This ugly uptrend will be followed by an ugly downtrend after a distribution phase. Those big guys who you think will buy Bitcoin in 2024 will sell it to you in 2024.
No Bitcoin ATH. Yes euphoria. Yes altcoins. Before the final destruction.
No Bitcoin ATH. Yes euphoria. Yes altcoins. Before the final destruction.
Nota
Nota
I believe this is a correction. I'll be hardcore believer in this after I see that distribution. Everybody has right to be wrong.Nota
It's the nature of corrections. You can see even the most stubborn bears either gave up or about to give up. That's the point. Break them both financially and mentally.Nota
Nota
I'm amused to see that Capo has the same thought with me right now :D I mean that guy is really beaten up this year. Would it save his reputation to be correct this time? Good thing for bears is that retailer is so sure that he is a good counter indicator though :D I've been bullish since 18k for the record :DNota
Plus I guess he is expecting an elevator down. I don't think so. It will be a disgustingly long trend after a distribution, if it's going to happen.Nota
If you were an Elliot fan, you knew that it was over when you see this. You had to be bullish at some point. But it was hard to be bullish sentiment-wise. 1 year of downtrend does that to you. Plus bad news and everything. It was hard to be bullish. Same thing now. It's hard to be bearish.Nota
I got short position from ~41.5k. I don't like shorting things when they are strong but you know :D Isn't this is a little bit too much?Nota
Even if I'm wrong there should be a pullback here I believe. I'll close the short on that pullback. We'll have a lot of time to short if I'm right anyway.Nota
As long as it closes day below 42k, all is fine and expected for me. I didn't expect to hit 42k at first try but it is what it is.Nota
It's ok to go above this briefly. Just for a liquidity grab. But a convincing move above that invalidates the bearish case.Nota
So basically any move above 43k should live short. Should be reversed in a day or two. Otherwise bears fucked. I don't care about 48k that much.Nota
And of course we need volatile action below that before that. If no one is selling around here, then it doesn't matter much what it does at the last line of defence for bears.Nota
Nota
BTC short closed. Mission abort.Nota
This was the type of volatility I expected to see back then. It's unlikely this was the macro top. Most likely it will range. The type of range will tell you something.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.