My bearish sentiment on EURUSD are backed by the following confluences- 1) Market structure (BoS), 2) OB-supply, 3) Imbalance, 4) Liquidity. So my markups are done on the 4hr timeframe which is my major higher timeframe (HTF) used. So price has successfully broken structure lower showing a continuation in the bearish trend, and price is successfully retracing back up filling up the imbalances, where this retracement of price back to my point of interest happens to be my Liquidity which is my 4th confluence, and after that I’ll be waiting for price to reach my main point of interest which is the Supply zone above to mitigate it. If price successfully reaches my supply zone and tends to respect that supply zone, I’m expecting two things to likely happen there which are either price sells off immediately which I’ll already be in on the trade with my first entry placed at the mid range of the supply or it gives me my basic entry structure on the lower timeframe which is a-higher high,higher low, higher high and then a lower low. Then if this emerges successfully I’ll have my second entry placed on any supply formed on the lower timeframe. Where on both entries I’ll be targeting a minimum of 1:3 each as profit target. Note: the financial market is all about probabilities, which also makes my analysis a probability.
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