AUD/USD Analysis
The AUD/USD has resumed its decline in Asia, despite surprised by the sharp rise in inflation data.
“Underlying inflation accelerated to 1% quarter-on-quarter and 2.6% year-on-year in the fourth quarter. Quarterly trimmed inflation was at its highest level since the third quarter of 2008, with annual figures For the first time since mid-2014, we are above the center of the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range, ".
"RBA will almost certainly need to adjust forward guidance to admit that rate hikes are possible this year. RBAs are likely to want wage growth to accelerate significantly. Therefore, it seems that the main argument is not to shift to a rate hike in 2022. However, it is possible to prove this faster than expected. "
The AUD / USD has returned to the well-known conflict level around 0.7160, which has played both support and resistance roles since last September. Beyond this area, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), which is the level at which the bulls struggled earlier this month, will be tested. Alternatively, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement seems likely to be the level of support after the daytime descent could not break Fibonacci.
“Underlying inflation accelerated to 1% quarter-on-quarter and 2.6% year-on-year in the fourth quarter. Quarterly trimmed inflation was at its highest level since the third quarter of 2008, with annual figures For the first time since mid-2014, we are above the center of the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range, ".
"RBA will almost certainly need to adjust forward guidance to admit that rate hikes are possible this year. RBAs are likely to want wage growth to accelerate significantly. Therefore, it seems that the main argument is not to shift to a rate hike in 2022. However, it is possible to prove this faster than expected. "
The AUD / USD has returned to the well-known conflict level around 0.7160, which has played both support and resistance roles since last September. Beyond this area, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), which is the level at which the bulls struggled earlier this month, will be tested. Alternatively, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement seems likely to be the level of support after the daytime descent could not break Fibonacci.
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