Crypto Scannner for Traffic Lights StrategyI allways try to make trading easier. Developing Scripts for a quick backtest and improvement of a strategy, getting alerts for entry and exit a position. Loading data to a spreadsheet is also important and takes time.
In this case finding good parameters in different markets or assets to enter in a position, is a bit exhausting. It is something you have to do everyday, and sometimes in different moments of the day.
So I manage to develop a Screener, to take a quick look at specific hours, and tell if I have a buy or sell condition in an specific asset. Obviously this is not an alert to make a trade instantaneusly, but this help you filter a lot of information in matters of seconds. Then open those specific charts and make a better analisys.
A few weeks ago, I published a scrpipt called "Traffic Lights Strategy", that uses 4 emas to get a buy or a sell condition.
It is easy to understand and use, but if you don´t want to missed some opportunities, and don't want to be look at the screen in all the time looking for them, I have here a simple solution.
This script works plotting 2 labels. The first one plots all the assets in which the condition is true (fastema > medema > slowema > filterema or fastema < medema < slowema < filterema)
The second one plots the assets were the condition is true only if happened up to 5 candles back, so you can be in time to enter a trade.
You can take the script and customize it for a different strategy or assets. I coded like this because I backtested this strategy in this specific assets, and statistics suggest that it might be profitable.
I hope this works for you. In other time I'll try to code a script for the others strategies I published.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "profitable"
Silen's Financials P/E & P/S[x10] RatesThis script aims to give a better visualization of P/E and P/S rates compared to the build-in "Price to earnings ratio" and "Price to sales ratio" in the "Financials" Section of Tradingview. For those of you don't know, those rates compare earnings and sales with your share price in regard to market cap and outstanding shares.
The scripts differs to the build-in versions in the following points:
- P/E & P/S rates are combined in one indicator
- Negative P/E rates are displayed better: Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red
- For visualization reasons, the indicator will cap positive and negative P/E rates at 100. (P/E rates above those levels are not siginificant either way)
- P/E & P/S rate are directly displayed on the graph
- Both P/E and P/S rates are combined on one left scale
- For visualization reasons, P/S rate is showing 10x the actual P/S rate. Using the standard P/S rate would result in hard-to-recognize changes of the P/S line.
To sum up:
- Positive P/E rates are green
- Negative P/E rate are red
- P/S rates are multiplied by 1 0
- P/S rates are yellow
How to use P/E and P/S rates:
The US market average for P/E rates is roughly ~18 in the US right now (10/2022) while the market average for P/S rates is roughly ~3 in the US. Note that average P/E and P/S can change when the market situation changes.
P/E and P/S rates help you value your stock better and help you decide whether your stock is undervalued or overvalued compared to the market or the industry when it comes to earnings and sales. If you compare to Market averages, a positive P/E of less than 18 means that your stock is likely unvervalued. A P/S rate below 3 (30 in the chart!) means that your stock is likely undervalued as well. If your stock shows rates above those, it is likely that it is overvalued compared to market averages.
Please note that P/E and P/S rates are not the only factors that make up a stock valuation. Valuations are complex and subjective.
A positive P/E rate also means that your company is profitable.
A Negative P/E rate means that your company is unprofitable.
If you have any questions or feedback let me know!
Disclaimer: This script doesn't show the actual P/S rate. It shows the P/S rate multiplied by 10, due to visualization issues. Positive P/E Rates above 100 are displayed as 100. Positive P/E rates are green, Negative P/E rates are red and multiplied by -1.
Disclaimer2: @Tradingview_Team: I couldn't find the right category for this script but categories are mandatory. I assume that "Breadth Indicators" is still the closest there is. Please let me know if you want me to change the category.
Disclaimer3: For visualization, the opacity of the displayed image is 70%. The standard opacity for the P/E and P/S lines is 50% and can be changed in the indicator settings. I found this setting more useful when working together with other indicators on the same chart
Disclaimer4: Earnings Per Share, Total Revenue used are TTM. Total Shares Outstanding used are FQ.
Pivot Target (5m Futures)I am new to both Futures Trading and Pivots. Looking for shorter-term profitable opportunities, I have investigated the use of pivots from a higher timeframe. All the work of this script is performed using two lines. It calculates the pivot from the previous 2-hour bar and draws this pivot line on the 5-minute timeframe. Many many times, the price will reach back to this pivot point - sometimes fairly quickly within the same horizontal pivot line and sometimes farther out (4-hours to 6-hours, or within the next few days). Price tends to reach the level around ninety percent of the time, making for plenty of short-term trading opportunities.
I get the best results when I see the price rise or fall from the pivot, along with a second indicator indicating a possible reversal (my favorite is Divergence for Many Indicators v4 by LonesomeTheBlue . Who knew divergence (both regular and hidden) was so common and useful for finding probable reversals? If I find the price above or below the pivot line with a second signal, I'll place a buy or sell within that same 2-hour window the price tends to return back to the higher timeframe pivot for a nice profit very quickly. Other times it does take a little longer to return with only a small percentage of time not returning within a reasonable amount of time, or very unusually, not at all. The image above shows a number of profitable trading opportunities using a combination of the Pivot Target and LonesomeTheBlue's Divergence for Many Indicators v4. You can further limit risk by only taking trades that are in the same direction of the overall trend, possibly confirmed on a higher timeframe.
This script will only be visible on the 5-minute timeframe the way it is written right now. I wouldn't suggest shorter or longer timeframes unless some editing is done by you. It doesn't seem to work as well with stocks, but is best on Futures due to the wave-like natures of the futures market. Trade safe, trade with the trend, use stops and limits appropriately and stay safe.
[CP]Pivot Boss Candlestick Scanner - No Repainting This indicator is based on the high probability candlestick patterns described in the ’Secrets of a Pivot Boss’ book.
The indicator does not suffer from repainting.
I have kept this indicator open source, so that you can take this indicator and design a complete trading system around it.
Although the patterns have some statistical edge in the markets, blindly using them as Buy/Sell Indicators will certainly result in a heavy loss.
I like some of these setups more than others, and I have listed them in the order of my likeness.
The first one I like the most, the last one, I like the least.
The patterns are universal and work well in both intraday, daily and even larger timeframes.
Signals in the example charts are manually marked by,
Hammer - profitable short signal
Rocket - profitable long signal
X - unprofitable long or short signal
GENERAL USER INPUTS:
These settings exist as the indicator uses ‘Labels’ to mark the patterns and Pine Script limits a maximum of 500 labels on a chart.
If you want to go back in the past and check how the indicator was doing, set the Start and End dates both and check the ’Use the date range above to mark the Candlestick Setups?’ option.
EXTREME REVERSAL SETUP:
This is by far my favorite setup in the lot. Classic Mean Reversion setup.
