Consensio Vision MA - Tribute to Late Dean Tyler JenksA wonderful mentor, fearless leader and incredibly humble man, father alike and world renowned bitcoin influencer also known for the invention of robust money management system named consensio moving averages, Tribute to Late Dean Tyler Jenks who made this possible.
Explanation
this indicator make use of three simple moving averages, idea is to incrementally invest little by little in the bull market when all moving average is moving up
A more in-depth guide for consensio is available here
How to use this indicator?
This indicator plots weekly moving average on daily and/or hourly time frame, the basic idea is to see how smaller time frame like daily and hourly trend reacts to larger time frame like weekly moving averages and what are the possible support and resistance area on these smaller time frame and also to arrive at better entry points while doing that.
The name Consensio Vision is chosen cuz.. it's a free reminder to never loose long-term vision (in this case weekly trend) of where you're going
Consensio Vision MA - Tribute to Late Dean Tyler Jenks
Lucid's Principles Of Investing - These are principles foretold by Late dean tyler jenks.. he goes on to saying that those 12 principles will keep you out of trouble or will identify trouble or will identify your human behavioral problems
1. CASH IS KING - in terms of my investing principles is very simple cash is king, I would rather be in cash than any other asset class, unless an asset class is trending to the upside (or bull market) the cash is king
2. Market doesn't move in straight line - all asset classes trimmed up and down, as tyler goes on to say he dont believe in buy and hold strategy, i'm giving you the tools to get you out of market so you dont have drive down bear events like 2009 crash, he further suggests you sould react (or make decision) before a 10% drop in market.
3. Timeframe - trends are short days or weeks intermediate weeks or months and long months or years so principle number three is don't just talk about something is in a trend be precise are you talking about a short-term trend an intermediate term trend or a long-term trend...
just saying something is in a trend is irresponsible, you've got to identify your time frame
4. Wait! Bear market is different - cash is king and unless asset class is trending up there are times that you want to take advantage of a trend that is down but it is not the equivalent of investing in a trend that is up it is far more dangerous far more difficult it can be done but that's not one of the main principles, (also check rule number 7 as both are related)
5. Only long-term trends are investments - word trading is not really an investment term trading means buying or selling it has nothing to do with what you're attempting to achieve in terms of either speculation gambling investing ... those are not opportunities for investing because they're short or they're intermediate.. that doesn't mean that you can't speculate and have that turn into a position trade and have it turn into a possible swing trade and then have it turn in to an investment however be prepared once you've made an investment where that investment in a short or an intermediate term time frame to move against you
6. Never invest in a FOMO (fear of missing out)- loss of money loss of cash loss of wealth is not equivalent to a loss of opportunity
it is 100 times more important than a loss of opportunity
7. understand the importance of Percentage - a 50% gain is not an inverse equivalence of a 50% loss that is the single most important rule or principle that Lucid uses in determining when to get into or out of an investment and it goes back to number six that a loss of money is not equivalent to a loss of opportunity
8. all long-term trends are fundamentally based, repeat all long-term trends are fundamentally based
9. number nine is a corollary but it's separate all short and intermediate term trends are not fundamentally based, long term trends are not affected by news are not affected by headlines are not affected by company announcements or country announcements they are affected in the short in the intermediate term and therefore your probability of success goes way up as your timeframe frame goes longer
10. Fundamental vs technical - technical tools are invaluable in identifying trends fundamental tools are not invaluable in identifying trends - that's why technical analysis is so important it gives you something that fundamental analysis will never give you in time so technical a pro active mechanism or money management tool and fundamental is a lagging indicator hoever its what drives the market in log term
11. Profitability based on time aka VISION- I see even very sophisticated investors doing is they let the technical tools give them a signal on the short-termer intermediate-term and they believe because it's the tool that they're using that it's giving them an equivalent probability of success and it is not!
