Bitcoin

BTC - Repeat of July and Close to Max Pain Level for Options?

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Good morning crypto fam! So here we are, looks like we've been following a weak version of scenario 3. We posted more downside after I posted my TA. Here is what I think could happen next:

A repeat of the July bottom appears still at play. This past July we retested the support level from the H1 2021 breakout in January before rallying; here we've retested the support level from the September retest on the way up to October>November peak.

If this plays out again, $37k( ish ) is a likely floor. and could support a reversal. Our first stop on the way up is max pain for options expiry, around $39k.That expiry should happen later today.

And from the options expiry there remains a confluence of resistance for bulls to tackle. We could see relief in the market and some price appreciation, but not necessarily immediately. Alternatively if bulls fail to muster a rally here, we might see additional downside, with as low as mid $34k being a target. Any closes below $34k should be very worrisome to bulls.

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