What Elliot wave tell us about the next move

10 Ogo

By taking a close look at the chart we can see we are making a possible wxyxz correction consisting of 3 zigzag 5-3-5 waves, From what I see we are in wave 2 of the final 5 waves toward the upside, and the target is probably 65-67k, after that, in theory, we should continue the previous downtrend toward 45k
Possible positions are buying now with a target of 66k and stop loss at 57k( which is where wave 2 goes below wave 1, invalidating this 5 wave). Or wait and short at 65-66k with a target of 45k with stop loss at the previous high of around 70k

10 Ogo

Nota

Closer view of Wave W

10 Ogo

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Wave x

10 Ogo

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Wave y

10 Ogo

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Second x wave

10 Ogo

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Current Z wave

11 Ogo

Nota

Still waiting for the next move , if the chart is correction we should start wave 3 in 1-2 days at max

11 Ogo

Nota

Possible bounce areas are one of these fib levels 59700,59,58 , target is somewhere around 65-67 depending on the strength of next wave

11 Ogo

Nota

We are also having 3 rejections from Gan and monthly resistance, but since this is the weekend I don't think it's very concerning we can punch through it soon ( well ofcourse if Isreal doesn't start a new war )

12 Ogo

Dagangan aktif

Nice reaction as expected, opened long from 59 area, let's see what will happen

12 Ogo

Nota

13 Ogo

Nota

Right now we are creating two 5 waves at the same time, high chance of a breakout soon, I'm still holding my longs from 59k

13 Ogo

Nota

retesting Gann lines one more time, I hope we see a breakout this time

14 Ogo

Dagangan ditutup secara manual

Closed long positions from 59k in profit , we have bad CPI. It seems like a failed 5 wave to me , we might head back to 55k from here

14 Ogo

Dagangan aktif

After closing my longs I opened another short position at 61k a couple of hours ago , A failed 5 wave is a signal itself, it shows extreme selling pressure by individuals who don't care about charts.
We are also having 6 rejection at the monthly resistance and one rejection at Gann circle , looks like a very bearish structure to me

14 Ogo

Nota

I expect to reach at least 0.786 fib level at 56500 or the lower monthly line at 55k , if both of them fail to hold the price, we will see 48k again, invalidation of my idea is going back above 61400

15 Ogo

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It seems like an ordinary wave 2 to me as long as it is below 61k, the target is still 55k-48k

15 Ogo

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Adding more to my short at 59750

15 Ogo

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People always love to blame manipulation, .... but It was clear that we were going down, only the time was unknown

16 Ogo

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bounce happened at 0.786 fib level around 66500, I didn't expect such a fast and strong bounce, but overall I still think we still need to go much lower.
For now, area around the previous high at 60k is very important as long we are below it, the chance of going down still much higher, I'm still holding my shorts from 61k and 59750, will probably short more if price moves near 59k

16 Ogo

Nota

entered another short position at 58700 where weekly candle opens

19 Ogo

Dagangan ditutup secara manual

There is some chance that we reach 62-64k here , chart looks more bullish than before to me, closing all my shorts from 59.5 and 61k at 58.3k

19 Ogo

Nota

By bullish, I mean we have 2 gann at play right now, one pointing toward 48k (yellow one) and one toward 43k(white one) . both will end before October
currently, we are seeing some reaction from the yellow one and there is the possibility of a bounce here

19 Ogo

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by bouncing from here we can break the downtrend daily channel and the target will be somewhere around 62 or 64k depending on how you draw it

19 Ogo

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There are two scenarios here, we go directly to 48-43k from here or we first pump toward 62-64k and then go to 48-43k, the target for both cases is below 50k. I won't enter long from here only looking for short positions

20 Ogo

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well bounce happened but it immediately dropped from 61k! that's why I said I don't look for longs but just short opportunities, this is a completely manipulated chart, they only waiting for pumps to dump their bags on poor retail traders

20 Ogo

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Seems like a good opportunity to buy, it needs to retest some key area above , buying some at 59.6k will sell them at 61k stop loss 59k

20 Ogo

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I put circle on areas that need retest

20 Ogo

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Considering the number of big orders that were filled today , my guess is we will reach 64k in the coming days, well unless those sellers know sth and selling ahead of news like e.g Iran Israel war , I'm buying more at 59k

20 Ogo

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Another successful bounce from gann circle

20 Ogo

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the plan is to sell everything bought today above 60k and open a short position, lets see how it goes if we go lower I will have to sell at a loss

21 Ogo

Dagangan ditutup: sasaran tercapai

another nice profit 😊