Gold Trend 12/07 - 15/07

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Gold bounded in a tight range yesterday. The trading started at 1741. The price has continued to sink toward the day-low at 1731 throughout the day. The day ended at 1733, traded in a USD 13 range.

Since the rapid drop slowed down last Thursday, the price has settled between 1730-50(1) in the previous 48 hours. If the price clears the support at 1730, the downside target remains at the 1700-10 support zone.

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A reversal signal has yet to appear on the daily chart; therefore, the downtrend channel(4) is still dominating the trend. If the price breaches the 1730 support, the daily chart's downside target will be at 1680.

S-T Resistances:
1755
1750
1740

Market price: 1731

S-T Supports:
1730
1720
1712-15

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Nota
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Gold hit a new 9-month low yesterday. The day began at 1733; the price briefly touched the day-low at 1722 and the day-high at 1744 early in the Asian session. Throughout the trading day, the price has bounded by 1725-35, with the day ending at 1725.

The price has tangled around the critical support of 1730 in the past 72; the trading atmosphere is like when the price tested the support at 1820(1) a while back without a clear breakthrough. The price finally passed the 1730 barrier yesterday; technically, we can expect the price to sink further in the next 48 hours. But, one thing bore in mind: the US will release its CPI figures today. Previously on the day(June 10th), as the US released worse than expected CPI figures, gold climbed more than USD 20 with a daily fluctuation of more than USD 50. 1710-00 remains the downside target for now, where prepare for a rapid price change at the time of the release of the figures.

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The overall pattern hasn't changed much on the daily chart; the downtrend channel(4) is still dominating the structure on the daily chart, be patient for a reversal signal. After the price clears the support at 1730, technically, we can expect a new low in the next two days.

S-T Resistances:
1750
1740
1730

Market price: 1726

S-T Supports:
1720
1712-15
1708

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Nota
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Gold rallied from a renewed 9-month low yesterday. The day began below 1730 at 1725, and the price stayed between 1720-30 before the US session throughout the day. Once the US released its inflation figures, the price dropped to the day-low at 1706 but buying quickly entered the market. The day ended at 1734, with the day-high reaching 1743.

Althought gold touched a new 9-month low, the gradual downward slope on the 1-hour chart that has been trending in the past few trading days came to an end after the rebound yesterday. The buying above 1740 is still relatively weak; we can expect the price to be bounded by 1720-40 until the price can stand above 1740 comfortably to kick start the next uptrend.

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The first reversal signal finally appeared after the price touched the bottom of the downtrend channel(4) yesterday. The price defended the 1730-1800(3) range yesterday. For gold to start a decent rebound, it must close above 1740 on the daily chart in the next few trading days.

S-T Resistances:
1755
1750
1740

Market price: 1731

S-T Supprots:
1730
1720
1712-15

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