Due to the passage of an important time limit at the change of the half-year, I think it is worth considering the market situation. Last month, the reversal of monthly candlesticks on the tops, which I predicted, worked well, but investors were in no hurry to invest in altos until the very fact of a positive closing of the half-year and a signal for further market support. The most positive scenario for which there were all chances was the opening of the second half of the year above 2250 on the air and 32.5 on the cue ball, which would give reliable technical signals for continued growth to 2750-3500 and 37.5-45k, respectively. However, an opening above 1900 and 30k is at least a signal for a flat, with the probability of further growth remaining up to 70%.
The absence of an obvious threat of a new drawdown of the tops is already enough for more or less reliable investments in altos, which is why the revival of individual coins since the last days of July is connected. On the inertia of last month, we can expect to maintain purchases on the tops at least until mid-July. In these two weeks, the altos have the opportunity to consolidate growth. In the absence of surprises from the foreign exchange market and the euro's drawdown to 1.060-75, the current bull run on alt may last until the middle of the quarter. In this regard, we are not in a hurry to throw off the coins that have grown, but have not taken the target levels. With a drawdown of the euro, we can see a pullback on the crypt on the retest of the monthly loy with a new attempt to grow closer to the middle of the month, while this option is less likely.
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