Bitcoin Elliott Wave Structure & Potential Correction

Hello Traders,

In today’s analysis, we are focusing on Bitcoin’s intraday price action and discussing Elliott Wave theory to evaluate the possibility of a correction from the current region. After a bullish expansion, Bitcoin has now completed a full 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave cycle. The recent pullback suggests that price action is entering an ABC correction phase, which typically follows a strong bullish wave. Given this, we can expect price to remain range-bound between key support and resistance levels as the correction develops.

Currently, Bitcoin is approaching local resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the previous Value Area Low (VAL). This Wave B completion zone is a critical area to watch. If price action fails to reclaim the previous VAL, there is a high probability of rejection, leading to a rotation lower for Wave C. However, a strong bullish breakout and reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short trade setup.


Key Technical Points to Consider

• Bitcoin has completed a 1-2-3-4-5 Elliott Wave expansion, signaling the possibility of an ABC corrective wave.
• Wave B is approaching key resistance, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and previous VAL—this is a potential short trade zone.
• A failure to reclaim this resistance increases the likelihood of a rejection, while a breakout and sustained bullish strength would invalidate the correction thesis.


Potential Scenarios & Conclusion

If Bitcoin rejects from the current resistance, traders should watch for a move lower into Wave C, confirming the correction phase. This scenario presents a shorting opportunity, but risk management remains crucial. Conversely, if Bitcoin reclaims resistance with bullish strength, it could indicate that the correction is invalid, and price may continue trending higher.

As always, trade execution should be managed carefully, and confirmation at key levels is essential before committing to any position. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin follows through with the expected correction or establishes bullish continuation beyond resistance.