I analyzed this movement a lot, reworked my technical analysis a lot all the waves fell very badly on the price, and the day before they wanted to completely deceive me with a sharp downward movement I had to redo everything.
as a result of many readings and comparative analyzes with other methods of technical analysis, I came to the conclusion - a symmetrical triangle as a continuation of the trend
as a result of many readings and comparative analyzes with other methods of technical analysis, I came to the conclusion - a symmetrical triangle as a continuation of the trend
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I traded scalping and it was clearly visible that the price was kept in a certain range. robotNota
you don't have to look at the stop order. I do not use stop orders, only in the case when it is necessary to protect the transaction and it is in profitwith 5 leverage, my liquidation is at $150. I can be in a drawdown for a long time
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I decided that this is a triangle and I intend to trade it furtherNota
6*3 is a triangleNota
false exit?Nota
purchases after fixing above the level.we have an imbalance
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bullishNota
golden ratio 0.618 - 0.382Nota
31459Nota
everything will be decided there. you can’t sell, the whole chart is bullishit's an old imbalance. will now remove liquidity there and should jump
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30595 resistanceNota
above the premium market area there is loot for the market makerNota
there are stop orders of traders who work on salesNota
wants to jumpNota
it seems 34000Nota
here's what I think about it.today I was expecting this big move but instead I see a price correction and I began to gain a position to average it. I believe that the price is now in the fourth wave and this decline will be followed by a stronger momentum and no doubt with a higher high of the previous one.
I am very sure of this and not one indicator will convince me otherwise
this is the case when I, like a bull, rested on my conclusions and was not ready to deviate from my plan. I definitely use good risk management to be safe when the price goes lower than I expect
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there will be reaccumulation. I was waiting for an upward momentum on the 14th, but I got a good price drop. well, to hell with it, instead of one impulse I will get 2 as a bonusI averaged my position and it's not bad at all at the price of 30450 I will start to go positive. I can now lower the entry price even more, but I want to trade scalping, if the price goes much lower then I will enter the market with all the remaining money
growth will be we are pulling the bull by the balls for a long time
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still early. Perhaps by the 18th the picture will become clearerNota
I worked on other technical analysis, although this analysis is more accurate. I just forgot about himNota
here where to poke your finger everywhere only purchaseNota
there is a chance to jump up nowNota
there is a chance to jump up nowNota
the price holds and does not fall below the levelI think that testing the lower level will not work. these are my thoughts
I don't exclude anything but there is only long
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anti-crisis option - buying a large volume to reduce the purchase price of an asset below the resistance line indicated on the chart and exit the position with a profit.option 2 - placing a stop order in the profit zone to protect the position
option 3 - price makes a higher high which is more likely given the global uptrend
with subsequent long correction in flat form
my plan - I close scalping trades and average the buy price to current prices, then I put a stop order and wait for the outcome of events
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my mid-term purchase price is now 30450Nota
I forgot to add - I believe that the price will never return to these levels.in this situation, it is similar to the formation of a new bitcoin bottom in future cycles. Large bitcoin holders are now taking coins from retailers and accumulating their positions. the Ripple situation tells me what i should think about manipulation
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everything is confirmed after the completion of the correction and if the price consolidates above 32500Nota
the trend is up, so only longNota
then there is a chanceNota
goes up, 28000 should fall. from current prices or below target 32400Nota
1 daysNota
the price reacts to the near liquidity level, now due to the market maker's idiot we have to go to liquidity.maybe this type is manipulating and preparing a purchase for news that nobody fucking needs
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if a buyer does not appear here, then I believe that 27800 - 28000 will be. liquidity levels are only thereNota
but this triangle can lower the price to the level of 25000 - 24000I think that if there is a fast unloading of the bearish divergence, then the price will not go below the trend line
it is not worth excluding the development of this graphic figure for a decrease. especially at this moment when the price touches level A inside this triangle. everything here is aimed at confusing the trader
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this whole movement is capable of deceiving everyone. the only winning trade right now, in my opinion, is positional trading without leverage for the long term. I do not exclude my previous forecast, it was made on the basis of imbalance and according to the principle of WYKOFF reaccumulation. in this option, I will start trading and close the position in order to buy lower Nota
I think I've been tricky with the price, but she might be tricking me. The main rule in this situation is to take into account the risk and not to use credit. if you trade with small deposits less than 500 - 1000000, then I would wait for this situation to be more understandableNota
this is a terrible chart.Nota
bearish engulfing looks unconvincingNota
for a long time I did not go to a small time intervalNota
if we take the wedge figure as a starting point, then we can measure the distance that the price must go to the level of 32234. I will start gaining a position from the level of 28400 and averaging. but you need to watch the price, because Wyckoff does not always work like clockworkfor reference i have a bullish imbalance structure where i set the liquidity level. I think that a couple more weeks and the decisive moment will come
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the abc correction may look different, shorter than the one on the plan, then the price growth may start from the current levelsNota
frozen market. the only thing that makes me happy is low trading volumesbut I need even lower, trading volumes should fall below the floor
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she won't fall again, these are my thoughtsthis is a market, and in the market, breaking through the resistance line needs an impulse that means movement in any direction
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I make a lot of mistakes, but when I study the chart so much, in addition to everything, there are many other things that prompt and give confidence. there is something else that is related to fundamental analysis, I will have to do that tomorrow.