The logic, as explained in the book, goes like this,
1. The first bar of the pattern is about two times larger than the average size of the candles in the lookback period.
2. The body of the first bar of the pattern should encompass more than 50 percent of the bar’s total range, but usually not more than 85 percent.
3. The second bar of the pattern opposes the first.
The setup works extremely well in high beta stocks like Vedanta VEDL.
Feel free to play with the settings in order to better align this pattern with your favorite stock.
Check out the examples below,
No indicator is perfect, failed patterns are marked with an X.
OUTSIDE REVERSAL SETUP:
My second favorite setup, it is quite good at catching intraday trends.
Here’s the logic,
1. The engulfing bar of a bullish outside reversal setup has a low that is below the prior bar’s low and a close that is above the prior bar’s high. Reverse the conditions for bearish outside reversal.
2. The engulfing bar is usually 5 to 25 percent larger than the size of the average bar in the lookback period.
Settings for this pattern simply reflect these conditions. Feel free to modify them as you wish.
The pattern is pretty powerful and will sometimes help you catch literally all the highs and lows of the market, as shown in the examples of Vedanta VEDL and RELIANCE stocks below.
As usual, this pattern is not PERFECT either.
DOJI REVERSAL SETUP:
Doji candles signify market indecision and this pattern tries to profit off these market conditions.
Logic:
1. The open and close price of the doji should fall within 10 percent of each other, as measured by the total range of the candlestick.
2. For a bullish doji, the high of the doji candlestick should be below the ten-period simple moving average. Vice-versa for bearish.
3. For a bullish doji setup, one of the two bars following the doji must close above the high of the doji. Vice-versa for bearish.
Feel free to modify the settings and optimize according to the stock you are trading.
Don't optimize too much :)
This pattern works brilliantly well on larger intraday timeframes, like 15m/30m/60m.
This pattern also has a higher propensity to give false indications than the two described above.
Doji reversal typically helps to catch larger trend reversals. Check out the examples below from RELIANCE and NIFTY charts,
Note that the RELIANCE chart below is the same as shown for the Outside Reversal Setup above, notice the confluence of Outside
Reversal and Doji Reversal on the 31st August.
Confluence of patterns usually increases the probability of success.
RELIANCE 15m Chart - Pattern can catch nice trends on higher timeframes
NIFTY 15m Chart
WICK REVERSAL SETUP:
This pattern tries to capture candlesticks with large wick sizes, as they often indicate trend reversal when coupled with significant support and resistance levels.
Logic:
1. The body is used to determine the size of the reversal wick. A wick that is between 2.5 to 3.5 times larger than the size of the body is ideal.
2. For a bullish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the top 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
3. For a bearish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the bottom 35 percent of the overall range of the candle.
This pattern must always be coupled with important support resistance levels, else there will be a lot of false signals.
The chart below is the same NIFTY chart as above with the Wick Reversal candles marked as well.
You can see that there are a lot of false signals, but the price also indicates ’pausing’ at important levels by printing a wick reversal setup.
You can use this information to your advantage when riding a trend.
FINAL WORDS:
Settings for various patterns simply reflect the logic described.
You will probably need to tweak and optimize the pattern settings for the stock that you are trading.
Higher Beta/Higher Volatility stocks are a great choice for these patterns.
Using these patterns at critical support and resistance levels will result in dramatically high accuracy.
Be creative and try to develop a proper system around this indicator, with rules for position sizing, stop loss etc.
You do not have to trade all the patterns. Even trading just one pattern with a proper system is good enough.
DO NOT USE THIS INDICATOR AS A BUY/SELL SYSTEM, YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
Feel free to drop any feedback in the comments section below, or if you have any unique candlestick patterns that you would like me to code.
Binary Option Strategy Tester with MartingaleIn Binary options, strategy testing is a bit different. The script is just a try to test Binary options strategies.
Assumption:
We are opening position at next candle after signal come
We are taking the position at opening price
Our call will be profitable if we get a green candle and put will be profitable if we get a red candle
We can open only one trade at a time. So if we are in trade, subsequent signals will be ignored.
The script is not counting your profit or loss, it just counting the winning and losing trades.
Input Options:
Choose long only or short only test. Default is both.
You can continue your trade with Martingale Level, up to 5. Default is 1 (no Martingale)
You can choose Martingale trade type
SAME: if call subsequent trade will be call only and vice versa
OPPOSITE: if call subsequent trade will be put
FOLLOW CANDLE COLOR: Subsequent trade will follow previous candle color
OPPOSITE CANDLE COLOR: Subsequent trade will opposite of previous candle color
You can choose trading session to test. Default is false.
The strategy is taken from Vdub Binary Options SniperVX v1 (by @vdubus) . I have deleted extra parts and kept only the necessary part.
Without Martingale
Result Table
With Martingale
I am very new to Pine script, so waiting for your comments and review.
Price Moving Average Ratio & PercentileIntroducing the Price Moving Average Ratio & Percentile indicator
A simple indicator which calculates :
The ratio between a chosen source price and a user defined moving average ( PMAR ) or
The percentile of the ratio between the chosen source price and a user defined moving average over an adjustable lookback period ( PMARP )
It then displays either the PMAR or PMARP as a line plot with optional user defined signal moving average.
It also plots an optional Visual Alert Level line and background signal bars.
Indicator Settings
Main Properties :
Source Price .. choice of price values or external value from another indicator ( default )
Line Plot Type .. choice between PMAR or PMARP ( default PMAR )
Price Moving Average Ratio Settings :
PMAR Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Moving Average for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
PMAR Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the MA for the Price Moving Average Ratio and the PMAR component of the PMARP. ( default )
Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile Settings :
PMARP Lookback .. The lookback period to be used in calculating the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile.
Line Plot Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Signal Moving Average Settings :
Signal MA Length ..The time period to be used in calculating the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal MA Type ..The type of Moving Average which creates the Signal Moving Average for the Line Plot ( default )
Signal Moving Average Color Settings :
Gives a choice between a user defined solid color, and a choice of "Blue Green Red", or "Blue Red" spectrum palettes.
Visual Alert Level Settings :
Alert level .. Level which activates the background signal bars ( default )
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this....
Set a level below 1 where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Typical Use case for the Price Moving Average Ratio Percentile
Traders and Technical Analysts will look at the PMARP to judge how far away current PA is away from the defined MA based on a statistical measure of the lookback period in a percentile format.
Traders and Technical Analysts will typically use the PMAR as an accumulation signal generator.
To do this...
Set a low level where it has been historically profitable to accumulate the asset in question on the chosen timeframe.
Note : The default settings are specifically set up for use on the daily timeframe with a MA of 140 equating (approximately) to the 20 week moving average.
