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Dollar Index Technical Analysis

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The Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a key weekly resistance zone around 110.26, as shown in the chart. Here's a breakdown of the technical analysis:

Resistance at 110.26:
This level has acted as a critical barrier, causing the current pullback. The index has struggled to sustain momentum above this zone, indicating potential exhaustion for bulls.

Trend Reversal Signals:
The large rejection candles at resistance indicate seller dominance. If the weekly close remains below 109, we could see sustained bearish momentum.

Support Levels Below:

105.35–105.66: Key support zone acting as the next likely target for bears.
103.33–103.82: A significant level to watch if the decline accelerates, providing a potential buy zone.
Shift in COT Data:
The bearish shift in the COT index aligns with the resistance rejection, adding fundamental weight to the technical setup.

Outlook:
With Trump’s policy announcements expected soon, the DXY is at a critical turning point. A break below the immediate support at 108.79 could lead to a drop toward the 105 range. Conversely, if bulls defend this zone, we might see a retest of the 110 resistance.

Trade with caution, as geopolitical and policy events may drive volatility in the coming weeks.
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