EUR/USD Range-Bound around 1.0760 Ahead of US CPI Data
The EUR/USD pair is trading in a narrow range around 1.0760 at the start of the Asian trading session on Tuesday. Traders prefer to stay on the sidelines ahead of key events in the US and the Eurozone. The pair is hovering around 1.0764, unchanged for the day. The EUR/USD exchange rate is trading near the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). On the daily chart, the risk remains tilted to the downside, consistent with technical indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to move south, well below the 30 levels, and momentum is stable below the midline.
On the 4-hour chart, the pair also shows a bearish trend, with prices below the 20-period SMA and within a descending channel. The RSI and Momentum indicators are not providing clear signals. If the pair rises above 1.0780, it will break the channel and surpass the 20-period SMA, improving short-term prospects for the Euro, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.0800/1.0805. At that level, the next relevant resistance is at 1,0845. On the downside, the exchange rate is expected to weaken further, with a decline below 1.0740, where the next support level is 1.0715, and below that, the pair may find support around 1.0690. The EUR/USD touched a low of 1.0741 and then rebounded to the 1.0765 area amid limited price action on a quiet Monday. The US Dollar Index recorded a slight increase, supported by higher Treasury yields as investors await important economic reports and central bank meetings.
On Tuesday, the ZEW survey is expected to show a decline in economic sentiment indices for the Eurozone and Germany in December. The focus will then shift to the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday, with no expected changes in interest rates, and discussions expected to revolve around reinvestment from the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP) and minimum reserve requirements.
In the US, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday. CPI is expected to show a monthly inflation increase of 0.1% in November, with the core CPI at 0.3%. Yearly CPI is expected to be at 3.1%, compared to 3.2% recorded in October. These figures are unlikely to change expectations for the Federal Reserve's next decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will begin on Tuesday, and the announcement on Wednesday may cause some surprises. The focus will be on new forecasts.
The US Dollar Index has risen but remains below last week's highs, driven by the rise in USD/JPY rates due to higher yields. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, waiting for the next catalyst.
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On the 4-hour chart, the pair also shows a bearish trend, with prices below the 20-period SMA and within a descending channel. The RSI and Momentum indicators are not providing clear signals. If the pair rises above 1.0780, it will break the channel and surpass the 20-period SMA, improving short-term prospects for the Euro, aiming for the resistance zone around 1.0800/1.0805. At that level, the next relevant resistance is at 1,0845. On the downside, the exchange rate is expected to weaken further, with a decline below 1.0740, where the next support level is 1.0715, and below that, the pair may find support around 1.0690. The EUR/USD touched a low of 1.0741 and then rebounded to the 1.0765 area amid limited price action on a quiet Monday. The US Dollar Index recorded a slight increase, supported by higher Treasury yields as investors await important economic reports and central bank meetings.
On Tuesday, the ZEW survey is expected to show a decline in economic sentiment indices for the Eurozone and Germany in December. The focus will then shift to the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday, with no expected changes in interest rates, and discussions expected to revolve around reinvestment from the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP) and minimum reserve requirements.
In the US, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Tuesday. CPI is expected to show a monthly inflation increase of 0.1% in November, with the core CPI at 0.3%. Yearly CPI is expected to be at 3.1%, compared to 3.2% recorded in October. These figures are unlikely to change expectations for the Federal Reserve's next decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will begin on Tuesday, and the announcement on Wednesday may cause some surprises. The focus will be on new forecasts.
The US Dollar Index has risen but remains below last week's highs, driven by the rise in USD/JPY rates due to higher yields. The market is currently in a consolidation phase, waiting for the next catalyst.
Rewrite a fresh article in English based on the available content, ensuring it is not duplicated with any other articles.
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