This is not a stand alone indicator and should be used in combination with volatility and momentum indicators for a more effective trading edge.
FTB Strategy (Automated)Hey traders!
This is a profitable strategy script I created to teach my students how to automate their scripts using 3rd party APIs (more info available in my profile link at the bottom of this page).
What Is This?
This strategy is called the "Follow The Bear" strategy.
It's a forex trading strategy designed for one purpose and one purpose only: to take advantage of a recurring pattern on EURUSD's 1-Hour chart during the European market open.
The basic explanation is this:
During the European open we want to see a rally followed by a swing high shooting star / reversal pinbar candle. This typically means that traders buying EURUSD during the European/London open are now trapped long, and as price begins to retrace they are forced to sell, fueling a short-term retracement.
This strategy takes advantage of that pattern by aggressively selling short with a tight stop-loss above the pinbar candle and a conservative target.
There are many ways to trade this pattern, but this script represents my personal method for trading it.
It is not 100% accurate (no strategy is), but it does have a considerably high win rate over the past 6+ years considering its simplicity and I've been trading it for several months and can attest to its edge over the markets (at least through the Oanda data feed which is what I use).
The strategy rules are this:
Market: EURUSD
Timeframe: 1-Hour
Direction: Short Only
Timezone: 6AM-10AM GMT
Days: Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday
Entry: Close of Pinbar Setup
Stop: 2 pips above signal candle
Target: 1:1
Risk: Up to you (backtest first! I use 1%)
The rule for the pinbar/shooting star candle pattern is that the candle must both open and close in the lower 50% of the bar's total size.
Automation
This script is already prepared to be auto-traded through a 3rd-party API that was created to relay TradingView alerts to your broker to execute and manage trades.
Sorry for the lack of information - due to TradingView's house rules I cannot go into any more detail here, but if you're interested in automating this script there is more info available in the resources offered under my profile link at the bottom of this page.
Disclaimer
The material and the resources offered here are for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and only execute trades based on your own personal judgement.
Trading foreign currencies can be a challenging and potentially profitable opportunity for investors. However, before deciding to participate in the forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any foreign exchange transaction. Any transaction involving currencies involves risks including, but not limited to, the potential for changing political and/or economic conditions that may substantially affect the price or liquidity of a currency, investments in foreign exchange speculation may also be susceptible to sharp rises and falls as the relevant market values fluctuate.
The leveraged nature of forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. Not only may investors get back less than they invested, but in the case of higher risk strategies, investors may lose the entirety of their investment. It is for this reason that when speculating in such markets it is advisable to use only risk capital.
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Linear Regression & RSI Multi-Function Screener with Table-LabelHi fellow traders..
Happy to share a Linear Regression & RSI Multi-Function Custom Screener with Table-Labels...
The Screener scans for Linear Regression 2-SD Breakouts and RSI OB/OS levels for the coded tickers and gives Summary alerts
Uses Tables (dynamica resizing) for the scanner output instead of standard labels!
This Screener cum indicator collection has two distinct objectives..
1. Attempt re-entry into trending trades.
2. Attempt Counter trend trades using linear regression , RSI and Zigzag.
Briefly about the Screener functions..
a. It uses TABLES as Labels a FIRST for any Screener on TV.
b. Tables dynamically resize based on criteria..
c. Alerts for breakouts of the UPPER and the LOWER regression channels.(2 SD)
d. In addition to LinReg it also Screens RSI for OB/OS levels so a multifunction Screener.
e. Of course has the standard summary Alerts and programmable format for Custom functions.
f. Uses only the inbuilt Auto Fib and Lin Reg code for the screener.(No proprietary stuff)
g. The auto Zigzag code is derived(Auto fib).
Question what are all these doing in a single screener ??
ZigZag is very useful in determining Trend Up or Down from one Pivot to another.
So Once you have a firm view of the Current Trend for your chosen timeframe and ticker…
We can consider few possible trading scenarios..
a. Re-entry in an Up Trend - Combination of OS Rsi And a Lower Channel breach followed by a re-entry back into the regression channel CAN be used as an effective re-entry.
b. Similarily one can join a Down Trend on OB Rsi and Upper Channel line breach followed by re-entry into the regression channel.
If ZigZag signals a range-bound market, bound within channel lines then the Upper breakout can be used to Sell and vice-versa!
In short many possibilities for using these functions together with Scanner and Alerts.
This facilitates timely PROFITABLE Trending and Counter trend opportunities across multiple tickers.
You must give a thorough READ to the various available tutorials on ZigZag / Regression and Fib retracements before attempting counter trend trades using these tools!!
A small TIP – Markets are sideways or consolidating 70% of the time!!
Acknowledgements: - Thanks a lot DGTRD for the Auto ZigZag code and also for the eagerness to help wherever possible..Respect!!
Disclaimer: The Alerts and Screener are just few tools among many and not any kind of Buy/Sell recommendations. Unless you have sufficient trading experience please consult a Financial advisor before investing real money.
*The alerts are set for crossovers however for viewing tickers trading above or below the channel use code in line 343 and 344 after setting up the Alerts!
** RSI alerts are disabled by default to avoid clutter, but if needed one can activate code lines 441,442,444 and 445
Wish you all, Happy Profitable Trading!
Crypto momentum strategyThis strategy is based on LazyBear's Squeeze Momentum indicator. It analyzes when the trend in the momentum is shifting, locating the peaks and the valleys, and takes those as sell and buy signals respectively. This is a long strategy, so it also takes into consideration the 50 period Exponential Moving Average to identify upward trends. If the closing price of the candle is above the 50EMA, and the slope of the 50EMA is trending upwards, then the buy signal is executed. If these conditions are not met, the buy signal is ignored.
This strategy works well with crypto trading on the day/week charts.
It has a profit ratio of 4:1 on average, and roughly half of the trades are profitable.
72s Strat: Backtesting Adaptive HMA+ pt.1This is a follow up to my previous publication of Adaptive HMA+ few months ago, as a mean to provide some kind of initial backtesting tools. Which can be use to explore many possible strategies, optimise its settings to better conform user's pair/tf, and hopefully able to help tweaking your general strategy.
If you haven't read the study or use the indicator, kindly go here first to get the overall idea.
The first strategy introduce in this backtest is one most basic already described in the study; buy/sell is when movement is there and everything is on the right side; When RSI has turned to other side, we can use it as exit point (if in profit of course, else just let it hit our TP/SL, why would we exit before profit). Also, base on RSI when we make entry, we can further differentiate type of signals. --Please check all comments in code directly where the signals , entries , and exits section are.
Second additional strategy to check; is when we also use second faster Adaptive HMA+ for exit. So this is like a double orders on a signal but with different exit-rule (/more on this on snapshots below). Alternatively, you can also work the code so to only use this type of exit.
