NVIDIA

NVDA Technical Analysis and Options Trading Strategy Jan. 2, 25

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1-Hour Chart Analysis (For Trading)

1. Price Action:
* NVDA is trading within a descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines.
* The price is near the lower channel boundary around $133-$134, suggesting a potential reversal zone.

2. Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish momentum persists with increasing red histogram bars, but the MACD lines are near a potential crossover.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, indicating a possible reversal in the short term.

3. Support and Resistance Levels:
* Support: $133 (trendline support), $130.
* Resistance: $137 (middle of the channel), $141 (upper channel boundary).

4. Trading Strategy:

* Entry (Long):
* Look for a reversal confirmation at the lower channel boundary near $133-$134.
* Ensure Stochastic RSI begins to rise from oversold levels, and MACD shows a bullish crossover.

* Entry (Short):
* If the price breaks below $133, consider shorting with a target of $130.

* Stop Loss:
* Long: Place stop-loss below $130.
* Short: Place stop-loss above $135.

* Target:
* Long: Initial target at $137, extended target at $141.
* Short: Target at $130.

Daily Chart Analysis (For Options Trading)
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1. Options GEX Analysis:

* Call Walls (Resistance):
* $144 (3rd CALL Wall).
* $141 (2nd CALL Wall).

* Put Walls (Support):
* $133 (2nd PUT Wall).
* $130 (strong PUT support).

* Highest Positive NET GEX: At $137, indicating key pivot resistance.
* Highest Negative NET GEX: At $130, confirming strong support.

2. Implied Volatility and GEX Metrics:
* IVR: 21.2%, indicating moderate implied volatility.
* Options Oscillator: Calls at 21.2% and puts dominating at 26.4%, highlighting bearish sentiment.

3. Options Trade Strategy:
* Bullish Scenario:
* If NVDA reverses from $133, buy Call Options targeting $137-$141 with a strike price near $135, expiring in 1-2 weeks.

* Bearish Scenario:
* If NVDA breaks below $133, buy Put Options targeting $130 with a strike price near $132, expiring in 1-2 weeks.

* Neutral Strategy:
* Sell an Iron Condor with:
* Upper Leg: $141-$144 calls.
* Lower Leg: $130-$133 puts.

4. Risk Management:
* Bullish Calls: Exit if NVDA fails to break $137 with momentum.
* Bearish Puts: Exit if NVDA closes above $135.

Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please perform your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. All trading carries risks; trade responsibly.

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