according to the rules, the price should go from liquidity, but here someone has a different plan and I see it. quite recently, 600,000 bitcoins were bought at a price of 40,000 and it is obvious that this person is not going to sell even at 50,000. it was one person and these are his bitcoins, add to them bitcoins of exchange liquidity and ours, it is clear why the price has not removed any new low , but moved on
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I forgot to put a mark at 30400 from which it is possible to open a short sell position1 hour
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when the histogram crosses the zero mark, this will mean a false breakout. if it doesn't, then the instrument will create a new low, which is unlikelyNota
why I think it will be like this - the sp500 index drew a histogram and MACD lines similar to the weekly histogram on Bitcoin. i think that bitcoin will catch up with the 500 index and will follow its movement only with a significant delayNota
so what?Nota
smart money conceptNota
trading classicNota
if smart money is in the market, then they will unload the position there, the market maker will gain a sell positionNota
low liquidityNota
there can be no talk of a global market reversal, and within the framework of a false breakdown, you can earn a littleNota
now carefully. the price may go to the next mark, to the one that is higher than the previous one, and this movement may turn out to be the final one. until the color changes on the histogram, global changes should not be expected. I was expecting higher price points, but this is also not bad and means that the next purchase will be lower with the same goals
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my technical analysis speaks of growth. maybe someone is waiting for some news again, so fundamental clues speak of growth.Nota
the market is still living its life, the histogram blinks, the 4 hour time interval shows growth, everything else shows nothing. I climbed into my notes and did not find where the record of such things was. when this happened in the market, what happened was what I circled on the chart, a short squeeze
unfortunately I again forgot how such things are defined
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I don't like it when a couple of dollars don't reach the goal, I always think that it will get it laterNota
long and shortNota
I guess everything is the same with other pricesNota
there is a line confirmation, now the exit is higher and on the second touch after the retest, you can set the goal that is indicated. My opinion is that the price will go up.Nota
it's all in the trash again. many longsNota
in some places it was scary, but I understood that the trend was bearish. still managed to make some scalping trades on the spot account and half of the money there is stuck in bitcoin, but these are trifles, now we have to wait for a signal to reverseI freed up a significant part for position averaging. the histogram should change color, and the lines should show a reversal in the daily time frame. the price may go even lower, I did not look at the levels, but not for long. so far I don’t find scalping deals here
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all ideas on scalping yesterday shoved in the ass by a raccoonNota
great level up! it is clear that a large number of traders buy it back and the price goes against them. you need to wait until the stop orders start to workNota
it's unexpected, but nice discounts. I won’t even average, but withdraw it to my wallet, and I’ll start entering the market from this levelNota
second bottom as a giftNota
I closed the deal early, so I'll sleep peacefullyNota
somewhere I laid out a similar Wyckoff reaccumulation structureNota
barely found. I already forgot about it. there is a mistake here - my biased attitude towards imbalance and as a result I set the level indicated in the imbalance, but in the end the price falls much lower, but without violating the Wyckoff structure. I can't say anything right now. I leaf through my past ideas and remember what I was thinking at the moment
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big purchases are underway. I don’t have any prerequisites for the entrance yet, but something will happen for sure. my forecast is 3 topsthis is what I see on the chart. m-shaped pattern is unlikely
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until I buy all thisNota
everything is right. traders who trade up to 1 week left the market, large capital is in accumulation and continues to accumulate an asset according to Glassnode, everything is just great. on the chart, I marked 3 goals that, in my opinion, we should get within a month. I definitely won’t set a time frame, but I’ll look at the histogram - 4 hours shows purchases, 1 day still doesn’t show anything, the lines are trashed. if you enter with an accumulation of up to 1 month, you can close your eyes and buy, but now I would like to place a limit order and see what happens in the area of the marked imbalance. I also determined the price range from which there will be an exit to the top and within which the price should move in the near future. I conclude that this decline is natural, many buyers and no sellers lead to such results. large stop orders provoked a chain reaction, this can be seen from the exchanges where there are large discrepancies in prices, it depended on the liquidity of the exchange and capitalization, if it were one big seller, then the price would fall evenly everywhereNota
in order to enter a trade safely, you need to wait for the color of the histogram to change on the daily time interval, just do not lose sight of the weekly histogram. now it all looks like a false breakdown, only anomalous based on the indicators. do not enter into a loan deal, avoid these resources like fire, it was designed for things like this, which is what caused such a fall. liquidationNota
28633Nota
If I feel something is wrong, I will exit the deal.Nota
if long money didn't come out this time, maybe they haven't entered yet?then who buys this price cut?
