Filecoin
Panjang

FIL 1D – Quant Alert: Trend Exhaustion Nears, Upside Risk Builds

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Analysis:
Filecoin consolidates above the $2.50 mark after absorbing aggressive supply-side pressure.
Bear Load drops to 50% – signaling a weakening grip from short-side momentum.

Technical Structure:
• EMA50 ($2.75) and EMA100 ($2.97) remain overhead – yet flattening slope suggests trend inflection.
• MACD histogram flips neutral with positive delta widening – early sign of cyclical shift.
• Bullish divergence emerging on volume and MACD cross.

Quant Perspective:
• Volatility compression post-selloff = breakout conditions.
• Trend models estimate upside expansion toward $2.85–$3.05 on volume confirmation.
• Risk is defined. Reward asymmetric.

Positioning Insight:
• Smart money begins scaling exposure sub $2.60.
• Break and hold above $2.78 likely triggers model reallocation.

No hype, just quant edge.
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