as session start, breakout, retest, and entry signals, helping traders stay informed and act promptly.
Visual cues on the chart highlight entry and exit points, making it easier for beginners to follow the strategy.
This strategy is particularly suited for the current volatile market environment, where simplicity and clear guidelines can help beginner traders navigate the complexities of trading. It emphasizes risk management and uses straightforward indicators to make informed trading decisions.
I put together this Trading View scalping strategy for futures markets with some help from Claude AI. Shoutout to everyone who gave me advice along the way—I really appreciate it! I’m sure there’s room for improvement, so feel free to share your thoughts… just go easy on me. :)
Dskyz Adaptive Futures Elite (DAFE)Dskyz Adaptive Futures Edge (DAFE)
imgur.com
A Dynamic Futures Trading Strategy
DAFE adapts to market volatility and price action using technical indicators and advanced risk management. It’s built for high-stakes futures trading (e.g., MNQ, BTCUSDT.P), offering modular logic for scalpers and swing traders alike.
Key Features
Adaptive Moving Averages
Dynamic Logic: Fast and slow SMAs adjust lengths via ATR, reacting to momentum shifts and smoothing in calm markets.
Signals: Long entry on fast SMA crossing above slow SMA with price confirmation; short on cross below.
RSI Filtering (Optional)
Momentum Check: Confirms entries with RSI crossovers (e.g., above oversold for longs). Toggle on/off with custom levels.
Fine-Tuning: Adjustable lookback and thresholds (e.g., 60/40) for precision.
Candlestick Pattern Recognition
Eng|Enhanced Detection: Identifies strong bullish/bearish engulfing patterns, validated by volume and range strength (vs. 10-period SMA).
Conflict Avoidance: Skips trades if both patterns appear in the lookback window, reducing whipsaws.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Filter
15-Minute Alignment: Syncs intrabar trades with 15-minute SMA trends; optional for flexibility.
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) New!
Scaling: Adds up to a set number of entries (e.g., 4) on pullbacks/rallies, spaced by ATR multiples.
Control: Caps exposure and resets on exit, enhancing trend-following potential.
Trade Execution & Risk Management
Entry Rules: Prioritizes moving averages or patterns (user choice), with volume, volatility, and time filters.
Stops & Trails:
Initial Stop: ATR-based (2–3.5x, volatility-adjusted).
Trailing Stop: Locks profits with configurable ATR offset and multiplier.
Discipline
Cooldown: Pauses post-exit (e.g., 0–5 minutes).
Min Hold: Ensures trades last a set number of bars (e.g., 2–10).
Visualization & Tools
Charts: Overlays MAs, stops, and signals; trend shaded in background.
Dashboard: Shows position, P&L, win rate, and more in real-time.
Debugging: Logs signal details for optimization.
Input Parameters
Parameter Purpose Suggested Use
Use RSI Filter - Toggle RSI confirmation *Disable 4 price-only
trading
RSI Length - RSI period (e.g., 14) *7–14 for sensitivity
RSI Overbought/Oversold - Adjust for market type *Set levels (e.g., 60/40)
Use Candlestick Patterns - Enables engulfing signals *Disable for MA focus
Pattern Lookback - Pattern window (e.g., 19) *10–20 bars for balance
Use 15m Trend Filter - Align with 15-min trend *Enable for trend trades
Fast/Slow MA Length - Base MA lengths (e.g., 9/19) *10–25 / 30–60 per
timeframe
Volatility Threshold - Filters volatile spikes *Max ATR/close (e.g., 1%)
Min Volume - Entry volume threshold *Avoid illiquid periods
(e.g., 10)
ATR Length - ATR period (e.g., 14) *Standard volatility
measure
Trailing Stop ATR Offset - Trail distance (e.g., 0.5) *0.5–1.5 for tightness
Trailing Stop ATR Multi - Trail multiplier (e.g., 1.0) *1–3 for trend room
Cooldown Minutes - Post-exit pause (e.g., 0–5) *Prevents overtrading
Min Bars to Hold - Min trade duration (e.g., 2) *5–10 for intraday
Trading Hours - Active window (e.g., 9–16) *Focus on key sessions
Use DCA - Toggle DCA *Enable for scaling
Max DCA Entries - Cap entries (e.g., 4) *Limit risk exposure
DCA ATR Multiplier Entry spacing (e.g., 1.0) *1–2 for wider gaps
Compliance
Realistic Testing: Fixed quantities, capital, and slippage for accurate backtests.
Transparency: All logic is user-visible and adjustable.
Risk Controls: Cooldowns, stops, and hold periods ensure stability.
Flexibility: Adapts to various futures and timeframes.
Summary
DAFE excels in volatile futures markets with adaptive logic, DCA scaling, and robust risk tools. Currently in prop account testing, it’s a powerful framework for precision trading.
Caution
DAFE is experimental, not a profit guarantee. Futures trading risks significant losses due to leverage. Backtest, simulate, and monitor actively before live use. All trading decisions are your responsibility.