4-hr Germany 40: Getting Ready for 500 Points Increase

The German DAX 40 saw impressive gains of over 1,500 points between mid-November and mid-December. However, following comments from the Fed, the index corrected nearly 800 points, reaching the crucial 50% Fibonacci retracement level. For the past three weeks, the DAX 40 has held above the 38.2% Fibonacci level, signaling that bulls may be regaining control.

Supporting this bullish outlook is today’s Golden Cross, a classic buy signal and an indicator of strong upward momentum. Based on this setup, we favor entering a buy position but will wait for a potential 100-point dip to secure a better risk-to-reward ratio.

Buying near 19,950 offers a strategic entry point, with a target set at December’s swing high of 20,450. This target aligns with the potential formation of a Double Top pattern, a critical resistance level. If the bullish momentum persists, this strategy positions us well for capitalizing on the DAX 40's upward trajectory.