it's probability of success at the short-term is less than at the intermediate term and is less than at the long-term
12. the last one long-term trends are more important than intermediate which are more important than short term, tyler developed a scale where he ranks
long-term trend 5,
intermediate term trend 3,
short-term with a 1
(note: if you add both 3 & 1 its still smaller then 5)
if you add together my intermediate term weighting of 3 and the short term weighting of 1 that you do not equal the long term weighting of 5 that means that both the short and the intermediate term can be going in a direction but that does not negate the direction of the long term trend it's a simple way of looking at it and I use the word in number 12 important not simply to mean importance in terms of the weighting system but the probability of success of each of those 3
so if you're using a short term 15 minute 30 minute one hour signals or probability of success drops dramatically and therefore you've got to factor in where your stops are relative to that probability when you're in a long term trend a five waiting you don't need to use stops when you're in an intermediate term trend you've got to use stops and when you're in a short term trend you've got to use closed stops
official website- lucidinvestmentstrategies.com
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buy vs sell power xThis indicator try to calculate the selling power (red line) compare to buy power (red line)
when ever one cross the other we can see if asset is bearish =red or bullish= blue
Yang-Zhang Volatility Updated for SDthanks to mpatte15 for writing this originally
code was updated to utilize sqrt on Vyangzhang to plot standard deviation vs variance
CoT 5y Z-Score (Long/Short)Long vs Short COT indicator
Using the legacy reports due to column mismatch between diss aggregated reports and the TTF reports.
Still needs more work
CoT Non-Commercial Legacy(Long v Short)Long vs Short COT indicator
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Long Term Levels (4h, D, W, M, Q, & Y)This shows and labels the highs and lows from the previous 4h, daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and yearly session. By default it only shows weekly, monthly and yearly. It also has an option to use small labels (M vs Monthly High) to save your eyeballs. You may need to adjust your charts right hand margin to see them properly.
Everything is shown in very tasteful shades of blue. For a faster loading version of this check my other indicators.
BTC Spot vs Tether Volumespot_volume / tether_volume
spot = Coinbase + bitFlyer + Kraken + Bitstamp
tether = Bitfinex + binance + Huobi + HitBTC
Currency Correlation indicator for the major currenciesThis Pine script creates a currency correlation graph with 6 correlations in a separate window below the main chart.
The indicator supports the following 8 currencies: AUD, CAD, CHF, EUR, GBP, JPY, NZD, USD
Correlations can be selected to be either related to the base or the counter currency (default is base). The length of the correlation can be chosen (default is 10).
Correlations are given for related currencies e.g. for all AUD pairs.
If Base currency is selected and e.g. AUDCAD is displayed in the main window, then the correlation window will compare AUDCAD to: AUDCHF, AUDEUR, AUDGBP, AUDJPY, AUDNZD, AUDUSD
If Counter currency is seleted and e.g. AUDCAD is displayed in the main window, then the correlation window will compare AUDCAD to: CHFCAD, EURCAD, GBPCAD, JPYCAD, NZDCAD, USDCAD
Many of the above currency pairs are not real pairs. But they are availabe in Pine script to enable e.g. correlation calculations.
The advantage is that e.g. the comparison between AUDCAD and EURAUD will give a positive correlation, if AUD is gaining in strenght and EUR and CAD are not changing in strenght.
Eventhough price is moving in the opposite direction the correlation is positive in the AUDCAD vs EURAUD example.
FX Meter ScriptA while ago, we wrote* about the usefulness of using a currency strength meter and how you can build one from scratch.
See here: www.globalprime.com.au
Now we've taken this little project to the next level by visually spotting, via color signals in a dashboard and alerts, when a potential new trend might be developing in a currency pair.
*It's critical that you first read that article before you jump into reading this one or else you could get easily lost.
The script gives a trigger every time two currencies show diverging flows via opposing moving average slopes.
