AUS200 forecast December/January
With holiday comes low volatility. I expect market to stay within 7080-7158. Very likely till first week of January.
This might play out two ways:
1. Bullish scenario:
- we break above 7158, and hit 7250. (Max 7400 to form double top on daily chart and then drop to 6500 or even new lows)
- looking into Elliott Waves strategy - we could face one more wave to the upside
2. Bearish scenario:
- not much movement until Jan, staying around 7080-7195.
- drop to 6500.
Long story short I expect going back towards 2022 lows in the next three months. It’s hard to say when exactly it’ll happen. Big move can be triggered by pretty much anything at this point (worse CPIs, new Russian sanctions, restrictions in China, new wave of Covid….).
This is a risky enviroment so trade carefully and always do your own analysis before opening the trade.
This might play out two ways:
1. Bullish scenario:
- we break above 7158, and hit 7250. (Max 7400 to form double top on daily chart and then drop to 6500 or even new lows)
- looking into Elliott Waves strategy - we could face one more wave to the upside
2. Bearish scenario:
- not much movement until Jan, staying around 7080-7195.
- drop to 6500.
Long story short I expect going back towards 2022 lows in the next three months. It’s hard to say when exactly it’ll happen. Big move can be triggered by pretty much anything at this point (worse CPIs, new Russian sanctions, restrictions in China, new wave of Covid….).
This is a risky enviroment so trade carefully and always do your own analysis before opening the trade.
Penafian
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