VIDYA Trend StrategyOne of the most common messages I get is people reaching out asking for quantitative strategies that trade cryptocurrency. This has compelled me to write this script and article, to help provide a quantitative/technical perspective on why I believe most strategies people write for crypto fail catastrophically, and how one might build measures within their strategies that help reduce the risk of that happening. For those that don't trade crypto, know that these approaches are applicable to any market.
I will start off by qualifying up that I mainly trade stocks and ETFs, and I believe that if you trade crypto, you should only be playing with money you are okay with losing. Most published crypto strategies I have seen "work" when the market is going up, and fail catastrophically when it is not. There are far more people trying to sell you a strategy than there are people providing 5-10+ year backtest results on their strategies, with slippage and commissions included, showing how they generated alpha and beat buy/hold. I understand that this community has some really talented people that can create some really awesome things, but I am saying that the vast majority of what you find on the internet will not be strategies that create alpha over the long term.
So, why do so many of these strategies fail?
There is an assumption many people make that cryptocurrency will act just like stocks and ETFs, and it does not. ETF returns have more of a Gaussian probability distribution. Because of this, ETFs have a short term mean reverting behavior that can be capitalized on consistently. Many technical indicators are built to take advantage of this on the equities market. Many people apply them to crypto. Many of those people are drawn down 60-70% right now while there are mean reversion strategies up YTD on equities, even though the equities market is down. Crypto has many more "tail events" that occur 3-4+ standard deviations from the mean.
There is a correlation in many equities and ETF markets for how long an asset continues to do well when it is currently doing well. This is known as momentum, and that correlation and time-horizon is different for different assets. Many technical indicators are built based on this behavior, and then people apply them to cryptocurrency with little risk management assuming they behave the same and and on the same time horizon, without pulling in the statistics to verify if that is actually the case. They do not.
People do not take into account the brokerage commissions and slippage. Brokerage commissions are particularly high with cryptocurrency. The irony here isn't lost to me. When you factor in trading costs, it blows up most short-term trading strategies that might otherwise look profitable.
There is an assumption that it will "always come back" and that you "HODL" through the crash and "buy more." This is why Three Arrows Capital, a $10 billion dollar crypto hedge fund is now in bankruptcy, and no one can find the owners. This is also why many that trade crypto are drawn down 60-70% right now. There are bad risk practices in place, like thinking the martingale gambling strategy is the same as dollar cost averaging while also using those terms interchangeably. They are not the same. The 1st will blow up your trade account, and the 2nd will reduce timing risk. Many people are systematically blowing up their trade accounts/strategies by using martingale and calling it dollar cost averaging. The more risk you are exposing yourself too, the more important your risk management strategy is.
There is an odd assumption some have that you can buy anything and win with technical/quantitative analysis. Technical analysis does not tell you what you should buy, it just tells you when. If you are running a strategy that is going long on an asset that lost 80% of its value in the last year, then your strategy is probably down. That same strategy might be up on a different asset. One might consider a different methodology on choosing assets to trade.
Lastly, most strategies are over-fit, or curve-fit. The more complicated and more parameters/settings you have in your model, the more likely it is just fit to historical data and will not perform similar in live trading. This is one of the reasons why I like simple models with few parameters. They are less likely to be over-fit to historical data. If the strategy only works with 1 set of parameters, and there isn't a range of parameters around it that create alpha, then your strategy is over-fit and is probably not suitable for live trading.
So, what can I do about all of this!?
I created the VIDYA Trend Strategy to provide an example of how one might create a basic model with a basic risk management strategy that might generate long term alpha on a volatile asset, like cryptocurrency. This is one (of many) risk management strategies that can reduce the volatility of your returns when trading any asset. I chose the Variable Index Dynamic Average (VIDYA) for this example because it's calculation filters out some market noise by taking into account the volatility of the underlying asset. I chose a trend following strategy because regressions are capturing behaviors that are not just specific to the equities market.
The more volatile an asset, the more you have to back-off the short term price movement to effectively trend-follow it. Otherwise, you are constantly buying into short term trends that don't represent the trend of the asset, then they reverse and loose money. This is why I am applying a trend following strategy to a 4 hour chart and not a 4 minute chart. It is also important to note that following these long term trends on a volatile asset exposes you to additional risk. So, how might one mitigate some of that risk?
One of the ways of reducing timing risk is scaling into a trade. This is different from "doubling down" or "trippling down." It is really a basic application of dollar cost averaging to reduce timing risk, although DCA would typically happen over a longer time period. If it is really a trend you are following, it will probably still be a trend tomorrow. Trend following strategies have lower win rates because the beginning of a trend often reverses. The more volatile the asset, the more likely that is to happen. However, we can reduce risk of buying into a reversal by slowly scaling into the trend with a small % of equity per trade.
Our example "VIDYA Trend Strategy" executes this by looking at a medium-term, volatility adjusted trend on a 4 hour chart. The script scales into it with 4% of the account equity every 4-hours that the trend is still up. This means you become fully invested after 25 trades/bars. It also means that early in the trade, when you might be more likely to experience a reversal, most of your account equity is not invested and those losses are much smaller. The script sells 100% of the position when it detects a trend reversal. The slower you scale into a trade, the less volatile your equity curve will be. This model also includes slippage and commissions that you can adjust under the "settings" menu.
