GBP/JPY Monthly Chart Analysis

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We are seeing a classic technical squeeze, with price action moving between two key trendlines:

Green Trendline (Bullish Support): This ascending trendline has been respected since mid-2020, marking a strong uptrend. Each pullback has been met with higher lows, keeping the bullish momentum intact.

Red Trendline (Bearish Resistance): Since late 2023, GBP/JPY has been making lower highs, creating a descending trendline. This forms a clear triangle pattern, signaling indecision and tightening price action.

Current Situation: Price is at a critical point, trading right where the bullish support and bearish resistance converge. A breakout in either direction could signal the next major move:

Potential moves:
Break above the red trendline = Potential continuation of the long-term uptrend.
Break below the green trendline = Possible trend reversal, opening room for deeper downside.

The next few monthly candles will be crucial—watch for strong closes outside the triangle.

Penafian

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