Why Your indicators Fail to Work For You and WHY.

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Many commonly used indicators—RSI, MACD, and others—show win rates around **30–40%** when used as direct trade signals and may make a slight profit overall, but loose in a ranging market.

Oddly enough, if you reverse them—buy when it says sell, sell when it says buy—you can often push the win rate up to **65–70%**.

But here’s the catch:
👉 Even with a high win rate, these “inverse strategies” still **tend to lose money** over time. Why? The few times the market trends it will wipe out any profits you might have made.

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🧠 What's Really Going On?

* Indicators trigger **crowd behavior**, not institutional intent.
* Institutions use crowd-driven signals to identify **liquidity clusters**
* Standard signals become **traps**, not trade ideas.

I call this Hidden or Dynamic liquidity

So when indicators say "Buy!", the smart money sees that as an opportunity to sell *into* the crowd’s enthusiasm—then reverse the move once retail traders are trapped.

Institutions can see when, say the 20 SMA is about to cross the 50 SMA. This gives them a heads up that and opportunity may be coming to use the liquidity it generates from the ensuing retail trades to enter their opposing trades.

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⚠️ Takeaway:

Indicators may be more useful as **tools to locate liquidity**, not predict direction.

Use them to observe where *others* are getting in, then ask:
🔍 *If I were a large player needing liquidity, where would I execute my order?*

See Indicators triggering not as entry positions but as potential pivot points.

Penafian

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