Bitcoin
Singkat

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Idea – Short Setup on 15-Min Chart

109
Weekend trading plan assuming this short trade setup plays out. The plan will cover:

- Bias & Setup
- Entry, SL & TP
- Risk Management
- Scenario Planning
- Weekend Strategy Considerations

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🧠 Bias & Setup
- Current Setup: Short trade initiated near $83,477 with SL above (around $83,800), targeting lower zones (TP1, TP2).
- Structure: Price is breaking down from a pullback after a sharp move. MA crossover (green and blue lines) shows short-term bearish bias.
- Trendline: Downside move could reach the ascending trendline acting as long-term support.


🎯 Trade Details
- Entry: Around $83,477 (market or retest entry).
- Stop Loss (SL): Above recent high (approx. $83,800–$83,850).
- Take Profit 1 (TP1): ~83,000 (based on image).
- Take Profit 2 (TP2):~82,600 or slightly above the trendline.

> R:R ratio looks favorable—approx. 1:2 or higher depending on execution.

💰 Risk Management
- Risk per Trade: 1-2% of account balance.
- Position Sizing: Based on SL distance (~$300–$350).
- Execution Tip: Use partial profit booking at TP1 and trail stop to breakeven or better for TP2.


📉 Scenario Planning
1. Ideal Play (Bearish Breakdown):
- Price breaks below short-term support.
- Hits TP1 and continues toward TP2 or trendline.
- Consider long re-entry near trendline if reversal signals appear.

2.Invalidation (Stop-Out):
- Price pushes above $83,800–$83,850.
- Exit with controlled loss.
- Watch for possible trend continuation upward if rejection is weak.

3. Sideways Market:
- No clear break of recent range.
- Consider staying flat or using a range-trading approach with tight SL.


🗓️ Weekend Strategy Tips
- Volatility: Expect lower volume late Saturday into early Sunday; spreads may widen.
- No Forced Trades: If price consolidates and no follow-through, wait until Monday volatility returns.
- Alerts: Set alerts near TP1, TP2, and SL zones to monitor without screen-watching.
- News Watch: Be aware of any upcoming macro/crypto news that may trigger unexpected movement.

Checklist Before Execution
- [ ] Clear confirmation of price rejection or continuation
- [ ] SL and TP levels set
- [ ] Position size calculated based on SL
- [ ] Alerts in place
- [ ] Review of higher timeframe for bias alignment

Penafian

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