"Where Smart Money Moves, Profits Follow"
This is not financial advice. This post is for personal trading journaling and educational purposes only.
Overview
In this week's market breakdown, I’m sharing my current view on Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR/USDT) using a combination of Smart Money Theory (SMT), Supply & Demand zones, and my proprietary Goldbach Timing Model.
Structure and timing are finally aligning after years of preparation. Based on my analysis, HBAR is showing the potential for a 184% breakout in the near term, with a longer-term projection targeting $1.75 by 2026.
Smart Money Theory (SMT) – From Accumulation to Expansion
HBAR has completed a textbook accumulation cycle, marked by stealth positioning from smart money:
From 2020 to late 2021, price action showed clear signs of Accumulation Phase 1, with suppressed volatility and low-volume accumulation.
In early 2023, HBAR completed its retest phase, holding structural support and rejecting lower demand levels.
A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred in Q4 2024, confirming bullish intent, followed by a clean retest of the Breaker Block (highlighted in yellow on the chart).
According to SMT principles, this BOS confirms that institutional liquidity has re-entered the market—and now, we move toward expansion.
Supply & Demand – Reading the Liquidity Landscape
HBAR is being driven by strong demand and significant inefficiencies above price:
The Breaker Block demand zone between $0.06 and $0.08 held firm, acting as a base for the recent move.
There are large Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) between $0.17 and $0.29, which often act as magnets for price seeking balance.
The next major supply zone sits around $0.65, which also aligns with previous highs and is now my first major target (TP1).
Price is currently reclaiming these inefficiencies, and if momentum holds, we could see rapid continuation toward the upper supply targets.
Goldbach Timing Model – Precision Cycle Forecasting
The Goldbach Cycle Window I use is a proprietary time-based projection model designed to capture cyclical expansions around liquidity events. It has successfully forecasted previous expansions with high precision.
For HBAR, here’s how the model lines up:
November 2024 marked the break of structure and initiation of the current bullish leg.
May 2025 is my forecasted expansion window, when momentum is expected to accelerate further.
The final cycle confluence target is projected to align with $1.75 by 2026, based on historic symmetry and previous expansions.
This alignment of price action and time-based expansion gives me high confidence in the setup.
Trading Plan (as of July 2025)
My personal trading strategy here is structured as follows:
I am currently re-accumulating long positions around $0.22, as price consolidates above the previous range highs. Upon a clean breakout and close above $0.23, I plan to add to my position.
My first target is $0.65, which aligns with a major supply zone and likely liquidity cluster. I intend to take partial profits there.
If market conditions remain favorable and we maintain momentum through the Goldbach window, my final long-term target is $1.75—a projected cycle top based on structural and time confluence.
Final Thoughts
HBAR is no longer in sleeper territory. It’s now a chart with structure, imbalance, and timing on its side.
As always, I remain patient and disciplined. If we see clean continuation through $0.60–$0.65, we enter what I consider clear skies—where price has little resistance on the way to cycle targets.
🙏 Thank you for taking the time to read. I appreciate every like, repost, and follow as I continue journaling these setups.
Grateful for the support!
🔔 Follow Lord MEDZ for more cycle-based Smart Money setups and insights.
This is not financial advice. This post is for personal trading journaling and educational purposes only.
Overview
In this week's market breakdown, I’m sharing my current view on Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR/USDT) using a combination of Smart Money Theory (SMT), Supply & Demand zones, and my proprietary Goldbach Timing Model.
Structure and timing are finally aligning after years of preparation. Based on my analysis, HBAR is showing the potential for a 184% breakout in the near term, with a longer-term projection targeting $1.75 by 2026.
Smart Money Theory (SMT) – From Accumulation to Expansion
HBAR has completed a textbook accumulation cycle, marked by stealth positioning from smart money:
From 2020 to late 2021, price action showed clear signs of Accumulation Phase 1, with suppressed volatility and low-volume accumulation.
In early 2023, HBAR completed its retest phase, holding structural support and rejecting lower demand levels.
A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred in Q4 2024, confirming bullish intent, followed by a clean retest of the Breaker Block (highlighted in yellow on the chart).
According to SMT principles, this BOS confirms that institutional liquidity has re-entered the market—and now, we move toward expansion.
Supply & Demand – Reading the Liquidity Landscape
HBAR is being driven by strong demand and significant inefficiencies above price:
The Breaker Block demand zone between $0.06 and $0.08 held firm, acting as a base for the recent move.
There are large Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) between $0.17 and $0.29, which often act as magnets for price seeking balance.
The next major supply zone sits around $0.65, which also aligns with previous highs and is now my first major target (TP1).
Price is currently reclaiming these inefficiencies, and if momentum holds, we could see rapid continuation toward the upper supply targets.
Goldbach Timing Model – Precision Cycle Forecasting
The Goldbach Cycle Window I use is a proprietary time-based projection model designed to capture cyclical expansions around liquidity events. It has successfully forecasted previous expansions with high precision.
For HBAR, here’s how the model lines up:
November 2024 marked the break of structure and initiation of the current bullish leg.
May 2025 is my forecasted expansion window, when momentum is expected to accelerate further.
The final cycle confluence target is projected to align with $1.75 by 2026, based on historic symmetry and previous expansions.
This alignment of price action and time-based expansion gives me high confidence in the setup.
Trading Plan (as of July 2025)
My personal trading strategy here is structured as follows:
I am currently re-accumulating long positions around $0.22, as price consolidates above the previous range highs. Upon a clean breakout and close above $0.23, I plan to add to my position.
My first target is $0.65, which aligns with a major supply zone and likely liquidity cluster. I intend to take partial profits there.
If market conditions remain favorable and we maintain momentum through the Goldbach window, my final long-term target is $1.75—a projected cycle top based on structural and time confluence.
Final Thoughts
HBAR is no longer in sleeper territory. It’s now a chart with structure, imbalance, and timing on its side.
As always, I remain patient and disciplined. If we see clean continuation through $0.60–$0.65, we enter what I consider clear skies—where price has little resistance on the way to cycle targets.
🙏 Thank you for taking the time to read. I appreciate every like, repost, and follow as I continue journaling these setups.
Grateful for the support!
🔔 Follow Lord MEDZ for more cycle-based Smart Money setups and insights.
Nota
Lord MEDZ
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.
Lord MEDZ
Penafian
Maklumat dan penerbitan adalah tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan tidak membentuk, nasihat untuk kewangan, pelaburan, perdagangan dan jenis-jenis lain atau cadangan yang dibekalkan atau disahkan oleh TradingView. Baca dengan lebih lanjut di Terma Penggunaan.