CHFJPY Rejection from Multi-Year Resistance

CHFJPY recently rejected strongly from the 176.15 resistance zone, a level that has historically acted as a ceiling since mid-2023. After a parabolic rise into this resistance, we’re now seeing early signs of a bearish reversal pattern, indicating sellers may be regaining control.

Key Technical Levels:
Current Price: 173.19

Resistance Zone: 176.15 – 177.07 (multi-year highs)

Bearish Targets:

🎯 TP1: 171.00 – psychological and structural support

🎯 TP2: 168.50 – previous demand zone

🎯 TP3: 166.50 – strong horizontal support area

Invalidation: Daily close above 176.15 would nullify the bearish setup.

📉 Bearish Confluence Factors:
✅ Price rejection from historical resistance
✅ Formation of lower highs on the lower timeframe
✅ Overbought conditions following a strong rally
✅ Potential double-top or head & shoulders formation developing

📌 Strategy Outlook:
Bias: Bearish below 176.15

Entry Trigger: Break below recent minor swing low (~172.80)

SL: Above 176.15

Targets: 171.00, 168.50, and 166.50

🧠 Fundamental Angle (Contextual Support):
CHF strength may be peaking amid fading safe-haven flows

JPY might strengthen if global risk sentiment worsens or yields decline

Possible SNB caution on an overly strong franc could weigh on CHF

BoJ policy stance still favors volatility in yen pairs, but CHFJPY is heavily extended and due for correction

📌 Conclusion:
CHFJPY appears to be in the early stages of a technical pullback after reaching key resistance. If momentum builds below 172.80, expect bearish continuation toward 168.50 and possibly 166.50 in the coming weeks.