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What do you guys expect, is more likely to happen ?

Indeks 100 Nasdaq (NASDAQ:NDX)  
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NASDAQ:NDX   Indeks 100 Nasdaq
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Considering that the recession scenarios have not subsided we can maybe say that situation A is more likely to happen.

But we can also consider that the worries about the recession are already priced in and the market already factored in the worst. In such a case situation B also have a possibility. What is your take on the same?
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