This fundamental concept of reducing timing risk by scaling into a trade can be applied to any market.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
Cari dalam skrip untuk "profitable"
2x take profit, move stop loss to entryTwo take profit targets moving stop loss to entry after first take profit hit
This strategy shows a method to achieve the following trade management:
1) Open a position with two take profit targets
2) When first take profit is hit, move the stop loss to entry price
3) Position is closed when either second take profit is hit or position is stopped out at entry
Trading Conditions
The trading conditions used in this script are for illustrative purposes only and are not meant to be profitable.
Bollinger Bands
Used to show areas where price is moving outside of the normal range
Stochastic
Used to show overbought and oversold conditions.
Green dots are plotted when the K line crosses over its SMA. Red dots are plotted when the K line crosses under its SMA.
The option to use overbought/oversold thresholds is again illustrative.
Magnifying Glass (LTF Candles) by SiddWolf█ OVERVIEW
This indicator displays The Lower TimeFrame Candles in current chart, Like Zooming in on the Candle to see it's Lower TimeFrame Structure. It plots intrabar OHLC data inside a Label along with the volume structure of LTF candle in an eloquent format.
█ QUICK GUIDE
Just apply it to the chart, Hover the mouse on the Label and ta-da you have a Lower Timeframe OHLC candles on your screen. Move the indicator to the top and shrink it all the way up, because all the useful data is inside the label.
Inside the label: The OHLC ltf candles are pretty straightforward. Volume strength of ltf candles is shown at bottom and Volume Profile on the left. Read the Details below for more information.
In the settings, you will find the option to change the UI and can play around with Lower TimeFrame Settings.
█ DETAILS
First of all, I would like to thank the @TradingView team for providing the function to get access to the lower timeframe data. It is because of them that this magical indicator came into existence.
Magnifying Glass indicator displays a Candle's Lower TimeFrame data in Higher timeframe chart. It displays the LTF candles inside a label. It also shows the Volume structure of the lower timeframe candles. Range percentage shown at the bottom is the percentage change between high and low of the current timeframe candle. LTF candle's timeframe is also shown at the bottom on the label.
This indicator is gonna be most useful to the price action traders, which is like every profitable trader.
How this indicator works:
I didn't find any better way to display ltf candles other than labels. Labels are not build for such a complex behaviour, it's a workaround to display this important information.
It gets the lower timeframe information of the candle and uses emojis to display information. The area that is shown, is the range of the current timeframe candle. Range is a difference between high and low of the candle. Range percentage is also shown at the bottom in the label.
I've divided the range area into 20 parts because there are limitation to display data in the labels. Then the code checks out, in what area does the ltf candle body or wick lies, then displays the information using emojis.
The code uses matrix elements for each block and relies heavily on string manipulation. But what I've found most difficult, is managing to fit everything correctly and beautifully so that the view doesn't break.
Volume Structure:
Strength of the Lower TimeFrame Candles is shown at the bottom inside the label. The Higher Volume is shown with the dark shade color and Lower Volume is shown with the light shade. The volume of candles are also ranked, with 1 being the highest volume, so you can see which candle have the maximum to minimum volume. This is pretty important to make a price action analysis of the lower timeframe candles.
Inside the label on the left side you will see the volume profile. As the volume on the bottom shows the strength of each ltf candles, Volume profile on the left shows strength in a particular zone. The Darker the color, the higher the volume in the zone. The Highest volume on the left represents Point of Control (Volume Profile POC) of the candle.
Lower TimeFrame Settings:
There is a limitation for the lowest timeframe you can show for a chart, because there is only so much data you can fit inside a label. A label can show upto 20 blocks of emojis (candle blocks) per row. Magnifying Glass utilizes this behaviour of labels. 16 blocks are used to display ltf candles, 1 for volume profile and two for Open and Close Highlighter.
So for any chart timeframe, ltf candles can be 16th part of htf candle. So 4 hours chart can show as low as 15 minutes of ltf data. I didn't provide the open settings for changing the lower timeframe, as it would give errors in a lot of ways. You can change the timeframe for each chart time from the settings provided.
Limitations:
Like I mentioned earlier, this indicator is a workaround to display ltf candles inside a label. This indicator does not work well on smaller screens. So if you are not able to see the label, zoom out on your browser a bit. Move the indicator to either top or bottom of all indicators and shrink it's space because all details are inside the label.
█ How I use MAGNIFYING GLASS:
This indicator provides you an edge, on top of your existing trading strategy. How you use Magnifying Glass is entirely dependent on your strategy.
I use this indicator to get a broad picture, before getting into a trade. For example I see a Doji or Engulfing or any other famous candlestick pattern on important levels, I hover the mouse on Magnifying Glass, to look for the price action the ltf candles have been through, to make that pattern. I also use it with my "Wick Pressure" indicator, to check price action at wick zones. Whenever I see price touching important supply and demand zones, I check last few candles to read chart like a beautiful price action story.
Also volume is pretty important too. This is what makes Magnifying Glass even better than actual lower timeframe candles. The increasing volume along with up/down trend price shows upward/downward momentum. The sudden burst (peak) in the volume suggests volume climax.
Volume profile on the left can be interpreted as the strength/weakness zones inside a candle. The low volume in a price zone suggests weakness and High volume suggests strength. The Highest volume on the left act as POC for that candle.
Before making any trade, I read the structure of last three or four candles to get the complete price action picture.
█ Conclusion
Magnifying Glass is a well crafted indicator that can be used to track lower timeframe price action. This indicator gives you an edge with the Multi Timeframe Analysis, which I believe is the most important aspect of profitable trading.
~ @SiddWolf
Customizable OCC Non Repainting Scalper Bot v7.0bThis strategy is intended to be used on an automated trading platform and should be run on a one minute chart for fastest confirmations and signal relay to crypto automation platform. The strategy has been modded to only go long at this time to focus on profitability for one direction. The open long and close long text fields allow you to use your own webhook message for this purpose.
