All Things Follow Patterns: Deciphering Bitcoin Through Nature's Lens
Before delving deep, one must grasp a foundational truth: markets, with crypto being no exception, exhibit recurring patterns ๐, much like nature's intricate tapestry. Witness these rhythms in seasonal shifts ๐, the sun's majestic journey from dawn ๐ to dusk ๐, and even the emotional ebb and flow we undergo daily ๐๐.
While countless individuals navigate the market's turbulent waters, a single trait echoes through every investor: raw emotion ๐จ๐. Fear and greed are the primary market drivers ๐๐. Stark numbers present a sobering reality: 95% of cryptocurrency enthusiasts witness their assets evaporate, leaving a meager 5% standing tall ๐. However, mastering the art of reading market sentiments and recognizing the tides of collective joy and despair can be your ticket to the elite circle ๐ฅ
Unraveling the Cyclical Model ๐
Now that you're familiar with the cyclical model ๐, it's of paramount importance to dive deep into its intricate details and fathom how this insight can be wielded in the crypto realm ๐ช. Let's explore the cycle's various stages.
Below is a depiction of the cyclical model. You might be tempted to dismiss it as just another chart from a mundane tome on markets, trading, and investments ๐. But, hold that thought!
Pause and imprint this graph onto your mind ๐ง . The reason? You'll be in for a surprise when you discover the striking resemblance this illustration holds with concrete scenarios we'll unveil later ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ.

Accumulation Phase ๐ฆ
Smart Money ๐ผ: In this period, the assetโs value seems stagnant and "unexciting" ๐ฆ. Regular investors and traders, the retail crowd ๐โโ๏ธ๐, tend to step back, paving the way for the "smart money" ๐ก๐ฐ (major banks, hedge funds, big players) to seize assets at a bargain.
First Growth Phase ๐
Institutional Investors ๐ข: Here, the asset starts its ascent ๐ฑ, yet subtly, not enough to make headlines ๐ฐ. The "smart money" persists in purchasing, preparing the terrain for what's next.
Euphoria Phase ๐
Public ๐: Arguably the most electrifying cycle segment ๐. As prices soar, retail participants flock ๐ฆ. The media spotlight intensifies ๐ฅ, newcomers enter buying en masse, further fueling the surge. And the "smart money"? They strategically exit, handing over to the novices.
Capitulation Phase ๐
Capitulation ๐ณ๏ธ: Then, the downturn sets in. As prices dip, after "smart money" has exited, euphoria turns to dread ๐ฑ. Late buyers, who hopped in during the highs, are now in a frenzy, offloading assets. Thus, enters the "capitulation phase."
The pattern? A perennial one, consistent across every market landscape ๐. Grasping this cyclical nature aids in making informed moves โ to buy, to sell, or just to hold and watch โณ.
Bringing Theory to Life: Tangible Scenarios ๐โก๏ธ๐
Shifting our focus to concrete instances, consider the subsequent graph, which chronicles Bitcoin's entire financial trajectory ๐. This illustration lets us trace its periodic patterns. Conventionally, such a phase stretches over four years: a bullish ๐ period enduring 2.5 years and its bearish ๐ counterpart occupying the next 1.5 years.
Keep in mind, these periods are merely indicative and can oscillate due to a myriad of elements ๐ช๏ธ. Still, this template sheds light on prospective oscillations in Bitcoin's valuation.

Next, we're diving deep into each Bitcoin cycle ๐. But first, rewind to the original cyclical model graph. Now, stack up real-world instances against the cyclical model chart ๐. Spot how the real-world examples mirror the cyclical graph?
The First Bitcoin Cycle ๐ฑ
BTC was crafted on PCs purely for enthusiasts' thrills, sans regulators ๐จโ๐ป. Between July '09 and June '11, BTC experienced its premier bullish wave ๐, soaring to $18.5 from mere $0.05, a staggering +64,000% leap!
The Second Bitcoin Cycle ๐
BTC touched its first peak ๐๏ธ, ushering its maiden bearish phase ๐. After a steep 93% decline, the bullish vibe quickly resurfaced, and from Nov '11 to Nov '13, BTC rocketed ๐ from $2 to $1,240 - a whopping +60,000%!
The Third Bitcoin Cycle ๐ป
Another bear market came with a deep 86% cut - BTC plummeted from $1,240 to $167. From Jan '15 to Dec '17, bullish vibes raised the stake to $19,800 ๐, a rise of 11,800%.
The Fourth Bitcoin Cycle โณ
BTC faced another 84% trimming ๐. From Dec '18 to Nov '21, the bullish phase propelled BTC to a majestic $69,000 from a modest $3,123, charting a 2,108% ascent.
The Fifth Bitcoin Cycle ๐
We stand here, as BTC price dances between $18k-$FWB:25K ๐ฉฐ, setting the stage for the Bitcoin cycle's nascent stages. A bullish tide is on the horizon ๐ , a moment crypto aficionados keenly anticipate.
โSee related ideas belowโ
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. ๐๐๐
Before delving deep, one must grasp a foundational truth: markets, with crypto being no exception, exhibit recurring patterns ๐, much like nature's intricate tapestry. Witness these rhythms in seasonal shifts ๐, the sun's majestic journey from dawn ๐ to dusk ๐, and even the emotional ebb and flow we undergo daily ๐๐.
