BTCUSDT Long-Term Roadmap: From Capitulation to a $310K Breakout

After a confirmed breakdown from both the ascending trendline and the horizontal support near $110,000, BTCUSDT has entered a bearish phase. However, the projected green candles in your forecast suggest a long-term recovery structure—a potential accumulation phase, followed by a breakout cycle toward a new all-time high at $310K.


📈 Long-Term Phases in the Projection:



1. Phase One: Capitulation & Accumulation (~$65K–$90K)

• BTC breaks down below $100K, potentially finding support between $65K and $90K.
  
• This becomes a classic accumulation zone, where smart money begins to position.
  
• Volatility decreases, and price action flattens while volume builds.
  

2. Phase Two: Recovery & Structure Break (~$105K–$110K reclaim)

• Price reclaims the broken support at $105K–$110K, now acting as resistance.
  
• A successful flip of this level into support signals the start of a new bullish cycle.
  
• Market sentiment starts to shift from fear to cautious optimism.
  

3. Phase Three: Expansion Phase ($110K → $180K)

• Once past $110K, BTC enters a momentum-driven rally.
  
• Important psychological levels like $120K, $150K, and $180K are reached.
  
• Institutions and retail FOMO begin re-entering the market.
  

4. Phase Four: Mid-Cycle Reaccumulation (~$180K–$210K)

• BTC consolidates in a wide range, forming a reaccumulation base.
  
• This becomes the launchpad for the final parabolic leg upward.
  
• Market disbelief turns into euphoria.
  

5. Phase Five: Parabolic Rally to $310K

• Once $230K–$250K resistance is cleared, BTC enters parabolic mode.
  
• Targeting the macro top at $310,000, aligning with a future cycle peak (likely post-halving cycle).
  
• Could happen within 12–24 months, depending on macro and cycle momentum.
  

🔍 Key Technical Conditions to Watch:

• Successful reclaim of $110K on high timeframe (weekly close)
  
• Formation of a higher low above $90K
  
• Volume confirmation during breakout of $150K and $180K
  
• Break and hold above $230K confirms macro breakout