AUDNZD Daily Short from 1.1000 → 1.0657 (R:R ~9.9 : 1)

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Chart: Daily AUDNZD
Setup: Supply-zone rejection into established downtrend

🔍 Analysis
Trend Context:
― Since mid-February price has been making lower highs & lower lows, confirming a bearish bias.

Supply Zone:
― 1.0980–1.1035 area (highlighted) has flipped from support to resistance, printed clear bearish wicks on multiple daily closes.

Fibonacci Confluence:
― Entry at 1.1000 lines up with the 61.8% retracement of the March–April leg down.

Structural Support:
― Next major demand cluster sits at 1.0650–1.0680 (your TP zone), then psychological 1.0500.

📈 Trade Details
Entry (Sell): 1.10000

Stop-Loss: 1.10346 (just above the supply zone)

Take-Profit: 1.06568 (below April swing low)

Risk: 34.6 pips

Reward: 343.2 pips

R : R: ~9.9 : 1

🛠️ Execution & Management
Entry Trigger: Wait for a bearish daily close (engulfing or pin-bar) back inside 1.0980–1.1035.

Stop Adjustment: After +50 pips, move SL to breakeven to neutralize risk.

Scaling: Consider taking 50% off at 1.0850 (swing-to-swing) and letting the remainder run to 1.0657.

Catalyst Watch: Be mindful of RBA/NZ CPI events and AUD or NZD-related commodity data.

Penafian

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