Key Observations from the Chart Range-Bound Movement: Dabur has been trading in a well-defined horizontal channel, with the upper boundary (Resistance) near ₹622 and the lower boundary (Support) around ₹442. The price is currently at ₹527, consolidating near the midpoint of the range, indicating indecision among market participants.
Support and Resistance Levels (Pivot Points): Immediate Support: ₹486 (S1 zone and Fibonacci support). Major Support: ₹442 (bottom of the range and long-term support level). Immediate Resistance: ₹540–₹546 (R1 zone). Major Resistance: ₹622 (top of the range and Fibonacci R2).
Trend Analysis: The price action over the past two years suggests a consolidation phase, with no strong breakout on either side. Breakouts above ₹622 or breakdowns below ₹442 will signal directional momentum.
Fibonacci Analysis: Fibonacci pivot levels are acting as key support and resistance zones, providing traders with defined entry and exit points. The current price hovers near the pivot level, indicating a critical decision point.
MACD Indicator: The MACD histogram is showing a potential bullish crossover, with the MACD line inching closer to the signal line. Momentum remains weak, but a breakout above ₹546 could trigger a stronger upward move. Risk/Reward Analysis
Long Setup: Entry Zone: ₹527–₹540. Stop-Loss: ₹486 (below immediate support). Target 1: ₹622 (Resistance at the top of the range). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.52 (moderately favorable setup).
Short Setup: Entry Zone: ₹540–₹546. Stop-Loss: ₹622 (above major resistance). Target 1: ₹486 (Fibonacci support). Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.5
Key Takeaways Bullish Scenario: If Dabur breaks above ₹546 with strong volume, it is likely to test the upper resistance at ₹622. This could be an indication of renewed bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold above ₹486 will likely see the stock revisiting its major support at ₹442, signaling a breakdown.
Neutral Outlook: As the price trades within the established channel, range-bound strategies like swing trading or mean reversion tactics may work well until a clear breakout occurs.
Conclusion Dabur India is currently trading in a consolidation phase, with well-defined support and resistance levels. Traders can capitalize on the stock's range-bound behavior by employing appropriate risk management strategies. A breakout above ₹622 or a breakdown below ₹442 will dictate the next major trend. For now, maintaining a cautious stance and closely monitoring price action is advisable.
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