There's also an additional feature which you can enable its visuals, the Distance Zone , is to help measuring price distance to our xHMA+. It's just a simple atr based envelope really, I already put the sample code in study's comment section, but better gonna update it there directly for non-coder too, after this.
In this sample I use Lot for order quantity size just because that's what I use on my broker. Also what few friends use while we forward-testing it since the study is published, so we also checked/compared each profit/loss report by real number. To use default or other unit of measurement, change the entry code accordingly.
If you change your order size, you should also change the commission in Properties Tab. My broker commission is 5 USD per order/lot, so in there with example order size 0.1 lot I put commission 0.5$ per order (I'll put 2.5$ for 0.5 lot, 10$ for 2 lot, and so on). Crypto usually has higher charge. --It is important that you should fill it base on your broker.
SETTINGS
I'm trying to keep it short. Please explore it further again. (Beginner should also first get acquaintance with terms use here.)
ORDERS:
Base Minimum Profit Before Exit:
The number is multiplier of ongoing ATR. Means that when basic exit condition is met, algo will check whether you're already in minimum profit or not, if not, let it still run to TP or SL, or until it meets subsequent exit condition, then it will check again.
Default Target Profit:
Multiplier of ATR at signal. If reached before any eligible exit condition is met, exit TP.
Base StopLoss Point:
You can change directly in code to use other like ATR Trailing SL, fix percent SL, or whatever. In the sample, 4 options provided.
Maximum StopLoss:
This is like a safety-net, that if at some point your chosen SL point from input above happens to be exceeding this maximum input that you can tolerate, then this max point is the one will be use as SL.
Activate 2nd order...:
The additional doubling of certain buy/sell with different exits as described above. If enable, you should also set pyramiding to at least: 2. If not, it does nothing.
ADAPTIVE HMA+ PERIOD
Many users already have their own settings for these. So in here I only sample the default as first presented in the study. Make it to your adaptive.
MARKET MOVEMENT
(1) Now you can check in realtime how much slope degree is best to define your specific pair/tf is out of congestion (yellow) area. And (2) also able to check directly what ATR lengths are more suitable defining your pair's volatility.
DISTANCE ZONE
Distance Multiplier. Each pair/tf has its own best distance zone (in xHMA+ perspective). The zone also determine whether a signal should appear or not. (Or what type of signal, if you wanna go more detail in constructing your strategy)
USAGE
(Provided you already have your own comfortable settings for minimum-maximum period of Adaptive HMA+. Best if you already have backtested it manually too and/or apply as an add-on to your working strategy)
1. In our experiences, first most important to define is both elements in the Market Movement Settings . These also tend to be persistent for whole season since it's kinda describing that pair/tf overall behaviour. Don't worry if you still get a low Profit Factor here, but by tweaking you should start to see positive changes in one of Max Drawdown and Net Profit, or Percent Profitable.
2. Afterwards, find your pair/tf Distance Zone . When optimising this, what we seek is just a "not to bad" equity curves to start forming. At least Max Drawdown should lessen more. Doesn't have to be great already, but should be better, no red in Net Profit.
3. Then go manage the "Trailing Minimum Profit", TP, SL, and max SL.
4. Repeat 1,2,3. 👻
5. Manage order size, commission, and/or enable double-order (need pyramiding) if you like. Check if your equity can handle max drawdown before margin call.
6. After getting an acceptable backtest result, go to List of Trades tab and find the biggest loss or when many sequencing loss in a row happened. Click on it to go to exact point on chart, observe why the signal failed and get at least general idea how it can be prevented . The rest is yours, you should know your pair/tf more than other.
You can also re-explore your minimum-maximum period for both Major and minor xHMA+.
Keep in mind that all numbers in Setting are conceptually in a form of range . You don't want to get superb equity curves but actually a "fragile" , means one can easily turn it to disaster just by changing only a fraction in one/two of the setting.
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If you just wanna test the strength of the indicator alone, you can disable "Use StopLoss" temporarily while optimising settings.
Using no SL might be tempting in overall result data in some cases, but NOTE: It is not recommended to not using SL, don't forget that we deliberately enter when it's in high volatility. If want to add flexibility or trading for long-term, just maximise your SL. ie.: chose SL Point>ATR only and set it maximum. (Check your max drawdown after this).
I think this is quite important specially for beginners, so here's an example; Hypothetically in below scenario, because of some settings, the buy order after the loss sell signal didn't appear. Let's say if our initial capital only 1000$ using leverage and order size 0,5 lot (risky position sizing already), moreover if this happens at the beginning of your trading season, that's half of account gone already in one trade . Your max SL should've made you exit after that pumping bar.
The Trailing Minimum Profit is actually look like this. Search in the code if you want to plot it. I just don't like too many lines on chart.
To maximise profit we can try enabling double-order. The only added rule coded is: RSI should rising when buy and falling when sell. 2nd signal will appears above or below default buy/sell signal. (Of course it's also prone to double-loss, re-check your max drawdown after. Profit factor play its part in here for a long run). Snapshot in comparison:
Two default sell signals on left closed at RSI exit, the additional sell signal closed later on when price crossover minor xHMA+. On buy side, price haven't met our minimum profit when first crossunder minor xHMA+. If later on we hit SL on this "+buy" signal, at least we already profited from default buy signal. You can also consider/treat this as multiple TP points.
For longer-term trading, what you need to maximise is the Minimum Profit , so it won't exit whenever an exit condition happened, it can happen several times before reaching minimum profit. Hopefully this snapshot can explain:
Notice in comparison default sell and buy signal now close in average after 3 days. What's best is when we also have confirmation from higher TF. It's like targeting higher TF by entering from smaller TF.
As also mention in the study, we can still experiment via original HMA by putting same value for minimum-maximum period setting. This is experimental EU 1H with Major xHMA+: 144-144, Flat market 13, Distance multiplier 3.6, with 2nd order activated.
Kiwi was a bit surprising for me. It's flat market is effectively below 6, with quite far distance zone of 3.5. Probably because I'm using big numbers in adaptive period.
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The result you see in strategy tester report below for EURUSD 15m is using just default settings you see in code, as follow:
0,1 lot for each order (which is the smallest allowed by my broker).
No pyramiding. Commission: 0.5 usd per order. Slippage: 3
Opening position is only using basic strategy #1 (RSI exit). Additional exit not activated.
Minimum Profit: 1. TP: 3.
SL use: Half-distance zone. Max SL: 4.5.
Major xHMA+: 172-233. minor xHMA+: 89-121
Distance Zone Multiplier: 2.7
RSI: Standard 14.
