Dogecoin (DOGE), the meme cryptocurrency known for its wild price swings, has experienced an unusual period of calm this year, lagging behind the performance of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). However, a technical analysis with the Bollinger bandwidth indicator suggests that this tranquility may soon come to an end.
Understanding Bollinger Bands: A Tool to Assess Dogecoin's Volatility The Bollinger bandwidth is a tool that illustrates periods of varying volatility relative to price movements. It is calculated by dividing the spread between the Bollinger bands by the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of the cryptocurrency's price. Bollinger bands are volatility lines placed two standard deviations above and below the 20-day SMA average.
When the distance between the two bands widens and the bandwidth increases, it indicates a period of rising volatility. Conversely, when the bands contract and the width narrows, it signifies a lull in volatility. An unusually wide or high bandwidth suggests that the current bullish or bearish trend is approaching its end, while an abnormally low bandwidth indicates that the market is on the verge of a significant move in either direction.
Recent data shows that Dogecoin's daily chart has experienced contracting Bollinger bands, resulting in a bandwidth of 0.06, the lowest level since February 2019. This suggests that Dogecoin could soon experience a surge in volatility, as the bandwidth has a tendency to alternate between expansion and contraction.
It's important to note that this anticipated volatility explosion is independent of price direction, meaning that the significant move can be either bullish or bearish.
Looking Ahead: As Dogecoin prepares for a potential volatility spike, traders and investors should remain vigilant and be prepared for a pronounced price swing in the near future.
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