The signals originate from a first chart where currency indexes can be found, calculated through a formula, in various thin lines. Then a moving average to each currency index is applied so that it can smooth out the lines (what I call Micro moving averages – thicker lines -) and is usually a 4-5 period MA, with the key input to pay attention being the slope. One can perform their own tests on what works best for their particular trading style. The smaller the period in the moving average, the more responsive to changes in biases but the downside is that you will get a greater number of false moves. In the windows below the 1st chart, the stochRSI is calculated for each currency index (these values originate from the currency index and not from the applied MA). By default, a 25-period is applied to both RSI and Stoch length.
A 2nd chart that looks at the same logic is also accounted for to build this script, but instead of checking the micro trend, it applies a 25MA to the currency index, so it looks at what I call the slope of the macro trend. In this case, by default, a 125-period is applied to both RSI and Stoch length.
We had in mind to transition from just eye-balling and monitoring these charts manually to build a script via Tradingview that makes calculations real time (whenever the change in the moving average slope first occurs, and not when the bar/line closes), so that one can decide whether or not its a signal worth trading as part of a new trend emerging. Note, this is not so much a signal-triggering indicator but rather a tool to constantly be on the lookout monitoring what currencies might start to develop trends.
The actual script consists of a dashboard with different colored rectangles being triggered depending on the quality of the signal.
We will be happy to discuss it further with anyone who is interested in exploiting all the benefits that it can offer.
The way you add the script into your Tradingview chart is by first copy everything in the txt file. Then go to Pine editor (bottom middle-left) in your tradingview chart, delete everything there, then Paste the script. Then click Add to Chart (top right of the pine editor).
Note, you should add via the Anchored Text function the following list of pairs below, in this alphabetic order, on the right-hand side of the chart, as demonstrated above:
AUDCAD
AUDJPY
AUDNZD
AUDUSD
CADJPY
EURAUD
EURJPY
EURCAD
EURNZD
EURGBP
EURUSD
GBPAUD
GBPCAD
GBPJPY
GBPNZD
GBPUSD
NZDCAD
NZDJPY
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDJPY
There are only 2 rules for the script to trigger a signal (see below). However, as I will elaborate further down, there are up to 6 different colors we can grade a signal
RULE 1 -> 2 moving averages, which are a calculation applied to a currency index as shown in the micro trend above, exhibit slopes in the opposite direction.
RULE 2 -> The Stoch RSI cannot be in overbought conditions if the slope of the moving average points higher or in oversold if the slope points lower.
Note 1: Even if the chart is a 60m timeframe by default (can be changed to any timeframe(, one gets the signal the moment the change of slope is identified, which means the indicator monitors changes in price tick by tick, and not on a candle close, otherwise one would get the trigger too late.
As an example of the highest-graded signal triggering (in green), a few hours ago we were given the visual cue that GBPCAD was experiencing a change of behavior. If we crosscheck the time the green-colored trigger was given with the actual GBPCAD chart, this is what we can observe. The pair is 30p higher since the trigger.
HOW TO SETUP ALERTS
One can easily setup a notification window each time the above rules are met, for example, if the EUR MA slope changes to bullish, and the AUD MA slope changes to bearish, and none of the 2 currency index values corresponding to these 2 moving averages (EUR and AUD) show a stoch RSI in overbought (above 80) in the case of the EUR, or oversold (below 20) in the case of the AUD, then the notification pop up would show a customized line: Long EURAUD
Note 1: Recording the slope of the macro moving average, which is usually a 25period MA applied to the currency index, is not included as part of the rules to trigger a signal, but it is taken into account to grade the quality of each signal.
Note 2: I recommend each signal to be triggered once or if you prefer, simply monitor the chart visually on the change of colors via the dashboard. The calculation resets and can appear again the moment that the slope changes to the opposite direction, so it’s a very dynamic indicator that will alert you the second a pair of currencies starts trending.
Note 3: When the signal is triggered, the indicator draws a colored rectangle. Each signal notification should be colored based on the following logic below.
