HOOK / TetherUS
Panjang

HOOK/USDT Major Downtrend Breakout — Reversal in Play

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🔍 Chart Overview

HOOK/USDT has finally broken out of its macro downtrend, which had been holding the price down since December 2024. This breakout is not just a technical move — it could mark the beginning of a mid- to long-term reversal. The price is now retesting the breakout area (yellow box), offering an ideal entry point before a potential rally.


📈 Pattern & Technical Structure

🟡 1. Breakout from Long-Term Downtrend

The yellow trendline shows a 7-month-long bearish trendline.

Price has now closed daily candles above this line, indicating a clear shift in market structure.

The breakout occurred after a sideways accumulation phase between $0.1050 – $0.1200, which also acts as a demand zone.


🟢 2. Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) Pattern

Left and right shoulders formed around $0.1050

Head formed at the $0.0710 – $0.0777 zone

Price has broken above the neckline, validating the IH&S reversal pattern


📊 3. Volume & Momentum

Increased volume during the breakout confirms strong buying interest

If the retest holds, bullish momentum could accelerate toward key resistance levels


🟢 Bullish Scenario (Positive Outlook)

If price holds above the retest zone ($0.1167 – $0.1200) and confirms support:

Bullish Targets:

1. $0.1300 – Nearest minor resistance

2. $0.1563 – Breakout confirmation zone

3. $0.1791 – Psychological and fib confluence

4. $0.2210 – IH&S pattern target

5. $0.2821 – Key horizontal resistance

6. $0.4649 – $0.5801 – Golden pocket zone (Fibonacci retracement)

✅ Potential ROI: 100%+ from current levels


🔴 Bearish Scenario (Negative Outlook)

If HOOK fails to hold above $0.1050:

The breakout may become a false breakout (bull trap)

Price could fall back toward $0.0850

A deeper drop toward $0.0777 – $0.0710, the last major demand zone


🚫 Breakdown below this zone would re-enter a long consolidation phase


🎯 Conclusion & Strategy

HOOK is at a critical turning point. A confirmed breakout from the macro downtrend + IH&S pattern signals a high-probability bullish reversal. The current pullback serves as a textbook retest — a prime area for entries.
Aggressive traders can consider entering now with SL below $0.1050. Conservative traders may wait for confirmation candles above $0.1300.


✅ Quick Checklist:

✅ Confirmed breakout from macro downtrend

✅ Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern active

✅ Volume spike supports breakout

✅ Retest in progress at key demand zone

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