🟡 Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:
* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~
73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.
What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.
🧭 Weekly Bias: Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.
⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce
The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.
Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.
What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.
🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.
🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K–
82K for bounce-to-fade plays.
* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.
🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:
* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~
73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward
73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.🧭 Weekly Bias: Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.
⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce
The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.
Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.
What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.
🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.
🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K–
82K for bounce-to-fade plays.* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.
🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.