Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) — Caught Between Fear & Fundamentals
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto.
The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold.
Key Technical Highlights:
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias):
Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume
Target: $108K → $112K → $116K
Stop Loss: Below $103,500
🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias):
Trigger: Break and close below $100,000
Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000
Stop Loss: Above $102,500
📉 Dip Buy Strategy:
Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines
Target: $103K → $106K
Stop Loss: Below $95K
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Technical Outlook — 13 June, 2025
Current Market Condition:
Bitcoin has dropped to $103,818 after facing rejection from the $106.8K–$108K resistance zone, coinciding with heightened geopolitical stress following renewed military escalation between Iran and Israel. Traditional markets are showing signs of risk aversion, and while Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge, the current flight to USD liquidity and defensive assets is putting pressure on high-beta instruments like crypto.
The psychological $100K support zone, which aligns with the EMA 50 and a key Fib level, is the immediate area to watch. A failure here could expose Bitcoin to deeper retracement toward $96,800 and potentially $92K, especially if global tensions worsen or investors rotate further into cash and gold.
Key Technical Highlights:
- Rejection at supply zone near $106,888–$108,000.
- Support at $100K holds structural and psychological importance.
- Stochastic shows bearish momentum crossover, increasing downside probability.
- EMA 200 at $92K could act as ultimate cushion in a full-blown correction.
- Volatility likely to remain elevated amid Middle East conflict and global uncertainty.
Trade Plan:
🔼 Bullish Relief Bounce (Long Bias):
Trigger: Reclaim and hold above $106,888 with rising volume
Target: $108K → $112K → $116K
Stop Loss: Below $103,500
🔻 Geopolitical Risk Sell-Off (Short Bias):
Trigger: Break and close below $100,000
Target: $96,816 → $92,000 → $88,000
Stop Loss: Above $102,500
📉 Dip Buy Strategy:
Trigger: Price stabilizes at $96.8K with divergence and calming geopolitical headlines
Target: $103K → $106K
Stop Loss: Below $95K
🛡️ Risk Management Note:
With geopolitical risk driving short-term sentiment, expect volatility spikes, whipsaws, and fake breakouts. Remain nimble and manage exposure carefully — especially during weekend sessions when crypto trades unhedged and news developments can occur without warning.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.