LOGIC TO QUALIFY SIGNALS
-> Any long micro position with Macro MA in full agreement (ie/ Long EURAUD, Macro EUR up, Macro AUD down) is highlighted with green color
-> Any long micro position with macro moving averages in partial agreement (for example Long EURAUD, Macro EUR up AUD up) is highlighted with blue color
-> Any long micro position with macro moving averages in full disagreement (for example Long EURAUD, Macro EUR down AUD up) is highlighted with magenta color
-> Any short micro position with macro moving averages in full agreement (for example Short EURAUD, Macro EUR down AUD up) is highlighted with red color
-> Any short micro position with macro moving averages in partial agreement (for example Short EURAUD, Macro EUR up AUD up) is highlighted with orange color
-> Any short micro position with macro moving averages in full disagreement (for example Short EURAUD, Macro EUR up AUD down) is highlighted with purple color
PARAMETERS IN THE SCRIPT SETTINGS
Overbought/oversold: One can modify the stoch RSI level from which the indicator considers the value to be in overbought or oversold conditions. As a rule of thumb, consider 20/30 for oversold and 70/80 for oversold.
Slopes micro/macro MAs: One can edit the slope of the micro MA period (rule of thumb 4-5) and the macro MA (by default 25).
Value StochRSI: The default inputs are K 3, D 3, RSI Length 25, Stoch Length 25 for the micro and 125 period for the macro.
Change colors: One can edit the assigned colors in the signals dashboard.
Timeframe applied: The indicator has the flexibility to be applied to any timeframe, not just the 60m by default. Simply change the timeframe temporality.
CURRENCY INDEXES FORMULAS
It is the responsibility of the user to keep the values of the indexes updated. Find a recent sample below, as per values in early April. What this means is that at least once a week, in order to not let the values outdated, you should update the script with the latest valuations in the denominator.
NZD INDEX -> FX_IDC:NZDAUD/0.96+FX:NZDJPY/75.81+FX:NZDUSD/0.68+FX_IDC:NZDEUR/0.6+FX_IDC:NZDGBP/0.52+FX:NZDCHF/0.69+FX:NZDCAD/0.9
EUR INDEX -> FX:EURUSD/1.13+FX:EURJPY/125.5+FX:EURGBP/0.87+FX:EURCHF/1.135+FX:EURCAD/1.49+FX:EURNZD/1.655+FX:EURAUD/1.59
JPY INDEX -> 1/(FX:USDJPY/110.5+FX:EURJPY/125.5+FX:AUDJPY/79+FX:NZDJPY/75.5+FX:GBPJPY/144.5+FX:CHFJPY/110.5+FX:CADJPY/84)
USD INDEX -> FX_IDC:USDEUR/0.88+FX:USDJPY/110.5+FX_IDC:USDGBP/0.77+FX:USDCHF+FX:USDCAD/1.315+FX_IDC:USDNZD/1.46+FX_IDC:USDAUD/1.4
CAD INDEX-> FX_IDC:CADAUD/1.07+FX_IDC:CADNZD/1.11+FX:CADJPY/84.27+FX_IDC:CADUSD/0.76+FX_IDC:CADEUR/0.67+FX:CADCHF/0.76+FX_IDC:CADGBP/0.58
GBP INDEX -> FX:GBPAUD/1.83+FX:GBPNZD/1.91+FX:GBPJPY/144.5+FX_IDC:GBPEUR/1.15+FX:GBPCHF/1.31+FX:GBPUSD/1.31+FX:GBPCAD/1.71
Remember, I have provided a manual on how to build a currency strength meter. That’s what you will need to do first if you want to obtain the actual currency indexes other than just the indicator, which is just the visual cue to get you alerted when the slopes turn.
Once you’ve created your indexes via tradingview, you then apply a moving average to each index. Then apply the stochrsi 25 period to each index. For the macro trend, I make the same calculations, but the period of the MA is 25 instead of 4, while the stoch rsi is 125 periods vs 25 periods.
