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META Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights Feb 18

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Technical Analysis (TA) for META
* Current Price Action: META is in an uptrend, forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. The stock has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming strength.

* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $740 - This aligns with the current high and a potential breakout level.
* First Support: $727 - If price pulls back, this area could act as a retest zone.
* Major Support: $715 - A breakdown of $727 could lead to testing this lower support.
* Critical Breakdown Level: $709 - A failure to hold here might signal a trend reversal.

* Indicators:
* MACD: Shows signs of weakening momentum, but still bullish.
* Stochastic RSI: Near overbought levels, indicating a possible cooldown or retracement before another leg up.

Options Flow & GEX Analysis
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* GEX (Gamma Exposure):
* Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $750 → This is the major call wall and could act as a strong resistance.
* 49.36% Call Wall: $730 → META is currently testing this level, meaning a breakout could fuel a strong move toward $750.
* Put Wall Support: $715 → If META drops, this is the area where options market positioning may provide support.

* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 6.1 → Low implied volatility, making options cheaper for buyers.
* IVx Avg: 31.1 → Slightly lower than usual, suggesting muted volatility.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 4.6% → Slightly bullish, but not extremely aggressive.

Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $740 with confirmation.
* Target: $750+ (Gamma Squeeze Potential).
* Stop Loss: Below $727.

📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
* Entry: Below $727.
* Target: $715 or $709 (strong put support).
* Stop Loss: Above $735.

Final Thoughts
* META is in a bullish structure, but the rising wedge suggests caution if momentum weakens.
* Options flow aligns with a potential move to $750, but a failure to hold $727 could trigger a pullback.
* Best Trade Approach: Monitor price action near $740 & $727, and use options positioning to confirm directional bias.

🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨

Penafian

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