Bitcoin - What can we expect this week
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As the Dow dropped by 12.4% from Monday to Friday, BTC dropped by 24% during the same amount of time. Today the Dow showed signs of recovery so BTC is doing the same. Individual retail investors did not provoke the sell-off last week, institutional money did. We had a 74 Billion dollar drop in crypto between Monday and Friday, finding stabilization only after the markets had closed. This tells you that without the jitters of the major indices BTC wants to continue its own path, which is to move up. We'll continue to monitor both but eventually they will go their separate ways again.
WHAT'S BTC DOING NOW?
BTC is climbing up again trying to make its way above the 200 Moving average on the daily chart, this is a sign that there's upwards strength still. We want to see BTC close above the 200MA today and eventually close above the 50MA. These couple of moves have to happen in the next few days. The main reason is that momentum is still pushing up but eventually it will turn neutral and then down if we don't continue moving up. Keep in mind that BTC is currently working with a golden cross and it always has a positive effect on price. On the 6H chart, we were able to climb above the resistance line very decisively.
The area of concern behaved as expected, the two moving averages (the 20 and 50) were able to act as strong support and prevented BTC from moving further down for now. It also gave us the chance to buy BTC at around $8500 which was our 4rth buy zone, before moving back up.
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WHAT'S BTC DOING NOW?
BTC is climbing up again trying to make its way above the 200 Moving average on the daily chart, this is a sign that there's upwards strength still. We want to see BTC close above the 200MA today and eventually close above the 50MA. These couple of moves have to happen in the next few days. The main reason is that momentum is still pushing up but eventually it will turn neutral and then down if we don't continue moving up. Keep in mind that BTC is currently working with a golden cross and it always has a positive effect on price. On the 6H chart, we were able to climb above the resistance line very decisively.
The area of concern behaved as expected, the two moving averages (the 20 and 50) were able to act as strong support and prevented BTC from moving further down for now. It also gave us the chance to buy BTC at around $8500 which was our 4rth buy zone, before moving back up.
VERY IMPORTANT: Hitting the "Like" button is like a tip, please don't forget to do so after reading, this is your way of thanking me for my time and so I thank you for yours.
Nota
BTC is still holding the 200MA, which is the least it can do. The best-case scenario is if BTC pushes above the 50MA which is now at 9300.Nota
Correction, the Market Cap drop was 18% not 24%. Nota
BTC is staying on the good side of the 200MA. Nota
As you can see above we closed precisely only 3 candles below the 200MA which tells us that the intent is there to move up, but the demand is lacking for now.Nota
Quick Update: The bounce is looking healthy. Nota
What is the one thing we should be looking at right now? Simple, we want price to make it above the 50MA which is the yellow line. 
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