Don’t Forget About the Nasdaq

Everyone’s been so focused on the banks lately that they might have missed some potentially bullish happenings on the Nasdaq-100.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the 21-day exponential moving average (EMA). Other big indexes like the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 are well below the same lines on their respective charts. But the tech-heavy NDQ closed above it on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Second, the histogram at the bottom shows relative strength against the S&P 500 (with a trailing three-month period). Its recent outperformance is a big change from last year’s bear market, when the Nasdaq and “megacap growth” lagged the broader market.

Third, the index fell under the lows of the last two weeks on Monday morning. It quickly recovered, potentially creating a failed breakdown.

Next, yesterday’s price action probed under the previous session’s low and closed above its high. The result was a bullish outside candle.

Finally, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA this week. That ended more than a year with the faster SMA below the slower SMA.

These patterns may keep traders focused on the falling trend line that’s formed since early February. Could NDQ stun everybody by breaking out -- despite fears about bank failures?

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