FINAL NOTE
This is a tool that should be interpreted as visual assistance, via the dashboard, to get that first cue when opposing micro slopes via the FX meter occur. However, you still need to check the technical context of the pair (levels marked, proj reached, etc.) but that first cue is a major time saver to constantly spot what's trending in FX. The permutations u can play with, as part of this script, are significant. You can tweak the timeframes you use, the periods of the moving averages, etc. I find the micro and macro trend combos when either a green or red signals is triggered the most reliable, with positions to be exploited via 15m and hourly under the right technical context.
Open Interest:CME e-o-d vs CFTC e-o-wCFTC only publishes total OI on fridays, related to last Tuesday.
But what happened since last Tuesday?
CME Vol & Open Interest data is recorded&exported daily by quandl.com to tradingview
via the che CHRIS/CME datasets
www.quandl.com
Eg. Nat Gas next outstanding cntract n. 20, field n. 7(OI)
@quandl.com:
www.quandl.com
is exported @tradingview:
www.tradingview.com
Every outstanding contract's OI & vol is exported (black column), but not the total (yellow line):
tiny.cc
This script sums up all the existing outstanding contract's OI for the future (the black column), so one can have an idea of the total OI for the day (Yellow line).
As numer of outstanding contracts varies from future to future,Eg:
E-mini (ES) has 4 contracts, Gold(GC) 16 cntrcts, NatGas(NG) has 43, WTI(CL) has 38 etc
the scrips tries to guess how many exist for it and sums them up, to have the total OI for tha day
Number ofoutstanding contracts exported by quandl.com to tradingview is taken from
s3.amazonaws.com
There are 2 params you can enter on the script:
* override the ticket symbol on the chart ,if script cannot guessit or you need a different one
* enter the "preliminary" OI that is published by CME early the next day, butb not yet exported by quandl to tradingview
This script is Open so anyone can copy and modifyit for its use.
Please post comments and ideas if you find it useful
I try to keep a log of my work here:
CRMI - Comparative Relative Magnitude IndexCan be used to compared price action magnitude vs other symbols or indices/market segments.
Trading Amount TipsIt is important to manage trading amount according to market status.
This indicator allows users to display trading amount on the screen.
A ratio of 0-9 : 0-9 for long amount vs short amount.
Amount ratio can be set in format setting - style.
Users can move the labels to left or right in format - input - offset.
BTCUSDSHORTS+BTCUSDLONGS - Bitfinex BTC Shorts + Longs + TotalLongs, Shorts, Longs + Shorts, Longs VS Shorts
FM RSI Vs StochEasy to use RSI and Stoch
Setting Menu has an option to toggle the RSI and Stoch ON and OFF for your own preference.
Great for reducing clutter when comparing oscillators, while giving the ease of use to just click the toggle option instead of having to find and reset your indicator settings.
Colour schemes adjustable in Settings Menu for personal taste.
Small candle/Stop Gap indicator MHThis script has a different setting for the stop gap vs the candle size
StochCMO - Stochastic CMO [SHK]StochCMO is the combination of Stochastic and CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator).
The StochCMO is an indicator used in technical analysis that ranges between zero and one and is created by applying the Stochastic Oscillator formula to a set of Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) values rather than standard price data. Using CMO values within the Stochastic formula gives traders an idea of whether the current CMO value is overbought or oversold - a measure that becomes specifically useful when the CMO value is confined between its signal levels of 20 and 80.
Usage:
The usage of StochCMO is similar to StochRSI.
StochCMO vs StochRSI:
The difference between these indicators can be realized by comparing CMO & RSI:
CMO is similar to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) except that it measures momentum on both up days and down days. The CMO also does not use internal smoothing and thus does not obscure short-term extremes in momentum. As a result, the CMO often reaches over bought and over sold areas more regularly than momentum indicators, such as the RSI, that have internal smoothing.
Hope it helps you.