(From our forward-testing, the difference we get from net profit is because of the spread, our entry isn't exactly at the close/open price. Not so much though, but not the same. If somebody can direct me to any example where we can code our entry via current bid/ask price, that would be awesome!)
It's already a long post (sorry), think I'm gonna pause here. Check out the code :)
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DISCLAIMER: Past performance is no guarantee of future results , and so on.. you know the drill ;)
Please read whole description first before using, don't take 1-2 paragraph and claim it's the whole logic, you are responsible of your own actions and understanding.
(IK) Base Break BuyThis strategy first calculates areas of support (bases), and then enters trades if that support is broken. The idea is to profit off of retracement. Dollar-cost-averaging safety orders are key here. This strategy takes into account a .1% commission, and tests are done with an initial capital of 100.00 USD. This only goes long.
The strategy is highly customizable. I've set the default values to suit ETH/USD 15m. If you're trading this on another ticker or timeframe, make sure to play around with the settings. There is an explanation of each input in the script comments. I found this to be profitable across most 'common sense' values for settings, but tweaking led to some pretty promising results. I leaned more towards high risk/high trade volume.
Always remember though: historical performance is no guarantee of future behavior . Keep settings within your personal risk tolerance, even if it promises better profit. Anyone can write a 100% profitable script if they assume price always eventually goes up.
Check the script comments for more details, but, briefly, you can customize:
-How many bases to keep track of at once
-How those bases are calculated
-What defines a 'base break'
-Order amounts
-Safety order count
-Stop loss
Here's the basic algorithm:
-Identify support.
--Have previous candles found bottoms in the same area of the current candle bottom?
--Is this support unique enough from other areas of support?
-Determine if support is broken.
--Has the price crossed under support quickly and with certainty?
-Enter trade with a percentage of initial capital.
-Execute safety orders if price continues to drop.
-Exit trade at profit target or stop loss.
Take profit is dynamic and calculated on order entry. The bigger the 'break', the higher your take profit percentage. This target percentage is based on average position size, so as safety orders are filled, and average position size comes down, the target profit becomes easier to reach.
Stop loss can be calculated one of two ways, either a static level based on initial entry, or a dynamic level based on average position size. If you use the latter (default), be aware, your real losses will be greater than your stated stop loss percentage . For example:
-stop loss = 15%, capital = 100.00, safety order threshold = 10%
-you buy $50 worth of shares at $1 - price average is $1
-you safety $25 worth of shares at $0.9 - price average is $0.966
-you safety $25 worth of shares at $0.8. - price average is $0.925
-you get stopped out at 0.925 * (1-.15) = $0.78625, and you're left with $78.62.
This is a realized loss of ~21.4% with a stop loss set to 15%. The larger your safety order threshold, the larger your real loss in comparison to your stop loss percentage, and vice versa.
Indicator plots show the calculated bases in white. The closest base below price is yellow. If that base is broken, it turns purple. Once a trade is entered, profit target is shown in silver and stop loss in red.
Flawless Victory Strategy - 15min BTC Machine Learning StrategyHello everyone, I am a heavy Python programmer bringing machine learning to TradingView. This 15 minute Bitcoin Long strategy was created using a machine learning library and 1 year of historical data in Python. Every parameter is hyper optimized to bring you the most profitable buy and sell signals for Bitcoin on the 15min chart. The historical Bitcoin data was gathered from Binance API, in case you want to know the best exchange to use this long strategy. It is a simple Bollinger Band and RSI strategy with two versions included in the tradingview settings. The first version has a Sharpe Ratio of 7.5 which is amazing, and the second version includes the best stop loss and take profit positions with a Sharpe Ratio of 2.5 . Let me talk a little bit more about how the strategy works. The buy signal is triggered when close price is less than lower Bollinger Band at Std Dev 1, and the RSI is greater than a certain value. The sell signal is triggered when close price is greater than upper Bollinger Band at Std Dev 1, and the RSI is greater than a certain value. What makes this strategy interesting is the parameters the Machine Learning library found when backtesting for the best Sharpe Ratio. I left my computer on for about 28 hours to fully backtest 5000 EPOCHS and get the results. I was able to create a great strategy that might be one of TradingView's best strategies out on the website today. I will continue to apply machine learning to all my strategies from here on forward. Please Let me know if you have any questions or certain strategies you would like me to hyper optimize for you. I'm always willing to create profitable strategies!
P.S. You can always pyramid this strategy for more gains! I just don't add pyramiding when creating my strategies because I want to show you the true win/loss ratio based buying one time and one selling one time. I feel like when creating a strategy that includes pyramiding right off the bat falsifies the win rate. This is my way of being transparent with you all. Have fun trading!
CUT MY LOSSESS - Levereged Stop loss + R / R ratio checker Hello traders!
We have heard many times that keep your losses small and allow your profits to grow. But what happens is that we often make the mistake of doing high-margin trades that we cannot afford to lose. The main reason for this problem, in my opinion, is the rush to open a position and not paying attention to how much acceptable loss in each trade is for us? Is our stop loss point compatible with the loss we are willing to accept?
Many of the losses we incur are not due to our erroneous analysis but to the wrong trading strategy, miscalculation of Stop Loss and failure to calculate the Risk/Reward for each trade. At least for most novice traders, these mistakes happen .
This script does not have complicated logic and is designed only as a help for those who are not interested in working with calculators !! I hope that sometimes that we are very excited to buy, looking at this script can give us a serious flip to avoid risk .
This is a basic script that helps us to intuitively check our stop loss in according to our leverage and to guess the approximate risk/reward of our trade. This script assumes that you always trade with half of your total capital. It is also assumed that you routinely use up to ten percent of your capital for each trade. Therefore, the first variable in this script is the amount of tolerable loss in each trade for you, which is set to 25% by default. So if you follow the previous assumptions, each trade will endanger 2.5% of your capital.
Since not all analyzes are ever accurate, we need to enter into positions that have good Risk/Reward ratio, so that even if half of our analysis fails, we will profitable. Therefore, the second variable in this script is the acceptable Risk/Reward ratio for us, which is set to 1:4 by default.
Also, to check the efficiency of the stop-loss with different trading leverage, I add five leverage by default from 1 to 5 as lines on the side of your stop-loss point.
LeV A (Lowest Leverage-WHITE): 1 by default
LeV B (AQUA): 2 by default
LeV C (YELLOW): 3 by default
LeV D (ORANGE): 4 by default
LeV E (Highest Leverage-RED):5 by default
You can change all these leverages and Acceptable margin loss and R/R ratio according to your needs.
You can also hide the leverage lines you are not dealing with through the script settings .
You will also see lines on the side of your target point to check your risk/reward ,so you can approximate your target according to your trading leverage and the risk/reward you accept. you can also hide these R/R lines from the setting.