I have spent quite a bit of time and I figured I would put it out to the community to share the work and also get some feedback.
Ok, so let me say that I have done absolutely everything I can to make the strategy not repaint while still maintaining it's profitability. It has been a challenge so I am publishing this to the community to help test this.
What I have observed: the strategy will not repaint in real time. That is, if you have the chart open and keep it open, the signals are the same as the ones that are sent out by the strategy. In certain cases, when I reload the chart- the signals might be off from what was sent. In some ways, that is repainting, but it is repainting based on losing the real time data and recalculating from a different set of bars- since I am running it on a one minute chart then the start becomes different when you refresh.
To address repainting while keeping the strategy calculating as quickly as possibly I have altered the logic in the following ways:
I have made an assumption which might not work for everyone- at the first tick of the next bar, you can almost safefly assume in crypto that if you are looking at the previous bar for information, the open of the current bar was the close of the previous bar. This for the most part holds true in crypto with good liquidity. If you are trading a pair that jumps around due to low volume- this might not be the strategy to use. I might publish a different version with a different logic.
I have altered the security repaint to use isbarconfirmed, so at the very end of the bar (as soon as the bar is confirmed), we recalculate to the higher time frames. So as soon as the data is available, it is at that point that we can then safely calculate higher time frames. This is unique and experimental, but seems to do well at creating good signals for entry.
I have employed my own intervals by utilizing the resolution as an integer (used by the previous authors)- but in this case, I use the interval to take a snapshot of the higher time frame. With open close cross, the different moving averages can cause the repainting as they change to show the exact point of the cross. The interval feature I created minimizes this by utilizing the previous bar info until the interval is closed and then we recalculate the variants. You can use the interval offset feature to denote which minute is the one that starts and ends the interval. So for instance, Trading View uses minue 1 and minute 31 for 30 minute intervals. If you offset your 30 minute interval would start on minute 16 and do its calculations based on the last 30 minutes,
As with most of my scripts, I have started using filters and a "show data" feature that will give you the ability to see the values of indicators that you cannot plot in the overlay. This allows you to figure out how to filter losing trades or market conditions.
I have also added a trailing stop and created a fixed stop loss as seems to perform better than the original occ strategy. The original one seemed to repaint enough that it would close too quickly and not give the posiition enough time to become profitable. In certain cases where there was a large move, it would perform well, but for the most part the trades would not close profitably even though the backtest said that it did - probably due to the delay in execution and pinescript not having a confirmation on what the actual position price was.
This is still in beta mode, so please forward test first and use at your own risk.
If you spot repaint issues, please send me a message and try to explain the situation.
Oversold RSI with tight SL Strategy (by Coinrule)This is one of the best strategies that can be used to get familiar with technical indicators and start to include them in your trading bot rules.
ENTRY
1. This trading system uses the RSI ( Relative Strength Index ) to anticipate good points to enter positions. RSI is a technical indicator frequently used in trading. It works by measuring the speed and change of price movements to determine whether a coin is oversold (indicating a good entry point) or overbought (indicating a point of exit/entry for a short position). The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100 and is traditionally considered overbought when over 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy enters a trade when the RSI falls below 30 indicating the coin is oversold and primed for a trend reversal.
EXIT
The strategy then exits the position when the price appreciates 7% from the point of entry. The position also maintains a tight stop-loss and closes the position if the price depreciates 1% from the entry price. The idea behind this is to cut your losing trades fast and let your winners ride.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our backtesting data is the daily. Shorter time frames can also work well on certain coins, however in our experience, the daily works best. Feel free to experiment with this script and test it on a variety of your coins! With our backtesting data a trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. In the example shown, this strategy made a handsome net profit of 39.31% on Chainlink with 61.54% of trades being profitable.
Oversold RSI with Tight Stop-Loss Strategy (by Coinrule)KRAKEN:LINKUSD
This is one of the best strategies that can be used to get familiar with technical indicators and start to include them in your rules on Coinrule .
ENTRY
1. This trading system uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to anticipate good points to enter positions. RSI is a technical indicator frequently used in trading. It works by measuring the speed and change of price movements to determine whether a coin is oversold (indicating a good entry point) or overbought (indicating a point of exit/entry for a short position). The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100 and is traditionally considered overbought when over 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy enters a trade when the RSI falls below 30 indicating the coin is oversold and primed for a trend reversal.
EXIT
The strategy then exits the position when the price appreciates 7% from the point of entry. The position also maintains a tight stop-loss and closes the position if the price depreciates 1% from the entry price. The idea behind this is to cut your losing trades fast and let your winners ride.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our back testing data is the daily. Shorter time frames can also work well on certain coins, however in our experience, the daily works best. Feel free to experiment with this script and test it on a variety of your coins! With our back testing data a trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. In the example shown, this strategy made a handsome net profit of 52.6% on Chainlink with 66.67% of trades being profitable.
You can execute this strategy on your favorite exchanges with Coinrule .
MA cross strategyI created an sma (10/30) strategy.
The script is under construction and can be changed, since i'm looking for a more profitable strategy.
If you have ideas to make it more profitable, please comment.
It is possible to change everything to your own needs.
MilleMachineHello traders,
I hereby present to you the second stage of my journey to finding a reliable, profitable trading strategy.
The "Millemachine" is based on the "Millebot", my previous published strategy. This means the backbone of the strategy is still the same: a trend following system. Instead of using a fixed TP and SL, a trailing stoploss is now used. To limit the losses when the trend weakens, the trailing stoploss automatically gets smaller, as it is based on the ATR.
