Comm Services and Real Estate have the cheapest Shiller PEs right now in the whole market. CMCSA has a Shiller PE of 10.28 according to GuruFocus, almost at its lowest in 10 years, potentially indicating that this is one of the best times to buy, but lets look at some other factors as well.
The FWD GAAP PE is 9.29, approx 38% below the sector and CMCSA's own 5 year average.
Comcast has underperformed over the last year, but it also has increased revenue, profit, and net income YoY 6 out of the previous 10 years, soon to be 7, or 3 years consecutive, so I'm not that worried about the growth aspect.
IRT Tech Analysis, SP is currently sitting above major support going back to 2016. Looking at the weekly chart and RSI, you can see that SP just hit the oversold boundary at 30. You can see what happened the last 3 times the SP reached this level. On average, the SP increased by 64% by the 1 year mark over the last 3 times.
Using DCF based EPS w/o NRI and a discount rate of 11%, Comcast is fairly valued at $70, implying a 51% margin of safety (yum) based on high predictability (most important factor for DCF modeling IMO)
DCF based on FCF implies a 27% margin of safety and adjusted for dividend, 49%.
The FWD GAAP PE is 9.29, approx 38% below the sector and CMCSA's own 5 year average.
Comcast has underperformed over the last year, but it also has increased revenue, profit, and net income YoY 6 out of the previous 10 years, soon to be 7, or 3 years consecutive, so I'm not that worried about the growth aspect.
IRT Tech Analysis, SP is currently sitting above major support going back to 2016. Looking at the weekly chart and RSI, you can see that SP just hit the oversold boundary at 30. You can see what happened the last 3 times the SP reached this level. On average, the SP increased by 64% by the 1 year mark over the last 3 times.
Using DCF based EPS w/o NRI and a discount rate of 11%, Comcast is fairly valued at $70, implying a 51% margin of safety (yum) based on high predictability (most important factor for DCF modeling IMO)
DCF based on FCF implies a 27% margin of safety and adjusted for dividend, 49%.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.