Important Note: This script is not designed to give you a stop loss point or take profit point.
To find these points, you must use technical analysis methods , and then use this script to check the coordination of these points with your trading strategy.
Using the script is simple, but I will try to explain it with a few examples.
Stochastic with MACD filter + SL/TP + AlertsLong Arrow : close of the candle is above ema + Stochastic is oversold + MACD is below 0 + Stochastic cross up
Short Arrow : close of candle is below ema + Stochastic is overbought + MACD is above 0 + Stochastic cross down
Also added SL, 1:1 and TP where SL can be varied by ATR value and TP is set to 2:1 RR but it can be varied too.
It is not meant to take every single trade even though that might already be profitable.
For higher winrate look for the higher timeframe trend for example when trading the 15min look if the Daily 8ema is going up or down.
Also only take trades when there is either a hidden divergence on RSI or a smaller normal divergence.
The I take the normal divergenes alo when there is no higher high like an M or lower low for longs like a W these tend to work out pretty good too.
Alerts are in it too.
Have Fun :)
Floor Pivots With CPR and Camarilla 3 LevelsThis script plots floor pivots with the central pivot range and camarilla R3/S3 pivots, to spot with ease the Golden Pivot Zone (GPZ). As described in the book *Secret of a pivot Boss* by Franklin Ochoa, the Golden Pivot Zone occurs when R3 or S3 pivot from the Camarilla Equation or from lies within the central pivot range. This combination can be simply profitable.
A bearish GPZ occurs when R3 of the Camarilla Equation is mixed within the central pivot range, therefore we should look for sells in that zone.
A bullish GPZ occurs when S3 of the Camarilla Equation is mixed within the central pivot range, therefore we should look for buys in that zone.
Here are some examples on Gold
Good luck !
Ps* i got part of the code from @cristian.d script
scalping against trapped countertrendAbstract
This script attempts to find the end of countertrend.
This script uses oscillators to measure long term and short period trends. When the long term trend keeps positive and clear short term period is over, this script provides a buy signal.
This script does not contain pullback, cut loss and re-enter. You need to add it manually.
Introduction
Many traders want to buy when long term trend is bullish and short term pullback is over.
This is because we can take advantage to the emotion of countertrend traders.
Countertrend traders realizes their profit is finite and therefore want to protect their profit well and limit their loss.
This script is inspired by a searchable trading strategy video.
The video mentioned 4 points.
(1) long term trend. The video did not spend much ink on this point. You can use any method to observe.
(2) clear pullback bar (at least 50% body)
(3) weak bar after clear pullback
(4) entry trigger buy stop
This script attempts to quantize these points to determine trading direction.
This script is originally designed for timeframes lower than examples in the video but you can apply it on any timeframe.
Computing and Adjusting
(1) long term trend
This script uses smoothed stochastic.
(2) clear pullback bar
Since this script is originally designed for timeframes lower than examples in the video, so the condition becomes:
RSI is low enough
(3) weak bar after clear pullback
RSI goes back from low level.
(4) entry trigger buy stop
This script does not include this condition.
You can decide enter when buy stop or pullback.
Parameters
x_src : the value for computing oscillators
x_len_a : how many bars for measuring short term trend
x_len_b : how many bars for measuring long term trend
x_k_b : smooth long term trend, the average value of stochastic values
x_changk = check if clear short term pullback appears recently. 1 means do not use, larger numbers means how long of periods to check.
x_rsi_ct : threshold of short term pullback clear
x_rsi_ft : threshold of short term pullback end
Reading numbers in Strategy Tester
Most possible loss :
(1) to find rational pullback. Generally 1/3 to 2/3 atr.
(2) to find cut loss distance. Generally 1 to 2 atr.
Most possible profit :
to find if trading the opposite direction against this script is profitable.
Conclusion
This script can suggest us trading direction.
Waiting for pullback can reduce risk, compared to buy stop.
This script does not provide good signals in sideways markets.
Reference
A searchable trading strategy video
TradingView Alerts to MT4 MT5 - Forex, indices, commoditiesHowdy Algo-Traders! This example script has been created for educational purposes - to present how to use and automatically execute TradingView Alerts on real markets.
I'm posting this script today for a reason. TradingView has just released a new feature of the PineScript language - ALERT() function. Why is it important? It is finally possible to set alerts inside PineScript strategy-type script, without the need to convert the script into study-type. You may say triggering alerts straight from strategies was possible in PineScript before (since June 2020), but it had its limitations. Starting today you can attach alert to any custom event you might want to include in your PineScript code.
With the new feature, it is easier not only to execute strategies, but to maintain codebase - having to update 2 versions of the code with each single modification was... ahem... inconvenient. Moreover, the need to convert strategy into study also meant it was required to rip the code from all strategy...() calls, which carried a lot of useful information, like entry price, position size, and more, definitely influencing results calculated by strategy backtest. So the strategy without these features very likely produced different results than with them. While it was possible to convert these features into study with some advanced "coding gymnastics", it was also quite difficult to test whether those gymnastics didn't introduce serious, bankrupting bugs.
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How does this new feature work? It is really simple. On your custom events in the code like "GoLong" or "GoShort", create a string variable containing all the values you need inside your alert and this string variable will be your alert's message. Then, invoke brand new alert() function and that's it (see lines 67 onwards in the script). Set it up in CreateAlert popup and enjoy. Alerts will trigger on candle close as freq= parameter specifies. Detailed specification of the new alert() function can be found in TradingView's PineScript Reference (www.tradingview.com), but there's nothing more than message= and freq= parameters. Nothing else is needed, it is very simple. Yet powerful :)
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Alert syntax in this script is prepared to work with TradingConnector. Strategy here is not too complex, but also not the most basic one: it includes full exits, partial exits, stop-losses and it also utilizes dynamic variables calculated by the code (such as stop-loss price). This is only an example use case, because you could handle variety of other functionalities as well: conditional entries, pending entries, pyramiding, hedging, moving stop-loss to break-even, delivering alerts to multiple brokers and more.
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This script is a spin-off from my previous work, posted over a year ago here: Some comments on strategy parameters have been discussed there, but let me copy-paste most important points:
* Commission is taken into consideration.
* Slippage is intentionally left at 0. Due to shorter than 1 second delivery time of TradingConnector, slippage is practically non-existing.
* This strategy is NON-REPAINTING and uses NO TRAILING-STOP or any other feature known to be causing problems.
* The strategy was backtested on EURUSD 6h timeframe, will perform differently on other markets and timeframes.
Despite the fact this strategy seems to be still profitable, it is not guaranteed it will continue to perform well in the future. Remember the no.1 rule of backtesting - no matter how profitable and good looking a script is, it only tells about the past. There is zero guarantee the same strategy will get similar results in the future.