A new utility is you can now easily switch between indicators on which the decision making is based. This allows the user to discover which indicators work best for entry, long/short switching and stoploss configuration.
The strategy has been proven to be very profitable in trending markets, but can suffer losses during ranging market. To make the system more robust, the strategy cannot solely rely on a trending system. Other systems must be added.
I believe that a good trading bot must consist of more than 4 different strategies, based on different systems. This is what I am currently working on.
My goal for publishing this strategy is to help other traders build their own. In my journey I found it difficult to find a good strategy that employs a decent risk management, which is truly essential for having good, consistent results. Also, a realistic commission needs to be defined to have a realistic performance prediction. This weighs on the profitability and therefore is often set at 0 by authors of other strategies, which I find misleading.
If you have found this strategy informative or useful, please leave a comment.
Greetings Michael
Zlema Strateg Long 5mJust putting this out there.
I created this Strategy based on Everget Zlema.
Opens long trade when Zlema changes color.
It is profitable as it is, but just putting it out to the community to see if someone else has ideas to make it better.
How to make this strategy better?
1. FInd a way to filter ranging bad trades.
2. Trades would be more profitable if entry point had an entry on the candle the zlema changes color.
3. I had to put TP 5 limit, but the optimal would be when the zlema changes color back to red (if ranging trades can we filtered that is).
In any case, just putting it out there, hope it is useful for someone, and I am open to suggestions.
Price Difference At ExpirationThe general idea:
When selling short options it is important to enter trades with a high probability of expiring Out Of The Money (OTM). Short options have limited upside and unlimited downside and so it is crucial to get both the direction and magnitude correct before entering a trade. However, this can be tricky to do reliably and so it's also a good idea to write options with a strike price far enough away from the underlying's price so that if you are directionally wrong, there's still a good chance of making a profitable trade.
But how far from the current price is far enough for a given underlying? How much is too much?
This indicator seeks to help short options traders answer these questions.
This script is fairly simple and is meant to work only on a daily chart. The basic idea is to show "if I had entered a trade with X days till expiration and a $Y strike, would the actual price change in the underlying have threatened my position before the option expired?"
To answer this question we take the closing price of each day and compare it with the closing price X number of days prior. If the current day closed higher than the day X days prior (Option entry), then we draw a positive bar with the value of the price change. Conversely, if the current day closed lower than the day X days prior we draw a negative bar with the value of the price change. For each bar we draw, we compare it with a given "max range" or "buffer". This buffer is how far OTM with which you are seeking to enter your options trade. If the actual price difference between the theoretical start and end of your trade is greater than the buffer you specified, the bar is drawn in red. Otherwise, if the total price change is safely within the buffer you built into your trade, the bar is drawn in gray.
Obviously, if you are really good at picking the direction of the underlying, the buffer you build into your options contract doesn't matter, you get a profitable trade no matter what! Good job, and please share your charts with me! However, for those of use a bit less clairvoyant, this indicator seeks to help options traders get a sense for whether or not their contracts have enough wiggle room to account for the price moving against them unexpectedly. This indicator gives you the ability to adjust expiration and buffer and get a sense for how well that configuration would have done historically if you had taken each contract to expiration. The assumption being: if it worked really well in the past, then it might work well for this trade. Obviously, past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Just because a particular buffer has worked well in the past doesn't mean that it will work now. Please trade at your own risk. This is just meant to help give a better sense of scale by offering historical comparisons. You can think of this as a rudimentary live backtesting tool.
How to use:
First, add the indicator to your chart and select an underlying. The example chart shown above is for RUT. In the example, I am interested in knowing whether a $200 buffer within 10DTE trades is sufficient to produce a likely winning trade even if I'm wrong about the direction of the underlying. To do this I push the settings button of the indicator and type in 10 for "Interval (days)" and 200 for "Buffer". Next I select only "Monday", "Wednesday", and "Friday" from the expiration checkboxes; leaving "Tuesday" and "Thursday" unchecked. This is because RUT has 3 expirations per week unlike most others that have just one per week (Friday). If you are looking at weekly options you should just check "Friday".
How to interpret the chart:
- Gray bars are your friends. Gray bars mean that if you had entered into a trade with the given DTE and buffer and you happen to be wrong about the direction (it happens to us all!), you would have still ended up with a winning trade. Good Job!
- Red bars indicate possible trouble. This means that your option would have likely been exercised if held till expiration given the amount of buffer you built into the contract. You might have needed to close for a loss or roll or take assignment.
How this can help:
I find it useful to adjust the DTE and buffer when I am going to enter a trade. It helps me see whether a similar trade has historically been resilient to lapses in directional judgement or not. If I'm really confident in the direction, then this won't be so useful. I could then sell closer to the money and feel like I have a winning position. But if there is less certainty and I want to dial back my risk, then this indicator helps me find the right risk/reward with regard to picking expirations and strikes.
The Witcher [30MIN] - AlertsHello,
This is the Witcher Bot
This bot is got best performance at BTCUSDTPERP BINANCE FUTURES
this is bot for leverage 1x,
I tried focusing at highest % profitable trades, bot could be optimalised to even higher profit net.
TP: 1.1
SL: 8.2
Stop-loss unfortunelly have to be high to avoid bear/bull traps
The core of this strategy is trend strenght ( MONEY FLOW INDKES)
Strategy can only open position on strong price movment, to avoid wrong decision
Settings are set for highest profitable trades %
Bot using 10 indicators to trigger basic condtition for long and short :
1) ADX - Is one of the most powerful and accurate trend indicators. ADX measures how strong a trend is, and can give valuable information on whether there is a potential trading opportunity.