While countless individuals navigate the market's turbulent waters, a single trait echoes through every investor: raw emotion ๐จ๐. Fear and greed are the primary market drivers ๐๐. Stark numbers present a sobering reality: 95% of cryptocurrency enthusiasts witness their assets evaporate, leaving a meager 5% standing tall ๐. However, mastering the art of reading market sentiments and recognizing the tides of collective joy and despair can be your ticket to the elite circle ๐ฅ
Unraveling the Cyclical Model ๐
Now that you're familiar with the cyclical model ๐, it's of paramount importance to dive deep into its intricate details and fathom how this insight can be wielded in the crypto realm ๐ช. Let's explore the cycle's various stages.
Below is a depiction of the cyclical model. You might be tempted to dismiss it as just another chart from a mundane tome on markets, trading, and investments ๐. But, hold that thought!
Pause and imprint this graph onto your mind ๐ง . The reason? You'll be in for a surprise when you discover the striking resemblance this illustration holds with concrete scenarios we'll unveil later ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ.
Accumulation Phase ๐ฆ
Smart Money ๐ผ: In this period, the assetโs value seems stagnant and "unexciting" ๐ฆ. Regular investors and traders, the retail crowd ๐โโ๏ธ๐, tend to step back, paving the way for the "smart money" ๐ก๐ฐ (major banks, hedge funds, big players) to seize assets at a bargain.
First Growth Phase ๐
Institutional Investors ๐ข: Here, the asset starts its ascent ๐ฑ, yet subtly, not enough to make headlines ๐ฐ. The "smart money" persists in purchasing, preparing the terrain for what's next.
Euphoria Phase ๐
Public ๐: Arguably the most electrifying cycle segment ๐. As prices soar, retail participants flock ๐ฆ. The media spotlight intensifies ๐ฅ, newcomers enter buying en masse, further fueling the surge. And the "smart money"? They strategically exit, handing over to the novices.
Capitulation Phase ๐
Capitulation ๐ณ๏ธ: Then, the downturn sets in. As prices dip, after "smart money" has exited, euphoria turns to dread ๐ฑ. Late buyers, who hopped in during the highs, are now in a frenzy, offloading assets. Thus, enters the "capitulation phase."
The pattern? A perennial one, consistent across every market landscape ๐. Grasping this cyclical nature aids in making informed moves โ to buy, to sell, or just to hold and watch โณ.
Bringing Theory to Life: Tangible Scenarios ๐โก๏ธ๐
Shifting our focus to concrete instances, consider the subsequent graph, which chronicles Bitcoin's entire financial trajectory ๐. This illustration lets us trace its periodic patterns. Conventionally, such a phase stretches over four years: a bullish ๐ period enduring 2.5 years and its bearish ๐ counterpart occupying the next 1.5 years.
Keep in mind, these periods are merely indicative and can oscillate due to a myriad of elements ๐ช๏ธ. Still, this template sheds light on prospective oscillations in Bitcoin's valuation.
Next, we're diving deep into each Bitcoin cycle ๐. But first, rewind to the original cyclical model graph. Now, stack up real-world instances against the cyclical model chart ๐. Spot how the real-world examples mirror the cyclical graph?
The First Bitcoin Cycle ๐ฑ
BTC was crafted on PCs purely for enthusiasts' thrills, sans regulators ๐จโ๐ป. Between July '09 and June '11, BTC experienced its premier bullish wave ๐, soaring to $18.5 from mere $0.05, a staggering +64,000% leap!
The Second Bitcoin Cycle ๐
BTC touched its first peak ๐๏ธ, ushering its maiden bearish phase ๐. After a steep 93% decline, the bullish vibe quickly resurfaced, and from Nov '11 to Nov '13, BTC rocketed ๐ from $2 to $1,240 - a whopping +60,000%!
The Third Bitcoin Cycle ๐ป
Another bear market came with a deep 86% cut - BTC plummeted from $1,240 to $167. From Jan '15 to Dec '17, bullish vibes raised the stake to $19,800 ๐, a rise of 11,800%.
The Fourth Bitcoin Cycle โณ
BTC faced another 84% trimming ๐. From Dec '18 to Nov '21, the bullish phase propelled BTC to a majestic $69,000 from a modest $3,123, charting a 2,108% ascent.
The Fifth Bitcoin Cycle ๐
We stand here, as BTC price dances between $18k-$FWB:25K ๐ฉฐ, setting the stage for the Bitcoin cycle's nascent stages. A bullish tide is on the horizon ๐ , a moment crypto aficionados keenly anticipate.
โSee related ideas belowโ
Like, share, and leave your thoughts in the comments! Your engagement fuels our crypto discussions. ๐๐๐
Private community with my recommendations ๐ [ bit.ly/bs-alerts ]
Asset Management ๐ [ bit.ly/assetmn ]
Asset Management ๐ [ bit.ly/assetmn ]
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Private community with my recommendations ๐ [ bit.ly/bs-alerts ]
Asset Management ๐ [ bit.ly/assetmn ]
Asset Management ๐ [ bit.ly/assetmn ]
Penerbitan berkaitan
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.