Full specs of TradingView alerts and how to set them up can be found here: www.tradingview.com
Follow the Trend - Trade PullbacksKindly follow the rules stated below for entry, exit and stop loss. Not every Buy / Sell signal will be profitable.
Timeframe of the chart acts as current timeframe. You need to choose 2 more as middle and higher timeframes.
This indicator is based on candlesticks, ATR and CCI indicators and the logic provides buy / sell signals at the pullbacks of the trend depicted by higher timeframe, that must be respected throughout.
Enter the long / short trade respectively when the indicator gives buy / sell signal after price has gone below the green / above the red line for higher timeframe.
Stop loss shall be low / high of recent swing. Exit when the price closes below / above the middle timeframe, to be used as trailing target.
Use it for any instrument for any timeframe of your choice.
For example, check the shared chart. It is a 1 min intraday, but the indicator can be used for short or long term positional trades as well.
Enter long at 14102, with stop loss 14077. Trailing target is achieved at 14156 giving a Risk:Reward ratio of 1:2.
Another Buy signal is observed around same level and uptrend continues till day end, again for a Risk:Reward ratio of approx. 1:2.
Rules to follow for Long trades -
Enter long position at Buy signal given after price has moved below green line of higher timeframe.
Exit the position when price closes below orange / blue line of middle timeframe.
Stop loss must be at low of recent swing, appearing just before the Buy signal.
Rules to follow for Short trades -
Enter short position at Sell signal given after price has moved above red line of higher timeframe.
Exit the position when price closes above orange / blue line of middle timeframe.
Stop loss must be at high of recent swing, appearing just before the Sell signal.
888 BOT #backtest█ 888 BOT #backtest (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED'
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ BACKTEST
The objective of the Backtest is to evaluate the effectiveness of our strategy. A good Backtest is determined by some parameters such as:
- RECOVERY FACTOR: It consists of dividing the 'net profit' by the 'drawdown’. An excellent trading system has a recovery factor of 10 or more; that is, it generates 10 times more net profit than drawdown.
- PROFIT FACTOR: The ‘Profit Factor’ is another popular measure of system performance. It's as simple as dividing what win trades earn by what loser trades lose. If the strategy is profitable then by definition the 'Profit Factor' is going to be greater than 1. Strategies that are not profitable produce profit factors less than one. A good system has a profit factor of 2 or more. The good thing about the ‘Profit Factor’ is that it tells us what we are going to earn for each dollar we lose. A profit factor of 2.5 tells us that for every dollar we lose operating we will earn 2.5.
- SHARPE: (Return system - Return without risk) / Deviation of returns.
When the variations of gains and losses are very high, the deviation is very high and that leads to a very poor ‘Sharpe’ ratio. If the operations are very close to the average (little deviation) the result is a fairly high 'Sharpe' ratio. If a strategy has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 1 it is a good strategy. If it has a 'Sharpe' ratio greater than 2, it is excellent. If it has a ‘Sharpe’ ratio less than 1 then we don't know if it is good or bad, we have to look at other parameters.
- MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION: (% winning trades X average profit) + (% losing trades X average loss).
To earn money with a Trading system, it is not necessary to win all the operations, what is really important is the final result of the operation. A Trading system has to have positive mathematical expectation as is the case with this script: ME = (0.87 x 30.74$) - (0.13 x 56.16$) = (26.74 - 7.30) = 19.44$ > 0
The game of roulette, for example, has negative mathematical expectation for the player, it can have positive winning streaks, but in the long term, if you continue playing you will end up losing, and casinos know this very well.
PARAMETERS
'BACKTEST DAYS': Number of days back of historical data for the calculation of the Backtest.
'ENTRY TYPE': For '% EQUITY' if you have $ 10,000 of capital and select 7.5%, for example, your entry would be $ 750 without leverage. If you select CONTRACTS for the 'BTCUSDT' pair, for example, it would be the amount in 'Bitcoins' and if you select 'CASH' it would be the amount in $ dollars.
'QUANTITY (LEVERAGE 1X)': The amount for an entry with X1 leverage according to the previous section.
'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It's the maximum allowed multiplier of the quantity entered in the previous section according to the volume condition.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Bollinger Bands Strategy with Intraday Intensity IndexFor Educational Purposes. Results can differ on different markets and can fail at any time. Profit is not guaranteed.
This only works in a few markets and in certain situations. Changing the settings can give better or worse results for other markets.
This is a mean reversion strategy based on Bollinger Bands and the Intraday Intensity Index (a volume indicator). John Bollinger mentions that the Intraday Intensity Index can be used with Bollinger Bands and is one of the top indicators he recommends in his book. It seems he prefers it over the other volume indicators that he compares to for some reason. III looks a lot like Chaikin Money Flow but without the denominator in that calculation. On the default settings of the BBs, the III helps give off better entry signals. John Bollinger however is vague on how to use the BBs and it's hard to say if one should enter when it is below/above the bands or when the price crosses them. I find that with many indicators and strategies it's best to wait for a confirmation of some sort, in this case by waiting for some crossover of a band. Like most mean reversion strategies, the exit is very loose if using BBs alone. Usually the plan to exit is when the price finally reverts back to the mean or in this case the middle band. This can potentially lead to huge drawdowns and/or losses. Mean reversion strategies can have high win/loss ratios but can still end up unprofitable because of the huge losses that can occur. These drawdowns/losses that mean reversion strategies suffer from can potentially eat away at a large chunk of all that was previously made or perhaps up to all of it in the worst cases, can occur weeks or perhaps up to months after being profitable trading such a strategy, and will take a while and several trades to make it all back or keep a profitable track record. It is important to have a stop loss, trailing stop, or some sort of stop plan with these types of strategies. For this one, in addition to exiting the trade when price reverts to the middle band, I included a time-based stop plan that exits with a gain or with a loss to avoid potentially large losses, and to exit after only a few periods after taking the trade if in profit instead of waiting for the price to revert back to the mean.
Configurable BB+RSI+Aroon strategy backtest for binary optionsI wanted to share this strategy that I use myself for binary options trading. After trading binary options for several years I have learned that every single day is unique... assets behave differently every single day. So, when I start the day I want to know which is the optimum combination of parameters in my indicators that will give me the signals I want during the day and I get that by doing a quick backtest of the parameters combination in a specific asset that same day. When trading Binary Options I usually do 3 or 4 trades max per day and, yes, there are moments in which even with the right backtest data the signals fail (I strongly believe that there is no strategy that guarantees 100% success in any type of trade, and this one here is not an exception - but has worked well with some assets). So, here is my contribution to improve your productivity by automating a bit that backtesting part.
How this script works?