2) RSI - value helps strategy to stop trade in right time. When RSI is overbought strategy don't open new longs , also when RSI is oversold strategy don't open new shorts
3) TREND STRENGHT
4) JURIK MOVING AVERAGE - The Jurik Moving Average indicator is one of the surest ways to smoothen price curves within a minimum time lag. The indicator offers currency traders one of the best price filters during strong price moves. In this time, when bitcoin price action is so strong, this indicator is necessary.
5) SAR - The parabolic SAR is a technical indicator used to determine the price direction of an asset, as well as draw attention to when the price direction is changing. SAR supporting bot, to not open new trades when the trends are slowly changing
6) TREND INDICATOR
7) MOMENTUM - Indicator istechnical analysis tool used to determine the strength or weakness of a stock's price. Momentum measures the rate of the rise or fall of stock prices. Common momentum indicators include the relative strength index ( RSI ) and moving average convergence divergence ( MACD ).
8) OBV - On-balance volume (OBV) is a technical trading momentum indicator that uses volume flow to predict changes in stock price.
9) FAST MA - like previous ones this is for better view of trends, and correctly define the trends, also Speed_MA are using for predict the future price action.
10) RANGE FILTER - this indicator is for the better view of trends, define trends, that is important for every bull/bear traps which helps a lot becouse of the very variable trends.
I decided to add momentum indicator to strategy, to make a fast-reacting decision on lower timeframes at extremly price volatility
Also bot got additional EMA scalping option, which increase profit net but, in some situation, that could be risky.
For max security I recommend to turn off this option.
Commision are set at standard binancefutures VIP-0 = 0.04%
After converting strategy into study version, bot is ready for automation.
All the ploting color depends of adx value.
Strategy are not Repainting
For the source code I tried to keep as clean as I could
Enjoy
SVDThis indicator aims to compare between two charts if trader isn't sure which one is more active and powerful, it does NOT show entries or help your chart analysis directly.
The main features of this indicator is to show vitality and range of any given chart.
Volatility: it calculates the average profit of every swing in the range and the final result will be the chart volatility, which indicate how profitable this chart is.
Range: it calculates the profit of the whole range compared to the total price. (E.g. range bottom is 0.1 and range top is 0.2 the range will be 100%)
Extra: indicator shows the total direction of the chart in term of (STRONG UPTREND, UPTREND, SIDEWAYS, DOWNTREND, STRONG DOWNTREND), if you got (Somthing_wrong) please contact me.
How to use: apply the indicator on different charts that you have chosen and the higher (volatility & range) the more profitable the chart is.
inputs:
Lookback length: how long the range is (how many candles are included).
How intense should the Swing be: how many candles should be counted as a confirmation complete swing.
Show counted Swings: if checked as true, will show the swings counted in the volatility calculation.
For any notes on the indicator to be edited, or for another indicator ideas please comment.
Permabull Profit RatioCumulative profit/loss of market bulls.
Price is only half the story - volume is just as important. This indicator combines both to calculate the ratio of profitable longs to losing longs.
Presumably the banks like to reset this to negative territory now and then (eg March 2020) - which is always a great time to buy. Right now we see a modern record of profitable longs - probably not the best entry, but not an indicator of imminent doom. However it does mean that the "fall will be great" when it comes.
Price is only half the story - volume is just as important. This indicator combines both to calculate the cumulative profit/loss of market bulls.
Ranging Market Detector [AstrideUnicorn]Determining if the market is in a trend or a range regime is a very complex problem. And knowing the answer can be, in some situations, the real holy grail. If the trader knows when the market is in a range regime, they can avoid overtrading and make moving average crossover strategies more profitable. A regime switch from a trend to a range can be a signal to close open positions. It can also be helpful when trading such instruments as short-term binary options. When the market is ranging directional moves are not expected, and the trader should be careful as opening a position in such conditions is, by some degree, a random outcome game. Range breakouts trading is one more example when knowing the market regime is critical.
We have created an indicator that predicts the current market regime. It smooths the price using the Kalman filter and analyzes the curve's slope. If the absolute value of the slope is low, then the market is in range mode and vice versa. To distinguish between the two regimes, the algorithm compares the absolute value of the slope with its long-term average.
HOW TO USE
The indicator shows the difference between the absolute slope value and its long-term average as a histogram. When a bar of the histogram is higher than the threshold level presented by the red line, the market is in a trending regime. In this regime, the background of the indicator is blue. When the market is in a range regime, the indicator background turns red.
The threshold level helps to control the lag. The greater it is, the more lagging the indicator will be. By default, this value is set to a negative value. It means that the indicator switches from range to trend a little bit earlier than the slope gets higher than the average slope. You can use the value of zero or low negative values to find the optimal tradeoff between the strength of the signals and their lag.
SETTINGS
The indicator has one input parameter called Threshold. It sets the threshold level described above. Its value should be close to zero. The less the value is, the less is the indicator's lag, but at the same time, the less confirmed the regime-switching signals are.
The use cases can be very different. And as the code is open, you can also use the indicator as a building block for your custom trading strategies.
Let us know your thoughts and suggestions!
