DIS Technical Breakdown – Bearish Trend Gains Momentum

19 Sep

🎭 DIS – Walt Disney Company | Thief’s Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏰💸

Hello, Ladies & Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief OG trading crew! 😎 Ready to swipe some profits from the Walt Disney Company (DIS) stock? Let’s break down this bearish swing/day trade strategy with a sprinkle of fun and a whole lot of market swagger. 🚀 Let’s dive into the magic of cash flow management with a layered limit order approach! 🎥

📊 Asset: Walt Disney Company (DIS)
Market: NYSE
Strategy: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: Bearish 🐻
Why?: The 200-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has been breached by sellers, confirming a downtrend. The bears are running the show, and we’re ready to join the party! 🎉

🕵️‍♂️ The "Thief Strategy" Plan: Layered Limit Orders
Our Thief Strategy is all about sneaking in profits with a layered limit order approach. Think of it like setting multiple traps to catch the best entry points. 🪤 Here’s how we roll:
Entry Points: Place multiple sell limit orders to layer your entries. Suggested levels:
$116.00 📉
$115.00 📉
$114.00 📉
$113.00 📉
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
Entry Flexibility: You can enter at any price level within this range if you spot a good opportunity. Stay nimble, Thief OGs!

🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot
Thief Stop Loss: Set at $118.00. This is our safety net to keep the bears from stealing our cash! 🛡️
Note: Dear Thief OGs, this stop loss is my suggestion, but it’s your trade! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and make those profits at your own pace. 💸

🎯 Target: Cash Out Before the Trap!
Profit Target: Aim for the $105.00 level, where the 786-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) acts as strong support. 📈
Why?: This level shows oversold conditions and a potential bear trap. Escape with your profits before the market flips the script! 🏃‍♂️
Note: Thief OGs, this is my target, but you’re the boss of your trades. Take profits when it feels right for you! 💪

🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
To make the most of this DIS setup, keep an eye on these correlated assets (all in USD):
NFLX (Netflix): As a competitor in the streaming and entertainment space, Netflix often moves in tandem with DIS. A bearish move in DIS could signal similar pressure in NFLX, especially if market sentiment sours on streaming stocks. 📺
CMCSA (Comcast): Another media giant with theme park and content exposure. Watch for bearish momentum in CMCSA to confirm broader sector weakness. 🏰
SPY (S&P 500 ETF): DIS is a major component of the S&P 500. If the broader market is bearish, it could amplify DIS’s downtrend. Keep SPY on your radar for macro context. 📊

Key Correlation Insight: DIS, NFLX, and CMCSA often react to similar catalysts like consumer spending trends, streaming subscriber growth, or theme park revenue. A bearish move in DIS could be a signal to check these pairs for shorting opportunities or confirmation of sector weakness. 🔍

⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief Style trading strategy is just for fun and educational purposes! 😜 Trading involves risks, and I’m not a financial advisor. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Steal profits, not your peace of mind! 🕵️‍♂️

✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”

Hashtags:#DIS #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Bearish #ThiefStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #StockPicks #CashFlow

16 Okt

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💼 Fundamental Analysis (FA): Company Health & Value
• Revenue (TTM): $94.54B – Steady media/streaming/parks income.
• Net Income (TTM): $11.55B – Profitable core ops.
• EPS (Trailing): $6.38 – Solid earnings per share.
• P/E Ratio (Trailing/Forward): 17.58 / 17.61 – Fair valuation, not overpriced.
• PEG Ratio: 0.89 – Growth-adjusted value looks attractive.
• Debt/Equity: 37.15% – Low leverage, healthy balance sheet.
• ROE: 11.46% – Decent returns on shareholder equity.
• Overall Health: Stable, profitable giant in entertainment/parks; value mid-range vs peers.
📰 Catalyst & News-Driven Analysis: Price-Moving Events
• Taylor Swift docuseries on Disney+ announced Oct 13 – Stock +1.25% that day on streaming boost hype.
• No major Oct 16 news; prior catalysts include Aug ESPN-NFL media deal (10% equity stake, $2-3B value) and Aug earnings beat (raised profit guidance).
• Ongoing: Sep copyright lawsuit vs China's MiniMax (with Universal/WBD) – Potential IP win but no immediate price impact.
• Broker view: Wall Street "Strong Buy" rating, $127 target (+14.6% upside) on Disney+ expansion/cruises.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Macro Environment
• US Indices (last trade): S&P 500 ETF (SPY) $666.93; Dow ETF (DIA) $463.97; Nasdaq ETF (QQQ) $602.61 – Flat to up slightly pre-open.
• Broader Macro: Mixed park attendance (WDW soft, DL strong); streaming gains offset legacy TV declines.
• Institutional: 74.30% ownership by 4,027 funds – High conviction, top holders Vanguard (3.21% + 2.84%), Fidelity (1.27%).
• Insider: 0.07% ownership – Minimal internal buying/selling signal.
👥 Retail & Institutional Traders Sentiment
• Institutional: Steady high ownership, no major shifts; supports long-term hold.
• Retail (from X posts Oct 10-16): Mixed – 12/20 posts positive (bullish engulfing, long entries, Taylor news lift, rising 57-yr channel); 5/20 negative (puts active, usage flat/declining, co-CEO drama); 3 neutral (sector weight, cautious after run). Net lean positive on short-term momentum.
😰 Investor Mood: Market Fear & Greed Measure
• CNN Fear & Greed Index: 29.83 (Oct 15 close) – "Fear" zone (0-100 scale), signals caution, potential oversold buying opportunity.
📈 Final Overall Score: Long Trend
• Bullish – Fundamentals solid, recent news catalysts up 0.49% close, retail tilt positive, institutional backbone; supports upward trend despite fear mood.