This drop consist of 2 major event that caught some whales offguard ,
1_ Crash in japanese stock after election ( New prime minister wants more rate cut )
2_ Surprising Iran missile attack on Israel
What happens next is obvious in my opinion since whales are in a big loss which cause by events outside of their control ,they will accumulate heaviliy and pump it back up to sell and get out of their losses .
Next target can be as high as 68k but the minimum expected pump is 63k .
Dont get in their way , they will crush short sellers soon .
Also from TA point of view , It's in a very oversold area we have 5 red days in a row, this usually is a reversal sign and many algorithms and traders will start buying heavilly
1_ Crash in japanese stock after election ( New prime minister wants more rate cut )
2_ Surprising Iran missile attack on Israel
What happens next is obvious in my opinion since whales are in a big loss which cause by events outside of their control ,they will accumulate heaviliy and pump it back up to sell and get out of their losses .
Next target can be as high as 68k but the minimum expected pump is 63k .
Dont get in their way , they will crush short sellers soon .
Also from TA point of view , It's in a very oversold area we have 5 red days in a row, this usually is a reversal sign and many algorithms and traders will start buying heavilly
Dagangan aktif
Long from 60k and 60.5k , have more buy orders ready at 59 and 59.5Nota
All of my charts showing atleast a pump to 63k , one should be a hero shorting right now ( the ones that always dies first )Nota
I also like how most traders are super bearish at 60k while just 5 days ago they were super bullish 15% higher at 66k ..Crowd mindset is amazing . no wonder why 90 of traders lose money . not saying this will defenitely pump but just saying throwing your self in an over extended and exahusted downtrend is defenetily not a good idea , you should either wait on the side or long with a stop loss and a leverage that you can handle , this is no place to sell/short
Dagangan aktif
Add more to my longs at 60400Dagangan aktif
Sold 25% of yesterday longs at 61500 to buyback in case it goes back to 60500 Nota
More manipulation by wallstreet , buying back what I sold at 61500 at 60800 , going up is inevetible, it's just matter of timeDagangan ditutup secara manual
Since it's friday and there is still some chance that Israel attack Iran on weekend chance of going down is higher than up so I will close all my positions on US session close .
Some times I feel bad trading cause it's just rubbing other people and taking their money because they lack enough experience in Crypto but it is what it is ,everyone here by their choice , Atleast I put what I do for free out there might help some learn a thing or two to trade better( and hopefully not learn the wrong thing to lose money lol )
Dagangan ditutup secara manual
Just closed all longs at 62.4 , it might still pump a little more to 63.2 but the risk doesnt worth it anymore Nota
Not sure why people jump in middle of shorts in middle of weekend when it clearly didnt reach any important resistance!As I said japanese whales were in loss , now we have a pump mostly on weekend and part of i in japan session .
I usually dont hold positions over weekend so no gain/loss for me .
Dagangan aktif
It reached target 1 and it is up about 6.5 percent from lows , Seems a good place to enter some short positions at 63.5 , I dont like the way it's pumping , since it's pumping on low volume non US session it makes my idea about whales pumping to get out of ther positions strongerDagangan ditutup secara manual
closing my short from 63.5 at 63 and waiting for US session to open , it might retest 64k one more timeNota
Today there is a lot of order waiting at 61.3 up to 62.9 ( same as target for trendline) , so right now longs are risky too, this is one of those days that you need to just wait for a more clear move . there are some reasons to go up and some reasons to go down ( usually we see big spikes in both ways in this type of charts )
Nota
I put long order at 62k and 61.5k and short orders at 63.5-64 and 64.5 Dagangan aktif
First short order filled at 63.5Dagangan aktif
Order number 2 filled at 64.5 , crazy liquidation is going onNota
Short number 3 also filled , I also put a very large short order at 65 in case it reaches there today , clearly a fakeout to take retail traders money and dump BTC they bought at 60k on themNota
now we might go back to 62k , seems like typical BTC pump and dump pattern to meDagangan ditutup secara manual
Just Closed short from 63500 at 62800 and add another order to short again if it goes back to 63500 , trendline somehow still holding Nota
I keep the other two short at 64 and 64.5 open for nowNota
As I said both side get wrecked short and longs , closing all my shorts at 62.1 . will wait for US session to open to see what they will cook for us todayNota
Also again it seems very oversold , 3 red day with just going down a little usually means accumulation , If it start pumping with this type of heavy accumulation at this price then I guess target will be around 69kNota
buying more at 61.1Nota
Still reacting perfectly on Gann line 60400, bought more at 60800 . IMO we will either have scenario 1 or 2 and will go backup one more time
Both S&P and US equity making new highs and chance of Israel attacking Iran before election is very low, we can start next leg up today after CPI data or on next week candle open at monday
Nota
my stop loss is bellow previous low at 59500 when we clearly make a new lower lowNota
Still no daily close bellow 69.5 so still holding the longs , I hope that was the last liquidation before going upNota
Added more to my longs at 60.5 , It may doesnt look like one but I think we are on the verge of a big breakeout toward 80k probably this month , there is strong buying going on , after touching 59k we had 13 consecutive hours of uptrend , we usually see this before very big moves
Also we had 12 days of downtrend mostly because of middle east news but BTC still holding 60k, this is sign of strength IMO .
I think we will see a pump before election ,considering what Trump said one months ago , probably next big move will be formed around election news
Dagangan ditutup secara manual
close the other one remaining at 61.8 , this BTC chart is acting so crazy lol, jumping around like a chichen with no headTechnically it should reach 62.5 before going down but personally I dont trust those targets made by parallel channels so I'm out
Nota
tbh this chart make no sense anymore , jumping from super oversold state to super overbought state in less than 1 day . I'm staying away from both short and longs until I see a common sense setup and understand the reason behind these moves , entering position on this chart is simply gambling Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.