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secretNota
it's all the raccoon's faultin any incomprehensible situation, go to sleep. the best plan when there is no plan
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if the price moves one candle, it will be an amazing fact, but I think that we will cover both the bullish imbalance and this bearish one in this case. if we do not cover it with normal small movements, then the price will cover already three imbalances only with a downward movement. I do not consider an untraded imbalance to be closed. thus we have two imbalances at a time. today is a good day, candles change color to bullish, but the histogram is bearish and shows nothing
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monthly timeframe shows reversal candlestick patternNota
we have one non-closed imbalance 4h higher. I think until Tuesday the price will come there. but I also thought that the price would not fall below 28400, but it fell. We'll seeNota
this is the first imbalance in the discount market zone of all this increase in price. from this area a reaction can come.23065
I will not take a short position, as I am waiting for the zones to be worked out at levels 30-35000
then you can greet everyone who is waiting for a price around 12000
the beginning of the working week will give rise to new movements
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the price is now in the local discount market and received a reaction from the imbalance zone and a block order, but given the context and the mood of the crowd, we are still standing still. if during these days the price stays here, then I expect growth from the current valuesNota
still heavy. credit fans will be liquidated yetNota
get ready to buy morelong
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no one knows what my goal is, but there is a hint in the diaryNota
he wants to grow a little nowNota
bullish divergence1 day - coming to an end
4 hours is over
3 hours is over
1 hour ended
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false breakdown and reversalNota
it's all localNota
the histogram should not drop below the previous low, and the chart should update the low. then I will wait for local growthNota
I really don't like this shadow. some shitNota
this chart shows long. I'm tired of them already, I always have to jump from one to another. good thing i bought everythingNota
yes, the price can give two bearish divergencesNota
it happens that way too.Nota
in this case, the price will rewrite the previous high, which fits in with the Wyckoff structureNota
ambiguous marketNota
I was naive when I set the bottom value of the price to 27500))Nota
*Nota
got carried away. wanted to take a break from scalping tradingNota
there is a possibility that the price will test the level of 29300Nota
this growth occurred within the framework of this pattern 135, but I see that the price did not reach the point and a reaction resulted from an imbalance. everything that is not tested at point 135 remains for next timeNota
at some point they will raise their hands and say that they have run out of bitcoins, then they will reach into the glass at the exchangeNota
you need to watch when the color of the histogram changes and wait for the growth of the price of the right shoulder on the chart. I'm increasingly inclined to believe that it will be head and shouldersNota
1. slowing acceleration is not a sign of the end of a trend2. process slowdown may be a sign only in certain phases of the process
the essence of divergence is a decrease in acceleration
several deceleration processes need to be monitored to determine the current trend
you can see how this or that action has a different distance for the development of events - on one chart the price can go to the goal in 1 week, while on another chart the price moves in 1 day
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divergence in one phase of the market is not equal to divergence in another phase of the marketNota
therefore, false divergences can occur due to many factors1 sudden news risks
2 sudden news positive changes
3 presence of high demand
4 presence of high offer
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the same trend will continue, I don’t have the strength to take notes, my eyes hurtmost likely even the minimum will not be updated
I'll look at next week's news, I think it will be decisive
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good sign, but not convincingNota
as a result of this we will get double divergence on spot exchanges and one divergence on futures exchangesNota
then there will be a breakdown of the weekly hidden bullish divergence, which will mean a new cycle in which we should wait for a new setupit just needs to not be overlooked.
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when the exchange has money as a result of position liquidations, they want to spend it below the price level from which the money appears. Conclusion - it is possible that they will lower the price, the robot will buy and the price will go higherif the price from this level goes closer to the initial one, I will go in with all my money
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this will be a medium-term position for a month, but I won’t make any predictions; I’ll just get my benefit from it. At this point I will close this page so that I can start a new one. I still have to work on my mistakesNota
bearishPenafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.