Crypto Analysis: BTC/USD – Short Trade Strategy !

Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown – Key Level Failure
Trade Plan: Short Position
Entry & Exit Plan
Entry Zone: ~$88,111 (Breakdown Confirmation)

Stop-Loss (SL): $88,639 (Resistance & Invalidation Level)

Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $87,502 – Minor Support Zone

TP2: $86,515 – Major Support Level

Risk-Reward Breakdown
Risk: $88,639 – $88,111 = $528

Reward to TP1: $88,111 – $87,502 = $609 → 1:1.15

Reward to TP2: $88,111 – $86,515 = $1,596 → 1:3.02
Strong bearish setup with excellent reward potential, especially at TP2!

Technical Breakdown
Bearish Breakdown: Price failing to hold above $88,111, signaling weakness.

Key Resistance: $88,639 acts as a critical level; a break above invalidates the setup.

Support Zones:
TP1 ($87,502): First area of interest for profit-taking.

TP2 ($86,515): Deeper support for a larger move.

Momentum Bias: Bearish if price remains below $88,111 with volume.

Execution Strategy
Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after a clear breakdown below $88,111 (e.g., a strong bearish candle close with volume).

Partial Profit Booking:
Book 50% at TP1 ($87,502) to lock in gains.

Let the remaining position run toward TP2 ($86,515).

Stop-Loss Management: After hitting TP1, move SL to break-even (~$88,111) to eliminate risk.

Monitor Market Conditions: Keep an eye on Bitcoin dominance, U.S. market correlation, and any news that could impact price action.

Risk Considerations
False Breakdowns: If the move below $88,111 lacks volume or momentum, price could reverse back toward resistance.

Volatility Risk: Sudden news (e.g., macroeconomic events or crypto-specific updates) could push price above $88,639, triggering the SL.

Mitigation: Stick to the plan, avoid chasing, and use proper position sizing (e.g., 1-2% of account per trade).

Final Thoughts
Solid Bearish Structure: Tight risk with high reward potential (up to 1:3 at TP2).

Confirmation is Key: Don’t enter without a clear breakdown signal below $88,111.

Discipline Wins: Follow the plan, manage risk, and take profits strategically.

Risk Management + Patience = Consistent Profits

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