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EUR/USD Weekly Analysis - January 14, 2025

Key levels and technical insights for this week’s trade setup:
  • Support Level (2-Month): 1.0354
  • Resistance Level (52-Week): 1.0792
  • Stop Loss: 0.9916
  • Take Profit Target: 1.0792

Technical Overview:
  • The EUR/USD has been in a long-term downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
  • Recent price action indicates a bounce off the critical 2-Month Support level (1.0354), suggesting potential for a short-term bullish rebound.

Oscillators highlight oversold conditions:
  • RSI (39.52): Neutral but trending toward oversold territory.
  • Stochastic %K (14.03): Near oversold, signaling possible upward momentum.
  • Williams %R (-88.20): Deeply oversold, increasing chances of a reversal.

Moving Average Insights:
  • The price is trading below the Ichimoku Base Line (1.07268), confirming bearish bias.
  • A breakout above this level would signal a stronger bullish reversal.

Trade Setup:
  • Entry Point: 1.0354 (Near Support Level)
  • Take Profit Target: 1.0792 (Resistance Level)
  • Stop Loss: 0.9916 (Below Support)
  • Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2

Fundamental Overview:
  • Eurozone Economic Data: Weak CPI and manufacturing data reduce Euro strength.
  • USD Strength: Hawkish Fed policy and strong employment data limit EUR/USD upside potential.
  • Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty from energy prices and regional conflicts impacts investor sentiment.
  • Market Sentiment: Risk-off sentiment favors USD strength; however, technical oversold conditions could drive a short-term rally toward resistance.
Nota
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Beyond Technical AnalysisTechnical IndicatorsTrend Analysis

Professor C. E. Ward
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