Data Trader Stoch | RSI | MACD Strategy IndicatorImplementation of Data Trader's strategy, described in the youtube video, "Highly Profitable Stochastic + RSI + MACD Trading Strategy (Proven 100x)"
Also see Algovibes' video, "Highly Profitable Stochastic + RSI + MACD Trading Strategy? Testing Data Traders strategy in Python"
Note: Despite the claims, it generates barely, if any, signals, certainly in the crypto markets
If there are any mistakes, give feedback in the comments, and I'll fix
### Strategy Summary ###
# Long Signals #
Stoch K and D are oversold
RSI above midline
MACD above signal line
# Short Signals #
Stoch K and D are overbought
RSI below midline
MACD below signal line
# Stop loss and Take Profit #
Stop loss
Longs: below last swing low
Shorts: above last swing high
Take profit at 1.5x stop loss
Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
Silen's Financials P/E & P/S[x10] RatesThis script aims to give a better visualization of P/E and P/S rates compared to the build-in "Price to earnings ratio" and "Price to sales ratio" in the "Financials" Section of Tradingview. For those of you don't know, those rates compare earnings and sales with your share price in regard to market cap and outstanding shares.
The scripts differs to the build-in versions in the following points:
- P/E & P/S rates are combined in one indicator
- Negative P/E rates are displayed better: Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red
- For visualization reasons, the indicator will cap positive and negative P/E rates at 100. (P/E rates above those levels are not siginificant either way)
- P/E & P/S rate are directly displayed on the graph
- Both P/E and P/S rates are combined on one left scale
- For visualization reasons, P/S rate is showing 10x the actual P/S rate. Using the standard P/S rate would result in hard-to-recognize changes of the P/S line.
To sum up:
- Positive P/E rates are green
- Negative P/E rate are red
- P/S rates are multiplied by 1 0
- P/S rates are yellow
How to use P/E and P/S rates:
The US market average for P/E rates is roughly ~18 in the US right now (10/2022) while the market average for P/S rates is roughly ~3 in the US. Note that average P/E and P/S can change when the market situation changes.
P/E and P/S rates help you value your stock better and help you decide whether your stock is undervalued or overvalued compared to the market or the industry when it comes to earnings and sales. If you compare to Market averages, a positive P/E of less than 18 means that your stock is likely unvervalued. A P/S rate below 3 (30 in the chart!) means that your stock is likely undervalued as well. If your stock shows rates above those, it is likely that it is overvalued compared to market averages.
Please note that P/E and P/S rates are not the only factors that make up a stock valuation. Valuations are complex and subjective.
A positive P/E rate also means that your company is profitable.
A Negative P/E rate means that your company is unprofitable.
If you have any questions or feedback let me know!
Disclaimer: This script doesn't show the actual P/S rate. It shows the P/S rate multiplied by 10, due to visualization issues. Positive P/E Rates above 100 are displayed as 100. Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red and multiplied by -1.
Disclaimer2: @Tradingview_Team: I couldn't find the right category for this script but categories are mandatory. I assume that "Breadth Indicators" is still the closest there is. Please let me know if you want me to change the category.
Disclaimer3: For visualization, the opacity of the displayed image is 70%. The standard opacity for the P/E and P/S lines is 50% and can be changed in the indicator settings. I found this setting more useful when working together with other indicators on the same chart
Disclaimer4: Earnings Per Share, Total Revenue used are TTM. Total Shares Outstanding used are FQ.
Pivot Target (5m Futures)I am new to both Futures Trading and Pivots. Looking for shorter-term profitable opportunities, I have investigated the use of pivots from a higher timeframe. All the work of this script is performed using two lines. It calculates the pivot from the previous 2-hour bar and draws this pivot line on the 5-minute timeframe. Many many times, the price will reach back to this pivot point - sometimes fairly quickly within the same horizontal pivot line and sometimes farther out (4-hours to 6-hours, or within the next few days). Price tends to reach the level around ninety percent of the time, making for plenty of short-term trading opportunities.
I get the best results when I see the price rise or fall from the pivot, along with a second indicator indicating a possible reversal (my favorite is Divergence for Many Indicators v4 by LonesomeTheBlue . Who knew divergence (both regular and hidden) was so common and useful for finding probable reversals? If I find the price above or below the pivot line with a second signal, I'll place a buy or sell within that same 2-hour window the price tends to return back to the higher timeframe pivot for a nice profit very quickly. Other times it does take a little longer to return with only a small percentage of time not returning within a reasonable amount of time, or very unusually, not at all. The image above shows a number of profitable trading opportunities using a combination of the Pivot Target and LonesomeTheBlue's Divergence for Many Indicators v4. You can further limit risk by only taking trades that are in the same direction of the overall trend, possibly confirmed on a higher timeframe.
This script will only be visible on the 5-minute timeframe the way it is written right now. I wouldn't suggest shorter or longer timeframes unless some editing is done by you. It doesn't seem to work as well with stocks, but is best on Futures due to the wave-like natures of the futures market. Trade safe, trade with the trend, use stops and limits appropriately and stay safe.
[CP]Pivot Boss Candlestick Scanner - No Repainting This indicator is based on the high probability candlestick patterns described in the ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ book.
The indicator does not suffer from repainting.
I have kept this indicator open source, so that you can take this indicator and design a complete trading system around it.
Although the patterns have some statistical edge in the markets, blindly using them as Buy/Sell Indicators will certainly result in a heavy loss.
I like some of these setups more than others, and I have listed them in the order of my likeness.
The first one I like the most, the last one, I like the least.
The patterns are universal and work well in both intraday, daily and even larger timeframes.
Signals in the example charts are manually marked by,
Hammer - profitable short signal
Rocket - profitable long signal
X - unprofitable long or short signal
GENERAL USER INPUTS:
These settings exist as the indicator uses ‘Labels’ to mark the patterns and Pine Script limits a maximum of 500 labels on a chart.