It is a simple price crossunder / crossover Bollinger Bands (BB) with a confirmation from RSI overbought / oversold signals and a fast Aroon. You will see the BB plotted with its confirmations:
(1) a blue circle that plots in the chart when the price is coming back inside the channel (within the Bollinger Bands)
(2) an orange square that plots in the chart when the RSI is coming back from the overbought or oversold areas
(3) a triangle that could be red or green depending on the Aroon confirmation: Red if Aroon Down is crossing down Aroon Up or green if vice versa.
The strategy will call for long (Call) if:
(1) the price is crossing over the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, coming back inside the channel
(2) Aroon Up is crossing or has crossed above Aroon Down
(3) RSI is crossing over the oversold limit
Consequently, the strategy will call for a short (Put) if:
(1) the price is crossing down the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, coming back inside the channel
(2) Aroon Down is crossing or has crossed below Aroon Up
(3) RSI is crossing under the overbought limit
You can configure:
1. Aroon length (keep it as fast as possible: 3, 4 or 5 are recommended values)
2. The point where Aroon Up and Aroon Down cross to make the signal valid (50 is by default. It could also be 25 or 75)
3. The RSI length
4. RSI Overbought and Oversold limits (they do not need to be symmetric: you can use 29 and 93, for example)
5. Bollinger Bands length and standard deviation
6. Number of bars to keep your option open. Depending on the timeframe used, this will determine the time you will keep your binary option open. If you are in a 1 min chart and keep this parameter in 3, then you will need to configure your binary option to expire in 3 minutes.
How to evaluate your backtest?
In Binary Options you only need the success rate, so what I do is that when I am manually updating the parameters I keep my strategy tester window open checking the winning trades vs losing trades ratio ("Percent Profitable"). I personally will only keep an asset monitored looking for signals that day if the Percent Profitable on the backtest of the same day is above 80%.
Regarding the code: it is open, public and free. No need to ask for permission if you want to copy+paste and use it in whole or parts.
Happy pip hunting!
-marco
Ehlers 2 Pole Super Smoother Filter V2 [CC]The 2 Pole Super Smoother Filter was created by John Ehlers (Cycle Analytics For Traders pg 32) and this follows the price very closely and very useful because it is consistent with uptrends and falls sharply during a sudden downtrend so it should be able to help you stay more profitable. Buy when the indicator line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are other indicators you would like to see me publish or if you want something custom done!
STRATEGY TESTER ENGINE - ON CHART DISPLAY - PLUG & PLAYSo i had this idea while ago when @alexgrover published a script and dropped a nugget in between which replicates the result of strategy tester on chart as an indicator.
So it seemed fair to use one of his strategy to display the results.
This strategy tester can now be used in replay mode like an indicator and you can see what happen at a particular section of the chart which was is not possible in default strategy tester results of TV.
Please read how each result is calculated so you will know what you are using.
This engine shows most common results of strategy tester in a single screen, which are as follows:
1. Starting Capital
2. Current Profit Percentage
3. Max Profit Percentage
4. Gross Profit
5. Gross Loss
6. Total Closed Trades
7. Total Trades Won
8. Total Trades Lost
9. Percentage Profitable
10. Profit Factor
11. Current Drawdown
12. Max Drawdown
13. Liquidation
So elaborating on what is what:
1. Starting Capital - This stays 0, which signifies your starting balance as 0%. It is set to 0 so we can compare all other results without any change in variables. If set to 100, then all the results will be increased by 100. Some users might find it useful to set it to 100, then they can change code on line 41 from to and it should show starting balance as 100%.
2. Current Profit Percentage - This shows your current profit adjusted to current price of the candle, not like TV which shows after candle is close. There is a comment on the line 38 which can be removed and your can see unrealized profit as well in this section. Please note that this will affect Draw-down calculations later in this section.
3. Max Profit Percentage - This will show you your max profit achieved during your strategy run, which was not possible yet to see via strategy tester. So, now you can see how much profit was achieved by your strategy during the run and you can compare it with chart to see what happens during bull-run or bear-run, so you can further optimize your strategy to best suit your desired results.
4. Gross Profit - This is total percentage of profit your strategy achieved during entire run as if you never had any losses.
5. Gross Loss - This is total percentage of loss your strategy achieved during entire run as if you never had any profits.
6. Total Closed Trades - This is total number of trades that your strategy has executed so far.
7. Total Trades Won - This is the total number of trades that your strategy has executed that resulted in positive increase in equity.
8. Totals Trades Lost - This is the total number of trades that your strategy has executed that resulted in decrease in equity.
9. Percentage Profitable - This is the ratio between your current total winning trades divided by total closed trades, and finally multiplied by 100 to get percentage results.
10. Profit Factor - This is the ratio between Gross Profit and Gross Loss, so if profit factor is 2, then it indicates that you are set to gain 2 times per your risk per trade on average when total trades are executed.
11. Current Drawdown - This is important section and i want you to read this carefully. Here draw-down is calculated very differently than what TV shows. TV has access to candle data and calculates draw-down accordingly as per number of trades closed, but here DD is calculated as difference between max profit achieved and current profit. This way you can see how much percentage you are down from max peak of equity at current point in time. You can do back-test of the data and see when peak was achieved and how much your strategy did a draw-down candle by candle.
12. Max Drawdown - This is also calculated differently same as above, current draw-down. Here you can see how much max DD your strategy did from a peak profit of equity. This is not set as max profit percentage is set because you will see single number on display, while idea is to keep it custom. I will explain.
So lets say, your max DD on TV is 30%. Here this is of no use to see Max DD , as some people might want to see what was there max DD 1000 candles back or 10 candle back. So this will show you your max DD from the data you select. TV shows 25000 candle data in a chart if you go back, you can set the counter to 24999 and it will show you max DD as shown on TV, but if you want custom section to show max DD , it is now possible which was not possible before.
Also, now let's say you put DD as 24999 and open a chart of an asset that was listed 1 week ago, now on 1H chart max DD will never show up until you reach 24999 candle in data history, but with this you can now enter a manual number and see the data.
13. Liquidation - This is an interesting feature, so now when your equity balance is less than 0 and your draw-down goes to -100, it will show you where and at what point in time you got liquidated by adding a red background color in the entire section. This is the most fun part of this script, while you can only see max DD on TV.
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How to Use -
1 word, plug and play. Yes. Actual codes start from line 33.
select overlay=false or remove it from the title in your strategy on first line,
Just copy the codes from line 33 to 103,
then go to end section of your strategy and paste the entire code from line 33 to line 103,
see if you have any duplicate variable, edit it,
Add to chart.
What you see above is very contracted view. Here is how it looks when zoomed in.
imgur.com
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Feel free to edit and share and use. If you use it in your scripts, drop me tag. Cheers.
