BTC/USDT Technical Analysis

18 Jun

🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis
📆 Chart Context:
Published on: June 18, 2025

Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT)

Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure

🧠 Market Structure
🔸 Lower Highs Forming
Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT

A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum

Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal

🔸 Strong Support Zone
Marked between $99,000 – $100,000

This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks)

Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice

🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior
Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce

Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone

Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone

📉 Prediction: Price Outlook
✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days):
A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000

If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500

✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation:
Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal

In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next

✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely):
If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000

📊 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note
Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone
Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts
Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation
Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area
Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails

✅ Professional Outlook Summary
Market Bias: 📉 Bearish

Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry

Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop

Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely

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