If you want to go back in the past and check how the indicator was doing, set the Start and End dates both and check the ’Use the date range above to mark the Candlestick Setups?’ option.
EXTREME REVERSAL SETUP:
This is by far my favorite setup in the lot. Classic Mean Reversion setup.
The logic, as explained in the book, goes like this,
1. The first bar of the pattern is about two times larger than the average size of the candles in the lookback period.
2. The body of the first bar of the pattern should encompass more than 50 percent of the bar’s total range, but usually not more than 85 percent.
3. The second bar of the pattern opposes the first.
The setup works extremely well in high beta stocks like Vedanta VEDL.
Feel free to play with the settings in order to better align this pattern with your favorite stock.
Check out the examples below,
No indicator is perfect, failed patterns are marked with an X.
OUTSIDE REVERSAL SETUP:
My second favorite setup, it is quite good at catching intraday trends.
Here’s the logic,
1. The engulfing bar of a bullish outside reversal setup has a low that is below the prior bar’s low and a close that is above the prior bar’s high. Reverse the conditions for bearish outside reversal.
2. The engulfing bar is usually 5 to 25 percent larger than the size of the average bar in the lookback period.
Settings for this pattern simply reflect these conditions. Feel free to modify them as you wish.
The pattern is pretty powerful and will sometimes help you catch literally all the highs and lows of the market, as shown in the examples of Vedanta VEDL and RELIANCE stocks below.
As usual, this pattern is not PERFECT either.
DOJI REVERSAL SETUP:
Doji candles signify market indecision and this pattern tries to profit off these market conditions.
Logic:
1. The open and close price of the doji should fall within 10 percent of each other, as measured by the total range of the candlestick.
2. For a bullish doji, the high of the doji candlestick should be below the ten-period simple moving average. Vice-versa for bearish.
3. For a bullish doji setup, one of the two bars following the doji must close above the high of the doji. Vice-versa for bearish.
Feel free to modify the settings and optimize according to the stock you are trading.
Don't optimize too much :)
This pattern works brilliantly well on larger intraday timeframes, like 15m/30m/60m.
This pattern also has a higher propensity to give false indications than the two described above.
Doji reversal typically helps to catch larger trend reversals. Check out the examples below from RELIANCE and NIFTY charts,
Note that the RELIANCE chart below is the same as shown for the Outside Reversal Setup above, notice the confluence of Outside
Reversal and Doji Reversal on the 31st August.
Confluence of patterns usually increases the probability of success.
RELIANCE 15m Chart - Pattern can catch nice trends on higher timeframes
NIFTY 15m Chart
WICK REVERSAL SETUP:
This pattern tries to capture candlesticks with large wick sizes, as they often indicate trend reversal when coupled with significant support and resistance levels.
Logic:
1. The body is used to determine the size of the reversal wick. A wick that is between 2.5 to 3.5 times larger than the size of the body is ideal.
2. For a bullish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the top 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
3. For a bearish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the bottom 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
This pattern must always be coupled with important support resistance levels, else there will be a lot of false signals.
The chart below is the same NIFTY chart as above with the Wick Reversal candles marked as well.
You can see that there are a lot of false signals, but the price also indicates ’pausing’ at important levels by printing a wick reversal setup.
You can use this information to your advantage when riding a trend.
FINAL WORDS:
Settings for various patterns simply reflect the logic described.
You will probably need to tweak and optimize the pattern settings for the stock that you are trading.
Higher Beta/Higher Volatility stocks are a great choice for these patterns.
Using these patterns at critical support and resistance levels will result in dramatically high accuracy.
Be creative and try to develop a proper system around this indicator, with rules for position sizing, stop loss etc.
You do not have to trade all the patterns. Even trading just one pattern with a proper system is good enough.
DO NOT USE THIS INDICATOR AS A BUY/SELL SYSTEM, YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
Feel free to drop any feedback in the comments section below, or if you have any unique candlestick patterns that you would like me to code.
Binary Option Strategy Tester with MartingaleIn Binary options, strategy testing is a bit different. The script is just a try to test Binary options strategies.
Assumption:
We are opening position at next candle after signal come
We are taking the position at opening price
Our call will be profitable if we get a green candle and put will be profitable if we get a red candle
We can open only one trade at a time. So if we are in trade, subsequent signals will be ignored.
The script is not counting your profit or loss, it just counting the winning and losing trades.
Input Options:
Choose long only or short only test. Default is both.
You can continue your trade with Martingale Level, up to 5. Default is 1 (no Martingale)
You can choose Martingale trade type
SAME: if call subsequent trade will be call only and vice versa
OPPOSITE: if call subsequent trade will be put
FOLLOW CANDLE COLOR: Subsequent trade will follow previous candle color
OPPOSITE CANDLE COLOR: Subsequent trade will opposite of previous candle color
You can choose trading session to test. Default is false.
The strategy is taken from Vdub Binary Options SniperVX v1 (by @vdubus) . I have deleted extra parts and kept only the necessary part.
Without Martingale
Result Table
With Martingale
I am very new to Pine script, so waiting for your comments and review.
Price Moving Average Ratio & PercentileIntroducing the Price Moving Average Ratio & Percentile indicator
A simple indicator which calculates :
The ratio between a chosen source price and a user defined moving average ( PMAR ) or
The percentile of the ratio between the chosen source price and a user defined moving average over an adjustable lookback period ( PMARP )
It then displays either the PMAR or PMARP as a line plot with optional user defined signal moving average.
It also plots an optional Visual Alert Level line and background signal bars.
