Brexit chaos leaves pound very vulnerable

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Trade setup - While sterling volatility had been widely expected to rise as the Brexit clock ticked down, we are happy to remain bearish on the pair in the short-term. We are looking for a short entry at 1.7380, with a stop just above the previous major high at 1.7490. With the Brexit vote likely to fail and the range of outcomes from here so diverse we target the 1.7000 to 1.7100 zone.

Why we like it - With the current fractured political backdrop within the UK, taking a long position in GBP is just so hard. We sit in the camp that there is a good chance of a positive outcome, but there is still so much to play out here and most of the outcomes suggest more pain to come in the short-term for GBP. The clear "trend is your friend" phase is in play, as the pair makes lower highs and lower lows. In terms of Fibonacci levels, the pair has retraced 23.6% of the last major range indicating weakness and key support level at play.




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We got stopped out on this trade and as such, the position has been closed.
Support and ResistanceTrend AnalysisTrend Lines

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