Indicator Settings
Main Properties :
Source Price .. choice of price values or external value from another indicator ( default )
Line Plot Type .. choice between PMAR or PMARP ( default PMAR )
Price Moving Average Ratio Settings :
PMAR Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Moving Average for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
PMAR Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the MA for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile Settings :
PMARP Lookback .. The lookback period to be used in calculating the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile.
Line Plot Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Signal Moving Average Settings :
Signal MA Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal MA Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal Moving Average Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Visual Alert Level Settings :
Alert level .. Level which activates the background signal bars ( default )
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this....
Set a level below 1 where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile
Traders and Technical Analysts will look at the PMARP to judge how far away current PA is away from the defined MA based on a statistical measure of the lookback period in a percentile format.
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this...
Set a low level where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Note : The default settings are specifically set up for use on the daily timeframe with a MA of 140 equating (approximately) to the 20 week moving average.
This is not a stand alone indicator and should be used in combination with volatility and momentum indicators for a more effective trading edge.
FTB Strategy (Automated)Hey traders!
This is a profitable strategy script I created to teach my students how to automate their scripts using 3rd party APIs (more info available in my profile link at the bottom of this page).
What Is This?
This strategy is called the "Follow The Bear" strategy.
It's a forex trading strategy designed for one purpose and one purpose only: to take advantage of a recurring pattern on EURUSD's 1-Hour chart during the European market open.
The basic explanation is this:
During the European open we want to see a rally followed by a swing high shooting star / reversal pinbar candle. This typically means that traders buying EURUSD during the European/London open are now trapped long, and as price begins to retrace they are forced to sell, fueling a short-term retracement.
This strategy takes advantage of that pattern by aggressively selling short with a tight stop-loss above the pinbar candle and a conservative target.
There are many ways to trade this pattern, but this script represents my personal method for trading it.
It is not 100% accurate (no strategy is), but it does have a considerably high win rate over the past 6+ years considering its simplicity and I've been trading it for several months and can attest to its edge over the markets (at least through the Oanda data feed which is what I use).
The strategy rules are this:
Market: EURUSD
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Direction: Short Only
Timezone: 6AM-10AM GMT
Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
Entry: Close of Pinbar Setup
Stop: 2 pips above signal candle
Target: 1:1
Risk: Up to you (backtest first! I use 1%)
The rule for the pinbar/shooting star candle pattern is that the candle must both open and close in the lower 50% of the bar's total size.
Automation
This script is already prepared to be auto-traded through a 3rd-party API that was created to relay TradingView alerts to your broker to execute and manage trades.
Sorry for the lack of information - due to TradingView's house rules I cannot go into any more detail here, but if you're interested in automating this script there is more info available in the resources offered under my profile link at the bottom of this page.
Disclaimer
The material and the resources offered here are for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and only execute trades based on your own personal judgement.
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency, investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate.
The leveraged nature of forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Linear Regression & RSI Multi-Function Screener with Table-LabelHi fellow traders..
Happy to share a Linear Regression & RSI Multi-Function Custom Screener with Table-Labels...
The Screener scans for Linear Regression 2-SD Breakouts and RSI OB/OS levels for the coded tickers and gives Summary alerts
Uses Tables (dynamica resizing) for the scanner output instead of standard labels!
This Screener cum indicator collection has two distinct objectives..
1. Attempt re-entry into trending trades.
2. Attempt Counter trend trades using linear regression , RSI and Zigzag.
Briefly about the Screener functions..
a. It uses TABLES as Labels a FIRST for any Screener on TV.
b. Tables dynamically resize based on criteria..
c. Alerts for breakouts of the UPPER and the LOWER regression channels.(2 SD)
d. In addition to LinReg it also Screens RSI for OB/OS levels so a multifunction Screener.
e. Of course has the standard summary Alerts and programmable format for Custom functions.
f. Uses only the inbuilt Auto Fib and Lin Reg code for the screener.(No proprietary stuff)
g. The auto Zigzag code is derived(Auto fib).
Question what are all these doing in a single screener ??
ZigZag is very useful in determining Trend Up or Down from one Pivot to another.
So Once you have a firm view of the Current Trend for your chosen timeframe and ticker…
We can consider few possible trading scenarios..
a. Re-entry in an Up Trend - Combination of OS Rsi And a Lower Channel breach followed by a re-entry back into the regression channel CAN be used as an effective re-entry.
b. Similarily one can join a Down Trend on OB Rsi and Upper Channel line breach followed by re-entry into the regression channel.
If ZigZag signals a range-bound market, bound within channel lines then the Upper breakout can be used to Sell and vice-versa!
In short many possibilities for using these functions together with Scanner and Alerts.
This facilitates timely PROFITABLE Trending and Counter trend opportunities across multiple tickers.
You must give a thorough READ to the various available tutorials on ZigZag / Regression and Fib retracements before attempting counter trend trades using these tools!!
A small TIP – Markets are sideways or consolidating 70% of the time!!
Acknowledgements: - Thanks a lot DGTRD for the Auto ZigZag code and also for the eagerness to help wherever possible..Respect!!
Disclaimer: The Alerts and Screener are just few tools among many and not any kind of Buy/Sell recommendations. Unless you have sufficient trading experience please consult a Financial advisor before investing real money.
*The alerts are set for crossovers however for viewing tickers trading above or below the channel use code in line 343 and 344 after setting up the Alerts!
** RSI alerts are disabled by default to avoid clutter, but if needed one can activate code lines 441,442,444 and 445
Wish you all, Happy Profitable Trading!
